BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTC Weekly Analysis – Potential Retracement & Next TargetsAnalysis & Thought Process:
Bitcoin is currently at a critical juncture on the weekly timeframe. Having observed recent bullish momentum, the price now faces resistance around the 95,900–96,700 range. If BTC manages to clearly reverse from this resistance area, it could propel upwards to test psychological resistance at the significant 100K level within the coming days.
However, careful analysis indicates the presence of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 89–90K. Such imbalances in price action typically attract price retracements to achieve market efficiency. Thus, I anticipate a correction back down to the 89–90K area, which would represent an ideal zone to consider a long swing position.
Trade Idea:
Short-term bearish scenario: Look to short from current resistance levels (around 95,900–96,700) targeting the 89–90K FVG area.
Long swing setup: If BTC retraces and holds the 89–90K region, it presents an attractive area for swing long entries aiming back towards and beyond current resistance areas.
PLAN NOT VALID IF
If the price fails to hold 89K, the next logical areas to watch for support are lower down at the 82–78K range, followed by a deeper pullback potentially extending towards 74K.
Profit Targets & Stop Losses:
Short trade: Entry around 95,900–96,700, profit target at 89–90K, stop loss set slightly above the resistance (e.g., 97.5K).
Long trade: Entry at 89–90K, profit targets initially back to 96–100K. Stop loss placed just below the 88K area.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please perform your own due analyse before entering any trades.
28/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $95,778.66
Last weeks low: $84,688.21
Midpoint: $90,233.44
Last week Bitcoin ETFs recorded their second highest net inflows ever, $3.06B between April 21st-25th. The result of this buyside volume is evident on the chart as BTC breaks up into the mid $90k's, and in doing so is now back at the level in which BTC fell from originally to hit $74,500. As a result it is fair to say this area will be a big resistance level, but where is new support after this rally?
The aggressive nature of last weeks move up has left a number of areas of imbalance that the market does tend to revisit. Just below midpoint we have the $89,000-$90,000 area just below a key S/R level at $91,000. Dipping below this area into the FWB:88K 's briefly to sweep the demand and reclaiming $91,000 would be ideal for the bulls and very healthy for the next rally.
A less appealing area of imbalance for the bulls would be towards weekly low of $85,300-$86,300, that would be very painful for anyone longing a retest of the $91,000 area and from a HTF perspective would be a lower high and a SFP of the range midpoint, both bearish signals. The 4H 200 EMA is currently around that area at $87,000 too which would mean losing the level after just climbing back above it.
This week I'm looking at that first imbalance area to be a level of support for the next leg up, that's the ideal bullish scenario in my mind. A move below midpoint with acceptance is a red flag on this move and would start to look like a lower high bearish continuation.
Good luck this week!
Take a step back to leap forwardMost altcoins REALLY NEED another correction before they can aim for higher levels.
There’s a high chance we’re about to see a major shakeout, and after that, the market will gradually rotate capital into altcoins.
It’s coming very soon — probably early May, though it’s hard to pinpoint exactly when. Just be prepared for a big liquidation move to wipe out all the FOMO long positions flying around 😂😂😂😂
This game has never been easy.
Wait for the market shakeout, fam. 😎😎😎😎😎
This upcoming move is going to be a big one 😎😎😎😎
Lingrid | BTCUSD weekly BULLISH Closure Above KEY LevelsThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It reached the target level. Last weekly candle closed bullish showing bulls stepped in, and previous week BINANCE:BTCUSDT closed above the last 6 week highs. The market completed the ABC movement, therefore the market is moving sideways around the 95,000 level. At this point we can see the pullback in the market since it's testing the previous week high and ABC completion. This pullback would give us the opportunity to go long from the support zone in expectation of continuation. Looking left on the daily chart, we can see the price kept rebounding from the support level around 90,000 from November and February, which shows the importance of this zone. If the price pulls back toward this key level, the chance of bouncing off is pretty high. This historical support combined with the recent bullish momentum creates a compelling case for potential upside continuation after the current retracement completes. My mid-term goal is resistance zone around 99600
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
AI predict BTC\USD price, Unbelievable, Check This Out?BTC / USD. COINBASE. Apr 27, 2025 5:07 pm. BTC / USD. Comprehensive BTC/USD Trading Analysis & Strategy (April 25–27, 2025)
(All timestamps in ISO 8601 UTC)
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I. Core Trend & Key Price Dynamics
1. Macro Trend:
- Mild Bullish Bias (+0.72% net gain) with extreme intraday volatility.
- Critical rejection at 95,500 resistance (tested on `2025-04-25T14:45:00Z`) and firm support at 93,000.
2. Volatility Clusters:
- High Volatility Phase:
- `2025-04-25T14:00–15:30Z`: Price swung between 94,440–95,564 with volume spikes (>750).
- Low Volatility Phase:
- `2025-04-27T00:00–20:00Z: Range tightened to 94,000–95,000, volume declined.
3. Pivotal Events:
- Bullish Breakout Failure: Sharp rejection at 95,564.90 (`2025-04-25T14:45Z`) led to consolidation.
- Bearish Engulfing Candle: At `2025-04-25T14:15Z` (volume: 846.26), signaling short-term top.
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II. Multi-Indicator Convergence
| Indicator | Bullish Signals | Bearish Warnings |
|----------------------|---------------------------------------------|-----------------------------------------------|
| RSI 14 | Recovery from 40.79 (oversold) to 68.69 | Divergence at 61.24 as price rose (20:00Z) |
| CMF 20 | Surge to +0.428 (buying pressure, 17:45Z) | Drop to +0.056 (profit-taking, 20:00Z) |
| Supertrend | Bullish flip at 93,825.89 (18:30Z) | Flattening near 94,010.86 (indecision) |
| EMA 9 | Price sustained above EMA 9 (~94,300) | Failure to hold risks breakdown |
| Bollinger Bands | Breakout above upper band (94,191, 18:00Z) | Overextended near 94,540 (mean reversion risk)|
| MACD | Bullish crossover (17:45Z), peak at 47.61 | Histogram decline to 34.98 (momentum fade) |
| Stochastic RSI | Overbought (Fast K=100, 18:30Z) | Bearish divergence (Fast K=83.56 at 20:00Z) |
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III. Strategic Trade Setups
A. Bullish Scenario (Confirmation Needed)
1. Entry:
- Break & Close Above 95,500 with volume >800.
- Retest of EMA 9 (~94,300) with RSI >50 and CMF >0.
2. Targets:
- 96,000 (psychological level), 97,500 (Fibonacci extension).
3. Stop-Loss:
- Below Supertrend (93,825) or 93,000 support.
B. Bearish Reversal (Caution Signs)
1. Entry Triggers:
- Close Below 94,000 with CMF <0 and RSI <50.
- MACD Bearish Crossover + Stochastic K/D cross below 80.
2. Targets:
- 93,000 (support), 91,500 (volume gap from 25th).
3. Stop-Loss:
- Above Bollinger Upper Band (94,540) or 95,500.
C. Neutral/Consolidation Play
- Range Trade: Fade extremes near 94,000–95,500.
- Stop-Loss: 1% outside the range.
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IV. Critical Risk Factors
1. Divergence Risks: Bearish RSI/MACD/Stochastic divergences suggest upside exhaustion.
2. Volume Confirmation Needed: Bullish momentum requires volume >750 to sustain breaks.
3. External Catalysts: Watch for macro news (Fed policy, ETF inflows) around key timestamps.
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V. Real-Time Alert Levels
| Level | Type | Significance |
|------------------|-------------|--------------------------------------------------|
| 95,500 | Resistance | Previous swing high; breakout invalidates bearish structure. |
| 94,300 | Support | EMA 9 dynamic support; loss opens path to 93,825. |
| 93,000 | Strong Support | Macro swing low; breakdown triggers panic selling. |
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Final Outlook
- Short-Term (24–48h): Neutral-bullish with caution at resistance.
- Medium-Term (3–5d): Direction hinges on closing above 95,500 or below 93,000.
Immediate Action: Tighten stop-losses, book partial profits near 95,500, and await volume-backed breakout/breakdown.
(Indicators and price action analyzed in UTC timestamps for precision.) Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Crypto markets are highly volatile and speculative. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before investing. You could lose your entire investment.
BTC Major Top And Bottom Identified Road to $160,000 Bitcoin is currently trading around $95,000. Based on my analysis of the top and bottom zones, we are very close to breaking the critical $100,000 resistance level.
I expect BTC to break $100K within the next few weeks. Once we achieve a clean breakout above $100K, the market could enter a strong bullish phase.
From there, I anticipate Bitcoin will reach the $160,000 target within the next 4 to 7 months.
Key support and resistance levels are marked on the chart, with confirmations from volume, structure, and sentiment.
This is a long-term bullish idea — short-term volatility is expected, but the macro trend looks very strong.
🔔 Follow for updates as the journey unfolds!
🚀 Target: $160,000 | 🛡️ Always manage risk carefully.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis. Current Price: ~$94,600
BTC has cleanly broken above the descending trendline resistance, a structure that capped price since mid-February.
This breakout was accompanied by a surge in volume and momentum — a strong bullish sign.
Golden Cross Area
A key technical confluence occurred where the 50-day MA (red) and the 200-day MA (green) were tested simultaneously, marked by the blue circle.
Price moved sharply upward after reclaiming both MAs, suggesting increased buying confidence — a textbook golden cross behavior, even if not a perfect cross yet.
Support & Resistance Flip
Previous resistance at the GETTEX:92K —$93K zone (highlighted in yellow) has now become support.
As long as BTC holds this zone, it suggests healthy consolidation and potential for a continued move up.
Trend Indicators:
50-Day MA (Red): Now curving upward — short-term bullish momentum is building.
200-Day MA (Green): Flattening and starting to rise, showing early signs of a shift in long-term trend direction.
The price is currently above both MAs, which is a key bullish condition.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: $96,000–$97,500
Major Psychological Barrier: $100,000
Support Zone: $91,500–$92,500
Stronger Support (if broken): $84,000–$85,000 near the MAs
If the price continues to hold above the breakout zone and consolidates well, the next upside target will be $ 100 K.
Failing to hold the GETTEX:92K zone could invite a pullback toward the MAs around $85K — a zone where bulls may step in again.
Final Thoughts:
BTC is showing signs of renewed bullish momentum after breaking key resistance and reclaiming critical MAs. However, confirmation through consolidation and volume is essential to sustain higher levels.
Structure remains bullish unless we see a breakdown below ~$85K with volume.
DYOR. NFA. Stay sharp.
Do you think I'm joking ???I might be wrong and this might never happen, but it might come true From a technical perspective!!!
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin —Short-Term Retrace (Drop) Or Higher Next?Look at this, this is Bitcoin on the daily timeframe. I will keep it short, sweet and easy.
Bitcoin broke up 22-April and has been sideways since with an upward bent. When Bitcoin is set to drop, it drops the next day.
It has been four days and Bitcoin is going up, no retraces. This indicates that the next move will be a big, very big, green candle. No significant drop so far.
A drop would mean prices moving below 90K. Wicks lower or higher are not relevant and consider noise only. Not a drop nor a rise.
The next major move is up. Bitcoin is going up.
The action on the chart reveals higher prices.
The action coming from the Altcoins market reveals a major advance happening in the coming days.
Four days not lower but higher.
The 2-March high, the highest price since the first drop below 90K has been compromised. There was no strong rejection nor selling pressure.
This is a strong resistance level, $95,000. As soon as it gets conquered, Bitcoin will move straight up to $100,000.
Very easy, simple, short and sweet.
Bitcoin is going up. Buy and hold.
Buy and hold. I repeat.
Orange is the target zone. Short-term. Up next.
Namaste.
Bitcoin (BTC): Seems Like Bigger Long Squeeze, Expecting DropBitcoin has had a strong recovery since our liquidity candle, which barely touched our major support zone.
We think this is just a bigger long squeeze to gather more longs into the market in order to get them liquidated on the way toward the proper retest of that support zone so we are still looking to see the drop in the markets and only then start looking for some sort of market structure break on bigger timeframes.
Swallow Academy
BTC Next Move - Bulltrap or Take-off?In todays overview, we will discuss the price action of BTC and what we could expect in the short-term.
What will we discuss?
- Bitcoin approaching key resistance
- Daily trendline break - But no higher high yet
- Stochastic RSI overbought on the daily timeframe
- Defining the daily range
- Downside targets within the range
- Final thoughts
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Bitcoin Approaching Key Resistance
Bitcoin is now pressing up against a significant resistance zone in the $88,000 to $89,000 range. This area is dense with liquidity, and many stop-loss orders have likely accumulated just above the previous local wick. It's not uncommon in these scenarios for price action to briefly push higher, grabbing that liquidity and triggering those stops, before reversing direction. A short-term stop run followed by a move to the downside wouldn’t be surprising and would align with typical market behavior in these conditions.
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Daily Trendline Break – But No Higher High Yet
On the daily chart, BTC has managed to break above a descending trendline that had previously capped price action. While that initial breakout was a promising sign for bulls, price has since been consolidating outside the trendline without yet printing a higher high. Until that happens, the overall market structure remains bearish on this timeframe. A confirmed higher high would be needed to shift the daily trend back to bullish.
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Stochastic RSI Overbought on Daily Timeframe
The Stochastic RSI on the daily chart has been in overbought territory for more than a week, which is typically unsustainable for long periods. This kind of prolonged overbought reading often precedes a pullback. The key question is not if a correction will happen, but how deep it will go. Ideally for bulls, a minor pullback followed by a higher high would be constructive and could signal the beginning of a stronger upward move. But until then, caution is warranted.
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Defining the Daily Range
Currently, Bitcoin is trading within a well-defined range between $75,000 and $88,000. This is the key zone that traders should be paying attention to. As long as price remains within this bracket, we are in a ranging market, not a trending one.
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Downside Targets Within the Range
If price does get rejected at the resistance zone, downside targets to watch include support levels at $84,000, $80,000, and $75,000. These levels could provide bounce opportunities within the range. There’s no need to speculate on price moving significantly below $75,000 unless that level is cleanly broken. Similarly, upside targets beyond $89,000 shouldn’t be considered until we see a proper breakout and continuation.
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Final Thoughts
We should treat the current market as range-bound until proven otherwise. That means respecting the range: moves into resistance zones near FWB:88K – GETTEX:89K are potential selling opportunities, while dips into support around $75K–$80K may be areas to look for buying setups. Until either support or resistance gives way, expect this chop to continue, and trade accordingly.
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Bitcoin Faces Major Resistance as Bearish Shark Harmonic FormsBitcoin is trading into a major high-timeframe resistance region where structural, volume, and Fibonacci levels all converge. Price has been rejected back into the larger descending channel after a failed breakout attempt, suggesting the recent move could be a bearish retest rather than a continuation higher.
Adding to the bearish pressure is the emergence of a Shark Harmonic pattern. The current structure sees the C leg form off the major swing low (A point), leading into a strong push toward the potential D reversal zone. If price rejects here, it would activate the bearish harmonic and signal a deeper corrective move lower.
The 96,400 region remains the critical area to watch. A decisive breakout above this resistance would invalidate the bearish pattern and open the door for a bullish continuation. However, failure to reclaim this zone will likely confirm the rejection and set Bitcoin on course toward the 60,000 region, in line with the broader trading channel acceptance.
At this stage, price action is at a decisive point. Rejection confirms bearish continuation. Breakout reclaims bullish momentum. Traders should monitor this area closely for the next major move.
BTC - The power of fibonacci This is a textbook example of how institutional price delivery often unfolds when targeting liquidity and rebalancing inefficiencies. The current BTC 1H chart displays a high-probability short scenario developing after a liquidity sweep, combined with entry into a fair value gap (FVG) chain and Fibonacci-based premium pricing. Let’s break down the mechanics of this setup layer by layer.
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1. Liquidity Grab Above Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL)
The first major clue that institutional activity is at play is the clean sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) .
- A previous swing high acted as a magnet for liquidity, with stop-loss orders from short sellers and breakout entries from late longs accumulating above this level.
- Price pierced above it, only to immediately reverse—this is what we refer to as a liquidity grab , signaling engineered movement designed to fuel larger orders.
- This behavior often represents the conclusion of a bullish leg and the transition into a distribution phase or a bearish delivery sequence.
This sweep is not random; it's a deliberate market manipulation mechanism—classic of a “trap and reverse” pattern.
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2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Chain: Imbalance as a Magnet
After rejecting above the BSL, price began retracing downward, but left behind multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) . These are inefficiencies between price candles where institutional orders did not fully fill.
- These FVGs now form what we call a “chain” or cluster, providing a roadmap for price to return and rebalance.
- The current move upward is revisiting this chain of inefficiencies, offering a potential re-entry zone for institutions to offload positions accumulated earlier.
- FVGs in premium zones (above equilibrium) are particularly potent—they align with institutional interest to sell at value.
This aligns with the concept that price often returns to inefficiencies before continuing its true direction—especially when paired with a prior liquidity grab.
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3. Golden Pocket and the Premium Zone Confluence
The retracement found a reaction at the Golden Pocket level (0.618–0.65 Fibonacci zone) , which is significant not just for its mathematical roots but for how frequently smart money uses it for mitigation and continuation entries.
- The zone lines up directly with the FVG chain, creating a powerful confluence zone where institutional footprints are likely to reappear.
- This area is within a clear premium pricing territory , above the 0.5 Fibonacci mark—ideal for distribution in bearish re-accumulation setups.
This convergence of technical signals bolsters the case that the current move upward is a mere retracement, not a genuine trend reversal.
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4. Market Structure Context
From a structural point of view:
- Price has transitioned from a range into a lower high formation after the BSL sweep.
- The series of lower highs and lower lows began forming after the grab, which implies a potential shift in short-term order flow.
Combine this with the FVG chain and the premium pricing—it paints a narrative of bearish continuation rather than trend expansion to the upside.
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5. Institutional Narrative: Engineering, Repricing, and Continuation
This setup is less about indicators and more about understanding narrative:
- Institutions engineered a liquidity sweep to fill large sell orders at premium pricing.
- The imbalance left behind (FVGs) serves as a “pullback magnet” before full bearish delivery.
- Price is currently delivering into that inefficiency, likely forming a redistribution schematic.
The most probable scenario, given this context, is a rejection within this zone and a continuation to the downside as price seeks to break internal structure and move toward sell-side liquidity (SSL) resting below.
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Conclusion:
This chart captures the essence of smart money price delivery:
- Sweep → Retrace → Mitigation → Continuation
The rejection from the FVG chain and golden pocket zone will be key to confirming this scenario. If price respects this confluence, expect bearish order flow to dominate the next sessions.
This is a high-quality setup based on narrative, structure, and liquidity—not random confluence, but a storyline of engineered movement and institutional footprints.
Bitcoin will return to 100K!!Hello, traders
After a fairly rapid growth (rally) bitcoin did not correct, the price could not reach 0.382 within the local correction, the range is squeezed between resistance and 0.236, which indicates a bullish interest in the current situation
The price has been in consolidation for the last 4-5 days. This is enough to break the resistance at 95600 and give us a good momentum.
Scenario: If bitcoin continues to slowly and gradually approach the 95600 resistance, there is a high probability of triggering a crowd when the resistance is broken, which will push the price to 100K.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Following the Scenario
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with your daily market breakdown.
Yesterday, Bitcoin came just short of testing the $95,000–$96,700 resistance zone (accumulated volumes) and began to pull back. Most likely, we will see more significant selling pressure once this zone is directly tested.
At the moment, we’ve tested the $92,000–$90,000 buy zone (strong buying imbalance) and are already seeing a reaction from it. The main expectation is the continuation of the long position and a test of the mentioned resistance zones. This is supported by the relatively weak nature of the pullback, absorption of market selling pressure on cumulative delta, and the presence of strong support.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (high volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
btcusdtGreetings all, I did a numerological vol from the benchmarks and with that I concluded that we will fall hard at 66-67k dollars. I also want to point out that we have exactly an inverted chart of how the breakout was formed, fractality that has been repeating for a long time, a classic inverted pattern that often flies down after a fake carry up and hard down.
Bitcoin 6X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers —2nd Entry (PP: 540%)I will explain my thinking as usual so you can make an informed decision.
I believe Bitcoin will make a new advance. When there is a move that leads to the challenge of resistance or support, there is always a stop, a retrace or pullback before additional action. Bitcoin here stopped at 95,000, which is the first resistance from our previous trade-signal and did produce a retrace but it was extremely small. This is a bullish signal.
The fact that the action remains at resistance and this resistance continues to be challenged, is also a bullish signal. The more this resistance gets challenged the weaker it becomes.
Now, a 2nd entry is riskier than the first one of course because the action is more advanced but not everybody can enter perfectly at bottom prices nor at the same time.
We manage risk through capital allocation and relatively low leverage, which is actually pretty high.
See the full numbers and you will see that risk is low.
The stop goes below the low 13-Jan. 2025. The lowest after the final advance happened at $91,688 on 24-April. This is a relatively safe chart setup.
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LONG BTCUSDT
Leverage: 6X
1) $96,000
2) $93,000
3) $90,000
Targets:
1) $104,250
2) $120,000
3) $131,400
4) $143,300
5) $165,000
6) $181,000
Stop-loss:
Close weekly below $86,000
Potential profits: 540%
Capital allocation: 5%
_____
I think timing is good on this one. The next move can happen within days because consolidation has been happening already for an entire week without much change in price, clearly a continuation pattern. Volume being low at this point is also a signal of consolidation.
The fact that there is no volume indicates that the true bullish action is yet to start.
Bears not being present indicates that growth will happen long-term as the bearish cycle (the previous correction) is over.
I wishing you great luck and profits.
The market always offers a second chance, always.
Namaste.