The key to trading is finding support and resistance points
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a high possibility that it will turn into a short-term uptrend.
However, since the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 89294.25 point, it can be interpreted that it has not yet escaped the low point.
Therefore, it is recommended to trade with a short and quick response such as scalping or day trading until the price rises above 89294.25 and maintains.
I think the rising trend line (2) is an important trend line that changes the trend.
Therefore, we need to check whether it can rise along the rising trend line (2).
Therefore, it is important to see whether it rises above the rising trend line (2) after passing the next volatility period, around April 14 (April 13-15).
If it fails to rise, that is, fails to rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, it is expected that it will eventually show a downward trend again.
Since the StochRSI indicator has risen above the midpoint, it is better to start focusing on finding a selling point rather than a buying point.
In summary, in order to rise above 89294.25, I think it is possible if the StochRSI indicator shows a wave that moves from the overbought zone to the oversold zone and from the oversold zone to the overbought zone, and it is supported near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
If not, and it goes up right away and touches the area around 89294.25, there is a possibility that the area around 89294.25 will act as resistance.
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(30m chart)
I think the important thing is where to start and where to end the trade.
The indicators used to find the answer are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
When the HA-Low indicator is first created, if it receives support and rises and the Trend Cloud indicator shows an upward trend, it is a buying period.
In other words, when it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, it is an aggressive buying period.
Then, when it rises and meets the HA-High indicator, that is the first selling period.
The HA-High indicator, like the HA-Low indicator, also receives resistance and falls when the HA-High is newly created and the Trend Cloud indicator shows a downward trend, it is a selling period.
In other words, when it shows resistance near the HA-High indicator, it is the first selling period.
In the case of futures trading, it is the aggressive selling (SHORT) period.
Therefore, the HA-Low and HA-High indicators can be used as criteria for creating trading strategies.
Most of the trading is in the sideways and box sections within the HA-Low ~ HA-High indicator range.
If it falls below the HA-Low indicator or rises above the HA-High indicator, you should switch to a trading strategy in the trend.
Therefore, if you bought near the HA-Low indicator, you can sell first near the HA-High indicator and then respond according to the situation.
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Rather than thinking about how far it will rise or fall before starting a trade, it is more important to find out which points are important support and resistance points.
Once you find that point, you can boldly start trading and respond to the rest according to the situation.
I use the HA-Low, HA-High indicators as the standard.
The most important indicators for creating a trading strategy are, of course, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
I use the Trend Cloud indicator and the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts as reference indicators for buying or selling from the HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
The remaining indicators are auxiliary indicators for conducting detailed corresponding transactions.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
#BTCUSDT shows signs of reversal📉 SHORT BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P from $82,125.0
🛡 Stop loss: $82,976.0
🕒 Timeframe: 4H
✅ Overview:
➡️ The BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P chart shows a rising wedge — a typical bearish pattern.
➡️ Price hit the upper wedge boundary and started to decline, breaking support.
➡️ A second top (Top 2) has formed on weakening volume, signaling a possible reversal.
➡️ The POC at $82,490.8 has been broken — price is holding below it, strengthening the bearish case.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $81,430.0
💎 TP 2: $80,887.0
💎 TP 3: $80,485.0
📢 Additional scenario notes:
📢 Entry activates upon breakdown and consolidation below $82,125.
📢 Watch for increased volume at key TP levels for confirmation.
📢 A move above $82,976.0 invalidates the setup — stop placed just above key resistance and wedge top.
🚀 BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P shows signs of reversal — a corrective move to the downside is expected.
Rising Wedge for #BTCUSDTWhat’s visible on the BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P chart:
📈 Rising Wedge:
➡️ This is a potentially bearish pattern for BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P , especially when it appears after a strong rally following a deep drop (which is exactly the case here).
➡️ The price has almost reached the upper boundary of the wedge and has already formed a second top (Top 2) — a signal of possible weakness.
🔵 Levels:
➡️ POC BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P — $82,490.8 has already been broken to the upside, indicating current market strength.
➡️ The price is approaching major resistance at $83,807.1 — momentum is already slowing down in this zone.
➡️ Support remains in the $80,449.7 – $78,412.7 area.
📊 Volume:
➡️ The rally was supported by high volume, but the most recent candles show declining volume as the price nears the top of the wedge.
➡️ This could indicate weakening buying pressure.
📉 Why it’s important to be cautious with long positions:
➡️ A rising wedge can act as a bull trap.
➡️ The price is near a critical resistance — even a small pullback could lead to a wedge breakdown.
