BTC (Post Weekly Close Update)BTC has seen a weekly close above the 93700 support, suggesting bullish strength and likely continuation if this level holds on the weekly. We remain bullish as long as 93700 is maintained; a drop below it would be the first SOW on the HTF, potentially targeting 89K–90K, and possibly 1D OB at 83K–85K. Technically, this remains a LH until the 99500 SH is convincingly reclaimed, ideally on a weekly close.
On the daily, however, we’ve observed the first SOW, closing below the SH at 95K after a rejection from the 1D supply zone, refined into MTF HOBs, where whales initially sold off aggressively. This isn’t alarming, but it warrants attention. With the SPX at resistance, the DXY at support, USDT.D closing the weekly well above the SL at 5.03, and TOTAL at resistance, these are signs of caution, in my view, despite the series of bullish news we’ve seen. That said, with the HTF remaining bullish, we’ll focus on exploiting LTF and MTF moves. The FOMC meeting on Wednesday could certainly bring volatility in the markets, particularly as BVOL24H and BVOL7D, as mentioned in the last update, are at support.👀
To further examine the weakness, note the contrast between the two horizontal ranges (grey boxes). The first range saw a BO followed by impulsive PA, smashing through the 90K key level. In contrast, the second range produced a BO but encountered an HTF supply, resulting in a notably weaker bounce compared to the first BO from the lower range. This could potentially manifest as a deviation if the price closes below the RL, making the 8D HOB at 89K–90K our next target.
On the LTF/ MTF, we’ve also seen a break below the TL, with the other resistance TL being respected, indicating further weakness. Although we haven’t yet seen HTF weakness, I believe a scalp-sized short from the 11H OB, refined into a 2H HOB at 95500 SH, makes sense with a tight invalidation, or from the MTF level around 97500, if provided. If the daily closes above 95500 again, I might consider a scalp long into the 1D supply for a potential DT or even the 100K psychological level.
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
Mastering Order Blocks: How to Trade Like Smart MoneyIntroduction
Order Blocks (OBs) are one of the most critical concepts in Smart Money trading. They represent areas where institutional traders have entered the market with significant volume, typically leading to strong price movements. Identifying and trading Order Blocks gives traders an edge by aligning with the footprints of Smart Money.
What is an Order Block?
An Order Block is the last bearish candle before a bullish move for bullish OBs, or the last bullish candle before a bearish move for bearish OBs. These candles represent areas where institutions accumulated or distributed large positions, leading to a market shift.
Types of Order Blocks
A Bullish Order Block appears at the end of a downtrend or during a retracement just before the price moves sharply upward. It is typically represented by the last bearish candle prior to an impulsive bullish move. Price will often return to this level to mitigate institutional orders before continuing upward.
A Bearish Order Block, in contrast, forms at the end of an uptrend or retracement where price begins a downward reversal. It is characterized by the last bullish candle before a strong bearish move. Price tends to revisit this level to mitigate before continuing lower.
How to Identify a Valid Order Block
The key to identifying a valid Order Block is first observing a strong impulsive move, also known as displacement, that follows the OB candle. The move must also result in a break of market structure or a significant shift in direction. Order Blocks that produce Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) or Market Structure Shifts (MSS) tend to be more reliable. Another important sign is when price returns to the OB for mitigation, offering a potential entry.
Entry Model Using Order Blocks
After locating a valid OB, the next step is to wait for price to return to this area. The ideal entry happens within the OB body or near its 50% level. For extra confirmation, look for a Market Structure Shift or Break of Structure on a lower timeframe. Entries are more powerful when combined with additional elements like Fair Value Gaps, liquidity grabs, or SMT Divergences. The stop-loss should be placed just beyond the OB’s high or low, depending on the direction of the trade.
Refinement Techniques
To increase precision, higher timeframe OBs can be refined by zooming into lower timeframes like the 1M or 5M chart. Within a broad OB zone, identify internal market structure, displacement candles, or embedded FVGs to determine a more precise entry point. One effective refinement is the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE), which is often found at the 50% level of the Order Block.
