BTC Weekly Update -as of Jul14🕰 Timeframe:
📆 Date:
🔎 Market Overview:
💼 Massive Institutional Inflows:
▪️ Over $1.1 billion in net capital inflows have entered spot Bitcoin ETFs in recent days, bringing the total weekly inflows to $2.72 billion so far.
▪️ The total assets under management (AUM) across all Bitcoin ETFs now exceed $150 billion, representing over 6% of Bitcoin’s total market capitalization.
⚖️ Favorable Political and Regulatory Support:
▪️ The ongoing Crypto Week in Congress is reviewing key legislative proposals like the Genius Act and the Clarity for Digital Assets Act, both of which offer promising regulatory clarity for the crypto industry.
▪️ Additionally, former President Trump’s executive order to establish a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” signals strong official political support for Bitcoin adoption.
📊 On-Chain & Sentiment Indicators
📦 Exchange Reserves:
Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges are at their lowest levels in years, suggesting a trend toward long-term holding (HODLing) and reduced selling pressure.
🧠 Fear & Greed Index:
The sentiment index remains firmly in the “Greed” zone, even hitting its highest level since May, indicating strong bullish sentiment among retail and institutional investors.
🌀 Whale Activity:
Whale wallets continue to show heavy accumulation, with large and steady transfers into private wallets, further supporting a bullish on-chain trend.
📈 Technical Setup
🔵Trend: Ranging upward
🔸 Key Support: 118,000➖ 115,000
🔸 Key Resistance: 125,000➖ 130,000
🔸 Indicators Used: RSI above 70
🧭 Next Week – Key Points
🔹 Watch for the outcomes of Crypto Week legislation in Washington — this will be a key driver for market direction.
🔹Monitor ETF capital inflows — if daily inflows stay above $500M, the bullish trend will likely strengthen.
🔹 Track the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy and the USD outlook, especially in response to inflation or other macroeconomic factors.
🔚 Summary: Final Analysis
📌 After reaching a new all-time high above $122K on July 14, Bitcoin’s bullish trend has strengthened. Strong institutional inflows and political support have reinforced the foundation for growth.
● Key Level Ahead: $125,000
● Outlook: If price consolidates above resistance, we could see a move toward $135K and beyond.
● Weekly Bias: Bullish, with potential for a pullback before continuation upward.
✅ If you like this analysis, don't forget to like 👍, follow 🧠, and share your thoughts below 💬!
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin Expecting Bullish FormationBitcoin could be triggered by negative news from the U.S. regarding tariffs, which may create market uncertainty and push investors toward risk-off or alternative assets like crypto.
Currently, Bitcoin is reacting to the decline caused by fundamental negative data, but bullish sentiment remains alive as buyers attempt to hold key support zones. The focus now shifts to the psychological resistance near 110K
You may find more details in the chart.
Ps support with like and comments for more better analysis.
Phemex Analysis #97: What's Next for Bitcoin, After $123k?!Bitcoin ( PHEMEX:BTCUSDT.P ) recently made history by hitting an all-time high of $123,251 on July 14, 2025. However, enthusiasm was quickly tempered as BTC retraced by approximately 6%, dropping sharply to around $115,696 on July 15. Currently, the price has partially recovered and is trading at about $118,200.
With the market sentiment at a pivotal juncture following this volatile movement, traders and investors are carefully considering their next steps. Let's dive into several possible scenarios that might unfold in the coming days.
Possible Scenarios
1. Bullish Continuation (Breakout Above $123k)
If Bitcoin quickly regains bullish momentum, it may retest and surpass its recent high at $123,251. Breaking decisively above this resistance could trigger another strong rally, driven by renewed market optimism and potential institutional inflows.
Pro Tips:
Entry Strategy: Look to open or add to existing positions upon confirmation of a clear breakout above $123,251, especially if accompanied by high trading volume.
Profit Targets: Key resistance zones for profit-taking after a breakout include psychological levels at $128,000, and the significant milestone at $130,000.
Risk Management: Use protective stop-loss orders placed below the recent low around $115,000 to manage downside risks effectively.
2. Extended Consolidation (Range-Bound Scenario)
Bitcoin could enter a period of price consolidation, fluctuating between support at approximately $115,000 and resistance near $123,000. This scenario often occurs when the market awaits clearer directional cues.
Pro Tips:
Range Trading: Employ a grid-trading strategy, placing buy orders near support ($115,000–$116,000) and sell orders around resistance ($122,000–$123,000) to maximize profits from short-term volatility.
Monitoring Indicators: Keep an eye on declining trading volume, which often signals the potential for an upcoming breakout or breakdown.
3. Bearish Pullback (Correction Scenario)
Given the rapid recent surge to all-time highs, a deeper market correction remains possible. If BTC decisively breaks below support at $115,000 with strong selling pressure, further declines towards $107,218 or even $98,132 could ensue, especially if accompanied by negative broader market sentiment.
Pro Tips:
Short Opportunities: Experienced traders might explore short positions if BTC convincingly breaks below the $115,000 support level.
Accumulation Strategy: Long-term investors can strategically accumulate positions around significant lower support levels such as $107,218 and $98,132, provided price stabilization signals are evident.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently at a crucial technical and psychological level after hitting its latest all-time high. Traders should closely monitor the outlined scenarios—particularly watching key resistance at $123,251 and essential support at $115,000. By utilizing disciplined risk management, proactive profit-taking strategies, and careful market analysis, investors can effectively navigate BTC’s ongoing volatility and strategically position themselves for the next significant move.
🔥 Tips:
Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
BTC makes new all time highs!Crypto has been soaring today.
Ethereum and BTC pumping liquidity!
Fed minutes came out today around 2pm, indicating rate cuts at next meeting and throughout the rest of the year and crypto absolutely loved that.
Crypto thrives in a cheap liquidity environment, rallying in potential rate cuts.
We took profits on IBIT calls - still holding longs in the BTC market expecting higher price.
Bitcoin BTC price analysis📈 Two weeks have passed since the previous analysis of the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, and the market has decided to go with the 1️⃣ scenario.
Less than 3% remains to reach $125,000, and the price could easily get there by inertia, but that's a minor detail.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is updating its ATH, and total liquidations on the crypto market over the past 24 hours are “only” $750 million, of which almost $450 million is accounted for by #Bitcoin.
Weak, very weak... Previously, longs were liquidated for $2+ billion, and it was reported that the actual amount of liquidations was significantly higher due to the fact that the exchanges' data was not fully disclosed. (For the sake of objectivity, at that time, the lion's share of liquidations was accounted for by altcoins, but now this is not the case).
◆ During this time, Trump introduced new tariffs — the market was “on a roll” — it swallowed it and didn't even notice the news.
◆ Tomorrow, July 15, the US CPI will be announced — the forecast is for inflation to rise from 2.4% to 2.6% (although there are rumors that the situation in the US economy is much worse and this may "come to light" tomorrow).
◆ July 16 - PII announcement - these indicators may act as a “cold shower” to bring the market out of its euphoria.
◆ From July 14 to July 18, the US Congress is considering three key crypto laws, including the GENIUS Act. Major players consider this a powerful driver. Perhaps the current growth has already “played out” and priced in expectations for news.
🪐 And this trading week will end on 18.07 with the start of Mercury retrograde, even the US Congress is postponing all important matters, and you still don't believe in it ))
🖐 Long positions are certainly beneficial, appropriate, and in line with the trend at present, but it is advisable to hedge them with stops, because as mentioned above: the price is rising, and there are few liquidations. During the previous decline in the cryptocurrency market, there were significantly more liquidations of long positions, and they may wish to repeat this.
And with the #BTCUSD price correction, there will be a fixation: some will have profits, and some will have losses in stablecoins, which would then be logical to reinvest as capital in altcoins. First in something more voluminous and less risky, and in the last stage, they will pump everything in a row)
But until then, we still need to survive and preserve our deposits.
So, in your opinion: correction to one of the levels:
1️⃣-$110k 2️⃣-$97k 3️⃣-$90k
or
is everything written above complete nonsense, and the market growth has only just begun to “take off”?
Cycle Top Theory: BTC 2025–2028 : The ₿ Line BreakoutCycle Top Theory: BTC 2025–2028" explores the probabilistic path of Bitcoin through the remainder of the current bull cycle. Combining historical market structure, halving-driven supply shocks, and volatility-based modeling, this thesis outlines potential top scenarios ranging from $xxxK to $xxxK.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) reflects increasing selling!🚨 Bitcoin Market Update 🚨
Bitcoin recently hit an All-Time High (ATH) but is now experiencing a downward correction. Multiple technical indicators suggest continued bearish momentum:
📉 Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) reflects increasing selling pressure.
📊 A bearish engulfing pattern confirms the market is trending lower.
📕 The synthetic order book reveals a heavy concentration of sell orders.
📈 The 50 & 100 SMA are acting as strong resistance levels, keeping price action suppressed below them.
🔍 Key Watch Level: If BTC breaks above the 50 SMA, we could see a potential pump. However, as of now, all confirmations point toward a bearish continuation.
💡 DYOR – Do Your Own Research
🛑 Not Financial Advice
You Haven’t Missed It**⏰ Timeframe: 1H**
**🛠 Tools Used: Dow Theory, Support & Resistance, Volume, RSI**
**📈 Market Overview**
Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently trading at **110,982**. After hitting a new all-time high at **12K**, the price is undergoing a mild correction. Despite the retracement, price remains supported by both volume and the 25-period moving average.
Yesterday, BTC broke through the **110,267** resistance level with a strong bullish candle, but encountered aggressive selling from market makers and is now consolidating with weak candles below the **12K** mark.
Typically, in such market phases, it’s advisable to close previous positions and consider new entries. However, given the likelihood of **interest rate cuts** and the fact that price is holding near its ATH, keeping previous **long positions** open may be wise, as a **strong upward move** is still on the table.
**⚙️ Technical Analysis**
Yesterday’s breakout above **110,267** was met with seller pressure near **12K**, leading to a shallow correction.
**BTC Dominance (BTC.D)** has broken above **65.04** and **64.69**, moving toward **64.51** resistance. However, a weakening candle structure is visible on both **4H and 1H** timeframes. This indicates that while long opportunities on bullish **BTC pairs** may still exist, we might see a lower high forming above **64.51** and below **64.69**, followed by another move back toward **64.51**.
Meanwhile, **USDT Dominance (USDT.D)** broke below the **4.75** support with a strong candle and is now ranging above **4.63**, suggesting a possible pause or rest phase here.
The **Total Market Cap** shows a similar pattern to **BTCUSDT**, reflecting consolidation with slight bullish bias.
The **Others** chart (excluding BTC & ETH) shows a healthy uptrend and is now facing resistance at **248.68**. A breakout above this level could pave the way for stronger performance among altcoins with bullish BTC pairs.
**🧭 Potential Scenarios**
📗 **Bullish Scenario:**
If BTC forms a **higher low above 110,654**, an entry could be considered above **12,000**, with a stop-loss placed below the higher low (based on the 1H timeframe). Volume confirmation is necessary to support the move.
📕 **Bearish Scenario:**
As long as the price remains **above 109,409**, **short positions are not recommended**.
**💡 Conclusion, Warnings & General Suggestion**
Bitcoin is currently in a **healthy bullish phase**.
The **key resistance at 111K** has been broken, and price is pulling back toward that level.
The structure remains bullish, supported by **sufficient volume** and **no clear bearish divergence**.
If current support holds, there’s potential for continuation toward the **113,500–114,000** range.
⚠️ **Warnings:**
* If the pullback turns into a breakdown (falling below **110,200**, then **109,000**), it would signal **buyer weakness**, and strategy must be reconsidered.
* Watch for **RSI divergences** or **declining volume** during further rallies—they may indicate caution.
* Prolonged consolidation **below broken resistance** could also indicate market weakness.
More up📈 Trading Tip – Long Position on Bitcoin (BTC)
As of today, Bitcoin is trading around $117,395, after retreating from an intraday high of $120,196. The price action follows a recent rally toward $123,000, followed by a healthy correction to the $116,000 area.
Technical Overview:
• The resistance zone at $119,000–$120,000 has been broken and could now act as future support.
• A potential inverse head and shoulders pattern is forming, suggesting a breakout toward the $160,000 level, if the support at $114,000–$115,000 holds.
• On the 4-hour chart: MACD is showing a renewed bullish crossover, and RSI is rising steadily without entering the overbought zone — both supporting further upside toward $125,000–$130,000.
🔹 Suggested Entry: Between $117,000 – $118,000, ideally after confirmation of support near the previous breakout zone.
🔹 Target 1 (TP1): $125,000
🔹 Target 2 (TP2): $130,000–$135,000 (depending on momentum continuation)
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): A confirmed break below $115,000 (preferably on the daily close or with strong sell pressure)
⚙️ Risk Management: Do not risk more than 2–3% of your total capital on this trade.
📅 Watchlist Note: Keep an eye on major economic data (e.g., U.S. CPI or Fed announcements) as they can heavily affect market liquidity and volatility.
BTC USDT ANALYSESBitcoin (BTC) is currently forming an ascending triangle, which is typically a bullish continuation pattern. If BTC breaks out of the triangle to the upside, my target would be around $130,000.
However, we also have a long-term ascending trendline that BTC has been respecting for a significant period. If BTC fails to break out of the ascending triangle, we may see a pullback toward this trendline. Notably, there is also a strong demand zone in that area, which could act as support.
On the weekly timeframe, there is a visible regular bearish divergence—a bearish signal that suggests a potential slowdown or correction. If the divergence plays out, a realistic downside target could be around $100,000 to $98,000.
Bitcoin may correct after false ATH breakoutBitcoin is forming a false ATH breakout. There is a possibility of a correction beginning.
Consolidation is forming with a local upward support line (accumulation of potential before correction).
A breakdown of 110K could cause the correction to continue to 0.5 - 0.7f.
Bitcoin - Last move down, ready for ATH?Bitcoin is showing clear signs of a corrective move within a broader bullish structure. After forming a second consecutive lower high, price is now pressing downward, creating space for a potential liquidity grab and discount entry. Despite this short-term weakness, the macro narrative remains intact. The all-time high remains untapped above, holding a thick layer of liquidity that the market has yet to collect.
Liquidity and Fib Confluence
There is a visible equal low structure around the 107.8k area. This is a prime zone for a sweep, where smart money is likely to trigger sell stops before reversing. Below that lies a Fair Value Gap (FVG) extending into the 106.5k range. Within this same zone, we also have strong Fibonacci confluence, especially at the 0.786 level near 106.2k. This makes it a high-probability entry area if price delivers a clean displacement after the sweep.
Short-Term Bearish, Long-Term Bullish
The market is respecting a trendline drawn across the lower highs, giving the impression of sustained bearish control. However, this is likely a trap. Once the sell-side liquidity below the 107.8k low is taken and the imbalance around 106.5k is filled, price will be primed for a reversal. The true target lies much higher, with the all-time high around 110.5k as the main magnet.
FVG Fill and Reversal Mechanics
This entire drop is likely engineered to fill inefficiencies left behind earlier in the move up. The FVG acts not only as a magnet, but also a springboard for the next leg. Expecting price to show a reaction at the 0.786 level, where the order flow could shift and confirm a bullish reversal, is key here. Ideally, we see a clean sweep, a displacement, and a reclaim of previous structure before targeting higher levels.
Projection and Trade Setup
The anticipated sequence is a sweep of 107.8k, fill of the gap and fib zone down to 106.2k, then a potential reversal structure forming. If that structure confirms, the next major move should aim for the untouched all-time highs, where significant liquidity remains resting. Traders should remain patient and let the sweep and confirmation unfold before entering.
Conclusion
We are watching a classic setup where engineered downside movement is likely to create the conditions for a powerful reversal. As long as price respects the 106k zone and gives a strong reaction, the path toward the ATH remains wide open.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
BITCOIN → Market manipulation. Chance for growth to 110KBINANCE:BTCUSDT , as part of a correction triggered by negative news from the US regarding tariffs, is testing liquidity in the support zone. There is a chance of recovery to 110K.
Bitcoin is reacting with a decline to fundamentally negative data on tariffs from Trump. Technically, the price is facing support and forming a false breakdown, the purpose of which was to capture liquidity. This could lead to a recovery within consolidation in an uptrend, but again, there are conditions...
Countries that have received notification of tariffs are responding positively to cooperation (if this trend continues, Bitcoin could receive a local bullish driver).
The market perceives this as positive, and after liquidity is captured, the price could recover to the resistance of the trading range.
Resistance levels: 108230, 109690
Support levels: 107500, 106500
Bulls are trying to hold the local interim bottom at 107500. There is a reaction to the false breakdown of support. The focus is on 108230; if the market can break through this level, we will have a chance to grow to 110K.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 9 – Breakout and History in Motion🌋🚀 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 9 – Breakout and History in Motion. 🔓💥
The breakout over 114900 has happened.
After 2 rejections, years of preparation, and countless fakeouts… Bitcoin has finally cleared the $114,921 barrier.
We are now officially in price discovery mode within the upper resistance channel.
📍 As long as BTC stays above $114,900 – we are long.
This level is now our trigger line. Lose it? Flip back to short bias. Hold it? There’s only one word: 🚀
🔑 Context:
We’ve tracked this structure since 2023 using a 1-2-3 model based on macro highs. The third test is always the decider — and this time, we broke through.
✅ Test 1: Rejected (2021)
✅ Test 2: Rejected (2025)
✅ Test 3: Breakout confirmed (July 2025)
Now compare that to previous cycles:
2016 halving → ATH in 2017
2020 halving → ATH in 2021
2024 halving → ATH coming by end of 2025?
🧭 Based on this map, BTC’s next structural targets are:
→ $137K
→ $160K
→ $182K+
But there’s a catch: if we fall back below 114,900, the entire breakout thesis is at risk. This is now a binary zone.
⚠️ What to Watch:
📌 Support Retests:
Expect volatility around the 114.9–116K level. This zone will now be stress-tested.
📌 Media Frenzy vs Structure:
As hype increases, stick to levels — not noise.
📌 Ultimate FOMO vs Breakdown:
Hold structure = ATH potential
Lose structure = Down we go, potentially hard.
🎥 Missed the full structural breakdown?
👉 Watch “Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8” for the blueprint
👉 This is now Part 9 – The terminal move has begun
We are now playing for cycle maturity – this could be the final leg before topping out in late 2025.
Let’s trade it with clarity, not emotions.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
🚨 BITCOIN HAS BROKEN OUT but keep in mind: under 114900 be OUT!
Pine Screener - Powerful tool for building programmable screenerHello Everyone,
In this video, we have discussed on how to use pine screener utility of tradingview. We are making use of the indicator Divergence Screener for this demonstration and screen stocks undergoing bullish divergence.
In a nutshell, here are the steps:
🎯 Use Stock Screener to build watchlist of less than 1000 symbols
🎯 Add the indicator you want to use in the pine screener to your favorites.
🎯 Pine screener can be accessed from the tradingview screener menu or you can simply click on the link www.tradingview.com
🎯 Add the watchlist and indicator to the pine screener and adjust the timeframe and indicator settings
🎯 Select the criteria to be scanned and press scan
BTC/USDT Chart Analysis (4H)Patterns and Structure:
Bitcoin remains inside a larger converging structure (symmetrical triangle/wedge) visible from the diagonal trendline.
The price has recently broken above the descending resistance trendline but is hovering near the red resistance area (~$109,000–$110,000).
Ichimoku Cloud:
The price is currently above the Ichimoku Cloud, which acts as support (~$107,000–$108,000 area).
The cloud below the price is green, indicating bullish momentum.
Key Areas:
Resistance Area: $109,000–$110,000 (red box). Multiple previous rejections from this area.
Support Zone: $106,000–$107,000 (cloud and trendline support).
Key Lower Support: The green box near $98,000–$100,000, in case of a deeper retracement.
Possible Scenario:
As your blue arrow suggests, if Bitcoin consolidates above the breakout level (~$108,000), a rally towards the next major resistance between $112,000–$114,000 is likely.
Conversely, losing the breakout zone could see BTC return to retest lower support levels around $106,000 or $100,000.
Short-term Outlook:
The trend bias remains bullish as long as BTC stays above ~$107,000.
Monitor price reaction to the red resistance zone for breakout confirmation or potential rejection.
Conclusion:
BTC is showing signs of strength, but the $109,000-$110,000 resistance zone is crucial. A confirmed breakout above this zone could accelerate the move towards the $112,000-$114,000 targets.
Stay tuned for updates and key levels to watch!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA