Microstructure Shift Observed — Scouting LTF Long Reversion PlayThe active short from 95,300.0 remains fully engaged, aligned with the 4H liquidity breakdown thesis, targeting broader downside expansion. This position will play out in full as per the original trade design, independent of lower timeframe fluctuations.
However, emerging microstructure shifts—evidenced by reclaiming the Point of Control (94,500.0)—highlight a potential short-term structural reversal.
Primary Position: Swing short thesis remains intact, allowing full downside potential to unfold.
Secondary Opportunity: Scouting LTF long reversion setups for countertrend engagement, contingent on continued supply failure and structural stabilization above reclaimed pivots.
This approach exemplifies multi-timeframe bias management:
Primary bias (HTF) remains bearish, unchanged.
Secondary bias (LTF) shifts toward opportunistic longs, with conditions monitored in real-time.
Demonstrating conviction in core theses, while maintaining agility to capitalize on evolving microstructure.
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTC Possible HTF HL Creation 3BTC Possible HTF Creation 3
Inversed chart again... (to minimise full breakdown to 48k fear which messes with my analysis).
Price did a MSB which definitely weakens this downtrend (yellow). But what happens now?
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Three possibilities:
1
Price gets capped here at outstanding 95k level and goes back to 74k level, breaks through it and goes to 48k. This now definitely is a irrational thought as price messed the downtrend up by doing this MSB. Beforehand this might have been also irrational as the big 70k is a closed structure because of the pump through it (this change in PA + followed up up-move makes this a confirmed closed structure; however this is still speculation: needs more sample). Like, if price just kept on downtrending through the inefficiency, then I could see the mega breakdown to 48k happening but now... no.
2
Price makes a HL instead of going back to 74k level. I don't see this happening as changes in trend usually start with some sort of significant PA at the lows/highs which we IMO didn't get here. I don't think the MSB is enough as the downtrend got initiated with an SFP (strong) and price has yet to deal with the 95k level which IMO is just a really big level if you look at it LTF (though definitely less outstanding as this isn't the last LH anymore. That's the one which now has been broken with the MSB). Just LTF looking at the lowest low it just doesn't make sense to me: nothing significant happened at the lows. The way price went back down and then made a HL instead of an SFP while IMO there was no reason for the HL just doesn't make sense. The 'base' for the higher TF MSB (yellow) is imo weak.
3.
Price SFP's the lowest low 74k level on the 1D (and even better on the 15min). Why SFP? Well, higher TF moves often just start with an SFP. Either SFP or deviation and I don't see a deviation happening as I think the downmove to 74k would just be weak as there's already the MSB. Weak so no stength to get below the level so simple SFP is what you get. This 'pattern' happens often: downtrend ----> sudden MSB but unexpected as insignificant PA at lows, thus unjustified MSB -----> price gets back to lowest low and creates significant PA (SFP) -----> now the real uptrend starts with a justified bottom.
Oct-Dec 2022: SFP within deviation
March 2023: deviation
August 2023: deviation
January 2024: deviation
August 2024: SFP
Bitcoin Bullish for ShortermBitcoin currently trade around $93,911 having broken resitance above $88,000-$89,000 zone. The breakout, supported by strong volume, positions Bitcoin favorably for further gains, although a short-term pullback appears likely.
Technical indicators remain bullish:
Price holds above the 21-EMA and 30-SMA, both beginning to slope upward.
Quarterly VWAP levels at $89,485 and $84,484 provide strong support.
The Volume Profile suggests heavy buyer interest around $84,000–$86,000.
A minor retracement toward $88,000–$89,000 could precede a consolidation phase before Bitcoin targets $96,000 and eventually the psychological $100,000 mark.
Bitcoin remains in a strong position. Tactical patience and disciplined risk management will be key to capitalizing on the next major move.
$btc Bitcoin's falling channel....CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bitcoin has seen an all time high of approximately 110k
Current price: $77700
Bitcoin price action is currently respecting the falling channel as seen. With price currently being supported by the 200EMA in the 75k region
Expecting price action to continue to respect this channel and test resistance levels at 88k and then around 92k (bullish divergence also spotted on 2D timeframe). Reactions which will determine higher prices or further rejection.
if #btc price action breaks down from this falling channel then expects supports at 66k and then 56k to be tested for support!
BTCUSDT ### 1. Heikin Ashi:
- The recent candles are small with no strong lower shadows (short wicks and small bodies) → Indicates weakening buyers.
- No pure bullish candles (full green body with no lower shadow) are visible.
