Bitcoin Dominance Pumping , Is the Altcoin Market in Trouble ?Bitcoin dominance has broken a significant resistance level, signaling a shift in market dynamics. The previous double top formation has completely failed, and dominance is now sustaining above the prior highs. This development has bearish implications for altcoins, as Bitcoin's growing market share typically leads to capital outflows from the altcoin sector.
Key Points on the Chart
Double Top Failure & Breakout Confirmation
The market was previously forming a double top pattern, a classic reversal setup that often signals a potential decline.
However, BTC dominance not only broke the double top resistance but has held above it for multiple days, confirming bullish continuation.
A failed double top often results in a strong move upward, as short-sellers covering their positions add to the momentum.
Ascending Channel Structure
The chart shows BTC dominance moving within a rising wedge/ascending channel formation.
The breakout above the mid-channel resistance suggests an acceleration in trend strength, increasing the likelihood of BTC dominance rising further. As long as dominance stays within this structure, Bitcoin will likely outperform the altcoin market.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
56.44% level was a major resistance in the past and is now a confirmed support zone.
61.91% (current level) marks the breakout region, now acting as new support.
If dominance continues its uptrend, the next potential resistance area could be 66%–68%, marking the upper boundary of the trend.
Impact on Altcoins
Altcoin Weakness Likely to Continue
Historically, when BTC dominance increases, altcoins tend to bleed as capital rotates toward Bitcoin. Many altcoins may struggle to gain momentum unless BTC dominance reverses from this region.
Conditions for Altcoin Recovery
For altcoins to regain strength, BTC dominance must decline from this breakout zone.
A rejection from the upper trendline (~64%–66%) could create a temporary relief rally in altcoins.
Altcoin Seasonal Trends
Typically, altcoins start recovering once BTC dominance peaks and shows weakness.
Until then, Bitcoin remains the safer bet, while altcoins carry higher risk.
Trading Considerations & Strategy
For BTC holders: The breakout suggests strong dominance continuation, meaning Bitcoin may remain the best-performing asset in the short term.
For altcoin traders: Monitor Bitcoin dominance closely a drop back below 60% would be the first sign of relief for altcoins.
For market timing: If BTC dominance approaches 64%–66%, a potential rejection could provide entry points for altcoins.
Bitcoin dominance has broken a crucial structure, signaling altcoin weakness and Bitcoin strength. Until BTC dominance reverses or consolidates, altcoins may struggle to gain momentum. Watch the 64%–66% zone for signs of exhaustion if BTC dominance starts rejecting from there, it could mark the beginning of an altcoin resurgence.
BTC.D trade ideas
The Exact Target When Altseason Will Be Started Revealed!Hello, Skyrexians!
Recently we have already made analysis on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D where pointed out that this Bitcoin season finally is about to end. Today we share with you our precise analysis of last dominance growth to understand when there is going to be the final reversal.
Let's take a look at 12 hours time frame. Here we can see that Elliott waves structure. It has pumped to the wave 3 target at 1.61 Fibonacci and then retraced in the wave 4. We expect consolidation between 61% and 62% for some time before the final growth in the wave 5. This wave will be finished approximately at 65%. The red dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator and the bearish divergence with Awesome Oscillator are going to be the reversal confirmation factors.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Altcoin Season 2025 Hello, traders 🐺
I hope you have been doing well over the past few months, enjoying the BTC season, and making significant gains on your BTC holdings. But now, as I predicted a few weeks ago , we are already at the top of the BTC.D percentage, and it's time for a correction, which will obviously lead to the Altcoin season.
So, make sure to read this idea until the end and follow me for upcoming updates!
As you might know, when BTC price starts to rise, the flow of money is usually much higher into BTC than into altcoins—even ETH itself. This naturally causes an increase in the BTC.D percentage, so it's no surprise to see BTC outperforming other coins.
However, this isn't the end of the story! If you understand the exact order of the bull cycle scenario, after a major shakeout in altcoins, we will see a top in BTC.D , which, in my opinion, is the best entry point for altcoins.
Right now, ETH itself is relatively cheap against BTC, which is a clear indication of the beginning of the altcoin season. So, after this idea, I will publish an analysis on ETH and reveal my price targets, which are absolutely insane and will blow your mind!
BTC.DI was wrong about the bottom on /BTC pairs.
The ability of whomever took the title "Spoofy" back in 2017 to flush these markets is greater than anticipated. Expecting blood in the streets before the bottom is in, followed by a major bounce.
Should be serious tumult in the markets in the days ahead.
