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BTC's Mid 2025 OutlookBitcoin is currently trading around $107,000 on the 4-hour 4H timeframe, navigating a consolidation phase following a sharp rally that culminated in a new all-time high of $111,900 in May 2025. Despite recent price corrections, BTC remains up 3% on the week, reflecting underlying bullish momentum. This sustained strength hints at continued confidence in the market, particularly among larger players. A notable development supporting this view is the increase in the number of Bitcoin wallets holding at least 10 BTC, which has surged to a three-month high of 152,280. This metric is widely regarded as a proxy for whale activity and may indicate renewed institutional interest, especially amid accelerating inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs. On the 4H chart, Bitcoin appears to be consolidating within a tight range, hovering just beneath a key supply zone at $107,000, which could act as short-term resistance. Several potential outcomes are currently in play: Bullish scenario: A breakout above the $107,000–$108,000 range could clear the path toward the critical resistance at $115,000. A successful move above this threshold would likely signal resumption of the broader uptrend, with some technical analysts eyeing a potential cup and handle formation that could project long-term targets up to \$180,000 Bearish scenario: If BTC fails to hold above the current level, it may correct toward the first major support at $102,800, with further downside risk to $98,500. In a more pessimistic setup, price could extend losses toward $96,000, especially if macroeconomic or geopolitical pressures intensify Key levels to watch: Resistance: $107,000 - $115,000 Support: $102,800 - $98,500 - $96,000 Market Sentiment and External Drivers: Bitcoin's price is being shaped not only by technical dynamics but also by powerful external forces Spot Bitcoin ETFs: The US regulatory greenlight for spot ETFs has dramatically altered market dynamics. With projections of $190 billion in assets under management AUM for these products by the end of 2025, institutional access to BTC has become more streamlined, providing strong tailwinds for long-term accumulation Geopolitical risk and macro conditions: Global uncertainty, particularly due to escalating tensions in the Middle East and potential US military involvement, has introduced volatility. At the same time, rising inflation and economic instability in developed markets is a double-edged sword, either undermining risk assets or conversely boosting Bitcoin’s narrative as digital gold and a hedge against fiat devaluation Forward-Looking Outlook: Bitcoin is at a critical juncture. The ability to sustain above $107,000 and reclaim the $115,000 resistance will be pivotal. A confirmed breakout could open the door to price discovery and possibly a surge toward $130,000 to $150,000, with $180,000 as an extended target in more bullish scenarios However, a failure to hold key support levels could shift momentum toward the bears, prompting a deeper correction toward the $96,000 zone. Traders should monitor: - Price reaction around $107,000 and $115,000 - ETF inflow data and AUM growth - Macro news especially inflation reports and central bank commentary - Developments in global conflict zones impacting risk appetite Conclusion: Bitcoin’s medium-term direction hinges on a delicate interplay of technical consolidation institutional flow and macro geopolitical signals. While the bullish structure remains intact for now a decisive move in either direction above $115,000 or below $98,000 could set the tone for the next major trend.
