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Bitcoin at support between 78600 and 76600. Key levels to watch.Key levels to watch on BTC BINGX:BTCUSDT.P BITSTAMP:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD If S-1 Doesn't hold I expect BTC to test the 400 EMA and possibly reclaim the vector candle zone/Support 2 at 73800 where we faced resistance back in Mar. 2024 and Oct. 2024. There's a couple other vector candle zones above S-3 that principal says would get reclaimed as well. I don't see price making its way to S-3 unless the macro environment really starts to deteriorate and the economy moves into a recession. Worst case scenario in my opinion for BTC is between 49k and 54k. All of these levels depends on the tariff situation and the overall market dynamics in the United States. Its also possible that the tariff situation plays out and we don't see levels under S-2. I will be buying at S-2 and adding heavier if we start to reclaim vector candles under S-2. If we see price get to S-3 over the next few weeks to months I will be buying heavily and probably will deploy 90% of whatever cash position is remaining. For clarification I don't put much stock into diagonal trend lines and wedge patterns but they can sometimes act as support and resistance even though they are very speculative. As far as upside moves, there is a resistance zone between 85200 and 88600 and the 200 EMA is also in that zone currently. I do expect the low at 76500 to be broken and rallies are for selling. For more clarification, I'm not short when I say rallies are for selling, I just mean I don't see any sustained upside until the tariff situation plays out and the market has some certainty.
Long
by TheRecoveryTrader
2
Bitcoin (BTC): Setting Next Target | Eyes On 200EMAWe are setting our new target, as many of you know, near the $70-73K area, which has been one of our major targets since the inauguration of Trump. Talking about this week, we had a very sharp start where we formed a really big CME gap, which has been filled halfway, so it's hard to say if we will drop from here or test that 200 EMA first but one thing is clear for us: our target will be reached. This being said, the best strategy for us here would be a DCA and that's what we are doing! Swallow Academy
Short
by SwallowAcademy
1
Check if it can rise along the rising trend line (2) Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- We need to see if USDT and USDC can continue the gap uptrend. - (BTC.D 1M chart) If BTC dominance rises above 62.47 and maintains or continues to rise, altcoins are likely to record a larger decline. Therefore, you should think about how to respond to the altcoins you are trading. If the uptrend continues, it is expected to rise to the Fibonacci ratio range of 0 (73.63) ~ 1 (77.07). In order for the altcoin bull market to begin, it must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or show a downward trend. - (USDT.D 1M chart) In order for the coin market to begin an upward trend, the USDT dominance must fall below 4.97 and be maintained or show a downward trend. If it does not, and it rises, the coin market is likely to show a downward trend. We need to see if it can meet resistance near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 and fall. If not, the coin market will show a large downward trend as it rises to around 7.14. - USDT is likely to continue to rise. This is because it is the fund that supports the coin market. Due to this, USDT dominance is also likely to continue its upward trend. Therefore, rather than following the overall flow of USDT dominance, it is better to look at where it starts to decline. ----------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) Whether the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart while maintaining the price above the upward trend line (2) and passing through April 4-6 is the key. In order to continue the upward trend, it must rise above 89294.25, so if possible, we should also look at whether it can rise above 89294.25. If it does not and falls along the downward trend line, it is possible that it will touch around 73499.86 during the volatility period around April 25. - The most recently formed high-point trend line is trend line (3). And, the recently formed low-point trend line is the (2) trend line. Since these two trend lines are not moving in one direction, we can see that we are currently in the volatility zone. If the StochRSI indicator rises this time and forms a peak in the overbought zone and then falls, the high-point trend line will draw an upward trend line like the low-point trend line. When that happens, it seems likely that the trend will start. Therefore, the point of interest is whether the two volatility periods in this April, around April 5 and around April 25, will become turning points. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire BTC range. I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again. (BTCUSDT 12M chart) Looking at the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range. Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section. To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the downtrend starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin - Bulls in trouble: 81k next?BTC Loses Bullish Structure – What Comes Next? Bitcoin has officially broken below the bullish trendline, closing underneath it for the first time in this recent uptrend. This is a key shift in market structure, as the ascending trendline had previously acted as strong dynamic support, keeping Bitcoin in a steady climb. Now that we have seen a clean break, the momentum appears to be shifting toward a deeper retracement, and the price is heading toward the next major support zone. Whenever a trendline like this is broken, it signals that buyers were unable to maintain control at higher levels. Instead of continuing the pattern of higher lows, Bitcoin is now moving lower, seeking stronger levels where buyers might step back in. The question now is