BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
Check for support near 104463.99-106133.74
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The next volatility period we should pay attention to is around June 22nd (June 21-23).
Currently, the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at 108316.90, so the key is whether it can rise above that point and maintain the price.
If not, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
In other words, we need to check whether there is support near 99705.62.
However, we need to check whether there is support near 104463.99-106133.74.
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If we look at the auxiliary indicator OBV, the High Line is showing a downward trend.
This means that the high point is getting lower.
Therefore, if it rises above 108316.90 this time, we need to check whether the OBV can rise above the High Line and maintain it.
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DOM(60), DOM(-60) indicators are displayed by the Close value.
HA-Low, HA-High indicators are displayed by the (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4 value.
Therefore, HA-Low and HA-High indicators represent the middle value, and DOM(60) and DOM(-60) represent the end point value.
This makes it difficult to trade when DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators are generated.
To make this clearer, I added an arrow signal.
DOM(60) indicator and HA-High indicator are indicators that represent high points.
In other words, the generation of DOM(60) indicator and HA-High indicator means that there has been a decline in the high point range.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the DOM(60) indicator is not easy to respond to because it indicates the end point, but the HA-High indicator indicates the middle value, so there is time to check whether there is support near the HA-High indicator and respond accordingly.
Therefore, you should check whether there is support in the section between the HA-High indicator and the DOM(60) indicator and respond accordingly.
On the contrary, the DOM(-60) indicator and the HA-Low indicator are indicators that indicate the low point.
You can think of it as the opposite of what I explained above.
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By not indicating the support and resistance points according to the arrangement of the candles, but using the indicator points as the support and resistance points, anyone can see how the support and resistance points were created.
This will provide important objective information for trading.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Current BTC Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe daily candlestick chart of BTC shows a three - day consecutive bearish retracement, having fallen back to the vicinity of the starting point of the previous pinbar rebound and currently remaining in a recent low - level sideways consolidation zone. However, the 4 - hour trend is pressured by the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, staying within a downward channel and forming a rebound - retracement wave pattern.
For short - term strategies, anticipate a further retracement first. Long positions should be initiated only after the support level is confirmed valid. This retracement represents a necessary consolidation phase before the bullish trend continues, and the current adjustment range does not pose a substantial threat of trend reversal to the overall uptrend. With the core upward trend intact and the direction remaining clear, BTC is expected to resume its upward momentum after a brief consolidation. The operational approach remains to go long on retracements.
BTCUSD
buy@103500-104000
tp:105500-106500
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BTC Setup: Watching for a Trap — Bids Below, Flip Above!Scenario 1 (Fakeout & Reversal):
Watch for push to $107,000–$108,000 (potential bull trap)
Close longs on move into resistance zone
Look for reversal signals (SFP, strong rejection) to re-enter lower
Scenario 2 (Sweep and Bounce):
Place bids at/just below $100,272 (1D Support) and within $98,000–$100,000 (FVG)
Target: Move back toward trendline resistance ($107k+)
Stop: Below $97,200
Invalidation:
Structure flips bearish on a clean break/close below $97,200
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
Enter longs only on SFP or strong bounce confirmation in FVG zone
Avoid chasing if price is between $102k–$106k (“no-trade chop”)
📝 Order Placement & Management:
🔼 Buy Limits: $100,300 / $99,000 / $98,000 (staggered bids in FVG)
🛡️ Long Stop: $97,200
🎯 Target: $107,000–$109,000 (trendline resistance)
📝 Take profits on spike to $107k+
🚨 Risk Warning:
Friday volatility, news risk
Avoid new longs above $107k — watch for failed breakout/fakeout
Bitcoin Breaks 20-Jan 2025 Peak Price, New ATH Next (+Altcoins)Look at this, Bitcoin closed the day exactly above the 20-Jan 2025 high. This day Bitcoin peaked at $110,265, the all-time high before May; yesterday, 9-June 2025, Bitcoin peaked at $110,577.4 but closed at $110,270, five dollars higher. Is this a bearish or bullish signal? What to expect!
