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BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas

BTC/USDT – Intraday Plan & Reflections (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscorReflections on the previous trade: Yesterday’s short setup played out: we reached the targeted downward block, as expected. However, price didn’t bounce to the 108000 level (untapped area), leaving a liquidity gap that isn’t great for bears. This means we might revisit and fill that zone in the future. Today’s context: A strong sell-off and the untapped 108,000 zone make things uncertain, especially when looking to avoid getting trapped in countertrend longs. Currently, I see two main short setups: Scenario 1: Short from 106,550 (correction entry) Entering on a pullback to 106,550 as a correction within the current bearish move. Targeting a drop towards the 1.618 retracement of the last impulse, aiming for the lower blue zone (bottom of the cloud on H4). This is the primary short if the correction materializes without breaking the highs. Scenario 2: Short from yellow block (liquidity grab fakeout) If price sweeps above and takes liquidity at the yellow block (marked by cluster of stop-losses), I’ll short from that fakeout. Stop-loss as shown on the chart. Targeting the 0.27 fib of the previous impulse. For this trade, I want to see a sharp rejection and heavy sell-off from the yellow zone. If price consolidates above 107,200 (a couple of 1H closes), this is a red flag and I’ll exit manually. In that case, expecting a move to 108,000 to fill the previous imbalance, before looking for renewed downside. Key notes: Context is highly uncertain today, multiple possible outcomes. For now, I’m favoring the second scenario, but scenario one remains valid if the correction plays out as described. Watching price action and volume closely for clues. #BTC #Crypto #Trading #Ichimoku #Riscora
Short
by Riscora
BTC 1D Analysis📊 BTC 1D Analysis Price is respecting the channel and currently holding the 21 EMA as dynamic support. If we see a strong daily close above the descending resistance, it may trigger a breakout toward the $110,000–$112,000 zone. Key levels: 🔹 Support: $105,980 🔹 Resistance: $110,800 Bias: Bullish if breakout confirms Watch the next 1–2 candles for confirmation. 🔔 Set alerts – don’t chase! #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoSignals #DYOR
Long
by arztraderofficial
1
#BTC enters resistance zone, beware of pullback📊#BTC enters resistance zone, beware of pullback⚠️ 🧠From a structural perspective, the target of this rise has been achieved, so we need to be wary of a mid-term correction. ➡️From a graphic perspective, the daily level seems to be forming a bull flag. This is the third time we are close to the upper edge of the flag. I think the probability of encountering resistance and falling back is higher than the probability of continuing to break through. Let's see👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – 4H Analysis UpdateBTC is currently holding above the key resistance-turned-support zone of $106,057, after a clean breakout from the symmetrical triangle last week. Price is consolidating just below $107,000, signaling a potential pause or minor pullback before the next leg. Technical Overview: Trendline support from May is intact $106K zone flipped into support — critical for bulls to hold Price action is compressing under resistance at $107,000 Holding here may lead to a retest of $108,895, then $111,785 Key Levels to Watch: Support: $106,057 – Immediate support $101,409 – Mid-range demand zone $98,898 – Rising trendline $93,343 – Strong base zone Resistance: $107,000 – Minor resistance $108,895 – Major resistance $111,785 – Upper breakout target Outlook: Bulls need to defend the $106K zone to maintain momentum. Failure to do so could cause the price to pull back toward $101K. On the flip side, strong volume above $108900 may trigger a rally toward $111K+. DYOR | Not Financial Advice
by ScramblerG
