Let's Watch Bitcoin Dominance Together!Hello, Skyrexians!
You may think that we make analysis on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D too often, but it's needed because as we pointed out many times we are closed to the global top and it's important to predict when altcoin season starts.
Today we have 12h time frame to look in details at final wave 5 inside global 5. Wave 3 inside this wave is about to be finished at 64.85%. This is not new information. You can check our previous 12h analysis and see it. Today price has reached the target and soon we have to see the reaction and small correction to 0.38 Fibonacci at 63%. During this drop altcoins may show great performance, but after that last shakeout will happen. After that we expect 3-5 months of dominance decrease.
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Skyrexio Team
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BTC.D trade ideas
BTC.D: 1M chart still looking bullish for nowAs above.
BTC.D still looking to continue to slowly inch higher in the near future. No ALT season yet, unfortunately for those anticipating this event.
Stronger case for BTC.D to get to 70% range once 65% range is entered. I am not sure this is going to be a rapid BTC.D event given the historic trend and current economic climate. Might see ALTs bleed again a little more than BTC to achieve this 70% level rather than BTC going parabolic. Would have cash on hand for potential start of ALT season to get those basement discount prices on ALTs if that should happen as I anticipate some kind of ALT season down the road..the question is when and how big...
Will follow.
Good luck traders!
Bitcoin Dominance Is About To Finish The Growth CycleHello, Skyrexians!
Time to update our main chart CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D and today we will take a look at 4h time frame to make sure that everything is going according our global scenario.
Today we consider wave 3 in 5 into the global 5. It has been almost done with the potential double divergence and ending diagonal at the top. The next wave is higher degree wave 4. It has the target at 0.38 Fibonacci at 63%. From this point we expect final wave 5 to final target at 66%.
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Skyrexio Team
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BTC Dominance – Are We Near the true Altseason?BTC Dominance – Are We Near the Altseason?
BTC dominance has been rising recently, and many believe the real altseason will begin once BTC.D reaches 71%, just like in the previous cycle.
However, it might happen sooner than expected.
On the 1W timeframe, several signs are flashing:
RSI is showing a bearish divergence that’s about to play out.
Since January 2023, the MACD has been in overbought territory.
Each time RSI peaked above 70%, we saw a rejection of 8–10%. It's currently at 68% and nearing that level again.
On December 2nd, 2024, the structure was broken, but it has since re-entered its rising channel.
🔗
On the Daily chart:
BTC.D is approaching its cycle peak around 65%, which should act as a resistance and potential reversal point.
Since the structure was already broken once, another downside break is highly probable.
🔗
On the Monthly chart, it’s pretty clear we’re nearing the end of the BTC dominance cycle, and a rotation of capital is likely to follow soon.
Now, there are 2 possible scenarios:
Altseason starts at 65% in this cycle.
Altseason starts again at 71%, mirroring the previous cycle.
When you look at the Monthly chart, it’s easy to see that this cycle is different. With an overbought RSI, and a potential break of structure, a long-awaited MACD correction could be the trigger for the real altseason.
🚨 DYOR (Do Your Own Research) 🚨
finally altcoins ready for strong bounce btc Dominance Finally Showing Signs Of Weakness, Formed Rising Wedge, Rejected From Rang,s Top, Counter Trendline Breakout Confirmed, Expecting Move Towards Ascending Trendline In Coming Days, And In Results Altcoins Finally Will Get Some Relief, However Once Ascending Trendline Got Cleared, Alts Can Bounce Sharply After That.
BTC.D Wave 5 is formingWe are now in the final wave of the btc.d market share
The black V wave is in the final stage
In my opinion, btc.d is in the red wave 4 and is expected to have another red uptrend to complete 5 waves and at the same time, it will also have 5 black V waves
If all the waves are complete, we will have a btc.d break and the altcoin season will take place
We can see that altcoin is at the bottom and is recovering, this uptrend is likely to increase (because btc.d is decreasing wave 4) then btc.d goes up to the red wave 5 as analyzed above, the altcoin will test the possible double bottom pattern (with some strong coins that can slightly recover to the 50% fibonacci and then go up)
to go up, the weaker ones can have triple bottoms
Anyway, we are at the end of btc.d and it is also the altcoin season that is about to begin
Bitcoin Dominance Quick UpdateThe high happened in February 2025. 7-April produced a lower high.
The session that produced the lower high is also a hammer. A hammer here can indicate an upcoming change of trend.
As long as BTC.D remains below 64% it has a very high probability of starting a descent.
If BTC Dominance moves and closes daily above 64%, this analysis and signals become invalid.
If the BTC.D hovers below 64%, the longer it stays below this level the weaker it becomes.
When this index goes down, everything Cryptocurrency grows, including Bitcoin.
It will be very interesting to see how it all develops. More and more signals are pointing toward an Altcoins market bullish wave developing now, not later. Do you agree?
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Will We have an Alt season soon?I believe the charts show we may be very close to an Alt season.
Chart show Bitcoin Dominance as percent of Crypto Market.
Reasons I believe an alt Season may be close.
1. We are at the top of a rising Wedge.
2. We are at the top of a parallel channel.
3. Sentiment is in the dumpster.
4. The Fibs look right for a .618 retracement to a support level
from recent swing highs to lows.
5. We hit the Fib .702 retracement from all time highs on Dominance.
Only time will tell. But If this does happen the rhetoric to never sell will once again be in full force. I will take something off the table if this hits.
