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BTC.D trade ideas

BTC Dominance on the Brink: Is the Altseason Storm Brewing? The CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart is painting an intriguing picture. We've just completed a fully formed 12-day motive wave (impulse). Such impulses rarely stand alone — they're typically part of a larger structure. This one seems to be shaping up into a zigzag pattern. The probability of a further decline in BTC dominance is very high. We're likely to see another comparable or even more extended impulse down into the 51-48% range. In an optimistic scenario, this decline represents the third wave, followed by a consolidation and another downward push in a potential fifth wave. If this plays out, we could be looking at an epic and prolonged altseason ahead. But for now, these are just projections. The key level to watch is 50% BTC.D. Once we hit that, we'll have clearer signals for the market's next moves. Stay vigilant — the altseason narrative might be just around the corner! Shaka
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by shakatrade1_618
8
Market Dominance Analysis–Bullish for Altcoins, Caution AdvisedKey Observations: Dominance Rejection: The market dominance faced a strong rejection after reaching the 58% level, aligning with key resistance at the 7 and 21-day EMAs. This suggests a bullish signal for altcoins, as the dominance pullback indicates a potential shift in momentum away from Bitcoin. Bullish Shift for Altcoins: Altcoins are positioned to benefit from this shift, especially if dominance continues to weaken. The key support for dominance lies around the 200-day EMA, and if dominance closes this week below this level, further bullish potential for altcoins could unfold. Key Levels to Monitor: Resistance for Dominance: Should dominance attempt to rise again, watch for potential resistance at 54.5% and 53% levels. These could act as key turning points, marking possible take-profit (TP) zones for altcoins as dominance struggles to break higher. Strategy for Altcoins: Cautious Optimism: While the rejection of dominance is a bullish signal, altcoins should remain cautious of dips into the danger zones around 54.5% and 53% dominance, which could pose resistance. Target Zones: The shift in momentum suggests potential for continued altcoin strength, with dominance weakening if the candle close remains under the 200-day EMA. Conclusion: The recent rejection of dominance is a strong bullish sign for altcoins, but traders should keep a close eye on the danger zones around the 54.5% and 53% dominance levels. If dominance fails to reclaim these areas, altcoins could continue to see further gains.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Richtv_official
BTC.D ChartBTC.D broken down its ascending channel and is currently having a pullback to the previous support acting as a resistance now. 2Days and 13hrs remaining till we get the candle closed and if it stays like this I think it will continue the path shown in the chart in the following weeks and months which will lead to a huge alt season. So pack your bags and load your alt coins if we get any correction from BTC and the market. It can be out very last chances on buying low before we fly high with this mega cycle. Buy the dips and thank me later. DYOR Goodluck
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Arisha_Najjaran
INCOMING MEGA ALTS SEASON?!A Mega Altseason refers to a period in the cryptocurrency market when alternative coins (altcoins) outperform Bitcoin (BTC) significantly, often delivering exponential gains. Below are key insights: Characteristics of a Mega Altseason: Significant dominance drop in Bitcoin (BTC Dominance). Explosive price movements in mid-cap and low-cap altcoins. Increased retail and institutional interest in speculative altcoins. Market Conditions Favoring Altseason: BTC consolidates or moves sideways after a strong rally. High liquidity and bullish sentiment across the crypto market. Breakout of established altcoin market indices. Strategies During Mega Altseason: Diversify: Focus on strong fundamental altcoins alongside speculative picks. Monitor trends: Follow narratives (e.g., AI, gaming, DeFi, Layer-2). Set targets: Lock in profits at pre-defined levels to mitigate risk. Cautions: Extreme volatility: Gains can reverse quickly. Beware of scams and low-liquidity tokens. Keep track of Bitcoin's price action as it can impact altcoin momentum.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by anonycoin
5
