The Fed's Pause, and Biden Presents Another PlanThe Federal Open Market Committee of the Fed yesterday left the base rate unchanged in the range from 0% to 0.25% and kept the monthly rate of bond purchases at $120 billion. At the same time, the head of the Central Bank Jerome Powell once again confirmed that in the foreseeable future, the parameters of monetary policy will remain unchanged, despite the success of the vaccination campaign and the rapid recovery of the US economy.
Financial markets have received another confirmation that the holiday of cheap money continues and you can continue to buy everything that is on sale. For the sake of fairness, we note that despite the total overvaluation of the US stock market, companies such as Apple or Alphabet, judging by the latest quarterly reports, really have a reason to buy. Yesterday, for example, Apple reported a 54% increase in revenue over the same period last year. At the same time, all (!) segments of the company demonstrated double-digit growth. Well, the cherry on top for buyers was the announcement of a $90 billion share buyback program.
US President Biden tried not to fall out of the general festive context. In his first address to Congress, he unveiled a massive $1.8 trillion American Families Plan. In fact, we are talking about the practical implementation of the basic values of the democrats - to redistribute financial resources from the rich to the poor. Biden's plan aims to help low-income Americans by raising taxes on wealthy Americans.
On the issue of inequality, but on a global scale. New York will lift curfews for bars and restaurants on May 17, and Delhi's mayor is trying to stabilize supplies of wood that is starting to be scarce as cremations continue to rise.
SENSEX trade ideas
India Pulls the World into the Abyss, Bank of Canada and ECBIndia keeps on churning out anti-records literally every day. Yesterday, they crossed the mark of 300K cases per day (more than a third of the global number of cases), and the number of deaths per day confidently exceeded 2K. And this despite the fact that we see only the tip of the iceberg, since the level of testing is insufficient to form any objective picture. But even what is seen is enough to panic.
Tellingly, financial markets largely ignore what is happening in India. The only one who somehow tries to take into account in prices the deepest crisis in the country's economy, which has been the driver of the growth of the entire world economy in the last 10 years, is oil. But even there, the decline is more than moderate. The Indian stock market has not moved away from the highs even by 10%, which is fundamentally at odds with any logic and common sense. Or the markets are hoping for a miracle and decided to wait for it. We believe that there are no miracles, which means that the same SENSEX can and should be sold.
In general, the stratification of realities has been seen more precisely. Let us recall the recent reports by OPEC and IEA, which raised their forecasts for the growth rate of oil demand amid a sharp deterioration in the pandemic situation in the world. Despite the fact that the same organizations in the previous months lowered their forecasts against the background of an improvement in the epidemiological situation.
Also, consider the results of yesterday's meeting of the Bank of Canada. The rate was expectedly left unchanged, but at the same time the Central Bank revised its forecast for GDP growth in 2021 from 4% to 6.5%. The steps are clearly premature, since only a few countries in the world were able to more or less stabilize the pandemic situation. And in the modern globalized world, the problems of the world are necessarily transformed into the problems of a single country.
The ECB will announce the results of its meeting today. Most likely, the monetary policy parameters will not be changed, but economic forecasts may be revised. In addition, you should pay attention to the data on jobless claims in the United States.
BSE sensex hi there market is on a confusion area thats why i want to wait for level to reach. i am a reactive not predictive. but at this current situation market need a pullback to grab some liquidity and for this market need to go down. my all areas are shown for reactive market. wait for it. and i inform all the major news for this areas
Alibaba's Fines, CoinBase IPO and the Fall of IndiaThe week started with a number of negative news for individual countries and companies. India has suffered the most at the country level. Indian stocks tumbled on Monday (Sensex fell 3.4%) as rising Covid-19 cases continue to weigh on investor sentiment. India has registered 168,912 new Covid cases in the past 24 hours, the sixth record increase in seven days. That does not stop religious pilgrims from mass bathing in the Ganges with all that it implies. In general, there is enough reason to expect the continuation of the sell-off in the Indian stock market.
Although the presence of the grounds does not at all guarantee the fact of movement in the direction of the grounds. Consider Alibaba for example. China imposed a record $2.8 billion fine on Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (nearly double the previous record high in 2015 when US chipmaker Qualcomm Inc. was hit) after antitrust investigations revealed Alibaba was abusing its market dominance. The penalty itself is a record one, and for the company itself the amount is quite significant, since it is 12% of net profit. It would seem worthwhile to expect sales. Instead, the stock rallied nearly 10%.
In general, market sentiment continues to be in the zone of heightened optimism. The US stock market continues to churn out records. And in the cryptocurrency market, everyone is at a low start and is waiting for the go-ahead from CoinBase for a new leap up. We are talking about the much-hyped and long-awaited IPO of the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the United States (it will be listed on Nasdaq on April 14 under the ticker “COIN”). Preliminary capitalization estimates are around $100 billion, making this IPO one of the largest in history.
The most likely scenario for the development of events is a sharp rise in prices. The cryptocurrency market in general feels too good (doubled in the last couple of months) and CoinBase in particular (as expected, by the end of the first quarter, revenues will be almost twice as high as in THE WHOLE OF 2020). But if the IPO fails, it could be a signal for a bubble to burst in the cryptocurrency market. In the end, behind all this growth, one should not forget that the cryptocurrency market is a big price bubble that will invariably burst - it's only a matter of time.
Sensex off to 45000 by March 2021Bears must have been happy to see the rising wedge formation all this while when the V shaped recovery resumed to claim the former top but cooled off at ~39500. The rising wedge formation did validate for a while and shared the target of ~34500 from a 'measured move' perspective. Note the divergence from the RSI while it tends to form a falling wedge which is the only caution this time.
But hey, bulls are back. So I suspect the possible H&S pattern as a trend 'reversal indicator' in formation turning sentiment from bearish/neutral to bullish and once the right shoulder forms completely (give or take 3 months) we would enter to claim new ATH most likely before April 2021.
45000 Sensex is incoming!
SENSEX is Falling 01/02/2021as we can see
we have bearish Divergence with MACD Signal and MACD Histogram and it is at the end of a bullish trend which is happening post corona Pandemic and it can be interpreted as trend reversal and Distribution time
now it can be the time for some correction and retraces
we have analyzed the daily Timeframe and used Price Action Strategy to find the accumulation zones
these areas are also having confluences with Fibonacci retracement levels which are good areas to target or enter
we may have a small bullish Spike but the overall scenario is bearish from now onwards
"BSE:SENSEX" - "SELL" signal 15 min (Solved Signal 1)-SELL signal generated by "Solved Signal 1(SS1)" in 15 min Chart of "BSE:SENSEX" Index
- "BSE:SENSEX" 15 min chart
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- Solved Signal 1 generates SELL signal(by default: text:- SS1,color=red,shape=triangledown)
on 15 min chart of "BSE:SENSEX"' .It means "BSE:SENSEX" can go down.
-Solved Signal 1 "BSE:SENSEX" Price data for Solving the Market(See description of Indicator).
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