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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

Sell in May, if you're g....ame to miss out. Bitcoin needs to reach a 60 day cycle high above $90k AND close the next 60 day cycle above ~84k to stand a chance at keeping hopes for a right-translated cycle alive. Failure to do this will make the previous top of $109k look much stronger as the left-translated cycle top and crush many dreams. Even if momentum for a right-translated top stays alive through these targets in the 60 day cycle, most people are delusional calling for highs of $169k - $250k, these expectations are baked in and will likely not be reached--too much complacency on these price targets. If we do see a right-translated cycle top towards November of this year, it's likely the top will be just barely higher than previous ATH and crush many expectations. Many will fail to take profits and will get stuck bag-holding for 4 years.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by herblock
Bitcoin is Approaching a Critical Moment!Bitcoin is testing a potential breakout from a descending wedge that began forming on January 20th. For the bulls to take control, BTC needs to close above $86,831 by the end of Monday, March 24th. A successful break and hold above this level could signal a strong upward move. On the flip side, failure to break out may lead to a drop toward $76,817, a key support level from March 11th. If this support fails, the next significant level to watch is $69,665—a critical resistance Bitcoin overcame last year on November 6th before its prior rally. The next few days will be pivotal for determining BTC’s direction. Stay tuned for the Monday close!
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by LearnCryptology
2
BTCUSD PUUL BACK Double Top Resistance Could Trigger a Reversal The chart assumes a breakout, but a double top is typically a bearish pattern. If price gets rejected at this resistance, it could signal a strong downtrend instead of the projected bullish move. Support Might Not Hold The analysis assumes a bounce from support, but price recently dropped aggressively to that level. If buyers fail to hold, a break below support could push price lower toward $83,200 or even $81,200. Bearish Volume Presence The recent large red candles show strong selling pressure. This could indicate that sellers are in control, and any upward move might just be a bull trap before further downside. Resistance Overhead is Strong The resistance zone around $86,400-$87,200 is a major supply zone. Even if price moves up, sellers could aggressively step in at that level, limiting upside potential.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
2
BTC to 71K as next downward target. Its been a while. The .5 target on the Fibonacci retracement has been hit from the weekly candle on the 3rd of May 2025. The 1.618 would be the next macro target down around 71k if we cannot break back above 90K soon and hold. The untagged golden pocket from the week of Nov 4th 2024 would line up as the next major support area. The 10SMA crossing the 20, rising price on falling volume and RSI looking like it is about to reject at the 50 all support this downward momentum sooner than later. Hopefully this info helps anyone investing or trading manage their finances accordingly. Thanks for your time. Good day, be well and abundance. All glory goes to The Most High.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by smayshsmizz
BITCOIN (BTC/USD): Update & The Thing to WatchTake a look at the price movement of ⚠️BITCOIN, the market is consolidating around a significant daily support level. Analyzing a 4-hour chart, I spotted a descending trend line and a potential inverted head and shoulders pattern. The left shoulder and head have already formed, and the right shoulder is currently in progress. The neckline for this pattern is between 83,600 and 84,488. The trigger to buy BITCOIN will be its bullish breakout (4h candle close above), could signal a buying opportunity for BITCOIN with a target range of 88,000 to 90,000. ⚠️However, if the price drops to a new low, the pattern will no longer be valid.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by linofx1
6
Btcusd to moonThis Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart on a daily timeframe (1D) from Coinbase shows a recent downtrend, with the price currently at $85,749.48, down 1.30%. A potential bullish reversal is suggested with an upward projection toward the $100,000+ range, as indicated by the hand-drawn price path. Key observations: Volume Profile on the Right: Indicates high trading activity around current levels, with less resistance above $90,000. Projected Price Movement: Suggests a breakout from recent lows, a pullback, and then a strong upward move ("BTC to the moon"). Buyer-Seller Levels: The buy price is slightly above the current market price, indicating demand. This analysis suggests bullish momentum, but confirmation through further price action and volume is needed.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
2
BTC : Trendline, Fib, and RSI Divergence—Ready to Break Out?Let’s talk Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on this daily chart—it’s putting on a show! We’ve got a sweet bounce off that trendline, The bounce happened right at the golden Fibonacci extension level, which is spot for a reversal. And check this—the RSI is showing some nice divergence, giving us a solid signal that the bulls might be waking up. This is a strong setup for a new upward wave, but the real confirmation comes if BTC can break through that descending trendline up ahead. If it does, we could be looking at a run toward. Let’s keep our eyes on that breakout—things are getting exciting!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by ALRASHYD_
1
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Bearish Rejection from Supply ZoneThis chart represents a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the daily timeframe, highlighting key levels of resistance, support, and potential price movement. It indicates a bearish rejection from a supply zone, which suggests that BTC may experience further downside pressure. Key Components of the Chart: 📌 1. All-Time High (ATH) + Resistance Zone (~$110,000 - $115,000) This is the highest price level Bitcoin has ever reached on this chart. It acts as a strong resistance zone, meaning sellers are likely to step in if the price approaches this level again. 📌 2. Supply Zone (~$88,000 - $90,000) The supply zone is an area where selling pressure is high. BTC attempted to break above this zone but got rejected, leading to a sharp decline. This rejection confirms that bears are in control, pushing the price downward. 📌 3. Stop Loss (~$95,629) This level represents the point where a bearish trade would be invalidated. If BTC breaks above this level, it could indicate a shift in momentum toward bullish territory. 📌 4. Current Price Action (~$83,444) BTC is currently trading below the supply zone, showing weakness. The recent lower high formation suggests a continuation of the downtrend. 📌 5. Take Profit (TP) Level (~$65,969) This is the target level for a potential bearish move. The $65,969 level has acted as major support in the past, meaning buyers may step in here. If BTC reaches this level, it could either bounce back up or break lower, leading to further downside movement. 📌 6. Major Support Level (~$45,000 - $50,000) If BTC breaks below the $65,969 support, the next major support zone is around $45,000 - $50,000. This area is historically significant and could provide a strong buying opportunity. Trade Plan & Strategy: 🔴 Bearish Bias: The rejection from the supply zone signals a continuation of the downtrend. A short position can be considered if BTC fails to break above the supply zone again. 🎯 Trade Setup: Entry: Around $85,000 - $88,000 (if BTC retests the supply zone and gets rejected again). Stop Loss: Above $95,629 to protect against an unexpected bullish breakout. Take Profit (TP): Around $65,969, targeting the next major support level. Conclusion: BTC is showing signs of a bearish continuation, with strong resistance at the supply zone. A potential move toward $65,969 is likely if selling pressure continues. If BTC breaks below this key level, a further decline toward $45,000 - $50,000 could happen. ⚠️ Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions. 🚀📉
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Bitcoin- I'm looking to re-eter shortIn my BTC analysis last week, I outlined the reasons behind my decision to enter short exit and detailed my expectations for a corrective move. As projected, BTC broke below the $80,000 level. Although my initial downside target at $75,000 has not been fully met, I opted to manually close my short position to secure profits. Currently, I am monitoring price action for a potential re-entry on the short side. From a structural standpoint, after establishing a local low around the $76,500 area, BTC has initiated a corrective bounce. However, this recovery appears weak and corrective in nature — likely unfolding as a bear flag formation, albeit not perfectly defined. My primary short re-entry zone is identified between $85,500 and $87,000, where I expect supply to emerge. As long as price remains capped below that zone, my bearish bias remains intact. I continue to anticipate a move to $75,000, with a potential extension toward the $72,000 technical support zone. This bearish scenario would be invalidated in the event of sustained buying and consolidation above the $90,000 resistance level.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
2
The Fed Cuts Balance Sheet Runoff by 80% - BULLISH!RISK-ON 🚨 I’m seeing so many people incorrectly analyzing the September 2019 emergency repo OMOs, which were short-term liquidity injections from the Fed, and then comparing it to the price of BTC going down, before QE officially started in March 2020 because of the pandemic. Here’s what really happened. September 15, 2019 was a tax deadline, pulling ~$100B out of markets as large corporations paid the IRS and funds flew into the TGA. Meanwhile, the Treasury issued new T-Bills to rebuild cash reserves following the post-debt ceiling resolution in August, draining another $50-100B as big banks and institutions absorbed the securities. During this time, the Fed continued reducing its balance sheet (QT) down to $3.76T, but the balance sheet did not leave enough slack for unexpected cash drains to the system, such as corporate taxes and Treasury issuance. Unfortunately, the Fed was flying blind and did not have a hard number estimate for “ample reserves” in the banking system. These reserves were largely hoarded by a few of the larger banking institutions due to Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) rules and a higher IOER at 2.1% vs the ON RRP rate of 1.7% - a 40 bp spread. This caused a liquidity crisis in the US repo market because bank reserves held at the Fed ($1.36T) were too low and repo lending dried up. Banks weren’t able to access each other’s reserves to fund daily operations. SOUND FAMILIAR !? The US just resolved its CR to avoid a government shutdown, and they will be refilling the TGA by issuing new T-Bills. The reverse repo facility is also nearly drained. Today, we heard the Fed will be reducing its securities runoff from $25B - SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B on April 1st, an 80% adjustment. One of the main drivers is they wanted to get ahead of another 2019-style repo crisis (although they won’t say this), rather than being reactive and having to perform emergency OMOs once again. Now to go back to my original point with people saying the Fed reducing its balance sheet runoff is a big nothingburger based on BTC price action in 2019. BTC dumped because of the repo crisis, NOT because markets needed QE. By early 2020, the liquidity crisis was resolved, and BTC pumped ~45% before the pandemic hit in March and nuked the chart. Proof is in the pudding - just look at the 2017 bull market. QT started in October 2017, and the market ripped until early 2018. The Fed reducing its balance sheet runoff by 80% is definitely a signal of risk-on for educated market participants, as it leaves more reserves in the financial system, which gives banks more liquidity to loan the market. i.e. M2 go up. But keep listening to your favorite large accounts who are all of a sudden macro gurus, what do I know 🤓
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by jonnieking
BTC/USD - Bearish Break & Retest SetupMarket Overview : Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has broken below a key consolidation zone after trading in a range between $90,000 - $108,000 for several weeks. The price is now attempting a retest of the previous support, which has turned into a resistance (supply zone) before a potential continuation to the downside. Chart Pattern & Technical Setup: 📉 Break & Retest Structure: The price has broken below the previous range and is now testing the $87,000 - $91,000 resistance zone. 📉 Lower High Formation: BTC is expected to create a lower high before continuing its downward trend. 📉 Bearish Wave Projection: The chart suggests a zigzag movement, forming successive lower highs and lower lows, targeting $67,399 as the next support level. Trade Setup: Bias: Bearish Entry: Sell limit at $87,000 - $91,000 (Supply Zone) Stop Loss: Above $95,000 (Invalidation Level) Take Profit: $67,399 (Next Key Support) Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias: ✅ Supply Zone Rejection: The resistance area is likely to attract sellers. ✅ Market Structure Shift: A break below the previous range indicates a trend reversal. ✅ Lower High Confirmation: A rejection at resistance will confirm the bearish outlook. Risk Management: Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:3+ Position Sizing: Adjust based on risk tolerance. Alternative Scenario: A break and close above $95,000 would invalidate the bearish setup, signaling a potential bullish continuation. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk properly before entering a trade.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by ForexOptimizer
2 Paths for Bitcoin in this 60-Day CycleThere are two possible scenarios for the rest of this cycle: 1️⃣ Bearish Scenario (Most Likely) Bitcoin hit a cycle low at $78,000 on February 28th. It initially showed strength but quickly reversed, forming a failed cycle. This suggests a lower low is likely before the cycle ends. If holding BTC, the best strategy is to sell at the next 3-day Cycle high (message me if you don’t have access to the Cycle indicators), expected next week. 2️⃣ Bullish Alternative If the recent drop was caused by macro factors rather than natural cycle movement, we could still see a higher high before the cycle ends. The 1-week Cycle (red line) is forming a bottoming pattern, which could indicate upside potential toward $90,000+. How I’m Approaching This Cycle I purchased BTC below the current price and plan to hold through this cycle. My reasoning: We are currently at the bottom of the mid-term trend, and I expect a strong rally in the near future. As mentioned in my previous newsletter, it’s crucial to combine the 60-day cycle with other timeframes: 2-week, 1-week, 3-day, and 1-day cycles all provide additional confirmation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheStrategyMaster
Btcusd trade idea e read caption This chart represents a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe from Coinbase. Here are the key elements of the analysis: 1. Order Block (Green Zone): The green zone represents a significant order block, indicating an area where institutional buying or selling activity previously took place. The price has reacted strongly to this zone, confirming its importance. 2. Entry Point (White Line & Label): The price has broken above the order block, suggesting a bullish entry. This level is marked as an optimal entry zone for a long position. 3. Price Movement & Target Levels (Yellow Arrows): Two yellow arrows suggest that the price is expected to move upwards towards key resistance or profit target zones. 4. Target Levels (Dashed Lines & Blue Labels): $88,000.17 and $90,681.03 are identified as potential profit targets, indicating resistance levels where the price may face selling pressure. 5. Current Price & Trend: Bitcoin is currently trading at $85,511.26, with a 3.40% increase. The strong breakout suggests bullish momentum. 6. Market Volume (Right-Side Volume Profile): The volume profile on the right shows high trading activity around the $84,000 level, which could act as support in case of a pullback. Summary: A breakout above a key order block suggests bullish continuation. Entry is positioned above the breakout. Target levels are set at $88,000 and $90,681. High probability of upward movement based on volume and trend analysis. This analysis suggests a bullish setup with potential gains if the price sustains above the order block and moves toward the target zones.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
1