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
This week starts with a bang, a big bang, with Bitcoin doing great. The question immediately arises and I will answer, Will Bitcoin continue growing? Or, will Bitcoin produce a retrace?
I can tell you with 100% certainty that Bitcoin will continue to grow. I can support this statement with data from the charts.
We have hundreds and hundreds of altcoins going bullish, strongly bullish, some coming out of a new all-time low. If Bitcoin was set to crash, these altcoins wouldn't be gaining in bullish momentum, they would be diving deep much lower in order to create new lows. But this isn't what is happening this week, last week and today, no! What we are seeing now is huge growth across the altcoins market and this confirms what Bitcoin will do next.
Needless to say, as Bitcoin trades near its all-time high this is extremely bullish.
If a new all-time high is hit but the action moves lower, say 10-15% lower and remains there, this is bearish and points to lower prices. If the action remains very close to resistance, as it is now, this is ultra-bullish. It is simple do you agree?
Because when there is an incoming drop many people in the know start to sell, so the action never stays at resistance there is always a strong rejection with high bearish volume.
On the other hand, when resistance is challenged and continues to be hit over and over, or the action stays very close, it simply means that people are buying, holding and ready for growth. Bitcoin will continue moving higher mark my words. It is very easy because this has been confirmed long ago.
The bottom was hit 7-April and we are now experiencing long-term growth. As Bitcoin continues to trade near its all-time high, the altcoins will blow up.
When Bitcoin grows 20-30%, some altcoins can grow 100-200%. When Bitcoin grows 50%, some altcoins can grow 300-500%. This is the 2025 bull market.
Thank you for reading.
Give me a boost if you trade and profits from the altcoins market.
Namaste.
P.S. Leave a comment with your favorite altcoins, I will consider the pair for a few full analysis.
$BTC end of cycleFirstly, as you can see by the red paint, Bitcoin loves to establish trendlines, by turning resisting into supporting trendlines.
Given this, market is still in a bull market & Market will continue to be so till this flips.
Green forecasting follows the above , the EW pattern and previous years correlation after entering euphoric areas (above mid blue trend).
Anywhere in those areas is good to sell & buy the white triangle next year.
Bitcoin - Breakout incoming towards $115k?Introduction
Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating just below a key resistance level over the past several days. This period of sideways movement, without any significant pullbacks, reflects notable strength in the market. Such price behavior often precedes a strong directional move, and in this case, the technical setup continues to favor the possibility of a bullish breakout.
1H BullFlag Pattern
On the 1-hour timeframe, BTC is forming a well-defined bull flag pattern, which is typically a bullish continuation signal. This flag began to develop after BTC surged from approximately $105,000 to $110,000, creating the flagpole that represents the initial wave of upward momentum.
Since that move, price has entered a consolidation phase, forming the flag portion of the pattern with declining volume and tighter price action. If BTC breaks out above the upper boundary of this flag, the measured move target projects a rally toward the $115,000 level. Reaching this target would represent a new all-time high for Bitcoin, signaling a continuation of the broader uptrend.
4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), Downside Scenario
Although the overall structure favors a bullish outcome, it is important to acknowledge the potential for a short-term retracement. On the 4-hour chart, there is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $105,700 and $106,800. If BTC fails to break out immediately, this zone becomes a logical area to monitor.
Price may revisit this imbalance to fill the gap left behind by the recent upward move. A dip into this area could present a strong opportunity for long entries, particularly if buyers step in with conviction. Filling this FVG would allow for a more balanced structure before BTC attempts a sustained move higher.
Conclusion
BTC continues to show impressive resilience as it consolidates near its prior highs. The presence of a bull flag on the lower timeframes, coupled with minimal downside volatility, suggests that a breakout above resistance is becoming increasingly likely.
However, reclaiming the previous all-time high remains a critical step before targeting the projected $115,000 level. How BTC reacts to that key resistance area will provide important insight into the strength of this rally.