Bitcoin - Rejection From Major Resistance, Eyes on 103.8K SupporBitcoin is once again reacting to a major resistance zone around 108.8K, a level that has consistently rejected price in the past. The market attempted a breakout but failed to sustain momentum, forming multiple wicks and signs of weakness near the highs. This repeated rejection suggests that sellers are still in control up here and that this zone remains a strong ceiling for price. Immediate Downside Scenario With bearish pressure building at resistance, price is now pulling back and eyeing the first key support level around 103.8K. This zone previously acted as a significant base, with an imbalance overlap and structural demand from past price action. If price taps into this zone and buyers defend it, we could see a recovery bounce and potentially another retest of the upper resistance. Breakdown Risk and Bearish Expansion However, if 103.8K fails to hold, this opens the door for a deeper correction. The next logical downside target would be in the 98K region, where a higher timeframe imbalance sits and where price last found strong demand during the last major push up. This would also align with a full sweep of recent liquidity build-ups below. Bullish Recovery Path In the bullish case, holding 103.8K could initiate a rebound back toward the 108.8K resistance. This would likely depend on a solid reaction and displacement from the support zone, potentially forming a new higher low structure. For bulls to regain full control, we would need to see a clean breakout above the resistance zone with continuation. Key Zones to Watch The red resistance zone near 108.8K remains the clear invalidation for further upside, while the grey support block around 103.8K is the first major level that could decide the short-term trend. If that breaks, the purple demand zone near 98K is a high-probability area for price to find support again. Conclusion Bitcoin is still stuck between a strong resistance ceiling and a critical mid-range support zone. The rejection from the top signals that we may see downside in the near term, but whether this turns into a full reversal or just a retracement depends entirely on how price reacts around 103.8K. Hold it and we bounce, break it and we likely drop toward 98K. Keep watching how price behaves at these levels to gauge momentum and direction. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
47
BTC losing its shine all over again.In previous charts I already called this might be the blow of top. Someone might say but bitcoin haven't finish its cycle, this is true but the economic situation is not favorable for any market to pump. Another one is all whales, market makers and institutions knows 100% that if the market pumps one more time they will most likely dump because the market is already weak as it is, one more push will attract new money yes but retail buys of $200 are not enough to support the liquidity that is being hold above. So we might see a reversal from 103k which is the bottom of the pennant to retry resistance once again, this time I would say 108-110k will be the resistance., Rejecting below that point will set BTC for a drop to the 95-98k once again. I want to say BTC will most likely test the 80s again but let's not get too far away, Let's see how it does at 103k first, then if it holds then we know that it will reverse to the 108k area.
by GoldHatTrader
Master the Trio => to Level Up Your Trading🧠Most traders obsess over chart patterns and price action—but lasting success comes from mastering three pillars together: Technical Analysis. Risk Management. Trading Psychology. Miss one, and the structure collapses. Let’s dive into each one, and see how they work together like a high-performance trading engine: 📈 1. Technical Analysis – Think in Layers, Not Lines Most traders draw lines. Great traders read behavior. Instead of asking “Is this support holding?”, ask “Why would smart money defend this level?” Markets aren’t driven by lines—they’re driven by liquidity, trapped traders, and imbalances. That’s why: A fakeout isn’t failure—it’s often a feature. A breakout isn’t a buy signal—it’s bait. Trendlines aren’t magic—they’re just visualizations of collective bias. 🔍 Advanced tip: When analyzing a chart, map out: Where liquidity is resting (above equal highs/lows, tight consolidations) Who’s likely trapped (late buyers at resistance, early sellers during accumulation) Where the market must not go if your bias is correct (invalidations) The real edge? Seeing the chart as a battle of intentions, not just candles. 