Whether it can be supported and rise at 102429.56 is the key
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
If USDT dominance is maintained below 4.97 or continues to decline, the coin market is likely to enter an upward trend.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
However, I think that for the altcoin bull market to begin, BTC dominance must be maintained below 55.01 or continue to decline.
If USDT dominance falls and BTC dominance rises, most altcoins are likely to gradually move sideways or show a downward trend.
In other words, it is highly likely that only BTC will continue to rise.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
Based on the current position, in order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101784.54).
If not, it is likely to fall to around the Fibonacci ratio of 1.618 (89050.0).
If the uptrend continues, the point to watch is whether it can renew the new high (ATH) this time.
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(1W chart)
It is rising after touching the 73499.86 area.
It is showing a large increase as it breaks through the HA-High indicator point of 97226.92 on the 1W chart.
Since the StochRSI indicator is expected to enter the overbought zone, it is highly likely that the future rise will be limited.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained above the left Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101784.54).
If it falls, you should check whether it is supported near 97226.92.
If it falls below 97226.92, you should check whether it is supported in the 1st and 2nd sections marked on the chart.
You should check where the StochRSI 80 indicator is formed when the next candle is created.
The StochRSI 80 indicator on the 1M chart is formed at the 102429.56 point.
Therefore, we need to check whether the StochRSI 80 indicator point on the 1W chart is formed around the 102429.56 point.
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(1D chart)
Since the StochRSI indicator on the 1D chart is located below the midpoint, we need to focus on finding a buying point.
With this rise, the StochRSI indicator is expected to rise above the midpoint.
If the StochRSI indicator is located above the midpoint, we need to focus on finding a selling point.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether the price can be maintained around the right Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (101784.54) as we pass through the next volatility period around May 19.
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Among the interpretation methods of the OBV indicator, there is an interpretation method that there is a possibility of an increase or decrease when the previous high or low is broken.
This time, it showed an upward break through the upper line of the OBV and broke through the lower line of the previous OBV.
In other words, it showed an upward break through the A section.
If this upward break through the B section is continued, it is expected to renew the ATH.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin on the road to $105k and beyond...So Bitcoin has finally flipped from bearish in April to bullish in May 25.
As per Elliott Wave theory, it has been printing a clear Wave 1 from the bottom below (aprox. @$74.500).
At the time of this post, btc is @ the impressive price of $102.289.
I has clearly made a subwave 1, 2, 3, 4 and its on its way of finishing up subwave 5.
Thing is... this looks as a non stop movement for the time being.
That´s how BULLISH everyone hast turned.
My projection is that the whole swing should finally end somewhere between $104.600 - $105.300 (even if it could push a bit higher, such as $106.200 or so). Yes, it could go even further and then $107k, 109 and 110 would be open. But it seems fare reaching.
I rather stick to the former:
Wave 1 would end at around $104.600 - $105.300, and Wave 2 correction could take us somewhere between $93.500 and $88.750 (give or take).
It´s game! Let´s see how this finally plays out...
Bias: BULLISH
Bitcoin 6X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers —2nd Entry (PP: 540%)I will explain my thinking as usual so you can make an informed decision.
I believe Bitcoin will make a new advance. When there is a move that leads to the challenge of resistance or support, there is always a stop, a retrace or pullback before additional action. Bitcoin here stopped at 95,000, which is the first resistance from our previous trade-signal and did produce a retrace but it was extremely small. This is a bullish signal.
The fact that the action remains at resistance and this resistance continues to be challenged, is also a bullish signal. The more this resistance gets challenged the weaker it becomes.
Now, a 2nd entry is riskier than the first one of course because the action is more advanced but not everybody can enter perfectly at bottom prices nor at the same time.
We manage risk through capital allocation and relatively low leverage, which is actually pretty high.
See the full numbers and you will see that risk is low.
The stop goes below the low 13-Jan. 2025. The lowest after the final advance happened at $91,688 on 24-April. This is a relatively safe chart setup.
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LONG BTCUSDT
Leverage: 6X
1) $96,000
2) $93,000
3) $90,000
Targets:
1) $104,250
2) $120,000
3) $131,400
4) $143,300
5) $165,000
6) $181,000
Stop-loss:
Close weekly below $86,000
Potential profits: 540%
Capital allocation: 5%
_____
I think timing is good on this one. The next move can happen within days because consolidation has been happening already for an entire week without much change in price, clearly a continuation pattern. Volume being low at this point is also a signal of consolidation.
