BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTCUSDT 1H – Bearish Divergence + Liquidity Zone Below🟧 BTCUSDT 1H – Bearish Divergence + Liquidity Zone Below
🧠 Market Context:
Price pushed into new local highs but is now showing signs of exhaustion as RSI Bearish Divergence emerges — price made a higher high while RSI made a lower high. This often signals a potential pullback or local top.
🔍 Key Observations:
Bearish Divergence on RSI (highlighted clearly)
Price rejected after a sweep of recent highs
High Volume Node (HVN) and liquidity zone forming below around $90,000–$88,000
Volume imbalance visible near GETTEX:87K –$85k as possible reaccumulation areas
📊 Volume Profile Insights:
Low participation above $94k – potential inefficiency
POC (Point of Control) aligns near $90,594
Major buyer interest zones: $88,074, $86,132, and $85,165
🕐 Timeframe: 1H
📍 Exchange: Binance
🧭 Tools used: RSI, Volume Profile, Order Blocks, Market Structure
BTC Setup: Scalp Shorts Active Below 97.5K BTC is currently facing strong resistance around the 97.5K area on the daily timeframe.
As long as BTC stays below 97.5K on a daily closing basis, I am expecting a potential pullback move.
📉 There is a chance of a wick or sharp move down toward the 92K zone, which could provide good scalp short opportunities.
📈 However, a clear breakout and daily close above 97.5K would invalidate this short idea and shift the bias back to bullish continuation.
Trade Plan:
🔻 Below 97.5K = Look for scalp shorts with strict risk management.
🔼 Above 97.5K = Exit shorts and watch for bullish setups.
Always remember: Protect your capital and stick to your plan! 🎯
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This post is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your own risk before entering any trade.
BTCUSD - MY ONLY FOCUS FOR THIS WEEK!!INTRO
BTC has broken out of the descending Trendline just as anticipated but it's now trading at a premium, so let's breakdown the levels i'm watching and have a clear view on what to expect this week.
1. MARKET OVERVIEW
BTC has showed an impulsive move to the upside these previous weeks. While some might be thinking of jumping in on this buys that has been going on i think it's a bad idea to look for the buys to continue this new week because BTC is now trading at a premium level where buys are low probability(it might be a good idea to buy earlier in the week becaus price hasn't approached a key supply zone i'm watching out for) and i'm also anticipating for price to retest the Trendline before the major Buys.
2. KEY LEVELS I'M WATCHING
* Supply Zone: 96,400 - 98,700
(My major trade idea for this week is a sell on BTC so i'm only focused on the key supply zone)
3.TRADE BIAS & SCENARIOS
I'm Bearish on BTC this week but i'll be looking out for a buy earlier in the week from my H1 Demand Zone (91,600 - 92,400) into my supply zone(96,400 - 98,700). But if price trades to my Supply zone without getting to my H1 Entry point i'll cancel my buy order and focus only on the sell for the week.
4 FINAL NOTES
Stay patient and let price come to you and manage your risk when it does. Feel free to share your thoughts or setups in the comment.
Bitcoin Pullback or Opportunity📊 Bitcoin Analysis – Pullback or Opportunity?
CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit strong resistance at 94,000 $ failed to push higher, entering a correction phase 📉. Key support zones now lie at 91,200 $ 87,500 $ , both of which have shown solid reactions in the past 🛡️. If price holds one of these levels, the next target could be around 98,500 $based on the previous move’s momentum 🚀.
📌 Price is still holding above the 200 MA, suggesting bullish momentum is alive but needs further confirmation ✅.
👇 What’s your take on the next move?
🔁 Save this if you're watching the next targets
📩 Share with a friend who's trading BTC right now
BTCUSDT – Structure Rebuild or Breakdown? My Neutral Bias Until Description:
On the 15-minute BTCUSDT chart, I’m currently directionally neutral—I need the market to tip its hand before engaging.
94,722.9 USDT – If bulls attempt another breakout, demand must punch through this level. No passivity here—if buyers show up strong, I’ll look for confirmation to join a bullish continuation.
91,631.5 USDT – This is my bull/bear S/R inflection level. If the market slides back into this zone, I’m watching for bearish momentum to reclaim dominance.
Current stance: Structure is rebuilding for a potential long breakout, but I am aggressively watching for proof—no chasing shadows. Until I get a clear reaction at either of these levels, I remain flat, patient, sniper-focused.
The trap zones are set. This is a textbook wait-and-react environment. No bias, no emotion—clarity comes from structure + liquidity + reaction.
