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BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas

TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #88👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indexes. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures triggers for the New York session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin has formed a slightly better structure and it seems to be undergoing a trend-aligned correction. ✔️ A trend-aligned correction happens when the market enters a corrective phase, but the sellers are so weak that they can’t even stop the price from rising during the correction, and the price gradually moves upward. 🔑 In this case, since the market is in a corrective phase, if we enter with a tight stop loss, we are likely to get stopped out due to the nature of corrections. So it's better to open positions with a wider stop loss so it doesn't get triggered easily. 📊 One thing to note on the current Bitcoin chart is that we are very close to its most important resistance at 106247. This zone is a very strong supply area, and I think breaking through it won’t be easy. ⚡️ So for now, I suggest not opening any new positions on Bitcoin and instead using dominance charts to open positions on altcoins. 📈 If you already have an open position, I recommend keeping your Bitcoin position open, because if 106247 breaks, your position could become highly profitable. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let’s move on to Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, after breaking the 63.61 level, there was another downward leg down to the 62.65 area, and altcoins made another upward move. ⭐ Currently, the dominance is correcting and has risen to the 63.29 area. I think it’s going through a slight correction since its drop was sharp and needs a bit of a breather. 💥 However, if the 62.65 low gets broken, we can take it as confirmation of the next bearish leg, and if that happens, we can again open positions on altcoins. 📅 Total2 Analysis Now to the Total2 analysis. Yesterday, this index got rejected from the 1.24 top and slightly corrected, but it hasn’t reached the 1.17 area which overlaps with the 0.236 Fibonacci level, so we still haven’t confirmed the start of a correction. ✨ In my opinion, as long as we stay above the 0.382 level, the uptrend remains strong. Only after breaking below this area will we confirm the start of a deeper correction. 🔼 For continuation of the trend, breaking above 1.24 would allow us to open positions on altcoins. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Now to Tether dominance. This index also broke below 4.63 yesterday and dropped to 4.51, and is currently correcting. 🧩 To get confirmation from Tether dominance, a break below 4.51 would signal that we can open long positions on altcoins. 🎲 The simultaneous break of 4.51 and 1.24 could be a strong confirmation if dominance continues to decline. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
3
Current range of BTCAfter BTC distributed over the weekend and turned immediately from distribution into reaccumulation there now could form a second accumulation model 1 or 2. I am looking for good confirmations below this current low for a possible long to the range high of the model. The technical price target for the reaccumulation model is the range high, but there also is supply at the top of the range, which got missed yesterday, so i would look out for that. If this does not work out i am looking for further deviations of the extreme points or simply a retest of a breakout/ breakdown of the range.
by ramon_markiewitz
BTCUSDT✅ New Trade Opportunity on BTCUSDT There’s a new trade opportunity on BTCUSDT. Earlier this morning, I took a trade but chose not to share it due to higher risk — it ended up hitting take profit. Now, I’m entering a new setup and wanted to share it with you. Since BTC is currently trading near all-time highs, I’ve kept the **Risk-to-Reward Ratio conservative at 1:1 for now. However, if I see strong bullish momentum, I may extend the take profit target to \$112,400 — which I believe is likely to be tested later today. 🔍 **Trade Details:** ✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: **111,034.51** ✔️ Take Profit: **111,712.33** ✔️ Stop Loss: **110,479.90** 🔔 **Disclaimer:** This is not financial advice. I'm simply sharing a trade I'm personally taking based on my own system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 **Interested in a systematic, data-driven approach to trading?** 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay informed on future trade ideas and professional market insights.
Long
by Nurlan_PT
Wyckoff Distribution Unfolding: UTAD Confirmed, LPSY In ProgressThe 4H BTC/USDT chart presents a textbook Wyckoff Distribution structure nearing completion: • Buying Climax (BC) defined the supply ceiling • Secondary Test (ST) confirmed resistance zone • Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD) swept above 106K, trapping late breakout buyers • Price is now back at triangle support, potentially forming Last Point of Supply (LPSY) Technical Snapshot (4H): • Current Price: 102,540 • Bollinger Bands: ▸ Upper: 105,400 ▸ Basis: 103,522 ▸ Lower: 101,884 • 55 SMA: 103,642 • RSI: 44.85 (bearish momentum) • Volume: Red bars rising, above 23.7K MA What to Watch For: A confirmed close below the triangle apex and lower Bollinger Band, with RSI below 45 and increased volume, would solidify the LPSY and trigger a likely markdown phase. Until then, the structure remains vulnerable but unconfirmed. Bearish Targets (if breakdown confirms): • TP1: 100,678 (horizontal + psychological) • TP2: 99,595–98,115 (Fib retracement zone) • TP3: Trail below breakdown with 1% callback logic Wyckoff Perspective: This appears to be Phase C, following a clear UTAD. If LPSY forms and support breaks, the market transitions into Phase D with accelerated markdown potential. Holding here may imply range extension or reaccumulation — next 1–2 candles are pivotal.
