BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTC SHORTCrypto Introduction
Bitcoin is a digital asset and a payment system invented by Satoshi Nakamoto who published a related paper in 2008 and released it as open-source software in 2009. The system featured as peer-to-peer; users can transact directly without an intermediary.
Swept last month high, approaching yearly volume resistance.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Approaching Resistance
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with your daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested our support zone at $92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) and immediately received a buyer reaction.
At the moment, we are very close to long-term resistance levels. The buying activity appears relatively weak, and cumulative delta continues to decline, indicating that sellers might be accumulating positions. In the near term, a correction from one of the identified sell zones is expected.
The buyer zone at $92,000–$90,000 remains active but has slightly shifted lower to $91,500–$90,000.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (high volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
Do you think we’ll see a correction, or will Bitcoin reach $100,000 first?
Share your thoughts in the comments — it’s always interesting to compare perspectives!
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
Ghost Town Vibes Explained —Bitcoin & The Altcoins Will GrowIt is a very well-known fact that people only join the market and decide to participate when prices are high and rising. Retail is not interested in bottom prices because there is no excitement.
No people around can be taken as a clear signal that the market is trading at bottom prices. This is good, normal and natural, think about it.
When the market is trading at high prices, All-Time High, you will see a massive amount of people engaging and participating. There is excitement, entertainment and fun and that's what people want.
The market being overbought and trading at high prices, lots of activity and many people ready to buy is a clear signal that the top is in a crash comes next. Remember, most of the people are not here to make money, grow or learn, most of the people engage in "trading" to lose money, and that's why there is no interest when prices are lower. Only smart investors, smart traders and whales tend to be looking at the market when prices are great.
Just watch! Just wait!
30 days from now the Altcoins market will be high up. All the trading pairs will be anywhere between 100% and 300% higher compared to current prices, this will not be the top but only a start. At this point, watch the rush and experience all the action around Cryptocurrency, it is just how it works.
Imagine an amusement park but with no entertainment involved. Nobody will pay to visit this park. When they add the games and the rides, loud music, dance and shows, people will go there to play and have fun.
People don't care about the price, they just want to exchange with others and be part of this world.
Humans like to be in groups, community; when Crypto grows, everybody will join.
The ghost town vibes is the best signal that confirms bottom prices and a bull market about to develop. It is the best signal pointing to a strategy of buy and hold. Focus on the long-term.
Whatever happens, think long-term. You can't go wrong when buying at the bottom. This is your chance.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #72👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis and the major crypto indexes. As usual, in this analysis, I’ll be reviewing the New York futures session triggers for you.
🔄 Yesterday’s Analysis
In yesterday’s analysis, I gave you a long trigger and said that if the price is supported at the 92007 area and moves toward 94283, you can enter the position after the breakout. This has happened now, and a few hours ago a candle closed above this area. Now we’ll have to see whether the price movement will continue or if it was a fakeout.
⚡️ Nothing else special has happened and for now, only the trigger is active. Personally, since I already had a Bitcoin position open, I opened this one on an altcoin instead, but Bitcoin was a better choice because dominance is rising again, and if you didn’t already have a position on Bitcoin, it would’ve been better to open one there.
Let’s get into the analysis to see how the market looks today.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, I placed a Fibonacci Extension over the bullish leg that started after the breakout of the 85550 level, and the 0.236 Fibonacci level overlaps with the 92007 level, where the price was supported.
💥 When the price rises from the 0.236 Fibonacci level, it means the trend strength is very high, and the price can easily start the next bullish leg. As you can see, that’s exactly what happened—the price quickly moved up to 94283 and is now above that level.
📚 So when the trend is this strong, rising from 0.236 and breaking the previous high, the next leg should start. If that doesn’t happen, it means there’s significant weakness in the uptrend. So if the price doesn’t move upward today and falls back below 94283, it would indicate strong trend weakness, and the likelihood of deeper corrections to lower Fibonacci levels like 0.382 or 0.5 will increase.
📈 For longs, as I told you yesterday, you can enter on the breakout of 94283, which is now active, but the price hasn’t started its move yet. So if you haven’t entered on this trigger, you can enter on a pullback to this level.
