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BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas

BTC 4H setup **BTC Long Setup Description** **Trade Setup:** Long Position on Bitcoin (BTC) **Entry Point:** Consider entering a long position at $80,500, as this level has shown strong support recently. **Stop Loss:** Place stop-loss at $78,000 to manage risk effectively, limiting potential losses. **Target Price:** Set a target price at $85,000, which aligns with a significant resistance level where profit-taking may occur. **Technical Indicators:** - **RSI:** Currently trending upwards, indicating bullish momentum. - **MACD:** Bullish crossover detected, further supporting the long position. - **Moving Averages:** The 50-day MA is positioned above the 200-day MA, signaling a potential uptrend. **Market Sentiment:** Positive sentiment with increasing volume suggests buyer interest, making this a favorable setup for a long position. **Conclusion:** Monitor price action closely as it approaches key resistance levels, adjusting the strategy as needed to mitigate risks and maximize potential gains.
Long
by MarcaGroup
BTC-----Sell around 80700, target 79000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 8: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single negative and a single positive. The main reason for the decline was the stimulation of the news, so there was no continuous negative pattern, but the price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross and running downward. The decline in the general trend was very obvious. The current moving average pressure position was near the 81000 area. Although the current trend is very clear, we still need to remind everyone to pay attention to the risk of retracement. Risk control must be strictly done, because many friends have gambling nature and do it with large positions. Once the risk is not controlled, there will be a situation of liquidation; the short-cycle hourly chart has been continuously rebounding since yesterday's day. The current K-line pattern is the same, and the attached indicator is running in a golden cross. There is no signal of pressure, so we have to wait during the day, and use the daily moving average pressure as a defensive position. Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the rebound 80700 area, stop loss at the 81200 area, and target the 79000 area;
Short
by BraveTigercat
BTC - LIBERATE USBTC bounced at our first pivot at VAL, followed the rounded bottom pattern although we didn't take any lows. Coming back up at VAH here, with a combination of a few factors driving price up today: - spx correlation - ... into liberation speech expectations - early shorts getting squeezed - some FDUSD fud that drove stables into BTC, depegging the stablecoin and driving BTCFDUSD up to 99k Draw a volume profile on the distribution/saylor range and we just tagged the poc of that range. I'd expect some highs to be taken here, although I'm already positioned in a partial short from the poc. 87.7k would give a second entry on an sfp of the bad highs. Similarly we can look for 88.7k to get swept, thereby cleaning all the bad highs we had left from this range. Keep it simple, if I see price grinding above 89k/VAH I'll just get out and wait for another ltf breakdown. Target 1 is the bad lows at VAL, then 78k, then re-evaluate.
Short
by Tealstreet
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update to the analysis you can see below in the "Related Analyses" section. The price did not reach the Supply zone from our previous analysis. Instead, it formed a reversal pivot upon hitting a Supply. Given that the larger structure is also bearish, we can look for sell/short positions in the Supply zone. A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting Comment if you have any questions thank you
by iMoneyTeam
BTC - Rejection from Fair Value Gap (FVG) Incoming?This 4-hour BTC/USDT chart highlights a key resistance zone where Bitcoin is approaching a Fair Value Gap (FVG) near the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level. Key Observations: 🔹 FVG Resistance: Price is nearing an area of unfilled liquidity, a common reversal zone. 🔹 Potential Rejection: A move into the FVG could trigger sell orders, leading to a downturn. 🔹 Bearish Outlook: If resistance holds, BTC may resume its downward movement, possibly targeting lower support levels. Will Bitcoin push through or face rejection? Let me know your thoughts! 🚀📉
by wdstrades
5
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Structure & Potential CorrectionHello Traders, In today’s analysis, we are focusing on Bitcoin’s intraday price action and discussing Elliott Wave theory to evaluate the possibility of a correction from the current region. After a bullish expansion, Bitcoin has now completed a full 1-2-3-4-5 Elliott Wave cycle. The recent pullback suggests that price action is entering an ABC correction phase, which typically follows a strong bullish wave. Given this, we can expect price to remain range-bound between key support and resistance levels as the correction develops. Currently, Bitcoin is approaching local resistance, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the previous Value Area Low (VAL). This Wave B completion zone is a critical area to watch. If price action fails to reclaim the previous VAL, there is a high probability of rejection, leading to a rotation lower for Wave C. However, a strong bullish breakout and reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short trade setup. Key Technical Points to Consider • Bitcoin has completed a 1-2-3-4-5 Elliott Wave expansion, signaling the possibility of an ABC corrective wave. • Wave B is approaching key resistance, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and previous VAL—this is a potential short trade zone. • A failure to reclaim this resistance increases the likelihood of a rejection, while a breakout and sustained bullish strength would invalidate the correction thesis. Potential Scenarios & Conclusion If Bitcoin rejects from the current resistance, traders should watch for a move lower into Wave C, confirming the correction phase. This scenario presents a shorting opportunity, but risk management remains crucial. Conversely, if Bitcoin reclaims resistance with bullish strength, it could indicate that the correction is invalid, and price may continue trending higher. As always, trade execution should be managed carefully, and confirmation at key levels is essential before committing to any position. The next few sessions will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin follows through with the expected correction or establishes bullish continuation beyond resistance.
