Bitcoin Weekly & $120,000This weekly Bitcoin chart says it all... Please, allow me to reveal to you what the future holds!
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, what a wonderful day.
Only one week ever produced a higher close than the current price. Only once, 19-May, Bitcoin managed to close above $107,000... What happens if Bitcoin closes above $107,000? New all-time high confirmed.
Two days remain for the week to close and we—the bulls—only need to maintain a price of $107,000 or higher to send such a strong bullish signal that everybody will come out and start buying.
The next target on this timeframe is $120,000.
Bitcoin is using EMA13 as support. This level was tested and holds, the same for EMA8. When Bitcoin moved above these levels in April, it produced an advance from $83,000 to $112,000, more than 33%. The price now is $107,000 but instead of recovering from below EMA8/13, BTCUSDT is trading above; this means that the bullish bias is fully confirmed.
The weekly timeframe looks great. We can expect higher prices soon, with growth happening for an extended period of time. Bitcoin is very strong now and this is only the start.
I will continue to share proof that shows the entire Cryptocurrency market going up.
Thank you for reading.
Leave a comment with your questions.
Thanks a lot for your support.
Namaste.
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
Analyzing the new month, new week, new day
Hello, traders.
If you "follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
A new month begins in one day.
The key is whether it can hold the price by rising above 109588.0.
If not, there is a possibility that it will fall below the 94172.00 StochRSI 50 indicator point that the arrow is pointing to.
We need to see if it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratio of 1.618 (89050.0).
Since the current low-point trend line is not complete, it is not surprising that it can show a downward trend at any time.
However, if it rises above 109588.0 and maintains the price, it is expected that there will be an attempt to rise near the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92).
I think it is likely to be the last target of the target bull market in 2025.
-
(1W chart)
It is a period of volatility around the week including June 23.
That is, from June 16 to July 6 is the volatility period.
The key is whether it can rise to the right Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43) during this volatility period.
Even if it fails to rise, if the price maintains above 104463.99, it is expected to show an upward trend around the next volatility period.
The next volatility period on the 1W chart is expected to be around the week of August 18.
-
When it falls below 104463.99, we need to check whether the HA-High indicator is newly generated.
If not, it is important to check whether there is support around the current HA-High indicator point of 99705.62.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is passing around 99705.62, its importance can be said to be high.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, it is expected to determine the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the HA-High indicator point of 108316.90 on the 1D chart.
If it fails to rise,
1st: 104463.99
2nd: 99705.62
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart,
1st: 89294.25
2nd: M-Signal of the 1M chart
There is a possibility that it will fall near the 1st and 2nd above.
-----------------------------------------
(1W chart)
The chart above is a trend line chart drawn on the 1W chart.
It looks complicated, but what's important to look at is the correlation between the high-point trend line and the low-point trend line.
That is, even if the price rises above 109.588.0, if it doesn't rise above the high-point trend line, it is likely to fall near the low-point trend line.
Fortunately, since it is forming an upward channel, it is expected that the price will eventually rise even if it falls.
-
(1D chart)
Unlike the trend line on the 1W chart, the high-point trend line on the 1D chart forms a downward trend line.
Accordingly, the period around July 7, when the low-point trend line and the high-point trend line intersect, can be considered an important period of volatility.
However, the volatility period starts around July 2nd and is expected to end around July 10th.
----------------------------------------------
As shown above, many lines were drawn to analyze the chart.
I have roughly explained which of the lines drawn in this way should be prioritized.
Since chart analysis is for creating a trading strategy, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are ultimately the most important.
Therefore, it is most important to check how the support and resistance points were created and find the reason for them.
Other analyses are only additional elements.
As I always say, chart analysis that does not show support and resistance points is only an analysis chart that can be used for trading.
You cannot trade with such analysis charts.
Also, if support and resistance points are shown, you should check the basis for setting the support and resistance points.
In order to serve as a support and resistance point, there must be a basis.
When you cannot confirm the basis for the support and resistance point, it is important to ask questions and find out the basis.
Fibonacci ratios are not suitable for actual trading.
However, when the ATH or ATL is updated, it is valuable enough for analysis.
Other than that, there must be support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry The Stop Loss Triangle is back!
