BTC ANALYSIS (4H)If we look at Bitcoin on hourly timeframes, we expect a rejection from the red zone. However, this rejection must be strong because if it is weak, Bitcoin may not be inclined to correct further or might at least enter a choppy corrective trend.
The substructure is also bearish, a trigger line has been lost, and ultimately, we have a bearish iCH on the chart.
Closing a 4-hour candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTC Approaches Key Trendline Support – Critical Decision AheadBitcoin is nearing its ascending trendline support, a pivotal level for trend continuation. The next move will depend on whether BTC holds or breaks this zone.
📊 Market Structure Update
BTC is testing a well-defined trendline that has acted as support in previous moves.
A reaction here could dictate the next major price shift.
🔎 What’s Next?
A strong bounce could signal continuation, while a breakdown may lead to deeper retracement.
Watch for volume confirmation and reaction at this level.
With BTC at this key inflection point, how are you positioning?
Weekly bias (weekly price action)What is Weekly Bias in Trading?
Weekly bias is just a way of figuring out which direction the market is likely to move over the course of a week. It helps traders decide whether they should be looking for buys or sells, making their trades more in sync with the market’s momentum.
How to Figure Out Weekly Bias
1. Last Week’s Close:
- If last week’s candle closed bullish, the market might continue up.
- If it closed bearish, there’s a good chance it keeps dropping.
2. Market Structure:
- Uptrend (higher highs & higher lows) = Bullish bias.
- Downtrend (lower highs & lower lows) = Bearish bias.
3. Support & Resistance:
- Price bouncing off a strong support? Buyers might step in.
- Price rejecting a major resistance? Sellers could take control.
4. Moving Averages (MAs):
- i dont use indicators but some traders use them and they work
5. News & Fundamentals:
- Big economic events (like interest rate decisions or inflation reports) can shift the market’s direction for the week.
Why Does Weekly Bias Matter?
- Intraday traders can use it to confirm trades on smaller timeframes.
- Swing traders rely on it to hold positions for days.
- Scalpers might not need it as much, but trading in the same direction as the weekly bias can improve win rates.
focusing on the bigger picture can help to identify quality trades
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update to the analysis you can see below in the "Related Analyses" section.
The price did not reach the Supply zone from our previous analysis. Instead, it formed a reversal pivot upon hitting a Supply.
Given that the larger structure is also bearish, we can look for sell/short positions in the Supply zone.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
BTC/USDT 1DAY CHART UPDATE !!A downward trend line indicates resistance; the price is struggling to move above this line.
The green line at around 78,000 to 79,000 USDT is a crucial support level, providing a base for the price movement.
Recent fluctuations: The price shows a recent bounce, indicating a potential bullish reversal if it breaks the trend line.
Future forecast: The upward arrow indicates a bullish outlook; if the upward movement continues, then targets around 102,500 to 110,000 USDT can possibly be set.
If you have specific questions or need further analysis on certain aspects, feel free to ask!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
BTC - Elliott Wave Impulse and Corrective StructureThis chart illustrates an Elliott Wave pattern on BTCUSDT in the 4-hour timeframe. The market initially completed a 5-wave impulse move to the upside, labeled as (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5), signaling a strong bullish trend. Following the completion of Wave (5), a corrective ABC structure has begun, indicating a potential retracement phase.
- The 5-wave impulse structure suggests a completed bullish cycle.
- Wave (A) marks the initial corrective decline, followed by a recovery in Wave (B).
- Wave (C) is in progress, likely targeting lower levels before a potential reversal or continuation of the trend.
Traders should watch key support and resistance levels to identify potential reversal zones or continuation patterns. If BTC finds strong support at a key level, it could indicate a buying opportunity for the next bullish wave. Conversely, a deeper breakdown could confirm extended correction.
Always apply proper risk management and confirm setups with additional technical indicators.
IS THE "GOLDEN HOUR" FOR A 20% BTC SHORT DROP APPROACHING?IS THE "GOLDEN HOUR" FOR A 20% BTC SHORT DROP APPROACHING?
Hello everyone,
Yesterday, I provided you all with a detailed and comprehensive analysis of the events BTC will experience in April. After the March candle closed and the April candle opened, things have become quite clear and well-defined.
However, in the "BTC April Analysis" post, the monthly candle and the overview mapping for D1 (daily) and W (weekly) timeframes had some broad leaps. It’s not detailed enough for precise actions—it gives us a nearly complete framework, but there are still some rough edges. To make it more polished, we need a highly detailed analysis with a refined level of completion to guide specific actions.
That’s why today, I’m bringing you a new analysis with the theme: "The Golden Hour for BTC’s SHORT Point – A 20% Value Drop?"
Why 20%, and Is 20% Too Much?
As shown in the analysis chart, one thing is very clear: BTC is currently in an upward correction phase. This upward correction started from two zones:
Zone 1: From 80,000$ to 88,000$.
Zone 2: From 81,600$ to the current level of slightly above 85,300$.
In each phase, we’ve been able to catch the turning points and the starts of new waves.
Back to the main question: From which zone will BTC drop to which zone, and why would it lose 20% of its value from that point?
Right now, BTC hasn’t confirmed a drop, but there are key price zones emerging for us to monitor:
Zone 1: 87,600$
Zone 2: 88,800$
Zone 3: 92,000$
Current Situation Analysis
Current BTC price: 85,000$.
These zones are quite close to the upper peak zones. This is the second upward wave, so we need to be very cautious because an "earthquake and tsunami" could hit soon without prior warning.
Think of it like climbing a mountain: At the base, we can’t see the peak. But as we climb closer to the top, the peak gradually comes into view. Right now, it’s clearly visible.
From the peak zones (87,600$, 88,800$, or 92,000$), BTC could drop to a target zone around 70,000$. This is the zone where we identify the drop as approximately 20%.
Market Capitalization:
If BTC drops 20%, the crypto market cap (currently around 2-3 trillion USD, depending on the time) could lose 15-20%, as BTC accounts for about 50-60% of the total market cap.
The exact percentage depends on the broader market’s reaction.
Altcoins:
Altcoins typically experience stronger volatility than BTC. If BTC drops 20%, altcoins could fall 30-50% or more, especially smaller coins.
Stronger altcoins (like ETH) might only drop 20-25%, but most will be hit harder.
Conclusion
BTC is currently in an upward correction phase, but signs suggest that the "Golden Hour" for a SHORT entry with a 20% drop could be approaching. Keep a close eye on the peak zones (87,600$, 88,800$, 92,000$) and prepare to act when the price hits these levels.
Enjoy the analysis, everyone!
BTC/USDT Analysis: Expected DumpYesterday, Bitcoin tested the key sell zone at $86,000–$87,200.
Later that evening, D. Trump made statements regarding mutual trade tariffs on imported goods. Initially, he announced a 10% base tariff for all countries, which was perceived positively, pushing Bitcoin up to $88,000. However, shortly after, tariffs of 34% for China and 20% for the EU were introduced, causing the market to plummet sharply.
As a result, the $86,000–$87,200 sell zone has been validated, but with a short squeeze.
At the moment, we have dropped to the local buyer zone of $83,800–$82,800, where significant volumes have already accumulated.
Currently, the primary scenario favors further downside movement. If this plays out, we will form a new volume-based sell zone at $82,500–$83,800, which should be considered for re-entry upon a retest.
Sell Zones:
$82,500–$83,800 (volume zone)
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
BTC/USDT 4H Chart Analysis 🚀 BTC/USDT 4H Chart Analysis 🏆
🔍 Market Overview:
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently testing a key support zone. A confirmed breakdown could open the doors for a bearish move, while a bounce could lead to a recovery attempt.
📌 Key Observations:
🔶 Important Resistance (🟠 82,743.59 USDT)
🚧 This level has acted as a strong resistance zone. A breakout above this could trigger bullish momentum.
🔵 Crucial Support (81,633.22 USDT)
🛡️ Holding above this level is important for buyers to prevent further downside.
❌ If BTC confirms a close below this support, it could signal a continuation of the downtrend.
📊 Moving Averages (7, 25, 99 SMA):
🟡 Short-Term SMA (7): Price is testing this moving average.
🔵 Medium-Term SMA (25): Turning into potential resistance.
🟢 Long-Term SMA (99): Still bullish but flattening out.
⚡ Trade Triggers:
✅ Long Trigger (📈💰) - If BTC breaks above 82,743.59 USDT with volume → 🚀 Buy opportunity!
❌ Short Trigger (📉🔻) - If BTC closes below 81,633.22 USDT, it confirms a bearish breakdown → 🏴☠️ Short setup active!
📢 Trading Strategy:
💎 Bullish Plan: Wait for a breakout above 82,743.59 USDT with strong volume → 🎯 Target: 83,500+ USDT.
⚠️ Bearish Plan: If BTC breaks below 81,633.22 USDT, expect a drop towards 79,986.83 USDT, with a final target at 78,445.12 USDT.
🔥 Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin is at a decision point! 🎯 A breakout could push BTC higher, while a breakdown signals deeper corrections.
📢 Watch volume for confirmation before taking a position! 🚀
🔔 Stay Alert & Manage Risk! 🎯
BTC MSB Short SetupInvalidation = 15min candle close above level (black upper line)
Entry = hoping that the 15min candle spikes this dashed black line at 84k but still closes below the level
I can't put limit orders on the level because SL and invalidation are so close that the invalidation would cause a -R too big. That's why I hope for price to shoot above the level, hit my entry but still close below it, and if price would close above the level, thus invalidating the trade, my higher entry can make up for this.
--------------------------
Red dashed line = SL
Black dashed line = entry
TP = 76k.5-ish level (black dashed line further down)
Red line: with a low like this (price not forming a structure at the lows but immediately going back up) I can't see price getting above the broken HL-structure, so SL should be somewhere above this HL-structure, so above the red line marking the top of the HL structure.
Lower black line: if we get an SFP at the upper black line, price closing below this level would probably mean a new short opening with SL now being the SFP.
Bitcoin (BTC): Trump Dumped Markets Again / Are We Doomed?Once again we have to thank Trump for dumping the markets and coming out with insane tariffs like he did here.
Nevertheless, markets have dumped pretty hard and Bitcoin itself dumped $6K in price, where we've been moving just as we've been wanting the Bitcoin to move.
Our game gameplan remains the same; we want to see a bigger drop!
Swallow Academy
BTC - LIBERATE USBTC bounced at our first pivot at VAL, followed the rounded bottom pattern although we didn't take any lows.
Coming back up at VAH here, with a combination of a few factors driving price up today:
- spx correlation
- ... into liberation speech expectations
- early shorts getting squeezed
- some FDUSD fud that drove stables into BTC, depegging the stablecoin and driving BTCFDUSD up to 99k
Draw a volume profile on the distribution/saylor range and we just tagged the poc of that range.
I'd expect some highs to be taken here, although I'm already positioned in a partial short from the poc.
87.7k would give a second entry on an sfp of the bad highs.
Similarly we can look for 88.7k to get swept, thereby cleaning all the bad highs we had left from this range.
Keep it simple, if I see price grinding above 89k/VAH I'll just get out and wait for another ltf breakdown.
Target 1 is the bad lows at VAL, then 78k, then re-evaluate.
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BTCUSDT surged nearly 4% pre-Trump's announcement, hitting $87.3k, indicating bullish momentum. To prevent a daily bearish reversal, BTC must maintain $85k support. A daily close above $ 88K is crucial for a bullish trend, returning BTC to its previous channel. This level's hold will determine short-term market direction.
Support Levels:
$85k
$83.6k
$81.2k
Resistance levels:
$ 87K
$ 89K
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Happy Trading!!
Bitcoin's Explosive Move Ahead? History Repeating?Looking closely at Bitcoin’s weekly chart, a fascinating pattern emerges that could hint at the cryptocurrency’s next major move.
📌 Historical Pattern Similarity: Bitcoin’s recent price behavior closely mirrors the significant cycle observed in 2021-2022. Both patterns involve a sharp and rapid upward rally, hitting a new all-time high, followed by a dramatic and sharp correction.
📌 Cycle Consistency: These movements align remarkably well with Bitcoin’s historical market cycles, typically driven by halving events every 3-4 years, resulting in explosive price actions followed by deep corrections.
📌 Market Psychology Match: This scenario perfectly illustrates classic market psychology—from euphoria at the peak to panic in the subsequent crash. Given current market sentiment, such a scenario remains plausible.
🔸 However, Exercise Caution:
Historical Repetition Not Guaranteed:
Although history often rhymes, it rarely repeats exactly. Today’s global economic landscape, increased institutional involvement, and regulatory changes could influence outcomes differently this time around.
Liquidity and Market Size:
Bitcoin's larger market cap and deeper liquidity might limit the severity of corrections compared to previous cycles, potentially leading to less dramatic percentage declines.
Beyond Technical Analysis:
While technical patterns are compelling, integrating fundamental analysis and macroeconomic factors (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical stability) is crucial for a robust forecast.
🎯 Conclusion & Outlook:
Technically speaking, the scenario of an imminent, sharp rally followed by a significant correction is highly plausible. Traders should remain vigilant, combining technical setups with fundamental insights.
👉 Stay Alert, Trade Smart! 📈📉
Would love to hear your thoughts—drop your comments below! 🔥
Bitcoin Overall: Currently hitting important resistance zoneA break above this resistance zone and especially the second higher would show 'the bulls are back in control' so to speak. Still tentatively targeting the lower, very strong support, however, the case to get there will get weaker unless a significant rejection is experienced at this current zone.
BTC - Rejection from Fair Value Gap (FVG) Incoming?This 4-hour BTC/USDT chart highlights a key resistance zone where Bitcoin is approaching a Fair Value Gap (FVG) near the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level.
Key Observations:
🔹 FVG Resistance: Price is nearing an area of unfilled liquidity, a common reversal zone.
🔹 Potential Rejection: A move into the FVG could trigger sell orders, leading to a downturn.
🔹 Bearish Outlook: If resistance holds, BTC may resume its downward movement, possibly targeting lower support levels.
Will Bitcoin push through or face rejection? Let me know your thoughts! 🚀📉
Bitcoin tries to sustain its bullish marketAfter a nearly 30% drop from its all-time high, BTC seems to be consolidating within the $80,000 to $85,000 range. However, it is still too early to confirm a new bullish impulse.
According to my analysis, BTC is compressing between two trendlines that have been forming over the past few months. The first one, an ascending trendline, has been in place for eight months (since August 2024), while the second, a descending trendline, has been forming since early January. At first glance, the movement appears predominantly bullish. However, I am personally waiting for a breakout of the descending trendline, followed by a retest and a bullish alignment of my cloud indicator and moving averages.
This outlook applies to medium- and long-term trades, focusing on 4H charts and higher timeframes.
#BTC tests the resistance zone again!!📊#BTC tests the resistance zone again!!
🧠From a structural perspective, the bullish structure is still intact, bullish expectations still exist, and the ideal target zone (86500-88188) has not yet been achieved, so we can still keep a small number of positions to look forward to this possibility.
➡️However, at present, we are testing the downward trend line at the daily level again, and whether it can be successfully broken through is still unknown, so we are conservative and lock in 80% of the main profits, and don’t chase the resistance zone.
➡️If it breaks through successfully, it will also reach the ideal target zone of the bullish structure, so new long transactions need to observe whether it can stabilize above the downward trend line, otherwise it should not be too optimistic.
⚠️Note that if the downward trend line cannot be successfully broken through, we need to be wary of the risk of further decline.
Let’s see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin Breaks Resistance – Bullish Flag in Play(Short-term)!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise and pump after '' the Mastercard Plans to Enable 3.5 Billion Cardholders to Transact with Bitcoin and Crypto, " and the US indexes movements and managed to break the Resistance zone($84,380_$83,580) .
Bitcoin is moving near the Monthly Pivot Point and Support lines .
Bitcoin seems to be completing the Bullish Flag Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to reach the Targets I have outlined on the chart in the coming hours and most likely fill the CME Gap($86,620_$86,565) .
There is a possibility that Bitcoin will fall again after this increase. What do you think!?
Note: The Crypto market is full of excitement. Please pay more attention to capital management than before.
Note: This analysis could be a short-term Roadmap for Bitcoin .
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $83,500, we should expect further declines, possibly heavy declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC already has the conditions to hit the 90000-95000 zone!A few days ago, I mentioned that BTC had the potential to surge towards the 90000-95000 range. Currently, BTC has already climbed above 87000 during its rebound, effectively opening the door to the 90000-95000 zone.
From a fundamental perspective, with bearish factors becoming clearer, if Trump adopts a more lenient stance on tariffs, BTC could extend its rebound. On the technical side, BTC has successfully broken through the short-term resistance around the 85500 level, turning the 85500-84500 area into a short-term support structure. This transition further supports BTC’s continuation to the upside, potentially testing the 90000-95000 range.
For short-term trading, we can consider waiting for a technical pullback and looking to go long on BTC once it retraces to the 85500-85000 region. The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
BTCUSDT：The long position strategy has reaped profits successfulAs I had anticipated, Bitcoin (BTC) has started to recover. BTC has successfully broken through the 86,500 mark and even reached 87,000. The long position strategy has achieved profitability.
Currently, Bitcoin still maintains a bullish trend. It is advisable to wait for a price pullback and then initiate long positions.
BTC Trading strategy:
buy@84500-85500
TP:86500-87500
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