BTC/USDT: 2Potential Long Scenarios Within the Ascending ChannelHello guys!
There are two scenarios here:
Scenario 1: Breakout Continuation (Aggressive Long Entry)
Entry Zone: Around the current price (~$103,000–$104,000)
Reasoning: Price has bounced from the lower boundary of the channel and is now pushing higher with strong momentum. An aggressive long position can be considered with expectations that BTC will continue climbing toward the upper resistance line of the channel.
Target Zone: $110,000–$114,000 (marked in the yellow box)
Scenario 2: Pullback to Support (Conservative Long Entry)
Entry Zone: Between $96,000–$99,715
Reasoning: If BTC faces rejection near current levels or the midline of the channel, a healthy correction could bring the price back to a key demand zone, aligning with the lower trendline and horizontal support levels.
Target Zone: Same upper boundary of the channel ($110,000–$114,000)
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTC/USDT Scalping Opportunity – Fib & Trendline Confluence!As analyzed, BTC is sitting perfectly at the Fibonacci level combined with trendline support – a strong confluence zone for a long scalp.
📌 Entry 1: 101.8k
📌 Entry 2: 101.6k
🛡️ Stop Loss: 1hr candle close below 101.4k
🎯 Target: 300 – 1000 points
This zone has been tested and respected multiple times. We either bounce strong from here or hunt the liquidity at 100.7k before reversal. Both plans are marked in green – stay sharp!
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Scalping #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #Trendline #FibStrategy
HolderStat┆BTCUSD channel run to 115kAfter February’s strong consolidation wedge cracked, Bitcoin price rebounded, carving a fresh ascending channel that sits snug on wedge support above 100 k. Each mini‑consolidation has resolved higher, and the current leg projects into the 112‑115 k new‑ATH rail drawn on the chart. Pullbacks toward 100‑102 k are structurally healthy so long as the lower trend‑line stays intact, keeping the broader BTC breakout narrative alive.
BTC 15M APEX ENTRY Confirmed by 1H TrendThis 15-minute Apex Entry aligned with the 1H trend, avoiding fakeouts and confirming direction.
The Tenoris Apex Suite uses real-time support/resistance detection and multi-timeframe logic to identify breakout entries with zero lag.
I use this method to focus only on trades that align across key timeframes.
Not financial advice – just sharing how I trade.
For access, see profile bio.
BITCOIN → Consolidation before the rally. 106K - 110K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT , after breaking out of consolidation at 97,860 and distributing to 104,300, has returned to a consolidation phase, which is generally a positive sign for possible continued growth.
The growth of Bitcoin is linked to several reasons:
General improvement in the global market situation — easing of trade conflicts; Expectations of a US Fed rate cut; Influx of investment into Bitcoin ETFs
Technically , we see the price breaking out of its local downtrend and entering a strong distribution phase. The northern train continues to pick up passengers.
At this stage, I would like to draw your attention to the consolidation at 104300 - 102300. A rebound from resistance is currently forming, and we need to monitor the levels of 103300 - 102300 - 101700. These are quite important areas of interest. A false breakdown (liquidity capture) may form before further growth. A return to resistance and the formation of pre-breakout consolidation, for example between 104300 and 103300, will only increase the chances of a breakout of resistance and growth to 106-107K.
Resistance levels: 104300
Support levels: 103300, 102300, 101700
The trend is bullish, with Bitcoin consolidating. The coin is not going to fall (at the moment), but to build up potential, the price may form a false breakdown of support (a deceptive maneuver) before continuing to rise. Retesting the 104300 level could lead to a breakout and upward distribution.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC decision time (16th-19th May)Its as simple as this. Fib Time Zone has accurately picked high, low, pause and now comes to a critical juncture. Could we finally be seeing the beginning of a bull run for all crypto assets or will we begin a bear market.
Note time until end is in 460 days from May.
My view
End of May, June, July heavy upside for crypto.
BTC up till $140-145k (may wick to 150k)
July, Aug - The whales party in Europe again and expect a 30-35% drop - potentially back to $100k.
Sept - Dec - Pumpamentals. Everyone is happy. Expect another 30% dump and a final blow out top (the one where you see thousands of posts on Instagram, X etc that they have their lambos.
If my thesis is correct, bull market ends March-June 2026.
BTCUSD – Multi-TF Bearish SFP & Fib Retrace Before ATH Rebound
Bearish SFP printed on 4H / 8H / 12H / 1D at $103 345 – $104 985 after a parabolic ~$94 k → $104 k run and multiple rejections at $104 k–$106 k resistance.
Trump tariff-cut announcement sparked a sharp spike into resistance that was quickly sold off, confirming heavy supply at $104 k – $106 k.
Baseline plan: drop to 0.786 Fib ~$102 586, then 0.618 Fib ~$100 613, before a push toward the ATH ~$109 588.