At this stage, the bullish case remains the higher probability scenario, while any short-term pullback into the FVG zone could offer a healthy reset and a potential long setup for continuation toward new highs.
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Bitcoin to revisit $100k | Summer price target = $120kGeopolitical tension is causing fear in the markets. Today, Bitcoin fell from $107.7k to current price $105k with no sign of buyer support whatsoever, printing 11 consecutive H1 red candles intraday. Like a hot knife through butter.
At $105k, there is very little support. Sell volume absolutely overshadowed the tiny buy volume. Bulls have yet to close a green candle. I believe in the next few hours Bitcoin will be trading at $104k, followed by the first stop $102k.
$102k can serve as an entry point, depending on how price reacts. $100k is the optimal entry point for maximum profit, after mass liquidations. Retail traders are confident that the liquidity hunt is over after the initial tap, placing stops and liquidation levels at $100k.
Invalidation level will be beyond the 200SMA. The 200SMA have historically proven itself time and time again as a safe zone during rallies after golden crosses.
BTCUSDT: Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The Federal Reserve's potential rate cut is expected to increase market liquidity, driving up prices of risk assets like Bitcoin.
Positive developments in China-U.S. trade talks have boosted market risk appetite, benefiting Bitcoin's price.
Technical Analysis:
Bitcoin rebounded strongly from the June 5 low of $100,377, with the RSI quickly recovering from oversold territory to around 55, indicating robust rebound momentum.
The lower Bollinger Band near $101,000 provided strong support, and price has now returned above the middle band.
Overhead resistance: $107,000 and $108,000
Support levels: $103,000, $101,500, and $100,000
Trading Recommendation for Aggressive Traders
Consider initiating light long positions if price pulls back to the $103,000–$103,500 zone.
Trading Strategy:
buy@ 103000–103500
TP:106000-108000
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BTC/USDT – Rising Wedge Breakdown Looms Near $110K
Idea Summary:
Bitcoin is compressing in a rising wedge on 1D/4H timeframes, approaching resistance around $ 110K–$ 112K. We’re seeing bearish divergence on RSI and MACD, declining volume, and sentiment cooling—signaling a potential breakdown.
Key Confluences:
• Rising wedge pattern (bearish reversal during uptrend) with converging trendlines and falling volume
• RSI divergence: price rising, RSI flattening/declining
• Volume behavior: weaker rallies, distribution-style setup near highs
• Sentiment neutralizing: Fear & Greed Index slipped from ~74 to ~55–60
• Macro backdrop: U.S. inflation cooling, Fed pause in rate hikes → but upcoming FOMC brings volatility risk
Conclusion:
BTC is near a wedge apex with short-term bearish structure forming. A breakdown could test $ 90K–$ 75K, whereas a break above $ 112K invalidates the setup. 📉
Trigger zones:
• Breakdown < $ 105K → triggers short
• Breakout > $ 112K → stop out & pause
💬 Thoughts? Breakdown or breakout next?
BTC: Scalp Long 17/06/25Trade Direction:
BTC Scalp Long
Risk Management:
- 0.25% Risk
- High risk knife catch trade
Reason for Entry:
- 0.886 Retrace
- Weekly Open ideal area for short entries also lines up with a 0.5 corrective move for this leg.
- Oversold on 4 Macro TFs (M15,M30,H1,H2)
Additional Notes:
- Target Weekly Open
- High High Risk which = A very tiny risk on SL. My only trade of the day.
BTC/USDT Long Trade Setup – 1H Chart AnalysisBTC/USDT Long Trade Setup – 1H Chart Analysis
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Hello traders! Sharing a recent long entry I took on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) based on price action and liquidity concepts. This trade is taken on the 1-hour timeframe and aligns with my strategy of combining liquidity sweeps, support zones, and market structure shifts.
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🔍 Trade Overview:
Entry Price: 104,704 USDT
Stop Loss: 103,660 USDT
Take Profit (Target): 108,349 USDT
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 1:3
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🧠 Trade Idea Behind the Entry:
As you can see on the chart, BTC had been in a downtrend and recently made a strong move into a key liquidity zone. This zone had previously seen multiple touches and rejections, making it an area of interest for both buyers and sellers.
