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BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas

BTC on Weekend: Short Bias Until 99.5K, Watch 102.5 ReclaimI remain short on Bitcoin until 99.5K unless the price reclaims last week’s close at 102.5K. Both my daily and weekly bias remain bearish, with BTC already crossing yesterday’s low and last week’s close. Bitcoin tends to pump on weekends when traditional markets are closed. A bounce wouldn’t be surprising, but confirmation of a shift would require a 15m impulsive move to the upside or a bullish market structure change above 102.5K and 103.2K. Two possible outcomes: 1. A low-volume pump to 104.6K, aligning with Bitcoin’s typical weekend behavior in low-liquidity conditions. 2. A direct drop to 99.5K as support. I don’t trade weekends, as crypto often reacts more to speculation than real data when liquidity is low.
by BlackTieCrypto
BTCUSDT Technical AnalysisSell Bias Explanation Risky Entry Zone: Observation: Price entered the "RISKY ENTRY" zone. Explanation: This area indicates a potential entry point for short trades. Traders should be cautious and ensure they have confirmation before entering, as it is labeled "risky." Resistance Zone: Observation: The chart highlights a "RESISTANCE ZONE." Explanation: This area acts as a barrier for the price to move higher. The presence of a resistance zone suggests that the price may struggle to break above, creating an opportunity for sellers to step in Price Closed Below the Protected High: Observation: An annotation states, "PRICE CLOSED BELOW THE PROTECTED HIGH." Explanation: This indicates that the price failed to break a critical high point, only sweeping and hunting stops suggesting a bearish sentiment. It reinforces the sell bias as buyers are unable to push the price higher. Liquidity Grab and Break of Structure (BOS): Observation: "Liquidity grabbed and BOS" is annotated on the chart. Explanation: This means that liquidity was taken out, and a structural level was broken, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards the bearish side. Liquidity Grab and Break of Structure (BOS): Observation: "Liquidity grabbed and BOS" is annotated on the chart. Explanation: This means that liquidity was taken out, and a structural level was broken, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards the bearish side. Confirmation Entry Zone: Observation: The chart highlights a "confirmation entry zone." Explanation: This area provides additional confirmation for entering short trades. Traders looking for a safer entry can consider entering here once the price confirms the bearish setup. P.R Area (Secure Position): Observation: "P.R AREA(Possible rejection area) = secure position" is marked on the chart. Explanation: This area suggests a point where traders can consider securing their positions, either by taking partial profits or tightening stop losses to minimize risk. Disclaimer 📢 Remember, trading involves risk. Past successful setups do not guarantee future performance. Always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management strategies.
Short
by BFUFX_MARKETS
BTC will have a Minor Top at 124k. Gameplan!In this follow-up video, I’m reviewing my Bitcoin $124K upside thesis and how price action has been unfolding currently exactly as expected! 🎯 📊 Key Highlights: ✅ BTC is on track toward the $124K target 📈 ✅ Price followed the predicted path perfectly ✅ What happens after $124K? Looking for a bearish reversal 🔄 Watch the full breakdown and let me know your thoughts in the comments! 👇 Do you agree with the thesis?