This time with BITSTAMP:BTCUSD coming off its recent impulse rally. For those of you that aren’t familiar with my strategy — let me start from the beginning…
This concept involves positioning against the opposing decline in price and time as a precursor to our theoretical projection. If the underlying enters our predetermined faded cross-section, the stop loss is triggered to prevent sideways consolidation and the erosion of contract premiums or leverage decay.
This inherently ‘sclene’ triangle is constructed by drawing a straight trend line through the bottoming reversal candle and the furthest projection in price and time symmetry (78.6%) of the retracement. Once connected, draw a vertically positioned straight line from the highest or lowest point in the previously identified retracement to the bottom reversal candle area once again. To create a ‘right triangle’, now turn 90 degrees towards the final point, which is determined by the nearest projection in price and time symmetry (38.2%). This allows time after the imposed price and time date, yet not enough for premium or leverage decay to become significant.
In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle.
I encourage my followers to identify and explore the system on their own. As always, feel free to ask me anything related to it. We’ll follow along and you’ll be amazed at the precision of Fibonacci symmetry.
CHEERS
BTC/USDT – Intraday Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraToday’s idea:
I’m expecting a retracement to the 107,867 level as a pullback to the recent impulse. The move we observed earlier aligns with my prediction from last Friday — liquidity was taken out above the highs, and now I anticipate a deeper correction against the overall bullish move.
My main scenario for the day is a move down into the 106,400 area at minimum, targeting the liquidity below.
Ideally, I’d like to see a push to 107,870 first, as that would provide the best entry for a short setup. I’m willing to open a short in that scenario, but it’s important to remember the higher timeframe trend remains bullish, so any short should be approached with caution.
Key levels:
Retracement target: 107,867
Main downside target: 106,400
Cautious shorting only — trend still bullish overall
Let’s see how the price develops. Will update if conditions change.
#BTC #Crypto #Trading #Ichimoku #Riscora
BTCUSDT Market Outlook (Daily Chart)BTC’s failure to rally into a new all-time high (ATH) from the June 5th low can be attributed to the fact that price wasn't coming from a true discount zone. Similarly, key correlated assets like ETH and SOL also hadn’t reached their respective discount levels at that point. This misalignment created an unbalanced market structure, which necessitated a corrective move to realign broader market pricing.
Now that both ETH and SOL have tapped into their discount zones and shown signs of recovery, the conditions are more technically sound to project a potential ATH for BTC in the coming weeks or month. However, on a broader scale, this current rally could serve as a liquidity trap — drawing buyers into a high before distribution.
As for now, any sudden price drop should be seen as a potential buying opportunity into the anticipated new ATH. But caution remains key — any strong sell signal or reversal confirmation near the ATH zone could trigger a significant selloff as sellers regain control.
PSYCHOLOGY OF A CRYPTO CYCLEWe expected a pullback, and now thats behind us!😅
The market is back on track, and we are firmly in the #Belief phase of the bull cycle.
With heavy short liquidity stacked around $110K, a push into that zone could trigger a short squeeze, launching us into the #Thrill phase.
And if momentum holds, all signs point to #Euphoria by late 2025.
Favorites so far this cycle:
🥑 POLONIEX:GUACUSDT 🔗 POLONIEX:LLUSDT 🎮 KUCOIN:MYRIAUSDT
🌐 HTX:SYNTUSDT 🧪 MEXC:DEAIUSDT 🏠 OKX:PRCLUSDT
🧱 MEXC:YBRUSDT ⛏️ MEXC:KLSUSDT 🧩 $RUJIUSDT
Comment below your favorite coins!
Analysis of Bitcoin Market StrategyTechnical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) Contracts: In terms of today's market, the daily chart of the large cycle closed with a small bullish candle yesterday. The K-line pattern shows consecutive upward movements, with the price above the moving averages. The attached indicators are in a golden cross, indicating an obvious upward trend in the long term. However, the current upward momentum and sustainability are relatively weak. Therefore, it is recommended to maintain short-term trading and strictly control risks.
In the short-term hourly chart, the overall price has been consolidating at high levels. The current K-line pattern is in consecutive bullish candles, with the price above the moving averages, and the attached indicators are in a golden cross. Therefore, an upward movement is highly probable today, with the support level near the 106,300 area.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
buy@106300-106500
TP:108000-108500
Example of how to draw a trend line using the StochRSI indicator
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
We use the StochRSI indicator to draw a trend line.
