BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
btc 4hMy expectation for BTC is a movement like this. The first stage is $97,500-98,000 (needles may come under gold), the second stage is an increase towards the $113,500-115,000 range. The last stage is a decrease towards the $89,000-88,000 range.Since it is a 3-stage movement, it may take more than a few weeks.
Bitcoin at PRZ! Is This the Calm Before a Drop?As I expected in yesterday's idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from near the Support line and hit the Target .
Bitcoin is trading near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the upper line of the ascending channel(minor) , and the Resistance line .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has successfully completed the microwave B of the main wave 4 in the ascending channel(minor). A break of the lower line of the ascending channel(minor) could be a sign of the completion of this wave. The corrective structure of the main wave 4 so far could be a Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $100,923 AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel(minor) and breaking the Support line, the next target could be the lower line of the ascending channel(major) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $106,943-$105,913
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $105,525-$104,500
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $100,763-$99,774
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $105,300, we can expect more pumps.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $99,400, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
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Bitcoin to touch the 236 next?4H timeframe
Bitcoin near-touched the ATH and currently we are yet to break above this level. Candle closes above the ATH could send BTC into price discovery however for now we should assume that it could be resistance.
Liquidity Zone @ 100,500
We could see a reaction to the 236 which is sat directly below the liquidity.
Microphone pattern formed during recent p.a.
I do think that if BTC is unable to succeed the previous ATH then we could see bearish price movement.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Back to Sideways Movement
Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from the trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics.
Unfortunately, Bitcoin did not continue its move toward the $100,000 target yesterday, and we didn’t get a more favorable entry price for buying.
If we analyze the previous wave of selling from $105,000, we can see that we’ve returned to that range and consolidated within it. This again indicates a balance of power and a well-formed sideways range. The movement is occurring on reduced volume, which also signals market uncertainty.
At the moment, we observe a dominant presence of limit buyers within the current volume zone. Therefore, we primarily expect a test of the $105,000–$105,700 sell zone (market buy absorption area), from which a strong selling reaction is still possible, potentially pushing the price toward local lows. There are no notable volume-based support zones until the next major buying area. If there is no reaction in the designated sell zone, we expect Bitcoin to move toward $107,000.
Sell Zones:
$105,000–$105,700 (market buy absorption),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
~$100,000 (initiating volumes),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
$93,000 level,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance),
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption),
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes),
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone),
$74,800 level,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes).
This publication is not financial advice.
16.05.2024 BTC AnalysisBitcoin is currently trading around $103,700, near the monthly Point of Control (POC), which is the price level with the highest traded volume over a given period, often acting as a key reference for support or resistance. The price has been trending sideways, establishing a high of $105,800 and a low of $100,700. Notably, buyers stepped in aggressively as the price approached the psychological $100,000 level, which coincided with the monthly Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). The VWAP is a trading indicator that calculates the average price of an asset based on both price and volume, often used to identify dynamic support or resistance levels. This confluence of the $100,000 psychological level and VWAP reinforced its role as a strong support zone.
However, price action appears to be losing momentum—a term describing the strength or speed of price movements. This slowdown is likely due to short-term holders taking profits at these elevated levels, as is common near significant round-number thresholds like $100,000.
Chart 1: Recent Price Action
Since breaking above $100,000 on May 9, 2025, Bitcoin’s price action has shown signs of waning momentum on the 4-hour timeframe, forming lower highs (subsequent peaks at decreasing price levels) and higher lows (subsequent troughs at increasing price levels). This pattern suggests a potential consolidation phase, where the market is indecisive before its next major move.
A key area of interest lies between $97,000 and $95,000, where the price briefly consolidated during its strong upward push toward $100,000. This zone aligns with a significant support area, with the monthly low at $93,000 acting as a critical level. Should the price retrace to this $97,000–$95,000 range, it could present an attractive opportunity for a long position. However, traders should closely monitor buyer reactions—specifically whether they absorb selling pressure at these levels. On-chain data also indicates this zone was a strong area for accumulation in the spot market during the upward move, further highlighting its significance.