Order Blocks vs. Supply and Demand Zones
While they may seem similar, Order Blocks are more narrowly defined and specifically related to institutional order flow. Supply and Demand zones are broader and typically drawn around areas of price reaction, but OBs are derived from the final institutional candle before a large move and are often confirmed by structure shifts or displacement. This makes OBs more precise and actionable in the context of Smart Money concepts.
Target Setting from Order Blocks
Targets after entering from an OB should align with liquidity objectives. Common targets include internal liquidity like equal highs or lows, or consolidation zones just beyond the OB. External liquidity targets such as previous major swing highs or lows are also ideal, especially when they align with imbalances or Fair Value Gaps. It's important to adjust targets based on the current market structure and trading session.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
A frequent mistake is treating any candle before a move as an OB without verifying key signals like displacement or a Break of Structure. Entering without other confirmations, such as an MSS or liquidity sweep, can lead to poor trades. Another common error is placing the stop-loss too tightly within the OB, instead of just beyond it, increasing the chance of premature stop-outs. Traders should also avoid executing OB trades during low-liquidity sessions where price action can be unpredictable and wicky.
Final Thoughts
Order Blocks are foundational to Smart Money trading. They allow you to enter where institutions have placed large positions and offer clear invalidation and entry logic. With practice, you can identify high-quality OBs and combine them with other concepts like FVGs, MSS, and SMT for powerful, precise trades.
Practice on different timeframes and assets, and always look for clean displacement and structure confirmation. Mastering OBs is a big step toward becoming a consistently profitable trader.
Trust the Blocks. Trade with Intention.
BTC Next target 70kwaiting for one bad news that will accelerate the fall of BTC into this zone, the Printing press has not yet been launched, the data is stable but everything is on the verge of collapse, in order to start the movement of lowering the rate and the printing press, the market needs to collapse again
Bitcoin (BTC): Waiting For Clarity Near $92-95K Area Buyers have been dominating for the last 3 weeks the markets, where, after breaking the middle line of Bollinger Bands, price is seeing some sort of struggle, which might indicate an upcoming correctional movement to lower zones.
To give you more clarity, we are looking opening price and closing price of last week's candle, which are acting as support and resistance in our case currently. If we see dominance from buyers, we buy; if we see dominance from sellers, we sell, but overall we are still at the major neckline zone and we see weakness so we might see the bloody week.
Swallow Academy
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Short-Term PULLBACK After Momentum ExhaustionBINANCE:BTCUSDT is showing signs of distribution after failing to break through the $96,400 resistance zone. The structure still respects the upward trendline, but bearish divergence and fading momentum hint at a deeper correction. As long as BTC stays below this resistance, the risk of a pullback to the $91,000 level remains elevated.
📈 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection below $96,400
Buy zone: $91,000
Target: $91,000
Bullish breakout: Only on strong close above $96,400
💡 Risks
Bitcoin is still holding trendline support, so aggressive shorts are risky without confirmation.
If bullish volume picks up near $91,000, price may bounce fast.
Macro catalysts or ETF news can flip sentiment in minutes.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
BITCOIN BULLISH BTC/USDT Analysis – GigaAlgo SMC | May 5, 2025
Price has recently tapped into a premium OB zone with strong volume rejection. Although JASMINN ML flags bearish sentiment, the structure still supports bullish momentum up to 96K unless the 93K support fails. If that breakdown occurs, the next significant support lies around 83K, aligning with previous volume zones and the STATION marker.
The GigaAlgo Oscillator shows a deep red bar print, hinting at increasing bearish pressure short-term, while multi-timeframe sentiment shows a mix of red and green — signaling indecision and potential range-bound action.
BITCOIN → Correction to the risk zone. Rise or fall?BINANCE:BTCUSDT has updated its local maximum to 97,900, the market structure is quite positive, but still depends on the fundamental background and the behavior of the S&P 500.
The fundamental reasons that influenced the growth are the improvement in the tariff situation in the US and relations with China. Bitcoin's growth strengthened as the SP500 index rose, with which it has a fairly high correlation. In the second half of this week, the price broke out of the two-week consolidation, breaking through the resistance level of 95,500 and updating the local maximum. A correction is forming within the local upward channel.
95,000 is the liquidity and risk zone. That is, if the bulls hold their defense above 95K during the retest, Bitcoin will continue to grow in the short and medium term. Otherwise, a break of 95K could trigger a drop to 92K-88K.
Resistance levels: 97,425, 99,475
Support levels: 95,500, 92,000
All eyes are on the 95.5K support level, below which a huge liquidity pool has formed. Growth may be influenced by a retest (false breakout of support) and an imbalance of forces in the market. But we need to be careful, as the market will react to economic data. BUT! A return of prices to the selling zone (below 95000 - 95500) and the inability to continue growth could trigger a correction and liquidation.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin Price Action Analysis – Bearish Correction Toward DemandHello Guys!
Let's analyze btc!
Rising Trendline Break: The bullish structure has broken down as the price failed to hold above the key support region around $96,000–$96,200.
Targeted Demand Zone: The highlighted purple box between $94,200 and $94,700 represents a demand zone that has previously shown strong buyer interest. The current structure suggests Bitcoin may revisit this zone for a potential bounce.
Bearish Momentum: A large arrow indicates the directional bias toward the downside, aligning with the correction and market sentiment.
Fake RSI Divergence: The RSI panel indicates a “Fake Divergence” pattern, which may have misled early bulls. RSI has since dropped and currently hovers in the neutral zone, with no strong bullish signals yet.
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Conclusion:
Unless a strong bounce occurs around current levels, Bitcoin looks poised to correct further toward the $94,200–$94,700 demand zone. Traders should watch for reactionary price action and bullish reversal patterns before considering long entries.
BTC Update higher and lower timeframe narratives. While the 1-hour chart exhibited a strong bullish reaction from a key liquidity zone, the failure of a supporting imbalance on the 15-minute chart introduces the possibility of a retracement or a deeper corrective move before any sustained upward trajectory.
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on the 15-minute timeframe presents a contrasting perspective. A bullish imbalance (Fair Value Gap) that was anticipated to provide support has failed to hold. This development suggests a potential weakening of immediate bullish momentum.
BTC/USDT – Weekly Chart Analysis (Long-Term View)BTC/USDT Chart Pattern: Multi-Year Cup and Handle Formation
The chart shows a textbook “cup and handle” formation, a highly reliable bullish continuation pattern. This pattern has played out over several years (2021-2025), indicating long-term accumulation and a breakout attempt.
Cup Phase:
Extended from mid-2021 to early 2024.
Formed a deep and rounded base, often indicating institutional accumulation.
The rounded lows reflect a gradual sentiment recovery from the 2022-2023 bear market.
Handle Phase:
A short-term consolidation after moving above the $70,000-$74,000 resistance area.
Price action pulled back marginally after hitting $110,000, forming higher lows near $85,000.
The structure resembles a bull flag or pennant, which is usually seen before the next upward move.
Key Support and Resistance Areas:
Key Support $70,000–$74,000. Previous resistance turned into support
Psychological Support $85,000 Local Retracement Low
Immediate Resistance $100,000–$110,000 Near ATH, selling pressure area
Long-term Target $130,000+ Measured move from cup pattern
Volume: Volume was high during the breakout from late 2024 to early 2025, which validates the breakout from the cup resistance area.
If BTC breaks above $100,000–$110,000 with strong volumes, we can expect continuation towards:
$130,000 (short-term target)
$150,000–$180,000 (extension based on pattern symmetry)
Bearish Risks:
Failure to hold $85,000 could lead to a retest of the $70K support area.
Sustained breakdown below $70K would invalidate the bullish pattern, but this seems unlikely given the strong fundamentals and macro structure.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Has Bitcoin Begun Its Final D-Leg Correction?Bitcoin could be starting the final stage of a larger corrective pattern — known as the D-leg — which often follows major trends in the market. This kind of structure typically forms after a big move up, and signals that the market might need a deeper reset before continuing higher.
