BTCBitcoin failed to react well and strongly after reaching a solid bottom of 80k. Given the situation in the Middle East, the possibility of Bitcoin correcting from 86k is high.
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin Morning Update – WednesdayBitcoin Morning Update – Wednesday 🚀
Yesterday, we saw a bearish flush, and that questionable SFP ended up confirming a notable break of structure. We’ve broken down from this internal bearish range, but remember—this is just an internal move within a larger range.
Today’s Setup – Bulls & Bears in Play
📉 Bearish Plan: I’ll be shorting any 15M flip in structure before $83.4K.
📉 Breakdown Target: If we get a short today, it could be juicy—there’s a steep liquidity drop down to $81K (initial target).
📉 Confirmation Matters: Wait for a notable market structure shift before pulling the trigger—1M changes are just noise. The higher the timeframe, the stronger the signal.
📈 Bullish Reversal: If we reclaim $83.4K, I’ll flip my bias and look for longs in the demand chain up to $84.7K at minimum.
📈 Key Caution: Ensure a structure flip and de-risk when possible—the primary structure can and may retrace deeper to fulfill the higher timeframe objective.
London session will set the tone—let’s see what Wednesday brings! 🚀
#BTC/USDT - Rate pause + Dovish Speech = Bullish?Macro
Polymarket became infamous during the last US election where it absolutely nailed the result and proved to be way more accurate than the actual polls.
Why is Polymarket so accurate? Probably down to the possibility of losing money. You're less likely to lie if it would cost you basically.
Whats weird is that they have a current bet available; 'Will QT* end by May' , which has over $6m staked with 100% of bettors thinking that QT will end by May.
That's a bet thats probably attractive to a certain type of gambler, probably one who has a good handle on the markets, maybe someone who works on Wall Street or in a Bank and knows what his analysts are really expecting (and not just what they tell us!).
Remember the question is 'will QT end by May?' and the response so far (from people laying down real money) is 100% yes.
Well there is no FED rate decision in April so if we are going to get an end to QT before May, it's starting today.
Given the recent good inflation data, weakening job market, weakening consumer sentiment and looming threat of recession it's inevitable that the FED have to at least start talking about quantative easing, which is bullish for BTC.
Technicals
Short term we are just consolidating within a clear range. Overhead resistance is at $84.5k, support is at $81.5k.
Long term he chart is forming a large bullish falling wedge, a bullish pattern but not one that is indicating an immediate breakout.
This pattern could easily play out for another couple of weeks and breakout alongside the Money Supply (my M2 Money supply two week to breakout theory is explained here - ).
The daily RSI is moving up from a bullish divergence and is using its 20 Day EMA as support suggesting a cross into bullish (over 50) territory is incoming.
So bullish chart pattern and bullish-ish RSI, however the 20 Day Moving Average is now below the 200 Day Moving Average which is a sell trigger to alot of algos.
Mixed technicals are not really surprising given the state of the market. Ultimately the Macro is completely driving the market. The FED decision later will drive the next weeks price action.
*Quantative Tightening = FED restricting liquidity via its balance sheet and interest rates
Bitcoin (BTC): Seeing Liquidity Hunting / Calm Before StormBitcoin has shown us a smaller liquidity grab where a smaller dip got eaten up pretty fast by buyers.
We are now looking for today's market structure development to see if we see another similar movement or not. If we see then we can expect some high volume moves pretty soon, so we have to be careful!
Markets are in a lot of uncertainty right now, but one thing is still clear for us: sooner or later we need to reach the major support zone at $70-73K.
Swallow Team
Bitcoin weekly RSI levelthe bitcoin price & RSI level is so get involved together.
the RSI weekly level at 44 & weekly candles at 80k seems a very strong support now.
2 important Green and Black support line meet now 2 important Green and Black support line meet now ( the Green line used to be a resistance line but after being successfully broken up is a support line now)
Bitcoin Correction & Accumulation Phase!#Bitcoin is in a correction and accumulation phase, something we’ve seen multiple times in this cycle.
