BTC Correction Likely Before ATHBTCUSDT technical analysis update
BTC price could drop to the GETTEX:89K –$91K range before moving higher. There's a CME futures gap at $90.7K, which may act like a magnet. BTC has strong support around $90K and may see a small pullback before reaching a new all-time high.
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #68👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures session triggers for New York.
🔄 Yesterday's Analysis
In yesterday’s analysis, I told you that since the 84363 level was broken, RSI had entered Oversell, and selling volume had increased — if sellers were truly stronger than buyers, the price could drop to 83233. But if that didn’t happen and the price returned above 84363, we could say the move was fake and both the momentum and selling pressure were also fake — and the price could move upward.
👀 As you can see, that’s exactly what happened. The move turned out to be a fake break, and the price reversed. With this fakeout, we could have opened a position in the lower timeframes — as shown in the chart I provided. In the 15-minute time frame, after the fakeout of 84363, the price formed a top at 84633, and with a strong breakout candle, the trigger was activated and the price moved upward — reaching a 15:1 risk-to-reward ratio so far.
🚀 Another position could have been opened in the 1-hour time frame, where we could have entered after breaking 85126. As you can see, the candle closed above this level, the price moved up, and the position reached a 5:1 risk-to-reward.
⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame
In the 1-hour time frame, as you can see, the price moved up to 87562 and has now been rejected from this level. The RSI has also exited the Overbuy zone.
✔️ To continue the upward trend and open a long position, for now — since the market hasn’t formed much structure yet — you can enter on the break of 87562. But if more structure forms, you can enter on the break of the new structure or a pullback to the SMA25.
📉 For a short position, we need to wait for now, because market momentum is bullish, and in my opinion, we shouldn’t trade against the trend. So, if you want to short, wait for a trend reversal, or for the price to fall back below 85550, which would invalidate the whole move as a fakeout.
💥 Keep an eye on momentum oscillators like RSI today. If RSI enters Overbuy again, there’s a strong chance of a new bullish wave starting.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin Dominance also moved upward yesterday in sync with the overall market, reaching 64.12.
☘️ If the price can stabilize above 64.12, the next bullish leg of BTC dominance will start. The first trigger for a bearish shift in BTC dominance is the break of 63.67.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now let’s look at Total2. Yesterday, the 965 level was broken and the price moved up to 980, but — just like Bitcoin — it was rejected from that level and is now pulling back.
🔼 To continue the bullish move, breaking 980 will be a valid trigger. For short positions, we need to wait for a trend reversal.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Looking at Tether Dominance (USDT.D), as you can see, it also had a sharp move yesterday, breaking 5.44 and 5.39, and reaching 5.32.
✨ The key support for the past few days was at 5.39, and now that this level is broken, the price dropped to 5.32 where it found support.
🎲 Continuation of the bearish trend in USDT dominance requires a break of 5.32. For a bullish reversal, we need to wait for a clear change in trend.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Short term bearish - BTC In analyzing the BTC/USDT daily chart, it's evident that the 20 MA has not crossed the 50 MA, indicating that we're not yet entering a bullish trend. 📉 Consequently, we are experiencing a short-term downtrend.
I anticipate a correction in the $86,500 - $89,000 zone. 🔄 Following this adjustment, I expect the bullish trend to potentially resume. 🚀
Bitcoin Bullish movementAccording this analysis Bitcoin seems Bullish Pattern Guys Forecast from Mr Martin Date 28 April 2025.
Bitcoin candles as Buy side use trading clearly in Buy side showing Bullish instant after Long moment the higher formed continue to Bullish Guys just sits strong Support 93,200 which previous should Price will Bullish
Key Levels
Support Level 93,200 / 90,200
Resistance Level 95,500 / 96,500
you may see more details in the chart. Ps Support with like and comments Thanks.
BTC - Halving Cycle | Historical Patterns & 2025-2026 Projection
In this chart, we dive deep into the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action post-halving and draw parallels between past and current movements, with a specific focus on how the market has historically reacted at various intervals following each halving event. This analysis incorporates both structural and temporal elements, providing a potential roadmap based on previous behavior.
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Historical Context: Previous Cycles
3rd Halving – May 11, 2020
Following the 3rd Bitcoin halving, we observed a parabolic run-up over the next several months:
- 11 months after halving (April 2021): BTC reached a major peak, hitting nearly $65,000.