Recently, Bitcoin was rejected from a key resistance zone around $98,300, which aligns with several technical indicators including a major daily support/resistance flip, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, and the Point of Control (a price level with the most traded volume). This rejection has sparked concerns that a local top may already be in for this cycle.
Why This Matters:
If Bitcoin fails to hold its current support levels, we could see a continuation to the downside, with targets potentially reaching sub-$60K levels. This aligns with a broader corrective pattern some analysts call an ABCD structure — where the D-leg often marks the final leg down before the next larger trend can begin.
This scenario becomes more likely if the current support zone breaks down, which would confirm a shift in market structure. Until then, there’s still room for price to range or attempt another retest of the highs, but caution is warranted.
What’s Next:
Watch for a breakdown below the recent lows — this would strongly suggest the D-leg is underway.
A confirmed breakdown would likely lead to a longer correction over the coming weeks or months.
However, if Bitcoin reclaims resistance above $98,300, this bearish outlook could be invalidated and the structure may reset.
Right now, we’re at a major decision point in the market. While the signs are stacking in favor of a deeper pullback, it’s important to wait for price to confirm with structure and volume before acting on it.
BTC/USDT Quick Update – May 5 (BTC/USDT – Multi-Timeframe Breakd4H Chart – Short-Term Bearish
Price has clearly broken down from a rising wedge pattern with volume confirmation. RSI is trending downward (~36) and Parabolic SAR has flipped bearish. Expect potential continuation to the $91K–92K support zone. If momentum accelerates, gap-fill toward 88K remains in play.
1D Chart – Neutral to Weak Bullish
Daily structure still intact, but momentum is fading. Price is hovering near dynamic support (200 EMA / cloud base), but the lack of bullish volume suggests caution. RSI is flat (~60), and ADX shows weakening trend strength. A decisive breakdown could lead to retest of 88K–90K area.
1W Chart – Macro Bullish but at Resistance
Weekly chart remains structurally bullish, with higher highs/lows and price well above Ichimoku cloud. However, BTC is approaching a major resistance zone between 98K–$104K, where rejection has occurred previously. RSI (~58) shows mild cooling; bulls must step in soon for a clean breakout.
Final Take:
Short-term trend is clearly bearish, and mid-term momentum is weakening. However, long-term structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the 88K zone. Monitor volume closely at support levels—buyers must defend $91K to avoid deeper retracement.
Trade safe. Plan your entries wisely.
Follow for real-time updates and further ideas.
$BTC Update – Bearish Breakdown Alert! 🔻 🔻
BTC is breaking below the rising parallel channel on the 4H chart — a bearish signal suggesting potential downside pressure.
🔸 Price: $93,821
🔸 Channel Support Broken: ~ $94,500
🔸 Immediate Downside Target: $89,992
🔸 Stop Loss for Shorts: Above $95,715
⚠️ Warning: Avoid aggressive long entries unless BTC reclaims the channel support. Momentum is currently favoring the bears.
BITCOIN WEEKLY CHARTBitcoin Break of Supply Roof: Implications for Price Action
Bitcoin’s recent breach of a critical supply roof (resistance zone between $95,000–$98,300) has significant implications for its near-term price trajectory.
this range may represent a "supply roof" where holders accumulated Bitcoin. A breakout suggests these holders are either holding for higher prices or have already distributed, reducing immediate selling pressure.
On-Chain and Fundamental Support
Institutional Demand: Corporate treasuries (e.g., MicroStrategy) and ETFs continue accumulating Bitcoin, reducing available supply.
Negative Funding Rates: Despite price gains, futures markets show neutral-to-negative funding rates, indicating room for leveraged longs to enter.
Post-Halving Scarcity: The April 2024 halving has tightened new supply, with only ~19.86 million BTC in circulation (94% of total supply mined).
Conclusion
A decisive breakout above $98,000 would signal a bullish regime shift, targeting $100,000–$109,000 in May/June. However, traders should watch for volume confirmation and macroeconomic cues to validate the move. Failure to hold gains could see Bitcoin retest lower support, but the broader 2025 outlook remains bullish, with institutional adoption and scarcity dynamics underpinning long-term upside.
Critical events this week: US CPI data (May 30) and ETF flow trends will be pivotal for sustaining momentum.
The worst-case scenario for Bitcoin📉 Potential Dip to $70,000 in 2026
Some analysts suggest that Bitcoin could experience a correction to around $70,000 in 2026. This potential downturn may be influenced by:
Market Cycles: Bitcoin's price has historically followed cyclical patterns, with periods of rapid growth followed by corrections.
Regulatory Changes: Shifts in global regulatory stances toward cryptocurrencies could impact investor sentiment and market dynamics.
Macroeconomic Factors: Economic events, such as changes in interest rates or geopolitical tensions, could influence risk appetite among investors.
It's important to note that while a dip to $70,000 is within the realm of possibility, other forecasts for 2026 are more optimistic. For instance, CoinCodex projects Bitcoin trading between $94,836 and $160,074 in 2026, with an average price of $119,743 .
🚀 Surge to Over $130,000 in 2027
Looking ahead to 2027, several factors could contribute to a significant increase in Bitcoin's price:
Institutional Adoption: Growing interest from institutional investors could drive demand.
Technological Advancements: Improvements in blockchain technology and scalability solutions may enhance Bitcoin's utility.
Global Economic Conditions: In times of economic uncertainty, Bitcoin is often viewed as a hedge against inflation.
Analysts have provided various projections for 2027:
Binance forecasts a price range between $140,491 and $216,738, with an average of $170,100 .
Bittime estimates an average price of $138,000, with potential highs up to $150,000
Bitcoin Buy Opportunity: Last Chance To Buy Below $100,000Bitcoin isn't trading at $78,800 nor $80,000 nor even $85,000 but still, even a small retrace is good to buy; even a small retrace is better to buy and enter a new trade than when prices are moving up.
A strong support range consisting from the lows of December 2024, January and February 2025 can be seen mapped on the chart. The lows on these date produced a support range between $89,250 and $94,250.
Bitcoin is now not trading within this range but if it does go there let me be the one to tell you that this would be an amazing entry zone and buy opportunity. This is marked green on the chart.
The truth is that when Bitcoin goes bullish it never looks back, it grows and grows and grows but, since we are set for the 2025 bull market and several new All-Time Highs, any retraces should be bought strong because there might not be another chance like this available.
Whenever the market goes red, that's the time to buy strong, go LONG and prepare for the continuation of the bullish trend.
Whenever the market turns green, we just let it grow and secure small portions of profits when resistance is hit. Rinse and repeat.
Right now Bitcoin is red but it won't be red for too long. See the trade-idea below to understand how Bitcoin will behave around this resistance zone:
It is the inverse image of the February drop. It will range a few days around this zone and then produce a very strong advance. This is your last chance to accumulate below 100K while Bitcoin is still low.
Once Bitcoin moves above 100K, 90K is gone. Just like $75,000, it is gone for this entire cycle. Just like $80,000, you cannot buy at $80,000 anymore. The same for $85,000 or anything below 90K.
This is the last chance to buy Bitcoin below $100,000 before the continuation of the bullish trend. This opportunity can remain open for a few more hours just as it can last a few days. But it won't be available for too long. Make your decision now, Crypto is going up.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTCUSD - [TRADE UPDATE]MARKET CONDITION
From my previous post i said i was anticipating a Accumulation, Manipulation & Distribution market profile and it seems like the first two phases has been completed. I would want to see huge movement to the downside this new week to start the Distribution phase.
TRADE UPDATE
I'm currently in a swing short from that daily supply zone and i'm still anticipating more downside going into the new week/month.
SUMMARY
I'll be observing Price Action and managing my trade accordingly. Drop your take on BTC in the comment lets break down some few things together.