by MonoCoinSignal
Bitcoin - Bounce Incoming or Breakdown to 97.5k?Market Context Bitcoin recently swept the 100k lows, clearing out built-up liquidity beneath that level. This move formed a strong reaction candle, suggesting interest from buyers and confirming the presence of resting demand. The sweep aligns with the concept of smart money targeting obvious liquidity pools before shifting direction. It also marks a potential short-term low, at least temporarily. Short-Term Structure and FVG Setup Following the sweep, price tapped into a clean 1H fair value gap and has been respecting it so far. This is our immediate line in the sand. As long as this gap holds, we’re dealing with a scenario of temporary bullish order flow. The market structure on lower timeframes suggests the potential for a short-term rebound, possibly into the inefficiencies left above. Upside Target and Gap Fill Potential If price continues to hold the 1H FVG, we could see a push higher that targets unfilled gaps above, particularly the one where we saw a clean rejection previously. There’s a clear inducement just above recent highs, so a sweep of those could be used to fill that imbalance. This would align with the idea of running internal liquidity before reversing or stalling at supply. Bearish Breakdown Scenario On the flip side, if price breaks down from the 1H FVG without reclaiming structure, the entire bullish idea invalidates. In that case, I expect price to gravitate back toward the 97.5k zone. This would be a logical area for deeper mitigation and potential reaccumulation, especially since it sits below the current consolidation. The failure to hold the gap would signal weak demand and continuation of the broader bearish leg. Scouting Liquidity and Price Flow Right now, the main idea is tied to how price behaves around the short-term 1H FVG. That is the pivot. Hold it, and we should see some form of liquidity run into the unfilled gap above. Lose it, and the next wave of downside should unlock, pushing us closer to 97.5k. Either way, liquidity remains the core driver in both directions. Conclusion Price has swept major downside liquidity and is now reacting to a key imbalance. As long as the 1H fair value gap holds, I expect short-term upside targeting unfilled inefficiencies and internal highs. A failure to hold would shift the bias back to the downside, with the 97.5k range as the next probable draw on liquidity. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
by TehThomas
40
BTC/USDT Trade Setup – Lord MEDZStrategy: Goldbach Fair Value Gap + Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Timeframe: 6H Bias: Long Trade Parameters Entry: 102,577 Stop Loss: 99,527 Take Profit: 118,153 Risk to Reward: Approximately 5:1 Confluences and Justification Price is expected to retrace into a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed after displacement, aligning with the Goldbach model. The structure confirms a completed reaccumulation phase, presenting a high-probability long setup. This would complete the right shoulder of the classic inverse head and shoulders pattern, with the shoulder projected to dip into the POI. Head and shoulders patterns are often manifestations of Wyckoff accumulation or distribution phases, for those who may not be aware. Liquidity left inside the gap provides inducement, increasing the likelihood of a sweep into the 102.5K zone. The take-profit target at 118,153 aligns with the high of the Goldbach Fibonacci extension level. Execution Plan Wait for price to return to the FVG zone around 102,577. Look for confirmation such as a bullish displacement candle, a lower time frame BOS (break of structure), or mitigation of a lower time frame order block. Upon confirmation, execute long with a stop below 99,527. Take profit is set at 118,153. Final Note from Lord MEDZ "I await the return of price to imbalance. The reaccumulation is complete, and the alignment is clear. Entry shall be taken where inefficiency remains, and profit shall be claimed where liquidity awaits."
Long
by Skinwah
BTC - Getting 2021 Double Top/Bearish VibesLooking at the weekly chart for BTC, I'm seeing similar price action from when we double topped in 2021. We hit the top of the channel, corrected, and then had a slightly higher high before going down hard. Again we hit the top of the channel, had a strong correction, only to hit it again for a slightly higher high. But the signs of market weakness are showing in the indicators and price action. Not to mention war is looming between Israel and Iran. I'm taking a defensive posture here. I think if the bears take control, we could hit the $60k liquidity area that we missed on the last correction. We can reassess the market better at the time based on the price action and current events.
Short
by jpbrown1023
Btcusdt 4hr tf scenarios.Two scenarios: green and red lines. Green Line: A bounce and sustained recovery above the 100-day and 200-day daily moving averages is bullish. Red Line: A bounce followed by a lack of momentum and a break below a previous low is bearish. Long Horizontal Red Line: If the price reaches this area, it could signal the start of a downtrend unless new bullish fundamentals emerge. My Point of View (POV): I am bearish, primarily due to the ongoing war, similar to the conflict that began between two other countries a year ago. However, it's important to note that every crisis and recession has historically presented a buying opportunity for institutions and 'whales.' Therefore, be prepared with funds for dollar-cost averaging (DCA), then simply hold and forget. It is recommended to conduct backtesting and research to identify optimal buying areas. DCA is key. Only invest money you can afford to lose.
