BTCUPUSDT trade ideas
BTC Reloading for Breakout — Watching for 1H MSS Flip
BTC has bounced from local support (green zone) and is challenging the descending trendline.
The price is now testing the red resistance zone and the upper boundary of the 1H MSS (market structure shift) box.
Scenario A (Bullish):
— If BTC cleanly breaks the trendline and flips the 1H MSS box into support (with a strong close above), this is a trigger for a scalp long.
— Target for the move is the upper green box/previous high area near $122,000.
Scenario B (Bearish/Invalidation):
— If price is rejected at the red resistance and falls back below the green support box, risk of deeper pullback toward $116,000 increases.
BTC has shown resilience by quickly reclaiming support after a sweep lower, indicating strong demand. The market looks to be reloading for another push, with liquidity building up just below resistance. The setup favors a breakout if NY Open brings momentum. The flip of the 1H MSS box would confirm bullish intent. However, caution if the breakout fails — structure remains choppy and a failed breakout can trap late buyers.
BTC BITCOIN THE BTC 135K ZONE ON the ascending trend line will like happen ,as the structure never lies.
at the moment am looking at a retest into 124k and we either get a double top structure to sell on rejection or we keep buying into 135k and sell from the supply roof of the ascending bullish trendline .
trading is 100% probability ,trade with caution.
ANY KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL .
BTC AI Prediction Dashboard - 6h Price Path (22.07.25)
Prediction made using Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard
Link in bio
BTCUSDT Forecast:
Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard Projects 6h Price Path (Forward-Only)
Forecast timestamp: ~10:15 UTC
Timeframe: 15m
Prediction horizon: 6 hours
Model output:
Central estimate (blue line): -118,624
Represents the AI’s best estimate of BTC’s near-term price direction.
80% confidence band (light blue): 118,260 – 118,867
The light blue zone marks the 80% confidence range — the most likely area for price to close
40% confidence band (dark blue): 117,702 – 119,570
The dark blue zone shows the narrower 40% confidence range, where price is expected to stay with higher concentration
Volume on signal bar: 120.84
This chart shows a short-term Bitcoin price forecast using AI-generated confidence zones.
Candlesticks reflect actual BTC/USDT price action in 15-minute intervals.
This helps visualize expected volatility and potential price zones in the short term.
BTC TRADE PLAN 11/07/2025 - Diamond PatternDear traders,
Technical Analysis of BTCUSDT (Bitcoin/USDT) – July 11, 2025
🕐 Timeframe: 4H
Price has broken above the major resistance at $110,000 and is now trading around $118,000, forming a Diamond Top pattern — a classic reversal formation that may signal an upcoming downtrend or correction.
🔻 Key Highlights:
Major Resistance: $118,000 – current top and potential reversal point.
Key Support: $110,000 – if broken, next targets may lie around $95,000–$100,000.
Diamond Pattern: Typically a bearish reversal signal after a strong uptrend.
RSI Indicator: Currently in overbought territory (above 85), suggesting buyer exhaustion.
📉 Possible Scenario:
Price may reverse from $118,000 -120,000 and test the $110,000 support. A break below that could lead to a deeper correction in the coming weeks.
Regards,
Alireza!
BTC update - July 25 2025After hitting 123,000 zone, Bitcoin has started a downward correction. For the past ten days BTC was mainly showing sideways movement until it crossed below the important support zone of 115,000.
As shown on BTC's chart (on the left), we can expect BTC to continue dropping towards 113,000 zone where there's a midterm trendline and also a fib level. Whether weak or strong, an upward reaction is expected when BTC reaches down there.
BTC CME chart (on the right) also shows there is an unfilled gap located in the 114,380 - 115,635 zone which is most probably going to get filled soon. please note that at the moment BTC CME futures price is about 1,000 dollars more than that of BTC so it is probably safe to assume that 114,000 level on CME Futures chart is equivalent to 113,000 level on BTC's chart.
Volatility Period: July 24-26
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
BTC is in a step up trend.
Looking at the bigger picture, it can be seen that it is in the second step up trend.
The important volatility period in this step-up is expected to be around August 2-5 (up to August 1-6).
Therefore, we need to look at what kind of movement it makes as it passes through the previous volatility period of around July 25 (July 24-26) and around July 31 (July 30-August 1).
In other words, we need to check which section is supported and which section is resisted, and see if it breaks through that section.
What we can see now is that it is checking whether there is support in the 115854.56-119086.64 section, that is, the HA-High ~ DOM (60) section.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart has risen to the 115854.56 point, the key is whether it can receive support at the 115854.56 point and rise.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart and shows resistance, it is likely to meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
This flow is an interpretation of the separation learned when studying the price moving average.
Therefore, we can see that the maximum decline point is when it meets the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
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Industries (coins, tokens) that are renewing the ATH are actually outside the predictable range.
Therefore, we should think of it as a situation where it is not strange whether it falls or rises at any time and think of a response plan.
Since it is currently within the predictable range, we can create a response strategy by checking whether there is support in the 115854.56-119086.64 section.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the volatility period is about to begin, so caution is required when making new transactions.
That is, you need to check whether it breaks out of the 115854.56-119086.64 range during the volatility period that continues until July 26.
And if it breaks out, you need to check whether it is supported or resisted in that area and respond accordingly.
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The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel is showing a pattern of rising above the High Line.
Accordingly, if the OBV indicator is maintained above the High Line, it is expected to show an additional rise.
In accordance with this, you need to check whether the K of the StochRSI indicator shows a movement to rise in the oversold range and a transition to a state where K > D.
You also need to check whether the TC (Trend Check) indicator continues its upward trend and can rise above the 0 point.
If these conditions are met, it is expected that BTC will rise above 119086.64 or show a pattern of rising.
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This decline created a low trend line, creating a perfect rising channel.
Therefore, we need to see how far we can go up along the rising channel created this time.
In that sense, we should pay close attention to the movement during the volatility period around July 25th (July 24-26).
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Bitcoin Technical Setup: Support Holds, Wave 5 in FocusBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) filled the CME Gap($117,255-$116,675) and started to rise, as I expected in my previous idea .
Bitcoin is currently trying to break the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) . In the last week's movement, the price of $118,000 can be considered as one of the most important numbers for Bitcoin , with a lot of trading volume around this price.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has managed to complete the main wave 4 near the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) and Support lines . The structure of the main wave 4 is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) (so far). There is a possibility that the 5th wave will be a truncated wave because the momentum of the main wave 3 is high and Bitcoin may NOT create a new ATH and the main wave 5 will complete below the main wave 3.
I expect Bitcoin to start rising near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($118,277-$118,033) , break the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and reach the targets I have marked on the chart.
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $116,960
CME Gap: $115,060-$114,947
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $121,502-$121,134
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $120,612-$119,783
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $116,810-$115,522
Do you think Bitcoin can create a new ATH again?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTCusdt — Descending Triangle. Preparing for a BTC Breakdown?OKX:BTCUSDT chart (4H) shows a well-defined descending triangle.
Price is being compressed under a descending trendline, and volume is steadily declining — a typical signal of an upcoming strong move.
📉 Downside target: $106,100 – $101,700
🔺 Invalidation: breakout above $119,876
📊 Key levels:
Resistance: $117000 / $113,500
Support: $110,694 / $107,723 / $106,108 / $101,712
⚠️ Pay attention — breakout is likely soon.
_____________________
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Lingrid | BTCUSDT Consolidation Expansion ScenarioBINANCE:BTCUSDT is coiling within a bullish continuation zone after rebounding strongly from the 115,930 support and holding above the blue ascending trendline. Price formed a higher high inside the rising channel, followed by sideways consolidation, suggesting preparation for another bullish leg. The triangle pattern breakout and price stability above the trendline favor upward continuation toward the resistance at 126,500. Momentum remains intact while the structure supports the next breakout push.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Break and hold above 120,000
Buy zone: 117,500–118,200
Target: 126,500
Invalidation: Close below 115,930
💡 Risks
Loss of support at the trendline
Strong rejection near red channel resistance
Weak market sentiment or macro news shocks
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
BTC Liquidity Grab + BounceBitcoin just completed a liquidity sweep below the recent low, grabbing stop-losses before reversing sharply. This move often signals smart money accumulation, as shown by the strong bullish reaction off the demand zone. Aiming for the Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) above $123K. Volume spike and RSI divergence further validate the bullish narrative.
BitcoinBitcoin/TetherUS (BTC/USDT) Trading Analysis - Jul 15, 2025
Key Observations:
Price Movement:
Current Price: $117,692.46
24h Change: -2,148.72 (-1.79%)
Range: Low of $116,250.00 to High of $119,940.83
The price is currently near the lower end of the day's range, indicating bearish pressure.
Support and Resistance:
Support Levels:
Strong Support: $112,000.00 (marked as S/L)
Intermediate Support: $113,500.00 and $110,000.00
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $119,900.00
Higher Resistance: $120,000.00 and $122,500.00
Profit Levels:
The "Profit" section lists potential take-profit targets, with the highest at $135,000.00.
The price has recently dipped below the $120,000.00 psychological level, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
Trend Context:
The chart spans from June to September, but the current price action (July) shows consolidation after a potential pullback from higher levels.
The presence of multiple support levels ($112K–$116K) suggests a critical zone for buyers to defend.
Actionable Insights:
Bearish Short-Term: The price is below key levels ($119,900–$120,000) and has broken below $118,250.00. A retest of support at $112,000.00 is plausible.
Bullish Reversal Signal: If BTC holds above $112,000.00 and reclaims $120,000.00, it could target $122,500.00 or higher.
Risk Management: A break below $112,000.00 (S/L) may trigger further downside toward $110,000.00 or lower.
Conclusion:
The market is currently in a corrective phase. Traders should monitor the $112,000.00 support for potential reversals or breakdowns. A close above $120,000.00 would shift bias to bullish.
Where Could Bitcoin Make Its Cycle Top? Model and ABCD AlignedWith the breakout above resistance around 110,000, Bitcoin’s rally appears to be back on track. If you've been following our crypto analysis, either here or on our website, you’ll know our target range for this bull cycle is between 135,000 and 150,000, with the top of the range possibly extending further depending on the strength of the final wave.
Now, a possible ABCD pattern is forming, with point D potentially landing at either 135,000 or 150,000. A coincidence? Maybe, maybe not.
How Did We Arrive at the 135K–150K Target?
We based this range on historical halving cycle returns:
Halving Year - Return to Cycle Top
2012 - 9,076%
2016 - 2,122% (↓ 4.27x)
2020 - 541% (↓ 3.92x)
Two things stand out:
Each cycle has shown diminishing returns.
The rate of decline appears roughly consistent, dropping by around 4x each time—but slightly less with each cycle.
So depending on the multiplier used:
If returns fall by 4.27x again → target: 135K
If reduced by 4x → target: 140K
If reduced by 3.92x → target: 142K
If the rate of reduction itself slows (difference of 0.35 between 4.27 and 3.92) → target: 150K
While the sample size is too small, we believe the model holds reasonable logic with fundamental backing from various metrics.
The chart now shows a possible ABCD pattern:
If it becomes a classic AB = CD structure, point D could form near 135K.
If it becomes an extended ABCD (with CD = AB × 1.272), then point D could reach just above 150K.
These technical targets align closely with our halving model projections, increasing our confidence in the 135K–150K range as a likely top zone for this cycle.
Also, please check our earlier post for possible altseason start. A correlation between BTC/ETH and Gold/Silver might give some tips about possible Ether surge.
BTC - Consolidation, Manipulation & DistributionMarket Context
After a strong impulsive rally, Bitcoin is currently consolidating just beneath its All-Time High (ATH). This type of consolidation following an extended move higher often indicates indecision in the market — a pause that either leads to continuation or reversal. The current structure suggests that price is building energy for the next leg.
Consolidation and Liquidity Above ATH
The price action is tight and sideways around the ATH, which likely means liquidity is building above. Many stop-losses and breakout orders are sitting just overhead — classic conditions for a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep. This range may serve as a trap for early breakout traders, providing an opportunity for smart money to manipulate price lower before taking it higher.
Fair Value Gap Retest Scenario
Below the current range, we see a Daily Fair Value Gap that aligns with prior bullish imbalances. A move down into this Gap would represent a manipulation phase — shaking out weak longs before rebounding. The Gap also acts as a potential support level where buyers might be waiting. If price reaches into this zone and reacts strongly, it may offer a high-probability long setup.
Distribution or Reaccumulation?
While this could be interpreted as distribution beneath resistance, it’s equally valid to consider it a reaccumulation phase — a temporary markdown into demand before a fresh expansion. If the market dips into the Gap and quickly reclaims the range, it opens the door for a clean breakout above the ATH and continuation toward the 124,000–126,000 region.
Final Thoughts
Price rarely moves in a straight line. It pauses, retraces, and often tricks participants before making the real move. This type of consolidation presents opportunity — but also demands patience and clarity.
If you found this breakdown insightful, a like would be much appreciated! And I’d love to hear your thoughts in the comments — are we about to sweep down into demand, or is the rocket already on the launchpad?
Bitcoin overall: sideways range, new ATH soonMy previous hypothesis of a sharp correction (scenario 3) looks to be incorrect. I believe the most likely corrective structure is a contracting triangle at this point (scenario 1), and the last leg should be bought for new ATH, however, it is also possible we had the last major low for this correction and new ATH are imminent (scenario 2)—which will be on the table if the indicated line gets taken out. In any case, new ATH should occur shortly!
Bitcoin New ATH? A Classic Setup for ExpansionWe've just witnessed a textbook price action sequence unfold. After a period of what I've marked as 'accumulation' (that red box), where price consolidated, we saw exactly what we were looking for: the 'liquidity' below that range (the grey box) has been swept. That yellow bar clearly indicates the 'manipulation' phase, pushing below the perceived support to trap early longs and trigger stop-losses. This move has successfully taken out the easily accessible liquidity.
Now, with that essential 'clean-up' complete and the order books likely reset, the path of least resistance appears to be upwards. Furthermore, if you look down at the RSI, it's currently sitting in a relatively oversold or at least low position, providing additional confluence for a potential bullish move.
My current thesis is that we are now primed for an 'expansion' phase (the green box). The target here, based on this setup, is a retest of the All-Time Highs (ATH) and potentially beyond. We've seen this pattern play out before: accumulation, a liquidity grab/manipulation phase, and then a strong push higher. As always, manage your risk, but the charts are certainly hinting at significant upside potential from here.
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BULLISH Outlook – July 26, 2025The previous idea did touch the average TP price, but showed a rather disappointing rebound, so I will once again attempt to capture the starting point of the rebound. It is still considered that one more upward wave remains.
Accordingly, the TP is suggested at 118,057 USDT.
As always, I will carefully observe how the chart develops over time and update this idea with further explanations by organically integrating its specific interpretations and underlying rationale.
Thank you.
BTC Retracement Loading.....Bullish Bounce Ahead?Bitcoin is showing signs of a short-term pullback after tapping into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, triggering a potential short setup. Price is likely to retrace toward the bullish order block and retracement zone around 105,000–110,000. If that area holds, we could see a strong bounce back toward the 123,000 level.