whether the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement zone, combined with a historically strong support level, will be enough to hold the price up and trigger a reversal. Golden Pocket Support at $81.2K – A Key Bounce Zone The next major area of interest is the golden pocket retracement zone, which aligns perfectly with the strong support around $81.2K. This is an area where Fibonacci traders and institutional buyers tend to look for entries, as the 0.618 – 0.65 Fibonacci levels have historically been some of the most reliable support zones during retracements. What makes this level even more significant is the confluence of technical factors coming together at the same price range. Not only does this level align with the golden pocket, but it has also been a major historical support in previous price action. Every time Bitcoin has visited this range in recent weeks, we have seen strong buy-side reactions. If buyers step in once again, this could be the turning point for another leg to the upside. If we see a bounce from this zone, Bitcoin could attempt a recovery back toward $ 83K – $85K, potentially regaining its footing and re-entering a more bullish structure. However, the strength of the reaction at $81.2K will be crucial in determining whether this is just a short-term relief bounce or the start of another major uptrend. What If Bitcoin Fails to Hold $81.2K? While the golden pocket is often a high-probability reversal zone, it’s important to consider the bearish scenario as well. If Bitcoin fails to hold this level, we could be in for an even deeper retracement. The next major downside target would be around $79.3K, which lines up with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. A move to $79.3K would indicate that Bitcoin needs a larger correction before it can regain bullish momentum. This wouldn’t necessarily mean that the bull market is over, but it would suggest that the uptrend needs a deeper reset before resuming. A drop this low would likely shake out weak hands and allow larger players to accumulate before any potential reversal. If Bitcoin does move down to this level, the market reaction will be key. A strong bounce from $79.3K could set up a powerful recovery, but a failure to hold would raise concerns about a larger trend shift. Losing this level would open the door for even deeper downside, meaning traders would need to be cautious about the broader market outlook. Final thoughts Now that Bitcoin has broken the trendline, all eyes are on how it interacts with this next major support zone. If the $81.2K level holds, we could see a strong reaction and a push back toward higher levels, reestablishing confidence in the market. However, if we lose this level, the next stop at $79.3K will become the last major line of defense before a more significant correction unfolds. The next few 4-hour candles will be crucial in determining whether buyers are ready to step in or if we need to prepare for a deeper move down. Will the golden pocket be enough to stop the drop, or is Bitcoin setting up for an extended retracement? We’ll find out soon! __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
63
NASDAQ, S&P 500 and CoinMarketCap movements, Bitcoin chart Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- We need to check the movement after a new candle is created. USDT, USDC should gap up to know that funds have flowed into the coin market. On the other hand, if there is a gap down, I think funds have flowed out of the coin market. Therefore, I think USDT or USDC are showing the size and flow of funds in the coin market. - (BTC.D 1M chart) If BTC dominance is maintained above 62.47 or continues to rise, altcoins are likely to show a large decline. Therefore, in order for an altcoin bull market to begin, it must fall below 55.01 and remain there or continue to decline. - (USDT.D 1M chart) USDT is a fund that has a large influence on the coin market. Therefore, if USDT dominance rises, it means that the coin market is likely to show an overall decline. On the other hand, if it falls, it can be interpreted that the coin market is likely to show an overall rise. In order for the coin market to start an upward trend, it must fall below 4.97 and remain there or continue to decline. In particular, if the Fibonacci ratio rises above 0.618, the coin market is likely to plummet. If it remains above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618, it is likely to rise to around 7.14. ------------------------------------------- (NAS100USD 12M chart) It has currently entered the most important support and resistance zone. - (1W chart) Therefore, the maximum decline point is expected to be around 14922.2. In order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near the most important support and resistance zone and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. --------------------------------------------- (SPX500USD 1W chart) The key is whether it can be supported around 4773.4-4846.1 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. If not, the maximum decline is expected to be around 3875.1-4116.0. --------------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M chart) As I mentioned before, since the dotted trend line (1) is not acting as a clear trend line, there is a high possibility of volatility. Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator creates a peak in the oversold zone and rises this time, there is a possibility that a trend will be formed as a trend line between lows is created. However, the high-point trend line and the low-point trend line must be formed in the same direction. In other words, since the current high-point trend line is creating an upward trend line, the low-point trend line that will be created this time must also create an upward trend line. In that sense, the 69000-73199.86 section can be seen as an important support and resistance section. If it falls below 69000, it is likely to touch the Fibonacci ratio section of 0.886 (56227.18) ~ 1 (61338.93), which was the previous high point section. - (1D chart) On the last day of this volatility period, it fell below the upward trend line (2), showing a large decline. Since it fell below the downward trend line, there is a possibility that it will continue to fall further. At this time, the key is whether it can rise with support near 73499.86. The next volatility period is around April 25 (April 24-26). The point of interest is whether the price is maintained near 73499.86 or 89294.25 after the next volatility period. - The 73499.86 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1M chart. The M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is rising to around 73499.86. Therefore, if support is confirmed near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, I think it is an aggressive buying period. If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is a buying period until it rises again and supports near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. The next time to buy is when it shows support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.886 (56227.18) ~ 1 (61338.93) that I mentioned in the 1M chart explanation. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend. Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges. Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range. In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Will BTC drop to 68k?Market Analysis: BTC Weekly and Daily Outlook Since BTC has closed its weekly (W) candle—let’s call it a tentative success—we’ll follow up with a view to reflect the market’s intent for the upcoming week. Here’s the breakdown: ------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Candle Perspective Why isn’t BTC continuing to rise and instead dropping? BTC has hit a peak on its most recent upward slope. The current process is about BTC forming a bottom on the weekly timeframe. If the structure for this bottoming process isn’t fully complete, it must finalize, which means BTC has to decline. You can see two key price zones BTC will inevitably pass through: Zone 1: 72k–75k (pretty close already). Zone 2: 64k–68k (still about $10,000 away). Zone 3 (not yet visible, likely around May): 53,000 USD. Thus, BTC’s decline is a certainty—it’s already been hinted at before April, and as early as the start of April, I’ve detailed its bottoming roadmap in a few posts. For now, we leave open the question of whether BTC, after forming this weekly bottom, will return to its previous all-time high (ATH). We’ll get confirmation by mid-April or when the monthly candle closes. --------------------------------------------------------------- Daily Candle (D1) Perspective What will BTC do on D1 in the coming days (this week)? There’s one critical task D1 needs to execute thoroughly: push the price to the 72k or 70k zone as soon as possible and close a strong, decisive candle there. If that happens, we’ll see the price drop into the lower 6X range. If the candle closes weakly or indecisively, we’ll only dip below 76k—under the previous bottom—and that’ll still count as D1 completing its mission. Here’s how we assess D1: Previous bottom: 76k. A D1 close below this level is a success. 70k–72k: A D1 close below this zone allows us to expect a drop to 68k or lower. Conversely: If neither happens, consider taking profits on your swing short trades and waiting for the next signal, folks. Summary Weekly (W) Frame: BTC is forming a bottom right now, and this process will determine whether it rises again or keeps falling. Watch the bottoming price zones closely. BTC W and ATH: Whether it retests ATH depends on how this bottoming phase plays out. D1 This Week: Hold your swing SHORT positions and prepare to take profits. Where to exit? Monitor the D1 candle closes. Enjoy the analysis. Good luck!
Short
by rainbow_sniper
1
BTC Reacted to US Tariffs — What’s Next?Hello Traders 🐺 Yesterday was an absolute disaster in the market! We saw a huge pump straight into $88,500, then a sharp crash back down to the current level around $83,000, which led to a fakeout from our falling wedge pattern — the one with a target around the All-Time High. But now the question is: what's next? As you might know, fakeouts are never a good sign for any pattern. And when we see one, there’s always a possibility of trapping both sides. For example, in our current situation — when we saw the bullish breakout from the falling wedge, many might have thought: “Alright, we’re about to explode and reach new highs!” So they jump into a long position without waiting for a proper close above resistance, thinking the market was already oversold and fear was over — which honestly, wasn’t a bad thought... BUT... Suddenly, Mr. President ruins the market again! 💥 And boom — we get a classic bull trap. Still, in my opinion, BTC.D is printing new highs, and sooner rather than later, it will crash. We’re not supposed to be stuck in this correction forever, because we’re still in a bull market. And don’t forget — the falling wedge pattern is still valid, and it’s a bullish pattern. Also, price is still holding above the purple line, which is our weekly support — so nothing’s broken just yet. ⚠️ So, what now? I believe the Fed is getting ready to cut rates and slowly start shifting their stance from QT to QE. Why? Because with yesterday’s new tariffs, US-imported goods are about to see inflation, and domestic producers could enter recession if the Fed doesn’t adjust its policy. So yeah... I personally think it's a good time to buy. Also, I’m planning to publish a dedicated educational idea about this — breaking down these macroeconomic factors and how they impact the market. Make sure to follow me so you don’t miss it! And as always, don’t forget our simple rule: 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
by Kiu_Coin
2