Short
by BitcoinMillio18
Going Short on BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin has moved up strongly in the last 5 weeks in a 5-wave up move, which is very bullish long term. However, after a 5-wave move, there is usually a 3-wave corrective move to the opposite direction. The most common target will be the Golden Pocket, which is between the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement. Which would be between $86,500 USDT and $81,200 USDT. This move will probably take several weeks, probably between 2 and 4 weeks, before it resumes to the upside. Another point to consider is that the RSI indicator has reached overbought levels, above the 70 level. I would like to see it near oversold levels, 30 level, before considering going long. I hope you find this interesting. Good luck to you
Short
by Raul_Dominguez
BTC trading strategy todayThe recent price trend of Bitcoin has been relatively strong. Driven by some favorable factors, the price of Bitcoin has continued to climb and break through important thresholds. For example, the adjustment of relevant policies by the Federal Reserve has led to market expectations that it may enter a rate - cut cycle ahead of schedule, which has stimulated the price increase of risk assets including Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the continuous inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs indicates that institutional investors have a strong interest in it, providing strong support for the market. It is expected that the price of BTC will continue to rise in the future. BTC trading strategy today: BTCUSDT BUY@103000~104000 SL:102000 TP:109000~110000
Long
by AndyHopkins
An Extended In-Depth BTC/USDT Technical ExaminationThis comprehensive technical analysis offers a granular look into the recent trading activity of BTC/USDT. By dissecting the established market structure, various indicator signals, and crucial volume patterns, we aim to build a detailed picture of the forces at play and the evolving sentiment within this market. 1. The Bedrock: Established Bullish Structure and a History of Ascending Peaks Observing the price action from the designated "STRUCTURE START" point, it's evident that Bitcoin has, for a considerable span, carved out a path indicative of bullish market dominance. This was not a haphazard series of movements but rather a more methodical construction of a positive trend, characterized by the consistent achievement of higher highs. Each successive peak surpassed its predecessor, and often, the subsequent troughs also formed at higher levels than those before them. This pattern of ascending highs and higher lows is a cornerstone of classical technical analysis, widely interpreted as a sign of robust underlying demand and a prevailing optimistic sentiment among market participants. Buyers have demonstrated a recurring willingness to absorb selling pressure and to pay incrementally more for the asset, leading to this stair-step upward progression. This established bullish framework provides the critical context against which more recent, potentially contrasting, signals must be evaluated. It forms the baseline expectation of continued upward momentum that has been challenged by more recent developments. 2. An Early Warning: The Initial Bearish Divergence and Its Eventual Neutralization Well before the most recent price turbulence, an interesting cautionary signal emerged in the form of a "WEAK BEARISH DIVERGENCE," as demarcated by the yellow dashed line connecting price peaks with corresponding RSI peaks. This specific instance occurred when the price chart successfully printed a new, higher high, yet the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator, failed to confirm this strength, instead registering a lower high. Such a discrepancy between price and momentum is a classic bearish divergence. It often suggests that while the price is still being pushed upwards, the underlying buying power or enthusiasm is beginning to wane. It can be an early indicator that the bullish thrust is losing conviction and that the trend might be vulnerable to a pullback or reversal. However, this particular early warning signal did not immediately usher in a significant downturn. As the chart highlights with the red "!" exclamation mark on the RSI, this divergence was subsequently "mitigated." Divergence mitigation can occur in several ways, such as a sharp price correction that pulls the RSI down significantly, effectively "resetting" the oscillator, or a period of sideways consolidation where the RSI drifts lower, resolving the overbought conditions without a major price drop. In this case, the mitigation implied that the bearish undertones indicated by the divergence were either absorbed by renewed buying interest or were not potent enough to derail the overarching uptrend at that juncture. The market seemingly managed to overcome this initial hiccup in momentum, allowing the bullish structure to persist for a while longer. 