by axxxis666
1
BTC/USDT – Intraday Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraToday’s idea: I’m expecting a retracement to the 107,867 level as a pullback to the recent impulse. The move we observed earlier aligns with my prediction from last Friday — liquidity was taken out above the highs, and now I anticipate a deeper correction against the overall bullish move. My main scenario for the day is a move down into the 106,400 area at minimum, targeting the liquidity below. Ideally, I’d like to see a push to 107,870 first, as that would provide the best entry for a short setup. I’m willing to open a short in that scenario, but it’s important to remember the higher timeframe trend remains bullish, so any short should be approached with caution. Key levels: Retracement target: 107,867 Main downside target: 106,400 Cautious shorting only — trend still bullish overall Let’s see how the price develops. Will update if conditions change. #BTC #Crypto #Trading #Ichimoku #Riscora
Short
by Riscora
5
Bitcoin Update 25.06.2025 —Altcoins, Top Altcoins Choice & MoreGood morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a nice week and a wonderful day. We have good news to start today and it is all based on Bitcoin's price action. This is going a bit deep on the daily noise, price swings. Price action analysis Bitcoin went deep on its sideways range and tested below 100K. This is normal for a sideways market. The positive news comes from the fact that Bitcoin is once more trading above $106,000 and already hit above $107,000. This type of action reveals a bullish bias. If the market was mainly bearish with a major drop on the deck, say going below 90K or 80K even, then Bitcoin would not be allowed to go beyond $105,000. In fact, any bounce or small recovery would be quickly sold as bear would be active, waiting and selling each time prices move up. The fact that Bitcoin can grow day after day and consume all selling pressure while doing so, reveals a strong presence from buyers. We know this to be true because Bitcoin is now in a new phase in its evolution and growth cycle. It is truly a young technology that only now is being fully accepted with plenty of room available for growth. We have three instances where Bitcoin moved above 110K. The selling that happened afterward is not filled with pressure, instead you can see some standard candles as prices continue to consolidate. On the other hand, notice the last session from 21-June (21-24 June —3D candles). You can see a long lower shadow, a bullish hammer; there was definitely strong buying pressure as soon as Bitcoin reached below support. Altcoins market action Some altcoins continue to produce multi-months high. The highest price since January 2025. These altcoins recovered, started to rise and continue rising in clear, standard bull market fashion. Literally straight up. Some altcoins did even better and grew as high as December or November 2021. The highest price in almost four years. This is very important when we go deep into the chart and price action because it is the main revealing signal. The altcoins simply do not go on a major bull market before a market crash. If the altcoins are recovering or rallying, it is because the market is set to "buy." The Cryptocurrency market is in bullish mode. If the market was set to drop long-term then we would be experiencing a rise that is running out of momentum. This rise would later peak and a surprise sudden flash crash would signal the start of a major downturn. This is not what we see. Inversely, if prices are going to rise strongly we start by seeing some form of retrace or correction, this event losing momentum and volume and then finally a strong bullish jump as soon as support is confirmed. This bullish jump would signal the start of a major market move. This is what we are experiencing today. Bitcoin & Altcoins Bitcoin and the altcoins move together. Bitcoin leads the altcoins, the altcoins reveal what Bitcoin will do when the action is sideways. We can always say that Bitcoin is leading the altcoins of course because Bitcoin has been growing non-stop since November 2022. The major trend being bullish the altcoins are set to follow at some point. Now, when Bitcoin goes sideways, by definition, anything goes. The market can break-down just as it can break-up. This is where the altcoins become useful. If smaller Cryptocurrency projects are moving ahead, strongly and even producing 3-4 multi-year highs, it reveals what Bitcoin will do once its consolidation period ends. Buying Bitcoin In short, Bitcoin is going up. The next major market move is a rise and we have proof coming from the signals, the altcoins and the charts. Never again in its history Bitcoin will trade below 80K. 90K soon to be gone... Once the action starts, you will look like a genius for buying below $110,000. What to choose: Bitcoin or altcoins? Now, my personal suggestion is different. If you are not a whale, the way to go are the altcoins. Why? Because there is more room for these to grow. We can say that the altcoins are riskier, but risk is almost non-existent with spot. We can simply focus on the pairs that have been filtered by the major exchanges. Reputable pairs with a long track record and plenty of room available for growth. You can't go wrong with those. If you are ready for the 2025 bull market, leave a comment below. Altcoins analysis by request I think it is time for a new Your Top Altcoins Choice, session. It is always wise to do these when the market hits bottom or before a major bullish wave, that's exactly where we are now. If you agree and would like to see a new session, leave a comment saying "Yes! Top Altcoins Choice." If there is enough interest we can work together and find many hidden gems. It can be done with your support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
