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BTC 2-4 Short / Tether

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BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas

BITCOIN I Daily CLS I KL - OB I Target ATHHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
 ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Long
by David_Perk
2
Momentum Fades: Is Bitcoin Poised for a Pullback to Rebalance?Given the recent easing of US-China tariff tensions 🇺🇸🇨🇳, we’re observing a notable rotation of capital into equities 📈. This shift is lending strength to the US dollar 💵, which in turn has exerted downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price action. After a strong momentum-driven rally 🚀, Bitcoin is now showing early signs of weakness, suggesting a potential consolidation or a measured pullback. With equity markets—particularly tech stocks—appearing overextended 🏦, a retracement seems likely. Since Bitcoin remains closely correlated with the tech sector, a synchronized pullback across both asset classes is a plausible scenario. I’m closely monitoring for a counter-trend opportunity, specifically eyeing a short entry should we see a decisive break in market structure 🔍. It’s important to note that this setup is highly dependent on price action confirming the thesis as outlined in the accompanying video. If the anticipated conditions do not materialize, this trade idea will be promptly invalidated. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies and equities involves significant risk. Please conduct your own research and consult with a professional advisor before making any investment decisions. 📊
Short
by fxtraderanthony
Bitcoin is expected to rise in a volatile upward trend.The Bitcoin market has demonstrated extremely eye-catching performance, with prices strongly breaking through key resistance levels and hitting new all-time highs. It has successfully surged past the $110,000 threshold, and Bitcoin's total market capitalization has exceeded $2.1 trillion, rising to the fifth position in the global asset market capitalization ranking, trailing only gold, Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Apple. Since May, Bitcoin has accumulated a nearly 16% gain, with a year-to-date (YTD) increase of approximately 17%, significantly outperforming U.S. equities and gold. Most analysts believe that if Bitcoin can effectively breach the $109,000 resistance level, it is expected to test the $120,000-$150,000 range within this year. Institutions such as JPMorgan Chase and Standard Chartered Bank have provided target price forecasts of $120,000-$150,000, primarily based on factors including the current upward trend of Bitcoin, capital inflows, and market sentiment. In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
Long
by Ashbur
Market next move 1. Weak Momentum Into Resistance The candles near resistance are small-bodied and lack strong bullish volume. Disruption: This signals buying exhaustion. Price could consolidate or reverse sharply, especially if buyers fail to defend this level. --- 2. Resistance Zone Saturation The resistance zone (highlighted in red) has already been tested multiple times. Disruption: This could either lead to a breakout or—more likely in a weak volume context—a liquidity trap and reversal, as market makers use the expectation of a breakout to trap long positions. --- 3. Potential Double Top Pattern Look closely at the two peaks around the resistance zone. They resemble a developing double top. Disruption: If price fails to break out convincingly and starts dropping, this double top may trigger a fall back to $105,000 or even lower. --- 4. Bearish Divergence Possibility While not shown on this chart, in cases like this, it's common for momentum indicators (like RSI or MACD) to show bearish divergence. Disruption: Even if price hits slightly higher highs, a divergence could signal that momentum is fading and a deeper pullback is incoming. --- 5. High Sell Volume on the Spike (May 19) That long wick candle with high volume around May 19 suggests strong seller interest above $107K. Disruption: Buyers could struggle again in this zone, especially if that volume spike was from whales distributing.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
$BTC is replaying its 2023 range breakoutFresh impulse off accumulation, no deep retraces, now chopping in $102k–110k—potential mini‐alt season ahead, but watch for a quick top without a stronger buyer base. Context & Observations Echoes of 2023: range exit → retest support → rapid run to new highs No meaningful pullbacks = multiple FVG gaps across TFs Trading window $102k–110k may fuel alts (“mini party”) Run without base = risk of fast local exhaustion Plan & Levels – Primary: let BTC consolidate in $102k–110k; rotate gains into alts – On break >$110k + acceleration: take profits, watch for overheat – On deep pullback to $74k–75k: build fresh base, resume trend Key Triggers • Volume hold & build in $102k–110k → alt rotation • Clean break + thrust >$110k → profit‐lock, tighten stops • Return to $74k–75k → textbook base‐formation zone BTC needs a deeper retrace to form a broader buying base before the next leg. Until then, play the range and watch alts for outperformance. 🚀
by Goldfinch_song