Short
by AzizKhanZamani
2
HelenP. I Bitcoin will break support level and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Previously, Bitcoin was moving inside a triangle pattern, consistently reacting to the resistance zone between 88500 and 89300 points. Each time the price approached this level, sellers stepped in strongly, pushing the price back down. After multiple unsuccessful attempts to break this resistance, BTC ultimately lost bullish momentum, resulting in a decisive breakdown below the trend line. This breakout confirmed that sellers were taking control of the market. Following this bearish impulse, the price rapidly declined, eventually reaching the key support level at 81500, which coincided with the strong support zone between 81500 and 80800 points. At the moment, Bitcoin is trading near this support zone, showing a weak reaction and limited bullish interest, signaling continued bearish pressure. Considering the recent price action, the clear bearish breakout from the triangle, and the weak response at the current support, I expect that BTCUSDT will continue to decline and break the support level. That's why I set my goal at 79000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
11
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #48👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis, I will review the futures session triggers for the New York market. ⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, yesterday the price made a pullback and a correction, briefly moving above the SMA 25, but now it has dropped back below this level. 🔍 This correction has reinforced the 82,302 level as a stronger support, making a break below this area even more significant. 💫 If 82,302 breaks, I strongly recommend having a short position, as breaking this level could initiate the next bearish leg. 🔼 For a long position, our current trigger is 83,808, but this is a risky trigger, and I believe it's better to wait for the market to establish a new structure. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Now, let’s analyze Bitcoin dominance. The dominance remains bullish and is currently stabilizing above 62.30. ✔️ If this level holds, the next resistance will be 62.66, and dominance could initiate another bullish leg toward this zone. 🔽 For a bearish move, we need to wait for the ascending trendline to break and then confirm the downtrend with Dow Theory before considering short positions. 📅 Total2 Analysis Moving on to Total2, yesterday the price closed below 1.01, and now it has pulled back to retest this level. It seems ready to initiate the next bearish leg. 📉 For a short position, breaking 0.984 remains the key trigger. If this level breaks, you can enter a position. 🔼 For a long position, we need to wait until the strong bearish momentum fades and buyers start entering the market. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Now, let’s analyze USDT dominance. As you can see, dominance has completed a bullish leg, followed by a slight correction, and now it has regained bullish momentum and is moving upward again. 💥 For further upside, breaking 5.49 is the key trigger to enter a long position. ⚡️ For a bearish move, we need to wait for a new bearish structure to form before considering short positions. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Short
by tradecitypro
1
BTC 1H — Pre-News SetupAt the moment, Bitcoin is showing a confident upward movement, but several signals point to possible caution: • Price is nearing the upper Bollinger Band , often signaling local overheating. • RSI is at 65+ , approaching overbought territory. • Coinbase Premium is still negative (-13.06) — this suggests that institutional players are not yet aggressively buying. • Volume is rising, but not showing major spike activity — likely retail-driven momentum. This looks like a classic distribution phase ahead of a possible shakeout or reaction to upcoming macroeconomic events. Watch out for key data drops: 04 April 12:30 UTC — Non-Farm Payrolls + Unemployment Rate 04 April 15:25 UTC — Fed Chair Powell Speech My plan: I'm out of position and observing. If news hits negatively, this could be a setup for a sharp correction. Be cautious. Patience is a position.
by RobertAIss
Bitcoin’s Next Big Move - Bounce or Breakdown?Bitcoin Holding the Ascending Channel (For Now) Right now, Bitcoin is moving inside a well-respected ascending channel on the 4-hour chart. This channel has been acting as a strong structure for price action, with Bitcoin consistently bouncing off the lower trendline while facing resistance near the upper boundary. As long as we remain within this channel, the trend remains bullish, and buyers are still in control. However, we are at a critical point where Bitcoin is approaching a key support level. If the price holds, we could see another bounce toward the top of the channel, but if support fails, a larger retracement is on the table. Golden Pocket Support – A Crucial Area for a Bounce A golden pocket retracement zone is forming from the most recent short-term swing low to swing high, and this is where Bitcoin could find support for a potential bounce. The golden pocket is one of the most high-probability reversal zones, as it often attracts strong buy orders. At the moment, Bitcoin hasn’t quite tapped into this level yet, but if we do, we could see buyers stepping in, leading to a reversal. If this scenario plays out, the price could make a move toward the midline of the channel first, followed by a potential test of the upper resistance level. For this bullish scenario to remain valid, we need to see strong buy-side momentum at this level. If we get a clear rejection and a push higher, it could signal the continuation of the uptrend, offering solid opportunities for long positions. What Happens If Support Fails? While the golden pocket is a great area for a bounce, there’s always the risk of it breaking down. If Bitcoin fails to hold the $85.5K level and breaks below the ascending channel, we could be in for a much deeper correction. In that case, the next major support level to watch would be the golden pocket from the entire uptrend, which sits around the $81K range. This would be a more significant pullback, but still a normal and healthy retracement within the broader bullish trend. A move to this level could offer another strong buying opportunity if the market structure remains intact. However, if Bitcoin loses the $81K support, that could indicate a larger shift in trend, meaning we’d have to reconsider the overall market outlook. Possible Trade Setups and Key Scenarios Bullish Setup: If Bitcoin holds the short-term golden pocket and bounces, we stay inside the ascending channel. In this case, a move back to the midline and possibly even the upper trendline is likely. This would confirm that buyers are still stepping in and maintaining control. Bearish Breakdown: If Bitcoin loses $85.5K and breaks below the channel, then we could be looking at a larger retracement toward the $81K zone. This would signal short-term weakness, but it wouldn’t necessarily mean the bull trend is over—just that a deeper correction is needed before the next move up. Invalidation Zone: If Bitcoin falls below $81K, it could indicate a larger structural shift, meaning the bullish outlook would need to be reassessed. Final Thoughts Right now, we’re at a make-or-break point for Bitcoin’s short-term price action. If we see strong buying at the golden pocket, the uptrend remains intact, and we could be heading higher. But if support breaks, we’re looking at a deeper pullback toward $81K. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
46
BTC SCENARIOS - LONG/SHORTThat's what I'm looking at in the near future. Just some ideas :) Bitcoin (BTC) – Digital Currency / Decentralised Asset Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer digital currency designed for secure, transparent, and decentralised transactions without the need for intermediaries. Often referred to as "digital gold," BTC is the first and most widely adopted cryptocurrency, used globally for trading, investing, and storing value. It operates on blockchain technology, ensuring immutable, public ledger verification.
by kmiarka
1
Most likely path forward, Fed stops the bleeding in JuneLooking at this chart I can see a clear trajectory to 68k, though bulls may end up staving off that price until June when the Federal Reserve plans to meet and talk interest rates, which will most likely be lowered to stop the bleeding of the stock market. I predict, if they do, there may be a drop in BTC price right before the meeting so folks can get their discounted bitcoin. from www.forbes.com Now, as the chief executive of BlackRock warns bitcoin could end the U.S. dollar’s world’s reserve currency status, traders are betting the Federal Reserve will be forced to cut interest rates to stave off a U.S. recession—something that could see the market “flooded” with dollars. BlackRock CEO Issues Huge $952 Billion Bitcoin Price Warning To The U.S. Dollar Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell is having to recalculate the need for interest rate cuts after ... More U.S. president Donald Trump followed though on his threat of global trade tariffs—potentially playing havoc with the bitcoin price. Short-term interest-rate futures are showing a 70% chance of a Fed interest rate cut when it meets in June, up from about 60% before the tariffs were announced. That meeting is scheduled for June 17th and 18th. Shorting isn't a crazy idea for now, while hedging on short term upswings until we hit 68k.
Short
by neuromancer
Market overview WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, US President Donald Trump announced the amount of trade duties on imported goods. Bitcoin was restrained from falling in the $83,600–$82,500 zone, but the selling pressure turned out to be stronger, and we updated the local minimum. At the moment, we’ve dropped to the buy zone of $77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies pushing volumes). Volumes have been increased, and most liquidations are priced at $75,200. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? We expect a rebound from the current buyer's zone. The reversal formation hasn’t been formed yet, so long positions are only possible on the spot asset. For margin trading, it’s necessary to wait for additional confirmation. A more negative scenario is a decrease to the next zone of accumulated volumes of $69,000-$60,600. The probability of such a decline without a proper rebound is very low. Sell Zones: $82,000–$83,900 (high-volume zone) $85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer's market aggression) $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes) $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes) IMPORTANT DATES We’re following these macroeconomic developments: • Wednesday, April 9, 2:00 (UTC) — announcement of the New Zealand interest rate decision; Wednesday, April 9, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of FOMC minutes; • Thursday, April 10, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic US consumer price index for March, as well as in comparison with March 2024, and the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits; • Friday, April 11, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of UK GDP for February and German consumer price index for March; • Friday, April 11, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the US producer price index for March. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
by Crypto_robotics