🔽 For shorts, even though I said a move back below 94283 would indicate significant weakness, always remember that weakness doesn’t mean trend reversal—it’s just a sign.
We confirm the trend reversal with a break of 92007 and the formation of lower lows and highs under this support. This would be the first short trigger and is considered quite risky.
📊 If you look closely, market volume has increased after the breakout. This shows a battle between buyers and sellers, and we need to see which side wins so we can join the winning team.
🧩 Also, pay attention to the RSI oscillator today. If RSI enters Overbought again, there’s potential for another sharp bullish move.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s look at Bitcoin dominance. BTC.D finally tested the 64.12 level and was supported there. Because of this volatility and the V-pattern formed in dominance, most altcoins activated their long triggers. But as dominance started rising again, altcoins fell back below their resistance levels, and if you had opened positions, there was a high chance you hit stop-loss. We can see this more clearly in the Total2 chart.
✔️ For BTC.D to continue rising, confirmation of the V-pattern through a breakout of 64.41 could act as a good trigger, with a move up to at least 64.60. However, the main trigger for the next bullish leg in BTC.D is a breakout above 64.60.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s look at Total2. As I mentioned, most altcoin triggers were activated but didn’t follow through, and some even dropped and returned to their lows. This can be seen in Total2 as well.
✨ The reason for this is that money initially flowed into altcoins, activating their triggers. But simultaneously, Bitcoin’s trigger was also activated, and since BTC dominance rose, not much volume flowed into altcoins. That’s why Total2 is currently ranging around its 1.04 trigger level.
🔍 Regarding Total2, just like Bitcoin, this index was supported at the 0.382 Fibonacci level and activated its trigger at 1.04. A bounce from 0.382 indicates strong bullish trend momentum. (Bitcoin bounced from 0.236, which means BTC has an even stronger uptrend than Total2.)
🎲 So once the 1.04 trigger is activated, considering the strong trend momentum, a strong uptrend should start. If this doesn’t happen in the next few candles, the price will likely fall back below 1.04, and bearish momentum could enter the market.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s look at Tether dominance. As I’ve said in previous analyses, I believe the market is still moving in sync with USDT.D, and now it’s waiting for the 5% level to be broken.
🔑 That’s why Bitcoin and Total2 have both activated their triggers but haven’t started their major moves yet. In this bullish cycle, USDT dominance appears to have more weight than other indicators. I think the entire market is waiting for the 5% level in this index to break so that capital flows into Bitcoin and altcoins.
🔼 I recommend that if the 5% level breaks, be sure to have at least one long position open.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin can make small correction and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price of price was consolidating for quite some time inside a broad upward wedge. The market found consistent support near the buyer zone, forming a solid foundation for future growth. After several rebounds, the bulls pushed BTC higher, and the pair exited the support area with a clean breakout. The movement above the current 86000 support level was accompanied by a strong bullish impulse, confirming the breakout from the wedge and validating the upward momentum. The price respected the structure of the wedge well, reacting to both the resistance and support lines along the way. After the breakout, Bitcoin reached a new high near 94000, where it turned around slightly, indicating the beginning of a local correction. Now BTC is hovering just above the broken wedge, and I believe a short-term decline, likely before continuing further upward. Given the wedge's structure, the bounce from the buyer zone, and the breakout with confirmation, I remain bullish on Bitcoin. My TP1 remains at 97000 points, which corresponds to the next key resistance above the current price range. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC H4 Analysis | Key Support Zone: | Watch for ReactionBitcoin is approaching a significant support area between 88,277 and 86,850 on the H4 timeframe. This zone has historically acted as a demand region, and price action within this range will be critical to monitor.
Technical structure shows a potential for volatility, and traders should keep an eye on how BTC behaves around this level. A clear reaction here could offer insight into the next directional move.
No trade setup provided — this is a technical observation for analysis purposes only.
