Bitcoin Will Continue Rising —Long-Term Chart —$200,000+ New ATHIn November 2021, the week after the all-time high was a crash. The weeks that followed were a continuation and the market went full red and didn't stop dropping until November 2022, a year later.
In May 2025, the week after the all-time high is neutral, sideways. Four weeks later and Bitcoin continues sideways consolidating near resistance, ready to break to new highs and continue rising.
Market conditions now are very, very different compared to 2021. Right now, we are only halfway through the current bull market, for Bitcoin, and we have room left available for plenty of growth.
In a matter of days, maybe 5-6 days, we get a new all-time high and this means not the end of the bull market but the start of the next and final bullish wave.
These targets on the chart are the most accurate of all numbers because they are based on almost 5 years of data.
Next target and minimum price for Bitcoin in the coming months is $155,601 but we know there is likely to be more, much more. With the institutional wave now in full force, banks opening to crypto because they have no other choice and the world evolving faster than anything we thought possible, we are aiming for $200,000 or more.
The next relevant level after $155,600 is $209,125. Which one is your target for this new 2025 all-time high?
Do you think Bitcoin will peak in late 2025 or early 2026?
Do you think you will manage to be successful in this round or are you bound to make the same mistakes? Over-trading, over-leverage, no being patient enough; not waiting for the right time to enter and not selling when the market is trading very high, greed; What will it be?
Do you think you have what it takes to succeed? You do!
Even if you made mistakes in the past or even if you are already doing good, you have what it takes.
If you are doing bad, this experience can be used to improve your game. If you are doing great, great, let's do better. There is never enough growth; we are happy, we are grateful but we accept abundance because we receive abundance thanks to hard work.
It is still very early but the market is starting to heat up. Once the bullish action starts, there is nothing that can stop us. The world will change for us. We will adapt to all market and geopolitical conditions, we will continue to improve and evolve.
The best one is not the one that makes no mistakes but the one that can extract learning from all experiences. Success is not being right all the time, success is never giving up.
Will you give up? Or, will you continue to trade long-term?
» Bitcoin is going up!
Namaste.
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin could drop to 95KHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin followed my outlook exactly.
Price went up a little higher to finish wave B (grey) and after that it started the next wave down.
Now we could see a small correction up and after that down again.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction up to finish to trade shorts.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
BTC Dips After ATH – $100K Support in Focus Amid TensionsBy analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after rallying to $111,980 and printing a new all-time high, price faced a correction down to $100,000.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $105,700, and with geopolitical tensions escalating, particularly the risk of war, we could see further downside — potentially taking price as low as $90,000.
However, if BTC manages to hold above the $100,000 level, there’s a strong chance we’ll see a short-term rally toward $120,000.
This analysis will be updated as the situation evolves. Stay tuned!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Geopolitical Tensions & Technical Pattern Point to BTC Decline!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) fell about -5% after tensions between Israel and Iran escalated. Unfortunately , these tensions are still escalating, but Bitcoin has managed to recover about +3% so far.
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($107,120-$105,330) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin is completing a corrective wave . The corrective wave structure could be Contracting Triangle . In case of a sharp decline in Bitcoin again, we can consider these waves as five descending waves (if Bitcoin does NOT touch $106,600 ).
I expect Bitcoin to start declining again and at least drop to the Support zone($107,120-$105,330 ). The second Target could be the Support line and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage .
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($107,120-$105,330), we can expect further increases in Bitcoin.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin will make a small upward move and then continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price was confidently growing inside an Upward Wedge, showing a series of higher highs and higher lows. This rising structure was supported by consistent momentum until BTC reached the seller zone between 110300 and 111100, where the growth slowed down and started to fade. From there, the price rejected this resistance and shifted into a Range, bounded by 100500 and 110300. BTC has been fluctuating inside this horizontal structure for some time, unable to break above the seller zone or below the buyer support. Now BTC is showing signs of weakness, forming a minor correction and struggling to reclaim previous highs. Given this structure and rejection from the seller zone, I expect BTC to make a small upward move and then start a decline toward the support level at 100500, which also coincides with the bottom of the range and acts as a strong psychological level. For this reason, I set my TP at 100500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
As I said earlier, the real correction is STARTING right now!Hello, everyone! I started writing this review when Bitcoin was at $105,200, and I'm finishing it at $104,150.
