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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

BTC/USD to 110K this quarter?In what scenario could BTC/USD reach 110,000 this quarter? To achieve this level, Bitcoin needs to stabilize within the 78,000 to 85,000 range while remaining above the crucial 75,000 to 76,000 support zone. A positive sign is that the recent downward movement from the peak of 109,000 has shown signs of exhaustion. Recent short-term price movements indicate that a bottoming process may be underway, suggesting that Bitcoin could start moving higher during the course of this quarter.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Quantific-Solutions
BTCUSD INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 88,000Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 88,000 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 79,000, followed by 76,278 and 74,222. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 91,900, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 95,126, with further resistance at 96,415. Conclusion: The price remains below pivotal level, with 88,000 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TradeNation
Bitcoin Monthly Candle close colour patterns since 2011We got the expected RED March close but it was a close thing. but, this creates better Odds for a continued push to ATH. We have had only 3 occasions when we had a Green Jan, Red Feb, Red March ( arrows) 2 of those went on to an ATH the following Year ! The other one was entering a Bear Market. Of the previous 7 RED March Closes, 5 were followed by a Green April And of those 5, 4 were followed by consecutive Green candles closes for the following Months. As you can see, April, May and June do have more GREEN closes than Red on average but May and June is near 50/50 It could be said that March Candle close was a "Spinning Top", showing in-balance / indecision in the market. This is possibly driven by Macro events. We had a similar situation in 2012 and April was Green, as were the following months. We had 2 other occasions with small Red candle bodies in March, both were Hammer Candles, one inverted, that led to a red April, the other was not and let to a green April. The March close we just had, had a Long Upper Wick. To me, this shows the BEARS had the upper hand, keeping driving down. And thats OK, PA needed to reset but we now need a GREEN April Statistically, April should close Green - We currently have a Score of 8 Green to 5 Red month closes for April. April seems to have opened GREEN and I hope to see it close that colour though we do need Caution Because of the Colour sequence over recent months, there are not many comparisons to use.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTCUSD Potential Breakout and Retest - Key Levels to Watch! Today, we're diving into the BTCUSD Perpetual Contract on Bybit, examining some intriguing technical setups that could hint at Bitcoin's next big move. Strap in as we navigate through critical support/resistance zones and what the Market Cipher B indicator is telling us. Technical Analysis: Current Position: Price: Bitcoin is currently trading around $82,460. Immediate Levels: There are several crucial horizontal levels that have shown significant market reactions in the past. Notably, resistance near $88,686 and support around $80,609. Volume Profile Insights: The visible range volume profile shows high trading activity around the $83,600 mark, indicating it as the Point of Control (POC). This level could play a pivotal role in upcoming sessions, serving as a stiff resistance or support upon retests. Market Cipher B Analysis: The Market Cipher B oscillator is showing increasing momentum, with the most recent wave turning upwards. This could be a precursor to bullish behavior if we see a sustained push above the zero line. Projected Movements: The drawn-out price path suggests a potential rally towards the $92,500 area, followed by a significant pullback. Traders should prepare for volatility and use this projected path to set strategic stop-loss and take-profit points. Strategy: Long Entry: Consider a long position if Bitcoin breaks and holds above the $83,600 POC. Set stop-loss just below $82,460. Short Scenario: If Bitcoin fails to sustain above the POC and breaks below $80,609, a short position could be favorable, with a stop-loss set just above the breakout level. Conclusion: Bitcoin's price is at a crossroads, and the next few days could be crucial for setting the tone in the medium term. Keep an eye on the $83,600 level for significant market decisions and adjust your strategies accordingly. #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketCipher
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by blockchaindomain719
