BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTCUSD In anticipation of April 2
The Fear and Greed Index is now at 34 - fear
Everyone is afraid of the announcement of new tariffs, more uncertainty, and consequently - the fall on this. I can say with 100% accuracy that there will be volatility.
Uncertainty is the root of all problems. How can you plan anything. If you don't know what tomorrow. That's why markets react with “weakness”.
My opinion is as follows - the market is already pricing in future negative announcements. Everyone is in shorts, hedging their positions and afraid of “April 2”.
It will be interesting to see what will be presented to us. But I am inclined to believe that it will be more positive event than negative. Even if it is negative. My fantasy wants to hear something like, “I've negotiated favorable terms, and I'm canceling the tariffs.” But we are unlikely to hear such rhetoric. And even in the event of negativity, we'll unlikely drop much. Who's going to get squeezed on price? The sellers are already exhausted.
On sentiment, we are below FTX times. That's a good sign.
The month closed neutral (with a minus), and such candles often form a ridge; the high is 95000, and the low is 76606.
On the chart, everything is within the bounds of decent. And the fact that we held 81134 the other day is a good sign. The bears failed to sell the local structural low.
Resistance is 91-92k
Support - 81-82
The next target is 90-92k
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News
Last week, total net outflows of spot BTC-ETFs totaled ~$196 million. Total net outflows of spot ETH-ETFs totaled ~$8 million
Over the last 24 hours, contracts liquidated for ~$325 million, of which longs liquidated for ~$203 million and shorts for ~$122 million
ETH/BTC exchange rate falls to a five-year low of 0.02193 - first time since May 2020
Ethereum completes worst first quarter since 2018
Circle is set to file for an IPO with the SEC as early as late April
Mile Sailor (Strategy) has bought another 22,048 BTC. Purchase price: ~$86,969
Miner MARA Holdings is planning a $2 billion stock offering to buy BTC
Metaplanet announced a 2 billion yen common bond issue to buy more BTC
Musk says federal agency DOGE has no plans to use Dogecoin
Follow our plan
Best Regards EXCAVO
Example of how to draw a trend line using the StochRSI indicator
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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I have explained how to draw a trend line before, but I will take the time to explain it again so that it is easier to understand.
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When drawing a trend line, it must be drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
However, since I focused on understanding the concept of drawing a trend line and the volatility period that can be seen with a trend line, I will explain it only with a trend line drawn on the 1D chart.
Please note that in order to calculate a somewhat accurate volatility period, support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are required.
I hope this was helpful for understanding my thoughts on the concept of drawing trend lines and how to interpret them.
The main reason for drawing trend lines like this is so that anyone who sees it can immediately understand why such a trend line was drawn.
Then, there will be no unnecessary disagreements about the drawing, and each person will be able to share their opinions on the interpretation.
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When drawing trend lines, the StochRSI indicator is used.
The reason is to secure objectivity.
When the StochRSI indicator touches the oversold zone and rises, the low corresponding to the peak is connected to draw a trend line between low points.
And, when the StochRSI indicator touches the overbought zone and falls, the Open of the downward candle corresponding to the peak is connected to draw a trend line between high points.
If the peak is not a downward candle, it moves to the right and is drawn with the Open of the first downward candle.
If you refer to the candlesticks of the arrows in the chart above, you will understand.
The trend line drawn as a dot is a high-point trend line, but it is a proper trend line because it does not touch the overbought zone between highs.
Therefore, you can draw a trend line corresponding to trend line 1.
Accordingly, around March 25-29, around April 8, and around April 14 correspond to the volatility period.
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You can see how important the low-point trend line (2) is.
If the high-point trend line is properly created this time and the low-point trend line and the high-point trend line are displayed in the same direction, the trend is likely to continue along that channel.
If the StochRSI indicator rises and a peak is created in the overbought zone, you will draw a high-point trend line that connects to point A.
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Thank you for reading to the end. I hope your transaction will be successful.
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Clean chart of BTC. Bullish still ON. NFAAs always, I prefer clean chart. Still bullish on BTC on weekly TA.
If you stumbled upon my TA, take it as an idea or pleasure in scrolling. NFA
Bitcoin Breaks Resistance – Bullish Flag in Play(Short-term)!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise and pump after '' the Mastercard Plans to Enable 3.5 Billion Cardholders to Transact with Bitcoin and Crypto, " and the US indexes movements and managed to break the Resistance zone($84,380_$83,580) .