### 2. Regular Candles:
- Formation of a small red candle after the peak of 95,600 → Suggests a retest of resistance and a potential double-top pattern.
- Trading volume has decreased compared to the previous leg (smaller blue volumes) → Weak demand at higher levels.
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### Is now the time to enter?
**No**, it’s better to wait until one of the following two scenarios becomes clear:
#### **1) Long Entry Signal:**
- Clear breakout above **95,600** (more than one 4H candle closing above resistance).
- **Heikin Ashi confirmation:** At least **2 strong bullish candles** (long body, short lower shadow).
- High buying volume relative to the **10-candle average**.
- **Entry strategy:** After the 4H candle closes above resistance, you can enter long with a stop-loss below **95,600** and an initial target of **98,000–100,000**.
#### **2) Short Entry Signal:**
- Breakdown and **4H candle closing below the purple trendline** (short-term support).
- **Heikin Ashi confirmation:** Appearance of at least **2 consecutive red candles** with short shadows.
- Increase in selling volume (red volume larger than average).
- **Entry strategy:** After the candle closes below the trendline, you can enter short with a stop-loss above the breakdown point and an initial target around **92,000–90,000**.
---
### **Summary:**
- **Do not open any new trades** until either a breakout above **95,600** or a breakdown below the trendline occurs.
- Always place a **tight stop-loss** at the invalidation point.
- Adjust position size based on **risk management**.
By following these principles, you’ll enter trades with **limited risk** and a **higher probability of success**. Good luck!
Bitcoin may exit from pennant and fall to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Over the past weeks, the price traded inside a broad horizontal range, repeatedly testing the boundaries of the seller zone and the buyer zone. After several failed breakouts, the price sharply dropped from the upper range and entered a phase of lower highs, forming a downward pennant structure. Inside this pennant, the market continued consolidating under pressure from the resistance area. Each attempt to break above the resistance line was met with rejection, confirming strong selling interest near the current resistance level at 88500. At the moment, BTC is testing the upper boundary of the pennant again. This area aligns closely with the resistance level and the long-term descending trendline. Given this confluence and historical rejection zones, I expect BTC to face resistance and reverse, initiating a decline back toward the 79000 support level, thereby exiting from the pennant, which is my current TP1. The compressed price structure, repeated rejections, and clean pattern formation support this bearish outlook in the short term. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC in Tight Range: Calm Before the Storm?$BTC/USDT is consolidating within a tight range (highlighted in the blue box) for the past 8 days. This looks like a strong accumulation phase, suggesting that the next breakout could be explosive.
Watch for a decisive move above the range for confirmation.
DYOR, NFA
BITCOINBitcoin’s market cap and price action in April 2025 confirm a robust upswing, supported by technical breakouts, improving sentiment, and favorable macroeconomic conditions. Sustained trading above $88,000–$91,000 and a convincing breach of $94,000 are key confirmations of the current bullish phase, with $100,000-103000 as the next major target
BTC(20250429) market analysis and operationTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 29: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single negative with continuous positive lines. The price was still consolidating at a high level. The attached chart indicator was in a golden cross operation, but pay attention to two points: First: the technical indicator signal was rising, but the price did not continue to break the high; Second: Although the attached chart indicator was shrinking, it showed a rebound trend after the retracement, and it did not continue, so the current trend was range-bound, and the rhythm was very important; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose but did not break the high yesterday, and the US session was under pressure and then supported and rebounded. It was under pressure again in the Asian morning session, with the high point in the 95700 area and the low point in the 93450 area; the current price is in a sideways correction, so do not take action, just wait and see.
Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at 95500 area, stop loss at 95900 area, target at 94500-94000 area; buy at 93700 area, stop loss at 93300 area, target at 95000 area; give real-time trading according to real-time trend during the trading session
BTC alternative bullish scenarioI've posted a couple of macro scenarios for btc but this is just an alternative view, replaying what happened during the last bull cycle.
This alternative option is similar to others I've charted in that we have some kind of top end of September. I don't think it will be an instant retrace as price may fluctuate through Oct before bulls get exhausted.
Where this alternative differs from others, is that after this top we see a huge retrace to 73k (ish) then some kind of pump in Jan 2026 before a final dump down to 56-57k areas.
not a nice scenario but possible.
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy
I have identified the important support and resistance areas of the weekly timeframe for you.
I have identified the important resistance prices for the start of the decline with the red line and the important support prices for the start of the growth with the green line.
This analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to enter the trade.
Don't forget about risk and capital management.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for your failure to comply with your risk and capital management.
💬 Note: An important analysis will be presented on the lower timeframe on Bitcoin soon, which, based on the chart and explanations sent in that analysis, you can hunt for Bitcoin's decline by getting confirmation, pay attention to the current chart and consider important liquidity, including the Decision and Extreme areas.
Be successful and profitable.
For altcoins, proceed according to my analysis on the Total 3 chart.
My analysis of the Total 3 chart:
You can also view and review my previous analyses on my TradingView page.
Please don't forget to like and follow, your support encourages me to continue on my path and provide more analysis and updates.
BTCUSDT – Long Setup from Demand Zone + COT Confluence
BTC has pulled into a well-defined demand zone with a strong bullish reaction, forming a clean long setup with a favorable risk/reward. The trade aligns with previous support structure and high-volume areas on the left.
What strengthens this setup is the COT report (13-period average), which shows a steady increase in long positioning from institutional traders — signaling smart money accumulation over time.
• Entry: Inside demand zone
• Stop-loss: Below zone
• Target: Previous high
• Bias: Bullish while holding above demand
• Confluence: COT 13-period average supports long bias (institutional buying)
This setup combines technical structure with fundamental positioning for high-probability execution.
Going long on BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin has made a 5 wave move to the downside, it is forming a bullish RSI divergence on the 4-hour chart, it already shown climatic volume on the recent bounce, seems like downside should be limited from here in the short to mid-term. Long term, the trend is still down.
I expect a multi-week bounce from here, probably to the 50% retracement, around 92k, before continuing to move down to a deeper lower-low.
Good luck to you
BTC BUY 📈 BTC/USD Intraday Buy Setup
• Entry: $94,100 (current market price)
• Stop Loss (SL): $93,100
• Take Profit (TP):
• TP1: $95,100
• TP2: $96,100 
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
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🧠 Trade Rationale
1. Institutional Supply and Demand Zones:
BTC/USD is consolidating above a significant demand zone between $92,000 and $93,000, indicating potential institutional accumulation.
2. Order Flow Analysis:
Recent data shows a 92% increase in short-term speculative capital, reaching $39.1 billion, suggesting heightened buying interest. 
3. Commitment of Traders (COT) Data:
The latest COT report indicates that commercial traders have increased their long positions, reflecting bullish sentiment among institutional participants.
Would BTC ever touch 100k?This is 12H and based on pure pattern, Normally this pattern is made bullish where it would touch up, but while the market is moving, its shaking both the shorts and up-s liquidity, which means BTC would try to defy the pattern by rolling it dowm, remember when this type is made on big coins, it takes and falls down, however its based pure on PA
Is Bitcoin Overextended? Here's My Trade Plan If BTC Retraces!Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis 📝
🚀 Current Market Structure:
The daily BTC/USDT chart clearly shows a strong bullish trend, with price action recently making a significant upward move. The current candles are consolidating near the highs, suggesting a potential overextension after a parabolic rally. This often precedes a corrective phase, as buyers may take profits and new participants wait for a more favorable entry.
🔍 Wyckoff Perspective:
Your approach aligns with the Wyckoff Method, specifically looking for a retracement to the 50% level of the current swing. This would place the ideal entry zone around the $93,071 area, as marked on your chart. According to Wyckoff, after such a retrace, we should watch for an accumulation range—a period of sideways movement where smart money absorbs supply. The key signal to watch for is a "spring" (a false breakdown below the range), followed by a strong bullish breakout, confirming demand dominance.
🌐 Fundamental Backdrop:
Fundamentally, Bitcoin remains supported by several macro factors:
Institutional adoption continues, with ETFs and large funds increasing exposure.
The recent halving event has reduced new supply, historically a bullish catalyst.
Regulatory clarity in major markets (e.g., US, EU) is improving, reducing uncertainty. However, risks remain from potential regulatory crackdowns, macroeconomic headwinds (such as interest rate hikes), and geopolitical tensions.
💬 Sentiment & Analyst Consensus:
Market sentiment is currently optimistic, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index hovering in the "Greed" zone. Many analysts are calling for a healthy correction before the next leg up, echoing your expectation of a retrace. Some prominent voices suggest that a pullback to the $92,000–$94,000 range would be constructive, allowing for reaccumulation and a more sustainable rally.
📈 Technical Triggers to Watch:
Retrace to 50% Level: Monitor for price action around $93,071–$94,593.
Accumulation Range: Look for a period of low volatility and tight range after the retrace.
Spring & Breakout: A false breakdown below the range, quickly reclaimed, followed by a strong bullish candle, would be the classic Wyckoff entry trigger.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making investment decisions.