Inflation reignition. UK Brent Crude is looking poised to climb higher to test the 2023 high of $95 per barrel. Technically, the commodity is overbought on the RSI indicator so a pullback and test of the blue support range around $87.50 seems like the next likely move. Additionally, the 50-day MA has now crossed above the 200-day MA which is another strong indicator for a sustained move higher.
Commodities are awakening from their slumber which is sparking renewed global inflation fears. Due to escalating global tensions, crude oil has surged more than 10% since the start of March which has seen the price per barrel close above $90 per barrel last week.
Precious metals along with industrial metals have also benefitted from the rise in oil prices which has seen the Reuters Core Commodity index climb to a 6-month high. As mentioned previously, the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) fight against inflation is essentially its fight against oil and this recent break-out in commodity prices has poured some cold water on the expectations that the Fed will start cutting rates as soon as June this year.
