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BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas

BTC Monthly chart very bullish BTC Monthly chart very bullish Peoples are highly bearish in this time speculating a breakdown from 90k to 85k or 75 but for me if we breakdown from 90k the bull market will be over at closing below weekly or M\ look at the charts we have HTF Monthly breakout do u expect its easy to break without playing big whales wants you to washout first same they did at 15k and starts parabola moves those who say we are going below un subscribe until u are proven right. just image break of 108k and fly your money i am not financial advise i am presenting my idea when all media is telling you we will see 85 to 75k i am showing you through my charts what we will see DIYOR support my Idea
Long
by MehranSwingTraders
1
BTC12h 14jan update - Patience Amid Volatility This WeekThe recent price action has played out beautifully, taking out last week’s low and last month’s low, only to reclaim firmly the yearly open () & (). Today's update illustrates the ranges I’ve added for better clarity on the current structure, but the original ideas are still in play Monday’s Range (pdL - pdH): This defines our local range, providing immediate levels to monitor. December’s Low/High (pmL - pmH): This establishes our trading range, capturing broader market behavior. Yearly Open (yO): A critical pivot level that has been reclaimed, marking a bullish shift in sentiment. Current Outlook: Dips are still for buying, and even if the price revisits the local supply zone, there’s no need to FOMO. My expectation is for one more shakeout or consolidation before we see a strong move toward new highs. Market Context: This week is packed with significant catalysts, including CPI data, retail sales, and geopolitical events like the inauguration, which could trigger volatility. These events could act as a “sell the news” setup or pave the way for higher volatility—either way, patience will provide much safer entries. Strategy: Even if we don’t see a dump, allowing the dust to settle will offer clearer levels to work with. My hunch is that we’re not done with volatility yet, and the next major move could provide an excellent opportunity for positioning. Hold your levels and let the market show its hand as I still believe that higher targets remain intact once this consolidation completes🍾
by CanIGetARoar
1
Bitcoin (BTC): technical and fundamental analysis. Altseason. The price of Bitcoin has declined following the release of labor market data (JOLTS) and the FOMC meeting minutes, where Fed officials expressed concerns about the impact of Donald Trump's policies on the U.S. economy. BTC's price has once again fallen below the 200 EMA line and is currently retesting the support block at 90,000–91,000, which it has repeatedly bounced off over the past month. If Bitcoin breaks below this level under selling pressure, we anticipate a continued correction into the 4H Imbalance zone, located between the 0.5 and 0.61 Fibonacci levels. In this area, reversal patterns can be sought for building short-term long positions in the 87,000–82,000 range. The likelihood of further decline is indicated by the crossing of the EMA 200 and EMA 50 moving average lines. At the same time, the RSI indicator is already near its lower limits, offering hope for a quick end to the correction if the support levels of 87,000 and 80,000 hold against the sellers' pressure. For Bitcoin to resume its upward trend, it needs to break above the dynamic resistance of the 200 EMA and hold above the psychological level of 100,000. In that case, we would expect further growth with a retest of the resistance block at 108,000–110,000 and a potential update of the all-time high. 📉 Bitcoin market global analysis. When does the altseason start? On the daily logarithmic chart, the RSI indicator has crossed below the midline, suggesting a continued correction is likely. During Bitcoin’s rapid growth in November 2024, an Imbalance 1D zone formed in the 77,000–85,000 range, characterized by significant gaps at horizontal trading volume levels that need to be filled through consolidations. After the correction is complete, the next target for Bitcoin's price growth could be the global trendline, drawn based on the two peaks of the previous growth cycle. This line may be tested around the 120,000 level, as confirmed by the analysis of large order blocks in exchange order books. Meanwhile, the crypto market is gearing up for the much-anticipated altseason—a period when altcoins outperform Bitcoin in returns. Altseason typically follows Bitcoin's new all-time high and its consolidation within that range, as investors reinvest profits into other coins to maximize gains. However, the upcoming altseason will likely differ from previous ones due to the influx of institutional funds via Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs and the tightening regulation of crypto assets. Historically, in 2017 and 2021, the start of altseason coincided with a decline in Bitcoin's market dominance. A drop in Bitcoin's share of total market capitalization below 50% could signal the beginning of altseason. Additionally, altseason often aligns with moments when Bitcoin reaches the upper boundary of the Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart. 💠 Analysis of liquidity zones and levels The Fear and Greed Index remains in the Greed Zone - 69. The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has fallen to $3.19 billion, while the Bitcoin Dominance Index has risen to 57.94. According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in the order books, the supply and demand zones are located at the following levels: 🟢 Demand Zone: 80,000 - 91,000 🔴 Supply Zone: 105,000 - 120,000 Levels for long positions: 90,000 - psychological support level 87,000 - 88,000 - large support block 80,000 - large support block Levels for short positions: 105,000 - largest resistance block 110,000 - largest resistance block 120,000 - ascending trend line of resistance 📊 Fundamental analysis At the December meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) discussed various topics, ranging from inflation risks to the anticipated slowdown in rate cuts. Fed officials expressed concerns that Trump’s proposed trade and immigration policies could intensify inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, fresh U.S. labor market data