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BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas

Destiny Beacons🔵 BTC Macro Bull Cycle: Wave 1: Nov 2022 – Mar 2024 📈 From: $15,588 → To: $73,737 (~4.76x) Strong impulse from the bear market low. Marks early accumulation / disbelief phase. Wave 2: Mar 2024 – Aug 2024 (expected) 📉 From: $73,737 → To: ~$49,000 (~33% retracement) Deep correction (50–61.8% Fib) — common for Wave 2, designed to shake out weak hands. Wave 3: Aug 2024 – Jan 2025 (projected) From: $49,000 → To: ~$109,350 (~2.22x) Breaks ATH with strong momentum. Wave 3 is typically the longest and cannot be the shortest wave — structurally valid here. Wave 4: Jan 2025 – Apr 2025 (expected) From: $109,350 → To: ~$74,530 (~32% retrace) Sideways or complex correction. Crucially, Wave 4 does not enter Wave 1’s territory (> FWB:73K ), maintaining Elliott Wave integrity. Wave 5: Apr 2025 – Apr 2026 (incoming) From: $74,530 → Target: $165K – $354K Wave 5 = Wave 3 extension (~2.22x): $165K Wave 5 = Wave 1 extension (~4.76x): $354K Why Wave 5 Could Go Parabolic: Fueled by late-stage FOMO, media hype, speculative mania, and retail surge Often ends in a euphoric blow-off top — which we haven’t seen yet imo.
Long
by uponly47
1
Bitcoin (BTC): Markets Are In Crisis | $70-73K IncomingCrazy, what is going on in the markets right now? All the Trump tariffs and the trade war with China are leaving a huge mark on the markets. People are scared to do anything, but nevertheless, let's talk about the plan here, which remains the same. We are waiting for $70-73K before seeing any other major movement on the markets. So far our sell entry 1 has worked out pretty well, which rejected the price, but during the Asian session we had a long candle. From here we might see another re-test of sell entry 1 zone but overall we are still bearish. Swallow Academy
Short
by SwallowAcademy
#BTC bearish trend intact📊#BTC bearish trend intact📉 🧠From a structural perspective, the bearish structure is intact. We are still in a downward trend, and the downward trend line has not been successfully broken. The downside risk has not been eliminated, so we still need to be vigilant against the risk of further decline. ➡️Currently in the rebound stage, the staged resistance area is around 78800-81100. We can only maintain a slightly optimistic attitude if we break through this resistance area and stabilize. Let's see👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888
Bitcoin Weekly For The Value Hunters & Range Enjoers. With lack of significant bid in the books until 70k. Ideally we drop to value sooner than later & gather demand with a range through summer. Supply has been chasing price down, with perps traders off loading latest positions yesterday in the US session. This will be painful to most crypto traders but good for range trade enjoyers & spot value hunters. Key levels: 70/71k Weekly & this is both spot & perps largest resting order blocks in the order books.
by Speculator_Nick
#BTCUSDT at a Turning Point: Volume, Pattern & Macro Analysis🚀 BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is potentially entering the final phase of a correction, but key levels have not yet been broken or confirmed — caution and reliance on validated signals are essential. ✅ Technical Analysis: 📈 Overall Timeframe Context: ➡️ 1H (hourly chart): A “double bottom” structure is forming, suggesting potential for a local rebound. Volume is gradually increasing at the second reversal point (Bottom 2), confirming growing buyer interest. A resistance zone is forming near the POC (83,236.9), but the price has yet to firmly break above 77,000. ➡️ 4H (4-hour chart): A more distinct “double top” pattern (Top 1 / Top 2) has already played out. Price broke down from the sideways range, falling below the lower boundary of the rectangle. It is currently trading near the key support level of 74,907.8 with an attempt to bounce back upward. ➡️ 1D (daily chart): A key observation is the breakdown of the ascending wedge, followed by the formation of a falling wedge — a potentially bullish pattern. The price is testing the lower edge of this wedge. A sharp increase in volume may indicate the start of an accumulation phase. 📍 Key Point: ➡️ The 74,907.8 level has been tested twice with strong volume response, reinforcing its role as a critical support zone. ➡️ A large liquidity cluster around the 83,000–84,000 POC zone could act as a price magnet in the event of a reversal. 📊 Volume Profile Analysis: ➡️ Across all timeframes, the POC is shifting toward the upper part of the range, confirming that buyers previously dominated the market. Redistribution now appears to be underway. ➡️ Most of the volume activity has been concentrated in the 83,000–85,000 range — if price returns to this zone, strong resistance is expected. 🔄 Market Structure: ➡️ A transition is underway from a distribution phase to a potential accumulation phase. ➡️ The downtrend remains active on the daily chart, but there are signs of momentum slowing and attempts to form a bottom. ✅ Fundamental Analysis: 🌐 Macroeconomic Outlook: ➡️ In early April, discussions about a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut are expected to continue — a moderately positive factor for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. ➡️ BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P remains in the spotlight for institutional investors (with ongoing inflows into BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P ETFs), though geopolitical uncertainty and dollar liquidity pressure persist. 