BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin Analysis
4-hour time frame shows the formation of a triangle pattern, for which two scenarios can be imagined:
First, the pattern breaks from above and pullbacks to the broken level and continues to the next resistance (breakout)
Second, a fake break from above the pattern and returns to the triangle and continues to correct to the desired support (fake breakout)
BTCUSDT Hello everyone!
Today's first signal came from the BTCUSDT pair. After reaching an all-time high of $112,000 yesterday, BTC formed an ABCD pattern and retraced down to the Fibonacci extension level 1.000. In this pattern, a buy trade is typically initiated after the price retraces to the 1.000 level, and the Take Profit is set at the 0.618 Fibonacci level drawn from the B wave to the D wave.
Although I didn’t open this trade based on the ABCD strategy, I noticed the pattern forming and wanted to share it with you purely for educational purposes.
As for the current active trade, here are the detailed parameters:
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 110844.19
✔️ Take Profit: 111497.09
✔️ Stop Loss: 110408.00
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I'm sharing a trade I'm personally taking based on my own system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
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HolderStat┆BTCUSD came out from the triangleCRYPTOCAP:BTC price has advanced in neat stair-steps from March’s strong consolidation wedge, hugging an internal up-trend. The latest flag is coiling on the mid-channel near 103 k; defend it and the route toward the 113-115 k supply box stays active. A daily close below the inner rail would merely usher a glide to the outer channel near 97 k—momentum remains north-bound while that area is respected.
BTCUSD TO 109K BUY NOWW!!!!Using the 6h chart and my volume profile confirmations on the 2h chart we have a falling wedge breakouts on the 6h chart while on the 2h chart we have a D shape volume in the volume profile indicating that the big institution are building up their trading positions to buy and they are getting ready for a big move am in on buy from this pointy holding till 109k is completed...
New BTC ATH, National FOMO💎 Update Plan BTC (May 22)
Notable news about BTC:
Gold prices climbed over 0.50% on renewed safe-haven demand, holding firm above the $3,300 threshold as investor anxiety grows ahead of the U.S. tax bill vote and mounting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $3,317, rebounding from an intraday low of $3,285.
Sentiment remains fragile, with U.S. equity markets slipping into negative territory and Treasury yields ticking higher. All eyes are on the impending vote on President Trump’s tax reform proposal, which the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates could inflate the national debt by approximately $3.8 trillion. Uncertainty around the fiscal outlook continues to fuel demand for gold as a defensive asset.
Technical analysis angle
The question that investors most interested now is when BTC will have 120k?
After the breakdown of channel structure increases around the 108k area, the 113k landmark is the most expected milestone before the price approaches 120k
We still expect a slight adjustment to 108k to continue Long and Target are still 113k and 120k
🔥BTC 4H is currently in the adjustment phase, this time will cause a lot of traders, Future - Margin to lose money, this beat will last until 23-25/5
At this time, whether new or old, should spend more time to practice, load more knowledge about the PTKT, as well as find knowledge posts at the channel ..., to strengthen the solid foundation, as well as avoid losing money at this time offline
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
$BTC 4H Outlook – Holding the Trendline or Losing Momentum?Bitcoin just saw a strong rejection from the upper resistance zone (highlighted in red), forming a sharp wick after a quick pump.
✅ Key support has held for now, aligning with both the ascending trendline and moving average — historically zones of strong buyer interest (green circles).
⚠️ What’s next?
A 4H candle close above the resistance zone is crucial for bullish continuation.
Failure to close above = potential fakeout and downside pressure.
Eyes on the next reaction — will we see the same buying volume kick in again from support?
📌 Watch closely – confirmation will shape the next move.
Major Resistance For BTC
Bitcoin is currently moving within a channel that is different and more significant for us. Unlike the previous channel that formed above the 91K level (which we had discussed as a support zone), this new channel is forming below a resistance — and that’s a key difference.