27
Bitcoin Breakout Incoming? Flash PMI & CME Gap in FocusBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall ( about -4%) after the news that the US was involved in the Middle East tension , but it has risen again with good momentum . Do you think Bitcoin will go below the previous bottom($98,200) again on the 1-hour time frame? Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zonezone($102,130-$100,700) and near the Resistance lines . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that a Double Three Correction(WXY) has been completed near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Also, the first 5 microwaves of the Impulsive have now been completed . --------------------------------- Bitcoin traders should monitor today’s Flash Manufacturing (expected 51.1) and Services PMI (expected 52.9) . Both forecasts are already lower than last month’s figures (51.3 and 54.8) , but I see a chance they come in even weaker. Why weaker PMI is likely? Slowing retail sales and softer labor data point to reduced consumer demand. High interest rates are starting to pressure both the production and services sectors. Regional Fed surveys already showed a cooling in business activity. If the PMI prints below expectations, the market may anticipate a more dovish Fed, pushing the dollar( TVC:DXY ) down and giving Bitcoin a potential bullish boost. --------------------------------- I expect Bitcoin to move towards filling the CME Gap($103,730-$102,275) after breaking the Resistance lines , and if the Resistance zone($104,380-$103,060) is broken, we should expect further increases. Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $103,391-$103,934 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $100,800-$100,250 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $97,691-$97,241 Note: Increased tensions in the Middle East or new and important news surrounding this news can make the analysis invalid, so be more careful with capital management. Note: If Bitcoin can touch $98,170 , we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
20
#BTCUSDT Big Pump Next Hour - Bitcoin, BTCUSD, BTCUSDT 📉 Double Bottom Pattern Forming – Potential Reversal Setup The current price structure is showing signs of a Double Bottom – a classic bullish reversal pattern. After an extended downtrend, this pattern suggests that the market may be preparing for a trend reversal from this key demand zone. 🔹 Trade Setup Entry, Targets, and Stop Loss (SL) are marked on the chart. Entry: Upon breakout confirmation above the neckline. Stop Loss: Just below the recent swing low to manage downside risk. Targets: Calculated using the measured move method from the bottom to the neckline . 🔹 Risk & Money Management (Professional Approach) To maintain consistent profitability and protect capital, strict risk management is essential. For this setup: 🔸 Position Sizing: Based on a fixed % of total capital (typically 1–2% of account equity per trade). 🔸 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Minimum of 1:2, ideally higher. 🔸 Stop Loss Discipline: No arbitrary changes after entry. SL only adjusted for breakeven or trailing stops once price moves favorably. 🔸 Trade Management: Secure partial profits at key levels, trail stops as structure forms. 🔸 Capital Allocation: Avoid overexposure. Trade fits within overall portfolio strategy. 💬 Let the setup come to you. React, don’t predict. 🔁 Like, comment, or share your thoughts below! BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTO:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD
Long
by rayhanrafi7
1
Next Volatility Period: Around July 2nd Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The key is whether it can rise above 108316.90 and find support. When OBV rises above the High Line, we need to check if the PVT-MACD oscillator switches to above the 0 point. However, since the StochRSI indicator is currently showing signs of entering the overbought zone, I think there is a high possibility of resistance. We need to check for support in the 108316.90-111696.21 zone, which is the high point boundary zone. - If OBV fails to rise above the High Line, - If the PVT-MACD oscillator fails to remain above the 0 point, - If the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone and switches to a state where K<D, It is highly likely that it will eventually encounter resistance in the high point boundary zone and fall. Therefore, what we need to do is to check for support near 108361.90-108353.0. If it rises after that, we need to check for support near 111696.21. Entering a new purchase in the high point boundary section is a very risky transaction. Therefore, a short and quick response is required when making a purchase. The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator. Do not forget this. However, since the HA-Low or HA-High indicators are intermediate values, they may move in the opposite direction. In other words, there is a possibility that the HA-Low indicator will receive resistance and fall, showing a stepwise downtrend, and the HA-High indicator will receive support and rise, showing a stepwise uptrend. Therefore, you must check whether there is support in the low point boundary section of the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section or the high point boundary section of the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section. To do this, you must trade in a split transaction method. - The next volatility period is expected to start around July 2 (July 1-3). The reason why we calculate the volatility period is because it can be a turning point of the trend. Therefore, making a new trade during the volatility period means that there is a high possibility of being caught in a fake. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain the details again when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin, The Next High Is The All-Time HighThe title might be a bit misleading but, the truth is that Bitcoin stays bullish short-term and this is bullish on all terms... Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, how are you feeling today? Any day, any week, any moment; every month, place or year, the market provides everything we need to know. This information is made available to us through the chart. Bullish Bitcoin The present signal is the fact that Bitcoin remains very high, challenging resistance, after a strong recovery and advance. This is happening with the altcoins also. If you look at the last two peaks, as soon as resistance was hit there was an immediate crash. The next day was full red; very strong bearish action and momentum and this led to a new low. The situation is not the same today. 22-May peak. 23-May, strong bearish action. 9-June peak. 11-June, strong bearish action. 26-June lower high (not a peak). Today, neutral action. This neutral action is what I am taking as a bullish signal. Many other factors of course support this conclusion yet, this is still an early signal. Fib support A closer view of the daily timeframe: 4H. The grey line represents Fib. retracement. Dark blue—Fib. extension: Conclusion Each time there is a price peak a retrace follows, if there is no retrace then you are not witnessing a peak but rather a stop, a pause; resistance being met. It seems that the current lower high is not the end but rather just a pause before additional growth. Market conditions can change. It can happen that several days Bitcoin goes sideways with the bulls failing to garner enough strength. In this scenario, there would be a move lower before additional growth. The present scenario shows a bullish chart even if prices drop, remember, the market is in no hurry. Easy money In September we will have lower interest rates and this is a bullish development for Bitcoin. Advanced money minds see easy money as inflationary for the currency, while Bitcoin is inflation-proof. So the dollar goes down and Bitcoin goes up. I didn't quite develop this point, next time I'll do a better job. Summary The market is good even if it shakes. The market is good and isn't shaking, the recovery is already in place. Bitcoin's price is very strong and there are many layers of support. The altcoins are in a similar situation, growing from the bottom up. The Fed will reduce interest rates in September and then once more before the year ends, this is bullish for everything so, everything will be going up, at least everything that we are interested in, support and trade. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Never give up! You are divine! You are blessed. If you are reading this now, you will be blessed for your great timing. Hard work and dedication always pays. Keep moving forward, keep pushing forward, never give up. When life hits you hard, do take a break if you need it, only to comeback with new energy, a new mind and an infinite drive to achieve your goals. You are the reason why Bitcoin exist... You are the lifeblood of the market. Without you, nothing is possible. It is because of you that we all continue to grow. Thanks again for taking the time to read. I appreciate your support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
1
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry The Stop Loss Triangle is back! This time with BITSTAMP:BTCUSD coming off its recent impulse rally. For those of you that aren’t familiar with my strategy — let me start from the beginning… This concept involves positioning against the opposing decline in price and time as a precursor to our theoretical projection. If the underlying enters our predetermined faded cross-section, the stop loss is triggered to prevent sideways consolidation and the erosion of contract premiums or leverage decay. This inherently ‘sclene’ triangle is constructed by drawing a straight trend line through the bottoming reversal candle and the furthest projection in price and time symmetry (78.6%) of the retracement. Once connected, draw a vertically positioned straight line from the highest or lowest point in the previously identified retracement to the bottom reversal candle area once again. To create a ‘right triangle’, now turn 90 degrees towards the final point, which is determined by the nearest projection in price and time symmetry (38.2%). This allows time after the imposed price and time date, yet not enough for premium or leverage decay to become significant. In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle. I encourage my followers to identify and explore the system on their own. As always, feel free to ask me anything related to it. We’ll follow along and you’ll be amazed at the precision of Fibonacci symmetry. CHEERS
Short
by splitmyIVandmelt
1
PSYCHOLOGY OF A CRYPTO CYCLEWe expected a pullback, and now thats behind us!😅 The market is back on track, and we are firmly in the #Belief phase of the bull cycle. With heavy short liquidity stacked around $110K, a push into that zone could trigger a short squeeze, launching us into the #Thrill phase. And if momentum holds, all signs point to #Euphoria by late 2025. Favorites so far this cycle: 🥑 POLONIEX:GUACUSDT 🔗 POLONIEX:LLUSDT 🎮 KUCOIN:MYRIAUSDT 🌐 HTX:SYNTUSDT 🧪 MEXC:DEAIUSDT 🏠 OKX:PRCLUSDT 🧱 MEXC:YBRUSDT ⛏️ MEXC:KLSUSDT 🧩 $RUJIUSDT Comment below your favorite coins!