🏦 Capital Flows: ➡️ Trading volume remains high, but there is a lack of significant inflows, suggesting that major players may be adopting a wait-and-see stance. 📢 Recommendations for BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P : 📢 Closely monitor the price reaction in the 74,900–75,000 zone — a breakout or confirmation of support will determine short-term direction. 📢 The 78,279.2 level is a key resistance — its breakout could attract new buyers. 📢 Watch how price behaves within the falling wedge (1D); if the structure tightens and volume increases, a breakout may follow. 📢 Keep monitoring macroeconomic events — particularly U.S. inflation data and upcoming Fed meetings. 📢 Pay close attention to volume activity at local lows — this may be the key to spotting a trend reversal.
by MoriartyTrading
BTC/USDT – LONG Setup (Macro View) Weekly support is holding firm around $74K, offering a strong risk/reward entry area. Bitcoin is forming a bullish continuation structure on the weekly chart. If confirmed with a close above $80,000, it could ignite a rally toward six-figure territory. Ideal for long-term swing positions or portfolio stacking. 🔹 Entry Zone: $74,000 – $78,000 📉 Stop Loss: Below $69,000 📍 Current Price: ~$77,696 🎯 Targets (Cycle Breakout Scenario): TP1: $118,476 TP2: $136,753 TP3: $161,132 📈 Technical Breakdown:
Long
by VIPROSE
BTC - Bear Market started? OR Just a healthy correction Alright, so while the daily chart might have some folks calling for a bear market, let's zoom out to the weekly timeframe for a different picture. See how things are still looking pretty bullish there? That daily dip might just be a healthy correction in the grand scheme of things. Don't be shocked if we see a quick move down, maybe even a wick into that $60k- FWB:67K zone – the market loves to play with our emotions, right? But that could just be a setup before we push towards new highs. There's a lot of noise out there, and the market might even tap that previous trendline for confluence. But looking at the bigger weekly picture, things still seem to be in control. Keep an eye on how things play out in the coming weeks, especially up to the end of April and the first week of May. It could be an interesting ride!
Short
by Traderscorpion
Ultimate Guide to Smart Money ConceptsWhat Are Smart Money Concepts? Introduction: If you’ve been trading for a while, you’ve probably noticed that sometimes the market moves in ways that just don’t make sense. You’ve got your technical analysis all set, but the market seems to go in the opposite direction. That’s where Smart Money Concepts (SMC) come in. At its core, SMC is all about understanding how big players in the market (think hedge funds, institutions, and banks) move prices. These players have massive amounts of capital and information, and they don’t trade like the average retail trader. Understanding their behavior can help you see where the market is going next before it happens. What is Smart Money? In the world of trading, smart money refers to the institutional investors who move markets with their huge orders. Unlike retail traders, who might be relying on indicators or patterns, smart money trades based on liquidity, market structure, and order flow. While retail traders are typically reacting to price movements, smart money is the one causing those moves. They’re out there seeking out places where they can accumulate positions or distribute them. The tricky part is that they’ll often make the market go in one direction just to trap retail traders and get them to take positions before flipping it back to where they wanted it to go in the first place. Key Concepts in Smart Money Trading 1. Market Structure Market structure refers to the way price moves in a trend. It’s essentially a pattern of higher highs and higher lows for an uptrend, or lower highs and lower lows for a downtrend. Smart money uses these patterns to their advantage. When they see the market creating a series of higher highs and higher lows, they’ll take advantage of that momentum to push prices further, knowing retail traders will follow along. But when they want to reverse the market, they’ll push it in the opposite direction, creating a market structure shift or a break of structure, which signals that the trend is over and a new one is starting. 2. Liquidity Liquidity refers to the amount of orders available to be filled at different price levels. Smart money knows exactly where retail traders are likely to place their stops or buy orders. They’ll often push the price to these levels, triggering those stops and collecting the liquidity. Once that liquidity is grabbed, they’ll reverse the price and move it in the intended direction. A common way to spot liquidity is by looking for equal highs or equal lows, where traders often place their stop-loss orders. These are often areas smart money will target. 3. Order Blocks Order blocks are areas on the chart where institutions have placed big orders. These are key levels that represent where price might return to later, and they can act as areas of support or resistance. Order blocks are usually found after big price moves. Institutions place these orders to either accumulate positions or offload them, and price often comes back to these levels to fill orders that were left behind. 4. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) Fair value gaps, or imbalances, are price areas where the market moves quickly, leaving gaps between candlesticks. These gaps represent areas where the market has moved too fast for regular orders to fill, and price tends to return to these levels to fill the gaps. Smart money knows that these imbalances are critical areas for future price action, and they’ll use them to re-enter the market after a move has been completed. Why Does Smart Money Matter? Understanding smart money concepts is like learning to think like an institution. Instead of chasing after price based on typical retail indicators, you start looking for the big moves that smart money is making. You begin to notice when the market is setting traps for retail traders, and how these large players accumulate positions before pushing price in a big way. With SMC, you stop guessing and start anticipating. By looking for liquidity zones, order blocks, and market structure shifts, you can get in sync with the big players and follow their moves, not fight them. Conclusion Smart Money Concepts are all about shifting your perspective. Instead of thinking like a retail trader looking for quick breakouts, oversold/overbought conditions, or chasing trends — start looking at the market as the big players do. Pay attention to where the liquidity is, identify key order blocks, and use market structure shifts to guide your trades. By learning to spot these key signs, you’ll stop being the one who’s trapped and start being the one who’s in sync with the smart money. Ready to trade smarter? Keep an eye on those order blocks and liquidity zones — they’re where the real money is made. Next Steps - Start practicing by reviewing charts through the SMC lens. - Keep refining your understanding of market structure, liquidity, and order blocks. - Stay patient, smart money trades aren’t about quick wins, but about positioning yourself for big moves. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this guide helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Education
by TehThomas
78
Bitcoin - Biggest trap in history, ETF investors will lose!Bitcoin is heading towards 30k to 40k in 2026, and many people will lose money, especially ETF investors. All major Bitcoin ETFs launched around January 10, 2024, at the price of around 45,000 USD per Bitcoin. What if I tell you that everyone who bought this ETF will be in a loss during the next major bear market cycle? Of course whales need liquidity, and pushing the price to the ETF's all-time low would be a perfect plan. Bitcoin has been going only down since Trump's first day in office. All investors are extremely disappointed because they saw Trump at a Bitcoin conference talking about the future of Bitcoin and the USA crypto reserve. Unfortunately, it was a trap, and Bitcoin is losing its value pretty significantly. Everyone who bought the news is pretty much at a loss. Of course Bitcoin is completely manipulated by the central banks and government, so forget about decentralization and freedom. But let's take a look at the technical analysis on the weekly chart. On the chart, we can see a parallel channel, and today we have a huge red dildo breaking the channel to the downside with a strong volume. This parallel channel is a representation of the whole bull market (uptrend) since 2022. It's breaking down, and we can completely forget about any bull market this year. From the Elliott Wave perspective, an impulse wave has been completed, and we are looking for a bearish retracement. Usually we want to focus on the 0.382, 0.500, and 0.618 FIB levels. These levels provide the highest probability of a bounce. In the short term, we have a falling wedge pattern that I warned you about a few days ago. I predicted this dump successfully.⬇️ Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Short
by Xanrox
205
Bitcoin’s Sharp Drop—What’s Next After the Crash? Bitcoin’s Sharp Drop—What’s Next After the Crash? Bitcoin has plunged below $77,000, marking a significant downturn as global markets react to Trump’s tariff policies. Cryptocurrencies sold off sharply heading into the week in Asia, underscoring a clear risk-off sentiment across markets. The slide comes as US president Donald Trump dug in on sweeping tariffs that have already wiped trillions in value from US equities. US equity-index futures slumped and the yen surged in a sign of deepening turmoil throughout financial markets. You may watch the analysis for further details! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support this analysis with a like or comment if you find it useful for your trading day. ❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
4
Fed Easing, BTC Soars? The main event of the day: the U.S. stock market and the cryptocurrency market have turned upward. The chance of a key rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve was estimated at 38.5% as recently as yesterday, but now it is 62.5%. This is a very fast and strong change. There is a reason for this. Fundamental Analysis The Federal Reserve may be forced to urgently move to lower rates and launch new liquidity programs, and the reason for this will not be inflation or the labor market. The MOVE Index, reflecting volatility in the U.S. bond market, is now on the verge of crisis intervention. On April 9, the index jumped to 139.87. If it crosses 140, this could trigger emergency actions by the Fed, as happened in the past. The Fed may simultaneously turn on the money printing press and lower the key rate. Cheap money will flow into the financial markets. You can view the MOVE Index on TradingView by searching for "TVC:MOVE". Technical Analysis Yesterday, during the price decline, the U.S. stock market did not update the previous local minimum. The price of BTC also did not update the local minimum, although it came very close. Now the BTC price chart can be interpreted as a double bottom (W) in short-term analysis. The best price for a stop-loss order is the local minimum of BTC prices, $74500. In a favorable scenario, if the Fed lowers the key rate, a very significant increase in BTC prices should be expected. It is quite possible the price will exceed the ATH.
by robofi
Bitcoin Still Fully in Bearish ModeThe reason is here 1. Bitcoin still reject bearish trendline from January 2025 2. Flag pattern created from 10 March and before flag its down trend, chance to bearish continuation 3. CME gap at 84k, can trigger breakout flag pattern and more downside risk incoming from short seller 4. No more bullish sign till we can close above 96k 5. New moon on 29 March i think, rug 2.0 in coming especially with Trump tariff headline everyday and in early April Trump will announce something about tariff If we cant hold 84k, its so over, another rug to 74k in coming
Short
by Calon_Sultan
2
Most likely path forward, Fed stops the bleeding in JuneLooking at this chart I can see a clear trajectory to 68k, though bulls may end up staving off that price until June when the Federal Reserve plans to meet and talk interest rates, which will most likely be lowered to stop the bleeding of the stock market. I predict, if they do, there may be a drop in BTC price right before the meeting so folks can get their discounted bitcoin. from www.forbes.com Now, as the chief executive of BlackRock warns bitcoin could end the U.S. dollar’s world’s reserve currency status, traders are betting the Federal Reserve will be forced to cut interest rates to stave off a U.S. recession—something that could see the market “flooded” with dollars. BlackRock CEO Issues Huge $952 Billion Bitcoin Price Warning To The U.S. Dollar Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell is having to recalculate the need for interest rate cuts after ... More U.S. president Donald Trump followed though on his threat of global trade tariffs—potentially playing havoc with the bitcoin price. Short-term interest-rate futures are showing a 70% chance of a Fed interest rate cut when it meets in June, up from about 60% before the tariffs were announced. That meeting is scheduled for June 17th and 18th. Shorting isn't a crazy idea for now, while hedging on short term upswings until we hit 68k.
Short
by neuromancer
Bitcoin Pullback Complete – Bears Gearing Up for Round Two!!!First of all, let me say that the market has been very excited these past few days, so be more careful with your capital management. Also, these days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has a high correlation with the US stock market indices , and one of the most important of them is the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ). Today, I published the following analysis for the S&P 500 Index , which I used as a result of that analysis for Bitcoin . Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($81,610-$79,800) , the Yearly Pivot Point , the Daily Pivot Point , the important uptrend line (broken) , and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($81,500-$79,677). Overall, it seems that this uptrend in Bitcoin over the past few hours was a pullback to the broken Important uptrend line and the liquidation of short position s. Do you agree with me? In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the uptrend of the last few hours has been in the form of a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) and we should expect another decline . Based on the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to resume its downtrend and approach the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) again ( after breaking the support lines ). Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $74,520-$73,244 If you want to see my overall view of Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe and further understand the significance of the Uptrend line(broken) , you can refer to the following idea: Note: If Bitcoin can completely fill the CME Gap($84,475-$81,450), we should expect further increases. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
28