BTC Potential Short-Term PullbackBINANCE:BTCUSDT could be setting itself up for a short-term pullback.
It might be forming a Daily RSI Bear Divergence, with the latest retest of the the main supply zone, and RSI Divs/Breakouts have been reliable leading signals for recent CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA.
Key Levels to Watch
• $119k - Measured wedge target, confirmed with last month's breakout.
• $106.2k-$109.5k - Main supply and ATH, a sustained break above it would invalidate any bearish PA.
• $89.6k-$91.9k - Lots of confluence here:
- Unmitigated daily FVG
- The 200-day EMA is sitting there
- A move here would be between 0.5 and 0.618 Fib retracement of the last leg up, consistent with the typical pullback length of Wave 2 (Elliott Waves theory)
- It has also been an important S/R since November 2024, and a retracement here could form an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
I would be patient with it, as I still see a lot of uncertainty short-term, but I think a pullback to ~$90k could offer a great long entry. Worth keeping a close eye on it.
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTCUSDT | Bitcoin is ready to new ATHBitcoin ATH is 109,588. All previous resistances and liquidities have been swept! There is no resistance level for Bitcoin. Bitcoin is ready to go up more. As you can see, there is a Fair Value Gap for Bitcoin. The price is moving down to sweep liquidity at about 103,000 to 104,000. Then we will be ready to go up more and see these targets: 108,000, 110,000, and 112,000. Be profitable!
Is Bitcoin Ready for a Final Rally to $180K?After crashing from its $69K peak (Nov 2021) to $15,476 (Nov 2022), Bitcoin has entered a bullish Elliott Wave structure, forming a classic 3-wave corrective pattern:
🔹 Wave A: Rally to $73,777 (with internal abc structure)
🔹 Wave B: Pullback to $49,000
🔹 Wave C: Currently unfolding — with a potential target at $180K
Within Wave C:
✅ Wave a: Pushed to $109K
✅ Wave b: Corrected down to FWB:73K
✅ Wave c: Now beginning and approaching a key breakout point
📌 The critical level? A daily candle close above $109K
If that happens, Bitcoin could enter its final impulsive leg toward $180K.
All technical signs point toward a major move — the structure, volume, and price action are aligned for what could be a historic breakout.
BTC - Short term playsOnly three things really stick out for me:
- we just bounced on H4 trend again, very clean. If we break structure on m15 here we can look to long a pullback in any imbalance that can be left. Stop below the recent low.
- Monday low left some equal lows. There are many cases where these remain untouched in an uptrend, but if you look back at previous impulses out of a consolidation, there is an internal liquidity sweep. Taking Mon equal lows but leaving the other lows untouched would be what that looks like. It also gives a clean trade setup.
- We added another high in a series of bad highs already. Cleaning these up, THEN tucking back below could create a short setup. The pay off on getting these right is immense. The risk is also high because you are fading a strong uptrend so far. Size accordingly, even on small size you win big if you are right.
Bullish Channel Breakout Setup With Entry at $104.8K SupportBitcoin is currently consolidating within a key decision zone after forming a textbook Double Bottom pattern on the 4H timeframe. Technical analysis across multiple timeframes reveals a compelling bullish setup with clearly defined entry, stop, and target levels.
Market Structure Analysis
The current price ($105.2K) sits precisely at a critical inflection point where short-term bearish momentum meets longer-term bullish structure. The 4H chart shows a Double Bottom formation (95% reliability) with a neckline at $104.9K, while the 1H timeframe confirms a bullish moving average alignment (SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA100).
What makes this setup particularly attractive is the converging technical evidence:
Price is testing the lower boundary of the ascending channel (green lines)
RSI is neutral at 51.07, showing neither overbought nor oversold conditions
The Fibonacci fan projection suggests continuation toward $110.1K
Volume patterns on higher timeframes confirm accumulation rather than distribution
Entry Strategy
Conservative Entry: $104.8K (lower channel support)
Aggressive Entry: Current price $105.2K with partial position
This staggered approach provides optimal risk management, allowing positions to be built at technically significant levels. The conservative entry aligns perfectly with the channel support and offers a superior risk-reward profile.
Risk Management
Stop Loss: $101.5K (below major support)
A clear invalidation below $100.7K would signal a potential trend change.
Target Zones
Target 1: $105.8K (initial resistance, +1.0%)
Target 2 : $107.1K (previous high, +2.2%)
Target 3 : $108.8K (Fibonacci 127.2% extension, +3.8%)
Target 4 : $110.1K (Fibonacci fan projected target, +5.1%)
I recommend scaling out of positions at each target level: 30% at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, 25% at Target 3, and the remaining 15% at Target 4.