⚡️ So far, my thesis is completely correct — we filled the GAP at $104,763 and are going lower to collect liquidity and close the GAPs.
But let's take a look at where and when something might change:
➡️ Today, there is a vote on the stablecoin bill. It is being hyped up a lot and in the short term, it could be a catalyst for a small rebound. But in reality, it has no global value right now. And it will take a very long time to truly feel its impact. But this law is definitely a breakthrough.
➡️ June 18 — the Fed's interest rate decision. The market expects the rate to remain at 4.5%. But in a bearish momentum, anything other than a rate cut (and even that is not always the case) is a bearish catalyst. Remember April, when positive news came out in droves, but Bitcoin at $75,000 didn't care.
However, if the rate is lowered, we can definitely expect a rebound. But I don't think it will be very high.
⚙️ Metrics and indicators:
Money flow - in complete harmony with the price. Position closing and liquidity outflow continue. It is clear that most of it has flowed into ETH and altcoins. But don't forget that if Bitcoin goes down, this liquidity from altcoins will evaporate even faster.
Support/Resistance Zones - as we can see, the level of 105,500 - 106,000 is still key, and without consolidating above it, we are going down. As long as the price is below this level, it is a bearish signal.
Liquidation Levels - just look at the amount of liquidity from below. As we know, the price moves from one liquidity to another; it is literally its fuel. And now, there is simply no liquidity from above, but there is plenty of it from below.
📌 Conclusion:
So far, everything is quite predictable for me and my subscribers. So, leaning back in our chairs, we continue to enjoy the show and wait for real discounts!
Have a great week, everyone!
$BTCUSD Predictions support line
Bitcoin traders, get ready for an epic ride! This chart shows BTC still has to hit the price target from the Cup & Handle breakout, pushing it toward a major channel resistance! Once it peaks, a bear market could kick in, driving prices down to the support line. Buckle up for the volatility ahead!
Bitcoin Strategic Interval, CME Dislocation and Macro Friction.⊢
𝟙⟠ - BTC/USDT - Binance - (CHART: 1W) - (June 17, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $106,851.31.
⊢
I. ⨀ Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval - (1W):
▦ EMA21 – ($96,818.00):
∴ The current candle closes +10.3% above the EMA21, maintaining bullish dominance over the mid-term dynamic average;
∴ This is the 17th consecutive weekly candle closing above the EMA21 since its reclaim in February 2025, forming a structurally intact uptrend;
∴ No violation or wick-close below the EMA21 has occurred since April, and the distance from price to EMA21 remains within a standard deviation of mid-trend movement.
✴ Conclusion: The trend is active and preserved. EMA21 acts as dynamic support and bullish pressure zone. A reversion would only be expected if weekly closes return below $98K with volume confirmation.
⊢
▦ SMA200 – ($48,969.73):
∴ The 200-week simple moving average remains untouched since early 2023, never tested during the current cycle;
∴ The slope of the SMA200 is positive and gradually increasing, indicating a long-term structural trend recovery;
∴ Price stands +118% above the SMA200, a level historically associated with mid-cycle rallies or overheated continuation phases.
✴ Conclusion: The SMA200 confirms long-term bullish structure. Its current distance from price makes it irrelevant for immediate action but critical as the absolute invalidation level of the macro trend.
⊢
▦ Ichimoku – Kumo | Tenkan | Kijun:
∴ Price is above the Kumo cloud, with Span A ($107,172.16) and Span B ($98,562.38) creating a bullish tunnel of support;
∴ The Kijun-sen rests at $95,903.19, slightly below EMA21, and aligns with the last strong horizontal range;
∴ Chikou Span is free from historical candles, confirming trend continuity under Ichimoku principles.
✴ Conclusion: All Ichimoku components are aligned bullish. Pullbacks to the Kijun around $96K would be healthy within a macro-uptrend, and only sub-cloud closes would question this formation.
⊢
▦ Fibonacci - (Swing Low $49,000 – High $111,980):
∴ Bitcoin remains between the (0.236 Fibo - $97,116.72) and local top at $111,980, showing respect for fib-based resistance;
∴ The (0.5 Fibo - $80,490.00) has not been retested since March, confirming the range compression toward upper quadrants;
∴ Weekly price is consolidating under fib extension with decreasing body size, suggesting strength with pause.