The fact that there is no volume indicates that the true bullish action is yet to start.
Bears not being present indicates that growth will happen long-term as the bearish cycle (the previous correction) is over.
I wishing you great luck and profits.
The market always offers a second chance, always.
Namaste.
BTC Short Setup IdeaFollowing the recent impulsive move, we’ve seen a significant number of short liquidations. There’s a high probability of a correction toward the accumulated liquidity near the lows. Additionally, keep an eye on the CME gap between $91,920 and $93,440 — a potential magnet for price.
The impulse itself shows signs of weakness, and there's a noticeable bearish divergence on the RSI, suggesting downward momentum. Price is currently testing a strong resistance area, corresponding to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level from the entire correction since the ATH. Moreover, the RSI has entered overbought territory.
I recommend starting to look for short entries from this zone, supported by these technical signals. As always, proper risk management is essential.
Looking forward to hearing your thoughts and feedback on this idea!
BTC Maintains Strategic Bullish Structure New ATH Still insightHello Traders and Crypto Enthusiasts! 👋
I'm excited to share a detailed analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) on its ongoing bullish structure, maintaining higher highs and higher lows. This chart captures the key support zones, demand areas, and chart patterns that underpin our optimistic outlook. Let’s dive deep into the technical narrative.
Bitcoin continues to respect a clearly defined bullish market structure on the weekly timeframe. The price action has persistently printed higher highs and higher lows, maintaining upward momentum within a dominant ascending channel. This behavior reinforces the ongoing bullish narrative, as buyers have repeatedly stepped in at logical demand zones to defend structure.
The immediate demand zone between $71,300 and $78,300 has acted as a critical launchpad for price. As long as this region holds on a weekly closing basis, the probability of continuation remains elevated.
A clean break above the $109,588 resistance , marking the previous high—would likely act as a technical trigger for further upside acceleration, with the projected price target standing at $140,998. This level is derived from a measured move extension based on prior impulsive legs within the channel, reflecting a symmetrical and organic expansion of market structure. This almost projected same as one of our previous analysis.
Key support remains layered across multiple zones. The internal demand zone around $48,800 to $54,500 represents a structural pivot level. Below that, the extreme support zone near $27,900 and the foundational base zone between $15,500 and $17,765 provide deep support from earlier cycle lows. These levels are unlikely to be revisited unless a significant macro reversal occurs, something not currently evidenced in the chart.
The preservation of trendline support, coupled with repeated bullish rejections from higher lows, confirms that market psychology remains tilted in favor of the bulls. Sellers have yet to invalidate any critical higher low, indicating the uptrend is not only intact but maturing toward another expansion phase with potential ending diagonal in view.
With the current projection and structural alignment, the bullish thesis remains valid as long as Bitcoin sustains weekly closes above the $78,300 zone. A failure to hold that level could lead to a re-evaluation of this outlook. Until then, structure governs sentiment and right now, the structure is still decisively bullish.
Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and watch for confirmation signals as Bitcoin continues its upward journey. 🚀
Let's keep the discussion alive — share your thoughts, setups, and predictions below!
BTC...any sh&t bag holders? Seeing BTC pump, most likely short sellers getting squeezed, seems like the champgne effect will kick in anytime soon. Short term profit traders do not buy at the top and will sell BTC very quickly and moreso when trading algorithms are involved.
Be super careful with BTC FOMO, when it crashes it goes down hard! Crypto bros will be going back to rice and beans diet very soon.....
Bitcoin a Technical Summery technical summary based on what you're describing for BTCUSDT on the 4H timeframe:
Forecast from Mr Martin Date 05 May 2025
Current Setup:
Pattern: Two-sided consolidation/pattern (likely symmetrical triangle or range)
Key Support: ~89,000 USDT
Key Resistance: ~95,000 USDT
Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout:
If price holds above 95K and confirms breakout: Next target: ~98,000 USDT
Above 98K, could test psychological levels like 100K.
Bearish Breakdown: If price falls below 89K:nExpect a retest or quick rebound toward resistance (~95K).
