BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #83👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, I want to review the triggers for the New York futures session.
🔍 Today, I’ll provide the analysis in the 4-hour timeframe, since not much has changed on the 1-hour chart compared to yesterday, and it's better to take a slightly longer-term look at the chart.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
As you can see in the 4-hour chart, we have an upward leg that started from the 84,000 zone and extended to 97,108. Currently, it's ranging between 93,626 and 95,370.
✔️ The main market top lies at 97,108, but the price has formed a range slightly lower, with 93,626 acting as support.
⚡️ There's a strong divergence visible in the RSI — while Bitcoin has formed three consecutive higher highs, RSI has printed lower highs. This divergence was activated when RSI broke below 50, and the price corrected to 93,626.
📊 In my opinion, the market has now digested the divergence, but the impact it had was a correction down to this level. If 93,626 breaks, deeper corrections could follow.
✨ The 93,626 zone overlaps with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement and forms a PRZ. If this level breaks, we can open a short position. I open this kind of trade in lower timeframes as a scalp and take quick profits, since it’s counter-trend.
🔽 The maximum short-term target I expect for this trade is the 91,945 area. It's possible that the price corrects further or even reverses trend, but it's not logical in my strategy to hold these kinds of trades longer.
🔑 The key supports ahead are 91,945 (which overlaps with 0.382 Fibonacci), and further down are the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels.
📈 For a long position, breaking 95,370 is currently the best trigger. You can also enter on a break of 97,139, but there's strong resistance at 98,828 that could halt the upward move.
🔼 If the price corrects and reaches 91,945, you can consider a long entry based on the price’s reaction to the supports I mentioned.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s move on to Bitcoin dominance. On the 4-hour chart, there’s an ascending channel where price is moving, with multiple touches. Right now, it’s testing resistance at 64.91.
☘️ If this level breaks, dominance could move up to the top of the channel. There’s also a very important static resistance at 65.59. If price reaches this area, we need to watch its reaction.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now onto Total2. Similar to Bitcoin, it had a bullish leg, but corrected more deeply — down to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, and now it’s at the 1.01T support.
⭐ If this zone breaks, the next supports are at the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. There’s also a strong support at 980B, and the major bottom is at 932B.
📉 For a short position, breaking 1.01T is suitable. For a long position, a bullish reaction from this same area is a good trigger. The main long trigger is the break of 1.05T.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s move to Tether dominance. This indicator has reached a major top at 5.19. If this level breaks, it can move upward.
👀 If it breaks, the next resistance is 5.37. This move would coincide with a market correction or drop.
📊 To confirm a bearish Tether dominance (bullish market), rejection from 5.19 is a good trigger. The main trigger is still the break of 4.99.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin (BTC): Waiting For Re-Test To $92,000 AreaBitcoin has recently formed a fake BOS, which is now sending the price down and forming BOS on smaller timeframes, showing the dominance that sellers are holding currently.
For us to see a proper upward movement or any kind of movement at all, we need to reach some kind of major zone, which would be the area near $92K.
We expect the price to fall near this zone, and once we are there, we will be looking and monitoring for market structure development. If we see dominance from buyers, we go long, and if we see dominance from sellers, then we short there.