🛡️ 2. Risk Management – Your License to Play the Game Every trade is a bet. But without proper risk, it’s a gamble. Risk management isn’t just about stop losses—it’s about position sizing, asymmetry, and survival. I risk no more than 1% per trade , regardless of conviction. I aim for 2R minimum —because even with a 50% win rate, I still grow. I define my invalidation before I enter, never after. You can’t control the outcome, but you can control your exposure. That’s professional. 🧠 3. Trading Psychology – Where Most Traders Break You can have the perfect setup and smart risk, but still sabotage yourself. Why? Because emotion overrides logic —especially when money is on the line. Ever moved your stop? Chased a candle? Closed a trade too early, only to see it hit your TP later? That’s not lack of skill—it’s lack of emotional discipline. What works for me: Journaling every trade—not just the result, but how I felt Practicing “sit tight” discipline after entries Reminding myself that no single trade matters—only the process does You don’t trade the chart—you trade your beliefs about the chart. Master yourself first. 🔄 Final Thoughts Trading isn’t just about entries. It’s a mental game played on financial charts, where edge lies in understanding market mechanics, protecting capital, and staying emotionally grounded. TA shows you the “what” Risk shows you the “how much” Psychology decides the “how well” Master all three—and you’ll separate yourself from 95% of traders. 💬 Which of the three is your strongest? And which one needs more work? Let’s grow together—drop your thoughts in the comments 👇 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
32
BTC Preparing for Final Sweep Before Breakout?I’m currently waiting for a long opportunity on BTCUSDT. Price is consolidating in a range, and I believe we’re approaching the final support zone within this structure. The key area I’m watching is the 4H imbalance zone between ~102,968 and ~104,535, which also aligns with a strong structural support level. I expect price to sweep this area, potentially triggering stop-losses below recent lows and then show a bullish reaction If confirmed, I’ll look to enter long targeting the liquidity resting around 108,762. I’ll be watching closely for a reaction and confirmation
by Jakub-
1
BTC/USDT – 4H Liquidity Sweep Likely Before Bullish ReactionBitcoin is showing signs of distribution within a daily FVG range. The recent failure to break above 107,000 with strength suggests a sweep of downside liquidity is likely. 🧩 Key Observations: • Price is still respecting the daily FVG above (imbalance not fully filled). • A visible liquidity pool is sitting below recent 4H lows near 104,000. • Confluence with 4H support zone and lower daily FVG around 102,000. 🎯 What I Expect: • Price to sweep 4H liquidity → tag 104K area • Possible wick or reaction from there • If momentum increases, price could tap into the deeper imbalance around 102K 📌 Setup Bias: Short-term bearish (targeting liquidity grab), then reassessing for long setups near support + FVG convergence. 🧠 This setup is built on smart money principles — liquidity engineering, fair value gap fills, and mitigation. ⸻ Key Levels: • 🔴 Resistance: 107,000–108,000 (Daily FVG top) • ⚫ Target Zone: 104,000 (Liquidity + 4H support) • 🟣 Potential Bounce Zone: 102,000 (Lower Daily FVG)
Short
by ammarsandhu
2
BTCUSDT 4H/1D | Macro Rejection + Event WatchBTC got rejected again at macro trendline (~108.5K) Multiple lower highs → selling pressure confirmed 4H breakdown from compression with volume spike Now hovering near 106.5K — key support 🔻 Below 106.2K = clean short trigger → 104.4K–102.5K ✅ Reclaim above 108.2K flips bias bullish ⚡ Market Context Large treasury interest building (institutional buying signs) Recent $40B options expiry adds volatility at key levels Renewed institutional participation visible across platforms Bias: Bearish below 107.2K. Structure and volume support downside. Watch for July trend confirmation post-event digestion. “Smart trades aren’t lucky — they’re planned.”