✴ Conclusion: The Fibonacci structure confirms bullish extension phase. If $97K breaks, retracement to (0.382 Fibo - $87,921.64) is expected. Otherwise, the breakout above $112K enters full projection territory.
⊢
▦ MACD – (Values: 1,077.98 | 5,963.81 | 4,885.82):
∴ MACD line remains above signal line for the third consecutive week, recovering from a prior bearish cross in April;
∴ The histogram has printed higher bars for four weeks, but the slope of growth is decelerating;
∴ Positive cross occurred just below the zero-line, which often results in delayed reactions or failures unless reinforced by volume.
✴ Conclusion: MACD signals a weak but persistent momentum recovery. Reaffirmation depends on histogram expansion above 1,500+ and signal spread widening.
⊢
▦ RSI – (Close: 64.37 | MA: 57.56):
∴ The RSI is in the bullish upper quadrant, but without overbought extension, suggesting active buying without euphoria;
∴ The RSI has been above its moving average since mid-May, maintaining a healthy angle;
∴ Momentum is not diverging from price yet, but is approaching the 70 zone, historically a point of hesitation.
✴ Conclusion: RSI confirms controlled strength. Further advance without consolidation may trigger premature profit-taking. Above 70, caution increases without being bearish.
⊢
▦ Volume - (16.97K BTC):
∴ Weekly volume is slightly above the 20-week average, marking a minor recovery in participation;
∴ There is no volume spike to validate a breakout, which is common in compressive ranges near resistance;
∴ Volume has been declining since mid-May, forming a local divergence with price highs.
✴ Conclusion: Volume profile supports current levels but does not confirm breakout potential. A rejection with strong volume will mark local exhaustion.
⊢
II. ∆ CME Technical Dislocation – BTC1! Futures:
▦ CME GAP – BTC1! – ($107,445.00):
∴ The CME Futures opened this week at $105,060.00 and closed the previous session at $107,445.00;
∴ A clear unfilled gap persists between $105,060.00 and $107,900.00, with price action hovering just above the top edge;
∴ Bitcoin has a consistent historical behavior of returning to close such gaps within a short- to mid-term range.
✴ Conclusion: The unfilled CME gap acts as a gravitational technical force. As long as price remains below $109K without volume expansion, the probability of revisiting the $105K area remains elevated.
⊢
III. ∫ On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Inflow Total - (All Exchanges):
∴ Current inflow volume remains below the 1,000 Bitcoin daily threshold, indicating no panic selling or institutional exits;
∴ This inflow level corresponds to accumulation or holding phases, rather than distribution;
∴ The pattern matches a neutral-to-positive mid-cycle environment.
✴ Conclusion: There is no structural on-chain pressure. As long as inflows remain low, risk of capitulation or distribution is minimal.
⊢
▦ Spot Taker CVD - (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day) – (All Exchanges):
∴ The 90-day CVD shows continued dominance of taker buys over sells, reflecting ongoing demand strength in spot markets;
∴ However, the curve is flattening, suggesting buyers are meeting resistance or fading interest;
∴ No sharp reversal in the CVD curve is detected — only saturation.
✴ Conclusion: Demand remains dominant, but the pace is decelerating. Without renewed volume, this curve may revert or plateau.
⊢
▦ Exchange Inflow Mean - (MA7) – (All Exchanges):
∴ The 7-day moving average of exchange inflow continues to decline steadily;
∴ This metric often precedes calm phases or pre-breakout plateaus;
∴ Historical patterns show similar inflow behavior before prior volatility expansions.
✴ Conclusion: A period of silence is unfolding. Reduced mean inflow suggests price is awaiting external catalysts for movement.
⊢
▦ Funding Rates – (Binance):
∴ Current funding rates are neutral, with slight positive bias, suggesting balanced long-short sentiment;
∴ No extreme spikes indicate absence of excessive leverage;
∴ This equilibrium typically precedes significant directional moves.
✴ Conclusion: Market is leveled. Funding neutrality reflects hesitation and prepares ground for upcoming directional choice.
⊢
IV. ⚖️ Macro–Geopolitical Axis – (Powell, Middle East & BTC/XAU):
▦ MACRO CONTEXT:
∴ Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak on Wednesday (June 19), with markets anticipating remarks on rate stability or future hikes;
∴ Ongoing tensions in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) elevate risk-off behavior in traditional markets;
∴ Bitcoin has triggered a rare Golden Cross vs. Gold, as noted by U.Today, signaling digital strength over legacy value.