BTC.D Analysis:
🔸 Current Situation:
BTC Dominance (BTC.D) is trading at 61.58% and has reached a key resistance zone.
🔸 Key Support Zone:
If BTC.D faces rejection, the first strong support is around 60.00%.
🔸 Risk and Uncertainty:
If the 60% support fails, BTC.D could decline further toward 58%.
A strong BTC dominance usually puts pressure on Altcoins.
We'll keep updating if any major directional change occurs!
🐺 big dump before the altcoin season ? 🐺Hello my friend ! 🐺
Today I open up the chart and see something not honestly good for the market especially for altcoins but why ?
As you can see in the chart , we have ascending triangle which is a bullish pattern but bullish for the BTC.D and bearish for the altcoins and total crypto market , in this special case I can say if BTC.D break above the resistance line , we would defiantly see a massive dump in the altcoin and for the BTC itself we have 3 choices :
first one ; BTC rise and altcoins just playing around and don't move or small pump
secondly we could see a dump in a altcoin market itself
and the last option is a worse one ; we could expect a massive dump in the altcoins and BTC both ; in my opinion this is a possible because if we look back into the history of the BTC , we can see a significant dump before every BTC halving .
Have nice trades my friends ! 🐺
BTC Dominance: Correction or Final Impulse? Key Levels to Watch!Base Scenario:
The development of an expanded flat correction is expected. However, confirmation is required:
A 3D and weekly candle close below the 61.53 pivot.
Formation of a downward impulse structure, signaling the start of a full correction.
At this point, no aggressive drop in CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D below 50% is observed. Within this type of correction, the maximum target range for a decline is 51-52%.
Alternative Scenario:
Continuation of impulse growth within the 5th wave of BTC dominance. In this case, BTC will continue strengthening against the market, invalidating the corrective structure.
A key confirmation signal would be a 3D/weekly candle close below 61.53 and the formation of a downward impulse. For now, the correction scenario remains speculative, while BTC Dominance holds strong levels.
Timing the End of the Altcoin Bull MarketHello,
BTC dominance is currently around 55%. From my analysis, the altcoin bull market typically ends when BTC dominance drops to the 47%-40% range. At that point, it’s wise to prepare for selling altcoins, while also monitoring the total market cap for signs of a decline. For now, the bull market remains active.
As always, remember to stick to risk management.
BR,
BTC dominance .... Bitcoin: The King, But Not Everything!Crypto is More Than Just Bitcoin; Just Like Automobiles Are More Than One Brand!
In the world of digital currencies, many newcomers have only heard of "Bitcoin" and assume that the entire crypto market revolves around it. However, just as the automobile industry is not limited to a single brand, the crypto world is also filled with innovative projects and diverse digital assets, each with its own unique applications and features.
Bitcoin: The King, But Not Everything!
Bitcoin is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. It is considered digital gold and serves as a store of value. But that's not the whole story! If we compare Bitcoin to brands like "Ferrari" or "Lamborghini," which are luxurious and powerful, other cryptocurrencies can be likened to different car brands, each with its own unique functionalities and purposes.
Altcoins: The Major Players in the Crypto World
Ethereum (ETH): If Bitcoin is Ferrari, Ethereum is like Tesla—a platform that has paved a new path in blockchain technology. Smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps) run on its network.
Polkadot (DOT): Polkadot is like a versatile car, such as the BMW X5, allowing interoperability between different blockchain networks and enhancing cross-chain communication.
Chainlink (LINK): Chainlink is akin to a secure and smart car like Volvo, acting as an oracle in the blockchain space, connecting real-world data to smart contracts.
Solana (SOL): This cryptocurrency is like a sports car, such as Porsche—fast, scalable, and with low fees, making it highly popular among developers.
Cardano (ADA): Cardano can be compared to Toyota or Honda—stable, secure, and equipped with innovative technologies aiming to solve blockchain scalability issues.
Is Altseason Coming?
Altseason is a term referring to a period in the crypto market where altcoins (cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin) experience significant growth. This typically happens after Bitcoin stabilizes or when investors feel that Bitcoin has reached a short-term price peak.