Can we consider this a retest?In my last post on bitcoin dominance I noted that for the first time in a year and a half we had broken our wedge to the downside. This was hugely bullish for altcoins and indeed, we saw some massive pumps occurring in the space. But I also cautioned that we could reverse and head back up to retest the underside of our wedge. This is a classic technical move. I call it "Kiss Mamma Good-bye" as price always seems to like to come back one more sentimental time to an area of supreme significance before moving on. This retest would then cause alts to drop significantly, liquidating many. And we saw this occur this past week. So, can we consider this our retest? I know we didn't touch the underside of our wedge completely but bulls are in a hurry here. They want one last good pump before Christmas. And if my chart is correct, I think we'll get that. ✌️ Stew
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by stewdamus
1
BTC.D Update (1D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section Based on the previous analysis, we anticipated an upward movement in Bitcoin dominance. Now, considering recent candlestick patterns, the movement path can be identified more clearly. Soon, there may be a slight recovery in altcoins, but Bitcoin dominance could rise again to the 59 level before the expected altcoin season begins. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by behdark
1
Alt season is not coming (yet)..Analyzing Fibonacci levels and trading volumes, it doesn’t look like an alt season is imminent. For now, a monthly close above resistance seems necessary, and as BINANCE:BTCUSDT rises, Bitcoin dominance will likely increase. While this might lead to some minor gains in altcoins, they’re unlikely to be substantial. Two scenarios could unfold: 1. Short Alt Spring: Bitcoin sees a sharp rise followed by a short decline. This could bring a brief uptick for altcoins, but they would then experience a period of stagnation ("bleeding") before a full-scale alt season arrives. 2. Delayed Super Alt Season: A more robust alt season could happen directly, though with a slight delay. Check the “golden pocket” (between the yellow Fibonacci levels) for crucial resistance and support zones. Aside from technicals, consider the macroeconomic context: the Fed’s potential rate cuts and quantitative easing are expected to take time, meaning that a significant increase in money supply could be delayed. Remember to do your own research (DYOR)! NFA.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by mayslioglu
8
BTC.D Top outHistory never repeats but it tends to rime quite well. If we use that saying as the base for this thesis then we should see BTC.D top out at between 69-78% dominance using the horizontal resistance at the previous dominance top (2021). To estimate this in a timely manner we plot the dates of the halvings and the date of BTC price ATH. To extrapolate the future cycle top we take the number of days from the halvings to the BTC price ATH and add them together and divide them by the number of cycle tops. x=(a+b+c)/3 Historically we find confluence in the RSI momentum oscillator were the strength of the BTC.D is weakening hence gaining momentum to the downside. If history rimes we are entering that part of the cycle within the next 3-6 months.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by lill_knaas
ALTCOINS to the moonCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D * Since 9 September 2024 and the chart still following the pig picture & the big plan as well .( please check the post below here). * It was so nice entries & it was altcoins bottoms. * Retest for the reversal range breakout is already done and you could see that in the altcoins chart. * Now the BTC. Dominance need to break 53.71% and close 1W Candle below. * Then re-test to continue dumping. * I think the next wave for the altcoin is so huge , if you missed the bottoms you still have another opportunity with this correction. * May be some coins will give you nice entry by the end of this month. * This plan may take long weeks to be done. * I was expecting BTC price is going to dump before going to 100K but it worked against my plan but in the end BTC price broke the high so ( BTC price now is in the market maker hands & under their control). *I did mistake because the chart was showing that BTC is going up but i thought it is a trap because i was emotionally controlled by the media & i did not believe the chart. *To review the previous post for BTC. Dominance check it below............... ______________________________________________________________ Golden Advices. ******************** * This is my expectation for next weeks & may be i am completely wrong, Please do your own plan. * Please calculate your losses before entering any trade. * Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you. * No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey. Useful Tags. **************** My total posts www.tradingview.com 1Million Journey www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com @Crypto_alphabit ________________
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Crypto_alphabit