- This was followed by a significant correction.
- 19 months after halving (December 2021): Bitcoin printed a second top close to the previous all-time high, forming a classic double top pattern. This structure often signals market exhaustion and precedes deeper corrections.
Cycle Completion – Price Reversion
By 30 months after the 3rd halving (around November 2022), BTC had retraced much of its gains and returned to prices nearly equivalent to the halving level (~$8,000–$10,000 zone in log-adjusted terms). This marked the end of the cycle, confirming a full reversion to the mean after the double-top distribution phase.
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Current Cycle: 4th Halving – April 19, 2024
We're now entering the 4th post-halving cycle , and so far, the structure appears to be rhyming closely with the previous cycle :
- Pre-halving rally took BTC to ~ FWB:73K (March 2024), indicating strong bullish momentum leading into the event.
- If this cycle follows a similar path, we may expect:
- A first major top around 9 months after the halving , potentially at or above $100K.
- A second top forming around 17 months after the halving (projected for September 2025), possibly signaling the beginning of a broader correction phase.
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Projection: October 2026 (30 Months After Halving)
Using the same temporal framework:
- By October 2026 (30 months post-halving), the chart suggests a return to a much lower level , possibly around $50K.
- This projection mimics the post-double-top decline of the previous cycle, reinforcing the idea of cyclical mean reversion .
- It’s important to note: this isn’t necessarily bearish, but it highlights the cyclical and psychological nature of markets —boom, euphoria, distribution, and reversion.
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The Macro View: Halving Cycles Are Rhythmic
- Every halving has historically set off a new bull run, but the timing of tops and bottoms is shockingly consistent :
- Peaks often occur 9–18 months post-halving .
- Full cycle completion is around 30 months post-halving.
- These cycles are heavily influenced by supply shocks , market psychology , and macro liquidity cycles .
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Final Thoughts
This chart isn’t a guarantee—it’s a probability model based on cyclical symmetry. If history repeats or rhymes, we may be witnessing another textbook cycle play out, where a euphoric run in 2025 gives way to a deep correction by late 2026.
Stay alert for the double top pattern and macro divergences. Just as in 2021, timing the exit after the first peak can be the difference between profit and pain .
What do you think? Will Bitcoin follow the same 30-month post-halving trajectory?
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Wyckoff #Analysis #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Wyckoff #Analysis #Eddy
This analysis is based on the analytical style of the Wyckoff Distribution Structure of Schematics 1 and 2.
I have outlined for you the important parts of the Wyckoff style on the one-hour timeframe.
Currently, we are in Phase C of the Wyckoff Distribution Structure.
We have to wait for the completion of this phase and the start of Phase D of the Wyckoff Distribution Structure.
When will this structure be fully confirmed? When the Bitcoin price falls to the 91800 support and gathers the final spring when this support is broken for the fall, we will enter a short position by getting the necessary confirmations based on our style and strategy.
💬 Note: It is not exactly clear whether the market maker will act based on Schematic 1 or 2, so the best entry point for short positions will be the 91800 support break. If, based on the schematic 1, the Bitcoin price UTAD and test formed, high-risk traders who are willing to trade in the opposite direction can enter a short position by getting confirmation in the time frames below 15 minutes.
Where will the targets be? The first target is 62000 and the second target can be 46000 dollars.
When can you safely close the position and enter a reverse trade, that is, long or buy? When a Wyckoff accumulation structure is formed at one of the targets.
The responsibility for the trade is yours and I have no responsibility for your failure to comply with the risk and capital management.
Good luck and be profitable.
I also invite you to review and view my latest analysis on Bitcoin via the link below:
For altcoins, follow my analysis on the Total 3 chart.
My analysis of the Total 3 chart:
Is the Crypto Market Broken ?It’s no secret — the crypto world isn’t what it used to be. A few years ago, it felt like an open frontier where anyone could jump in and strike gold. Today, the crypto space has changed dramatically. The market has become much more competitive , and the days of easy wins are largely behind us.
One of the biggest issues is manipulation. The crypto market is now heavily influenced by " whales who hold massive amounts of coins and have the power to move prices with a single trade. They can trigger panic selling or hype buying, all while positioning themselves to profit, often at the expense of smaller investors.
And that brings us to another hard truth: money in crypto tends to flow from the many to the few . Inexperienced and poorly informed traders often get caught up in hype or fear , making emotional decisions. Meanwhile, wealthy investors use strategy, patience, and insider knowledge to grow their holdings.
In short, while the crypto market isn’t necessarily “broken,” it’s definitely no longer a level playing field. If you’re thinking of jumping in, it’s more important than ever to stay educated, cautious, and aware of the forces at play.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CRYPTOCAP:BTC
btcusdt mega dumpGreetings everyone. here I just closed the price in a triangle that goes from the $15k low and the price in it perfectly walks on its boundaries, we just tested it from bottom to top and now I think it will go down, also note that this is an inverted classical pattern. This is my pattern, just follow the ideas on tradingview.
WARNING: Something feels off...🚨 Something feels off... While CRYPTOCAP:BTC looks bullish on the surface, this pump shows signs of heavy manipulation:
🔸 Michael Saylor just bought $500M in Bitcoin.
🔸 The purchase was made during Easter weekend, when institutions were closed.
🔸 Today is still a holiday in the UK, and yet the pump occurred during Asian hours — highly unusual.
🔸 Meanwhile, the SPX500 is plunging, while CRYPTOCAP:BTC is rising — a rare decoupling.
🔸 Over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in leveraged longs are sitting between GETTEX:82K –$85K, vulnerable to liquidation.
📉 This could be a classic FOMO trap — pushing price high on low volume to lure in retail before a long squeeze.
Yes, CRYPTOCAP:BTC may be gearing for another leg up…
But an all-time high this week? Highly unlikely.
⚠️ Stay cautious. The confidence is getting excessive.
DYOR – Do your own research.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoWarning #LongSqueeze #MarketManipulation #CryptoNews #MichaelSaylor #Altcoins #DYOR
Supply Chain Breakdown Reloaded: Fading the BTC Spike at RejectiBTCUSDT 15m — Short Thesis anchored in supply exhaustion and structural inefficiency. Price surged into the Rejection Liquidity (RL) Zone between 94,716.4–94,722.9, where repeated rejection wicks and elevated sell-side volume confirmed supply reloading. Bulls failed to absorb overhead liquidity, signaling vulnerability for a structural fade.
This is a pre-loaded limit short, positioned for One Shot, One Kill, targeting asymmetric downside with strictly defined risk parameters.
Trade Details:
Entry Price: 94,750.0
Pre-set limit beneath RL zone, fading the supply spike at exhaustion.
Stop-Loss (OG SL): 95,100.0
Supply absorption invalidation.
Tick distance: 350 ticks (risk exposure: 0.70 USDT).
Take-Profit (OG TP): 91,700.0
Targeting the Structure Rebuild Zone where demand could reassert control.
Tick distance: 3,050 ticks (reward potential: 6.10 USDT).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 8.71 : 1
Engineered for extreme asymmetry, capturing downside inefficiency while minimizing capital at risk.
Position Details:
Pair: BTCUSDT Perpetuals
Direction: Short
Leverage: 100x Isolated
Position size: 0.002 BTC
Margin used: 189.50 USDT
Execution time: 2025-04-25 23:57:01
Fee structure:
Entry fee: 0.0379 USDT (≈2% of margin)
Exit fee (estimated): ~0.04 USDT
Expected Outcomes:
If stop-loss hits: ~0.74 USDT total loss (risk + fees).
If take-profit hits: ~6.02 USDT net gain (post fees).
Structural Context:
Rejection Liquidity (RL) Zone: 94,716.4–94,722.9
Supply apex. Bulls must reclaim or face breakdown.
Point of Control (POC) – Critical Pivot Point (PP): 94,400.0
Breakdown trigger. A move below confirms bearish continuation.
Bull/Bear S/R Flip (Macro Inflection): 91,631.5
Wider structural pivot. If tested, it validates extended downside momentum.
Risk Management Note:
Trade positions are tightly managed with low capital exposure for the purpose of stress testing system robustness under 100x leverage on lower timeframes (LTF). The focus is on validating mechanical execution and structural thesis under high-leverage conditions, ensuring precision risk control and adaptability in volatile environments.
Narrative:
BTC’s parabolic drive into supply stalls at RL, confirming exhaustion via sell-side volume. This setup fades that weakness, targeting structural inefficiency unwind while enforcing strict risk protocols.