We draw a trend line by connecting the peaks of the StochRSI indicator, i.e. the K line, when they are created in the overbought area or when they are created in the overbought area.
That is, when the K line of the StochRSI indicator forms a peak in the overbought area, the trend line is drawn by connecting the Open values of the falling candles.
If the candle corresponding to the peak of the StochRSI indicator is a rising candle, move to the right and use the Open value of the first falling candle.
When drawing the first trend line, draw it from the latest candle.
Since the third trend line indicates a new trend, do not draw anything after the third trend line.
The currently drawn trend line corresponds to the high-point trend line.
-
Therefore, you should also draw the low-point trend line.
The low-point trend line is drawn by connecting the K line of the StochRSI indicator when the top is formed in the oversold zone.
The low-point trend line uses the low value of the candle when the K line of the StochRSI indicator forms the top in the oversold zone.
That is, it doesn't matter whether the candle is a bearish candle or a bullish candle.
The drawing method is the same as when drawing the high-point trend line, drawing from the latest candle.
The top of the best K line of the StochRSI indicator was not formed within the oversold zone.
(The top is indicated by the section marked with a circle.)
Since the trend line was not formed, the principle is not to draw it.
If you want to draw it and see it, it is better to display it differently from the existing trend line so that it is intuitively different from the existing trend line.
-
The chart below is a chart that displays the trend line drawn separately above as a whole.
It is also good to distinguish which trend line it is by changing the color of the high-point trend line and the low-point trend line.
The chart below is a chart that distinguishes the high-point trend line in blue (#5b9cf6) and the low-point trend line in light green (#00ff00).
The low-point trend line is a line drawn when the trend has changed, so it does not have much meaning, but it still provides good information for calculating the volatility period.
-
To calculate the volatility period, support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are required.
However, since I am currently explaining how to draw a trend line, it is only drawn on the 1M chart.
-
I use the indicators used in my chart to indicate support and resistance points.
That is, I use the DOM(60), DOM(-60), HA-Low, HA-High, and OBV indicators to indicate support and resistance points.
Since the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators are not displayed on the 1M chart, I have shown the 1W chart as an example.
The indicators displayed up to the current candle correspond to the main support and resistance points.
Although it is not displayed up to the current candle, the point where the horizontal line is long is drawn as the sub-support and resistance point.
It is recommended to mark them separately to distinguish the main support and resistance point and the sub-support and resistance point.
The trend line drawn in this way and the support and resistance points are correlated on the 1D chart and the volatility period is calculated.
(For example, it was drawn on the 1M chart.)
The sections marked as circles are the points that serve as the basis for calculating the volatility period.
That is,
- The point where multiple trend lines intersect
- The point where the trend line and the support and resistance points intersect
Select the point that satisfies the above cases at the same time to display the volatility period.
When the point of calculating the volatility period is ambiguous, move to the left and select the first candle.
This is because it is meaningless to display it after the volatility period has passed.
If possible, the more points that are satisfied at the same time, the stronger the volatility period.
If the K-line peak of the StochRSI indicator is formed outside the overbought or oversold zone, it is better to exclude it when calculating the volatility period.
-
The chart below is a chart drawn on a 1D chart by summarizing the above contents.
The reason why there are so many lines is because of this reason.
For those who are not familiar with my charts, I have been simplifying the charts as much as possible these days.
However, when explaining, I have shown all the indicators to help you understand the explanation.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
Bitcoin Approaches PRZ – Will the Falling Wedge Break ?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) failed to break through the Support zone($106,800-$105,820) after attacking it five times , and started to rise again.
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($109,220-$108,280) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($108,800-$108,085) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Resistance lines .
From a Classical Technical Analysis perspective , Bitcoin's movements over the past two days seem to have formed a Falling Wedge Pattern .
From an Elliott Wave theory perspective , Bitcoin appears to have completed the main wave 4 within the Falling Wedge Pattern. The structure of the main wave 4 was a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Resistance lines after breaking the upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern . If Bitcoin fails to break the Resistance lines before the global markets close , we can expect Bitcoin to fall again. Because entering Saturday and Sunday , the trading volume is generally low , and I think Bitcoin needs a lot of volume to break the resistances .
