BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTCUSDT Breakout –8 May- Eyes on $106K NextIdea:
Bitcoin has broken out of a prolonged accumulation range with strong bullish confirmation across multiple timeframes. The price has reclaimed structure above GETTEX:98K and is pushing higher within a rising channel. This sets the stage for a potential move towards the $106K–$110K zone.
Why:
Confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) on 4H and 1D charts.
Price broke out of the previous resistance zone and is holding above the POC near $98K.
RSI is trending above 70 – showing strength, not exhaustion.
ADX and DMI indicate a strong bullish trend – buyers (blue) are firmly in control.
MACD histogram turning green again – supporting upside continuation.
Volume is increasing, confirming genuine momentum behind the move.
How to Trade:
Entry: Buy on retest near GETTEX:98K –$99K.
Target: $106K (first target), $110K (channel top).
Stop-loss: Below $96K (invalidates the bullish structure).
Risk Tip: Use proper position sizing – breakout trades can be volatile. Protect capital, let profits run.
BITCOIN I Weekly CLS, KL OB,Model 1 I Target 50% of CLSAs investor Im longterm bullish , but from the trader perspective my system says short.
Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
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"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Bullish on $BTC🧠 Wyckoff Overview
🔻 This chart follows Accumulation Schematic #1 in Wyckoff theory.
🔻 The Spring phase (Phase C) is confirmed.
🔻 BTC has broken out from the accumulation zone.
🔻 We are now in Phase D, expecting a move into Phase E (new ATH).
📊 Technical Details
🔻 Accumulation zone: Around $72,000 – $88,000.
🔻 Spring (Phase C): A fakeout happened near $68,000, matching Wyckoff structure.
🔻 Breakout is confirmed after price moved above the downtrend line and Ichimoku cloud.
🔻 Main resistance: $95,000 – currently testing the supply zone.
🔻 Target: If breakout continues, BTC could reach a new ATH above $110,000.
📈 RSI and Volume
🔻 RSI at 66.71: Not overbought yet, still has room to go up.
🔻 Volume is increasing along with the breakout → shows strong buying pressure.
🎯 Personal Prediction
🔻 If BTC holds above $92,000 – $95,000 and continues to consolidate:
→ Short-term goal: $100,000
→ Mid-term goal (Wyckoff Phase E): $110,000 – $112,000
Trend Still Intact, Real Profit – Watching Key Support at 94.7KHi all, It's Jude here
I believe that many of the market dynamics are being clearly reflected on the chart.
Although we are seeing a corrective pullback, the price is still maintaining higher lows at potential rebound zones—suggesting that the bullish trend remains intact and there's still a chance for a new high.
In other words, the trend that began from the 74K and 83K levels hasn’t been broken yet.
The uptrend is not entirely reversed, and while we are facing resistance near the supply zone created during the downtrend earlier this year, the market is consolidating with significant volatility.
This kind of movement—sharp ups and downs—means it's much more efficient to capture profits when clear opportunities present themselves rather than holding blindly.
From a larger time frame perspective, the structure remains unchanged.
We're still in a position where another push to new highs is possible.
That’s why I’ve been consistently suggesting that if you're considering a short position, it’s smarter to look for entries on the lower time frames and only after a meaningful rejection or pullback.
On the other hand, for long positions, wait for confirmation—look for solid support to hold after a meaningful bounce and then enter where your stop-loss is clearly defined and the risk-reward ratio is favorable.
We need to be prepared for both scenarios: a direct continuation to the upside or a broader corrective phase.
And remember, corrections don't always mean a sharp drop—they can also come as sideways consolidations over time. Don't overlook that possibility.
Given the strong rebound we’ve seen, the 94.7K level should act as an important support on any pullback.
Also, don’t assume a strong bounce on the lower time frame automatically means the market has reversed.
Instead, observe if buyers are stepping in consistently—look for signs of accumulation and steady upward movement ("step-by-step" type buying) near the support zones.
Volatility is high, and I’m sure many are managing to take profits quickly. That’s great—but always make sure to have a stop-loss or break-even plan in place after taking profits.
Taking profits is always wise, but catching falling knives is not. There’s no harm in waiting for confirmation and entering on a pullback. That strategy will never be too late.
As I’ve said before, this is the kind of market where it’s easy to feel like “everyone else is making money except me” or “I’m being left behind.”
But especially in times like this, it’s important not to fall into FOMO.
Focus instead on preparing how you’ll respond and capture gains in the next setup. That’s where your energy should be.
It’s ready to move!#BTC
👍👀 Daily Timeframe
Volume has dropped at the end of the bullish move.
Price is currently ranging in a decision zone.
✅ BTC is holding above the key 91,640 level. As long as it remains stable above this zone, there’s potential for a move toward the $100K area.
⚠️ As shown in the chart, $100K will act as a major resistance level before any attempt to reach $110K.
⚡ Meanwhile, price is testing the pivot zone around $97,400 — the same level that rejected the last bullish attempt.
So far, no strong reversal signals from this zone.
❌ But if price gets rejected again, we could see a breakdown below $93,700 and a retest of the support zone around $91,640.
💵 This support needs to hold for the bullish structure to stay intact.
✅ Historically, this level has repeatedly prevented BTC from dropping toward the $77K zone.
📈 I’m currently watching for a long setup, which will trigger only after a clear breakout above 97,400.
📉 For a short position, I’ll wait for a confirmed breakdown below 91,640.
Bitcoin Overall: Likely Moves (up to short)BTC is 'gathering strength' it seems to move towards the strong resistance. Looks like we are currently on wave 4/5 of an Elliott impulse (this being wave 1 of wave 5 of cycle degree).
Currently expecting the moves indicated. That's a pretty complicated and comprehensive forecast, let's see how I do!
Bitcoin Analysis - 7 MayThe price continues to move within the range of $91,700 - $100,400.
In approximately 3 hours, the FED will announce its interest rate decision.
The expectation is for it to remain unchanged.
If it remains unchanged;
there could be a horizontal consolidation between 94,990 – 97,500.
If a breakout occurs, the upward movement will accelerate; otherwise, there could be a pullback to the 91,781 – 94,990 levels.
If the interest rate is reduced;
the psychological resistance at 100,400 USDT may be tested, and if surpassed, the target of 109,605 (ATH) comes into play.
If the interest rate is increased;
the supports at 94,990 USDT and below could be tested quickly.
The levels of 91,781 and 85,085 USDT become potential targets.
With stronger selling, the support zone at the 2024 ATH level of 73,776 USDT may come into play.
"New Hampshire Launches First State Crypto Reserve"On May 7, 2025, the state of New Hampshire made history by becoming the first U.S. state to legally establish a cryptocurrency reserve. This groundbreaking move allows up to 5% of the state’s treasury funds to be allocated to digital assets, starting with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies boasting a market capitalization exceeding $500 billion.
Why Is This Important?
Until now, even the most crypto-friendly states in the U.S. have limited themselves to business incentives and relaxed mining regulations. New Hampshire has taken a much bolder step by equating cryptocurrencies to traditional reserve assets like gold and treasury bonds. By doing so, it is effectively recognizing crypto as a long-term financial instrument and a hedge against macroeconomic volatility.
This means the state can use cryptocurrency holdings to diversify its financial base, preserve value, and potentially improve budget flexibility during economic shifts.
Security and Storage
The newly passed legislation specifies that crypto assets must be held either in certified custodial wallets or via regulated exchange-traded products (ETPs) approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This ensures a high level of security and regulatory compliance. In addition, the law mandates that crypto assets must be held for a minimum of 24 months to discourage short-term speculation.
Federal Context and Reactions
While President Trump has proposed the creation of a federal “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” the initiative has yet to be implemented. New Hampshire’s move places it ahead of the federal government and presents a model of state-level innovation in fiscal policy.
Many analysts believe this decision could lead to a wave of similar measures in other states, particularly those already supportive of blockchain technology, such as Texas, Wyoming, and Florida.
Potential Benefits
Economists say that integrating digital assets into the public financial system could help protect state funds against inflation, foster technological innovation, and attract new businesses and investors.
The move also sends a message to private sector players: New Hampshire is ready to embrace the future of finance. This could accelerate the migration of blockchain startups, fintechs, and institutional capital to the state.
Criticism and Concerns
As expected, not everyone supports the initiative. Critics argue that investing public money in such volatile assets is premature and risky, especially given the lack of federal regulation and the possibility of sharp market downturns. Some fear political fallout if the investment underperforms.
There are also concerns about transparency and the mechanisms for evaluating which digital assets qualify under the new framework, as only tokens with extremely high market caps are currently eligible.
Conclusion
By creating a cryptocurrency reserve, New Hampshire has taken a bold and symbolic step toward modernizing state finance. It may be too early to gauge the long-term outcome, but the state has clearly positioned itself as a leader in government-level crypto adoption. What began as a local initiative could soon become a national trend.
#BTC how will it develop next?📊#BTC how will it develop next❓
🧠From a structural point of view, we are currently moving near the weekly resistance zone. We can only judge that we have successfully broken through the resistance zone when the closing price of the weekly candlestick chart is higher than the blue resistance zone, so we still need to remain vigilant before this condition is met.
➡️If we continue to break through the previous high, it means that the bullish power is still continuing, but the breakthrough is near the gray resistance zone, so wait patiently for the opportunity of a pullback before considering participating in long trades.
➡️I am not considering participating in short trades at present, because short trades are still counter-trend trades. I will only look for short trade opportunities after breaking the inflection point 93340 to establish a short structure or the price rises to the red target zone.
⚠️The Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced today, and we will wait patiently for the signal of market structure to appear.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P