[UPDATE BTC.D] RANGE ?? 69-46-88??We either going to front run (red scenario) or go for a last crash end of Q2 then up only until the end of the year/beginning of Q1 2026. Then down until the end of the decade.
BTC.D trade ideas
Altseason delayed ?Altseason to start on Semptember of 2025.
When you look at the history it shows that from the lowest point of dominance in 2018 to the heighest point in 2020 december it took 1096 days.
Now the lowest point of dominace for this upcoming bull run was in september 2022 and 1096 days will be in september 2025.
Until then you can accumulate usdt and buy your favorite altcoins.
See you in 2026.
BTC dominance hinting at one last push?Hello everyone
We all are looking for a way how the BTC dominance can go down to 40% area. If we somehow can predict it correctly then we can make some money in the process.
Here is a (maybe not so) wild idea for medium term.
We are on a weekly chart.
Let's check some facts first:
- Stoch RSI is currently high (near 100).
- RSI is at 68
- Chart is making a new higher high - keep in mind previous dominance high (Feb 3rd) was a result of a flash crash of the market so I am referring to previous high as Nov 18th
So we are witnessing a bearish divergence (RSI making lower highs while chart is making higher highs). Hence drop in BTC dominance should just be a matter of time.
What if the universe aligns and following happens:
We are in economically unstable times. Markets are volatile, politicians are unpredictable so further drop in Crypto space is not impossible. BTC drops less then ALTs, BTC dominance reaches top somewhere between now and 67-68% area. In the meantime traditional markets also crash some more. After that the economic situation stabilises, we get Quantitative Easing and this drives price of ETH up, followed by other ALTs.
For reference: ETHBTC has reached strong support between 0.002300 and 0.001700 Satoshi, RSI is at 24 (same level as Sept 2019 when ETHBTC was at a longterm low).
This scenario would ignite Altseason, bringing BTC dominance down for a reset and start of a new cycle.
There are other bearish scenarios as well, keep that in mind. So trade safe and smart.
I am not predicting any of this, I am not even mentioning any possibilities for this to happen. I am just giving you some food for thought.
Good luck!
BITCOIN Dominance - BTC.DBitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency originally described in a 2008 whitepaper by a person, or group of people, using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto. It was launched soon after, in January 2009.
TradeCityPro | BTC.D: Predicting Alt Seasons with Bitcoin Domina👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to discuss an important crypto index that can significantly impact our trading, known as BTC.D. First, I'll provide some explanations for those unfamiliar with this index, and then we'll dive into the analysis.
🤔 What is Bitcoin Dominance?
Bitcoin Dominance is a major indicator in the crypto market. It does not directly represent supply and demand and is not tradable; the chart you see is calculated by TradingView and does not exist physically.
⚡️ This index represents the strength of Bitcoin in the crypto market. It shows the amount of money in Bitcoin divided by the total money in the crypto market.
100x(Bitcoin MarketCap / Total MarketCap) = Bitcoin Dominance
✔️ For example, if the total money in crypto is 1 trillion dollars and 500 billion dollars of that is in Bitcoin, then Bitcoin's dominance would be 50%.
✔️ Or, if the total money in crypto is 1 trillion dollars and 300 billion dollars of that is in Bitcoin, then Bitcoin's dominance would be 30%.
Now that we know what Bitcoin dominance is and how it is calculated, let's see how it can help us in trading and where it can be useful.
🤔 How is Bitcoin Dominance useful?
When we trade, we often encounter situations where both Bitcoin and an altcoin (for example, Ethereum) are triggered simultaneously according to our strategy. There are several ways we can open positions in these situations. Some open positions simultaneously on both, increasing the risk of the trade and doubling the potential loss if the market moves against us. Others may randomly choose between the two positions, which could result in taking a position on Bitcoin and hitting a stop-loss while Ethereum moves towards your target. But how can we determine which one is likely to be more profitable?
🔹 As mentioned, Bitcoin dominance indicates the strength of Bitcoin relative to the rest of the market, and there are three scenarios to consider for its analysis.
📈 In the first scenario, if the market is bullish, Bitcoin dominance can be bullish, bearish, or range-bound. If Bitcoin dominance is bullish, it means more money is entering Bitcoin, so if both Bitcoin and Ethereum are triggered simultaneously, Bitcoin is likely to rise more than Ethereum. If Bitcoin dominance is bearish, less money is entering Bitcoin relative to altcoins, so altcoins like Ethereum are likely to rise more. If Bitcoin dominance is range-bound, we analyze the market candle by candle and pay more attention to short-term momentum, deciding based on the current trend of Bitcoin dominance.
📉 In the second scenario, if the market is bearish, Bitcoin dominance can again be bullish, bearish, or range-bound.
✔️ Before explaining this scenario, let me tell you how it's possible for the market to be bearish while Bitcoin dominance increases even though Bitcoin's price is also falling. As I mentioned, Bitcoin dominance is a ratio and is shown in percentage terms, so if the market is crashing, it might be that Bitcoin is selling less than altcoins. For example, Bitcoin might sell for 10 million dollars and altcoins for 20 million dollars. Even though Bitcoin is being sold and its price is falling, it is being sold less than altcoins, so its dominance increases.
🔹 Now, let's examine the second scenario. If Bitcoin dominance is bullish, less Bitcoin is being sold compared to altcoins, so altcoins like Ethereum will have a greater drop and are better for short positions. If Bitcoin dominance is bearish, Bitcoin is being sold more than altcoins, so a short position on Bitcoin would be more suitable. Lastly, if Bitcoin dominance is range-bound, like in the first scenario, we analyze candle by candle and focus on short-term momentum.
📊 In the third scenario, if the market is range-bound, I first suggest not opening any positions because many strategies do not work well in range-bound markets, and it's better to wait for a breakout of the range's floor or ceiling before opening a position. However, if you do decide to open a position in this phase, short positions fall under the second scenario, and long positions fall under the first.
⭐ So, with Bitcoin dominance, we can optimize the positions we open and choose the best option between Bitcoin and the selected altcoin. If we look at Bitcoin dominance in higher time frames and not just as a confirmation for futures positions in lower time frames, we can identify alt seasons.
🤔 How to identify alt seasons and alt parties with Bitcoin Dominance?
So far, we've seen how dominance in different states and positions can help us in trading. Now, if we analyze Bitcoin dominance over a longer term, we can determine whether the money in the market will move more towards altcoins or Bitcoin in the coming weeks or months.
✔️ For example, if Bitcoin dominance is bullish in the weekly time frame and has a strong upward trend, naturally, more money will enter Bitcoin over time, making Bitcoin a better investment than altcoins. However, if Bitcoin dominance undergoes a correction for a few days or weeks during this bullish trend, altcoins can experience significant growth during that short time frame, which we call an alt party.
💥 On the other hand, if Bitcoin dominance completely changes trend and is bearish for several weeks or months, altcoins will naturally grow much more and will be a better investment option until Bitcoin dominance turns bullish again, which we call an alt season.
🔹 An important note about alt seasons is that Bitcoin's trend during this time must be bullish or range-bound; if Bitcoin is bearish, neither an alt season nor an alt party will occur. So, be sure to first understand the overall market trend using indicators like Total and Total2, and then look for an alt party.
Now that we've examined how this index works, let's move on to a technical analysis of the chart.
📅 Monthly Time Frame
As you can see in the monthly time frame, Bitcoin dominance had a very long range above the 95% area between 2015-2017, which was because the crypto market was still very small at that time, and many investors thought it was a scam. Thus, if anyone wanted to invest in crypto, they only bought Bitcoin.
✨ But in 2017, during Bitcoin's bull run when it reached the 20k ceiling, altcoins also entered the game, and Bitcoin dominance began to fall, spreading the crypto money among other coins. This downward movement continued down to the 40% area, and after it consolidated around this area, Bitcoin dominance started rising again, correcting the severe downturn it had experienced.
🔍 At the start of the next bull run in late 2020, Bitcoin dominance reached its peak and formed a range between 57.13 and 71.04 until the end of the bull run. After Bitcoin's bull run, in the second leg when the price moved towards the 69k area, Bitcoin dominance broke the 57.13 support and moved down to the 40% support, leading to a major alt season.
🎲 In early 2023, coinciding with the start of Bitcoin's bullish trend from the 16k bottom, Bitcoin dominance broke the 47.80 area, which was the ceiling of its box, and its upward movement restarted. Currently, Bitcoin dominance has also broken the 57.13 area and is near 64%. As long as Bitcoin dominance remains bullish, Bitcoin will still be a better buy, and altcoins will not be able to grow significantly.
💥 If Bitcoin dominance finally confirms a trend change and turns bearish, if Bitcoin's trend remains bullish, we will witness another major alt season like in 2021. For now, we confirm the change in trend in Bitcoin dominance on the monthly chart by breaking 57.13, and for a better and more accurate analysis, it's better to move on to the weekly time frame.
📅 Weekly Time Frame
In the weekly time frame, after breaking the 47.46 area, an ascending trend has formed within an ascending channel, and the price has been in this channel for about two years.
🧩 The next resistance for Bitcoin dominance is 65.59, which it is moving towards, and the main ceiling for Bitcoin dominance is 71.04. If the upward trend continues, more money will enter Bitcoin, and altcoins will not be good investment options.
🔽 For a trend change and a bearish turn in Bitcoin dominance, breaking the 60.50 area is suitable, and if Bitcoin dominance records lower highs and lows below this area, we will confirm the trend change. Breaking the channel will also be one of the most important confirmations.
📅 Daily Time Frame
In the daily time frame, we can analyze the price movement with more detail.
💫 Currently, the 62.23 area has been broken, and Bitcoin dominance is performing another bullish leg, having reached the channel ceiling. If the channel ceiling breaks, we can expect a move to the 65.59 area.
📉 For a trend change in this time frame, it's better to wait for the channel to break, but besides the channel, the 62.23 and 60.50 areas are also significant, and breaking them will confirm it.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
BTC DOMINANCE is fading - the altcoin wave is coming (3D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
First of all, you should know that the time frame is large. the 3-day chart which means altcoins could remain bullish for 1 to 3 months. We should be looking for buy/long positions on altcoins that have strong setups.
We expect a drop from the red zone or even from the current price to complete wave f of this diametric pattern.
Targets have been marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Trump’s Tariffs & the Silent Setup — Why This Could Be Bigger ?Hello Traders 🐺
I hope you enjoyed yesterday’s Black Monday 😂 because honestly, it was brutal for all investors.
But corrections like this are always necessary — and I want to talk about that in this idea with a bit more detail.
Also, I’ll update you on the current situation of BTC.D, because as I told you in my last update, the market is about to create a bear trap on the BTC.D chart.
I already shared the proof for this prediction before the dump — you can check it here:
So now, let’s talk about the economic reason behind the dump, and then I’ll go over the technical side of the chart.
This idea I’ll explain how we can use macroeconomic data in our trading decisions.
So make sure to read it carefully and see how you can apply it to your strategy ✅
Do deep corrections always mean danger?
Not necessarily.
Let’s go back and remember some of the biggest crashes in financial history —
The COVID dump or even the famous Black Monday.
If you ask yourself now, “What was the smartest move back then?”
You’ll probably say:
Buy. Accumulate. Because that was the bottom — and we never saw those prices again.
And guess what?
The current state of the market is no different.
So why do I believe Trump’s new tariff policy could actually be bullish?
Let me break it down simply for you:
🔥 The Tariff War: Why it started
For years, most countries had easy access to the U.S. consumer market — the largest in the world — with little or no tariffs.
But U.S. manufacturers didn’t enjoy the same freedom when exporting abroad — they faced heavy tariffs, while also struggling with intense competition inside their own borders due to lack of import restrictions.
So what happened?
✅ The new tariffs brought two key benefits:
1️⃣ Forced negotiations:
Other countries now have to either remove or reduce their own export tariffs to keep trading with the U.S.,
or else they lose access to a market that’s extremely consumption-driven.
2️⃣ Advantage to U.S. domestic production:
If foreign exporters lose access, U.S. producers finally get room to breathe,
and can grow competitively inside their own market.
💰 What happened after tariff fears hit?
In the past month, markets reacted with fear.
A massive amount of capital flew out of financial markets and inflation-hedged assets,
the dollar strengthened, and recession fears grew.
But here’s the twist...
What if Trump had started printing money before this shakeout?
If liquidity was still high, printing more would’ve:
Crushed the dollar
Destroyed consumer buying power
Sparked inflation again
But right now, after money has already been squeezed out of markets and the dollar is strong,
the Fed has a clean path to restart QE (quantitative easing) without tanking the dollar’s value.
So what's next?
Lower interest rates, stimulus packages, subsidies — all will likely come soon.
This time, Trump can inject liquidity exactly where he wants it to go:
Straight into U.S. industry, not into meme coins and junk assets.
With fewer export tariffs, American factories will be more competitive,
U.S. exports could rise, and the country will rely less on foreign production.
And what does this mean for the markets?
Simple.
Once the Fed pivots back to easing, markets will react violently to the upside.
So, as I always say:
Don’t waste this opportunity. Use these prices wisely.
now let's come back into the chart :
As I told you before , BTC.D now is testing the blue monthly resistance line and also hit the rising wedge upward resistance line and in my opinion there is a big chance to see a massive bull market incoming...