Swallow Academy
Taming the Crypto Rollercoaster: How to Stay Sane in a Volatile Hey traders, it’s Adnan Ahdan Khan here, and let’s talk about that wild crypto ride we’re all on! Today, May 6, 2025, Bitcoin’s hovering around $95,600 after a sharp drop from $97,895, and altcoins are feeling the heat too. I remember my first crypto dip – my stomach churned watching my portfolio shrink. Sound familiar? In this crazy 2025 market, with stablecoins booming past $232 billion and meme coins swinging, volatility is the name of the game. But here’s the secret: mastering your trading psychology can turn chaos into opportunity. Let’s dive into three ways to stay calm and trade smart, no matter how wild the charts get.Accept Volatility as Your Trading Buddy
Crypto’s like a rollercoaster – thrilling, but it can make your head spin. Bitcoin’s recent correction, driven by macroeconomic jitters like U.S. tariffs, reminds us that volatility is baked into this market. I used to panic at every 5% drop, but here’s what I learned: volatility isn’t the enemy; it’s the fuel for profits. In 2025, with institutional money flowing into Bitcoin ETFs and altcoins like Solana consolidating, these swings create entry points. The key? Accept that prices will move. Instead of stressing, focus on the bigger trend. Bitcoin’s still up 12.82% over the last week despite today’s dip. Altcoins, though lagging, are poised for a breakout if Bitcoin clears $100,000. Train your mind to see red candles as opportunities, not disasters. A trick I use? Zoom out on the chart to a weekly view – it puts daily noise in perspective and keeps me grounded.Stick to Your Plan Like Glue
Let’s be real – when Bitcoin tanked to $94,200 this week, my first instinct was to sell everything. But that’s where a trading plan saves you. I’ve burned myself chasing dips without a strategy, and I bet you have too. A solid plan is your anchor in 2025’s stormy market, where stablecoin inflows signal growing demand and altcoins like Cardano hover near key resistance. Before every trade, I ask: What’s my entry? My stop-loss? My profit target? For example, during last month’s altcoin dip, I bought Ethereum at $3,400 with a 5% stop-loss and a $3,720 target. It hit, and I was out with a smile. Write your plan down – on paper, not just in your head. It’s like a contract with yourself. And don’t tweak it mid-trade; that’s how emotions creep in. With Bitcoin eyeing $100,000 and altcoins like XRP showing demand, a disciplined plan keeps you from FOMO buys or panic sells, letting you ride the volatility with confidence.Protect Your Mental Game
Trading crypto in 2025, with its $1.78 trillion market cap and 24/7 price swings, is a mental marathon. I’ve had nights glued to Binance, refreshing Bitcoin’s chart like a zombie. It’s draining. To stay sharp, I protect my headspace. First, I set price alerts on Binance for key levels – like $94,700 support or $97,000 resistance – and step away. This week’s dip showed me: staring at candles doesn’t change them. Second, I journal every trade. Writing why I entered and how I felt (nervous? greedy?) helps me spot emotional traps. Finally, I carve out non-trading time. A quick walk or 10-minute meditation before checking altcoin charts keeps me calm. With stablecoins like USDC and Tether driving liquidity and meme coins like Dogecoin riding community hype, the market’s noise is loud. Protect your mind, and you’ll make clearer calls – whether it’s holding Bitcoin through a correction or catching the next altcoin breakout.Conclusion
Volatility’s here to stay, but you’ve got this, traders! By embracing the swings, sticking to a rock-solid plan, and guarding your mental health, you can thrive in 2025’s crypto jungle. Bitcoin’s dips and altcoin wobbles are just part of the ride – like that first scary drop I survived. With stablecoins surging and the market buzzing, now’s the time to sharpen your psychology. What’s your go-to trick for staying cool when the charts go wild? Drop it in the comments – let’s learn from each other! Until tomorrow, keep calm and trade on!
– Adnan Ahdan Khan
#FOMCMeeting #USHouseMarketStructureDraft CRYPTOCAP:BTC
BTC/USDT Update – GigaAlgo SMC | May 6, 2025
Price action continues to respect the previous analysis — BTC remains in the premium zone, now showing clear rejection with back-to-back bearish candles. Although overall sentiment remains labeled as BULLISH, the multi-timeframe JASMINN AI and Regression tools reflect short-term downside momentum, especially below the 94K zone.
Key updates:
94K has turned into immediate resistance — failure to reclaim could signal a deeper pullback.
Support at 93K remains critical. If that fails, BTC may retrace to the equilibrium zone around 85K, consistent with earlier charts.
Watch for volume shifts — bearish volume is now increasing (25%), reflecting stronger sell-side interest.
Structure Breakdown:
BOS (Break of Structure) has been followed by a lower high, hinting at a potential shift if a lower low forms next.
Still within the overall bullish market structure, but correction looks imminent unless bulls step in above 94.5K.
BTC - Golden Pocket test & what comes next?Bitcoin (BTC) has been steadily recovering from its January correction, entering a promising uptrend that has now brought it to a crucial technical juncture: the Golden Pocket Fibonacci zone, which lies between the 61.8% and 65% retracement levels. This area is widely watched by traders, as it often serves as a springboard for either significant reversals or continuation of the trend.
4H timeframe
On the 4H timeframe, BTC recently formed an ascending triangle, a classic bullish continuation pattern. The price managed to break above the triangle’s resistance, but it failed to hold above this level, closing back below the breakout zone. This lack of follow-through signals weakness and suggests that a short-term pullback could be imminent.