3. The Volume Narrative: A Tale of Initial Strength Followed by Decisive Weakness at the Apex The volume profile, particularly over the most recent trading days leading up to and including the latest peak, provides crucial insights into market conviction. As BTC/USDT embarked on its ascent towards the recent significant highs, there was a conspicuous and encouraging surge in trading volume. This is visually represented by the taller volume bars, and the green upward arrow on the volume indicator emphasizes this period of high participation. Generally, strong volume accompanying a price rally or a breakout above key resistance levels is considered a bullish confirmation. It suggests broad market participation, institutional interest, and a strong consensus behind the upward move, lending credibility to its sustainability. However, a very different and far more concerning volume pattern emerged during the attempt to retest or potentially exceed this recently established high. As indicated by the red downward-sloping arrow and the prominent red question mark above the volume bars, the trading volume experienced a dramatic and notable decline during this critical retest. This sharp fall-off in volume as the price approached or nominally touched the prior peak is a significant bearish tell. It signals a profound lack of buying conviction at these elevated price levels. Potential interpretations include buyer exhaustion (those willing to buy have already done so), profit-taking by earlier entrants, or an absence of new capital willing to chase the price higher. The failure to decisively break the previous high, especially when accompanied by such diminished volume, often acts as a strong precursor to price rejection, suggesting that the bullish impetus witnessed earlier had significantly dissipated, leaving the market vulnerable. 4. An Unresolved Condition: The Persistent Bearish Divergence Deepens its Roots More recently, and perhaps more alarmingly for bullish prospects, a distinct and more pronounced bearish divergence has taken shape, as explicitly marked in red ("DIV") on the RSI indicator. This divergence materialized as the price action, particularly looking at candle closes, managed to etch out highs that were comparable to, or in some instances slightly above, the peak established just before the sharp subsequent decline. In stark contrast, the RSI painted a very different picture, charting a series of clearly lower highs. This disjuncture, where price holds or inches higher while momentum (as measured by the RSI) visibly weakens, is a classic and often more reliable bearish signal. It implies that the upward price movements are occurring on fumes, with diminishing underlying strength and buying support. What makes this particular divergence especially noteworthy is its resilience. Despite the "relatively violent attack on the lows" observed – a sharp and rapid downward price movement that might typically be expected to "reset" indicators and alleviate overbought conditions or divergences – this bearish divergence was not mitigated. One might anticipate such a forceful sell-off to drive the RSI down substantially, thereby resolving the discrepancy with price. However, in this instance, while the RSI did decline in response to the price drop, it did not fall to a level that would invalidate the pre-existing bearish divergence. Instead, this sequence of events seems to have reaffirmed and potentially extended the divergence. The RSI’s failure to achieve a deep reset during the sell-off, coupled with any subsequent weak price recovery attempts that still keep the RSI relatively subdued compared to its earlier peaks, reinforces the notion that the selling pressure encountered was substantial and that the bulls currently lack the momentum to decisively overcome this prevailing underlying weakness. This persistent, unmitigated divergence, especially when viewed in conjunction with the aforementioned volume weakness at the highs, strongly suggests a more entrenched struggle for the bulls. Conclusion: While it's true that in the very short term, the persistence and extension of the bearish RSI divergence, coupled with volume weakness during the latest attempt to surpass highs, presents a scenario with slightly bearish undertones and warns of a potential corrective or consolidation phase, it is crucial not to lose sight of the broader perspective. The primary price structure, observed since the "STRUCTURE START," continues to exhibit a sequence of higher highs. This is a fundamental pillar that maintains the bullish scenario as the principal and most probable one in the medium term. Therefore, even if the price were to experience a correction and seek lower support levels or even recent lows (such as a potential test of the POC zone or lower marked levels), the priority mindset should remain geared towards identifying buying opportunities. This is because the underlying expectation is that, following a potential corrective or consolidation phase, the price will resume its path to make future attacks on key resistance levels. Seeking long trades, with an eye on surpassing recent highs and continuing the upward trend, remains the predominant strategy. Additionally, it is vital to consider the confluence with the prevailing bullish trend on higher timeframes (daily, weekly). What we are currently observing on this lower timeframe chart could be interpreted as a phase of fractal re-accumulation within the inertia of this larger uptrend. That is, a pattern of consolidation and subsequent continuation that replicates on a smaller scale within a broader bullish movement. Pullbacks, in this context, often serve as opportunities for longer-term traders to add to positions or for new participants to enter in the direction of the main trend. Consequently, while the formation of a short-term bearish setup cannot be entirely dismissed, especially if weakness persists and key supports are broken with conviction and volume, this bearish scenario still lacks the necessary confirmations to consider it dominant or to invalidate the underlying bullish structure. For now, the structure of higher highs and higher lows, supported by the trend on higher timeframes, suggests that any current weakness might be temporary before a new bullish impulse. The underlying bullish structure remains the primary guide until proven otherwise with compelling technical evidence, such as a break and consolidation below significant prior structural lows.