Long
by SerenityEquity
Bitcoin: Key Levels and Trading Strategy1. Most Relevant Timeframe for Entry • 12H and 4H are often a good compromise: • On 4H, ISPD is not yet in the extreme zone (Histogram ~0.75, Satisfaction ~0.53–0.54). Potential pullbacks toward the 103–101k zone could be opportunities. • On 12H, the trend remains clear and bullish, but “Investor Satisfaction” is reaching a high level. A trader might prefer to wait for a pullback to enter at a better price. 2. Key Support Levels • Short-term (2H–4H): 103.5k (MTFTI Short MA) then 101–102k (AVWAP Low cluster). • Medium-term (1D): 98–99k (short daily MA). • Major support: 77–78k in case of a significant correction (AVWAP Low 1D). 3. Key Resistance Levels • 104.9–105k: First step (4H/2H). • 106–106.6k: Key pivot (AVWAP High daily/12H). • 109–110k: Psychological threshold, strong liquidity cluster. A decisive breakout could push BTC toward 112–115k, or even higher. 4. Strategy Buyers : • On pullback (intraday retracement) towards 103–101k or on a confirmed breakout above 106k, targeting 109–110k. • However, be cautious of overbought conditions on daily/12H (ISPD Div Pro >0.9). A tight or partial stop is advised if BTC drops back below 100–101k. Sellers / Profit-taking: • Gradual profit-taking around 106–109k, given multiple confluences (liquidity cluster, upper Bollinger band, etc.). • Long-term traders should monitor ISPD Div Pro closely (~0.97 = critical selling zone). General Conclusion Technical indicators across multiple timeframes (2H, 4H, 12H, 1D) align with a bullish bias: • Short/mid-term target: 106k → 109–110k. • Possible pullback (~100–102k running flat) before breaking above resistance. • Macro dynamics (US pro-BTC stance, global tensions) favor Bitcoin’s trend. • Main risk: Europe remains hesitant, and ISPD Div Pro (daily/12H) signals potential short-term overheating. Avoid FOMO near 106–110k and watch for a potential pullback for a safer entry. Practical Approach for a Prudent Trader • Partial entry on retracement toward 103–101k (4H). • Add to position if BTC breaks and closes above ~106k (4H/12H close preferred). • Primary target: 109–110k, with partial profit-taking possible. • Further upside: Extension to 112–115k if bullish momentum continues with macro support. Final Thoughts The overall trend remains bullish, but BTC is nearing a significant resistance zone. It’s crucial to stay cautious of excessive buying pressure (ISPD Div Pro in high zone) while keeping an eye on potential continuation toward new local highs.
Long
by Ox_kali
BTC End of Week analysis (Daily timeframe) - 01/31/2025 BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P We are currently seeing weakness in BTC, Double top is present, and the RSI bearish divergence is also seen. Prepare for the POSSIBLE scenarios 1. Breakdown of 100,000 levels. 2. Consolidation between 100 - 105k levels. 3. Breakdown and price going to support at 90k levels 4. Breakout at 110k levels - LEAST LIKELY, but still can happen. Money management wise, be on the defensive. My personal allocation is less than 30% right now, as I hunt for more opportunities
by artofbuyandsell
Looking to go LONG on BTC !!!*Please note my analysis is simply an idea and not financial advice. Trade with discipline and make responsible decisions.* Being said... When you look at my Chart analysis, pay attention to the first movement. We might retest the *4HR* Trendline. If we break this trend line we are looking for a Buy.102,842 & 102,518. Considering Bitcoin is in an overall uptrend price does NOT have to test this area (listed above). However if we break 4HR trend line the lower zone will be the next "stop". Get your bag and take a walk...
Long
by DukeStallione
BTCUSDT Weekly Outlook – Potential Correction Ahead 🚀 BTCUSDT Weekly Outlook – Potential Correction Ahead BTC has shown an unusual reaction to recent FED news, displaying sluggish movement instead of the typical volatility. Based on my observations, BTC is likely to correct to the GETTEX:82K - $86K range within the next 1-2 weeks. 🔹 Market Insights BTC has been consolidating at high levels, indicating a potential correction. Altcoin rotation opportunity: During BTC's pullback, it’s the perfect time to distribute USDT into select Altcoins that have inverse structures to BTC. 📊 Strategic Plan 📌 Altcoin Accumulation Strategy: Identify Altcoins with inverse correlation to BTC. Focus on strong structural setups that align with market rotation trends. ⏳ Timing: BTC correction phase = Altcoin entry opportunity for 2025. 💡 Stay Updated: 📢 Follow my TradingView to get real-time signals for high-potential Altcoin setups in 2025! 🚀
Long
by rainbow_sniper
2
BTC/USDT: Testing $106K Resistance – Breakout or Pullback?Key Takeaways and Comprehensive Analysis 1. Bullish Momentum • The overall trend remains upward, with a potential target between $109k and $110k. • BTC is currently testing critical resistance near $105k–$106k, which aligns with key levels on multiple indicators and price dynamics. 2. Short-term Correction Risk • On shorter timeframes (2H/4H), RSI is approaching overbought levels, and ISPD indicators show signs of high satisfaction among investors. • A pullback to $100k–$101k (support from Auto AVWAP and EMA21) remains possible before the next leg higher. 3. No Imminent Supply Shock • While exchange balances appear to be dropping, this is mainly due to significant BTC migrating to ETF custody wallets. • The combined BTC supply in exchanges and ETFs has remained stable at around 3 million coins, suggesting no immediate scarcity driving this rally. 4. Upside Targets • Resistance: • $105k–$106k (major pivot). • $109k–$110k (next target, supported by structural analysis). • $114k–$115k (possible extension if momentum accelerates). • Support: • $101k–$103k (EMA21 and intraday key support). • $99k–$100k (psychological level and VWAP). 5. Trading Scenarios • Scenario 1 – Pullback Buy: • If BTC retraces to $100k–$101k, this could provide a strong entry point for traders aiming for the $109k–$110k target. • Scenario 2 – Breakout Entry: • A confirmed break above $106k (with a 4H or Daily close) would signal continuation, with targets at $109k and beyond. 6. On-Chain Confirmation • Metrics show steady capital inflows, with the Realized Cap increasing by 2.1x from the previous cycle’s low. • Long-term holders have distributed approximately 1.2 million BTC since December 2023, absorbed by new buyers at higher price levels. 7. Final Perspective • BTC remains in a strong bullish phase. The key inflection point at $105k–$106k will determine whether the next leg higher is immediate or preceded by a short pullback. • A breakout above $106k opens the door to $109k–$110k, with further upside possible if market momentum continues to build. • Traders can watch for entries on dips or breakout confirmations, with the current macro and technical environment favoring long positions.
Long
by Ox_kali
BTCUSDT Perpetual Swap Contract (4H - OKX) AnalysisBTCUSDT Perpetual Swap Contract (4H - OKX) Analysis 1. Trend Analysis Potential Reversal / Bullish Momentum: The price has bounced from a demand zone around 97,737.7 USDT. A Break of Structure (BOS) has occurred, indicating a possible trend shift. The price is now trading above EMA 20 and EMA 50, signaling potential upside continuation. If the price can hold above these EMAs, we may see further bullish movement. Short-term Uptrend Formation: The price has moved above key moving averages (EMA 20 and EMA 50) and is attempting to break the EMA 100. If the price can break and sustain above 104,099.9 USDT, it could confirm an uptrend towards key Fibonacci levels. 2. Key Resistance & Support Levels Resistance Levels: 105,154.5 USDT → This is a strong resistance zone that aligns with EMA 100 and previous price reactions. 107,375.0 USDT (Fibonacci 0.786 level) → If BTC breaks above 105K, this could be the next upside target. 108,700.9 - 109,539.0 USDT → A major supply zone that could act as strong resistance. Support Levels: 102,421.5 USDT (TP1 Level) → If BTC fails to sustain above this, it could revisit lower levels. 100,792.5 - 100,531.5 USDT → A critical support area. Losing this level could bring BTC back to its demand zone. 97,737.7 USDT (Demand Zone) → If BTC retraces further, this is the key level where strong buying interest previously emerged. 3. Concerns & Risks Overhead Resistance at 105,000 - 109,500 USDT: BTC needs to break above 105K with strong volume to confirm a bullish reversal. If it fails, the price could reject and revisit 100K or lower. Possible Fakeout / False Breakout: If the price breaks above resistance but lacks volume, it might trap longs and fall back into the lower range. EMA 100 as Dynamic Resistance: Currently, BTC is testing the EMA 100; a rejection here could signal a short-term pullback. Volume Confirmation Needed: The price is attempting to break resistance, but if volume does not increase, this could signal a weakening move. Trading Strategy ✅ Long Strategy (Bullish Case) Entry: Above 103,868.3 USDT (TP2 Level) Target 1: 105,315.1 USDT (Fibonacci 0.618) Target 2: 107,375.0 USDT (Fibonacci 0.786) Target 3: 109,539.0 USDT (Final TP Level) Stop-Loss: Below 100,792.5 USDT ✅ Short Strategy (Bearish Case) Entry: If BTC fails to break 105,000 USDT and gets rejected. Target 1: 102,500 USDT Target 2: 100,792.5 USDT Target 3: 97,737.7 USDT (Demand Zone) Stop-Loss: Above 106,000 USDT if shorting near resistance. 📌 Summary: BTC has bounced from the demand zone and is showing short-term bullish strength. A breakout above 105,000 USDT could confirm an uptrend, targeting 107,000 - 109,500 USDT. Failure to break 105K could result in a pullback towards 100K or lower. Watch volume and EMA 100 interaction for confirmation. 🔎 Recommendation: Monitor BTC at 105K closely—a breakout could send prices higher, while rejection could mean a retest of 100K levels. 🚀
Long
by cyscalpingvip
BTC Short Term Roadmap 3 possible outcomes based on trend and resistance supports, demand zones, and market volume increases based on sec insight data from current oversight committee as being pro crypto (very good for crypto future). having a strong bounce from our current demand zone will give the best outcome for a new high above 111-112k. Rejection of the dynamic resistance we could see some sideways movement like the past few months where we saw swings between 48k and 73k forming a large flag pattern. Seeing the same setup could be likely to gain more support around the 95k range to make a higher high. breaking that 87k-89k range would mean previous falling back to 67k-73k support. Next new high would be somewhere around the high teens low 120ks.