by MyTradingJournal6th
Understanding SFP In Trading1. What is a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP)? A Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) occurs when the price temporarily breaks a key swing high or low but fails to continue in that direction, leading to a sharp reversal. This pattern is often driven by liquidity grabs, where price manipulates traders into taking positions before reversing against them. An SFP typically consists of: A false breakout beyond a previous swing high/low. A sharp rejection back within the prior range. A liquidity grab, triggering stop-loss orders and fueling a reversal. SFPs provide powerful trade opportunities, signaling potential reversals and the exhaustion of trends. 2. Understanding Liquidity Grabs & Stop Hunts The financial markets are structured around liquidity. Large institutions and algorithmic traders require liquidity to execute their large orders efficiently. One way they achieve this is by triggering liquidity grabs and stop hunts. Liquidity Grab: Occurs when price moves beyond a key level (e.g., swing high/low), activating orders from breakout traders and stop-losses of trapped traders. Smart money absorbs this liquidity before pushing the price in the opposite direction. Stop Hunt: A deliberate price movement designed to trigger stop-loss orders of retail traders before reversing. Often seen near major support and resistance levels. These events are crucial for understanding SFPs because they explain why false breakouts occur before significant reversals. 3. Why Smart Money Uses SFPs Institutions, market makers, and algorithmic traders use SFPs to: Fill large orders: By grabbing liquidity at key levels, they ensure they can enter large positions without causing excessive price slippage. Manipulate retail traders: Many retail traders place stop-losses at obvious swing points. Smart money exploits this by pushing the price beyond these levels before reversing. Create optimal trade entries: SFPs often align with high-probability reversal zones, allowing smart money to enter positions at better prices. Understanding how institutions operate gives traders an edge in identifying manipulative moves before major price reversals. 4. Market Structure & SFPs Market structure is built upon a series of swing highs and swing lows. Identifying these key points is crucial because they represent areas where liquidity accumulates and where price is likely to react. Swing High (SH): A peak where price makes a temporary high before reversing downward. Swing Low (SL): A trough where price makes a temporary low before reversing upward. Types of Swing Points in Market Structure Higher Highs (HH) & Higher Lows (HL) – Bullish Trend Lower Highs (LH) & Lower Lows (LL) – Bearish Trend Equal Highs & Equal Lows – Range-Bound Market 5. Liquidity Pools: Where Traders Get Trapped Liquidity pools refer to areas where traders' stop-loss orders, pending orders, and breakout entries accumulate. Smart money uses these liquidity zones to execute large orders. Common Liquidity Pool Zones: Above swing highs: Retail traders place breakout buy orders and stop-losses here. Below swing lows: Stop-losses of long positions and breakout sell orders accumulate. Trendline & Range Liquidity: Multiple touches of a trendline encourage traders to enter positions based on trendline support/resistance. Smart money may engineer a fake breakout before reversing price. 6. Identifying Bullish SFPs SFPs can occur in both bullish and bearish market conditions. The key is to identify when a liquidity grab has occurred and whether the rejection is strong enough to confirm a reversal. Bullish SFP (Swing Low Failure in a Downtrend) Price sweeps a key low, triggering stop-losses of long traders. A strong rejection wick forms, pushing price back above the previous low. A shift in order flow (bullish market structure) confirms a potential reversal. Traders look for bullish confirmation, such as a higher low forming after the SFP. Best bullish SFP setups occur: At strong support levels Below previous swing lows with high liquidity After a liquidity grab with momentum confirmation 7. Identifying Bearish SFPs Bearish SFP (Swing High Failure in an Uptrend) Price takes out a key high, triggering stop-losses of short traders. A sharp rejection forms, pushing the price back below the previous high. A bearish shift in order flow confirms downside continuation. Traders look for bearish confirmation, such as a lower high forming after the SFP. Best bearish SFP setups occur: At strong resistance levels Above previous swing highs where liquidity is concentrated With clear rejection wicks and momentum shift 8. How SFPs Signal Reversals SFPs provide early warning signs of trend reversals because they expose areas where liquidity has been exhausted. Once liquidity is taken and the price fails to continue in that direction, it often results in a strong reversal. Key Signs of a Strong SFP Reversal Long wick rejection (indicating absorption of liquidity). Close back inside the previous range (invalidating the breakout). Increased volume on the rejection candle (confirming institutional activity). Break of short-term market structure (trend shifting). Divergences with indicators (e.g., RSI divergence at the SFP). 