BTC Breakout or Breakdown: 83K to 87K or Bust to 73K?BTC’s standing at a fork in the road, and it’s itching to make a move! If it pushes past 83,121, we’re looking at a smooth jump to 84,600—like a quick win you can almost taste. Keep the good vibes going, and 87,000 might just be the big payoff. But hold up—if it stumbles below 81,300, things could get messy. The bears might crash the party, pulling us down to 80K, then 79,900. And if the slide keeps going? We’re talking 74,700, maybe even a rough landing between 73,600 and 73,000. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade Smarter Live Better
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by Mindbloome-Trading
Bitcoin's Rocky Quarter: Tariffs, Whales, and Volatility Loom Bitcoin's first quarter of 2025 has concluded with a whimper, marking its worst Q1 performance since the tumultuous bear market of 2018.1 While gold has surged to record highs, fueled by geopolitical tensions and US trade tariffs, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain momentum, leaving traders bracing for potential further volatility. This week’s preview reveals a confluence of factors that could significantly impact Bitcoin's price trajectory. A Disappointing First Quarter The initial months of 2025 were anticipated to be a period of growth for Bitcoin, particularly with the anticipation surrounding the halving event. However, the cryptocurrency failed to deliver on these expectations. Instead, it experienced a period of stagnation and even decline, contrasting sharply with the robust performance of traditional safe-haven assets like gold. Several factors contributed to this underwhelming performance. The escalating trade tensions, particularly the US tariffs, have injected uncertainty into global markets, diverting capital towards established safe-haven assets. Tariffs and Trade Tensions: A Persistent Headwind The US imposition of trade tariffs has emerged as a significant headwind for Bitcoin. These tariffs, designed to protect domestic industries, have disrupted global trade flows and created a climate of economic uncertainty.2 Investors, wary of potential market disruptions, have sought refuge in traditional safe-haven assets like gold, which has historically outperformed during periods of economic instability. The impact of these tariffs extends beyond immediate market reactions. They signal a potential shift towards protectionist policies, which could have long-term implications for global trade and investment flows. Bitcoin, often touted as a decentralized and borderless asset, is particularly vulnerable to disruptions in global trade and capital flows. Whale Activity and Market Manipulation Adding to the complexity of the market is the activity of large Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales."3 These entities, possessing significant amounts of Bitcoin, can exert considerable influence on market prices through large buy or sell orders. Recent observations suggest increased whale activity, potentially contributing to the volatility and price fluctuations. Concerns about market manipulation have also resurfaced. The decentralized nature of Bitcoin, while a core strength, also presents challenges in terms of regulation and oversight. This lack of centralized control can create opportunities for manipulation, leading to price swings that are not necessarily reflective of fundamental market dynamics. Bitcoin Bears Tighten Grip: Where’s the Next Support? The recent price action indicates that Bitcoin bears are tightening their grip. The failure to sustain upward momentum has emboldened sellers, leading to a downward trend. Traders are now closely monitoring key support levels, anticipating potential further declines. Identifying these support levels is crucial for understanding the potential trajectory of Bitcoin's price. Technical analysis, using tools like Fibonacci retracement levels and moving averages, can help traders identify potential areas of support where buying pressure may emerge. However, the volatile nature of Bitcoin makes it challenging to predict these levels with certainty. Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Comparative Analysis The stark contrast between gold's recent performance and Bitcoin's struggles has reignited the debate about their respective roles as safe-haven assets. Gold, with its long history and established reputation, has benefited from the current climate of uncertainty. However, Bitcoin proponents argue that its decentralized nature and limited supply make it a superior store of value in the long term. The comparison between the two assets highlights the evolving nature of safe-haven assets and the growing acceptance of digital currencies. The quote "Gold has taken 26 years to 10X. Bitcoin has taken 4 years to 10X" shows the potential for rapid growth, but also its volatility. Looking Ahead: Volatility and Uncertainty The coming week promises to be a period of significant volatility for Bitcoin. Traders should brace for potential price swings, driven by a combination of factors, including: • Continued Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade disputes and potential for further tariffs are likely to continue to impact market sentiment. • Whale Activity: Large buy or sell orders from whales could trigger significant price fluctuations. • Regulatory Developments: Any regulatory announcements or policy changes could have a substantial impact on Bitcoin's price. • Macroeconomic Factors: Inflation data, interest rate decisions, and other macroeconomic indicators will continue to influence investor behavior. • In conclusion, Bitcoin's disappointing first quarter has set the stage for a period of heightened volatility. The confluence of trade tensions, whale activity, and market manipulation creates a challenging environment for traders. While the long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a subject of debate, the immediate future is marked by uncertainty and the need for caution.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTC/USD ...4h pair ...Based on my technical analysis provided, here's a structured breakdown of the BTCUSD scenario and potential trading strategy: --- ### *Key Observations* 1. *Support Level*: - Price is holding *82,000*, a critical support zone. A break below this could invalidate the bullish outlook. 2. *Bullish Divergence*: - *RSI divergence* on H4 and H1 timeframes signals weakening bearish momentum and potential reversal. 3. *Resistance Level*: - Immediate resistance at *82,550*. A confirmed breakout above this level could trigger upward momentum. --- ### *Scenario Analysis* - *Bullish Case*: - *Entry: Break and close above **82,550* (preferably with rising volume for confirmation). - *Targets*: - *TP1: 85,260* (3.3% gain from breakout). - *TP2: 88,005* (6.6% gain from breakout). - *Stop-Loss: Below **82,000* (e.g., *81,500* to account for volatility). - *Bearish Risk*: - Failure to hold *82,000* could lead to further downside. Monitor price action for breakdown signals. --- ### *Strategy Execution* 1. *Confirmation: Wait for a **strong close above 82,550* (H4 candle) to avoid false breakouts. 2. *Risk Management*: - Position size adjusted to risk tolerance (e.g., 1-2% of capital). - Stop-loss placed below support. 3. *Profit-Taking*: - Partial profits at *TP1, trail stop for remaining position toward **TP2*. --- ### *Additional Considerations* - *Volume*: High volume on breakout strengthens validity. - *Market Context*: Monitor broader market trends (e.g., ETF flows, macro news) that may impact Bitcoin. - *Technical Levels*: Watch for intermediate resistances between 82,550 and 85,260 (e.g., 84,000 psychological level). --- *Conclusion*: The setup presents a favorable risk-reward ratio if the resistance breaks. Always validate with price action and adjust stops as the trade progresses.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
1
Bitcoin - Where will Bitcoin go?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin’s downward trend and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again. The continued rise of Bitcoin will also lead to testing of selling transactions from the supply zone. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. Since March 14, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have maintained a positive trend. For seven consecutive days, these ETFs have recorded net capital inflows without any outflows. This marks the first instance in 2025 of such a consistent streak of inflows into Bitcoin ETFs. The assets under management (AUM) of actively managed ETFs in the United States have surged over the past two years, surpassing $1 trillion—a more than threefold increase. This remarkable growth indicates a rising investor interest in strategies beyond index-based funds. Bitcoin had an overall positive week, whereas the S&P 500 and global equity markets suffered declines due to ongoing concerns over tariffs and persistent inflation. The S&P 500 closed the week lower, dropping to $5,580—just 1.2% above its recent low from March 13. Meanwhile, despite experiencing pullbacks, Bitcoin remains 9.3% above its previous low of $77,000, recorded on March 10. Strategy, following its latest acquisition, now holds 2.41% of the total global Bitcoin supply.Given that a significant portion of Bitcoin has either been lost or remains dormant in wallets, this stake represents nearly 4% of the actively circulating supply. About a month and a half ago, Eric Trump, son of former President Donald Trump, tweeted that it was the perfect time to buy Ethereum. Since that