Bitcoin is moving near the Monthly Pivot Point and Support lines .
Bitcoin seems to be completing the Bullish Flag Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to reach the Targets I have outlined on the chart in the coming hours and most likely fill the CME Gap($86,620_$86,565) .
There is a possibility that Bitcoin will fall again after this increase. What do you think!?
Note: The Crypto market is full of excitement. Please pay more attention to capital management than before.
Note: This analysis could be a short-term Roadmap for Bitcoin .
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $83,500, we should expect further declines, possibly heavy declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Btcusdt technical analysis.Btcusdt technical analysis next move possible at h1 time frame.not financial advise.
Candlestick Pattern Trading: Reading the Market in ColorHello, traders!
Let’s face it — price charts can feel overwhelming at first. Red. Green. Wicks. Shadows. Bodies. It’s like abstract art for traders. But once you understand candlestick pattern trading, you’ll start to see structure in the chaos—and maybe even profit from it.
Candlestick patterns are one of the most popular tools in technical analysis. They don’t just show price data; they tell a story about market sentiment. Whether you’re a beginner or an experienced trader, knowing your candlestick pattern chart basics is essential. So, grab your coffee (or matcha, we don't judge), and let’s break this down.
What Is a Candlestick Pattern?
A candlestick pattern is a visual formation that appears on a price chart and helps traders predict future market movement based on past price behavior. Each candle represents the open, high, low, and close price for a specific time frame.
When grouped, candlestick chart patterns help traders spot potential reversals, continuations, and areas of indecision. These formations work across all time frames and are used in stocks, crypto, and forex – you name it.
Candles don’t just represent price; they reflect emotion. Greed. Fear. FOMO. Panic selling. It’s all there in the pattern candlestick formations. Learning to read them is like learning a new language—except this one helps you protect your capital.
Whether you're a scalper or a swing trader, the best part of candlestick pattern trading is that it gives you context. It shows who’s in control — buyers or sellers— and offers clues on what might come next.
Candlestick Patterns Cheat Sheet for Cryptomarkets
To help you better navigate, here's a handy visual reference that breaks down key candlestick chart patterns by category: bullish, bearish, and neutral. Whether you're spotting a potential reversal or riding a continuation, this cheat sheet covers some of the most reliable formations used in candlestick pattern trading.
🔵 Bullish Patterns (Reversal & Continuation)
These patterns typically appear at the bottom of a downtrend and signal potential upside momentum.
Key Bullish Patterns Shown Include:
Hammer and Inverted Hammer – Reversal patterns that signal buyer strength.
Bullish Engulfing, Morning Star, and Tweezer Bottom – These are Strong indications of a trend reversal.
Rising Three Methods, Bullish Three Line Strike, and Bullish Mat Hold – Continuation patterns that suggest a bullish trend is likely to resume.
🔴 Bearish Patterns (Reversal & Continuation)
Found at the top of uptrends, these patterns often warn of downward pressure:
Hanging Man and Shooting Star – Classic bearish reversals.
Bearish Engulfing, Evening Star, and Tweezer Top – Indicate a shift from bullish to bearish control.
Falling Three Methods, Bearish Three Line Strike, and Bearish Mat Hold – Patterns that imply the downtrend is resuming after a pause.
🟠 Neutral Patterns
These patterns signal indecision in the market and require confirmation:
Doji – A candle where the open and close are nearly the same, reflecting balance.
Gravestone Doji and Dragonfly – Unique forms of the Doji that lean toward reversals depending on their position.
This cheat sheet is a great visual companion for understanding candlestick pattern charts at a glance — especially useful in fast-moving markets like crypto.
Final Thoughts: Learn the Language of the Market
Candlestick pattern trading is like learning to read between the lines—but in chart form. Once you recognize the key candlestick chart patterns, you’ll stop guessing and start interpreting what the market is really trying to say.
So, next time you open a chart, don’t just stare at it. Ask questions:
❓ Is that a bullish candlestick pattern forming?
❓ Is this a breakout or a trap?
❓ Is the candlestick flag pattern just pausing, or is momentum dying?
When you start seeing candles not as just red and green bars but as signals of crowd behavior… well, that’s when the magic begins.