Market Context
This setup gains additional strength from fundamental factors. The U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve establishment provides long-term support, while recent Bitcoin ETF inflows ($1.8B for week ending May 3) demonstrate growing institutional conviction. The strengthening "digital gold" correlation (now 0.70 with gold vs. 0.53 with Nasdaq) suggests Bitcoin is increasingly being viewed as a store of value during uncertain economic conditions.
The ideal scenario would be a brief retest of the $104.8K support before a decisive move toward the target zones. With proper position sizing and disciplined exit strategy, this setup offers an attractive opportunity as Bitcoin consolidates near its all-time highs.
Bitcoin looks good to go HigherHello Crypto Traders, as you can see price broke out from the descending trendline and flipped key structure levels into support.
We can clearly see two Fair Value Gaps (0.5 fib red line) which might act as retracement zones before continuation.
The bullish structure remains intact, and if BTC holds above the recent swing high (PH), we might see a run toward the previous ATH and beyond.
RSI is slightly overbought but not showing any major divergence for now.
Watch the 98k–100k area for a potential short-term pullback into FVG before further upside.
Let the market do its job. Setup looks clean.
Feel free to comment, follow, and share with your trader friends!
Thanks for reading!
Swimming Amongst SharksStarting with the boring range in February, BTC consolidated after making new ATHs on the day of President Trump's second term inauguration.
After a slow month of sideways action in February, we finally reached the apex of a symmetrical triangle and proceeded to dump, attempting at closing the breakaway CME gap @ ~76.5k. It quickly and violently bounced to 95k where we spent the next 51 days making new lows and ranging in the 80k region.
When we take a closer look at the fibonacci retracements of all of these moves, they are very technical.
When pulling a standard fibonacci retracement XA, we find that B falls perfectly within the golden pocket. Roughly 2 weeks later, we find ourselves at new range lows offering a very nice SFP reaction at point C which falls at the 1.272 fib expansion of AB.
In hindsight, this would have been the perfect place to get into a long position. But, unfortunately, I was looking for new lows around ~70k as this is where the 1.618 level was from a fib expansion of AB. This was during the time when tariffs were first being announced, causing major volatility across all markets. People were panic selling and calling for an economic crisis because of Donald Trump's tweets causing erratic behavior in markets.
We rally for the next 36 days offering no significant pullbacks to be able to get in on a long as it always seemed that we could get in on weakness as the rally produced a lot of SPs.
Now the BC expansion shows that we are nearing the end of this rally if this shark harmonic is to play out.
Waiting on confirmation of point D, but it is very possible that the high is in, and we start fulfilling this shark harmonic.
This would fall perfectly in line with the old adage "Sell in May and go away." or at least, first signs of weakness in May, and don't get chopped up.
There has also been a couple of potential events that could be classified as "black swan" that would affect the markets negatively like Coinbase announcing a user data leak, and Moody's downgrading of U.S debt.
Overall, we could see this shark harmonic be part of a HTF trend, coiling up before the next big move that breaks out near the end of summertime.
Always important to remember to practice proper risk management and that no trade is still a trade.
3 Deadly Trading Mistakes Every Trader Must Avoid NowDid you know that over 70% of trading decisions are influenced by unconscious emotions?
Fear of missing out (FOMO), greed, and external noise can easily steer traders away from rational decision-making. In this analysis, we explore the three most destructive psychological traps in trading—and how to effectively manage them.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective:
Bitcoin has recently established multiple daily resistance levels and has now executed a strong breakout above its long-standing descending channel. This move is backed by a significant increase in buying volume, signaling renewed bullish momentum. From a short-term perspective, I anticipate at least a 6% upside, with a target around the $110,000 zone. 📊🚀
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
1. Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): A Dangerous Impulse
FOMO can easily lead traders to make hasty decisions based on market hype or emotional reactions, rather than solid analysis. This often results in entering trades at the wrong time, chasing price movements, and ultimately suffering losses. 😟
How to Avoid It:
To manage FOMO, establish a well-defined trading strategy. Stick to your plan and avoid reacting to every market move. Focus on your predefined entry points, and resist the urge to "catch up" with the market. 📊
2. Greed and Its Impact on Decision-Making
Greed can cloud a trader's judgment, leading them to hold on to losing positions with the hope that prices will reverse. Alternatively, greed may push traders to enter positions at overextended price levels, anticipating further gains. This often results in greater losses or missed opportunities. 💸
How to Overcome It:
A clear risk management plan is essential. Set stop-loss and take-profit levels before entering any trade. By adhering to these boundaries, you can reduce emotional decision-making and improve the consistency of your trading approach. 📉
3. The Influence of Social Media on Trading Decisions
In today’s digital age, social media platforms are filled with opinions, rumors, and market hype that can lead traders astray. Often, unverified information or exaggerated claims can prompt traders to make impulsive decisions that don’t align with their strategies. 📱
How to Counteract It:
To combat the impact of social media, rely on credible sources of information. Always perform your own analysis and make decisions based on reliable data, not speculative posts. Surround yourself with professionals and resources that help you stay objective. 📚
Using TradingView Tools to Control Emotional Biases
One of the most effective ways to keep your emotions in check is to rely on objective technical indicators. Tools like RSI, MACD, and Bollinger Bands on TradingView can help you identify entry and exit points that align with your strategy rather than reacting to emotion. 📈
By incorporating trendlines, support/resistance levels, and alerts, you can stay disciplined and make decisions that are grounded in technical analysis. These tools guide you in staying on track, even when emotions run high.
The Vital Role of a Trading Plan
A well-structured trading plan is your shield against emotional trading. It provides clear guidelines on when to enter and exit trades, how much risk to take, and sets your financial goals. Without a plan, it’s easy to fall into the trap of impulsive decisions driven by fear or greed. 📝
How to Create One:
Define your strategy, risk management rules, and long-term objectives. A solid trading plan helps you stay focused, prioritize your financial goals, and avoid emotional disruptions. Sticking to it is crucial for sustainable success in the markets.
Conclusion : Mastering Trading Psychology for Long-Term Success
Psychological discipline is just as important as technical skills when it comes to successful trading. By understanding the emotional pitfalls that can cloud your judgment, you can make more rational, data-driven decisions. 📊
Using tools, sticking to your plan, and consistently managing your emotions are key to overcoming psychological barriers. With the right mindset and strategy, you’ll be better positioned to achieve your trading goals and build long-term success. 🚀
However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Over 70% of trading decisions are influenced by unconscious emotions, with FOMO, greed, and social media noise being major psychological pitfalls. These emotional biases can lead to impulsive decisions, resulting in losses. To avoid this, create a solid trading plan, use reliable tools like RSI, MACD, and Bollinger Bands, and stay disciplined with stop-loss and take-profit levels. 📉
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Bitcoin has put in a top and tail, the day has just begun!!!!Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has exhibited high volatility, with its price surging to an intraday high of $109,844.99 and dipping to a low of $105,090.90. The 24-hour trading volume reached $63.23 billion, underscoring the market's intense activity. Currently, Bitcoin's market capitalization stands at $2.16654 trillion, reinforcing its dominant position in the cryptocurrency market.
From the perspective of fund flows and market sentiment, the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has attracted $5.3 billion in capital inflows over the past three weeks, indicating increased institutional participation. The market's Greed Index remains at a elevated level of 76, reflecting widespread optimism among investors. However, this may also signal potential overheating risks in the market.
Technically, Bitcoin's weekly and daily charts show potential double-top patterns. If confirmed, these patterns could mark the end of the upward trend and trigger a significant correction.
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
BTC 4H Chart Analysis - Bitcoin is currently moving within a range, and two potential demand zones are highlighted on the chart with green boxes. There's a possibility that BTC may pull back into one of these zones to collect buy-side liquidity before continuing higher.
These areas can be considered for long setups on the 15-minute timeframe — but only with a valid entry trigger.
---
📌 Key Levels
🟢 Supports:
- 100,000 – 100,500
- 97,400 – 98,700
- 95,900
🔴 Resistances:
- 104,800 – 105,200
- 105,900
BTC - H4 trend compressionOther than a few scalps inside this Monday range, there hasn't been a lot to update on BTC.
I think patience is the best play here. Yesterday we took out the internal liquidity before a sudden reversal.
Reclaimed H4 trend here once again, which as you can see is starting to compress a bit harder. This H4 trend has been a good guide for price since the 74k bottom, only inversing once (May 5-6).
I'm in no rush to be positioned here, although I'll look for price to take out the internal highs or Monday highs. In both cases I would like to see a ltf confirmation, next to decent OI flush on high volume.
Long entries can be found at a sweep of 102.4 or of course the Monday low sweep.
Looks like the rally is going on... BTCUSDT Uptrend Analysis 📈
BTCUSDT is currently around $102,000 and in a short-term downtrend. Here are some key points to watch:
- Buying Opportunities: The $100,600 - $99,600 range may present a good buying opportunity. 💰
- Critical Levels: If the price drops below $99,400, there’s a risk of falling to $97,000. Investors should stay cautious. ⚠️
- Uptrend Targets: For the uptrend to continue, the $108,000 - $112,000 area looks like a suitable take profit zone. 🚀 After that, the $120,000 range could be targeted.