The price swept liquidity below the previous low (labelled as “Liquidity Sweep $$$”), grabbing stop losses of early buyers and triggering limit orders of smart money. This move into the liquidity zone was followed by a strong bullish reaction – a signal that buyers may be stepping in.
Additionally, the "Break of Structure" (BOS) confirms a potential shift in market direction. The reaction from the liquidity zone indicates that this level is holding as new support.
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🛠️ Why I Took the Trade:
1. Liquidity Sweep: The wick that pierced the liquidity zone signals stop-hunting and accumulation. These moves often precede a strong reversal.
2. Demand Zone Reaction: After the sweep, the candle closed bullish inside the demand box. This shows buyer strength.
3. Risk Management: The stop loss is set just below the liquidity zone to protect from deeper sweeps while keeping the RR healthy.
4. High Probability Target: The target is placed near the next resistance level around 108,349, which also aligns with a clean imbalance that price may want to fill.
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📊 Technical Confidence:
Confluence Factors:
✅ Liquidity sweep
✅ Demand zone reaction
✅ Market structure shift
✅ High RR
✅ No immediate resistance till target
This type of setup reflects smart money behavior – first pushing price below structure to grab liquidity and then reversing sharply. The bullish momentum after the sweep gave extra confirmation.
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🧭 What I’m Watching Now:
I will continue monitoring how price reacts around the 105,500–106,000 range. If momentum continues with higher highs and higher lows, I may trail my stop loss to lock in profits.
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Let me know what you think of this setup! Have you taken a similar trade or are you waiting for confirmation? Drop your thoughts or charts below 👇
Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and trust the process. 🚀
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep #SmartMoney #CryptoTrading #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeJournal
BTC long if it reclaims or holds ### 🔍 Breakdown of Chart:
* Timeframe: 15m BTCUSDT (Bybit)
* Current Trend: Sharp downtrend from the recent highs
* Zone Marked in Blue: Bullish Order Block / Demand Zone
* Yellow Path: Anticipated reclaim and reversal scenario
* White Curve: Possible double bottom (liquidity sweep)
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### ✅ Why Long Plan Makes Sense:
1. Demand Zone (Blue Block):
This zone has previously caused a strong bullish reaction. It's likely institutional demand may rest here again.
2. Liquidity Grab Below:
Price might sweep the recent low (creating a trap for shorts) before reclaiming. That’s your “double bottom” logic.
3. Reclaim = Confirmation:
Waiting for a reclaim above the zone before longing shows patience and discipline — a smart move to avoid catching a falling knife.
4. Clear Invalidations:
If price fails to reclaim and breaks below the blue zone with momentum, your setup is invalidated — perfect risk control.
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### ⚠️ Caution:
* If the red bearish OB above (around 104.6–104.8K) is respected, you might face rejection there. Consider partial profits before that area.
* Use confirmation (like a bullish engulfing, BOS, or FVG fill) after reclaim.
* If breaks blue zone then we might enter short
BTC | At the Line Between ATH Expansion or Macro FlushBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bulls need to hold the $102k–$100.8k support and 1D 50MA for a shot at new highs.
– Wick into 1D FVG ($98k) is fine, but no daily close below 50MA allowed.
– Lose $100k? Then it’s sideline season — next real support only at $93k/$87k, macro flush risk toward $75k–$58k if momentum fails.
– As long as above 1D support/MA, there’s a chance for a clean ATH breakout from the OB under the highs.
This is the zone to bet on continuation. If not, don’t fight the trend lower.