Trade Setups
Short – SFP Breakdown
Trigger: 4H close below $103 345
Entry: ≈ $103 300 on retest
SL: $105 500 (above swing high)
TP1: 0.786 Fib ≈ $102 586 RR ≈ 0.7
TP2: 0.618 Fib ≈ $100 613 RR ≈ 2.6
Long – Fib Rebound
Trigger: Bullish reversal at 0.618 Fib / FVG cluster ≈ $100 613
SL: $99 300 (below FVG)
TP1: SFP top / range high ≈ $104 145 RR ≈ 2.7
TP2: ATH ≈ $109 588 RR ≈ 6.8
BTC New Update (12H)The upward wave appears to be a complex correction. Price may retrace downward either from this area or from the red box, and then we could see another strong bullish move from Bitcoin starting from the green zone.
It doesn’t matter where the rejection occurs | what matters is the green Rebuy zone marked on the chart.
In the green zone, we are looking for buy/long positions.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC at Critical DP: Rising Wedge Breakdown or Bounce?!Hello guys!
1. Bearish Breakdown (Primary Setup):
If price breaks below the rising wedge support and sweeps the recent low, it confirms the breakdown.
This would be a strong signal to enter short positions, with a downside target around the 99,000–98,500 zone.
Breakdown confirmation: Close below both wedge support and the horizontal support from the previous swing low.
2. Bullish Bounce (Alternative Setup):
If price respects the wedge support and shows bullish momentum (e.g., strong wick rejections or bullish engulfing candle), the wedge may invalidate.
In this case, look for long opportunities targeting the upper wedge boundary and possibly higher resistance zones beyond 104,000.
📌 Strategy Summary:
🔻 Breakdown = SHORT to target area (below 100K)
🔺 Support holds = LONG toward 104K+
Risk management is crucial here, as the pattern is at a tipping point. Wait for a clear breakout or bounce before entering a position.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 103200.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 103708
First target: 104152
Second target: 104900
Third target: 105900
BTC Approaches All-Time High — But Signs of Weakness Emerge!BTC is once again approaching its all-time high (ATH) on the daily timeframe, generating excitement across the market. However, a closer look at the lower timeframes reveals signs of potential exhaustion as BTC encounters strong resistance. This suggests a pullback could occur before any continuation higher.
On the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, BTC is currently trading within a rising channel, which is often considered a bearish continuation pattern, especially when it forms directly below a key resistance level like the ATH. Price action within this structure is starting to lose momentum, and the presence of bearish divergences and decreasing volume further supports the likelihood of a near-term correction.
Where Could We Buy the Dip?
A pullback may offer a strategic entry opportunity for traders looking to ride the next leg up. Notably, two fair value gaps (FVGs) were created during the recent upward move. The first FVG could provide a minor bounce, but the second one is more compelling for a higher-probability long setup.
This second FVG aligns with a well-established support zone and coincides with the Golden Pocket of the Fibonacci retracement (between the 0.618 and 0.65 levels). This confluence of technical factors makes it a strong area of interest for bulls, and a potential springboard for price to retest, and possibly break, the ATH.
In summary, while BTC is showing strength on the higher timeframes, lower timeframe patterns suggest that a healthy correction is likely. Patience and proper level selection will be key. Watching how price reacts around the second FVG and the Golden Pocket zone may present one of the best opportunities for re-entry.
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BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-05-15 18:00 UTCBTC/USDT Technical Analysis
Timeframe: 15-minute (Binance Spot)
Composite Bias: 🟢 Bullish
Key Levels
Immediate Support: $103,450 (Previous swing low + ATR-based floor)
Secondary Support: $103,000 (Psychological level + oversold RSI recovery zone)
Resistance: $104,200 (Local high, MACD convergence point)
Breakout Target: $104,500 (Measured move from recent consolidation)
Technical Rationale
MACD Bearish Crossover (Signal line > MACD, histogram negative) suggests short-term pullback risk, but RSI at 59.9 (neutral) leaves room for recovery.
ATR at 156.89 reflects elevated volatility; often a precursor to directional moves.
Volume & Structure
Volume is below average during the latest uptick, raising concerns about rally sustainability (Quant Team flags this as a low-conviction move).
Price was rejected at $103,960 after an earlier RSI dip to 7.7, confirming aggressive dip-buying interest.
Macro Context
Despite the bearish MACD crossover, trend strength score at 0.23 suggests weak downside momentum.
Earlier extreme oversold RSI (<10) is often followed by sharp reversals in BTC.
Risk Advisory (Compliance Division)
False Breakout Risk: Low volume on upticks increases the chance of traps — confirm any breakout with ≥0.5x average volume.
Macro Sensitivity: Fed policy uncertainty remains a headwind; monitor correlations with equities.
Liquidity Gaps: Thin order books between $103,800–$104,200 may amplify volatility.
Actionable Insight
Entry: $103,500–$103,600 (retest of support confluence)
Stop-Loss: Below $103,300 (1.5x ATR buffer)
Take-Profit: Partial at $104,200 if volume confirms.
Emphasize asymmetric reward/risk if $103,000 holds, but await volume confirmation before high-conviction entry.
BTC - Ranges overview (update) Let's get back to BTC and let's see how the pa moved in the past days.
As we noted previously IF we held the HTF FVG (yellow box) we should expect to trade back towards 90K-100K.