➡️ After such a steep run (from 73K to almost 84K), the chance of profit-taking and a pullback is high.
➡️ Volume is declining — bullish momentum may be fading.
📢 Conclusion:
➡️ Opening a BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P long position right now is risky because:
- the wedge structure suggests a potential reversal to the downside;
- there’s no breakout above the previous high with confirmation;
- and volume does not support further upward movement.
❗️ It's better to watch how the price reacts to the wedge and BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P key levels — a long entry is only valid if the price breaks and holds above $83,800–84,000 with strong volume.
➡️ Until then, a neutral or cautiously bearish position is more appropriate.
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Bitcoin is still respecting the descending channel
Every attempt to break above the trendline has been rejected
The current price is once again testing this key resistance zone
What to watch:
• A clean breakout above the red zone could trigger a bullish move
• Rejection here could send BTC back to test lower support levels
• Major support lies between $77,000 and $71,800
Key levels:
• Resistance: $83,900 - $88,000
• Support: $77,400 – $71,800
Is it a breakout or another fakeout?
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Happy Trading!!
Bitcoin Weekly Update: Support Found (With Updated 2025 Targets)I want to highlight both, EMA55 and the 0.5 Fib. retracement level for the August 2024 - January 2025 bullish wave. These two levels have been tested and so far hold as support.
Good Thursday my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, how are you feeling today?
Things are good and everything is good. Bitcoin is back above 80K.
Bitcoin first pierced below 80K in early February, a long lower shadow on a candle with a high close. The close happened at 94.
Then again Bitcoin moved below 80K in the 10-March session but closed at 82K.
Last week Bitcoin closed below 80K. I mentioned that this is indeed a major development but market conditions do not change, we continue bullish. Last week, the first time ever below 80K, this week back above 80K. The week is not yet over so this signal is not confirmed.
The 0.5 Fib. retracement support level stands at $78,000. Any trading below 80,000 is a super strong buy opportunity. The market gave us a second chance and we took it with confidence and force.
EMA55 sits at $76,195 and was challenged for the first time since September 2024. It was challenged this same week and it holds. Bitcoin right now is safe and strong on the weekly timeframe.
Bitcoin is safe.
Lower is the least likely scenario.
Impossible for Bitcoin to hit 40K. Please ignore these people because they don't have a clue about Crypto and how the market works or behaves. Anybody calling for 40K must be ignored because this is either an attempt at some bad joke or indeed, complete insanity.
From the ~$74,000 March 2024 market high, after 5 months of distribution Bitcoin crashed and bottom at 49K. After reaching $110,000, only 3 months of distribution, a crash cannot lead to 40K. We still have all previous ATH as support and of course, we are going up. Let's not waste anymore time on something that doesn't make any sense at all but I still wanted to mention this to avoid and remove any confusion. Some people are just evil.
Let's consider the worst case, bearish scenario. If Bitcoin were to continue lower, it would find support in the blue zone on the chart. That is between 0.786 and 0.618 Fib. retracement. This is also the same range in which Bitcoin consolidated for months in 2024. So, in the worst case scenario, Bitcoin has strong support between $62,000 and $71,000; the truth is Bitcoin is going up.
Why we need not worry about this scenario?
Look at the volume on the chart.
A lower low and the lowest price in years and trading volume is really low. Both sessions producing the lowest prices, 10-March and 7-April closed green. This means that buyers were ready and waiting. If bears start selling, the bulls are happy to buy everything quick.
Since the downside is not our concern, we can focus on the future, higher prices which is what will happen next and long-term. Bitcoin is going up for a long while, until late 2025 minimum. It can extend and go into early 2026, we will know soon.
Now that we have a new low we can project more accurate and new targets. These can be seen on the chart and below:
1) $96,377 (Very easy)
2) $131,777 (Easy)
3) $145,300 - $167,177 (Strong)
4) $202,577 (Potential ATH)
5) $237,977 (Strong bull market)
With a strong market, which is standard for Crypto, Bitcoin can easily hit $167,000. Just a little more and we have $202,577. For this level market conditions should be really good. If things are great, Bitcoin can move and grow beyond 200K. Here we have 238,000 based on the most recent and accurate numbers.
Everything is pointing up.
We have long-term higher highs and higher lows.
The recent correction is very small compared to the past, but still reached beyond 30%. A 30% correction in a bull market is a strong correction, do not expect lower prices, we are going up next.
Bitcoin cannot go down 50% nor 60%, too much interest, too many people ready to buy, way too many people are aware. Bitcoin is solid and ready now, soon to trade beyond 100K.
The proof is in the chart.