✴ Conclusion: Macro remains the primary external catalyst. Powell’s statement will determine short-term volatility. Until then, Bitcoin floats between its technical support and CME magnetism, with gold dynamics providing long-term bullish backdrop.
⊢
⚜️ 𝟙⟠ Magister Arcanvm – Vox Primordialis!
⚖️ Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⊢
[SeoVereign] Bitcoin Bearish Outlook – June 17, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update.
🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hello,
This is SeoVereign, approaching technical analysis not as a result but as a prediction, with a realistic perspective.
I am presenting a bearish view on Bitcoin as of June 17, 2025.
First, based on the fact that a downtrend appeared near the 0.786 level of the overall Fibonacci retracement, I believe strong downward pressure is forming, and thus I am outlining this bearish perspective.
This 0.786 level corresponds to around the 109,000 price range. On the chart, the 109,000–110,600 range is a very strong supply zone where support and resistance have repeatedly been confirmed.
Next, from a wave counting perspective, the 1.272 trend-based Fibonacci extension lies in a similar area as the 0.786 retracement level, which further reinforces my conviction in this view.
After successfully predicting the downward movement from the 11th, I have been continuously counting the recent upward wave, and the wave structure on the chart appears to align naturally, as I see it.
In addition, from a harmonic perspective, the Alt Bat pattern is functioning effectively, and since the movement has been captured within the pre-set X–1.13 range, the confirmation of this pattern can also be considered successful.
The first target is currently set around the 105,700 level.
I will continue to monitor the market closely, and once this idea progresses to a certain point, I will share more specific evidence and the thought process behind the bearish entry through an additional update.
Thank you.
Lingrid | BTCUSDT potential Bullish Continuation After PullbackThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . BINANCE:BTCUSDT has formed a higher low after rebounding from the trendline near $104K and is attempting to stabilize within a minor range just above $105.5K. The broader structure shows a clean breakout from the downward trendline, followed by consolidation, suggesting accumulation. A bounce from the $105K–$105.5K support area would favor a continuation toward the $109K resistance level.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 105,000–105,500
Sell trigger: break below 104,800
Target: 109,000
Buy trigger: close above 106,800 with strong volume
💡 Risks
Breakdown of support could retest the $100K region
False breakout may trap bulls above $106K
External macro news could trigger short-term volatility
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Bitcoin 100K Support Intact, The Bulls Win!Lately we've seen many cries about volume. Where is the volume? There is no volume! Etc. I tend to agree. My excuse in favor of a bullish Bitcoin was to say that low volume as prices moved higher worked as a continuation signal, things change.
We are now looking at BTCUSDT on the Daily timeframe and what I can notice is trading volume being relatively high. The days with high bull (green-buy) volume, are sometimes two to three times higher than the days with bearish (red) volume. This signal seals the deals. The bulls win.
This is a chart drawing that I used in the past. We have the low 7-April low and a higher low 5-June. Very strong bullish action for two months straight; very little retrace, weak bearish action for several weeks, the bulls win again.
The consolidation zone, the accumulation range, is defined here with blue and green, we know the price to be $100,000 and $110,000, Bitcoin trades at the exact middle, above $105,000. Giving the bulls another win.
Yesterday the action produced a higher low compared to 5-June. Even with very bad geopolitical conditions, a surprise war, Bitcoin remains strong. If not even war can break 100K as support, this simply means that Bitcoin isn't going any lower, Bitcoin is going up.
The most revealing part is the fact that Bitcoin didn't even reach 100K. Not in 5-June, not yesterday. 5-June the low was hit at 100,386. Yesterday, the low was 102,656.
There is lots of demand, supply is limited.
People are buying the dip. Whales are buying, institutions are buying; the world wants Bitcoin. Price action says Bitcoin is going up.
We can extract supporting signals from the Altcoins, Ethereum, XRP and Dogecoin are good examples, all the big projects are strong now when we consider the fact they are trading above MA200 daily and weekly, and this confirms a bullish bias with long-term growth.
$150,000 is not the top, Bitcoin is likely to go higher by the end of the next bullish wave. We can consider prices such as $180,000 and $200,000. This is because nobody is selling. Since people are not willing to sell, prices are sure to increase. Many altcoins are now extremely bullish, small and big.