Chart 2: Fair Value Gap and Key Levels
Another critical area of interest lies between $91,000 and $88,000, where a fair value gap (FVG) exists. An FVG is a price range where rapid, inefficient market moves (often due to low liquidity) leave a gap in traded volume, which can act as a “magnet” for price to revisit. The $91,000 level also marks a pivotal point from the previous trading range, coinciding with Bitcoin’s first all-time high between December 2024 and early 2025. This historical significance makes it a likely target for price action if a deeper retracement occurs.
Chart 3: Funding Rates and Market Sentiment
The funding rate—a small fee paid between long and short positions in perpetual futures contracts to balance the market—remains positive, indicating a bullish bias among futures traders. A positive funding rate suggests that longs are paying shorts, reflecting optimism. Interestingly, during the move to $100,000, the funding rate stayed relatively low, implying the rally was primarily driven by spot market activity. This spot-driven move is typically a healthier sign of organic demand, as it reflects genuine buyer interest rather than speculative leverage.
Conclusion
I believe Bitcoin’s consolidation offers opportunities for long positions. I’d consider entering longs in the $97,000–$95,000 zone if buyers absorb selling pressure, given prior accumulation. A deeper pullback to $91,000–$88,000, near the fair value gap, also looks promising for longs if bullish momentum confirms. I’ll watch buyer reactions and funding rates closely before entering.
Correction Imminent? Will Bitcoin Drop Or Continue Rising?As we can see here, Bitcoin is challenging resistance very close to the All-Time High. This is a price range. The highest Bitcoin was able to hit was $105,850, right below $106,000. Will Bitcoin drop now, even if short-term, or continue moving higher?
» Bitcoin will continue higher and produce a minimum of retrace.
Bitcoin is very likely staying above $100,000 and after some consolidation continue higher to hit a new All-Time High.
While Bitcoin moved above $100,000 on the 8th of May, there isn't any bearish pressure nor bearish momentum. The bears have no strength.
If there is selling happening, the bulls are more than ready and happy to buy everything up. Anyone and everyone selling now will simply lose their coins and miss a huge opportunity because Bitcoin is already growing and will continue to grow. It is normal to see some consolidation after a strong resistance level is hit. This resistance stands around $105K. Once this level breaks, we will see additional growth.
Bitcoin is bullish.
The market is bullish.
Any retraces are just an opportunity to buy-up, rebuy and reload. Do not sell your coins, hold strong. Hold easy or even buy more because Bitcoin is going up!
It can start growing right away, within hours or it can take a maximum of few days but the next major move is up. When Bitcoin starts going, it never looks back. The market will continue growing. Rest easy and buy more Altcoins.
Namaste.
BTC - Accumulation, Manipulation & Distributioncurrent market structure
this btcusdt 1-hour chart illustrates a classic three-phase market structure: accumulation, manipulation, and potential distribution. the price action follows a strong bullish impulse, after which the market enters a sideways range suggesting absorption of previous selling pressure. this kind of behavior is often observed before a continuation of the prevailing trend, but not without intermediate structural games, as seen in the projected manipulation phase.
accumulation phase
the blue highlighted zone marks a consolidation range that serves as an accumulation phase. during this stage, large market participants likely accumulate positions quietly while maintaining the price within a defined range. the tight price action within this zone and relatively small candles are consistent with market absorption, where supply is being matched or outpaced by demand. the repeated rejections of lower prices in this range imply growing buyer interest and strength building beneath the surface.
unfilled fair value gap
beneath the accumulation range lies an unfilled fair value gap (fvg), shown in grey. this price imbalance was left behind during the prior bullish leg and remains a magnet for price action. such gaps often attract price as the market seeks efficiency by mitigating unbalanced areas. the presence of this fvg makes it a likely candidate for a liquidity grab or retest before further bullish continuation.
manipulation setup
the red path outlines a possible short-term manipulation event. this move involves a quick sweep of liquidity beneath the accumulation zone, triggering stop-losses from late long entries and drawing price into the fvg. this is a classic “spring” or “shakeout” scenario designed to trap sellers and create panic, thereby enabling larger players to enter at discounted prices. the manipulation tag here signals a deliberate attempt to create false downside conviction before reversing upward.
re-accumulation and breakout
following the manipulation phase, the green projection shows a sharp reversal and aggressive push upward, initiating a new bullish leg. this move represents re-accumulation, where price quickly exits the range and enters an expansion phase. momentum will likely increase after price breaks back above the original range high, signaling confidence in the trend continuation and drawing in breakout traders. the large green area indicates the expected path toward a new distribution zone.
distribution projection
at the top of the chart, the green box represents a possible future distribution zone. after an extended bullish run, price often enters distribution, where buying interest begins to wane, and larger participants start offloading positions into retail strength. although speculative at this point, its placement reflects the natural progression of a market cycle if the projected bullish move plays out.
market psychology
this chart reflects a clear sequence in market psychology: stealth accumulation, a manufactured dip to create fear (manipulation), followed by a surge fueled by both institutional entries and retail breakout traders. understanding this dynamic helps traders anticipate rather than react, positioning themselves in alignment with likely intent rather than emotional impulses.
summary
the chart outlines a structured bullish scenario with a potential manipulation wick into an unfilled fvg, setting the stage for a continuation higher. if price reacts strongly off the fvg and regains the range, confirmation of bullish intent would be established. this setup emphasizes the importance of understanding liquidity dynamics and price inefficiencies, favoring patient and strategic entries over reactive ones.
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From a technical perspective, the current BTC market presents a typical pattern of bullish accumulation. On the daily chart, the price has been consistently close to the upper Bollinger Band, which is clearly opening upward. The three tracks of the Bollinger Band are arranged in a divergent manner, indicating strong bullish momentum. Although the green energy column has slightly decreased in volume, it remains stable, and there are still no signs of the current upward trend exhausting.
Looking at the 4 - hour chart, the market has entered a phased consolidation stage. The price fluctuates repeatedly around the middle Bollinger Band, forming a standard box - shaped consolidation pattern. It is worth noting that the distance between the upper and lower bands has significantly narrowed compared to the previous period, which is a typical signal of accumulation before a breakout. Before the breakout occurs, the trading strategy should still be based on buying low and selling high.
BTCUSD
buy@102500-103100
tp:104000-105500
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BITCOIN Analysis (1H)We have a CHoCH (Change of Character) in the internal structure, and a bullish order block has been cleared. Price is currently within a supply zone, and there is a resistance line above the current price level.
It appears that price is aiming to pull back to lower support zones. These lower zones are fresh and unmitigated, so we expect that upon reaching them, price may bounce back upward toward the previous high.
A 4-hour candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this bias.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
Important section: 101947.24-106133.74
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It has touched the Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (101784.54) and is rising.
The key is whether it can receive support near the StochRSI 50 indicator (102971.99) and rise.
If not, it can fall to the 94915.18-97226.92 area.
Since the HA-Low indicator is formed at the 89294.25 point, it is important whether the price can be maintained above that point.
If the StochRSI indicator falls below the overbought range and then rises while moving sideways around the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101784.54) ~ 2 (106178.85), it is expected to renew the ATH.
Even if it falls more than expected, if it rises along the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely to renew the ATH.
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I will explain the newly added indicators, StochRSI 50, StochRSI 80, and StochRSI 20.
The disadvantage of interpreting the StochRSI indicator added as an auxiliary indicator is that it cannot determine the price movement.
Because of this, when interpreting the StochRSI indicator so far,
- Whether it is in the overbought or oversold zone,
- Whether StochRSI is above or below the 50 point,
we interpreted it as above.
Therefore, we added the price movement to the StochRSI indicator to check the movement more accurately.
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The StochRSI 50 indicator is literally created when the StochRSI indicator passes the 50 point.
Therefore, we need to think about a response plan based on the price StochRSI 50 indicator.
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The fact that StochRSI 80 is created means that the StochRSI indicator has risen above 80.
Therefore, in order to continue the upward trend, StochRSI must rise above 80.
If StochRSI 80 is not created and only StochRSI 20 is created, the upward trend will occur when the price is maintained above the StochRSI 50 indicator.
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The fact that StochRSI 20 was created means that the StochRSI indicator has fallen below 20.
Therefore, in order to continue the downtrend, it must fall below StochRSI 20.
If StochRSI 20 is not created and only StochRSI 80 is created, the downtrend will occur when the price is maintained below the StochRSI 50 indicator.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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The point to watch is whether it can rise above 106133.74
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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In order to distinguish which time frame chart the line was drawn on, it is divided into 3 types of lines.
You can create a trading strategy by responding to the support and resistance points or sections drawn on the chart depending on whether there is support or not.
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The left is an example of when the support and resistance points were first created, and the right is an example of what it looked like after that.
To draw support and resistance points, you need to understand the arrangement of candles.
By checking how the candles are arranged, you can draw support and resistance points or sections like the example chart.
To draw support and resistance points or sections on a time frame chart like this, you need to check the arrangement of candles while minimizing the chart as much as possible.
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Indicators are used to draw this work using more objective information.
That is, lines are drawn at the DOM(60), DOM(-60), HA-High, and HA-Low indicator points.
In this way, you will be able to reduce your subjective thoughts as much as possible.
Reducing your subjective thoughts will ensure the reliability of the drawn support and resistance points or sections.
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Going back and drawing support and resistance points or sections with the arrangement of candles means that there must have been movement of candles in the past.
Therefore, if the candle moves to a point where there is no trace of the past, you can no longer draw support and resistance points or sections.
In terms of compensating for this shortcoming, it may be more useful to use indicators to display support and resistance points or sections.
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The DOM indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the DMI + OBV + MOMENTUM indicators.
If the DOM indicator is 60 or higher, it means that all indicators have risen above their highest value.
If the DOM indicator is -60 or lower, it means that all indicators have fallen below their lowest value.
The fact that the DOM(60) indicator was created means that it is likely to enter the high point range.
The fact that the DOM(-60) indicator was created means that it is likely to enter the low point range.
Therefore, the DOM(60) indicator is likely to correspond to the resistance point, and the DOM(-60) indicator is likely to correspond to the support point.
Since the DOM indicator is displayed on the Close value, it has the disadvantage of being difficult to respond immediately when the actual DOM indicator is created.
However, once it is created, it will faithfully perform the role of support and resistance.
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The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created to determine the trading point from the Heikin-Ashi candle.
Accordingly, the plotted point corresponds to the average value.
Therefore, the HA-Low and HA-High indicator points have the disadvantage of being expressed differently from the candle's value.
As you can see from the formulas of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, the RSI value is included in the conditions of the formula.
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that the price rose from the low point range.
Therefore, the HA-Low indicator corresponds to the support point.
The fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that the price fell from the high point range.
Therefore, the HA-High indicator corresponds to the resistance point.
Therefore, we basically have a trading strategy of buying when the HA-Low indicator is created and selling when the HA-High indicator is created.
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It is not clear whether the actual support and resistance points or sections are supported or resisted.
However, as time passes, we can see whether it is supported or resisted.
To help determine whether it is supported or resisted, we use the StochRSI indicator and OBV indicator as auxiliary indicators.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing an upward trend above the DOM (60) indicator displayed at the current candle position.
And, if StochRSI rises above 80 and maintains the price, the possibility of an upward trend will increase.
If the auxiliary indicator StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone and OBV rises above the High Line, the upward trend will be guaranteed.
The previous DOM (60) indicator is formed near the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85).
Therefore, the point of observation is whether it can rise above that.
If it rises and maintains the price, it is expected to renew the ATH.
If not, and it falls below the HA-High indicator or the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart,
1st: 97226.92
2nd: M-Signal on the 1W chart
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
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This volatility period is expected to continue until May 20.
However, volatility may also occur around May 23 (May 22-24) and around May 27 (May 26-28), so you should be careful of volatility until May 28.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015 and has been rising.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it shows up to 3.618 (178910.15).
Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again.
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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BTCUSDT - Smart InvestorPrudent investors observing BTCUSDT will note the blue box I have highlighted on the chart. It represents a particular juncture where, should market action decisively penetrate this upper boundary, we might witness a rather substantial appreciation in price.
Retracement will be lower but I think risk reward is very good.
Now, the intelligent investor does not engage in speculation based merely on lines drawn on a chart. However, such zones can serve as important indicators of potential shifts in market sentiment and buying pressure. A breakout above this defined area, accompanied by what one might term 'significant volume' a confirmation of genuine interest and not mere fleeting enthusiasm would suggest a possible continuation of an upward trend.
It is crucial, of course, to await confirmation. A breach of this resistance level that is not sustained, a 'false breakout' as some call it, can be a trap for the unwary. Therefore, diligent observation of subsequent price action, particularly on shorter timeframes, is warranted. A successful retest of the broken resistance as a new level of support would lend further credence to the bullish thesis.
One should also consider the underlying fundamentals, to the extent that such a nascent asset class allows. However, in the realm of technical analysis, these zones of potential breakout offer a visual representation of where supply may be overcome by demand.
Therefore, should BTCUSDT indeed break through this blue box with conviction, it would suggest a potential for a robust upward movement. But remember, the intelligent approach is one of caution and confirmation, not impulsive action. We observe, we analyze, and we act only when the evidence supports a calculated move.
Bitcoin – Respecting $103k FVG, Approaching ATH.Bitcoin failed to fully fill the large 4h and 1h FVG around the $100,000 zone, front-running the level before bouncing sharply. This type of price behavior suggests strong demand, with buyers stepping in aggressively before the inefficiency could be completely mitigated. The market is now shifting back to a more bullish tone after establishing a short-term bottom near the key higher-timeframe FVG.
Consolidation Structure
The price action has been messy and range-bound over the past few days, stuck between the major 1h/4h demand zone around $102,000 and the $105,000 resistance level. Within that broader range, Bitcoin created a new 1h FVG on the push off the lows, which has already been respected intraday around the $103,000 area. That newly formed FVG now acts as short-term support as price grinds upward again toward the prior resistance.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
On the bullish side, if Bitcoin flips the $104,500 to $105,000 resistance area cleanly into support with a convincing displacement and consolidation above it, there’s a good chance it will break out and target higher inefficiencies above $106,000. That would confirm buyers are in full control and using each FVG as a stepping stone higher.
However, if price gets rejected again inside the resistance zone without showing signs of strength or accumulation just below it, we could see another rotation lower back to the $100,000 FVG or potentially even a deeper retest of the broader $97,500 area. A rejection at the highs could align with a sweep of local buy-side liquidity and serve as a trigger for a short-term reversal.
Price Target and Expectations
Upside breakout targets sit around $106,200 and higher, based on the previous price inefficiencies and trend structure. On the downside, if we see rejection, price may revisit $100,000 and possibly test the deeper 4h imbalance zone closer to $97,500 again.
Current Stance
For now, price is trading inside the upper portion of the range and grinding into a known resistance area. There’s no clear confirmation yet of either a breakout or rejection, so the next move depends heavily on how price reacts within the $104,500 to $105,000 zone. Watching for either bullish continuation (with a clean flip and hold above) or a strong rejection setup for a possible fade back into the midrange.
Conclusion
Bitcoin continues to respect FVGs both to the downside and upside. The bounce from the 1h/4h demand confirms higher timeframe interest, and the respect of the new 1h FVG around $103,000 shows short-term strength. The next major decision point is the $105,000 resistance. A clean break and flip could signal continuation, while rejection there may trap longs and send price back toward demand.
Bitcoin: Next Stop is at 144,000Looking at historical data, Bitcoin has experienced similar price growth following the last two MACD crossovers on the weekly chart. We’re now witnessing a third MACD crossover, and if history repeats itself, this could project Bitcoin’s price to around $144,000.
