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BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas

BTC & ETH Weekly Forecast – Will Week 16 Bring a Breakout?🔍 Weekly Outlook – Week 16, 2025 • BTC remains below the daily Ichimoku Cloud. • Volatility (BBWP) is at historical lows — potential breakout setup. • ETH hovering above key EVWMA zones • If BTC enters the cloud, 92K becomes a valid short-term target. • ETH needs to reclaim 1600+ to sustain bullish momentum. 📌 This is a quick overview of my weekly analysis. I explore the full setup across 1D, 4H, and 12H timeframes, with Ichimoku, BBWP, and EVWMA discussed in detail elsewhere.
by pino_chart
BTCUSD 4H(4-Hour Timeframe): A potential short position could be opened from the local order block and the OTE zone at 104,161.75, targeting the liquidity zone at 102,500 as the initial goal. Further targets include the previous month's low and the imbalance at 108,353. I continue to closely monitor Bitcoin’s movements and will soon share a more detailed idea for a short position (short). It is essential to note that this analysis represents my personal opinion and is not a call to action for trading. Always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.!!!
by TraderNo007_
BTCUSDT hitting daily resistance but eying weekly resisatnce 98kBTCUSDT has bounced well from weekly support WS1 and currently heading towards daily resistance DR1 around 87k-88k zone. Once it breaks this, the next target would be weekly resistance WR1 which is the next resistance on its way. This resistance is sitting around 95k-98k zone. I think, the price is eying that zone and in coming days and week we will see the price trading there. However, this WR1 zone would definitely make the price push back on firts hit. But the price will definitely make another go there before either breaking of giving up for a while again. The resistance WR1 will be the only obstacle before the price can hit all time high and beyond again. Therefore, this weekly resistance will not give the way easy as this will be a strong supply zone. But I would not worry much once the price reaches there. This will evnetually signal that we are going beyond ATH and further higher. It would be just a bit of struggle there and some consolidation and some boring price action for a while, and then there will be clear sky.
Long
by angela_altair
BITCOINBitcoin's current liquidity constraints and recent 4-hour chart breakout reflect a tug-of-war between technical momentum and market mechanics. Here's a breakdown of key factors influencing BTC's trajectory: Why BTC Lacks Liquidity Push Exchange-Controlled Volatility: Market makers are suppressing rapid price surges to profit from liquidations, with Identified supplied zone as a "liquidity trap zone" where leveraged long positions were targeted. This artificial containment explains the muted liquidity-driven rally despite favorable macro conditions. Delayed Fed Easing: The Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening persists, delaying a full liquidity injection cycle. While U.S. Treasury drawdowns added $510B since February 2025, Bitcoin’s correlation to liquidity peaks (projected at $6.5T by Q4) remains partial until Fed rate cuts materialize. Risk-Off Sentiment: Geopolitical tensions and trade policy uncertainty have diverted some institutional capital to gold (recently surpassing $3,200/oz), temporarily capping Bitcoin’s haven appeal. 4-Hour Descending Trendline Breakout: Bullish Signals Technical Validation: BTC broke above a descending resistance line that governed price action since December 2024,my confirmation will be by a strong close above $85400 on the daily chart. The 4-hour chart shows a bullish flag pattern, with higher lows suggesting accumulation. Momentum Indicators: A bullish MACD crossover on the daily chart and rising RSI (4-hour) signal growing buying pressure, though the MACD histogram remains tentative. Upswing Potential vs. Liquidity Risks Bull Case: A sustained break above $85,300 could trigger a rally toward $88,000–$92,000 this week, aligning with historical post-halving cycles and ETF inflow momentum. Bernstein analysts project $150K–$200K by late 2025 if ETF inflows hit GETTEX:70B + and Fed easing accelerates. Bear Risks: Exchanges may continue suppressing rallies to harvest liquidity, risking pullbacks to $81K–$84K if $85K fails to hold as it prevented price upswing many times . Delayed Fed rate cuts or renewed trade tensions could tighten financial conditions, stifling Bitcoin’s macro-driven upside. Short-Term Outlook The 4-hour trendline breakout favors a bullish bias, with April targets at FWB:88K – GETTEX:92K if BTC holds above $85K. However, liquidity constraints from market maker tactics and gold’s haven dominance may delay a sustained rally until broader macro catalysts (Fed policy shifts, debt ceiling resolution) emerge. Traders should watch for a daily close above $85,400 to confirm upward momentum where i lookt to target 90k and sell from that zone
Long
by Shavyfxhub
BTCUSDT – System-Based Long Signal (3D Timeframe) 📅 April 19, 2025 Yesterday’s 3D candle closed with a clear PSAR flip, shifting from bearish to bullish — an early signal of potential trend reversal. In addition, price is now trading above the 200 MA, which confirms a return into long-term bullish territory. 🟢 Based on these two system signals, we have a valid long entry setup forming. However, the system is not fully aligned yet: ⚠️ MLR < BB Center < SMA This suggests the internal momentum structure is still weak. We are above 200MA and have a PSAR trigger, but the trend metrics aren't in full confluence. 📌 Strategy suggestion: - Consider a partial spot entry only - Avoid leverage until full confirmation - Wait for MLR to flip above BB Center for added strength This is a trigger-before-confirmation type of setup — and in such cases, discipline > excitement.