All market conditions are fully aligned, it is only a matter of time.
Patience is key. Prices will rise.
Namaste.
BTC is Bullish!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈BTC has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
Moreover, the red zone is a strong structure!
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
16/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $110,507.76
Last weeks low: $102,655.69
Midpoint: $106,581.52
With all eyes on the ever escalating geo-political landscape, how did BTC react and what can we see for this week?
The initial move higher broke through the previous weeks high with strength before a triple top just under ATH, then falling back down towards the lows of $102,650 which was the previous weeks midpoint, both levels were key battlegrounds as pointed out in the last weekly outlook.
Now the midweek fall off could be blamed by the escalating conflict in the middle-east, that is an argument that has merit as risk-on assets naturally take a hit when uncertainty enters the market. From a TA standpoint BTC had three separate attempts at $110,500 and failed it, the bulls therefore have to retreat as the battle is lost and have expended their resources. So I see it as a both FA and TA are responsible for the move.
As the week starts with a positive early move the orderblock at 0.75 line looks like the next key battleground, rejection at that level would see BTC enter a more rangebound environment within the weekly range. Flipping $108,500 makes a weekly high retest probable IMO.
I do believe that the geo-political aspect will play a role this week so volatility is expected.
Good luck this week everybody!
#BTC URGENT UPDATECRYPTOCAP:BTC Update:
Keeping it simple, yesterday’s daily candle printed a nice hammer, but today’s candle looks rough.
That said, things can flip fast in this market.
🔹 Close above previous day’s high: Trend remains intact
🔹 Close above $103,500K: Bullish structure holds
🔹 Break below $102,600: Bearish, could open the door to low $90Ks in the coming weeks
We’re stuck in a tight zone. It's best to stay patient until we get a breakout in either direction.
DYOR, NFA
Let me know what you think, and hit the like button if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC gathers liquidity ahead of growth Inside the trading range Bitcoin has moved into a sell-off phase due to the situation in the Middle East. The sell-off could extend to 102500 - 100600. But as the market is trending and bullish, the support at 100600 may hold the price and allow the market to strengthen
Scenario: A false break of the resistance at 105280 is formed. Accordingly, I am initially waiting for a decline to 102500. If 102500 fails to hold the move, bitcoin could then head to the liquidity pool. A false break of 100600 may give a chance for a rise to 105200 - 108200.
Will History repeat itself for BTC?Why Bitcoin Could Fall
Historical pattern?
-Bitcoin seems to be replicating the old crash from 60k.
Regulatory or policy uncertainties
-Future regulation remains uncertain; unexpected rulings or crackdowns could reduce institutional appetite and lead to pullbacks.
Dependence on economic sentiment
-If global liquidity tightens or equities falter, Bitcoin could behave like a high-risk asset and decline sharply
Current War situation
-The effecs of the Iran-Israel war will affect BTC as USD is seen as a risk-off asset (so if USD goes up, then BTC goes down)
-Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
BTC 4H. $104K or Bust — Critical BTC Moment! 06/13/25BINANCE:BTCUSDT remains in a sideways range between $110,336 – $101,297. The main trading volume is concentrated around $103,907.
Recently, the price reached the upper boundary of the range at $110,336 and sharply declined from there — confirming the strength of resistance. The drop was intensified by negative geopolitical news (Israel–Iran tensions).
As a result, BTC retraced into the $104,185 – $101,297 demand zone — a potential area where buyers might step in again.
Personally, I expect one more dip into the $104,185 – $101,297 range to test the strength of buyers.
⚠️ If negative news continues, a breakdown below $100,349 and a new local low is possible.
DYOR.
Trendline Break Retests: The Setup Nobody Talks AboutHello, Traders! 😎
It’s one of crypto's most overlooked yet commonly recurring structures: the trendline break and retest.
You’ve probably seen it without even realizing it. A clean trendline gets broken, price pulls away, and then, quietly, almost politely, comes back to “kiss” the line before taking off again. Or dropping.
That’s the retest. And in the chaotic crypto world, where hype often drowns out structure, this simple behavior deserves more attention.
🔍 First, What Is a Trendline Really?