by Crypto-RyGuy
BTC/USDT: Buy Signals at 92K via CCI + ATRKey reversal signals, trend scenarios, and trading strategies for Bitcoin at critical support. Two Buy Signals detected at the critical support level of 92,000 USDT using the Composite Indicator (CCI + ATR), enhancing trade signal accuracy. Why Did Buy Signals Trigger at 92,000 USDT? CCI Rising from Oversold Zone (-100): → Momentum Reversal Signal CCI, a momentum oscillator, crossed above -100, indicating reduced selling pressure and potential bullish reversal. Implication: BTC likely to rebound from support as selling exhaustion sets in. ATR Confirms Rising Volatility: → Filters False Signals ATR (14-period) exceeded its SMA with multiplier (0.95, 1.57), validating the strength of the buy signal. Implication: Higher volatility supports a robust reversal. Historical Support at 92,000 USDT: → Accumulation Zone This level previously triggered multiple rebounds, reflecting strong buy orders. Implication: Market participants may accumulate BTC here. BTC Trend Analysis Based on Composite Indicator Bullish Scenario: CCI > +100 and price holding above 92,000 USDT could target: First resistance: 100,000 USDT Next target: 109,588 USDT (prior high) Confirmation: Rising ATR and CCI above +100 strengthen uptrend potential. Bearish Scenario: Break below 92,000 USDT may trigger sell-offs toward: First support: 88,835 USDT (Fibonacci 1.618) Next support: 73,620 USDT Confirmation: Declining OBV and ATR below SMA signal consolidation/weakness. Trading Strategy Long Entry: Trigger: CCI crosses above -100 + ATR confirmation Stop-Loss: Below 92,000 USDT (e.g., 89,500–90,000 USDT) Take Profit: 100,000–109,000 USDT Risk Management: Use 1.5x ATR for dynamic stop-loss placement Exit if price closes below 92,000 USDT or CCI re-enters oversold Key Takeaways Rebound likely at 92,000 USDT if CCI and ATR hold bullish. Upside targets: 100,000–109,588 USDT; Downside risks: 88,835–73,620 USDT. Monitor OBV for volume confirmation and ATR trends. Critical Factors to Watch CCI sustaining above +100 for bullish confirmation. ATR continuing upward to validate momentum. OBV reversal signaling buyer strength.
by CharLi0t
3 strong resistance that BTC Faced with before 115kHello Friends @TradeWithMky More than 91% winrate Live in TradingView @tradeWithMky #TradeWithMky on #BITCOIN #BTC Chart there are 3 resistance that strongly push price down in the top of range zone first one is OB- ( Sell order blocks) Second is FVG ( Fair Value Gap ) Third is past range zone that now act as Resistance and the last ONE and ath resistance also OB- ( Sell order block ALL TIME HIGH ) if price passsed this levels I ratther to enter long postion in BTC target should be at least 115k Soon Iranian people will make crypto better so Farsi should be in TradingView and all my Trades charts Translated to Farsi
Long
by TradeWithMky
Bitcoin Overall: More 'Sideways' for Now (short trade 1.6RR)Unfortunately, that 'little retracement' I mentioned last Bitcoin Overall turned out to be a bit larger, testing the higher of the indicated supports. Thus, there is reason to believe the corrective phase will last longer and may even cut deeper than I expected. I believe this means we are likely to head lower again before moving higher. How low...I don't know for certain, however it should hold the lower supports indicated at a minimum before moving higher. How far the market declines will indicate what it will do next. Regardless, we should still be in a bull market, so new ATH is to be expected. I simply think it will take longer now. Indicated is a likely sequence of events--the next 5 relevant swings, as far as I can surmise. According to my schema, a short is in the near future, as indicated. could go deeper, this is a fairly safe exit however.
by Ian_Carsen