You may see more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks
Bitcoin Local TopBitcoin: rally meets resistance
Context
• April low: $74 000 → today’s high: $101 200 (+37 %)
• 90‑day pause on new US tariffs lifted risk assets; FOMC left rates at 4.25‑4.50 % with real yields still > 2 %
• Active conflicts in Ukraine, Gaza and the South China Sea keep macro‑volatility elevated
Flows
• US spot‑ETF complex: cumulative net inflow $40.7 bn, AUM $106 bn
• BlackRock’s IBIT: 15 consecutive inflow days, $6.96 bn YTD
• MicroStrategy: bought 15 355 BTC (~$1.42 bn) last week, now holds 553 k BTC
Technical focus (2‑hour chart)
• Price is 11 % above the rising trendline from 1 May
• Key confluence: $101 700 – $103 000 (0.27 Fib plus unfilled weekly supply)
• First support: $97 000 – $98 000; major demand: $92 000
• Mean‑reversion target if momentum breaks: $86 000
• Invalidation of pullback view: daily close above $103 500
Base case
60 % probability of a retest of $92–97 k before any sustained advance
30 % chance of a deeper wash to $86 k
10 % chance of a clean breakout through $103 k toward $109 k+
Takeaways
• Long‑only allocators: add on a confirmed weekly close above $103 k; risk below $98 k
• Swing traders: fade spikes above $102 k toward $97 k; tighten stops if daily > $103 k
• Spot accumulators: schedule bids at $92 k and $86 k; avoid chasing upside extensions
Educational commentary, not investment advice. Manage position size and respect stops.
BTC Elliott wave analysis 5/9/2025 (Big Picture)For me, I think that we are going to the End the wave 5 of the BTC Supercycle . As you can see , the wave that we are now have very small accumulation making it should be wave 5 rather than the begining of new cycle or the correction wave since both usually have large accumulation.The Gann fan suggest that the End of the wave 5 should be around 128,000$-132,000$. And after the time that it finish the wave 5 it would be coincided with the depression that many economist suggest that it would happen.Surprisingly, It also coinside with the Modern Elliott Wave theory suggesting that a Grand Supercycle wave five is nearing completion in the 21st century, likely leading to the deepest economic downturn since the 1700s.
sample strategy onlyAt present, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near the upper boundary of its recent price range, currently positioned at a relatively high peak. The market appears to be approaching a minor resistance level situated just above the current price. If the price action continues its upward momentum and touches this resistance, there is a strong likelihood that it will face selling pressure. This could result in a price reversal, potentially leading BTC to decline and retrace back down toward the most recent significant swing low, where previous support was established
Bitcoin's 100K Resistance Breaks Down, New ATH May '25 +AltcoinsIt only took a few days and the final barrier for a new All-Time High is now broken. Bitcoin is set to hit a new All-Time High now, in May 2025 to later continue growing; month after month after month, long-term. This is only the start.
Bitcoin challenging and breaking $100,000 easily with a full green candle is the most important bullish signal we can find. The indicators and candles are great of course, don't get me wrong, but nothing is more important than the actual price, and prices have been growing for more than a month.
— Altcoins Market Update
Most of the Altcoins market is still trading at bottom and this is only as good as it gets. Trading at bottom prices means that these Altcoins will produce massive growth in the coming weeks and days; straight up for sure, the bullish bias is confirmed.
As Bitcoin hits $100,000 and moves beyond, the entire Altcoins market is set to follow.
As Bitcoin approaches a new All-Time High in a matter of days, the Altcoins will be growing between 100, 200 and even 300% in the coming days. Think about it, 200-300% up this very same month. This is an amazing opportunity, an opportunity that you should grab; buy and hold.
Feel free to make your analysis request by leaving a comment on the Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick trade-idea, it is live today.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
It is truly appreciated.
We win again.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Approaches Key Resistance: Pullback or Breakout?CRYPTO:BTCUSD
📈 Technical Analysis (description for the post):
On the daily chart of BTC/USDT, we can see that the price is once again approaching the psychological and structural resistance around 108,000 USDT, a level that previously acted as a strong rejection zone. Currently, Bitcoin is trading above the 150-period simple moving average (SMA150), which reinforces a short- to mid-term bullish outlook.
The MACD indicator shows a clear bullish continuation signal, although already in high territory. This could suggest some short-term consolidation before a solid breakout. If BTC manages to break above the 108,000 USDT level with strong volume, it could open the path to all-time highs.
The most relevant support remains near 74,500 USDT, a key level that served as the base of the latest upward move. This structure allows for trading strategies with a favorable risk-reward ratio, especially for swing traders.