A crypto trendline connects key highs or lows on a chart, not to predict the future, but to help visualize the mean price trendline: the market's directional bias. In rising markets, we draw support lines connecting higher lows. In falling markets, resistance lines link lower highs.
Learning how to draw trendlines in crypto properly is a skill in itself. Use wicks or closes? Log scale or linear? Everyone has a method, but consistency is key. If you’re unsure, zoom out and let the chart speak first. But once that line is broken, something changes.
🧠 Why Breaks (Alone) Are Not Enough
In theory, a break of the trendline means momentum has shifted. But in practice? Breaks happen all the time in crypto; many are fakeouts or short-lived. That’s where the trendline break and retest come in. It’s the market asking: “Are we done with this trend?”
Retests often create the cleanest entries for trend continuation, not because they guarantee success, but because they offer structure. They provide a technical “moment of truth” when buyers or sellers show their true strength. And if the retest holds? The move that follows tends to be more confident and less noisy.
📐 Trendline Break & Retest: Mapping the Larger Structure
Looking across the full BTC/USDT weekly chart, several major shifts can be framed through the lens of trendline crypto behavior, particularly the classic sequence of break → retest → continuation.
🔻 2021–2022: Macro Breakdown
After the bull run to ~$69K in 2021, Bitcoin started forming a descending series of lower highs, which gave rise to a macro-level downward trendline — a key reference point for many traders at the time.
🔴 Upper Zone: Failed Retest Cluster
The upper horizontal band (~$47K–$52K) highlights a zone where BTC repeatedly attempted to reclaim the broken structure. Each time the price rallied into this region, sellers stepped in, forming local highs and multiple failed retests (marked with red circles). This wasn’t just resistance — it was a battleground where buyers tried to flip the trend… and couldn’t. This behavior often signals a trendline break rejection, where the market tests the underside of prior structure, then resumes the existing trend.
🔴 Lower Zone: Breakdown and Retest That Held
The lower zone (~$28K–$32K) was formerly a strong support area during mid-2021. Once it was broken in early 2022, the price returned to retest from below, failing to reclaim it, confirming it had turned into resistance. This is a textbook example of trendline retest turned supply, and after the failed reclaim, BTC slid further into the ~$16K range.
✂️ Late 2023: The Breakout
In late 2023, BTC finally broke above the descending trendline, confirming a long-term shift in momentum. Importantly, this wasn’t just a clean breakout. The market returned shortly after to retest the broken trendline, around the $42K–46K range, forming a consolidation zone.
🟩 And Then Came the Retest from Above
Let’s fast-forward to early 2024. After months of chop, Bitcoin finally breaks through that upper red zone (the same one that previously acted as resistance and rejection city). But here’s the part many miss:
It didn’t just moon.
It came back.
Look closely at the green zone around ~$46K–$48K, the same area where BTC got rejected multiple times in 2021–2022. And now? Price pulls back, taps that level from above, and holds.
That makes this zone so interesting: 👉 It’s a classic “retest from the other side”, where former resistance becomes support. The market is saying: “This level matters. Let’s make sure it holds before we go further.” It’s a quiet confirmation and a great example of how crypto trendlines and price memory shape behavior, even months or years later.
🪞 It’s Not Just About Lines — It’s About Psychology
Why does this pattern repeat?
Because breakouts are emotional.
They create FOMO. Traders rush in. Then the market pauses, tests your conviction, and shakes out the impatient.
Retests act like a filter.
They flush out the noise — and confirm who’s really in control.
That’s why drawing trendlines in crypto isn’t just about geometry. It’s about crowd behavior. When enough traders see the same line, and price respects it after the break, it becomes a self-fulfilling zone of interest.
🧭 A Word of Caution
This isn’t a secret formula. Not every trendline crypto setup will play out cleanly.
SOME BREAKS NEVER RETEST.
SOME RETESTS FAKE YOU OUT.
AND SOMETIMES, THE LINE YOU DREW ISN’T THE ONE THE MARKET IS ACTUALLY WATCHING.
But if you learn to draw trendlines in crypto clearly, stay patient, and observe the trendline break retest behavior, you’ll begin to see this pattern appear again and again. Quietly. Consistently.
It won’t make the headlines like “BTC Hits 100K,” but it might just tell the story behind that move. This is just one example. In reality, charts are full of these zones. Each one tells a part of the story. And honestly, why not listen?