Long
by vagada
BTC Possible HTF HL Creation 2BTC Possible HTF Creation 2 (update from first post): Chart inverted; analysis below as if it weren't an inverted chart: 1) Weak highs as there isn't an SFP or some kind of big wick candle; 2) Price did break below a significant part of the HL structure but not the full structure (last HL hasn't been broken): - The part it broke down below isn't outstanding enough to produce a big breakdown (my intuition tells me). It isn't a MSB as the last HL is still intact and the structure it did break below I think can't produce a big downmove (which then would create a MSB if it happened but I think would be weak and shortlived, likely to be capped at that outstanding low at 95k). - Price didn't instantly break below structure, it first made a LH (April 10) which weakens the downmove significantly to where my intuition tells me there now can't be a full MSB being formed. ------------------------------ No significance at highs (no SFP) nor big previous high being hit so no reason for trend shift. Price did break some significant structure but not fully and not fast enough: it first produced a LH before breaking below it. that's key here: if it was a breakdown in one go then price would have broken below the structure very close to the structure making the structure way stronger in resistance and therefore the likelyhood of a real breakdown way higher. That price is consolidating now (so not going fast anymore) is fine: horizontality creates space for a move in either way. But the fact that price didn't break below the structure in one go is the important part which I think cancels out the breakdown. Just looking at it simply, pure intuition. This will never break down as that structure which it broke down below isn't outstanding enough and there is not enough verticality (no strength). I would never short this. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- And now coming out of the inverted chart: If I would never short this this means I would never buy this at 82k. But the HTF HL, I want to say it as an ego thing: will higly likely be an SFP of the Monday April 7 lowest low and I have put my 100% allocation on it (might take out some to buy the ETH lowest low of June 2022 as these moves would probably go together and ETH is the better investment if you want to make bigger profits) This ego thing is a traders' mistake as you can never be 100% sure in trading so you should never put a limit order on a level in advance, but I'm a young guy and me buying the lowest low of the HTF HL with great potential I could be right is a risk I'm willing to take as the benefit of me being right (having THAT amount of conviction with serious high level analysis backing that conviction) would just prove to me that I'm one of the best in the world in trading BTC, and this mental benefit will flow into daily ordinary life as I would then have proof of this 'status' (forgive me people, I know better but I'm still young and I know having this ego thing now will create a laugh + will make me happy in the future) + gives me more rest to focus on my studies. I accept the traders' mistake as this is a HTF HL environment, not an ordinary area in between.
by EyyJasper
BTC Possible HTF HL Creation We are however still in a downtrend and current area is the place for the new LH. We already have the SFP at the highs (thus, good for the LH formation) but this hasn't provided any downward move + MSB isn't possible anymore as it has taken too long. We could get a LH SFP though which I think will still create the downmove. The question I ask myself now: what if we don't get the LH SFP and go down first? This would then create the HTF HL I think, as price has no resistance but still breaks down + there's no short setup to be found. But: will it go back to the lowest low of 74k or will it stay above the blue line structure and form the low around 82k? If the lowest low was an SFP price wouldn't go back to the lowest low but now I don't know: big horizontality makes past structure weaker to where price can easily go through it but at the same time if there's no reason to break down why would it break down in such a big way (from 84k to 74k instead of 84k-82k)?
by EyyJasper
ShortThere's only one very small possibility for a bullish scenario from where we are right now. Looking at the volume and the weakness following the bounce from 74k after the initial 2 surges.... This will get extremely ugly over the next few weeks. If we hold above the 74xxx low, we can grind to 145k over the next 6 months. That hard low is going to be retested very soon. If the bears break it, this double 3 will play out with targets of GETTEX:48K -62k. Right now I'm short. I will closely watch the push down below 78k that is currently building. If we hold above under extreme bearish pressure / volume, I will look to open longs. If we slowly grind below 78, 77, 76, 75, with low volume, I will remain short as this will signal extreme bearish bias.
by KingsOfCrypto
BTC/USDT Analysis – Seller WeaknessHey everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst checking in with your daily market breakdown. Yesterday, Bitcoin once again tested the previously marked sell zone at $85,000–$86,200 (where a strong market seller is active), and we saw an immediate sharp reaction from that area. However, signs of buyer defense appeared near the lower boundary, and price bounced without even reaching the bottom of the current range. Taking all of this into account, we can conclude that the seller is showing weakness — there's effort, but no result. That suggests we’re likely to test the local high in the near future. Sell Zones: $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume) $97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volume) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $82,700–$81,400 (high-volume support) $74,800 level $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes) What do you think — which way will this range break? Drop your thoughts in the comments — always great to compare perspectives! This post is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
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