Do you agree with me?
CME Gap: $106,645-$106,295
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,055-$105,430
Note: If Bitcoin manages to break the Support zone($106,800-$105,820), we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC Is Replaying a Bullish Fractal >>> Are You Watching?Hello guys!
I see a deja vu here! Let’s look at the historical daily chart (Jan–May 2025):
What happened?
Initial Drop (Yellow Oval): Bitcoin approached a key S&D zone but didn't touch it, triggering a short-lived bounce before dropping again.
Second Drop (Red Ovals): This time, price precisely touched the demand zone, triggering a clean bullish reversal.
What followed was a strong trend breakout, sustained higher lows, and an eventual surge past prior resistance levels.
Current 4H Chart Setup: A Mirror Image?
Yellow Highlight: Once again, we saw a bounce that didn't quite touch the key demand zone ($98K–$100K).
Red Zone Prediction: If this mirrors the historical move, the price is likely to return and touch this S&D area before launching a bullish leg.
Blue Path Projection: A sharp reversal is expected post-touch, aiming toward $111K–$113K as the next key resistance zone.
The descending trendline adds confluence
___________________
History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes
Based on this fractal analysis, Bitcoin is likely forming the same bullish base seen earlier in 2025. The setup hinges on one key event: a return to the $99K–$100K zone, where demand is likely to step in aggressively.
If the pattern repeats, the current market may offer one last high-reward long opportunity before a parabolic rally.
Bitcoin Offensive plan for S/R, risk-on scenario confirmed__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum : Strong across all timeframes, driven by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (“Strong Buy” bias from 1D to 1H).
Key Supports : 98–100k remains the crucial zone to defend. Interim supports at 103.6k and 106k.
Major Resistances : 107–110k critical cluster, intermediate resistance at 108.2k.
Volume : Normal to moderately increasing volumes on all timeframes, short-term spike at 15min (caution warranted).
Multi-TF behavior : No signs of euphoria or capitulation except for 15min (behavioral overheating & high volume detected).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Structural bias : Strong bullish, confirmed by technical and sector data.
Opportunities : Pullback entries at 107–107.5k, trend-following plans on validated breakouts >108.2k/109.9k.
Risk zone : Major break under 106k then 103.6k = invalidation, watch for seller excess (ISPD)/extreme volume on 15min.
Macro catalyst : No major event expected; wait & see climate, caution around Middle East geopolitical headlines.
Action plan : Buy support, monitor breakout/volume, stop-loss below 106k then 99k.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D – 12H – 6H : Durable bullish structure, price capped below 107–110k, momentum confirmed by Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (“Strong Buy”), no volume climax, healthy volume. 98–100k supports remain crucial.
4H – 2H – 1H – 30min : Aligned uptrend, no sell signals. Pullbacks absorbed at 103.6–107.5k pivots. 108.2k–109.9k breakout is pivotal, volumes healthy outside 15min.
15min : Emerging behavioral excess (ISPD = Sell), very high volume → risk of short-term overheat, avoid chasing without validation.
Summary : Bullish multi-timeframe confluence, but caution on ultra-short-term excess and geopolitical news flow.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Synthesis & Strategic Plan
__________________________________________________________________________________
Directional bias : Structurally bullish on all higher TFs, supported by Risk On / Risk Off Indicator, MTFTI, no major alert signals.
Action scenarios :
Buy pullback at 107–107.5k, SL below 106k (Swings) or below 107k (Scalps).
Confirmed breakout (vol./no behavioral excess) above 108.2–109.9k, targets >110k.
Risk/invalidation : Any break under 106k then 103.6k then 99k = bullish bias neutralized.
Risk management : Take partial profits on 109–110k extensions; avoid persistence if ISPD turns red & volumes spike on lower TFs.
Fundamental & on-chain factors : No macro catalyst, healthy consolidation, $99k–$100k on-chain supports decisive, breakout requires new inflows.
Decision summary:
Bias = Bullish, buy supports and validate breakouts with volume, watch for 15min excess and Middle East headlines. Strict SL below 106k/103.6k, risk-off below 99k. Partial profit taking on 109–110k extension. No immediate macro catalyst.