Long
by arcone
2
StochRSI indicator and support and resistance levels Hello, traders. If you "follow" me, you can always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- The StochRSI indicator on the left chart is slightly different from the StochRSI indicator on the right. The StochRSI indicator on the left chart is the StochRSI indicator provided by default in TradingView, and the StochRSI indicator on the right chart is an indicator with a modified formula. The StochRSI indicator is a leading indicator that is reflected almost in real time. Therefore, it reacts sensitively to price changes. Although it is advantageous because it reacts sensitively, it also increases the possibility of being caught in a fake, so I thought that a slight delay(?) was necessary, and so I created the StochRSI indicator on the left chart. If you look at the relationship between the K and D of the StochRSI indicators on the two charts, you can see that there is a big difference. In the end, you can predict the movement by checking whether the movement of the K line has escaped the overbought or oversold section. However, I think that you will receive information that can determine the sustainability of the trend depending on the positional relationship between K and D. Therefore, it is important to distinguish the inflection points that occur in the StochRSI indicator. This is because these inflection points provide important information for drawing trend lines. Therefore, the StochRSI indicator on the left chart, which better expresses the inflection point, is being used to draw the trend line. (Unfortunately, this indicator was not registered on TradingView because I did not explain it well.) - As a new candle was created, the StochRSI indicator on the left chart is showing an inflection point on the K line. The StochRSI indicator on the right chart is showing a transition to a state where K < D. We will have to check whether the inflection point was created only when today's candle closes, but I think that the fact that it is showing this pattern means that there is a high possibility of a change in the future trend. Since the next volatility period is expected to start around July 2nd (July 1st-3rd), I think it has started to show meaningful movements. - It is true that you want to buy at the lowest price possible and sell at the highest price. However, because of this greed, one mistake can lead to a loss that can overturn nine victories, so you should always be careful. Therefore, if possible, it is better to check for support and respond. In that sense, I think it is worth referring to the relationship between K and D of the StochRSI indicator on the left chart. This is because the actual downtrend is likely to start when K < D. - In order to check for support, you definitely need support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Ignoring this and checking for support at the drawn support and resistance points can result in not being able to apply the chart you drew to actual trading. Therefore, you should draw support and resistance points first before starting a trade. Otherwise, if you draw support and resistance points after starting a trade, you are more likely to set support and resistance points that reflect your subjective thoughts, so as I mentioned earlier, you are more likely to lose faith in the chart you drew. If this phenomenon continues, it will eventually lead to leaving the investment market. - It is important to determine whether there is support by checking the correlation between the StochRSI indicator and other indicators at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Even if the inflection point of the StochRSI indicator or other indicators occurs at a point other than the support and resistance points you drew, you should consider it as something that occurred beyond your ability to handle. In other words, you should observe the price movement but not actually trade. As I mentioned earlier, if you start to violate this, you will become less and less able to trust the chart you drew. - Accordingly, the basic trading strategy I suggest is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator. However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are expressed as average values, they may move in the opposite direction to the basic trading strategy. In other words, if the HA-Low indicator is resisted and falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise downward trend, and if the HA-High indicator is supported and rises, there is a possibility of a stepwise upward trend. Therefore, the basic trading strategy mentioned above can be considered a trading strategy in the box section. In the case of deviating from this box section, it is highly likely to occur before and after the volatility period indicated by the relationship between the trend line using the StochRSI indicator mentioned above and the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Therefore, special care is required when conducting new transactions during the volatility period. This is because there is a high possibility of being caught in a fake when trading during the volatility period. - The DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators are good indicators to look at together with the HA-Low and HA-High indicators. The DOM indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the DMI, OBV, and MOMENTUM indicators. Therefore, the DOM(60) indicator is likely to be at the end of the high point range, and the DOM(060) indicator is likely to be at the end of the low point range. In the explanation of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, - I said that if the HA-Low indicator receives resistance and falls, there is a possibility that a stepwise downtrend will begin, - and if the HA-High indicator receives support and rises, there is a possibility that a stepwise uptrend will begin. In order for an actual stepwise downtrend to begin, the price must fall below DOM(-60), and in order for a stepwise uptrend to begin, it must rise above DOM(60). In other words, the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section can be seen as support and resistance sections. - If these correlations start to appear, I think you will be able to create a trading strategy that fits your investment style without being swayed by price volatility and proceed with trading. The reason for analyzing charts is to trade. Therefore, the shorter the time for chart analysis, the better, and you should increase the start of creating a trading strategy. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
BTC | At the Line Between ATH Expansion or Macro FlushBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bulls need to hold the $102k–$100.8k support and 1D 50MA for a shot at new highs. – Wick into 1D FVG ($98k) is fine, but no daily close below 50MA allowed. – Lose $100k? Then it’s sideline season — next real support only at $93k/$87k, macro flush risk toward $75k–$58k if momentum fails. – As long as above 1D support/MA, there’s a chance for a clean ATH breakout from the OB under the highs. This is the zone to bet on continuation. If not, don’t fight the trend lower.