We held perfectly and traded back towards our target. Hopefully the scalpers amongst you guys managed to get some nice entries (feel free to go back to the previous idea and watch how we managed to call out the 'bottom'.
What is next...
IF we 100K expect us to aggressively trade towards price discovery and new all time highs.
IF we fail to hold 90K expect us to trade back towards 80K.
Pretty simple...BE PATIENT...LET THE MARKET SHOW YOU ITS HAND...AND TRADE WITH IT.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
Update! $BTC range Bound... Consolidation? Breakout? Breakdown? CRYPTOCAP:BTC appears to have formed a range: between approximately between 76800 and 104,300
Current price: 104300
Here are the key observations:
Key resistance zone is around 104300 - Price has tested this level multiple times but failed to close above it decisively.
Clear to say that A break above which will lead to All time highs possibly up to 135k
If #BTC Bitcoin continues to reject this level then expect these layers of support to be tested:
97700 and then 91100
CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains bullish if prices remains above 91100. Further break down will lead to bottom of range 84100 and 76800 (coinciding with 200 EMA )
Trading Implications:
For Longs: Avoid new positions unless there's a breakout with volume above $105,000.
For Shorts: This is a possible scalp opportunity near the top of the range, with a stop slightly above $105,000.
Not financial Advice!
Will Bitcoin Break This Resistance ?BITCOIN is once again at a critical resistance level, and the crypto world is split.
Some believe we’re gearing up for a new all-time high (ATH), while others argue the top is already in—and this could be a classic bull trap in disguise.
The key lies in how price reacts to this zone.
• A breakout above $109K would confirm a new ATH and likely spark another leg up.
• But a strong rejection here might signal that the rally was a trap, echoing patterns we’ve seen in past cycles.
My Take: We’re at a make-or-break moment. Confirmation from this level will decide the next big move.
What’s your take—breakout or bull trap?
#BTC/USDT Bullish Crossover in Play!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update: Bitcoin is currently holding support and showing signs of strength with a bullish EMA crossover — the 50 EMA crossing above the 100 EMA, which historically signals upward momentum based on past fractals.
The lower support zone is marked in blue, in case the price dips further.
Immediate resistance remains at the GETTEX:98K level — a confirmed close above this could trigger a move toward $103K.
Stay tuned for more real-time updates.
Do hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
Thank you
BTC Short Setup – High Leverage Precision Trade (30x)Description:
Shorting BTC with a tight strategy and calculated risk:
Entry: $105,200
Leverage: 30x
Margin: $400
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $104,600 → Book 25%
TP2: $102,800 → Book 50%
TP3: $10,000 → Close Remaining
⚠️ High-risk, high-reward play. Use proper risk management.
Bitcoin Breaks Wedge! Correction Coming Before Next Leg? After Trump said in the press conference, " Better go out and buy stocks now ." The SPX500 index started pumping , and as I said in the ideas of the last few days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )'s correlation with this index has increased. Bitcoin also started pumping.
Yesterday's Bitcoin pump succeeded in failing the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern , generally, if the reversal pattern fails, it will play a continuation role .
Bitcoin is moving between the Support zone($100,270-$97,700) and the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,865) . The question is whether Bitcoin will touch the Support zone($100,270-$97,700) again and move towards the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,865) or will it continue its upward trend.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed microwave 3 of the main wave 5 . We can expect an even Time Correction on Saturday and Sunday when trading volume is low . There is also a possibility that microwave 4 of the main wave 5 in Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($101,838-$101,432) will be completed.
One of the reasons I think we should wait for a correction is the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart, which we used as a guide in previous ideas .
USDT.D% has reached Monthly Support(1) and a Heavy Support zone(4.73%-4.50%) , which I believe is unlikely to be broken within in first attack , and I expect an increase to the Fibonacci lines on the chart.
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again after a correction .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $105,114-$104,100
Note: If Bitcoin touches $97,500, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTCUSDT Non stop pumping (Soon or late another ATH cooking)As we can see price is near ATH resistance zone and we are looking for maybe a short-term correction and rest and soon after that more pump here is expected like green arrows and even breakout of ATH and new ATH like 113K$ or 120K$ is cooking for next two months.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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Bitcoin is not going anywhere in the medium term: $68,000Bitcoin 4-hour chart: Analysis using equilibrium levels and price saturation levels from the January 2025 ceiling: After breaking the main zone, the candles failed to break the blue equilibrium line below, and the candles are turning and hitting the blue equilibrium line above to maintain balance... Due to the main zone breakdown, the candles will reach the middle zone in the medium term... Range of $65,000 to $69,000
Note: Equilibrium analyses may be slightly delayed due to the big-image view of the market, but the targets will be touched in the market.
2025.05.15 BITCOIN LONGWe are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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The formation of the Deep Gartley pattern has been clearly confirmed, suggesting a valid short-term rebound scenario.
Buying pressure is emerging at the current price level, reinforcing the reliability of the pattern.
Short-term target levels are as follows:
1st Target: 102,807
2nd Target: 103,629
3rd Target: 104,567
Risk management is advised upon entry, and price action around each target level should be closely monitored.
As market volatility may increase, it is recommended to confirm signals in conjunction with supplementary indicators.