tweet, however, Ethereum’s price has dropped by approximately 35%. This highlights the risk of making investment decisions solely based on endorsements from well-known individuals. Trump Media & Technology Group, owned by U.S. President Donald Trump, has announced a partnership with the cryptocurrency exchange Crypto.com to launch a range of exchange-traded products (ETPs) and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This includes a multi-crypto ETF (the first of its kind) and ETPs comprising digital assets and securities from various sectors, including the energy industry. Crypto.com will provide the underlying technology, custodial solutions, and crypto asset management services. In the second half of March, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant rebound, reigniting optimism among traders. However, historical analysis suggests that the crypto market often moves contrary to mainstream expectations. When bullish sentiment—such as the phrase “To the Moon”—becomes widespread on social media, it may signal an impending price drop. Conversely, when negative sentiments like “Crypto is dead” or “Bitcoin is a scam” become dominant, this could indicate a potential price surge. Therefore, investors should pay close attention to market sentiment and exercise caution in their decision-making. Recognizing that markets may move against the prevailing consensus can help in formulating more strategic investment approaches.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
BTCUSDTAccording to this analysis, if the price reaches around $70,000 in a corrective structure with a time-consuming and low momentum in the form of wave F, it may grow to around $120,000 and even higher in the form of wave G. But it seems that the ideal buying point is around $60,000 and the origin of the breakout node. In this case, of course, we will have a strong wave F, which means that we must be a little flexible in the possible targets of wave G. In terms of time, late June, July and early August are the ideal time areas for the end of wave F, and late 2025 and early 2026 are the time areas for the end of the two waves G.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SAJAD_BAZYAR
BTCUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on BTCUSD The price has successfully retested the $75,000 region however to complete the corrective wave we can expect to see BTC drop further to the $70,00 before another round of bullish runs. A BUY trade opportunity is best looked at after the full retest of the $71k and $70k region before I begin to buy Bitcoin However, the SELL opportunity is clear below FWB:65K which can be regarded as 202 extreme dip. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Trade Responsibly! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Adefxc
Bearish Daily Setup - BTC/USD ### **📉 Bearish Daily Setup - BTC/USD** **Bias**: Bearish **Context**: Daily DR (Dealing Range) is broken, and price is rejecting premium level. --- ### 🧠 **Narrative:** Price traded into a daily FVG (Fair Value Gap) near **premium zone**, then formed a lower high. The daily **DR (Dealing Range)** was broken to the downside, showing bearish intent. We also see rejection from a marked supply area (pink zone), confirming seller presence. --- ### 📌 **Entry:** Sell entry around **84,600** (near retest of daily FVG & imbalance zone) --- ### 🎯 **Targets:** - **TP1**: 76,555 (Recent low / liquidity pool) - **TP2**: 74,000 (Clean imbalance area) - **TP3**: 73,383 (Final liquidity draw) --- ### 🛑 **Stop Loss:** Above recent high / supply zone **SL**: 88,762 --- ### 🔢 **RRR**: Approx. **1:4** (Excellent reward-to-risk) --- ### 🧩 **Extra Confluences:** - Daily FVG (imbalance) filled and rejected - Supply zone respected - DR broken - Momentum shifted bearish
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by Asif_Brain_Waves
BTCUSD Short Setup (15min) – Smart Money & Fib RetracementStructure remains bearish with a clear lower high formed after a deep retracement to the 0.786 Fibonacci level, aligned with prior liquidity and premium zone. 🧠 Analysis Highlights: Market structure: Bearish, with BOS to the downside. Price retraced to the 0.786 Fibonacci level (~82,400), signaling a potential exhaustion of buyers. Internal structure shifted bearish after breaking the corrective trendline. Entry idea is based on confirmation below the trendline with a clean R:R setup. 🔻 Trade Plan: Entry: Below 82,200 (confirmation after structure shift) Stop Loss: Above 83,380 (invalidates the short idea) Target: 79,770 (aligned with previous low and 0% Fib) ⏰ Confluences: 0.786 Fib + Previous Supply NY Killzone active – watching for volume + manipulation Internal BOS + Trendline Break Clean liquidity resting below 81,500 and 80,600 ⚠️ Potential Risks: Possible liquidity sweep above 82,600 before final drop. Strong short-term support at 81,250 may cause temporary bounce. Confirm entry during high-volume session (preferably NY open). ✅ Bias: Bearish Let the market confirm the shift – don’t rush in without a proper entry model (like M5 CHoCH or engulfing after mitigation). 📌 Reminder: This is not financial advice – just a structural and fib-based idea within a bearish context.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by hmdnazari76
