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BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas

BITCOIN: As simple as that!Hello Traders, First of all, a big thank you to all the members of our community for being part of this journey. With Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high, we are about to witness even more bullish momentum unfold. 🚀 A special shoutout to @TradingView for providing an incredible platform that empowers traders like us to showcase our technical skills, build our identity, and grow from nothing to something. Now, let’s head to the update: Since September 2023, BTC has performed exceptionally well. We witnessed a strong rally lasting until March 2024 (around 180 days), followed by a period of consolidation. BTC then made another leg up, hitting the historic $100K mark. After another consolidation phase, we are now seeing the start of a new bullish rally. 📈 Based on current analysis, this rally is expected to reach between $130K and $150K, with the target likely being achieved by early Q3. So, sit tight, stay focused, and enjoy the ride! 🥂 Best regards, Dexter
Long
by Dexter_The_Trader
DeGRAM | BTCUSD formed the triangle📊 Technical Analysis ● Pullback has tagged the purple mirroring-support / channel median (≈101 K) and printed a hammer inside the green “optimal-buy” box, preserving the sequence of higher lows since 25 Apr. ● Price is coiling in a bull-flag beneath the inner resistance band 104 K; a 1 h close above it activates a measured move to the red 106.9-109 K supply at the channel roof. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● BlackRock’s IBIT added a net ≈2 900 BTC in two sessions while exchange balances hit a 3-year low (CryptoQuant), signalling renewed spot absorption. ● US 2-yr yield slipped back under 4.70 % after softer Philly-Fed survey, tempering the dollar bid and easing funding costs for crypto leverage. ✨ Summary Buy dips 101-102 K; confirmation > 104 K targets 106.9 K → 109 K. Invalidate on a sustained break below 97.5 K. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2
BTC | Testing ATH — Breakout or Trap?Daily close just under ATH at 109,609 We had only 1H confirmation above ATH, with the first 4H close above ATH likely in 30 minutes. The breakout volume is well above average (Volume MA: 172.89k), but daily candle still below resistance. This could be: • A Sign of Strength (SOS) transitioning into Phase E markup, • Or a premature breakout without higher timeframe validation. ⸻ Breakout Validation Checklist: 1. 1H Close Above ATH (~110k) ✅ ▸ Initial signal confirmed, but not sufficient alone. 2. 4H Close Above ATH (Pending ~30 mins) ▸ Must close above 110k, with no strong upper wick. ▸ Confirms intermediate-term strength. 3. Daily Close ≥ 110k ▸ Still missing. Required for macro breakout confirmation. ▸ Watch for candle body, not just wick. 4. Throwback & Support Hold at 109.6–110k ▸ Ideally after 4H confirmation, a retest and bounce = textbook SOS → BU → Markup pattern. 5. Invalidation Risks: ▸ Daily close <109k with high volume ▸ RSI divergence on 4H ▸ Rejection from 114k–116k Fib cluster ▸ Large bearish engulfing below ATH ⸻ Wyckoff Context: We’re likely in Re-Accumulation Phase D, testing the breakout. No signs of UTAD or distribution — but low conviction breakouts at ATH are known trap zones. ⸻ What’s Next? If 4H + Daily confirm, momentum may push toward: • TP1: 114,449 (Fib 0.618) • TP2: 116,199 (Measured move) • TP3: 118,237 (Upper Fib extension) ⸻ Follow for real-time BTC setups based on structure, RSI, and volume — no hopium. Like & share if this helps clarify the levels you’re watching.