Will Bitcoin Continue Its Dip After Trump's Tariff Announcement?Macro: - President Trump's recent tariff announcement has triggered sharp volatility in the crypto market, with Bitcoin falling below $84,000 amid fears of a global trade war and economic slowdown. - The Crypto Fear and Greed Index remains in "Extreme Fear," signalling cautious investor sentiment. - Despite the turbulence, institutional interest in Bitcoin remains strong, with firms like Strategy continuing to increase their holdings, showing long-term confidence in the asset. Technical: - BTCUSD is captured within a descending channel. The price rejected EMA21 after retesting it, indicating bearish momentum. - If BTCUSD closes below the support at around 82000-82300, the price may retest the following support at 73000. - On the contrary, closing above the resistance at 88500 may lead the price to approach the next resistance at 92000. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Short
by DatTong
2
Will Your Tether Holdings Be Frozen Overnight?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts ,✌ Spend 2 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective: Since this is an educational analysis, I’ve kept the chart as simple as possible and provided the most concise Bitcoin analysis. 📉 The price is currently in a descending channel and approaching a key daily resistance level. I expect at least an 8% decline, with $75,000 acting as a major support zone. 📈 Now, let's dive into the educational section, which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram. 🧐 Educational Segment: Will Your Tether Holdings Be Frozen Overnight? Understanding the EU’s New Crypto Regulations 🇪🇺 🔍 In 2023, the European Union (EU) introduced the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA), a comprehensive legal framework aimed at increasing oversight of the cryptocurrency market. The primary objective of this regulation is to bring stability, transparency, and security to a sector that has historically operated with minimal supervision. One of the core focuses of MiCA is stablecoins, particularly their issuance, reserves, and compliance with anti-money laundering (AML) and counter-terrorism financing (CTF) laws. The EU prefers highly regulated and trackable stablecoins, such as PayPal’s PYUSD, as these provide greater oversight of financial transactions. Under the new regulatory landscape, if Tether (USDT) fails to meet the EU’s compliance standards, authorities may restrict its usage within the European financial system and exchanges operating in the region. However, it is important to note that such restrictions would be a gradual process, not an abrupt overnight decision. ⏳⚖️ Who Will Be Affected? 🤔📉 These potential regulations primarily impact crypto traders, businesses, and exchanges operating within the EU. If Tether does not secure regulatory approval, platforms serving European customers may be required to delist or limit USDT transactions, similar to past instances where regulatory scrutiny led to the delisting of certain assets in specific jurisdictions. For individuals and businesses outside of the EU, particularly those using offshore or decentralized platforms, the immediate effects of these regulations would likely be minimal. However, broader market shifts and liquidity changes may still indirectly influence USDT trading volume and availability. 🌍📊 Will Tethers in High-Tension Middle Eastern Countries Be Frozen? 🚨🏦 Geopolitical Risks and US Sanctions 🇺🇸⚠️ Beyond EU regulations, concerns have arisen about whether Tether could be frozen in certain politically sensitive regions, particularly in conflict-prone areas of the Middle East. Given the U.S. government’s control over the global financial system and its increasing scrutiny of crypto transactions, there is speculation that Tether Holdings Ltd. could be pressured to comply with U.S. foreign policy directives, including asset freezes linked to sanctioned individuals, entities, or countries. Historically, the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has taken a firm stance against financial transactions that could be linked to terrorism financing, money laundering, or sanctions violations. While Tether itself is not a U.S.-based company, it does interact with U.S. financial institutions and has previously cooperated with law enforcement agencies to freeze assets tied to criminal activities. 🏛️🔎 If geopolitical tensions worsen, there is a possibility that Tether’s compliance team may receive direct or indirect pressure to restrict access to its stablecoin in certain jurisdictions, mirroring actions previously taken against other crypto wallets and sanctioned entities. 🔥💰 How Can Users Protect Themselves? 🛡️💡 For individuals and businesses operating in high-risk regions, it is crucial to stay informed about potential regulatory and geopolitical shifts. Strategies to mitigate risks include: Diversifying stablecoin holdings by using multiple assets (e.g., DAI, USDC, or algorithmic stablecoins). 🔄💱 Utilizing decentralized finance (DeFi) solutions that reduce reliance on centralized stablecoin issuers. 🏗️🔐 Exploring on-chain privacy solutions to protect financial autonomy within legal and ethical boundaries. 🕵️‍♂️📲 Keeping funds in non-custodial wallets rather than centralized exchanges, which are more susceptible to regulatory enforcement. 🔑📜 In an upcoming guide , I will provide a comprehensive tutorial on how to protect your identity and crypto holdings while navigating regulatory challenges and geopolitical risks. Stay tuned for a detailed breakdown of secure storage, alternative stablecoins, and advanced privacy measures. 🚀🔮 However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅. 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 The EU’s MiCA regulations may restrict Tether (USDT) in European exchanges, but it won’t happen overnight. 🌍 Meanwhile, rising geopolitical tensions spark fears that the U.S. could freeze USDT in certain regions. If you’re outside these areas, the impact is minimal, but diversifying assets** is a smart move. Stay tuned for my next guide on protecting your identity, wallets, and crypto holdings! Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
9