Daily timeframe
Turning to the daily chart, the situation becomes even clearer. After reaching the Golden Pocket, BTC printed a bearish engulfing candlestick, a strong reversal signal. The subsequent price action saw BTC break below both the 4H support and a daily FVG, further strengthening the case for a deeper correction or trend reversal. If this downward momentum continues, the next major support zone is likely between $89,000 and $91,000. This area marks an imbalance created during the previous rally and is a natural target for buyers to step in.
However, the bullish scenario is not entirely off the table. If BTC can reclaim and hold above the Golden Pocket, it would signal a resumption of the uptrend, with the next key target being the psychologically significant $100,000 level. For now, though, the technical structure suggests that a retracement toward the $89–91k zone is more likely before any attempt at new highs.
Conclusion
In summary, Bitcoin’s recent test of the Golden Pocket Fibonacci zone has resulted in a short-term rejection. The immediate outlook is cautious, with a likely retracement toward $89–91k. Traders should watch closely for confirmation signals in both price action and volume before making new commitments. A successful hold above the Golden Pocket would open the door for a rally toward $100,000, but for now, patience and careful observation are advised.
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Choosing the Right TimeframeHey traders and investors!
Selecting the right timeframe can reveal a clear picture of price movement. But don’t forget — the higher timeframe always has priority.
🔹 On the 12H, Bitcoin is in a sideways range.
The move from 78,500 to 95,000 could’ve been anticipated — a buyer Decision candle (IKC) formed at the lower boundary of the range gave a strong signal.
The boundaries of the range are marked with black lines on the chart.
What about now?
🔸 No signs of strong selling.
🔸 The last Decision candle (IKC) at the top of the range belongs to the buyer.
🔸 The buyer has already taken out its high.
📉 For shorts — we need seller strength, ideally with price moving below 91,660.
📈 Longs can be considered on lower timeframes, aiming for their local targets.
Not every timeframe gives clear context.
What timeframes do you use to analyze and find trade setups?
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Bitcoin Ultra-Bullish Now! Ignore Short-Term Noise, Focus!Very important right now to stay focused and true to your commitment of holding Bitcoin (Crypto-Altcoins) long-term. It is very important because a major rise is in the making and letting go of your position now can be detrimental to your success.
Did you notice, Bitcoin has not produced three consecutive days red since the 7-April market bottom and low. Very interesting. When Bitcoin was coming down, it produced many three days red sessions, now that we are bullish—bullish now not once. This is a strong revealing signal.
Bitcoin will continue growing and as it grows the Altcoins will follow. Marketwide bullish action is happening now today all across.
Feeling any doubt, any worries?
Don't worry. No need to doubt, Bitcoin is going up and has been going up now for an entire month. What more can you ask for?
Bitcoin has been rising since 7-April the same for the Altcoins. The Altcoins closed four weeks green Bitcoin is the same. That is a strong recovery if you ask me but asking, knowing you, it is enough for you to rest easy and be prepared to hold long-term, why? Because the market is set to grow in proportions not seen before. With interest rates going lower this will definitely support the 2025 bull market that we've been waiting for and the recovery and low that is already confirmed.
» Bitcoin trading above $90,000 is ultra-bullish.
» Bitcoin trading below $95,000 is a very, very strong buy. You can even buy with leverage because lower prices are hard as whales are watching, waiting and buying everything that anybody wants to sell. With whale-buying working as support, the low is already in, when the buying is over liquidity hunt will happen up, toward resistance.
Billions of short traders will be liquidated once again but that is their choice, they are remaining clueless to all the signals the market offers and shares. Trading easy above 90K, several weeks closing green, the Altcoins market producing strong gains and even when there is a retrace many stay green. Classic—classic bull market dynamics. Are you with me?
Just a friendly reminder. Focus on what we know will happen next. Bitcoin closed two days red is that a big deal? Enough to shake you out? No! You are ready to hold, you are ready to grow I am ready for the 2025 bull market.
It is happening now.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTCUSD | Neutral Bias | Watching Value Area Retest | (May 5, 202BTCUSD | Neutral Bias | Watching Value Area Retest + Macro Confluence | (May 5, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary
Bitcoin has been consolidating after sweeping liquidity around the $69K level. I'm currently not in a position, but closely monitoring for confirmation of direction as we approach key zones.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters
Bias: Neutral (waiting for confirmation)
Entry: Watching for a retest of the value area low
Stop Loss: Will be set once structure confirms
TP1/TP2: Will define after confirmation
Partial Exits: Based on price reaction at value area and confluence zones
3️⃣ Key Notes
✅ Lots of spot selling pressure currently—if it continues, lower prices are likely
✅ Still watching for potential bullish reversal structure for long-term upside (targeting $214K in long horizon)
✅ Correlation with S&P 500 is important here—SPX may push higher in coming weeks, especially as “sell in May” often applies to retail, while institutional flow tends to shift in June
✅ Watching the 7500 level on SPX as a possible reaction zone
❌ No confirmation yet—entering early could be risky
✅ Waiting for a clear market structure shift around value area support
4️⃣ Follow-up Note
I'll continue monitoring this setup and will post updates once we get a confirmation of direction or a structural break worth acting on.