may push the Fed to abandon further rate reductions. The cryptocurrency market reacted sharply, with significant price declines. At the same time, financial analysts predict that the current bull market could become the longest in the history of the cryptocurrency industry. Investor optimism regarding a continued crypto rally surged after Bitcoin reclaimed levels above $100,000, following news that the largest BTC investor among public companies, MicroStrategy, resumed its coin purchases. The company acquired 1,070 Bitcoins for $101 million, bringing its total holdings to 447,470 BTC. Experts believe the cryptocurrency market’s peak will occur in mid-2025, followed by a steep decline. Net liquidity of $57 billion, expected to flow into the market in the first quarter, may temporarily support the bull market. However, economic pressures are likely to trigger a correction. These projections are based on an analysis of market liquidity and the impact of political events, as U.S. dollar liquidity remains a critical factor in crypto market dynamics. Changes in Fed policy and U.S. Treasury operations could lead to significant volatility. 🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy We expect increased volatility in both stock and cryptocurrency markets on the following dates: ➤ 01/15, 16:30 - U.S. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI). ➤ 01/16, 16:30 - U.S. Initial Jobless Claims. ➤ 01/29, 22:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision. ➤ 03/19, 22:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision. 📈 Statistics of signals from our AI trading indicator : In December 2024, the price of Bitcoin updated its historical maximum, then a correction began. Our trading indicator, as always, warned about this in advance! And even during the flat period it gave good entry points. Thanks to the latest updates, all signals have become profitable, and built-in Anti-Flat System prevented losses from manipulative market movements. 😎 Total price movement by all signals: + 45.09% Maximum price movement: + 11.17% Average price movement: + 5.01% In addition, I would like to share the forecast of the latest Bitcoin price action by our AI, which not only indicates the direction, but also builds the trajectory of further price movement:
by TradeINEX
BITCOIN - Price can little correct and then continue growHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago, the price rose to resistance line and then turned around and dropped to support line, which started to grow. Then BTC rose to almost to resistance level, after which made a correction to support line and then continued to rise. Soon, BTC broke $102000 level and reached resistance line, after which price turned around and made downward impulse. Price broke $102000 level with support line and started to trades inside flat, where it reached $92600 level. BTC some time traded inside this level, and later price bounced and reached resistance level. Recently it fell to support level and then started to grow, so, I think it little correct and then continue to grow to $99900 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
14
Bitcoin can exit from pennant and rise to 97300 resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago started to trade inside the upward channel, where it at once rebounded from the buyer zone and rose a little. After this, it corrected to the support level and then in a short time rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, but when it reached this level, BTC at once made a small correction. Next, the price finally broke this level and rose to the channel's resistance line, after which it made a correction and some time traded inside the seller zone. Later, the price made an upward impulse, exiting from the upward channel and when it reached 102K points, BTC turned around and started to decline inside the downward pennant. In this pattern, the price dropped to the support line of the pennant, breaking the 97300 and 93300 levels, after which it started to grow. Recently, Bitcoin reached the resistance line of the pennant pattern, breaking the 93300 level. So, given the current market conditions, I expect that BTC can exit from the pennant and then make a correction to the support level. After this movement, the price can start to move up to the 97300 resistance level. For this case, I set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
Bitcoin Inches Closer to Breaking Point: What’s Next?Bitcoin Faces a Decisive Moment: Will It Break Through? Bitcoin is trading at 96,829.3, marking a 10.7% drop from its all-time high of 108,421.6, achieved just 29 days ago. Market indicators paint a mixed picture: RSI14 at 60.2 signals an approach to overbought territory, while MFI remains steady at 54.8, hinting at moderate market momentum. Adding to the tension, a VSA Sell Pattern 2 has emerged, suggesting a potential short-term pullback. The critical levels to watch are 94,568 as support and 100,606 as resistance—key points that could determine the direction of Bitcoin’s next major move. Will the bulls regain control and push Bitcoin beyond its resistance, or will the bears drive a correction toward the lower support levels? The stakes are high, and today could set the stage for weeks to come. Are you ready to navigate this pivotal moment? Bitcoin Pattern Roadmap: Key Moves and What They Mean Understanding Bitcoin’s recent price movements through the lens of patterns provides traders with valuable insights into the market's rhythm. Below is a detailed roadmap based on the sequential analysis of VSA and volume-based patterns. Only the patterns that correctly confirmed their trigger points and main directions are included to give you a focused view of the market’s true behavior. January 13, 2025 – VSA Sell Pattern 2 : This sell pattern emerged with a main direction of downward pressure, starting from an open of 97,150.0 and closing at 96,655.5. The next price action confirmed the bearish sentiment as the market continued to dip, validating this signal. January 13, 2025 – Increased Buy Volumes : Just hours later, buy volumes spiked, signaling potential recovery. The open at 91,080.9 led to a close of 91,784.8, and this bullish momentum carried through the following session, reinforcing confidence in this pattern’s accuracy. January 13, 2025 – Sell Volumes Takeover : Although the main direction suggested bullish activity, this pattern didn’t fully validate, as