BTC ANALYSIS (update)📊 #BTC Analysis : Update
✅As we said earlier, #BTC performed same. Around 22% bullish move done after the analysis. Now we can see that #BTC is trading around a mmajor resistance. We could expect around 10% bullish move if it sustain above its major resistance area
👀Current Price: $94,590
🚀 Target Price: $1,04,476
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #BTC price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
BTC big profit taking in the horizon....popBTC seems to be full of hot air lately, which lead me to think that most of it is purely speculative. There's a very decent chance of a 5-10k drop soon, at which point, BTCZ / MSTZ (inverse ETFs) will spike up very nicely. History repeats itself and a trend is developing! Let's see where this lands over the next few days, but I'm seeing a thick long red candle coming in the middle of the night as investors look to take their profits.
Best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
A Simple sell set up is formed here in BitcoinCurrent Price Area: ~94000
Short-term Trend View: Downtrend
First Target: 93500
Second Target: 93000
Stop Loss: above 94400
In short: you are expecting a short-term correction in Bitcoin from 94000, with a stop-loss tight above recent highs (94400), aiming for a ~1000 point move down.
Quick thoughts on this setup:
If Bitcoin fails to break 94400 cleanly, your short view stays valid.
Watch for support near 93500 — some bounce can happen there, so partial booking or trailing stop could be smart if it stalls.
BTC BACK AT A PREVIOUS MONTH HIGH OF 94k! WHAT NEXT?Price trades at $94,264 which is previous month high price. Technically, this is a resistance high which we’re likely going to see a further bullish breakout before we can confirm a high probability of price trading back at $100,000
From the technical standpoint, we’re likely going to see a possible pullback of the previous week impulse move before buyers can step in again. Next bull target is 100k,110k
BTC SHORTCrypto Introduction
Bitcoin is a digital asset and a payment system invented by Satoshi Nakamoto who published a related paper in 2008 and released it as open-source software in 2009. The system featured as peer-to-peer; users can transact directly without an intermediary.
Swept last month high, approaching yearly volume resistance.
BTC Breakdown Confirmed Below 93.3K: Distribution or Correction?After failing to reach the projected 96.5K supply zone, BTCUSDT topped at 94.9K with a high-volume rejection and has since broken decisively below 93.3K — a critical VWAP support zone. This move validates the bearish continuation scenario and shifts the strategic focus from pullback-reload to downside targets and flow-based invalidation.
Key Developments Since the Previous Report:
🔻 Top Confirmed at 94.9K on April 23 at 13:38 UTC
🔽 Delta at top: -266, aggressive selling
🔽 OI peaked and started to stall
❌ Failed to build continuation to 96.5K
🔻 “Support” at 93.3K broken overnight (new low: 92.238 USDT)
This eliminates the reload-long scenario and strengthens the short continuation thesis.
Current Market Structure:
BTC is now trading below VWAP and the previous high-volume breakout zone. The current structure resembles a distribution phase, not a simple pullback:
🔻 Price below VWAP daily/weekly
🔽 OI flat to slightly declining
❌ Buy delta faded post-top, sellers back in control
Tactical Outlook:
With confirmation below 93.3K, the next key zone of interest is:
🔹 91.800 USDT – Previous accumulation + POC zone
If price stabilizes there with renewed buy delta + OI uptick, we can reassess for recovery. But for now, momentum favors sellers.
Recommended Tactical Entry:
Short Setup (Continuation):
🔹 Sell limit at 93.100–93.300 (retest of broken support)
🔹 Stop Loss: 93.850 (above VWAP and breakout candle)
🔹 TP1: 91.800 (POC zone)
🔹 TP2: 90.200 (gap support below)
⚖️ R/R: 1:2.5 to 1:3
Entry Conditions:
Delta remains negative during retest
OI does not rise (no renewed long positioning)
Volume spike with no follow-through (inefficient move)
Invalidation:
If price reclaims 93.850 with increasing OI and buyer aggression, short thesis is invalidated.
Alternative: enter aggressively after bearish rejection candle on 5–15min timeframe.
Playbook:
Short bias active unless:
Price reclaims 93.8K with conviction (delta + OI surge)
Daily closes back above VWAP
Until then:
✅ Maintain shorts
❌ Avoid premature longs
⚡ Watch for volume spikes without delta = liquidity traps
Conclusion:
The failure at 94.9K combined with the clean break of 93.3K marks a transition from bullish continuation to controlled unwind. The market is now in distribution territory, and caution is warranted.
Watch 91.8K closely.
Author: Pôncio Pacífico
Ex-institutional trader, banned from CEXs.
"Volume doesn't lie. Traders do."
Follow for the next tactical flow shift.
BTCUSDT - Wedge Break, Pullback - Long at 86,500BTCUSDT | From Bearish to Bullish – Wedge Break, Pullback - Long at 86,500 & 108 000 Target
If you recall my April 7th and 10th ideas:
and
Both setups have played out beautifully: BTC has rallied into our zones and now looks ready for a controlled retracement before the next leg higher.
1. Chart Structure & Context
Pattern: Five-month descending wedge (Nov ’24 – Apr ’25) marked by progressively lower highs & lows.
Breakout: Early May delivered a decisive close above the upper blue trendline—shifting control from bears to bulls.
Key Retest: The optimal pullback level is the demand block at ≈ 86 500 USDT, left behind by the swift breakout.
2. Key Levels to Watch
95 000 USDT – Resistance turned pullback trigger. Expect initial seller defense here.
86 500 USDT – Primary demand zone. High-probability long entry for mid-term positions.
108 000 USDT – Prior all-time daily swing high and next logical upside target.
3. Trade Plan
Patience: Wait for price to stall around 95 000 USDT and roll over.
Entry: Seek bullish price-action signals in the 86 500 USDT zone.
4. Targets & Path Forward
Short-term: A retest of 95 000–96 200 will fuel a deeper refill into 86 500, your high-odds long zone.
Mid-term: Defending 86 500 and reclaiming the former downtrend line will establish a higher-low on the daily—paving the way to 108 000 USDT.
Importance of HA-Low, HA-High indicators
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
I wonder if you think that BTC has turned into an uptrend as I mentioned before, as it has risen above 89294.25.
The previous idea is titled "Breakthrough trading starts with finding support and resistance points."
It is ideal to buy at the lowest price possible and sell at the highest price possible, but in order to do that, you need to constantly check the chart in real time.
Therefore, I think it is better to focus on finding the most ideal trading time.
Therefore, you should try to trade according to your own trading rules, that is, your trading strategy.
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In that sense, my trading criteria are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
As you can see from the published formula, when the Heikin-Ashi chart shows an upward trend, the HA-Low indicator is created, and when it shows a downward trend, the HA-High indicator is created.
Therefore, if possible, you can think of a trading strategy to buy when it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, and sell when it shows resistance near the HA-High indicator.
If it falls below the HA-Low indicator, a stepwise downtrend may begin, and if it rises above the HA-HIgh indicator, a stepwise uptrend may begin.
Therefore, it is necessary to look at how long the HA-Low and HA-High indicators make a horizontal line.
Looking at the current chart, we can see that the HA-Low indicator was created at the 89294.25 point and the price fell, but the HA-Low indicator remained the same.
Therefore, even if it fell below the HA-Low indicator, it did not lead to a stepwise downtrend.
In order for a stepwise downtrend to lead, the HA-Low indicator must show a new shape as it falls.
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The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 101947.24 point.
Therefore, the section that determines the trend again is expected to be around 101947.24.
However, since the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is formed at the 97224.92 point, we must first check whether it can rise above this area.
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OBV has broken through the upper line.
However, since there is a difference from the previous high, the point to watch is whether it can rise above the previous high.
Section A is the section where the lower point of the HA-High indicator box and the upper point of the HA-Low indicator box overlap.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise in this section.
This is because it can be considered a volume profile section because it is a section where the influence of the HA-Low indicator and the HA-High indicator are simultaneously applied.
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This volatility period is expected to be around April 25-29 (up to April 24-30).
If the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone after this volatility period, then the support around 89294.25 is expected to be an important issue.
The movement of the StochRSI indicator and the price movement do not necessarily appear in the same direction.
Therefore, we recommend that you focus on finding a selling time when the StochRSI indicator is above the 50 point and on finding a buying time when it is below the 50 point.
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The biggest disadvantage of the breakout trading mentioned earlier is that when it shows a downward trend, it is a split selling period.
In other words, when it rises from the point where the breakout trading was made and then shows a downward trend, it is the first selling period.
If you ignore this, you may suffer a loss or increase psychological anxiety, so you need to be careful.
Since the current HA-Low indicator is the standard for breakout trading, you will feel less psychological anxiety.
The reason is that the HA-Low indicator is created, which means that it has broken out of the low range.
When the price rises and breaks through the HA-High indicator, it feels different from when it breaks through the HA-Low indicator.
When the HA-High indicator breaks upward, it makes you think that it will rise more.
No matter how much you try to calm your mind and look at the chart with a third-party's eyes, it is not easy to stop thinking like that.
The HA-High indicator is created, which means that it has fallen from the high range.
Therefore, since rising above the HA-High indicator means that it has risen to the high range, it is not strange if it falls at any time.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the idea that it will rise more will be dominant, so there is a high possibility that FOMO will take effect.
In order to escape this psychological state, support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are absolutely necessary.
It is necessary to make an effort to stabilize your psychological state by conducting a split transaction depending on whether there is support near the drawn support and resistance points.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire BTC section.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have maintained an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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