9. Identifying High-Probability SFPs One of the most critical aspects of a valid SFP is how the price reacts after a liquidity grab. The candle’s wick and close determine whether an SFP is strong or weak. A. Wick Rejections & Candle Closes Key Features of a Strong SFP Wick Rejection Long wick beyond a key swing high/low (indicating a liquidity grab). Candle closes back inside the previous range (invalidating the breakout). Engulfing or pin bar-like structure (showing aggressive rejection). Minimal body size relative to wick length (e.g., wick is 2–3x the body). Bullish SFP (Swing Low Failure) Price sweeps below a key low, triggering stop-losses of buyers. A long wick forms below the low, but the candle closes back above the level. This signals that smart money absorbed liquidity and rejected lower prices. Best bullish SFPs occur at major support zones, previous swing lows, or untested demand areas. Bearish SFP (Swing High Failure) Price sweeps above a key high, triggering stop-losses of short sellers. A long wick forms above the high, but the candle closes back inside the range. This signals that smart money absorbed liquidity and rejected higher prices. Best bearish SFPs occur at resistance levels, previous swing highs, or untested supply areas. ❌ Weak SFPs (Avoid These) ❌ Wick is too small, meaning the liquidity grab wasn’t significant. ❌ Candle closes above the swing high (for a bearish SFP) or below the swing low (for a bullish SFP). ❌ Lack of strong momentum after rejection. B. Volume Confirmation in SFPs Volume plays a crucial role in validating an SFP. Institutional traders execute large orders during liquidity grabs, which often results in spikes in trading volume. How to Use Volume for SFP Confirmation High volume on the rejection wick → Indicates smart money absorption. Low volume on the breakout move → Suggests a lack of real buying/selling pressure. Increasing volume after rejection → Confirms a strong reversal. Spotting Fake SFPs Using Volume If volume is high on the breakout but low on the rejection wick, the move may continue trending rather than reversing. If volume remains low overall, it suggests weak market participation and a higher chance of chop or consolidation instead of a clean reversal. Best tools for volume analysis: Volume Profile (VPVR) Relative Volume (RVOL) Footprint Charts 10. Key Takeaways SFPs are Liquidity Grabs – Price temporarily breaks a key high/low, triggers stop losses, and then reverses, signaling smart money absorption. Wick Rejection & Close Matter – A strong SFP has a long wick beyond a swing point but closes back inside the range, invalidating the breakout. Volume Confirms Validity – High volume on rejection wicks indicates smart money involvement, while low-volume breakouts often fail. Higher Timeframes = Stronger SFPs – 1H, 4H, and Daily SFPs are more reliable than lower timeframe setups, reducing false signals. Confluence Increases Probability – SFPs are most effective when aligned with order blocks, imbalances (FVGs), and major liquidity zones. Optimal Entry Methods Vary – Aggressive entries capitalize on immediate rejection, while confirmation and retracement entries improve accuracy. Proper Stop Loss Placement Prevents Fakeouts – Placing SL just beyond the rejection wick or using structure-based stops reduces premature exits. Take Profit at Key Liquidity Levels – Secure profits at previous swing highs/lows, order blocks, or imbalance zones to maximize returns.
Education
by CandelaCharts
BTC\USD SHORT TRADE SETUP BTC/USDT – Short Trade Setup Breakdown (Technical Outlook Trade Thesis The area between 103,800–105,000 serves as a strong supply zone, and we’re seeing signs of exhaustion in bullish momentum. The setup suggests a high-probability short opportunity with tight confirmation. 🔸 Entry: Positioned at 103,800, just below resistance, to capture early weakness and avoid chasing. 🔸 Risk Level: The resistance at 105,000 is critical — any break and close above may invalidate this setup. 🔸 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: 97,000 – conservative exit at mid-range demand zone 🎯 Target 2: 96,000 – full target near bottom of the descending channel
by Fx_Huzzy
2
BTCUSDT – Multi-Timeframe Analysis | Demand Zone Sweep SetupAnalyzing BTCUSDT using 15m, 1h, 4h, and 1D timeframes. Current structure shows a potential demand zone sweep followed by a reclaim setup. Key confluences include: RSI divergence forming on the 15m and 1h Possible CHoCH on the 15m chart confirming bullish intent Daily structure still intact as long as 106k holds TP1, TP2, and SL levels are marked on the chart. Monitoring closely for bullish confirmation before entry. Trade what you see, not what you feel.