by Goldfinch_song
Up for BitcoinHi traders, Last week Bitcoin made a small correction up and after that another drop just as I've said. After it retested the Weekly FVG and broke the previous swing low it went impulsive up again. This could be the next impulse wave to new ATH's. So wait for the correction down to finish and trade longs. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
BTC Looking To Break Above Resistance Of Bull-FlagBTC showed a strong move off support at 100310 that is now looking to break above resistance of the bull-flag, which will signal the end of the decline. A daily break above 106800 is confirmation of the uptrend continuation, which should target ATH in the first instance. Following a pullback, BTC should then make its way to new highs, with a first target at 138000, which is a 100% extension from 74500, with a bull-flag mid-point. Trades Long on a break above the descending resistance (close on the 30min chart) Add to long position on a break above 106800 Reduce position size at 112000, to allow for a brief pullback or potential consolidation at ATH Return to 100% allocation on a solid close above 112000 or a pullback to 106800
Long
by wepens
3
BTC UP OR NO📈 Bitcoin to Reach $113K, With a Breakout Path to $120K – A Professional Outlook After analyzing the macro trend, technical structure, market sentiment, and on-chain behavior, I strongly believe that Bitcoin is on a clear trajectory toward $113,000, with a potential extension to $120,000 if key resistance is broken. --- 🔍 1. Technical Analysis Perspective Macro Bullish Structure: Since the 2022 bear market bottom, Bitcoin has maintained a consistent higher highs and higher lows pattern, confirming a long-term uptrend. Fibonacci Extension: The 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the $15.5K bottom to the $69K peak gives a projected target of around $113K. Historical Fractal Patterns: In previous cycles, Bitcoin has always broken past previous all-time highs by 1.5x to 1.75x, placing this cycle's peak in the $110K–$120K range. Ascending Triangle Breakout: On the weekly chart, BTC is forming a bullish ascending triangle with the top resistance at ~$73K. A confirmed breakout targets $113K as the next major supply zone. --- 🧠 2. Market Psychology & Cycle Timing Halving Effect: Historically, Bitcoin peaks occur 9–12 months post-halving. The most recent halving was in April 2024, aligning a potential peak by Q1 or Q2 of 2025. Psychological Resistance Zones: The $100K–$113K range is not only a Fibonacci target but also a powerful psychological barrier. Once breached, FOMO and institutional momentum could push BTC rapidly to $120K. Retail vs Institutional Flows: Data shows increased ETF inflows and long-term holder accumulation — a classic pre-peak indicator. --- 🔗 3. On-Chain and Whale Behavior Realized Price vs Market Price: BTC market price is well above long-term holder realized price, signaling bull market phase 2 (the steep climb). Dormant Supply: Over 70% of BTC has not moved in 6+ months, showing strong holder conviction. This reduces sell pressure as price increases. Whale Accumulation Zones: Whales are heavily positioned around $60K–$65K, and there is minimal sell volume above $100K on major exchanges, opening the path to $113K with low resistance. --- 🚀 Conclusion: > Based on comprehensive technical patterns, market structure, psychological phases, and on-chain behavior, Bitcoin is highly likely to reach $113,000. If momentum continues and $113K is breached with volume confirmation, a sharp move toward $120,000 becomes not only possible — but likely.
Long
by Ahmedxmuslim