UPL trade ideas
UPL :: Turning around to (Agrow)Chemical Stock? - It's been decades we have seen that AgriCulture is contributing almost about 18-20% in India's GDP growth yet this sector remains to be more politically inclined to their specific actions during major elections.
- GDP contribution by Top 3 sectors:
Agriculture: 18.4%
Industry: 28.3%
Services: 53.3%
- NSE:UPL is one of the top 5 global providers of total agricultural solutions with a footprint in 138+ countries.
Going by the current situation we see the following observations -
1) Script is trading at a Money-based range dating back to the pandemic lows after hitting 52W Lows due to global headwinds.
2) After a stellar doubler move from Dec'20 to May'21 the script delivered almost more than 100% return to its investors and eventually we see a exhaustion after an eventual double top like pattern with a neckline candle marked in a red zone.
3) Interestingly, you see a SWAP LEVEL marked to denote the beautiful Yearly Low of 2021 being protected for next 2yrs and finally breaks down nearing ending of 2022 while being in a range of 200p within the red zone and swap level for that existing period.
4) While, we talked about price action in the previous point we missed out the lethal info being nudged in by our FUNDFLUX tool which showed consistent outflow of money in first 2Q's of 2022 before it out the swap level in Q3 of 2022.
5) What happens next will make you understand why we call the marked blue dotted line as the "Swap level" as after the breakdown we see a retest of the same level now turning out to be a resistance for script and eventually the Yearly Pivot Level of 2024 .
6) Now, currently the script trades in a good money-based range eventually dodging out YL4 breakdown and here the risk seems to be minimum as per the return is concerned as after 510-520 the script will be ripped for 640-650 initial target making a return of 30-35% in cash from entry being in the marked money-based green range and it can be in news in this quarter as elections are nearing and as said in the beginning - "AgriCulture" will be on one of the top agendas of the political parties and alongside if we see a relief from destocking and price revisions in the West after the much anticipated rate cuts then it will be an icing on the cake for the script as margins will improve in the coming quarterly results and lastly monsoon season is about to begin in India in a month and till now SKYMET expects Monsoon to be 'normal' in India.
A RELEVANT ARTICLE -
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UPL LTD / Linear Regression lines / Eillot waves The Linera regression line upper band is where the price is today . It may act as a resistance levels or a breakout level.
The elliot wave counts is as seen on the chart and it show completion of the 5 waves followed by retesting important Fibo level of 546.20 . The Fibo retracement provides levels are important to keep on radar.
The support levels where the stops can be placed is 447.80 with target as per the Fibo levels seen in the chart .
UPL: A Textbook Short setupHere are some guidelines for determining the next steps regarding UPL:
Consolidation: UPL has experienced a period of consolidation for over two years, forming a symmetric triangle pattern.
Breakdown and Retest: There was a breakdown from the triangle pattern, followed by a retest, which resulted in a continued downward movement until reaching a 52-week low.
Short Opportunity: The chart pattern of UPL presents a classic setup for a short trade.
Immediate Support: There is an immediate support zone approximately 5% below the current market price (CMP), which could potentially come into play.
Stronger Support: If the immediate support level fails to hold, the next significant support level is located around 20% below the CMP.
PE Ratio Range: Throughout the observed range, the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of UPL has fluctuated between 22 and 13
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Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are solely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. We like everybody else, have the right to be wrong :)
UPl | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice.
The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown.
👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈
Price Action Analysis
And this is the accumulation stage -
1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC.
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC.
5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume.
6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume.
All the phases of accumulation stage-
Phase A:
Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend.
-- Up to this point, supply has been dominant.
-- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC).
-- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC.
-- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation.
-- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above.
Phase B:
-- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend
-- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup.
--There are usually multiple STs during Phase B'
-- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range.
--Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume.
Phase C:
-- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply.
-- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears).
-- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position.
-- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis.
Phase D:
--During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top
--LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions.
Phase E:
--large operators can occur at any point in Phase E.
--These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets.
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Revive Traders
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UPL chart is ultra dynamic for good return UPL is best share in chemical sector for fresh buy or bottom fishing
what technical parameter speak
1 Flag pattern visible on weekly chart pattern
2 Inside that flag double channel also visible
3 following proper fab. point
4 Fer people called rounding bottom reversal
5 some people called hook pattern
strong support on 500 and and that will jump again in his range of 600 to 850
support 500
Resistance 600
flag and life time high completed on 850 after that actual bomb blast on that share
BUY upl above 540
TRG 1 - 620
TRG 2 - 720
TRG 3 - 820/860 above 860 trg is open for 1000/1200/1400 "
SL - 420
that trg if adjustable for long term and short term investors
before making any position consult with your financial advisory
that all data and details only for the observation and study purpose
Review and plan for 14th May 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
UPL LTD S/R Support and Resistance Levels: In technical analysis, support and resistance levels are significant price levels where buying or selling interest tends to be strong. They are identified based on previous price levels where the price has shown a tendency to reverse or find support.
Support levels are represented by the green line and green shade, indicating areas where buying interest may emerge to prevent further price decline.
Resistance levels are represented by the red line and red shade, indicating areas where selling pressure may arise to prevent further price increases. Traders often consider these levels as potential buying or selling opportunities.
Breakouts: Breakouts occur when the price convincingly moves above a resistance level (red shade) or below a support level (green shade). A bullish breakout above resistance suggests the potential for further price increases, while a bearish breakout below support suggests the potential for further price declines. Traders pay attention to these breakout signals as they may indicate the start of a new trend or significant price movement.
Disclosure: I am not SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is important to consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Tweets neither advice nor endorsement.
Descending Triangle pattern breakout in UPLUPL LTD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1 Day Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Descending Triangle Pattern.
✅Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 531+.
✅Can Go Long in this Stock by placing a stop loss below 452-.
UPL--@Support finally UPL reached its support levels...
this is the time to look for reversal area.
This time this finds the support from this level or it will continue to move downside.
wait for the price to create a right shoulder to go long from this stock...
please add this stock in your watchlist for bullish, will go long once it is ready to break.
Now it is at support, take care before going to short.
UPL BUY 486 SL 469 TGT 500/620/700UPL BUY 486 SL 469 TGT 500/620/700
7KInvest Ideas$$
DISCLAIMER: These videos are for educational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. While it is possible to minimize risk, your investments are solely your responsibility. It is imperative that you conduct your own research. I am merely sharing my opinion with no guarantee of gains or losses on investments.