BRENT trade ideas
DeGRAM | UKOIL channel breakingUKOIL rebounded from the resistance and pulled back on the 4-hourly chart.
The market is trading in the descending channel, but this is just a pullback against the bullish trend.
We anticipate the continuation of this current trend and the breakout of the channel.
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Brent - decline on pause.Oil sellers are not yet able to push through the existing support zone so that the daily candle closes below the existing lows. Much more important for traders is that these attempts to decline can stretch for a very long time and eventually end with a rebound and then a local increase to the resistance level. And if that happens. then all the cards will be shuffled again, and we will have to deal with a new hand, new trump cards on a new table. Let me remind you that the key resistance for Brent oil prices is in the area of 87.
Brent - technical levels. Continuation.Yesterday I published an idea in which I showed the current levels for Brent oil. Today it is clear that the support level has been passed. The level can be considered broken if today's daily candle closes below the August 3 low. If this does not happen, then we will wait for the next daily candle to close below today's one. It is then that we can expect a further decline in quotations. Let me remind you - I believe that oil quotes are in the global corridor. And if we talk about the next decline in prices for black gold, then a fall should be expected to the level of 72.40.
Support and Resistance For Brent Crude Oil (UKOIL)Strong resistance for UKOIL is at level 86.55 and currently rejected. As we can see, the intermediate uptrendline also broken. So, right now Brent Crude Oil on bearish direction. The support level are at 84.36, 82.22, 79.84 and 77.02. Meanwhile current resistance level are at 86.55, 87.34 and 91.85.
BRENT OIL TRADE IDEA (21-25 Aug)TRADE IDEA (21-25 Aug)
NEUTRAL (RANGE BOUND)
Target 1 hit last week
BEARISH Candle formed on Weekly timeframe
Price seems to be showing signs of exhaustion
would consider a SHORT on a close and hold below
4H BOS
UPSIDE
A break and hold above 4H BOS
level could target the 88.00 level
Brent oil is having a tough time.For 40 weeks now, Brent quotes cannot or do not want to leave the corridor between the levels of 70.83-86.32. And it looks like now the decline is possible to the lower limit. The nearest level that can provide resistance now is 84.40. I propose to pay attention to it, and after the breakdown, it is very likely that we will get the opportunity to open a sale.
DeGRAM | UKOIL bearish pressureUKOIL dropped from the resistance at 88.00 and 87.00, which is a psychological level as well.
Price made lower lows and lower closes.
If the market retraces back to the resistance level at 86.00
We anticipate a pullback and bearish move since the market has dropped from this level before.
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Brent Oil to move lowerLast weeks Weekly Doji Candle close was a sign that that market was turning from Bullish to Bearish. The market has since broken down from its 7 week Bull run.
Chinas economic news of its possible recession will send Brent lower.
I'll be looking to open a short position.
At the moment I'm just waiting patiently to see what happens.
I'll post updates here as things move along.
The forecast came true.Yesterday's forecast for a decline in oil prices came true. After the breakdown of the support level, the quotes went down, but did not reach the target. Nevertheless, I believe that the forecast can be considered successful in view of the presence of a clear opportunity to close the deal with a profit.
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Brent uptrend exhaustionContext:
Weekly – uptrend (UT), one-time-framing up
Daily – uptrend
Microstructure:
Poor highs, poor lows
Last day:
value moved down
Special notes:
There are multiple signs of UT exhaustions: shortening of daily trend upthrust, daily volume dries up, last week value area overlaps with previous week
Moreover, price is close to monthly resistance cloud. Without some stong bullish news it will be hard to get through it.
Conclusion:
A swing trader that is still LONG should strongly consider reducing position. At this point it is still too early to flip but risks of staying LONG outweigh potential upside.
For a day trader there is still an opportunity to play LONG as daily low high (LH) is still not set. The best risk-reward opportunity for LONG can be found near last week low