Have a favorite candlestick pattern chart setup you swear by? Drop it in the comments, and let’s compare notes. 🔥
BTCUSDT : Quick setupBTCUSDT is currently at the order block level, I expect it to drop to $80125 in the first place. There is a unicorn formation at this level so be careful, it will probably get a reaction from here.
07/04/25 Weekly Outlook Last weeks high: $88,502.90
Last weeks low: $77,786.89
Midpoint: $83,144.89
Never a dull moment in this game, last week we saw a relatively flat move from Bitcoin as traditional markets continued their heavy sell-offs thanks to the tariff trade war. The high of the week coming from the run up to Trumps tariff announcement, that then retraced as the speech went on and as the week closed a heavy capitulation move down.
As the week begins BTC's price hit as low as $74,500 barely frontrunning the HTF goal of $73,500 to close the inefficiency wick from the US election 6 months ago. For me this is where I start to pay attention to where buyers may be stepping into the market at this HTF support area. Obviously the worry is still in Tradfi, just how low will the SPX, DJI etc go? That's hard to tell but there is certainly a huge amount of fear in the market and fear brings opportunity.
The NY open should be an interesting one and should set the tone for the week, A reclaim of the weekly low sets up yet another SFP long opportunity to then go and test the midpoint, acceptance under the weekly low may provide one last push to close tout the move to $73,000.
The Federal Reserve is having am emergency closed board meeting today too, if an emergency cut to interest rates comes of this to boost growth then BTC will definitely see the benefits of this.
Good luck for the week ahead!
BTC Approaches Key Trendline Support – Critical Decision AheadBitcoin is nearing its ascending trendline support, a pivotal level for trend continuation. The next move will depend on whether BTC holds or breaks this zone.
📊 Market Structure Update
BTC is testing a well-defined trendline that has acted as support in previous moves.
A reaction here could dictate the next major price shift.
🔎 What’s Next?
A strong bounce could signal continuation, while a breakdown may lead to deeper retracement.
Watch for volume confirmation and reaction at this level.
With BTC at this key inflection point, how are you positioning?
BTC – Long range high retestFinally broke down from our third value, this one being a lot shorter and being more in line with continued downtrend.
HOWEVER, these price are levels that I've been eyeing for weeks if not months, and with global stocks being in meltdown I see mostly a lot of panic and reason to start nibbling some longs. Buy the blood, right?
First attempt will be around 74k. It was the first range high after breaking up in 2024, finally filling the imbalance and retesting value from above. Hope I can get filled on another push down, otherwise I'll look for ltf entry to chase it.
Since it's a downtrend, defining my risk at the first HVN in the 2024 range. I want to give it a bit of room, but might have to cut manually if we keep on grinding down. A fast wick would be okay.
If we accept back below 70k VAH (multiple daily closes or downtrending ltf price action), there is a possible rotation to 60k VAL.
Like I said, longing here is still countertrend, but prices feel attractive again for the first time in a while. Finding a balance between that is hard, but I'll take a shot here.
Bitcoin (BTC) on 4-hour timeframe. Current Price: Bitcoin is currently trading around $81,830.
Trend Line: There is a downward trend line indicating bearish sentiment over the observed period.
Support Level: There is a green support area around $78,424 to $80,000. Bitcoin needs to stay above this level to avoid further declines.
Recent Activity: After the decline, Bitcoin has attempted to stabilize near the support but has not made any significant upward move.
Considerations
If the price breaks below the support area, the bearish trend may continue.
Conversely, if Bitcoin breaks above the trend line, it may signal a reversal and potential upward movement.
Feel free to ask for further analysis or specific technical indicators!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Possible Huge Long Zone on Bitcoin ⚡ Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Daily Chart: Bullish Reversal on the Horizon? 📈
(Please check my previous posts before reading this last one regarding BTC)
BTC just tapped into a high-confluence Long Zone between $73,700 – $65,260, which acted as a powerful demand area during the last rally back in late 2024. After a recent drop of today, price is now sitting at a key decision level. 🟢
🔹 Long Zone: $73,700 – $65,260
🔹 Historical Support: Held in late 2024 before a major run
🔹 Target Level: $108,000
🔹 Potential Breakout Zone: A strong close above $108,000 as higher targets
📈 If price holds this zone, we could see a strong bullish reversal toward the $108,000 or higher. The descending wedge pattern hints at a textbook accumulation-to-expansion setup—but only with proper confirmation. 🚀
🟢 High reward-to-risk setup for swing traders watching for trend shifts.