BTCUSD | SHORT | Distribution Likely Complete | (May 19, 2025)BTCUSD | SHORT | Distribution Likely Complete – Sellers in Control | (May 19, 2025) 1️⃣ Insight Summary: BTC looks like it has finished a distribution phase. Volume and price structure suggest sellers are in control. Unless there's a structural change, bounces look like good short opportunities. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Short Entry Zone: Watching for short setups around the 96–97 zone Stop Loss: Tight SL above 97 (managing actively) TP1/TP2: Managing through partial exits Partial Exits: Already took first profit earlier, which allowed stop loss to be moved to breakeven 3️⃣ Key Notes: ✅ Liquidity grab seems complete — the previous stop zone got swept, but I avoided the loss by locking in early profit. ✅ No bullish structure reclaim yet — if that changes, I’ll reassess the setup. ❌ Still treating bounces as sell opportunities until structure shifts. 💡 Active risk management in play — trade will be adjusted as price evolves. 4️⃣ Follow-up Note: Let me know if you'd like live updates on this BTC short or want a trade journal template to track your entries and exits. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Long
by Risk_Adj_Return
BTCUSD – Bullish Order Block on 1H (Long Setup)**Chart**: 1H | **Instrument**: BTCUSD **Idea**: - **Direction**: Bullish (Long) - **Entry**: **102,120.7** (on 15M/1H pinbar or engulfing confirmation) - **Stop-loss**: **101,282** - **Take-profit**: **104,095.1** - **Risk/Reward**: ~1:3 **Rationale**: - A **bullish order block** formed on the 1H chart, signaling potential upward momentum. - Confirmation via **15M/1H pinbar/engulfing candle** strengthens the long entry. **Psychology & Risk Management**: - Strict stop-loss adherence. - Position sizing aligned with risk tolerance. #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #OrderBlock Let me know if you'd like adjustments (e.g., adding indicators like RSI/MACD for confluence)! 🚀
Long
by Darkanalysis
BTC-----Sell around 104000, target 102000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on May 16: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was single negative and single positive. The price was still consolidating at a high level. The attached chart indicator was running with a shrinking volume and the fast and slow lines showed signs of a dead cross. But again, the current signal is a retracement correction, not a trend, because at the weekly level, the price is just retracing the moving average, and everyone should be clear about this; the high pressure level is in the 105800 area, and the low point is in the 100600 area; the short-term price rebounded in the early morning, and retreated under pressure in the Asian morning. The intraday high was around the 104500 area. The current retracement did not continue, so there is still a demand for consumption during the day, but the hourly chart attached chart indicator has already crossed. Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the 104000 area, stop loss at the 104500 area, and target the 102500 area
Short
by Toml1314
Understanding Williams %R In TradingThe Williams %R is a fast, sensitive momentum oscillator ideal for short-term trading strategies. It provides early signals of overbought and oversold conditions by comparing the current close to the high-low range over a defined lookback period (typically 14 bars). By understanding where Williams %R fits among other oscillators, traders can better utilize it within a well-rounded, context-aware strategy. ✅ 1. What Are Momentum Indicators? Momentum indicators are technical analysis tools used to measure the speed and strength of a price movement over time. Rather than focusing on absolute price direction, momentum indicators assess how quickly prices are changing and help traders identify potential turning points, continuation patterns, or overbought/oversold conditions. They are particularly useful in sideways or ranging markets, where momentum shifts often precede breakouts or reversals. Key characteristics of momentum indicators: Often bounded within fixed ranges (e.g., 0–100 or -100 to 0) Typically leading indicators, aiming to provide early entry/exit signals Help spot divergence between price and momentum — a common sign of weakening trends ✅ 2. Understanding the Williams %R Indicator ≫ The Origin: Developed by Larry Williams The Williams %R indicator was developed by Larry Williams, a renowned trader and author, in the late 1970s. Williams introduced this tool to identify potential market turning points by measuring a security’s momentum relative to its recent high-low range. Originally intended for short-term futures trading, the indicator has since become a staple for both day traders and swing traders across various markets, including stocks, forex, and crypto. Larry Williams famously used this indicator in his trading system when he won the 1987 World Cup Trading Championship, turning $10,000 into over $1 million in a single year—demonstrating its real-world impact when used effectively. ≫ Formula Breakdown The Williams %R formula is as follows: Williams %R= = (HighestHigh − Close) / (HighestHigh - LowerLow) × −100 Highest High = The highest price over the lookback period (typically 14 periods) Lowest Low = The lowest price over the same lookback period Close = The current closing price This formula normalizes the current price within its recent trading range and expresses it as a negative percentage between 0 and -100. Example: If price is at the highest point in the range → %R = 0 (overbought) If price is at the lowest point in the range → %R = -100 (oversold) This inverted scale (compared to RSI) helps traders see how close the current price is to the top or bottom of the recent range, providing clues about potential reversal zones. Williams %R in Pinescript: //@version=5 indicator("Custom Williams %R", overlay=false) length = input.int(14, title="Period") highestHigh = ta.highest(high, length) lowestLow = ta.lowest(low, length) williamsR = (highestHigh - close) / (highestHigh - lowestLow) \* -100 plot(williamsR, title="%R", color=color.purple) hline(-20, "Overbought", color=color.red) hline(-80, "Oversold", color=color.green) ≫ Key Settings: 14-Period Default and Customizations The default setting for Williams %R is 14 periods, which Larry Williams originally recommended. However, this lookback period can be customized based on your trading style and timeframe. Here’s how different settings can be applied: ❖ Intraday Trading (5-minute to 15-minute charts): Use a 9 to 14-period setting for faster, more responsive signals. Ideal for scalpers or short-term traders seeking quick entries and exits. ❖ Swing Trading (1-hour to Daily charts): Stick with the standard 14 to 21-period range. Balances sensitivity and reliability; helps capture short- to mid-term reversals. ❖ Position/Long-Term Trading (Weekly charts or higher): Use 21-period or longer to smooth out signals and reduce noise. Best for spotting high-conviction turning points with less frequent trades. 🔁 Customization Tip: You can also use multiple %R settings (e.g., 14 and 50) together to analyze short-term momentum inside longer-term trend cycles, adding depth and context to your strategy. ≫ Interpretation: Overbought and Oversold Conditions The Williams %R scale ranges from 0 to -100 and is interpreted as follows: ❖ Overbought: %R above -20 Indicates that price is near the top of its recent range Suggests potential for a pullback or reversal downward ❖ Oversold: %R below -80 Indicates price is near the bottom of its recent range Suggests potential for a bounce or reversal upward ⚠️ Important: Overbought does not mean “time to sell” and oversold does not mean “time to buy.” These are conditions, not signals. Use them with confirmation tools like support/resistance zones, candlestick patterns, volume analysis, divergences and more. ✅ 3. Using Williams %R Effectively ≫ Entry Signals Williams %R can be used to time entries based on shifts in momentum, especially around key overbought and oversold zones. ❖ Overbought/Oversold Reversals This is the most common use of Williams %R - identifying turning points when price reaches extreme levels in its recent range: Overbought Zone (above -20): Signals potential bearish reversal Look for confluence with resistance levels or bearish candlestick patterns Confirmation often comes as %R drops back below -20 Oversold Zone (below -80): Indicates a possible bullish reversal Stronger when aligned with support or demand zones Confirmation often comes when %R climbs back above -80 ⚠️ Note: These are signals of potential exhaustion, not guaranteed reversals. Always pair with price action context or volume. ❖ Pullback Continuations Williams %R can also support trend-following strategies by identifying momentum retracements within an ongoing trend: In an uptrend, wait for Williams %R to dip below -80 (short-term oversold) and then re-enter above -80 as the trend resumes In a downtrend, look for a rally where %R rises above -20 (short-term overbought), then re-enters below -20 to confirm trend continuation This technique helps you buy the dip or sell the rally with better timing and risk control. ≫ Exit Signals Williams %R can also guide exit timing by showing when momentum is weakening, especially as price moves away from extremes. ❖ Returning to Neutral Zones When Williams %R moves back toward the -50 midpoint, it can signal that the current move is losing steam. In a long position, if %R returns from oversold to above -50 but then flattens or dips again, it may be time to take profit In a short position, if %R rises from overbought back below -50, it suggests selling pressure is decreasing Exiting before full reversals can help you lock in gains while reducing risk exposure. ❖ Crossovers at Extremes Some traders look for quick crossovers back through key thresholds (-80 and -20) as exit or reversal alerts: If %R drops from above -20 back below it, the overbought condition may be ending If %R rises from below -80 back above it, the oversold condition may be ending These sharp shifts often precede momentum flips, making them useful for both exit timing and new trade setups in the opposite direction. ❖ False Signal Filtering Techniques Williams %R can produce false signals, especially in trending or volatile markets. To improve signal quality, consider these filters: Use with Trend Filters: Apply moving averages (e.g., 50- or 200-period MA) to define trend direction and avoid counter-trend trades Only trade overbought signals in a downtrend and oversold signals in an uptrend Add Price Action Confirmation: Look for candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, pin bars) or support/resistance reactions before acting on %R signals Volume Analysis: Confirm signals with volume spikes or divergences to validate strength or weakness in a move Multiple Timeframe Confluence: Use Williams %R on a higher timeframe (e.g., 4H or daily) to establish the broader context, then align trades on a lower timeframe Avoid during High Volatility Events: News releases and earnings reports can create erratic spikes that cause misleading %R readings ❖ Best Market Conditions: Ranging vs Trending Markets Williams %R performs best under specific market conditions. Understanding when to use it—and when to avoid it—is key to success. Ranging Markets: Ideal Conditions Williams %R excels in sideways or consolidating markets In ranges, price frequently oscillates between support and resistance, making overbought/oversold