Higher timeframe conditions are still stable and healthy. So far, there's no sign of sudden selling pressure that would indicate large-scale profit-taking. On the 4H chart, we’ve seen sharp moves with volume, which could suggest order clearance or partial take-profits. On the weekly chart, momentum and strength are weakening, volume is decreasing, and potential bearish divergence is appearing.
This is a choppy zone on the higher timeframes, so short-term bullish moves in lower timeframes are still justifiable.
Regarding the current channel:
If Bitcoin stabilizes above the channel’s upper boundary, it has the potential to move toward $112K.
As long as BTC remains inside the channel and doesn’t break down from it, a deeper correction is unlikely.
Important note:
This is not the time for aggressive or reckless risk-taking. FOMO is at extreme levels.
The best scenario would be a pullback for Bitcoin and re-entry at lower levels.
The GETTEX:97K zone is still within reach.
Bitcoin (BTC): First Signs of WeaknessAnother week is here and we are seeing the first signs of weakness in Bitcoin, where we still haven't retested the ATHs area, yet Monday started off with strong sell-side dominance.
We are seeing the need for correction and we are looking more for correctional movement here rather than forming new ATH but before the movement to lower zones, we want to see a proper retest of ATH (last push by buyers). So that's what we are looking for before we are going in with a short position.
Swallow Academy
Some Analysis For Distraction.Bitcoin is currently testing the upper boundary of an ascending channel. The key resistance level lies around 104,463, and a breakout above this level could signal further bullish continuation toward the channel top (green path).
However, if the price fails to break and hold above this resistance, a pullback scenario becomes likely (red path), potentially targeting the midline of the channel or even the lower trendline (WP area).
Let’s see how price reacts at this critical level.
BTCUSDT Roadmap From Demand to Potential Sell-Off ZoneBitcoin has successfully broken the descending trendline resistance, confirming a bullish continuation toward the upper levels. Price is currently supported by the Immediate Demand Zone between 90,970 and 92,917. Below that, a stronger support lies around the Strong Demand Zone between 84,011 and 86,374.
If momentum holds, Bitcoin is poised to test the 103,898 - 107,211 region, identified as a Dangerous Supply Zone where potential heavy sell-offs could occur. An extended push could aim for the projected high at 105,428.
Invalidation would occur if price sharply falls below 84,000, returning pressure to the downside. Structure remains bullish as long as higher demand zones continue to hold.
BTC – Distribution Denied. Reaccumulation Confirmed?
Timeframes: 1H (breakout retest) | 1D (macro continuation)
⸻
Updated Context
BTC invalidated the LPSY scenario on 1H:
• Price broke above the golden pocket (0.618–0.66)
• Also cleared the symmetrical triangle range high
• Now retesting the breakout with declining volume = classic reaccumulation behavior
The earlier 1H structure mimicked distribution, but failed to follow through. There was no markdown — instead, price reclaimed the range.
⸻
Daily Chart Support
• Second daily close above triangle apex
• RSI > 70 (currently ~70.3) → sustained bullish momentum
• Yesterday’s candle: long lower wick + above-average volume = demand stepping in
• Structure is building above $100K, which had been a major psychological barrier since Dec 2024
⸻
$100K – The New Base
BTC has tested and reclaimed $100K multiple times (Dec, Jan, May).
Now it’s acting as a macro accumulation floor, not resistance.
The longer price holds above this zone, the higher the probability of explosive continuation.
⸻
Next Levels to Watch
• Support (retest): 105.3–105.8K
• Validation: Strong 1H or daily close above 107.1K
• Targets: Upper BB (109.3K), then psychological round number → 110K
⸻
Conclusion
The bearish 1H thesis is now invalid.
BTC is above the range, retesting it, with macro structure and momentum on its side.
This is how reaccumulations trap early shorts and fuel the next markup.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Reaccumulation #Wyckoff #Breakout #100K #TriangleBreakout #BTCUSDT #PriceAction
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe) – 17th May 2025Today’s technical analysis identifies an AB=CD harmonic pattern forming on the BTC/USDT daily chart. The market has completed the initial bullish leg from point A to point B, followed by a corrective move in progress toward point C. This pattern suggests a potential bullish continuation once the price completes the CD leg.