It's essential for investors to closely monitor market movements! 📊
#BTC Rising Wedge📊#BTC Rising Wedge📉
🧠From a structural perspective, we have reached the target area of the bullish cup-with-handle structure, so we need to be vigilant about the occurrence of a pullback.
➡️From a graphical perspective, we have formed a rising wedge near the red resistance area, which is generally regarded as a bearish model.
➡️If the rising trend support line does not hold and falls directly, then we can also expect further declines to occur
⚠️Note that counter-trend trading in an uptrend must be risk-managed.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin: Bullish Momentum Tests 109k, Eyes 110k
The Bitcoin price fluctuated in a narrow range near the 106,000 level 😊. After touching the 106,800 level, it failed to break through the 107,000 resistance level and subsequently fell back to consolidate near the 106,200 level 😐. Shortly after, the bulls regained momentum, pushing the price rapidly higher to hit a high of 109,410 🚀! Currently, the price is consolidating near the 109,100 level 🔄.
From a technical perspective, the 107,000 resistance level has turned into support after being broken, with short-term momentum favoring the bulls 👊. If the price can hold above 109,000, it may further challenge the psychological barrier of 110,000 🌟. However, caution is warranted regarding potential pullbacks from high levels 🚨. Key support below lies in the 107,000–106,200 range ⚠️.
For trading strategies: Short-term traders may consider light-position entry after the price stabilizes above 109,000, targeting 110,000 🎯. If the price pulls back and holds at the 107,000 support level, dip-buying opportunities may emerge 💰. Medium-term investors should adjust positions flexibly based on whether the 110,000 level is breached 📊.
Overall, market sentiment remains optimistic 😃, but attention should be paid to trading volume confirmation and unexpected news events 📢. Strict risk control and cautious operations are recommended ⚖️!
Buy@108000-108500
tp:109500-110500
Professional trading strategies are pushed daily 📊
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BTCUSDT Weekly : Double TOP Hi Guys ,
Friends, you can see that the Bitcoin chart on the weekly time frame is in a very sensitive position near the historical ATH. Two scenarios can be imagine for the move and in the green movement, it can be say that the price can move towards $130,000. However, considering the fundamental factors and also technically, over the past year, Bitcoin has always started its decline from a bearish pattern with a double-top, and the chart has signs of this pattern.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 21/May/26
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
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Short Trade on BTC with Entry / TargetsBTC has formed bearish divergence on the daily chart with the RSI. There is a untapped FVG at the target area that needs to be tapped into before BTC is ready to move higher.
1:3 R/R
Entry : 106,861
Stop Loss: 109,000
Target : 100,455
you can keep a runner to a target of 98,000 if you want to.
BTCUSDT - Potential Turning Point After Liquidity Grabsstrong bullish intent but is now facing significant resistance after aggressive liquidity grabs. Be prepared for potential volatility and watch for reactions at the identified Order Blocks and liquidity levels to determine the next likely direction.
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Breakout Alert: Key Levels & Scalp Strategy Key Levels
- **Entry Trigger (15M)**: Close above **$107,324.4** 🟢
- **Entry Trigger (1M)**: Close above **$106,708.1** (Aggressive) 🔵
- **Stop Loss**: **$105,746.7** 🛑
- **Target**: **$110,657.2** 🎯
---
Analysis Summary
Bitcoin is testing the **top of its 1-hour range**, and a confirmed breakout could spark a rally toward **$110K**. Here’s the plan:
1. **Primary Setup (15-Minute Chart)**
- **Entry**: Buy if BTC closes above **$107,324.4** with **rising volume** (20%+ above average).
- **Why?**: Breakout from consolidation + bullish momentum on higher timeframes.
- **Target**: **$110,657** (key resistance zone).
- **Stop Loss**: **$105,746.7** (below the range low).
2. **Aggressive Scalp (1-Minute Chart)**
- **Entry**: Buy if price holds above **$106,708.1** (early breakout signal).
- **Risk**: Higher volatility – use smaller position size.
- **Same Target/Stop**: **$110,657** and **$105,746.7**.
Why This Works
- **Technical Catalyst**: Breakout from a multi-hour range often triggers FOMO.
- **Volume Confirmation**: Rising volume validates the move.
- **Macro Alignment**: BTC dominance holding above 50% supports bullish momentum.
Final Notes
- Volume Check: Use the `Volume Oscillator` to confirm spikes.
- Avoid Emotional Trading: Stick to your stop loss!
- Follow Me: For real-time updates, hit the "Follow" button!