Defined risk. Asymmetric reward. No ambiguity.
One shot. One kill.
BTC TO THE MOON! or no?)I am closely analyzing Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent price action following its decisive break above the critical $88,700 resistance level. This breakout has shifted market dynamics, and several scenarios now appear plausible based on current structure and momentum:
Pullback and Continuation: BTC may experience a corrective move back to the $88,000–$89,000 zone, likely retesting the breakout level as support. For this bullish scenario to remain valid, BTC must reclaim and close above the prior monthly high (PMH) by the end of the current monthly candle, signaling strong buyer commitment and paving the way for further upside.
Immediate Advance with Later Correction: Alternatively, BTC could continue its ascent toward the PMH, potentially encountering resistance at this key level. A rejection here might trigger a retracement to the $88,000–$89,000 range, where buyers could step in to defend the newly established support.
Bearish Breakdown: Should BTC fail to hold above $88,000, a breakdown below this level could accelerate selling pressure, targeting the $83,000 region. Such a move would likely liquidate a significant number of leveraged long positions, amplifying volatility and potentially resetting the market for a deeper correction.
At the time of this analysis, BTC is trading at approximately $91,234, with a 24-hour high of $91,898 and a low of $90,123 as of April 24, 2025, reflecting heightened volatility post-breakout. Traders should monitor price action around the aforementioned levels, particularly the $88,000–$89,000 zone and the PMH, as these will be critical in determining the next directional move. Risk management remains paramount in this high-probability setup.
BTC- crash is coming? Most likely no)In its best traditions, bitcoin in one impulse reached the monthly target 95000, which I wrote about
The probability of a correction to set a higher low in the equilibrium area of the range is increasing.
Probably in May the crypto market will have to pass the last stability test, in case of success we will get excellent opportunities for spot and speculative positions before the next cyclical growth spiral.
For now have to wait for weekly open but there are 2 options:
pump till PWH and then move on correction
slow bleeding till 0.5 or mb till 83k in worst case and then pump to ATH
BITCOIN SHORT SETUP ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level.
hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Disclaimer
BTC SHORT SETUP
ENTRY : 96400
PROFIT : 88174.9
STOP : 98812.8
BTC Short Term I expect a decline to 92474.68 within this week. If the daily red candle closes below this level, we are likely to see 88200.44 and 87235.76 levels.
Our direction is up in the medium and long term. I think there will be pullbacks in the short term.
If there are 2 4-hour candle closes above 95369.00, this possibility will be canceled.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #67👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indicators. In this analysis, as usual, I want to review the New York futures session triggers for you.
✔️ Yesterday, the price was rejected from the 85,550 area, and today could be a sensitive and important day for the market.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, I mentioned yesterday that the 85,126 trigger had been activated and if the price pulled back to this area and broke above 85,550, we could witness a bullish move and the start of an upward wave. But that didn’t happen—the price was rejected from the 85,550 high and started moving downward.
👀 Currently, with the price stabilizing below the 85,126 area, selling volume has entered the market, and the price is moving down. The last candle closed below the 84,363 area, and the RSI has entered the oversold zone. If the move continues, the price could experience a bearish leg and move down to 83,233.
🔽 In that case, a break below the 83,233 area could be a good short position trigger, as it would give us confirmation of a trend reversal. But if the move doesn’t continue, this level could turn out to be a fake-out, and the price might head back toward the 85,550 high.
🎲 So today, you can enter a short position with a break of 83,233, and a long position with a break of 85,550. Pay attention to volume and RSI, as they can provide many confirmations for the next price trend.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s look at Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, dominance dropped another leg and broke the 63.76 low, but now it has returned to this area and is stabilizing above it.
📈 For a bullish confirmation, dominance needs to stabilize above the 64.12 area, and for a bearish one, it needs to stabilize below 63.12.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now for the Total2 analysis. This index was rejected from the 965 area yesterday and is now stabilizing below 954. If the bearish momentum continues, the next support level that could hold the price is 932.
🔼 To turn bullish, a break above 965 is required, with the main trigger being 980.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s look at Tether dominance. Yesterday, it made an upward move and was supported at the 5.44 level. It has now reached 5.52.
✨ If 5.52 is broken, we’ll have confirmation of a bullish trend in dominance. If 5.44 is broken instead, we could anticipate a bearish move and potentially a break of 5.39.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.