by hiraganime
BTC MSB Short SetupI don't think there's much to say here. This is a MSB, even though there's little structure. As there's no structure for resistance the last HL wick just becomes the entry (for the LH). If price manages to get decently above this entry, I'll cut it and take the loss. Most structure has been formed here at the lows, so if price manages to get decently above my entry, it also gets above this structure, thus providing support which could make price jump up pretty quick as there's been little structure formed on the downmove. Full 1R entry with SL red dashed line.
Short
by EyyJasper
2025.05.19 bitcoin analysis Here is the current Bitcoin chart. The daily ascending trendline previously mentioned has now been broken. However, I still believe there is a chance for a rebound because the support zone around 102,500 (highlighted with the purple circle since May 16th) is still holding. From my perspective, a minor rebound is underway, but I expect Bitcoin to drop down to the red box zone, which was the previous consolidation area after the uptrend. Whether this red box zone holds or not will be crucial. If it breaks down, as mentioned yesterday, there’s a high chance of further correction toward 100,678 → 98,800 → 94,450. Conclusion: The daily uptrend line is broken. (As this is a very critical zone, I personally recommend closing positions if in profit.) A bounce occurred from the support zone, but if it comes down again, it may break the previous low and head toward 100,678. A break below 100,678 would likely signal a full trend reversal.
Short
by Greedy_allday
$BTC / USDT - What Next??CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update: BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Bitcoin is trading within an ascending triangle pattern, which is typically considered a bullish structure. It is advisable to wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown from this pattern before considering any entries. The chart color-codes all potential support zones, ranging from minor to major zones, based on their relative strength. The red resistance zone remains unchanged and continues to act as a key supply area.
by CmpCryptoInsights
Btcusdt forming bearish h&s pattern in 1hr time frameA bearish head and shoulders pattern is forming on the 1-hour BTCUSDT chart. A close below 101464 on the 1-hour timeframe may activate the pattern. However, since we are back in an uptrend, I would not trade this pattern. Alternatively, if the price touches the liquidity sweep area and forms a rejection, I might consider a short entry with lower risk exposure, say 0.5% instead of the regular 1%. If a rejection forms, we can consider an entry with a stop-loss placed above the peak of the right shoulder, which would invalidate the pattern. The targets are 99400 and 98100. If you're a bull looking for an entry, a target within this pattern is a good entry point preferably the 98100 area. The only question is, where is your stop loss? Other traders know how to enter on a bounce, but I don't. So, I will stick to my strategy unless I'm doing a DCA then just, hold and forget.
Short
by axxxis666
BTC trading strategy today1. Macroeconomic Factors: Expectations of Federal Reserve Policy Adjustments Market speculation about the Federal Reserve potentially entering an early rate-cutting cycle has played a pivotal role. If interest rates are reduced, capital becomes "cheaper," prompting investors to seek new investment avenues. Bitcoin, viewed as a high-potential asset for generating returns, has become a focal point for capital inflows. This surge in demand directly drives price appreciation. 2. Institutional Investor Activity: Continuous Inflows into Bitcoin ETFs Institutional participation has been a critical catalyst. Major financial institutions like BlackRock have expanded their exposure to Bitcoin through ETFs and other investment vehicles, creating a strong market signal of confidence. This institutional validation has not only reinforced Bitcoin’s credibility but also attracted retail and institutional capital alike, amplifying upward price momentum. BTC trading strategy today: BTCUSDT BUY@105000~106000 SL:103000 TP:111000~112000
Long
by AndyHopkins