Not only Bitcoin but also the stock market will grow.
The correction is over!
This is good.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
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BTC/USDT longAs we all know we have been in a short term bear market since around 20 January,this pullback is quite normal for a bull market of aprox 38-48% with BTC , so at this moment I'm actually very exited and more bullish than ever. Moon phases have proven itself of a 95% strike rate of a pump on full moon with Bitcoin and full moon is on Sunday, usually it is a day or 2 before and maby a day after, we hope to break our down trend of lower highs and lower lows, and all we need to break that is to close daily candle on Sunday going over to Monday at $90 001 or higher. In order to confirm a change in direction to the up side.
I hope this helped as a extra analysis for you guys
I would much appreciate if you can leave some comments so we can put minds together
Much love and respect
Long trade
15min TF overview
✅ Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (BTC/USDT)
📅 Date: Friday, April 11, 2025
⏰ Time: 5:00 PM – London to NY Session PM
📈 Pair: BTC/USDT
🧭 Direction: Long (Buy)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 82,168.4
Take Profit (TP): 83,771.5 (+1.95%)
Stop Loss (SL): 81,646.2 (–0.64%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.07
🧠 Trade Narrative:
This late-session BTC long appears to align with:
A bullish continuation setup during a potential pullback into demand.
5min TF overview supporting price action narrative.
Bullish Pennant on BTC with RSI Divergence - Target $130KBitcoin is forming a clear bullish pennant on its daily chart as it approaches a critical decision point. The bullish divergence in the RSI (price forming lower lows while RSI marks higher lows) provides additional technical confirmation for a potential explosive upward movement. The price structure shows a characteristic consolidation pattern following the previous strong rally, setting the stage for a continuation towards our target of $130,000. Key levels to watch are the breakout of the upper edge of the pennant and support at the rising lower trendline.
BTC update - April 11 2025BTC has so far followed March 14th analysis in which it was stated that BTC needs to drop towards the the prz of 73,000 - 74,000 zone where if a good upward reaction occurs (which happened!), we can be optimistic about seeing BTC rising towards the previous ATH and even crossing above it.
So far, bullish confluences can be seen on the chart and when BTC crosses above the blue descending trendline, it shall gain a better momentum. A good daily close above the 88,800 level shall further confirm this bullish scenario which goes along well with the USDT.D potential drop towards lower levels.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Shorts in FocusYesterday, Bitcoin showed no buyer reaction from our highlighted zone at $81,000–$80,000 (pushing volumes). Therefore, even though we've been climbing throughout the day, short positions remain the priority.
At the moment, we've reached a mirrored volume zone at $81,000–$82,700, which has slightly shifted. We're currently near the upper boundary of this zone.
We've observed abnormal buyer activity in this area that so far hasn't led to any meaningful result, along with signs of hidden selling. A break below $81,000 would confirm the short scenario.
Sell Zones:
$81,000–$82,700 (mirrored zone, volume anomalies)
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zone:
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #58👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Today, we'll delve into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, I want to review the triggers for the New York futures session.
🔄 Yesterday, the price broke through the support zone between 80,595 and 81,522, retracing down to 78,778. Let's see what triggers the market could offer us today.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, after breaking the 78,778 level, the price quickly recovered and climbed back above the 81,522 zone. Currently, it is hovering near 83,349.
🔍 Today, for a long position, we can consider opening a trade upon breaking the 83,349 resistance. The next resistance level at 84,572 could act as the following trigger point.
🔽 For short positions, we need to wait for a new market structure to form and observe whether the 81,522 or 80,595 zones can serve as our triggers.
⭐️ The RSI oscillator is near the Overbought zone, and a breakout above 70 into Overbought territory would provide good confirmation for a long position.
📊 Market volume has been increasing since the bullish leg started from 78,778. If this volume growth continues, the probability of breaking through the 83,349 resistance will rise.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Now, let's move to Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D). Yesterday, the 63.50 resistance was broken, and as Bitcoin's price climbed, its dominance also rose. This has caused altcoins to underperform compared to Bitcoin.
🔼 Currently, the next resistance for BTC.D is at 63.86. A break above this level would confirm the next bullish leg in Bitcoin Dominance.
📉 For a bearish move in dominance, the Futures triggers are at 63.50 and 63.30. However, for a confirmation in spot trading, we would need a break below 62.65.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to the Total2 (altcoin market cap excluding Bitcoin), I've slightly adjusted the zones and updated the triggers for altcoins.
✨ As I mentioned in the Bitcoin Dominance analysis, altcoins have been lagging behind Bitcoin. Even though Bitcoin reached 83,349, Total2 failed to retest its previous highs and instead formed a lower high.