signals highly effective Reversals from the -20 or -80 zones often align with the top and bottom of a trading range Trending Markets: Use With Caution During strong trends, Williams %R can stay in the overbought or oversold zone for extended periods This makes reversal signals less reliable and more prone to false exits In trending conditions, it’s better to: Use Williams %R for pullback entries Combine it with a trend filter to stay on the dominant side of momentum ✅ 4. Optimizing the Period Setting (5, 9, 14, 21, etc.) The length of the lookback period in Williams %R significantly affects signal behavior: Shorter periods (5, 9): Produce faster, more frequent signals Best for scalping and intraday trading More sensitive but can result in higher noise and false signals Default period (14): Balanced responsiveness Suitable for swing trading and multi-hour charting Longer periods (21+): Generate fewer but more stable signals Best for position trading or slower-moving markets Reduced noise but may lag in volatile conditions 🔍 To optimize: Test various period values under consistent rules (e.g., entry/exit and risk management stay the same) Compare outcomes across different market environments (trending, ranging, volatile) ✅ 4. Key Takeaways Williams %R is a momentum oscillator that measures the close relative to the recent high-low range on a scale from 0 to -100. It was developed by Larry Williams to help identify short-term overbought and oversold market conditions. A reading above -20 suggests overbought conditions, while a reading below -80 indicates oversold conditions. The default 14-period setting balances signal responsiveness and stability for most traders. Shorter periods generate faster signals with more noise, while longer periods produce smoother signals with more lag. Williams %R works best in ranging or sideways markets rather than strongly trending environments. Traders can use %R for reversal signals or to confirm pullbacks within a broader trend. Filtering signals with price action, support/resistance, or volume improves accuracy. The indicator is not meant to be used in isolation and requires confirmation before acting on signals. Backtesting across different timeframes and period settings is essential for identifying optimal usage. Performance metrics such as win rate, R:R ratio, and drawdown help evaluate the indicator’s reliability. Williams %R is easy to code and automate in platforms like TradingView using Pine Script. The indicator adds value when used as part of a broader, disciplined trading system. Williams %R is a simple yet deeply insightful momentum oscillator. While often overlooked in favor of more complex indicators, it provides a unique lens into market sentiment and price extremes. Its greatest strength lies in its clarity — helping traders time entries and exits with greater confidence when paired with context.
Education
by CandelaCharts
SHORT on BITCOINBitcoin has completed its 5-wave Elliott Wave structure, and the highest-probability scenario now points to a 3-wave ABC correction before resuming its upward trajectory toward new all-time highs near 120,000. The initial wave (Wave A) is expected to target 120,000. The initial wave AeA) is expected to target 93,000, driven by bearish RSI divergences and oversold conditions. At the same time, the final wave (Wave C) could extend to 84,000.Theselevels(84,000.These levels (93K/$84K) act as technical magnets due to concentrated liquidity from pending sell orders and institutional liquidation clusters embedded in the market’s order book. The downward pressure is further amplified by the alignment of market structure dynamics, where these zones serve as focal points for price discovery and liquidity-driven retracements.
Short
by DavidCrypto11
HolderStat┆BTCUSD channel grind toward 110 kCRYPTOCAP:BTC price has stair-stepped out of March’s strong consolidation triangle and is now travelling inside a neat rising channel. Each mini flag has resolved higher, with the latest squeeze holding the mid-line near 102 k. As long as that trend-line underbelly and the diagonal support from April lows remain intact, bulls retain control and can probe the 108-110 k supply zone highlighted on the chart. Only a daily close back inside the lower rail would threaten the current bullish momentum.
Long
by HolderStat
1
BTC Breaks Out $150K Target in SightBitcoin has officially broken out above the key $105K resistance zone, confirming a strong bullish structure on the 1-day chart. The price now exceeds the previous supply area, which has flipped into solid support. As long as BTC stays above this level, momentum remains bullish with a clear path toward the next major target at $ 150 K. This breakout marks a strong continuation of the uptrend, and traders should keep a close eye on any retest of the $105K zone for potential long opportunities.
Long
by MR-shahc
Bitcoin Hits New All-Time High – Is $120K the Next Target?Bitcoin has surged past its previous all-time high of $109,588 on Wednesday, and the rally didn’t stop there. The following day, it pushed even higher, setting a new ATH at $111,980. At the time of writing, the price is stabilizing around $110,000, with the uptrend still intact and no clear signs of a top just yet. BTC appears to have entered price discovery mode, as it successfully closed above its previous record. If bullish momentum continues, the next major psychological target lies at $120,000. Should the market need a pullback for support, the $105,000 zone could act as an interim buffer before the key $100,000 support comes into play.
Long
by Galvin_Trading