📌 This analysis is created using tools similar to those we integrate into our AI systems for traders. If you're interested in automating your strategy or implementing virtual assistants into your trading platform or customer service, learn more at:
Bitcoin - Bulls vs Bears: 88k or 100k?Bitcoin has broken through the 4H imbalance zone that also acted as an old resistance area. The break came through a clear displacement candle, which showed strong intent from the market. That same move left behind a new gap just under the previous resistance. Although price already retested that area once, it didn’t fully fill the gap, so we could see one more retest to complete the 50% line before the market chooses direction.
Consolidation Structure
The range before the breakout was clean, with multiple rejections from the resistance zone. That zone was front-run several times, then finally broken with conviction. Now, price is hovering just under that broken level, and the new gap created by the displacement candle is still fresh and technically unfilled.
Below current price, there’s a large inefficiency sitting between 88.2k and 90k. This zone stands out because it’s not only a clean 4H imbalance, but it also aligns with the golden pocket retracement from the last major leg up. That type of confluence usually attracts liquidity, especially if price gets rejected from the gap above and starts moving lower.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The bullish scenario would play out if price manages to reclaim the gap zone, pushes back above the resistance cleanly, and treats the gap as support. That would be a classic structure flip, where the previous resistance becomes a new base, and the gap gets inverted into a continuation zone. If we see that, the next upside targets would sit around the 96k to 97k area, where more liquidity is likely resting.
On the other hand, if price moves into the gap and gets rejected again, that confirms sellers are still active at that level. In that case, I’d expect the market to push down and start filling the inefficiencies below. The 88.2k to 90k area becomes the primary draw. It’s packed with confluence from the 4H imbalance and the golden pocket, and it also lines up with previous demand zones. If price reaches into that area, it could trigger a strong reaction and potentially form the next higher low.
Price Target and Expectations
If we see rejection from the current gap, the target shifts to the 88.2k to 90k zone. That’s where I’ll be watching for bullish signs, since it’s the type of level where buyers often step in. A clean reaction there could be the start of a new leg higher. But if the market doesn’t get that low, and instead pushes up through the resistance, then the bullish breakout scenario is active, and we’d be aiming higher toward the 96k range or even the 100k.
Current Stance
Right now, I’m in reactive mode. The trade will depend on what happens at the gap zone. If we get another rejection from it, I’ll look for a move into the golden pocket below. If we reclaim the gap and break resistance, I’ll be looking to enter on confirmation of the flip. No trade from the middle, only once price gives clear direction from either key level.
Conclusion
This is a clean two-scenario setup. Either price fills the remaining gap and flips resistance, triggering the bullish continuation, or we reject from that area again and drop into the 88.2k to 90k range for a deeper liquidity grab. Both are valid, and both offer high-probability trades once price confirms the path.
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Financial Markets: Outlook and Risks – May 2025As May 2025 begins, global financial markets are entering the month with cautious optimism, shaped by anticipation surrounding decisions from key regulatory bodies. At the center of this uncertainty lies the U.S. Federal Reserve, whose policies continue to exert a significant influence over global asset dynamics.
After a series of interest rate hikes throughout 2023 and 2024, the Federal Reserve has adopted a more neutral stance, closely monitoring macroeconomic indicators. Despite a moderate decline in inflation and stable employment figures, Fed officials remain hesitant to declare an end to the tightening cycle. In his latest address, Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the need for "vigilance amid geopolitical volatility and structural changes in the global economy."
The U.S. stock market entered May with moderate volatility. The S&P 500 index is hovering near local highs, while investors are reacting cautiously to corporate earnings reports and Fed commentary. Tech stocks are largely on the rise, driven by expectations of expanded AI integration, while companies in the industrial and energy sectors face pressure from rising input costs and supply chain instability.
Europe is facing a more complex situation, with inflationary pressures persisting, especially in the energy sector. The European Central Bank (ECB) is walking a fine line between tightening monetary policy and supporting sluggish economic growth. Major indices like the UK’s FTSE and Germany’s DAX are showing mixed signals, reflecting domestic challenges and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
On currency markets, the U.S. dollar remains relatively strong, though it occasionally dips as expectations grow for a more dovish stance from the Fed. The euro and the Japanese yen are showing periodic strengthening, backed by active central bank measures. Emerging markets such as Brazil and India are seeing increased interest in gold and government bonds as a hedge against external risks.
Beyond monetary policy, one of the main concerns for investors is the ongoing trade dispute between the U.S. and China. Tariff hikes and export restrictions on strategic goods are raising alarms about supply chain reconfigurations and capital reallocation on a global scale.
Investors around the world are searching for a balance between risk and return. Current strategies emphasize diversification, safe-haven assets, digital technologies, and ESG-focused sectors. Analysts advise a measured approach, urging investors to closely monitor macroeconomic data before making major portfolio decisions.
In summary, May 2025 marks a period of watchfulness and recalibration. Financial markets are looking to the Federal Reserve, trade negotiations, and key economic reports for signals that will likely define the tone for the months ahead.
OLD BUT GOLD! Warning BTC next recession!In the previous article [ BTC may slightly decrease before the next move ] we pointed out the risk volatility of BTC in the ~96k range. So far, the BTC price analysis is going quite well as expected (not 100% accurate):
- The price increased to touch 109k5 and formed a resistance zone.
- Then the price dropped sharply and locked the 96k zone and headed to key level the 70k zone but stop at 74k7.
- Next, price is recovering very well to the 97k zone
- Please note that the analysis is for reference only, the BTC price movement is similar to the image, but not 100% correct, the price move up and down through the zone while moving. This analysis is based on personal technical analysis, not investment advice! => please consider your skills before making a decision!
The main content of this article will be the current price movement after recovering to the 97k area. The price tends to increase, but the upward force is much weaker , currently the price has created a form of resistance at the 97k area. In my personal opinion, this weakness can reverse at any time => ending the recovery phase into a downtrend phase. If this analysis is correct, we will look at the price of the nearest important support zone at 83k (move 1), if this price cannot be maintained, the price may continue to decrease further to the 70k area (move 2).
Everyone wants the price to rise and make good profits, but from a technical analysis perspective, we need to be objective to avoid buying or increasing positions in risky areas or maybe buying more in cheaper areas. I am not a fortune teller, this analysis will be wrong when the price breaks the 97k resistance and increases further. Trade safe!
The key support and resistance levels in this article are used from the BBND script.
Bitcoin Key Support Held at $94.3K, Final Resistance AheadBitcoin has seen strong bullish momentum after reclaiming the $94.3K support. The market structure remains intact with higher lows, and now BTC is approaching the $101.2K resistance — the final major hurdle before price discovery.
Key Highlights:
Confirmed Support at $94.3K: Strong daily closes and long wicks indicate demand absorption
Bullish Structure Maintained: Weekly higher lows signal ongoing strength in the trend
Major Resistance Ahead: $101.2K is the key level bulls must break to trigger new highs
Full Analysis:
BTC respected the $94,244–$94,300 demand zone with multiple daily candle closes above and aggressive wick rejections below. This marked clear buyer strength and absorption, leading to a sharp expansion through local resistance levels. The recent breakout is backed by a consistent higher low structure on the weekly chart, showing that bulls continue to control the trend.
As BTC trades just under $100K, the $101,200 region stands as the final high-timeframe resistance before price discovery. Expect some consolidation or range-bound movement between $94.3K and $101.2K before any decisive breakout.
$BTC Finally $100K Surprised and Take Profit Done✨ CRYPTOCAP:BTC Surprise Finally Touch $100K Milestone again, All Take Profit and bonus Done.
💫 From Breaking News:
• Arizona Bitcoin Bill: Crucial SB 1373 Advances for State Bitcoin Reserve
• New Hampshire Becomes First to Approve Bitcoin Reserve—Will Other States Follow?
First introduced in January, HB 302, gives officials the ability to allocate state funds to both precious metals, and specific digital assets with a market capitalization of over $500 billion. That means Bitcoin, which, as of this writing, has a market cap of roughly $1.9 trillion per TradingView, is a prime candidate.
The newly enacted law states that any digital assets obtained must be kept using high security custody protocols. This can be done directly in a state managed multisignature wallet, via a qualified financial institution custody, or by investment in U.S. regulated exchange traded products (ETPs). Dennis Porter, CEO and Co-Founder of Satoshi Action, said:
“Satoshi Action drafted the model, New Hampshire engraved it into law, and now every treasurer nationwide can follow that roadmap. HB 302 proves you can protect taxpayer money, diversify reserves, and future-proof state treasuries all while embracing the most secure monetary network on Earth. New Hampshire didn’t just pass a bill; it sparked a movement.”
#Write2Earn #BTC #BinanceSquareFamily #MarketRebound #SUBROOFFICIAL
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested.