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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

Why the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Indicator will not trigger this cycleIn this post, we’ll take a closer look at the Pi Cycle Indicator and explain why we believe it is unlikely to trigger in this cycle. Instead, we present an alternative signal that may better indicate the true Bitcoin top. Understanding the Pi Cycle Indicator The Pi Cycle Indicator has historically been highly accurate in predicting Bitcoin cycle tops. It consists of two simple moving averages: The 111-day simple moving average (SMA) (blue) The 350-day simple moving average (SMA) multiplied by two (green) A signal is generated when the 111-day SMA crosses above the multiplied 350-day SMA, which is marked by a red vertical line. Why This Signal Alone Isn’t Enough While this signal has been useful in the past, we believe it doesn't provide the full picture—specifically, it doesn’t indicate how strong the crossover is. By transforming this indicator into an oscillator that measures the ratio between these two moving averages, we gain a more nuanced perspective: In the chart, the green line represents the ratio between the two moving averages. When it crosses above the red horizontal line (ratio > 1), a Pi Cycle signal occurs (marked by a red vertical line). Notably, the 2017 signal was significantly stronger than the 2021 signal, suggesting a pattern of diminishing returns. We highly recommend checking out our post on diminishing returns and the overall timeline for the current cycle here . Additionally, we've developed our own Bitcoin model that factors in the effects of diminishing returns. Check it out here . The TRUE cycle top signal The key question is whether this diminishing return is strong enough to prevent a signal from forming in this cycle. Based on our analysis, we believe it is. By extrapolating this trend into the future using a white diagonal trend line, it becomes clear that the ratio will likely remain below 1, meaning no crossover is expected this cycle. Instead, we anticipate that the next Bitcoin top will occur at a ratio of approximately 0.9 , as indicated by the orange area on the chart. In summary, while the Pi Cycle Indicator has been a reliable tool in previous cycles, its diminishing strength suggests that it may not trigger this time. Rather than relying solely on this metric, we suggest considering looking deeper into the true value of this indicator instead.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Cryptonerds
BTCUSD: TSI shows that this is the LAST BEST BUYBitcoin is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 46.997, MACD = 3171.400, ADX = 55.280) as it found support on the 1W MA50 last 3 weeks and is trying to capitalize on this with a bullish reaction. The rebound is closer than ever and in our opinion based on the True Strength Index (TSI), this may be the last best buy opportunity of this Cycle before it tops. The 1W TSI is now on its long term Buy Zone, last time it was there was on the August 5th 2024 bottom. The TSI basically marks bottoms and tops on the last 3 Cycles in particular. More specifically, it makes 5 tops in total, every time it approaches 1.00, it is a signal to sell and wait for it to approach -1.00. We are now as mentioned the closest we've been to -1.00 in 7 months and we came here from Top 4. The Cycle technically has one more Top (5) to give so practically the current levels are the last best buy opportunity of the Cycle. From top-to-bottom, the 2014-2017 Cycle lasted 1470 days, the next one (2018-2021) 1430 days, so if there is a declining rate of 40 days on each passing Cycle, we can start expecting a new Cycle Top by September 2025. The price can be at least 130k be then. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
10
This is a 4-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD)This is a 4-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) showing a key resistance level around $86,527 and a potential bearish move towards lower support zones. Analysis: Price is currently trading near the resistance zone, struggling to break above it. A sell setup is suggested, expecting rejection from resistance. The first target is around $78,500, with an extended downside target at $75,869 and possibly $71,580 if momentum continues. A stop-loss level is placed above resistance at $86,527, indicating a risk management strategy. The overall structure suggests bearish sentiment unless price breaks above resistance. Potential Trading Plan: 📉 Bearish Scenario: Short below resistance confirmation. Targets at $78,500, $75,869, and $71,580. Stop-loss above $86,527. 📈 Bullish Scenario: A break and close above $86,527 could invalidate the bearish setup.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by ForexOptimizer
BTCUSD Analysis StrategyBitcoin prices are currently hovering around $84,000 as the market's bull-bear struggle intensifies. In the short term, Bitcoin remains in a sideways consolidation and base-building phase. Traders are advised to remain nimble and adjust strategies based on the actual breakout direction. Bitcoin Trading Strategy sell @ 87000 buy @ 81500，78500 Finally, I'd like to remind every investor that the cryptocurrency market is inherently highly volatile, and every decision you make may have an impact on your investment returns. you can visit my profile for free strategy updates every day.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by George_Lester
Bitcoin Rebounds Strongly from Key SupportCritical Support Zone: Bitcoin has rebounded sharply from the $80,000-$78,000 support level, which previously served as the breakout zone in late October 2024. This strong reaction suggests significant buying interest and potentially a higher low within the broader uptrend. Healthy Market Correction: After reaching an all-time high of $108,000, Bitcoin experienced a typical bull market retracement of about 30%. The strong bullish engulfing candle at support signals a possible shift back to the upside. Key Levels to Watch: Support: Holding above $80,000-$78,000 is crucial for maintaining the bullish outlook. Immediate Resistance: $88,000-$90,000 range. Upside Target: If bullish momentum continues, Bitcoin could push toward $100,000 in the next phase of its uptrend. With momentum potentially shifting, Bitcoin is at a decisive point—will it reclaim new highs? Stay tuned! 🚀📈 #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #Trading #Bullish #Support #Resistance
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Richtv_official
1
This looks dangerous.,,.The way i looked at the chart and out moved we might see the biggest crash in history. But if the recession really hits then bitcoin could drop all the way down to $10K.. but yes we all had seen this before but this will go worse because or recession increased .. and what is elon and trump is planning? Are they planning to fully crash the whole market ? Also the whales bet over $400M for Bitcoin price to crash.. all the way down to FWB:65K even GETTEX:59K if he gets it right if the recession hits like a bonus then down to $10K. Honestly he could be right.. lets see what happens. But i like the retrace down to $68 thru $65 or maybe $58K corrections and see what happens from there. What do you all think?
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by JoyBoyVegae
Quantum Doom for Bitcoin?Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency known for its promise of a decentralized structure, faces an existential crisis due to advances in quantum computing that threaten its cryptographic foundation. The article "Bitcoin's Imminent Collapse: The Quantum Threat and Cryptographic Vulnerabilities" outlines a convergence of risks – technological breakthroughs, government influence, and market dynamics – that could potentially bring Bitcoin's value to zero. At the heart of the danger lies the SHA-256 algorithm, which secures the Bitcoin blockchain. Quantum computers, such as those from D-Wave, which claimed to have achieved "quantum supremacy" in 2025, may soon be able to reverse the hashing operation, revealing private keys and destabilizing the entire network. This potential breach, known as "Q-Day," could severely damage trust in Bitcoin and lead to a mass exodus of investors. The forecast becomes even more alarming given the mysterious origin of SHA-256, developed by the NSA (U.S. National Security Agency) and standardized by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). The article raises disturbing questions about the possibility that the NSA possesses unknown vulnerabilities or "backdoors" within the algorithm. Past seizures of Bitcoin by the U.S. government, such as the recovery of a hacker's wallet in 2021, suggest an extraordinary ability to bypass its security – perhaps through undisclosed inside knowledge. Meanwhile, NIST's push for post-quantum cryptography (PQC) hints at the impending obsolescence of SHA-256, but Bitcoin's failure to adopt these alternatives critically exposes it. This lack of preparedness increases the risk, as rivals with quantum computers could act before defenses are strengthened. Market signals add another layer of concern. The approval of Bitcoin ETFs in 2023 by financial giants like BlackRock and Vanguard suggests a strategic move where institutional players offload risks onto less experienced retail investors. Combined with repeated government seizures that cast doubt on Bitcoin's anonymity, a scenario is emerging where the cryptocurrency stands on the brink. The conclusion is that Bitcoin's vision of decentralization may not survive this perfect storm – a quantum threat, cryptographic weaknesses, and orchestrated market shifts. For stakeholders, the message is clear: adapt quickly or risk potential collapse.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by UDIS_View
BTCUSDT Upside potentialThe BTC/USDT market is currently consolidating above the 80,000 level after breaking below February's low. Recently, a large weekly doji candle has emerged, signaling ongoing sideways movement. At present, the price remains within this week's trading range. From a broader perspective, price action appears to be narrowing, forming a falling wedge pattern. With the market consolidating just below the downward trendline, a potential breakout above this level could signal further upside momentum. If the price manages to close above last week's high, it could lead to the formation of a solid inverse head and shoulders pattern, reinforcing the possibility of an upward extension. The next key target lies at the resistance zone around 88,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
BTC CONSOLIDATESBitcoin has confirmed a bullish divergence on the daily chart, with price making a lower low while RSI formed a higher low — a classic signal that downward momentum is weakening. However, the follow-through has been weak so far, with Bitcoin now consolidating beneath the key resistance at $85,010. The 200-day moving average (around $83,645) has not provided strong support or resistance in recent days, as price has hovered just above and below it without a decisive move. Volume also remains low, indicating a lack of conviction from buyers despite the bullish divergence. For bulls to regain control, Bitcoin needs to reclaim $85,010 and build upward momentum toward the $91,271 resistance zone. Failure to hold above the 200 MA could lead to a retest of the $77,000–$78,000 support zone or even a drop toward the $73,835 level, which represents the next major structural support. Overall, Bitcoin has shown early signs of bottoming, but bulls need to step in with stronger volume and momentum to confirm a more significant trend reversal.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
March 14 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement It is not visible on the chart screen, but in the analysis article on March 11, I connected today's strategy while maintaining a long position of $79,188 at the long position entry point. Also, there was a recent booster manipulation and the participation rate was low, so I kept the analysis article private for the past few days, but how was the difference compared to other analysis articles? I wonder if you felt the gap in my analysis article. It was not a mistake to make the analysis article public today, but I think it would be good to see it as a small gesture of goodwill because new people supported me yesterday and today. It is currently moving sideways after a slight upward touch, and compared to Tether dominance, I created an aggressive strategy. The important part today is that NASDAQ only needs to move sideways If it crashes or breaks the previous low Be careful because Bitcoin will definitely follow I'll summarize it very simply and briefly. *When the red finger moves Long position strategy 1. 82407.5 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line breaks (It can be pushed up to section 2 at most.) 2. 84965.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target Currently, the top section is roughly the center line of the Bollinger Band daily chart. Rather than touching this section and switching short positions It would be better to try to re-enter after long liquidation. (The mid-term pattern is broken based on Tether Dominance) Today, the second sky blue support line is a safe zone where the upward rebound can be maintained From the bottom section deviation, the next support line is the previous low point section marked below, 77,611 dollars. Up to this point, please use my analysis as a reference only I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you for your hard work this week.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
Bitcoin (BTC): Neckline Secured, Not Attentions at 200EMA.As of now, Bitcoin sellers have secured the zone of neckline where the price is below 200 EMA, and this is our next point of interest. We are keeping an eye on this zone to see who will take over the dominance in that zone. After a successful breakdown from that EMA, we are now experiencing a local re-test, which we intend to be a successful one, where the price will get rejected here and then move to our major support zone, where we expect some big volatility to take place! Swallow Team
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SwallowAcademy
1