This is a conservative estimate, based on past performance during the middle of previous bull runs. Currently, we appear to be in the final leg of this cycle — which could mean even more upside compared to the previous two MACD crossovers.
What’s your Bitcoin target? Drop your predictions in the comments!
Cheers,
GreenCrypto
BTC Long View by Mythic TraderBTC Long View by Mythic Trader. Let's take BTC again close to its ATH. Don't try to decode my trades because you can't. Sorry to say this but its Reality. People are still stucked in SMC and ICT. They don't even klnow that there are some more thing thats exists in the Market. And yes, now dont think that its EWT:)
Bitcoin (BTC): NEW ATH, Now We Wait For Signs of WeaknessWe have formed a new ALL-TIME HIGH area where the price is not in a very dangerous area. As we are near a new ATH zone, we are going to experience a lot of high-volume candles and possibly even bigger movement to upper zones; this is what makes it hard when we form a new ATH.
As we do not have any kind of resistance but psychological resistance areas like 120K, 130K, and 140K, we will be monitoring those zones for now, and once we see any signs of weakness, we are expecting to see the price dip as low as $90K, so be careful and watch out for any proper MSB to form.
Swallow Academy
Bitcoin Hits New ATH on Candle Close & New 2025 ATH ProjectionsThis week Bitcoin produced its highest weekly candle close ever at $106,454. 12-May 2025 weekly session.
The previous ATH based on candle close happened on the 9-December 2024 weekly session at $104,464.
The current high is 1.91% higher than the previous one. Volume is still basically zero on this chart...
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader—likely to be morning by the time you read this—how are you feeling in this beautiful day?
Bitcoin actually did better than expected but this is not surprising, because Bitcoin is always a surprise on the positive side. This already tells us that the new bullish cycle top can turn out being something completely unexpected, the institutional wave.
The volume...
There are many ways to extract targets so don't mind me using different methods and showing the different possibilities. It is good to have a broad market perspective. Instead of just one option, we can look at all the possible scenarios.
The standard All-Time High based on the previous cycle sits at $155,601. Four years later, hyper hidden inflation, etc., we know this is not it. This same level based on dollars value, $155,000, would be something like $189,000 or $206,000 today, so we are not going to consider this level to be the end of the 2025 bull market.
There is no 180K in this setup. The next target is the 3.618 Fib extension and goes to $209,125. This is more like it. This is a very strong level and there is possibility that Bitcoin can peak right below it.
The next one and last one is the 4.618 Fib extension at $262,649... Let's consider this number for a few minutes. Close your eyes, breathe... Think of Bitcoin, late 2025 or early 2026 and consider this number. Do nothing and just let any impressions come to you. Can be visual, auditory, kinaesthetic or just mental chatter, logical. Yes, it is possible! We keep beyond $250,000 on the cards. Share your impressions in the comments section by the way.
Low volume is natural. If you look at this chart from March 2020 through November 2021 there is no significant spike in volume. It is neutral. So this signal has no use for us at this point. The data-based conclusion is the fact that Bitcoin has been going up for six weeks and volume continues to be low. It was only high when the market hit bottom in 2022 and when it broke up above the 2017 peak in early 2023, that's the highest volume.
Look at this black line:
This is the golden ratio, 1.618 Fib extension in relation to the previous market cycle. It is very interesting. This same level from years ago worked as resistance in late 2024/early 2025.
Last week Bitcoin closed above this level and this week it wicked below and finally closed above. Definitely the action happening here around $102,000. So these numbers are good.
We have a certain price of $155,601 in the coming months, this will be a very strong resistance, the midterm bull market correction can happen here. After the correction bottoms, we will have wave 5 and this one must go beyond this level in order to be real, so this opens up $209,000. Unless $155,000 is the cycle top and ATH, we are set to experience Bitcoin trading above 200K.
My friend, it is my pleasure to write for you again today. Its been so long, I cannot believe we are still seeing each other, exchanging, talking, chatting, trading, reading, writing, fighting and making up just to keep on growing together. Where were you 7 years ago? Where are you now?
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.