I hope you find this idea valuable and as always remember :
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
100 next bitcoin dominance movementtime coms to make a choice drop from her to altseason or wait for second line but alt session is no skippable
_Bitcoin Dominance Update
Bitcoin Dominance is now rejecting on our PBr2 panda fam, This is a good news for altcoins confluence since our altcoins is bleeding massively since the Tariff thing same time Dominance is on super bullish ⚡️
You can also see on recent movement from Feb 3 Daily candlestick we printed a strong exhaustion of candle in that range area. 👀
As long as Bitcoin Dominance is staying below PBr2 still altcoins have a chance to recover, Possible target for Dominance to drop at PBr1 below range 61.77% - 61.57% 🎯
Stay cool don't rush and keep bagging every drop sa market panda fam, Don't be part of those traders na saka na mag paplano mag bag pag nag pump na ulit ang mga altcoins. ☝🏻
Will alts ever see relief.?This is really testing people’s patience as it continues to truck on up. Bullish until proven otherwise.
We all knows what happens when it tanks just be sure to take profits.
BITCOIN DOMINANCE we hit the peak of of dominance in bullrunThe dominance is rising in a channel recently we saw A new touch on Upper trend line in my opinion Maximum We see a fake out on the trend line and then the dominance is going to drop. This is the point when ALT COINS Are going to blow up You have to hold with strong hands and don’t be panic.
BTC DominanceWait dor the daily closure to print bearish candle with 93 score, if its printed the same way, we will se a short to mid term rally in ALTS.
NOT ALL ALT COUNS GONNA RALLY
Choose wisely
NFA
DYOR
XRP could flip Bitcoin again at the end of this cycle around Sepothers.d is ready to bounce after 5 red monthly candles. Just like December 2016.
while Bitcoin Dominance looks like this under Trump 2.0 trolling the economy on a much grander scale while XRP has already given us a tease of what's to come this cycle reaching a historic new ATH. And tether on the other hand, unstoppable! They are about to print so much money they could at some point flip Ethereum while Ethereum finally goes home.
Imagine if XRP and tether flip Bitcoin together (relax! it wouldn't be the 1st time. XRP did in Jan 2018 if only for a moment)
Looks promising now that Europe offered 0 to 0 tariffs. 1929 scenario could take years since dedollarization takes years to develop. (it's not going to happen overnight.)
Spring is finally here. Buy others like VeChain (the next xrp this cycle)
BTC.D( based on NEo wave)Bitcoin dominance is too messy for counting but I just count 2 time frames and I find out there is a little bearish wave on the way but breaking 62% confirms this.
if it happens good bullish wave can make eth over 4K
BTC.DThe Bitcoin dominance is currently at this level, and we might see higher targets. I don't anticipate a decline in Bitcoin's value. Please share your thoughts in the comments.
Btc.dHello, I have left you the analysis of btc.d, which promises the start of the alt season. I hope you will use it.
Be Very Careful crypto Traders BCTD will go upBTC.D will go back up to 63.59% so if i were anyone who trades crypto i'll hold my usdt until then its a must tha btc.d go back up before diving down be careful
BTC dominance will stay high and maybe go higher! last 2 monthly candles closed pointing at revisiting last high and I that's about to happen as bitcoin dominance is ~2% from last wick's top. Break 64.4% and it can go from 65.5 to 69%. Meaning altcoins will probably bleed bad! Wait for bottom and buy crypto!
Monthly chart confirms
BTC.D Breakdown here, alt recovery soon?BTC.D Breakdown here, alt recovery soon or will we follow BTC down to valhalla? Is it unhealthy for me to use fibs on everything?
BTC dominance I thought BTC .D would have went down by now
Definitely was wrong
Last week.
I can’t make sense of it but dominance I on a steady path!
Just not slowing down at all
Hopefully for some change because
It hasn’t seen a real turn around since November-December that was all the pump it had.
Really that’s the only significant drop it has since it bottom a few years ago.
Alts need some kinda relief.
If that doesn’t come soon.
Much more pain will be here to stay.
Bitcoin Dominance at a Crossroads – Big Move Ahead?🚀 BTC.D 4H Update!
📊 Market Structure Signals:
🔹 Falling Wedge breakout confirmed—BTC dominance spiked!
🔹 Ascending Channel breakdown—key support under pressure.
🔹 Symmetrical Triangle tightening—volatility loading!
⚡ What’s Next?
📈 If BTC.D surges higher, altcoins may struggle as capital flows into BTC.
📉 A BTC.D drop could spark an altcoin rally as funds rotate into alts!
🚨 The triangle breakout will decide the trend—stay ready! 👀🔥
Dominance getting weakerChart getting weaker, looks like that Alts will make a bigger push then Bitcoin in the coming pump
I show my expectations for BTC.DThe asset will reach the target of 71.8%, which is the final peak before the reversal.
(Not an investment recommendation)