Why We Are Expecting a Short Position in BTCUSD: Detailed Analys1. Breakout from Consolidation Phase BTCUSD has recently broken out of a prolonged consolidation phase, which is a strong indicator of a potential shift in market sentiment. Consolidation typically occurs when price moves within a narrow range, as buyers and sellers remain in equilibrium. This phase often acts as a buildup for a significant breakout in either direction. Recent Price Action: BTCUSD was trading in a tight range, forming a horizontal consolidation zone with well-defined support and resistance levels. This range was consistently tested, but no decisive movement occurred until the recent downside breakout. Significance of Breakout: The breakout below the consolidation zone signals that the sellers have gained control, leading to an increase in bearish momentum. A decisive breakout from consolidation often results in strong directional movement, favoring the breakout direction. 2. Break of Previous Low – Confirmation of Bearish Trend One of the most compelling reasons to initiate a short position is that BTCUSD has broken below a significant previous low. Previous Low as Support: The prior low acted as a critical support level that was tested multiple times during the consolidation period. When price decisively breaks below this level, it suggests that the support has failed, indicating increased selling pressure. Breakout Confirmation: A confirmed breakout below the previous low typically attracts more sellers and triggers stop-loss orders placed by buyers, leading to a further downward push. This kind of price action is a strong confirmation that the bearish trend is likely to continue. 3. Retest and Better Entry Opportunity Ideal Short Entry: After the initial breakout, BTCUSD may retest the broken support (now acting as resistance), providing an ideal opportunity to enter a short position. Retests often occur when price temporarily pulls back toward the breakout zone, giving latecomers a chance to enter at a better risk-reward ratio. If the retest is rejected near the previous support level (now resistance), it reinforces the validity of the breakout and provides a high-probability short entry. Low Risk, High Reward Setup: Entering after a retest allows placing a stop-loss slightly above the previous support-turned-resistance zone while targeting the next key support level, enhancing the risk-reward ratio. 4. Increased Bearish Momentum and Volume Confirmation Volume Spike on Breakout: A breakout accompanied by high volume further validates the move. Volume often acts as a confirmation that the breakout is genuine and not a false move. The increase in selling volume confirms that more market participants are aligned with the bearish outlook. Momentum Indicators: Momentum indicators like RSI and MACD are showing bearish divergence or have moved below key levels, suggesting that downward momentum is increasing. A break below the consolidation zone with rising bearish momentum adds further conviction to the short trade. 5. Macro and Sentiment Analysis Supporting Bearish Outlook Macroeconomic Factors: Broader market factors, such as increased risk aversion in global markets, regulatory concerns, or bearish sentiment surrounding cryptocurrencies, further strengthen the bearish case. Sentiment Shift: A shift from bullish optimism to bearish sentiment among traders often accelerates the downtrend, as fear takes over and more sell orders flood the market. 🎯 Target and Risk Management Primary Target: Initial target would be the next major support level, which can be identified through historical price levels or Fibonacci extensions. Stop-Loss Placement: Stop-loss should be placed slightly above the retested resistance level to minimize risk in case of a false breakout. ✅ Summary: We are expecting a short position in BTCUSD primarily because: A strong breakout occurred after a prolonged consolidation. Price broke below a key previous low, confirming a bearish trend. A potential retest provides a better entry point with low risk and high reward. Volume and momentum indicators support the continuation of the downtrend. This setup presents an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the bearish momentum in BTCUSD. 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by baladeva