🔹 Pattern: AB=CD
🔹 Entry Zone (Buy Limit): Between 98,192 and 99,045 USDT
🔹 Stop Loss: Placed at 81,758 USDT, just below the previous significant low, to protect against invalidation
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
• TP1: 114,412 USDT – aligned with historical resistance and projected CD leg
• TP2: 129,565 USDT – extended Fibonacci projection level
The RSI Divergence Indicator currently reads at 65.87, suggesting bullish momentum remains intact but nearing overbought conditions. Notably, several bullish RSI divergences marked earlier have supported price rallies, adding confidence to this setup.
The expected trajectory from point C toward D completes the harmonic pattern with a 3.14 Fibonacci projection, aligning well with historical resistance areas. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, provided price retraces into the ideal buy zone before continuing upward.
📉 Strategy Summary:
Traders may consider placing a buy limit order between 98,192–99,045 USDT, with a tight stop below 81,758, aiming for profit targets at 114K and 129K levels. Confirmation of support around point C will be essential before full entry.
📅 Analysis By: Musarrat
🗓️ Date: 17th May, 2025
BTCUSDT | Chasing in Euphoria? Here’s the Smarter MoveI’ve watched BTC explode during rallies like this, and trust me, finding low-timeframe entries in euphoria is a trap for most. The move looks unstoppable… until it isn't.
Right now, I’m only considering a 1R risk from the green box support . No more. No less. The risk is calculated, not emotional.
If you’re thinking of jumping in recklessly, don’t.
I’ll be watching the 1-minute timeframe closely for a clean upward break before doing anything. No confirmation, no trade.
Reminder:
“I will not insist on my short idea. If the levels suddenly break upwards and do not give a downward break in the low time frame, I will not evaluate it. If they break upwards with volume and give a retest, I will look long.”
Most people don’t know how to think like this. That’s why they lose.
You’re here to win, and I’m here to guide you.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
BTC HTF HL Could Be InI can have all my opinions about how this low can't be the HTF HL but who am I to say this? I should keep it in the back of my mind but I shouldn't let it hinder me from entering new trades/investments.
I spent too much time speculating on how I think it should look instead of just keeping it simple and just think about how it looks in the moment. It cost me missing the up-move from ~85k-100k.
I think of trading vs investing, LTF trades vs HTF trend while I should just scrap the HTF trend as this causes me to go on a speculation trip and I lose track of what's in front of me in the moment.
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What I think is in front of me right now:
Let's start with that MS is king. This up-move is caused by the fact that price got above the structure of 29 March-5 April, without any significant PA. It just got above it and stayed above it and pushed out above it.
That's enough evidence to me that I shouldn't necessarily wait for a big SFP, on the 15min TF or 1D. Or that I shouldn't wait for a big 15min engulfing candle. This is just proof as price has pushed all the way back to 100k.
Then,
The blue box was the resistance and the level below it (95k spike) was the main level. The top of this level was maximal resistance. Here I expected (=speculated) that price would be capped and go back to 74k. I expected price to close above the level but that the new structure formed around the level would provide a short (like a SFP and then a MSB).
But this didn't happen. Price pushed above the resistance. So that's how it now is: there's no resistance. Just like in april when price got above the 29 March-5 April structure with main level of structure being the high of 4 April.
And then to add: in current structure price has closed above the main level of that structure on the 1D: the high of 12 May. This is good.
Also: there's no 15min SFP at the current highs and the MSB failed (price pushed back up).
Also: there's a clean level for the long SFP: 12 May low.
Conclusion: if price breaks down from here without going back to these highs, price could be capped at the long SFP-level of 100k. And given the (I think) fact that there's no resistance and MS is king, this is the right level to enter the long in spot BTC.
So that's what I'm going to do. Might enter the trade too (perps) if price indeed SFP's this level.
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If price doesn't hold the 100k level, I don't think price can drop further than the 74k low so that's the potential downside (I don't sell spot if there's no short setup) I keep in mind.