by BitcoinMillio18
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #91👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the Bitcoin and major crypto index analysis. As usual, I'll go over the key triggers for the New York futures session. ⏳1-Hour Timeframe As you can see, Bitcoin made a bullish move yesterday after breaking above 102,882 and reached as high as 104,866. ✔️ After hitting 104,866, the price failed to break this resistance and got rejected, pulling back to retest 102,882 with a wick. ✨ As long as the price stays above 102,882, I consider the market momentum bullish. I still hold my long position opened around 85,000 and plan to open another one if we break 104,866. 📈 So the best long trigger is a clean breakout above 104,866. The next resistance is 106,247, which makes the 104,866 breakout a bit riskier due to proximity to that major supply zone. 🔽 For short setups, the first trigger is again 102,882. If the price forms a lower high below 104,866, a breakdown of 102,882 could justify a risky short. 📊 Personally, I’m not opening any shorts yet since higher timeframe trends are bullish. My first valid short trigger would be a breakdown of 101,628. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Bitcoin dominance continues to fall and has now reached the 62.07 support level and is reacting to it. 💫 If 62.07 breaks, we could see another bearish leg down to 61.34. 🔼 For BTC.D to flip bullish, we first need to see the descending trendline break and then look for confirmation and a long trigger from that. 📅 Total2 Analysis After breaking through 1.24, Total2 moved up to 1.26 and is now pulling back to retest 1.24. 🧩 If 1.24 holds and the price breaks above 1.26, there’s a strong chance it continues toward 1.31. This would confirm a long setup for altcoins. 🔔 For short positions, the only valid trigger for now is a breakdown of 1.18. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Tether dominance faked a breakdown below 4.51 yesterday but has now bounced back above it. 💥 Currently, we should wait for the price to retest 4.51 again and reassess that support. If it breaks down cleanly, we’ll get confirmation of bearish momentum for USDT.D, which would support a bullish trend in the broader crypto market. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
2
#BTC/USDT#BTC The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 104090. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 104619 First target: 105128 Second target: 106128 Third target: 107091
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Bitcoin ready to test support before risingThe volume profile indicates a clear boundary of the trading range - consolidation support as a target for the current local movement. 102200 - 101400 - panic zone, price may enter this zone, provoke bids (buyers' stoplosses and speculators' sales) and return to the range, which will activate a zone of interest for the market - 103930. Scenario: the price is trading inside the consolidation with clear boundaries - support and resistance. The price is aiming for the support within a bullish trend. False breakdown of support may trigger a rebound and growth. Target 103930 - 105000
Long
by AndeWave
9
DeGRAM | BTCUSD new ATH📊 Technical Analysis ● Daily candle has closed above 108 250 $ – the February swing cap – completing an 8-week ascending triangle inside the rising channel and confirming fresh trend-acceleration. ● Momentum push has opened clear air to the red 112 000 $ supply / channel roof; former breakout line at 105 400 $ now acts as layered support together with the purple guideline. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Spot-ETF cohort (IBIT, FBTC, ARKB) logged a three-day net inflow >5 000 BTC while exchange reserves printed a new 3-year low (CryptoQuant), pointing to tightening tradable supply. ● DXY pulled back after FOMC minutes showed no appetite for further hikes, tempering real-yield gains and reviving crypto bid. ✨ Summary Buy dips 106-108 k; upside window targets 112 k, stretch 115 k. Bull bias void only on a daily close beneath 100.7 k. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Spinning top candle - live example (potentially)🕯️ Spinning Top candle – What It Means!? A spinning top has: 1. Small body (open ≈ close) 2. Long upper and lower wicks What it shows? It shows indecision between buyers and sellers after a previous move. Ok, so what we can learn from it? 📉 We can learn how to Trade a Spinning Top candle! THIS IS A SHORT SETUP (if confirmation follows) Confirmation candle: A bearish candle that closes below the spinning top’s low ($106,407) Entry: ~$106,350–106,400 (after breakdown) Stop Loss: Above the high of the spinning top: $107,350 Take Profit: $103,800 (deeper pullback near EMAs) Probability: 65/35 bearish if next candle confirms rejection. Enough theory, see yourself!
Education
by Expate
BTCUSDT - fractal from ATH I think this is a classic pattern now, and we are repeating the situation in the same price range that we had half a year ago when the ATX was forming. That is, we will not update the high or will do it a little bit, and after that we will go to the zone of 93 thousand plus minus and from there will be a significant reversal to 102 thousand, after that it is difficult to predict what will happen next. Either strongly down or strongly up, until then we can safely work on the fractal and after that I will give an update of the idea.
Short
by FTT_TRADER369
Bitcoin Analysis: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for a Smart Entry!🚀 BTCUSDT Outlook: Bullish Momentum, But Waiting for Value 📉💰 Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) continues to push higher, showing strong bullish momentum across the daily and 4H timeframes. That said, current price action appears to be overstretched—in my view, it’s trading well into premium territory 📈⚠️. 💡 Although I maintain a bullish outlook, I’m now eyeing a pullback toward a more balanced zone—ideally between the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. This would bring BTC closer to equilibrium and offer a more strategic opportunity to engage with the trend. 🔎 In this video, we break down: - The dominant trend and current structure - How to identify potential market structure shifts - My buy scenario, which depends on a retracement forming a bearish short-term move (e.g. on the 30-min chart), followed by a bullish break of structure 📊✅ 🕒 Timing is everything. Let price unfold—we’re not predicting, we’re preparing. Entries should only be considered when price action confirms the scenario laid out in this video. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and reflects my personal analysis and opinion. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
Bitcoin - $100k retest before new ATH?Bitcoin has broken out of its 1-hour ascending channel with a sharp bearish displacement, ending the slow grind higher that had been in place since the 9th of May. That channel served as a controlled environment for accumulation and small trend continuation, but the move we just saw confirms that the phase of balance has shifted into a clear retracement. The displacement candle was strong, clean, and aggressive, closing well outside the lower boundary of the channel and taking out multiple internal lows in the process. This wasn’t a weak break, it showed intent. From a market structure standpoint, this confirms that short-term control has shifted to the downside. That move also left behind a visible Fair Value Gap just above current price, which is likely to act as a draw in the coming sessions. Unless that FVG gets reclaimed impulsively, this looks like the beginning of a deeper retracement. Consolidation Structure Prior to the break, BTC was building liquidity inside a clean ascending channel. The highs kept getting swept by small wicks, which hints at repeated inducement and short-term stop hunts. The final push into the top of the channel marked the last bullish attempt, and price immediately reversed after that sweep. The moment it broke structure with a high-volume bearish candle, the entire channel was invalidated and turned into supply. We now have a clean CISD framework in play, price consolidated inside a channel, created inducement near the highs, triggered a stop hunt into the upper end of the range, and then dropped with strong displacement. That displacement not only broke structure but also left behind an imbalance that has yet to be filled. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios Right now, the short-term bias is bearish. The break of structure is confirmed, the Fair Value Gap is still open, and there is a clear inefficiency left behind. I expect price to revisit that gap and then reject to the downside again. That would complete the FVG retest leg and open the door for a move into deeper zones. The next key area of interest is around the $100,000 mark, slightly below the current trading range. That level holds both technical and psychological weight. It lines up with a previous breakout zone, an unfilled imbalance, and likely a large pool of resting liquidity from retail long stops and institutional bids. If we reach that zone, I’ll be watching for signs of strength to suggest that this pullback was a liquidity grab before the next leg up. If we do get that tap into $100K and price responds with bullish displacement from there, the bullish narrative would be back in play. That could easily form the base for a new impulse toward all-time highs. However, if $100K fails to hold and price pushes through without a significant reaction, then we’re dealing with a larger correction, and I’d expect continuation toward lower inefficiencies. Price Target and Expectations First, I expect a small leg up to fill the Fair Value Gap inside the broken channel structure. That area will act as the first test, and if price shows rejection there, I’m looking for continuation toward the $100,000 to $99,500 region. That zone aligns with a clean 1H imbalance and marks the origin of the last strong bullish expansion. If BTC taps into that deeper imbalance and confirms a reversal with clear bullish intent, the stage will be set for a potential breakout into new all-time highs. That’s where I would expect stronger hands to step in and take control. The longer price holds above that $99k zone, the higher the odds we break past the previous high. But if there’s no reaction and price bleeds through $99K, the bullish structure on the higher timeframes would be compromised, and the move could extend toward the mid-$90K range. Current Stance Short-term bearish, waiting for price to retest the FVG inside the previous channel. That will be the first key area where I expect a reaction. If the rejection confirms, I’ll be watching for signs of continuation into $100K. Not interested in chasing price between levels. I’ll either look to short the FVG retest with confirmation or wait for the deeper tap into the $100K zone to look for a long setup. No trades in the middle, only acting at the extremes where the risk-reward makes sense. Conclusion This setup fits cleanly into a classic displacement narrative. Bitcoin broke out of structure with a high-volume move, left behind an FVG, and is now likely preparing for a short retrace before continuing lower. The $100K zone is the main area to watch — that’s where the next high-probability trade opportunity is likely to develop. If bulls defend that zone and we get bullish confirmation, the path to new highs is still intact. But if $99K fails, I’ll be sidelined and looking for the next major level. The structure is clear, the inefficiencies are visible, and the plan is defined. Now it’s just about waiting for price to do its job. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
70
Mastering the Death cross and Golden cross - How to use it!In this guide I will discuss the Death crosses and Golden crosses. The next subjects will be described: - What SMA to use? - What is a Death cross? - What is a Golden cross - Is a Death cross always bearish and a Golden cross always bullish? - How did the Death crosses and Golden crosses play out this cycle? What SMA to use for Deathcross and Golden cross on the daily timeframe In technical analysis, when identifying Golden Crosses and Death Crosses on the daily timeframe, the most commonly used moving averages are the 50-day and the 200-day simple moving averages (SMA). The 50-day moving average represents the average closing price of an asset over the past 50 trading days and reflects medium-term market trends. The 200-day moving average, on the other hand, represents the average over a longer period and is used to gauge the broader, long-term trend. What is a Deatch cross? A death cross is a bearish technical analysis signal that occurs when a short-term moving average crosses below a long-term moving average. Most commonly, it refers to the 50-day simple moving average crossing below the 200-day simple moving average on a daily price chart. This crossover suggests that recent price momentum is weakening relative to the longer-term trend, which can be an early indication of a potential downtrend or extended period of market weakness. The death cross is often interpreted as a sign of increasing selling pressure and a shift in investor sentiment toward caution or pessimism. While it does not predict immediate declines, it is closely watched because it has historically preceded some significant market downturns. However, like all technical indicators, it is not infallible. Since it is based on past price data, the death cross is a lagging indicator, meaning it often appears after a downward trend has already begun. What is a Golden cross? A golden cross is a bullish technical analysis pattern that signals the potential beginning of a long-term uptrend. It occurs when a short-term moving average, typically the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), crosses above a long-term moving average, most commonly the 200-day SMA, on a daily price chart. This crossover suggests that recent price momentum is strengthening in relation to the longer-term trend, indicating growing investor confidence and increasing buying interest. The golden cross is widely viewed as a positive signal by traders and investors, often marking a shift from a downtrend or consolidation phase to a more sustained upward movement. It reflects a change in market sentiment where shorter-term gains begin to outweigh longer-term losses. Is a Death cross always bearish and a Golden cross always bullish? The death cross is not always a purely bearish signal. While it reflects that price momentum has shifted to the downside, it's important to remember that moving averages are lagging indicators. By the time the crossover occurs, much of the downward move may already be priced in. As a result, it's common to see a relief rally shortly after the signal appears. This bounce can catch traders off guard, especially those who enter short positions expecting immediate continued weakness. On the other hand, the golden cross often sparks a wave of bullish sentiment. Many traders see it as confirmation of a strong uptrend, leading to increased buying pressure. However, just like with the death cross, the lagging nature of the signal means that much of the initial move may have already happened. It's not unusual for the price to stall or even retrace shortly after the crossover, especially if the market has become overextended. In both cases, the market often reacts in a counterintuitive way in the short term, which is why these signals are best used alongside other tools and indicators. How did the Death crosses and Golden crosses play out this cycle? In this cycle, we’ve seen three death crosses and three golden crosses on the daily timeframe, with a fourth golden cross currently in the making. Interestingly, all three of the previous death crosses have not led to sustained downside as many might expect. Instead, each one has marked a local bottom, followed by strong upward movement in the weeks and months that followed. These signals, rather than being a reason for bearishness, turned out to be contrarian indicators. The most recent death cross occurred when Bitcoin was trading around 80k. From there, it managed to rebound impressively, climbing back above 111k, a clear reminder that death crosses, especially in this cycle, have not been reliable signals for further downside. The golden crosses, on the other hand, have behaved a bit differently than usual in this cycle. The first golden cross actually marked a local top, with Bitcoin facing rejection shortly after. During the second golden cross, price action was more neutral, BTC moved sideways for a period before eventually continuing its upward trend. The third golden cross was followed by only a shallow pullback, after which Bitcoin pushed to new all-time highs. Now, we are approaching the formation of the fourth Golden cross. Based on the pattern of past crosses and current market sentiment, a minor pullback could be on the horizon. It’s not guaranteed, but given the level of euphoria in the market right now, some cooling off would not be surprising. Even if a pullback does occur, the larger trend remains intact, and this golden cross may end up reinforcing that momentum. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Education
by Youriverse
7