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Let's analyze BTC dominance :
For four months, BTC dominance (BTC.D) has held a trendline support. After breaking out of an ascending triangle, BTC.D is forming another, with resistance at 62%-62.3%, repeatedly tested. A break above targets 64.50%, a strong resistance. Conversely, a trendline breakdown signals a potential drop to 59% support. Monitor these levels; a decisive break will heavily influence altcoin market dynamics.
Lower Support Levels:
59%-58.7%
Resistance Level:
62%-62.30%
64-50%
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Happy Trading!!
BTC.D BITCOIN DOMINANCE near trendlineBTC.D is near the trendline.
Will we see a bounce right of the trendline? If so we could get the altseason we all are waiting for. However due too the massive growth in the number of altcoins and the many rugpulls in the meme sector and even liquidations as in CRYPTOCAP:OM for example, we could be in for a complete other scenario.
BTC could also keep the higher levels of dominance due to new ETF inflows and reserves by country's and the negative new in the alts. FUD could build up on the alts. So will we see an alt season in that case.... Even CRYPTOCAP:ETH is dropping so low.....
If we will see an altseason it will be different. Other bullruns there were just a few hundred altcoins so it was easy to pump them all. New we have milions of coins and the money supply is limmited. The inflows in BTC are stuck there in ETF's and reserves... So that looks nice but it won't flow back into alts in my opinion.
So what can we expect from the so called altseason.... Well i believe we will see rotation from narrative to narrative. The mass (retail) will first jump on the train with trading the pairs they know. In taht case we will see the first pumps in the bigger MEME's and DINO coins (coins that have survived several bullrun cycles like XRP, LTC, ADA, ETH, BNB, LINK).
Why DINO coins will pump? Because retail knows these coins and all the new coins are just too many to deal with. They just won't understand. Off course we will see projects like SOL, SUI, HBAR, ATH and several others pump with the coins but not every coin has the same visibility.
After these two narratives the rest could follow. A few a quite certain. Like AI, RWA, DeFi and a few others. But also in these narratives it will be cherry picking the good and proven projects.
So choose your darlings with care and don't mary your coins! All alts will drop 90% in the bearmarket!
Bitcoin Dominance
Dominance, after making the higher high talked about in the sessions and the previous update, has now established some bearish confluences on the daily chart. Some of those are bearish SFP, the parabolic chart price action, establishing a bearish divergence on the this chart as well, which will be confirmed if we got a red candle close(It'd be better if today's candle be red).
Let's just wait and see whether we do get a close or no, continuation of which will effect positively on alts.
Worries about BTC Dominance for your Alts? Bitcoin Dominance Is Very Close to a Downtrend – Altcoin Season Is Near
Bitcoin dominance is likely to enter a downtrend soon—because no uptrend lasts forever. This shift may occur within just a few weeks. As you can see in our current Scenario1
, Bitcoin dominance might sweep its previous high and reverse from there. However, if a daily candle closes above the previous high, then we move into Scenario 2.
In Scenario 2 , we look toward the 0.786 Fibonacci level, which is known as a strong retracement zone. Whenever price reaches this level, it typically experiences a significant pullback or even starts a new downtrend. This gives us two strong confluences already.
The third major confluence is that on the weekly timeframe, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is consistently showing bearish divergence—which is often a clear signal that a reversal is near.
Fourth confluence 21 EMA is getting close on 1W Time frame breaking 21 Ema can trigger a downtrend for BTC dominance.
Don't lose hope.
In short, Bitcoin dominance is close to reversing, and you just need to be a little more patient. The altcoin season you’ve been waiting for is coming soon.
If you’ve made it this far—after so much pain, so many difficulties, and countless moments of doubt—then hold on just a little longer. Success is near, and your patience will soon be rewarded.
Comment if you like my work and free premium updates like this and follow me to save yourself from losses and being on the wrong side.
Your comment motivates me
BTC Dominance Nearing Breaking Point – What It Means for Alts🚨📈 BTC Dominance Nearing Breaking Point – What It Means for Alts ⚠️🧩
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is climbing — and fast. As of now, we're at 64.13% , officially in the “ Bad for Alts ” zone. Historically, this level has meant one thing for altcoins: trouble ahead . But what if we go further?
🔵 The chart tells the full story:
Above 73% dominance, we're not just bad — it's disaster territory for altcoins.
The biggest alt bull runs in history started when BTC dominance reversed from these high levels .
But now? We're riding a rising channel with no sign of slowing, and a potential peak at 71.34% could be next.
📉 If dominance hits that upper wedge, altcoins may face an extinction-level drawdown — especially if meme coins, scams, and greedy behavior continue to dominate the space.
🧠 As the chart says:
“The END of Alts would be back here…” (not a valid scenario in my opinion but it exists)
Unless fundamentals and real utility make a comeback, we may be heading for a cleansing phase — where only the strongest survive . And that's Bitcoin only.
🔎 Key Zones:
>73% = 🚫 Disaster for Alts
64–73% = ❌ Bad for Alts
54–62% = ⚖️ Neutral / Good for select alts
<45% = ✅ Historically Great for Altcoins
💬 What do you think? Is this a final dominance pump before reversal? Or are we witnessing the long-awaited re-centralization of crypto around BTC?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Bitcoin dominance is aiming to hit FIb 1.141 - Alt Season when ?Currently bitcoin dominance is around 64% and about to hit Fib 1 which is the previous high 64.34%.
We can expect bitcoin to breach this previous high easily and head towards the next resistance around the fib value 1.414. This is a strong resistance and if dominance breaks this value then next target is 70% is which around the high value achieve during the 2020 bear run.
I'm expecting dominance to reverse around 1.414 and altseason will start once dominance starts dropping.
Cheers!
GreenCrypto