Some signs of an approaching altseason include:
Bitcoin dominance rising and then declining (indicating a shift of capital from Bitcoin to altcoins)
Explosive growth in certain altcoins, signaling increased investor interest in alternative projects
Improved macroeconomic conditions and increased liquidity in the market
Just as the automotive world is not dominated by a single brand, the crypto market extends beyond Bitcoin. Major projects like Ethereum, Cardano, Solana, Polkadot, Chainlink, and many others offer diverse use cases worth exploring and investing in. Given current market indicators, we may soon witness a powerful altseason where altcoins experience substantial growth. Therefore, it's essential to look beyond Bitcoin and view the market from a broader perspective!
good luck
BITCOIN DOMINANCE AT RESISTANCEBitcoin dominance is currently testing a critical resistance level near 61.5%, with multiple wicks poking above but no decisive breakout as of yet. While it's worth noting that Bitcoin dominance isn't a tradeable metric—there are no orders on the books—it can still serve as a valuable sentiment indicator for the broader crypto market, particularly in gauging the relative strength of altcoins versus Bitcoin.
Historically, dominance at resistance often signals a potential pause or reversal, suggesting that Bitcoin's outperformance against altcoins may face some challenges here. However, a confirmed breakout above this level could indicate further liquidity flowing into Bitcoin at the expense of altcoins. Traders should watch for either a strong rejection or a sustained breakout to glean insights into the next potential trend for altcoins in relation to Bitcoin.
Bitcoin dominance soon about to dropBitcoin dominance and (eth/btc) have been playing with us for more than a year.
We have been chasing the altseason but it did not occur.
Soon this has to breakdown and reward those who are patient.
Starting from march we will see some gains in altcoins .
Most likely in next 3 months we will witness the altseason (march,april,may).
BTC.D Capitulation Liquidation candle. Bitcoin's price hovers around $97,000 on Wednesday, following a 3.5% drop the day before. David Sacks, President Trump’s crypto czar, has announced plans to assess a Bitcoin Reserve. Meanwhile, traders on the Bitcoin CME are adopting a cautious stance, advising investors to steer clear of leverage at all costs. As uncertainty and volatility rise in the wake of Trump’s supportive crypto regulations, the potential for a Bitcoin reserve is emerging, yet the market remains turbulent due to tariffs and broader economic challenges.
Additionally, Bitcoin is bracing for fluctuations as FTX prepares to start repaying creditors on February 18. The beleaguered exchange, which filed for bankruptcy in November 2022 with debts estimated at $11.2 billion, is set to disburse payouts that could reach up to $16.5 billion. To facilitate this, FTX is actively selling assets and investments in tech companies. This development is pivotal for those impacted by the FTX collapse, sparking significant interest within the cryptocurrency community.
In 2018 and 2019, the BTC.D chart faced rejections from the 60% resistance zone during the bearish years that followed the explosive bull run of 2017.
Now, we find ourselves in a different scenario, with a retest happening in a bull run year post-halvening. While it’s too early to declare the end of the rally, the usual indicators for a BTC bull peak have yet to signal a positive trend.
From a technical standpoint, BTC.D has the potential to climb to 63.84% and possibly reach as high as 72.5%. This development could spell great news for Bitcoin while casting a shadow over the altcoin market.
This shift might be driven by consistent demand from ETFs and institutional investors for Bitcoin, leaving altcoins in the dust until later in the year.
However, some speculators believe that the recent liquidations over the weekend may have drained enough leverage, allowing altcoins to begin their recovery and, at long last, outshine Bitcoin. We await the unfolding drama with eager anticipation.
DOMINANCE - the manipulation!The weekly chart clearly shows a confirmed breakdown of the rising wedge pattern.
Everyone was waiting for a retest to buy in, expecting dominance to drop and altcoins to rally—but that never happened.
Why?
Because when everyone expects a move, the market does the opposite.
What actually happened?
-The market shocked everyone with a parabolic dominance surge to 64%.
-Over $182 billion was drained from the market in just two days.
-Altcoins suffered a brutal crash, with some dropping over 50%.
-Most assets hit extreme lows, forcing mass panic selling at heavy losses—which we predicted a week in advance.
-A sharp altcoin rebound happened the same day, while dominance dropped from 64% to 61%, stabilizing at this level.
What’s next?
The rising wedge pattern is still in play, but its targets won’t be hit without manipulation.
I expect heavy market manipulation in the coming days, with dominance fluctuating between 60% and 63%, designed to drain traders’ portfolios—especially futures traders.
The expected price action is outlined in this chart. Take a look, and you'll clearly see how manipulation operates in this market.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
Final Shakeout? BTC Dominance Rejection Signals Market Shift!The Bitcoin Dominance Chart suggests a major shakeout, potentially signaling the beginning of a significant market shift.
After reaching the upper boundary of an ascending wedge, dominance has sharply rejected from key resistance, leading to a breakdown.