As long as we don’t see any bearish confirmation on the higher time frame, this remains a normal correction within the bull run
We’re near the range's lower bound, which could be a good spot for short-term long setups on lower timeframes.
The next bullish breakout requires a weekly close above $110,000 🚀
History repeats itself—stay patient, accumulate smartly
What’s your strategy during these corrections? Let’s discuss it! 👇
DYOR, NFA
BTCUSDat one side whales are trying to short btc, where other side another whales are waiting to pump.
rest is history , btc is always all time high.
sell divergence created,
wait for buy divergence,
break of trend line and break of support level is only a bearish zone, which seems impossible.
Today's Trading Strategy Analysis for BTCUSDTThe uncertainty within the global macroeconomic landscape wields a substantial influence over the trajectory of BTCUSDT.
On one hand, the escalating anticipation of a deceleration in global economic growth has spurred investors' appetite for safe - haven assets. Bitcoin, characterized by its capped supply and decentralized nature, has been singled out by a segment of investors as a viable safe - haven alternative. This perception, to a notable degree, props up its price.
Conversely, the monetary policy maneuvers of central banks globally, including potential interest rate hikes or liquidity - tightening initiatives, can markedly sway the direction of capital flows. Should funds reverse course from the high - volatility cryptocurrency sphere back into the traditional financial domain, Bitcoin's price is likely to encounter downward momentum.
Moreover, the recent upsurge in international trade tensions has thrown the global economic equilibrium into disarray. The consequent spike in market anxiety has compelled investors to re - assess their portfolio allocations, thereby exerting an indirect but significant impact on the price gyrations of BTCUSDT.
BTC trading strategies:
buy@82500-83000
tp:84500
sell@83800-84300
tp:82000
Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear.
For those who are seeking professional guidance in trading trend analysis, strategy formulation, and risk management, please click below to get the daily strategy updates.
LONG Position - Bitcoin Volume GAP - Trade There is a big Volume GAP to the floor. Check out the Long position i made - think we going up the next days / weeks
BTCThe Bitcoin's price movement and its long-term valuation, with key factors such as Trump's tariff policies, Fed interest rate decisions, recession fears, and global geopolitical instability influencing its trajectory. Here's an analysis and long-term valuation of Bitcoin based on the information:
Current Price and Trends:
Current Price: Bitcoin is trading at 84,349.95 USDT.
LSMA (Linear Smoothed Moving Average): The LSMA at 92,615.13 suggests that Bitcoin is currently trading below this dynamic support/resistance level, indicating potential bearish pressure in the short term.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
77,635.40 USDT: A key support level where buying interest may emerge.
63,955.54 USDT: A stronger support level, acting as a safety net in case of significant price drops.
Resistance Levels:
89,702.70 USDT: Immediate resistance, where selling pressure could increase.
92,615.13 USDT: Aligned with the LSMA, this level could act as a dynamic resistance.
Key Influencing Factors:
Trump's Tariff Policies:
If tariffs are reintroduced or expanded, they could create economic uncertainty, potentially driving investors toward Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation or market instability.
This could strengthen Bitcoin's long-term valuation, as it becomes a preferred store of value.
Fed Interest Rate Moves:
Rate Hikes: A hawkish Fed could strengthen the US dollar, creating short-term resistance for Bitcoin. However, Bitcoin's long-term appeal as an inflation hedge might remain intact.
Rate Cuts or Stimulus: A dovish Fed could weaken the dollar, boosting Bitcoin's price and potentially breaking through resistance levels.
Recession Fears:
In the event of a global recession, Bitcoin could see increased adoption as a "digital gold," driving its long-term valuation higher. However, short-term volatility might persist as investors navigate economic uncertainty.
Global Geopolitical Instability:
Geopolitical tensions often drive demand for decentralized assets like Bitcoin. Increased instability could support Bitcoin's long-term growth as a safe-haven asset.