⚠️ Don’t rush in. Look for signs of strength before entering and take care of your risk management system.
Are you bullish on BTC/USDT once it touches the $73,700 level? Let’s discuss! 👇
BTC ANALYSIS (4H)If we look at Bitcoin on hourly timeframes, we expect a rejection from the red zone. However, this rejection must be strong because if it is weak, Bitcoin may not be inclined to correct further or might at least enter a choppy corrective trend.
The substructure is also bearish, a trigger line has been lost, and ultimately, we have a bearish iCH on the chart.
Closing a 4-hour candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Upward movement to 86,822 at H4Considering the completion of the "caps based on RTM" pattern, an upward movement to 86,822 can be anticipated.
However, on the daily timeframe, an upward movement up to 95 is possible.
Goodluck!
BTC CHOP PLANBINANCE:BTCUSDT is still stuck in chop — rangebound between $81K–$87.5K with fakeouts on both ends.
Swing traders, don’t rush. The real moves are yet to come. Here's the trade plan:
🔹 For longs:
Wait for a clean breakout above the 1D trendline + confirmation (retest & support flip).
🔹 Swing long zones:
$78K — daily liquidity grab
$74K–$70K — daily FVG zone
⚠️ Until BTC exits this range clearly, it's a scalper's market. No leverage-heavy swings.
Only for disciplined positioning.
🖼 Chart: Range, trendline, and key liquidity zones mapped
Diamond Pattern Trading: How to Spot and TradeSome patterns scream for attention, while others sneak up on traders who aren’t looking closely. The diamond pattern is one of those sneaky ones — a formation that hints at a brewing reversal but requires a sharp eye to catch.
Let’s dive into this pattern, how it forms, and the best strategies for effectively trading diamond top and bottom patterns.
What Is a Diamond Pattern?
The diamond pattern is a reversal chart pattern that occurs after a strong trend, indicating a potential shift in market direction. It forms when price action expands and then contracts, creating a diamond-shaped contour. This pattern is rare compared to triangles or head-and-shoulders formations, but it often signals significant price moves when it appears.
There Are Two Types of Diamond Patterns:
Diamond Top Pattern – A 🐻 Reversal Pattern That Appears After an Uptrend.
Diamond Bottom Pattern – A 🐂 Reversal Pattern That Forms After a Downtrend.
These patterns can help traders identify potential turning points and prepare for a change in trend.
How Can You Identify a Diamond Pattern in Trading?
To spot a diamond pattern trading setup, look for the following characteristics:
Broadening Formation: The price action initially expands, creating higher highs and lower lows.
Narrowing Structure: After the expansion, the price contracts, creating lower highs and higher lows.
Symmetrical Shape: When trendlines are drawn connecting the highs and lows, they create a diamond shape.
Breakout Point: The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks out of the structure, either to the upside or downside.
While it might resemble a diamond quilt pattern or a diamond tile pattern on the chart, the key difference is its role as a market reversal signal.
Diamond Top Pattern: Bearish Reversal
A diamond top pattern forms at the peak of an uptrend and signals that bullish momentum is weakening. Traders often look for a downside breakout to confirm the reversal.
What Does a Diamond Top Pattern Typically Involve?
Identify the diamond formation after a strong uptrend.
Wait for a breakout below the lower trendline with increased volume.
Enter a short position once the breakout is confirmed.
Set a stop-loss above the recent high.
Target price: Measure the height of the pattern and project it downward.
This pattern suggests buyers are losing control, and a downtrend will likely follow.
📊 Diamond Top in Action
Between late 2024 and early 2025, Bitcoin surged toward $105,000. Following this uptrend, price action began to shift: the candles first spread wider, then started to tighten — ultimately forming what resembled a diamond top on the daily chart.
The pattern formed over several weeks, showing the hallmark structure: broad on the left,
symmetrical tightening on the right, with support and resistance lines converging.
Shortly after the narrowing phase was completed, Bitcoin broke downward — a typical outcome of a diamond top pattern. The price declined sharply over several days, validating the pattern and suggesting a broader correction.
Analysts watching the pattern noted that while it wasn’t perfectly symmetrical (as real-world patterns rarely are), the structure was clear enough to support the reversal thesis. The breakout marked a momentum shift as bullish pressure faded and sellers gained temporary control.
Following the initial drop, Bitcoin stabilized and began consolidating. This sideways movement is common after strong breakouts — reflecting indecision and market recalibration.
Diamond Bottom Pattern: Bullish Reversal
A diamond bottom pattern appears at the end of a downtrend, indicating a potential shift to bullish momentum.
How a Diamond Bottom Pattern Is Typically Interpreted
Identify the diamond shape forming after a downtrend.
Wait for an upside breakout above the upper trendline with substantial volume.
Enter a long position once the breakout is confirmed.
Set a stop-loss below the recent low.
Target price: Measure the pattern’s height and project it upward.
This pattern signals that selling pressure decreases, and buyers may take control.
Why the Diamond Pattern Is Important for Traders
Reliable Reversal Signal. The diamond pattern trading setup strongly indicates trend reversals.
Clear Entry and Exit Points. Well-defined breakout levels make risk management easier.
Works in Different Markets. The diamond pattern remains effective when trading stocks, forex, or crypto.
Final Thoughts
The diamond pattern is a rare but powerful tool that can help traders confidently spot trend reversals. Whether you’re trading a diamond top pattern for bearish setups or a diamond bottom pattern for bullish breakouts, understanding this formation can give you an edge in the market.
So, traders, have you spotted a diamond pattern trading setup recently? Share your experiences and strategies in the comments!
This analysis is performed on historical data, does not relate to current market conditions, is for educational purposes only, and is not a trading recommendation.
Bitcoin (BTC): Setting Next Target | Eyes On 200EMAWe are setting our new target, as many of you know, near the $70-73K area, which has been one of our major targets since the inauguration of Trump.
Talking about this week, we had a very sharp start where we formed a really big CME gap, which has been filled halfway, so it's hard to say if we will drop from here or test that 200 EMA first but one thing is clear for us: our target will be reached.
This being said, the best strategy for us here would be a DCA and that's what we are doing!
Swallow Academy
Buying BTC at 73.5k - Why I’m Buying This Range Price has now dropped into a key demand zone where previous volume imbalances were left untested. The range around 74.6k–73.8k shows signs of absorption and buyer interest based on low volume nodes (LVNs) and volume profile structure. This zone acted as a major breakout area in the past, and with no acceptance below 74.6k on the 1H close, it suggests sellers are getting exhausted. I’m watching for signs of accumulation and structure shifts in this area to initiate longs, with invalidation on clean 1H closes below 73.7k. If BTC reclaims 75.1k on the 1H, expect momentum to shift and buyers to take it toward higher POCs and imbalance zones
Bitcoin at support between 78600 and 76600. Key levels to watch.Key levels to watch on BTC BINGX:BTCUSDT.P BITSTAMP:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD
If S-1 Doesn't hold I expect BTC to test the 400 EMA and possibly reclaim the vector candle zone/Support 2 at 73800 where we faced resistance back in Mar. 2024 and Oct. 2024.
There's a couple other vector candle zones above S-3 that principal says would get reclaimed as well. I don't see price making its way to S-3 unless the macro environment really starts to deteriorate and the economy moves into a recession. Worst case scenario in my opinion for BTC is between 49k and 54k. All of these levels depends on the tariff situation and the overall market dynamics in the United States. Its also possible that the tariff situation plays out and we don't see levels under S-2. I will be buying at S-2 and adding heavier if we start to reclaim vector candles under S-2. If we see price get to S-3 over the next few weeks to months I will be buying heavily and probably will deploy 90% of whatever cash position is remaining. For clarification I don't put much stock into diagonal trend lines and wedge patterns but they can sometimes act as support and resistance even though they are very speculative. As far as upside moves, there is a resistance zone between 85200 and 88600 and the 200 EMA is also in that zone currently. I do expect the low at 76500 to be broken and rallies are for selling. For more clarification, I'm not short when I say rallies are for selling, I just mean I don't see any sustained upside until the tariff situation plays out and the market has some certainty.
BTC where will go?the price of btc is going every day near the resistance , so should break it with no a lot of power, just going lateral and it could be broken, anyway all is on the chart.
For me can stay in the safe zone , so and play with levergae a little bit more high just for fast scalp, let me know guys
BTCUSDT 4H | Fail to break FVG big ReverseHello everyone
On the previous post, we talk about FVG, Support & Resistance BTCUSDT
And now btc confirmation reverse the trendline with this strong break we hope btc keep on lower to get biggest support around $80,000 - $76,677
Remember do your own research