BTC bullish rally before the fall?I am expecting a bullish Rally to the previous high since it's a third wave of current impulse I'm expecting BUY from here to the target mentioned. Will be exciting if any reversal signs occur. (BTC should touch 140,000+ in 2 months.)
entering buy from 107400
*A fall still pending* BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BTCUSD 4HThis chart presents a bearish setup for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, shared by "Alpha_Gold_Trader." Here's the key breakdown:
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Chart Breakdown
Current Price: Around $105,857
Resistance Zone (Register Point Level): ~$109,000 to ~$111,500
Support Zone (Breakout Level): ~$106,500 to ~$107,500 (pink box)
Bias: Bearish (implied by breakdown and downward projection)
Price Target: Around $95,000, labeled as "TARGET SUCCESSFUL"
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Technical Implication
Price has broken below the support zone marked in pink.
A retest of broken support is anticipated before continuation down (common in breakout setups).
The setup suggests a short trade if price fails to reclaim the broken support and confirms rejection.
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Trading Strategy Outline
Entry: Near $107,000 (on failed retest)
Stop Loss: Above $108,500 (back in the previous range)
Take Profit: ~$95,000 (target zone)
BTCUSDT – Critical Price Zone | High Probability for Price DiscoBitcoin is currently trading in a critical price zone, showing strong momentum and bullish structure. If the current trend holds, there is a high probability for a price discovery move toward the $121,000 level.
Bullish Scenario:
A sustained move above current resistance which is 110k can trigger a breakout.
Targeting $121K as the next key upside level.
Invalidation Level / Stop Loss:
A daily close below $105K will invalidate the bullish structure.
This would likely lead to a deeper correction toward the $95K–$98K support area.
trade Setup Summary:
Entry Zone: green box
Target: $121,000
Stop Loss: Daily close below $105,000
if strong daily close below 105 k will have last chance to buy btc below 0.1 Million dollar
DYOR
BITCOIN BITCOIN weekly candle closed respecting the demand ascending trendline and we have seen buyers return against speculation from elite traders,
the retest of daily roof will be watched for potential rejection at 111-117k, and i will be watching 125k-136k ascending trendline roof should we have a daily break of structure above the current ALTH.
keep eyes on break of the current floor break out on daily, close below will be a a new week rejection ,where we will likely hold sell into 98-97k zone .
BTC-----Sell around 105500, target 104000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 17:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negative lines. The price was consolidating at a high level, but the attached indicator was dead cross, and the closing line yesterday was a long upper lead, and the high point was near the 109,000 area. Why is it difficult to continue the rise? The price did not break the previous high point, the continuity was poor, the technical indicators were not obvious, etc., which are all reference data; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose yesterday, and the US session continued to break the weekend correction high position. The price fell under pressure, the intraday high was 109,000 area, and the intraday retracement low was 106,000 area. There is no obvious direction at present, so the European and American sessions are the focus, so pay attention to the strength and weakness of the European and American sessions and the breakout situation, and then we will layout according to the real-time trend. The European and American sessions are currently showing a downward trend.
Today's BTC short-term trading contract strategy:
The current price is 105,500 and directly short, stop loss in the 106,000 area; the target is the 104,000 area;
BTC/USDT on one-hour Chart ProjectionsThe chart illustrates a classic Inverse Cup and Handle pattern formation. The cup is clearly marked by a rounded top, indicating a reversal structure forming after a previous uptrend. Following the breakdown from the right rim of the cup, the price action has transitioned into a bearish consolidation, forming a potential rising wedge or weak bear flag – both of which typically indicate continuation to the downside.
Key Levels & Trade Setup:
Sell Stop: 104,494
Stop Loss: 106,090
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 102,574
These levels suggest a short-selling strategy with a favorable risk-to-reward setup targeting the breakdown of the handle portion of the pattern.
Indicators:
RSI (14, close) is currently at 42.95, which lies in the neutral-to-bearish territory.
Multiple Bearish RSI Divergences were signaled before the recent drop, supporting the short thesis.
Minor Bullish RSI signals were observed earlier but failed to sustain momentum above the 50 line.
Conclusion:
The technical structure, along with bearish RSI signals and pattern confirmation, suggests that BTC/USDT is likely to experience further downside, especially if price breaks below the 104,494 support. A breakdown from the current ascending structure could lead to the 102,574 support zone being tested in the near term.