Long-Term Valuation:
Bullish Scenario:
If macroeconomic factors (e.g., dovish Fed policies, inflation, and geopolitical instability) align favorably, Bitcoin could break through resistance levels and target new highs. Long-term valuation could range between
150,000 and150,000and200,000 or higher, depending on adoption and institutional interest.
Bearish Scenario:
If recession fears lead to a prolonged market downturn or if the Fed maintains a hawkish stance, Bitcoin might face resistance and test lower support levels (e.g., 63,955.54 USDT). However, its long-term valuation would likely remain above $50,000 due to its established role as a store of value.
Adoption and Institutional Interest:
Increasing institutional adoption (e.g., ETFs, corporate investments) and technological advancements (e.g., Layer 2 solutions, regulatory clarity) could further bolster Bitcoin's long-term valuation.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin's long-term valuation remains promising, driven by its role as a hedge against inflation, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical instability. While short-term price movements may be influenced by factors like Fed announcements and tariff policies, the overall trajectory points toward growth. Key levels to watch include:
Support: 77,635.40 USDT and 63,955.54 USDT.
Resistance: 89,702.70 USDT and 92,615.13 USDT.
Investors should monitor macroeconomic developments and adopt a long-term perspective, as Bitcoin continues to solidify its position as a cornerstone of the digital asset ecosystem.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4-hour chart.
Price: Currently around $82,753.16, showing a slight increase of +0.05%.
Trend line: A descending trend line is visible, indicating potential resistance. If the price breaks above this line, it could signal a bullish reversal.
Support level: There is a strong support level at $78,424.30, which has been tested multiple times.
Indicators: The price is currently in the cloud, indicating a state of indecision. The green cloud above indicates potential resistance, while the red cloud below indicates previous bearish momentum.
Resistance: Keep an eye on the descending trend line and the upper edge of the cloud.
Support: The $78,424 level acts as a crucial support area.
Monitor breakouts: A breakout above the trend line may indicate an uptrend, while a breakdown below the support level may signal a further decline.
Volume analysis: Monitor trading volume to confirm breakouts.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
BTCUSDT DAILY UPDATE – March 19, 2025BTCUSDT DAILY UPDATE – March 19, 2025
Morning update for you all regarding BTC's trajectory. However, this is still not the point where BTC will return to its lower price range around 7x. That’s why I sent another update in the chat at noon.
We previously discussed the short x40 position of a whale with millions of dollars. If that whale did not take profit last night, their short signal is in serious trouble, as liquidation is imminent. If the whale's wallet has not yet closed the short x40 BTC position, it will soon be liquidated.
So, how will BTC move today?
H1 cycle: A small correction is expected.
H4 cycle: Short-term uptrend continues, with upward movement expected around the 15:00 and 19:00 candles today.
H4 cycle projection: Gradual upward trend followed by a strong price surge reaching 88K.
Trading Plan:
LONG, not short at this moment. We will look for short opportunities once H4 completes its cycle. Right now, avoid shorting based on H1, as buying pressure will push the price up rapidly.
Altcoins:
Buy spot positions alongside BTC’s H4 and D1 rebound wave.
Good luck! 🚀
BTCUSDT 1WThe price, currently in an uptrend, has reached key support levels, including static support and ascending trendline support. Additionally, signs of bullish hidden divergence are observed in the RSI indicator. These factors suggest that the asset is likely to begin its upward movement soon.
BTCUSDT - Trading Opportunity in Key Support & Resistance ZoneBitcoin (BTCUSDT) is currently trading within a key range, with 80,000 acting as support and 85,000 as resistance.
Trade Setup:
🔹 Buy Entry: Around the current level or 82,000
🔹 Take Profit 1: 84,000
🔹 Take Profit 2: 87,000
🔹 Stop Loss: 80,000
Technical Analysis:
✔️ The price has bounced from the 80,000 support zone, indicating a strong buying signal.
✔️ If the price breaks the 85,000 resistance, the next target is 87,000.
✔️ A clear rejection from 80,000 suggests potential upside momentum.
📌 Watch for confirmation signals before entering the trade.
The Opportunity of The Year: A Perfect Long Entry on BTC ?Bitcoin’s recent pullback to $76K has sparked concerns among traders, but for those following Elliott Wave 2.0, this correction is nothing more than a textbook WXYXZ retracement after a powerful 1-2-3-4-5 impulse wave.
Wave Structure: A Perfect Setup for the Next Move
Wave 1 began around $50K, kicking off the strong uptrend.
Wave 5 peaked at $107K, completing the impulsive move.
The current decline to $76K aligns perfectly with a wave-2-style correction, which is essential before the next leg up.
WXYXZ Correction: The Smart Money Entry Zone
In Elliott Wave 2.0, A WXYXZ correction is a natural and necessary part of market cycles. This isn’t a sign of weakness—it’s a cooldown before the next explosive run.
The Next Leg Up: Preparing for Wave 5
According to Elliott Wave 2.0, the cool gains come from Wave 5, which follows a WXYXZ correction. With Bitcoin cooling off at key Fibonacci levels, the next move could send it past $140K+ in the coming months.
With Institutional demand remains high, and spot Bitcoin ETFs continuously absorbing supply.
The halving effect is still in play, historically driving BTC to new highs post-event.
Smart money isn’t panicking—they’re accumulating. This correction isn’t a crash, it’s a reset before the next parabolic wave. 🚀
Behind the DCA Strategy: What It Is and How It WorksWho invented the Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) investment strategy?
The concept of Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) was formalized and popularized by economists and investors throughout the 20th century, particularly with the growth of the U.S. stock market. One of the first to promote this strategy was Benjamin Graham , considered the father of value investing and author of the famous book The Intelligent Investor (published in 1949). Graham highlighted how DCA could help reduce the risk of buying assets at excessively high prices and improve investor discipline.
When and How Did Dollar Cost Averaging Originate?
The concept of DCA began to take shape in the early decades of the 20th century when financial institutions introduced automatic purchase programs for savers. However, it gained popularity among retail investors in the 1950s and 1960s with the rise of mutual funds.
Overview
The core principle of DCA involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals (e.g., every month. This approach allows investors to purchase more units when prices are low and fewer units when prices are high, thereby reducing the impact of market volatility.
Why Was DCA Developed?
The strategy was developed to address key challenges faced by investors, including:
1. Reducing Market Timing Risk
Investing a fixed amount periodically eliminates the need to predict the perfect market entry point, reducing the risk of buying at peaks.
2. Discipline and Financial Planning
DCA helps investors maintain financial discipline, making investments more consistent and predictable.
3. Mitigating Volatility
Spreading trades over a long period reduces the impact of market fluctuations and minimizes the risk of experiencing a significant drop immediately after a large investment.
4. Ease of Implementation
The strategy is simple to apply and does not require constant market monitoring, making it accessible to all types of investors.
Types of DCA
Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) is an investment strategy that can be implemented in two main ways:
Time-Based DCA → Entries occur at regular intervals regardless of price.
Price-Based DCA → Entries occur only when the price meets specific criteria.
1. Time-Based DCA
How It Works: The investor buys a fixed amount of an asset at regular intervals (e.g., weekly, monthly). Entries occur regardless of market price.
Example: An investor decides to buy $200 worth of Bitcoin every month, without worrying whether the price has gone up or down.
2. Price-Based DCA
How It Works: Purchases occur only when the price drops below a predefined threshold. The investor sets price levels at which purchases will be executed (e.g., every -5%). This approach is more selective and allows for buying at a “discount” compared to the market trend.
Example: An investor decides to buy $200 worth of Bitcoin only when the price drops by at least 5% compared to the last entry.
Challenges and Limitations
1. DCA May Reduce Profits in Bull Markets
If the market is in an bullish trend, a single trade may be more profitable than spreading purchases over time or price dips.
2. Does Not Fully Remove Loss Risk
DCA helps mitigate volatility but does not protect against long-term bearish trends. If an asset continues to decline for an extended period, positions will accumulate at lower values with no guarantee of recovery.
3. May Be Inefficient for Active Investors
If an investor has the skills to identify better entry points (e.g., using technical or macroeconomic analysis), DCA might be less effective. Those who can spot market opportunities may achieve a better average entry price than an automatic DCA approach.
4. Does Not Take Full Advantage of Price Drops
DCA does not allow aggressive buying during market dips since purchases are fixed at regular intervals. If the market temporarily crashes, an investor with available funds could benefit more by buying larger amounts at that moment.
5. Higher Transaction Costs
Frequent small investments can lead to higher trading fees, which may reduce net returns. This is especially relevant in markets with fixed commissions or high spreads.
6. Risk of Overconfidence and False Security
DCA is often seen as a “fail-proof” strategy, but it is not always effective. If an asset has weak fundamentals or belongs to a declining sector, DCA may only slow down losses rather than ensure future gains.
7. Requires Discipline and Patience
DCA is only effective if applied consistently over a long period. Some investors may lose patience and leave the strategy at the wrong time, especially during market crashes.
Bitcoin Update: Navigating Key Levels Amid Mixed Signals📈 Bitcoin Update: Navigating Key Levels Amid Mixed Signals 📉
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at 81,882 🤑, oscillating between the critical support level at 80,548.0 and resistance at 85,098.0. This price action reflects a natural and healthy consolidation phase ✅, as the market digests recent moves and prepares for its next directional bias.
🔵 Strong Bounce from Dynamic Support
Earlier, BTC showcased a bullish reaction after rebounding from the blue trendline support at 81,125 🚀. While this bounce demonstrated resilience, today’s trading session revealed subtle weakness 😟. The momentum has slowed, and traders are eyeing a concerning technical development:
📊 Bearish Crossover Alert: 20/200-Day MA Convergence
On the daily timeframe (1D), the 20-day moving average (MA) is beginning to intersect with the 200-day MA ⚠️. This crossover often signals a potential shift in market sentiment 🐻, hinting at growing bearish pressure in the broader trend.
🛑 Repeated Rejections at Resistance: Short-Term Concerns
The 85,098.0 resistance level has proven to be a tough barrier ❌, with Bitcoin facing multiple rejections in recent days. These failed breakout attempts highlight selling pressure and could lead to short-term downside risks if the price fails to gather bullish momentum.
🔮 What’s Next for Bitcoin?
The crypto market remains as thrilling as ever! 🌟 Will BTC break above resistance and invalidate the bearish signals, or will the MA crossover and weakening momentum trigger a deeper correction? 📉🚨
Keep a close watch on:
1️⃣ Support at 80,548.0: A breakdown here could accelerate selling.
2️⃣ Resistance at 85,098.0: A decisive close above may reignite bullish hopes.
Stay tuned—this market never sleeps! 🌙⚡
BTC iRL tO ERL SELL POSSIBLE
BTC is showing a potential bearish setup on the daily timeframe. After taking out Internal Range Liquidity (IRL), price has shifted structure and may now target Equal Range Lows (ERL) as the next liquidity draw.
Plan is to look for an entry from a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) or Order Block (OB) after IRL is taken. Entry confirmation can be a BMS and a clean FVG/OB retest. Minimum target is ERL; extended target can be below ERL into imbalance or external liquidity.
Focus on liquidity, structure, and solid execution. Let price come to your zone—don’t chase.
Btcusdt technical analysis.Btcusdt technical analysis next move possible at h1 time frame not financial advise.
btc buying coming according to smc according to my analysis btc take idm and now going to trap smc trader at smt and just wait to take some luiquidity and then go for perfect trade
set buy limit 80621
tp 85290
sl 79800
BTC - Back Underneath Flash Crash Liquidation ZoneBitcoin is back underneath these trendlines.
Showing confluence with liquidity in the chart on higher time frames.
Be mindful of this correction pattern.