subsequent candles demonstrated indecision. This indicates it might have been a false signal. January 12, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 1 : This key pattern predicted upward momentum with an open at 93,862.8 and a close at 93,973.9. Its main direction played out as expected, with prices climbing steadily in subsequent bars, cementing its effectiveness. January 11, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 3 : Marking another bullish signal, this pattern triggered upward movement from 94,024.2 to 94,323.5. The continuation of this trend confirmed it as a reliable forecast for the short term. What Does This Mean for Traders? Each pattern, when validated by subsequent price action, adds to the roadmap of Bitcoin’s trajectory. The market’s consistent respect for key support and resistance levels underscores the reliability of technical patterns. Use this roadmap to position yourself strategically, keeping an eye on similar setups to anticipate the next big move. Are you ready to align with the market’s flow? Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels When it comes to Bitcoin, traders know the game revolves around critical support and resistance zones. These levels act as battle lines between bulls and bears, determining the market’s next big move. Let’s break them down: Support Levels: 94,568 – A short-term safety net; losing this could bring the price closer to bearish territory. Resistance Levels: 100,606 – The immediate hurdle for bulls; cracking this will likely spark another rally. 106,064.7 – A critical zone, closely tied to Bitcoin’s previous highs. Powerful Support Levels: 76,701.7 – A major fallback point for long-term bulls; losing this would signal deeper corrections. 67,838.7 – A heavy-duty level that has historically held strong. 60,295.6 – The last line of defense before bears fully take over. Powerful Resistance Levels: 47,122.4 – A significant cap that has consistently rejected upward momentum in prior moves. 28,696.9 – The line in the sand for lower-range movements. What Happens If Levels Break? In trading, it’s all about respecting the levels. If these supports don’t hold, you can bet they’ll flip to resistance zones, making it harder for bulls to reclaim lost ground. Conversely, breaking through resistance means these levels often become strong floors, giving momentum traders something solid to lean on. Always keep an eye on these key points—they’re your roadmap to understanding where the action will heat up next. Concept of Rays: Precision Trading with Dynamic Levels The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept revolutionizes technical analysis by leveraging Fibonacci-based rays that dynamically adapt to market conditions. Unlike traditional methods, these rays are drawn from the origin of a movement pattern, allowing traders to anticipate price reactions with unmatched precision. Let’s dive into how this works and explore two trading scenarios for Bitcoin using data from the latest analysis. Core Concept: Trading with Rays Price interactions with rays signal high-probability zones for either reversals or continuations. These interactions, combined with moving averages and VSA patterns, create a powerful framework for identifying entry and exit points. The first movement usually extends from one ray to the next, offering defined profit targets at each level. Two Scenarios for Trading Rays Optimistic Scenario: Bitcoin breaks through resistance at 100,606 (MA50 intersection) after interacting with an ascending ray. This move could target the next ray and establish: First target: 106,064.7 (Resistance Level). Second target: A retest of the 108,421.6 all-time high. If momentum sustains, price may form a new trend, requiring recalibration of rays to extend future targets. Pessimistic Scenario: Bitcoin fails to hold support at 94,568 and interacts with a descending ray, initiating a deeper correction. Likely targets: First target: 76,701.7 (Powerful Support Level). Second target: 67,838.7, marking a significant bearish continuation zone. In this case, descending rays will guide the market lower, adjusting with each corrective phase. Trade Opportunities Based on Rays Long Trade : Enter at 94,568 support after confirming interaction with an ascending ray and bullish VSA pattern. First target: 100,606; Second target: 106,064.7. Short Trade : Enter below 94,568 after interaction with a descending ray and bearish VSA confirmation. First target: 76,701.7; Second target: 67,838.7. Breakout Long : Position after a confirmed breakout above 100,606, targeting 106,064.7 as the next ray intersection. Reversal Short : Look for rejection at 106,064.7 and enter a short trade, targeting a return to 100,606. Key Insights for Traders The power of rays lies in their adaptability. Whether in bullish or bearish conditions, rays dynamically update to reflect new patterns. Traders can confidently position themselves after price interaction with these rays, knowing that the movement will likely extend to the next ray. Each target is clearly defined, providing a structured path for managing risk and reward. Combine these strategies with the VSA patterns visible on your charts to sharpen your execution and stay ahead of the market. Are you ready to trade with precision? What’s Next? Let’s Talk and Trade Together If you’ve got questions or want to dive deeper into this analysis, drop them in the comments below—I’m always happy to discuss and share insights. Don’t forget to give this post a Boost and save it to revisit later. Watching how the price respects the rays and levels is one of the best ways to truly understand trading and refine your strategy. My proprietary indicator draws all the rays and levels automatically, but it’s available only privately. If you’re interested in using it, just send me a message—I’ll walk you through how it works. And yes, the same approach applies to any asset, not just Bitcoin. If there’s a particular market you’d like analyzed, let me know! Some analyses I can share openly, while others can be done privately, tailored to your needs. Finally, if you’re curious about how price moves along these rays or want me to chart a specific asset for you, make sure to Boost this idea and share your request in the comments. I’ll do my best to cover as many as possible. Follow me here on TradingView to stay updated—this is where I share my ideas and insights regularly. Let’s trade smarter, together!
Long
by brandlabelden
MY VIEW ON BTC 1.The price has approached the support level, where it has found buyer activity 4 times before - a bullish signal! 2. After breaking through the 91.689 level, a shadow was formed due to the stops of longs and the price returned to the previous range. 3. On the OBV chart, you can see that the price recovery was accompanied by a significant volume of buyers. The marked pattern on the OBV occurs regularly during false breakouts. EXPECTATIONS: 1. the price may test the entire shadow length to 89.600 and return back to the range 2. If the price consolidates at 91.700, we can expect a smooth hike to the upper limit of 102.865.
Long
by LemonBrazers
Bitcoin Market Update•Bitcoin recently experienced a liquidity grab to the downside, touching a key support level. At this stage, it’s important to wait for confirmation of a bounce through bullish candlestick patterns, RSI divergence, or increased volume. •A break above local resistance or a successful retest of the support level would signal a potential reversal, providing an opportunity to enter the market with appropriate risk management, such as placing a stop-loss below the recent swing low and targeting prior resistance zones or Fibonacci levels.
by Eliebf13
Why is BTC down today?Stocks and crypto both down the last couple of days. BTC often levers the remainder of the cryptosphere up and down based on it's own direction. Very much like a teacher and a group of students. Most will do what they're told, but there will also sometimes be a couple of rogues that don't follow the pack. With regards to BTC, we could be looking at a head and shoulders top. We've seen a piercing of the neckline today, only to rebound back above it. I'd say that if we see a decisive open and close below the neckline on a 4HR timeframe (minimum) H&S will be confirmed and we'll be down to the long purple box where there lies good resistance. Fear not! This is normal, natural and if you're an investor don't go chopping and changing. Just enjoy your weel and look out for the next few posts where we could leverage a great buy back with some extra cash. So, if you're going to do anything - raise some capital to add in! Follow and share for more.
by cryptechcapital
1
Bitcoin medium-term price targetsKey points of this forecast: Potential Bitcoin drop to 87,000: Based on Fibonacci analysis, Bitcoin is expected to decline to this level. This price drop could be due to a price correction after a rapid growth or external factors such as changes in monetary policy or global events. Significant decline and high volatility in the altcoin market: Altcoins typically have higher volatility compared to Bitcoin. During market corrections, altcoins are often affected more than Bitcoin. Bitcoin reversal and targeting higher levels: After the end of the correction period, Bitcoin is expected to resume its upward trend and reach levels of 99,600 and 131,000. These levels are considered short-term and medium-term price targets. Recommendation to be cautious in investing: Given the expected high volatility, it is recommended that investors exercise caution during this period and make investment decisions more carefully. Points to consider: Technical analysis is a forecasting tool, not an exact science: Fibonacci patterns and other technical analysis tools can help better understand price movements, but there is no guarantee that forecasts will be realized. External factors can affect the market: Global events, regulatory changes, news, and market sentiment can significantly impact cryptocurrency prices. Risk management is essential: Investing in cryptocurrencies is highly risky. Always allocate a portion of your capital for investment and use risk management tools such as stop-loss orders. Personal analysis and consultation with experts: Before making any investment decisions, conduct your own personal analysis and consult with financial experts if necessary. Ultimately, the decision to invest is up to you. This text is only a forecast and should not be considered as definitive investment advice.
Long
by alireza1432