by Omares
1
$BTC Consolidating Before the Next Big Move?CRYPTOCAP:BTC consolidating after a strong bounce! Bitcoin is holding well above the 106K support zone and forming a tight range just below resistance. After a false breakout above 100K, the price is compressing just below key resistance at 108100. This consolidation between 106500 and 108100 looks like a pause, not a top. If BTC breaks 108100, the next targets are 110500 and ATH. Market structure is still bullish. A retest of 106500–105650 is possible before liftoff. Are you positioned for the breakout? If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more! DYOR, NFA #BitcoinRecovery
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
do not SHORT Bitcoin with 20XA consolidation range happens when the market trades sideways, in a neutral capacity. This sideways trading is neither bearish nor bullish, thus neutral. The bearish or bullish tendencies can only be defined based on the broader market structure. If the consolidation range develops coming from a major drop, you can say that the market is bearish and the consolidation a bearish consolidation even if the breakout happens to the upside. Once it happens to the upside we can say that a reversal developed but the tendencies were bearish nonetheless. If the consolidation range develops coming from a major rise, you can easy say while being correct that the market is bullish and the consolidation phase a bullish one, because of the bigger structure, previous price action and the chart. Bitcoin is consolidating with bullish tendencies but there is a boundary which we call resistance and another boundary which we call support, this is the trading range. When the market is ranging, this is when margin traders lose the most because the trend remains hidden and money tends to be made when the market is in a clear trend. Whenever the upper boundary gets challenged we get a retrace and a test of support. Whenever the lower boundary gets tested prices recover and move back up. This process gets repeated for as long as it is needed to remove all the weak hands, most of the signals are pure noise. This is the situation in which we find Bitcoin today. Ultra-bullish but sideways and anything can happen short-term. Do not SHORT Bitcoin with 20X. You might end up with some fast and easy profits. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
11
BTC - Consolidation, Manipulation & DistributionMarket Context The current price action unfolds within the broader structure of a bullish leg that began after a sharp reversal near 97,000. This impulsive rally created a clear Fair Value Gap on the 4-hour chart—left behind as price surged upward with minimal resistance. Following this move, the market entered a consolidation phase, forming a range that has now broken to the upside. This kind of breakout often attracts breakout traders, but in this case, the context signals something more calculated. Buy Side Liquidity Sweep Following Consolidation The breakout above the consolidation range led directly into a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep, as price ran the highs just above the marked range. These highs acted as a magnet for liquidity—stop losses from short sellers and buy stops from breakout traders were likely pooled in that area. The quick rejection following this sweep suggests the move was not backed by genuine demand, but rather served the purpose of liquidity collection by larger players. Manipulation and Distribution This is a textbook example of manipulation into liquidity. Price was engineered to move upward into a zone of interest, taking out the Buy Side Liquidity before sharply reversing. The strong rejection signals distribution—institutions likely offloaded positions into the influx of late buyers. This kind of pattern often precedes a larger markdown, particularly when followed by lower timeframe bearish structure breaks. Unfilled Fair Value Gap as a Draw Beneath the price lies an unfilled Fair Value Gap, a zone of imbalance left behind by the earlier impulsive move. These areas often act as magnets for price, especially once liquidity objectives to the upside have been completed. Now that the sweep has occurred and distribution is underway, there is a strong probability that price will begin to seek rebalancing within this Gap. The area between 104,000 and 103,500 stands out as a high-probability target for the next leg down. Execution Insight If you're looking to enter short, it may be wise to wait for confirmation on a lower timeframe—such as a bearish break of structure or an internal Gap forming during the retracement. A 5-minute timeframe can often give early signs of rejection or supply stepping in. Being patient and allowing the market to reveal intent is crucial, especially after liquidity-driven moves like this. Final Thoughts Price doesn’t move randomly—it seeks liquidity and fills inefficiencies. This chart beautifully illustrates that logic, from engineered consolidation to a manipulative sweep, and now potentially toward rebalancing. If you found this breakdown helpful, I’d really appreciate a like—it helps support the work and keeps this kind of content going. Let me know in the comments what you think, or if you’re seeing it differently. I'm always up for a good discussion.
Short
by Louigi_24
198