✔️ For long positions on altcoins, a break above 940 would be ideal. For short positions, you can look for confirmation if 903 is broken.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, let's analyze USDT Dominance (USDT.D). Yesterday, it bounced from the 5.53 support level, climbing to 5.84 before starting a new downtrend, now approaching 5.53 again.
⚡️ To continue the bearish move, a break below 5.53 would be significant. Conversely, for a bullish move, the first trigger is at 5.84.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTCUSDT 1DIn an established uptrend, the price has reached the lower boundary of the ascending channel. Given the shallow correction, it appears that the price is testing the support level at the channel’s bottom. In the medium term, this suggests a potential recovery, with prices likely moving back toward the previous channel high.
BTSUSDT : Setup for next short TradeBINANCE:BTCUSDT :
Based on the current Elliott Wave structure and Fibonacci retracement analysis, Bitcoin (BTC) appears poised for a corrective move toward key Fibonacci levels of 1.618 and 2.618 minor retracements . The recent impulsive wave (likely Wave 3 or Wave 5) suggests that BTC has completed a strong upward momentum phase, which often precedes a corrective period. According to Elliott Wave Theory, corrections typically retrace a significant portion of the preceding impulse wave, with Fibonacci extensions acting as potential targets. In this case, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension represents the first major support level where BTC could stabilize during its correction, while the deeper 2.618 retracement may act as a secondary target if selling pressure intensifies. Traders should monitor these levels closely, as they are likely to serve as zones of consolidation or reversal, depending on market sentiment and broader macroeconomic factors. Additionally, confirmation from volume patterns and technical indicators like RSI or MACD will be critical in determining whether BTC establishes a new base at these levels or continues its downward trajectory.
this analysis is based on the last major analysis :
BTC-----Sell around 81600, target 80500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 11:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single negative and a single positive. The price was at a low level, and the attached indicator was dead cross. However, the price fluctuation seemed large, but in fact there was no amplitude. Yesterday, the price fell, and the support rebounded in the early morning, basically smoothing out the decline. In this way, the current trend is still in correction, but it does not mean that you can take risks to go long. I think shorting at high levels is still the best choice; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the decline in the European session continued in the US session yesterday, but it did not continue in the early morning but was a correction of the trend. The current K-line pattern is continuous positive, and the attached indicator is running in a golden cross. Yesterday, the high point of the opening of the decline was near the 82,500 area. Today, we still rely on this position for defense.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the rebound of the 81,600 area, stop loss at the 82,100 area, and target the 80,500 area;
Where Can Bitcoin Go? $59K or $115K Test Incoming?Part 1:
Same chart. Same structure. New tension.
This is Part 7 of my ongoing series “Where Can Bitcoin Go?” — and this chart has been with us since the Dec 2020 breakout . Every level continues to hold weight, and now we’re back in a decision zone.
🧭 What’s In Play Right Now?
We just came off the second rejection from massive structural resistance — no surprise.
Now we hover just above support with two clear paths:
🟢 70% chance: BTC holds → heads to 115K (3rd test breakout)
🔴 30% chance: We dip to 59K — the historical support turned S/R zone
📌 Key support right now:
79,412
74,394
59,170 (Major ascending structural support)
📌 Resistance zones:
88–89K
111–115K (untouched 3rd test)
🧠 Keep Perspective
You can blame the move on Trump, tariffs, CPI, or altcoin noise…
But I say this every time:
Stick to the levels. Ignore the noise.
This same chart gave us:
✅ The 2020 breakout
✅ The 2021 blow-off tops
✅ The delayed breakout in Feb 2024
✅ Long re-entry at support
It’s all here — and it’s still working.
🕒 So... When?
If breakout comes: June–July is my watch window.
If not: Don’t panic — 60K is a valid support and part of the playbook .
My stance?
Still long. Always long BTC.
Short altcoins if you must.
But Bitcoin is still the king of this game — and structure still favors upside.
The third test might just be the breakout. Or it might be the trap.
Either way — the structure is the strategy.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Do you think I'm joking ???Chart is speaking itself...
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin(BTC): Monitoring $83,800 For Rejection | Weekends MarketBitcoin has yet another wave of weakness near our second entry, where this week we managed to catch 2 points of weakness on Bitcoin (near $79,800 and $82,500).
Now that we are entering the weekend, we are going to see if we are going to form here a CME gap (ideally we should see a bearish CME) while we keep the selling mindset with us (as long as we keep the 200EMA above the market price).
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