Bitcoin Forming Head & Shoulders – Watch for a Fake-OutPattern Formation: A complex Head and Shoulders structure is forming:
Left Shoulder ✅
Double Head ✅
Right Shoulder forming 🔄
Resistance Zone: The price is currently near a strong resistance area (around $87,000–$88,000).
This zone is likely to act as a ceiling and reject the price.
Expected Move (Blue Arrows):
shows a possible fake breakout above the resistance.
Then, a strong drop is expected, targeting:
First support near $78,000
Supply Chain Breakdown Reloaded: Fading the BTC Spike at RejectiBTCUSDT 15m — Short Thesis anchored in supply exhaustion and structural inefficiency. Price surged into the Rejection Liquidity (RL) Zone between 94,716.4–94,722.9, where repeated rejection wicks and elevated sell-side volume confirmed supply reloading. Bulls failed to absorb overhead liquidity, signaling vulnerability for a structural fade.
This is a pre-loaded limit short, positioned for One Shot, One Kill, targeting asymmetric downside with strictly defined risk parameters.
Trade Details:
Entry Price: 94,750.0
Pre-set limit beneath RL zone, fading the supply spike at exhaustion.
Stop-Loss (OG SL): 95,100.0
Supply absorption invalidation.
Tick distance: 350 ticks (risk exposure: 0.70 USDT).
Take-Profit (OG TP): 91,700.0
Targeting the Structure Rebuild Zone where demand could reassert control.
Tick distance: 3,050 ticks (reward potential: 6.10 USDT).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 8.71 : 1
Engineered for extreme asymmetry, capturing downside inefficiency while minimizing capital at risk.
Position Details:
Pair: BTCUSDT Perpetuals
Direction: Short
Leverage: 100x Isolated
Position size: 0.002 BTC
Margin used: 189.50 USDT
Execution time: 2025-04-25 23:57:01
Fee structure:
Entry fee: 0.0379 USDT (≈2% of margin)
Exit fee (estimated): ~0.04 USDT
Expected Outcomes:
If stop-loss hits: ~0.74 USDT total loss (risk + fees).
If take-profit hits: ~6.02 USDT net gain (post fees).
Structural Context:
Rejection Liquidity (RL) Zone: 94,716.4–94,722.9
Supply apex. Bulls must reclaim or face breakdown.
Point of Control (POC) – Critical Pivot Point (PP): 94,400.0
Breakdown trigger. A move below confirms bearish continuation.
Bull/Bear S/R Flip (Macro Inflection): 91,631.5
Wider structural pivot. If tested, it validates extended downside momentum.
Risk Management Note:
Trade positions are tightly managed with low capital exposure for the purpose of stress testing system robustness under 100x leverage on lower timeframes (LTF). The focus is on validating mechanical execution and structural thesis under high-leverage conditions, ensuring precision risk control and adaptability in volatile environments.
Narrative:
BTC’s parabolic drive into supply stalls at RL, confirming exhaustion via sell-side volume. This setup fades that weakness, targeting structural inefficiency unwind while enforcing strict risk protocols.
Defined risk. Asymmetric reward. No ambiguity.
One shot. One kill.
BTC Retrace or Rally? Bitcoin’s Liquidity Hunt & Next Move.Bitcoin BTC Analysis & Trade Idea
🚦 Market Context & Price Action
Bitcoin has experienced a sharp rally, pushing into previous weekly and daily highs. This area is a classic liquidity pool, where buy stops from breakout traders and late longs are likely accumulating. The current price action is overextended, suggesting that the market may be primed for a retracement as smart money seeks to capture liquidity before the next directional move.
💧 Liquidity Pools & Wyckoff Concepts
According to Wyckoff methodology, this phase resembles a "Buying Climax" (BC) where price surges into resistance, often followed by an "Automatic Reaction" (AR) and a potential "Secondary Test" (ST). The current rally into old highs is likely triggering buy stops, providing institutional players with ample liquidity to offload positions or engineer a shakeout.
🟢 Wyckoff Schematic:
Buying Climax (BC) at current highs
Anticipated Automatic Reaction (AR) as price retraces
Look for a range to develop (potential Accumulation phase) near the 50% Fibonacci retracement
📉 Fibonacci Retracement & Trade Setup
You’re eyeing the 50% retracement of the previous price range as a key level. This aligns with both technical and Wyckoff logic, as it’s a common area for price to find support after a liquidity grab.
🟢 Trade Plan:
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level
Observe for a range or consolidation (signs of absorption/accumulation)
Look for a bullish break of market structure (BOS) as confirmation
Enter long on confirmation, with stops below the range low
🌐 Fundamentals & Market Sentiment
Currently, Bitcoin sentiment is mixed but leaning bullish due to recent ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, rate cut expectations). However, funding rates are elevated, and open interest is high, indicating potential for a shakeout as overleveraged longs are vulnerable.
🟢 Key Fundamentals:
ETF inflows and institutional interest remain strong
Macro uncertainty (Fed policy, inflation) supports long-term bullishness
Short-term: Overheated sentiment and high leverage could trigger a corrective move
🧠 Sentiment & Risk Management
Social media and crypto news outlets are buzzing with bullish narratives, but this euphoria often precedes a correction. Be patient and disciplined—wait for the retrace and confirmation before entering.
🟢 Risk Management:
Only enter after clear accumulation and bullish BOS
Use tight stops below the range
Consider scaling in if the range develops with clear absorption
📈 Trade Idea Summary
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent rally
Look for Wyckoff-style accumulation and a bullish break of structure
Enter long on confirmation, targeting new highs or the top of the previous range
Manage risk with stops below the accumulation range
Not financial advice!
Bitcoin (BTC): Waiting For Clarity Around Current ResistanceBitcoin is still hovering around the resistance line where buyers have yet to prove they have taken control over that zone.
We are waiting for 2 things that can happen from here: either a rejection and fakeout, which would lead the price down or a proper BOS and retest, which could lead to new highs on the coin.
Of course we are looking for the fakeout to form, as we like shorting more than longing on daily trades but we have to adapt with market structure development so we wait for more clarity!
Swallow Academy
BTC post halving scenariobased on previous halvings, expecting price to come down a bit and accumulate before starting the climb up.
Fib trend gives me 2 significant targets for highs: Mid Jan 2025 and mid Jan 2026.
I've mapped out potential fib targets based on standard fib extension targets.
i.e. 2.272 - 2.786.
However saying this, fib extensions from low to halving project different targets for a bullrun.
previous bullruns have reached fib extensions of between 8-9.
I'll add another chart in the comments showing this.
Later, Bitcoin!Bitcoin remains in a long-term bullish trend, but it currently appears significantly overvalued relative to gold. The recent breakout, followed by a re-test of the upsloping wedge formation, suggests that bullish momentum may be waning. This could indicate that capital is beginning to rotate out of Bitcoin. As a result, it may be more prudent to revisit the market in one to two years ahead. This shift may also mark the beginning of a potential altcoin season.
#BTC reaches the red target zone📊#BTC reaches the red target zone✔️
🧠From a structural perspective, the goals of the long structure we built in the blue resistance zone have been fully achieved, so we need to be vigilant against the occurrence of a pullback, and do not chase the rise in the sell zone! We should look for short opportunities in the sell zone.
➡️The concerns in the previous post still exist, because this week is not over yet, we need to observe whether the closing price of the weekly candlestick chart can stabilize above the blue resistance zone. Only when it stabilizes above the resistance zone, the blue resistance zone will turn into a support zone. Then look for long trading opportunities in the support zone.
⚠️Note that if we set a new record high, we also need to wait patiently for a pullback to appear before participating in a new long trade.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin (BTC): We Will Re-Test ATHs | Crazy VolatilityCrazy movement is happening in the markets recently, where we are once again seeing markets being driven by news and enthusiastic bullish movement.
As we mentioned yesterday, if we see a break of the liquidity zone near $99K, we will be retesting ATH most likely, and this is our view as of now. FOMO on the markets will lead the price to upper zones where, once back at ATH, we will be looking for MSB.
Of course, if we see strong dominance by buyers near the ATH, then $140K might be the next target, but nothing is confirmed yet; it is just a thought.
Swallow Academy