Bitcoin Dominance Broken Down: Time to shift to holding alts..The crypto market historically tends to move in cycles/phases, with BTC first pumping followed by higher market cap OG tokens, before the capital flows to the midcaps and eventually the microcaps and meme coins (which then marks the time to sell). The BTC.D weekly chart had finally broken down below the red long-term support trendline, suggesting capital shifting into altcoins. Need another ~3 days for the current weekly candle to close below to confirm. The Fusiongap {50/15} had also registered "bearish" on the BTC.D chart, which further supports this thesis. Hence this suggest that it is safe to continue to DCA into mid-cap altcoins such as KASPA (KAS) with many higher mcap OG coins having already pumped close to their previous cycle ATH. Will start DCAing out of the market once the micro-caps and a kinds of memecoins start pumping, probably approx. in a year time.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by cybernetwork
2
Bitcoin dominace updateThey say history doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes. Just like in the previous update on Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D), it rejected the 0.702 level as anticipated. This rejection sparked notable activity in the altcoin market, aligning with historical patterns. Here’s the current setup: • The weekly chart RSI has broken down from its uptrend. • Bitcoin dominance was rejected at 0.702, mirroring the previous cycle. • BTC.D has broken down from its uptrend channel and is now experiencing a bearish retest of that channel. Key levels to monitor: • 59% dominance: As long as BTC.D remains below this level, altcoins should continue to perform well. • 53% dominance: A break below this level would likely mark the onset of a mega alt season. Why this is positive for the market: This consolidation phase provides the market with time to rebuild momentum, reset sentiment, and adjust funding levels, setting the stage for a potential upward trajectory. During this period, #Ethereum is expected to follow a similar path, consolidating just below the critical EUROTLX:4K level. Directional Bias: The overall outlook remains bullish. This pullback could represent the final opportunity to secure strong entry points and optimize rotations before transitioning into a full-blown #altseason. While you’re no longer early to the market, significant opportunities still exist. However, once #Ethereum successfully retest $3580, these opportunities may vanish for the remainder of this cycle. ETHUSDt chart: ETHBTC chart:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by CryptoUltron
Btc Dominance appears to be getting rejected from channel retestBitcoin dominance chart just recently bounced back up in an attempt to climb back inside the ascending channel it recently broke under and as of now both candles that sent a wick back inside the channel upon the current retest both closed their candle bodies with the channel still as resistance. Since then we are now seeing the current candle appear to head lower again suggesting the bottom trendline of the channel will be confirmed as solidified resistance, in which case price action has a much higher probability at this point of validating the breakdown and dumping to the 53% target. If this occurs we are very likely to see alt season really tart too kick in here soon. *not financial advice*
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by DrDovetail
BTC DOMINANCE- BEARISH AFLife and Trading: Decisions Shape Outcomes Life can shift dramatically in a single day—either for the better or worse. Everything boils down to the decisions you make, whether in heated moments or calm reflection. When chaos and panic dominate, your best refuge lies in creativity, knowledge and balls. During the recent shakeout, I stayed silent—not because I lacked an opinion, but because moments like these require clarity. It’s like a car crash—you first ensure your safety before analyzing the damage. So, I distanced myself from the noise and dove deep into the charts. Key Observations: Bitcoin Dominance Bitcoin dominance, a critical indicator during altcoin crashes, was rising but met resistance at significant levels. Bearish arguments at that time included: Weekly Bearish FVG respected Daily Bearish FVG respected Trendline retest confirming the break Current Bearish Arguments: PMH & PML respected PWH & PWL respected Weekly and Daily Bearish FVG respected 4H swing highs/lows respected 4H Bearish FVG respected Strategy: Given these signals, it’s tempting to go all-in on altcoins. However, I anticipate a ranging market until Christmas, followed by a dip below the 50% level—a precursor to a true altcoin bull market. Be cautious: I expect another shakeout around December 18 or 23, where I plan to take significant positions. Always have a clear entry and exit plan to navigate these volatile waters. Follow me to stay updated, and remember—this market rewards patience and preparation. God bless you. -Jay
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Jaytradermb