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Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
BTC/USDT – 1-Hour Technical Analysis
As of the current 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting early signs of a potential bullish reversal after a sustained downtrend.
Key Observations:
Price Structure:
A clear downtrend was established with a series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) from the recent Higher High (HH).
The price action formed a bullish reversal pattern, possibly a Double Bottom or Inverted Head and Shoulders, near the recent LL around $93,300.
Break of Trendline:
The downward trendline connecting the recent highs has been broken, indicating a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
RSI Analysis:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shown a bullish divergence. While the price made lower lows, RSI made higher lows, signaling a weakening of bearish momentum.
RSI currently stands near 46.88, moving upward, which supports a potential move toward the overbought zone.
Entry and Risk Levels:
Buy Stop: 94,944.95 USDT
Stop Loss: 93,279.56 USDT (just below recent support and second LL)
This setup implies a calculated long entry only if price confirms bullish continuation by breaking above the Buy Stop level.
Target Levels:
TP1: 96,526 USDT – First resistance level aligned with previous structure zone.
TP2: 98,119 USDT – Second major target near the previous swing high zone.
Conclusion:
A break above the $94,944 resistance would confirm a bullish reversal with potential targets at $96,526 and $98,119. However, failure to sustain above $94,000 or a breakdown below $93,279 would invalidate the bullish bias. Traders should monitor the RSI for confirmation and use proper risk management.
Bitcoin Price Prediction Trend : Consolidating between $86,000 (support) and $98,000 (resistance)
Key Levels to Watch
Support : $86,000 – Strong demand zone
Resistance : $98,000 – Key supply zone
Possible Scenarios
Breakout Bullish : Above $98,000 → Target $102,000+
Breakdown Bearish : Below $86,000 → Target $82,000 or lower
Most Likely Short-Term Move : Continued sideways movement within the range
Outlook
Short-Term (1–2 Weeks) : Range-bound with potential for breakout
Long-Term (3–6 Months) : Depends on whether price breaks key support/resistance
Bitcoins Next Potential Bullish MoveBitcoin has exhibited a notable resurgence following a significant decline into the lower $70,000 range, where it encountered key structural support zones. This retracement catalyzed a pronounced rebound, signaling a potential shift in short-term market sentiment.
At present, price action has reclaimed the prior all-time high (ATH) range but has encountered resistance at the current Point of Control (POC)—the most heavily traded price area—indicating active participation from sellers. Sustaining the Value Area Low (VAL) in conjunction with the downtrend-anchored VWAP around the $93,000 level will be pivotal for confirming a full rotation back toward the upper bounds of the value area, near $102,000.
This upper region represents a significant liquidity cluster, where a potential bull trap or liquidation cascade could unfold as late entrants enter the market under the assumption that the corrective phase has concluded and a new impulsive leg is underway. However, this area also marks the apex of the value range, where a reaction is statistically more probable—much like the recent rejection seen at the POC.
Should Bitcoin successfully defend the VAL, a broader value area rotation would be expected before any renewed downside pressure. A subsequent pullback toward the previous value area high could then act as a confirmation of breakout support, validating the bullish structure.
Ideally, this scenario—characterized by respect for value area dynamics and rotational momentum—would align most cleanly with market structure and auction theory. As price oscillates between value zones, each range is sequentially validated as either support or resistance, providing a framework for interpreting market behavior with greater precision.
Bullish sentiment is favorable.Bitcoin is currently in a crucial stage of the battle between bulls and bears. There is both short-term pullback pressure and technical support. The movements of institutional funds and policies remain the dominant factors.
The single-day net inflow of BlackRock's IBIT Bitcoin ETF reached a record of $1 billion. The continuous inflow of institutional funds provides support for the price.
The resistance levels have recently concentrated in the range of $97,800 - $98,000. Once broken through, it may challenge the $100,000 mark.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.