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BTCUPUSDT trade ideas

BTC , 4hr , BearishBTC is Forming a Pattern and it is at the top of the Another Pattern and It is facing rejection 3 Times from Above and now it is forming another pattern inside and Ready for Break Down of the Pattern , if it breaks the Pattern Down then it will be bearish almost 90% it will move to down side , if it has not given Breakdown and moving inside the small pattern then wait patiently and observe carefully . Then it may also give Breakout for up side . Follow Risk Management Properly Follow for More Swing Ideas Like this .
Short
by mahesh56a
Bitcoin is bullish in world of War or Peace Simple and easy it is like Gold but better version and limited edition one. Both(BTC & XAU) are bullish most of the time because future is not for Paper Tokens like Dollar or Yuan or Ruble or Euro or .. Currency of strong countries seems interesting But soon with more laws and Taxes and Rules against each other Economic which USA start it, more and more Trades and things are going to take place in Crypto where the money is still non Trackable or it is tax free. Also in a world of War as i mentioned in previous Analysis too, more Buys and Sells are going to take place via Crypto instead of countries currency. Some countries Now are buying and selling weapons from their enemies even and it is possible in Crypto which no one judge or find the transactions. interesting things which can not all written here are now need Crypto more than ever. These prices are like a joke and soon maybe with or without some stop loss hunting to the downside and kicking out buyers with leverage market of Crypto will face another Huge gain. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Education
by MMBTtrader
Bitcoin New ATH Targeting $115K–$120KAfter topping out at the previous ATH, Bitcoin formed a classic diamond top pattern which triggered a drop to the $98,115 level. Now, Bitcoin appears to be forming a second diamond — but this time, the breakout structure suggests a bullish reversal rather than a top. This second diamond formation indicates consolidation before a strong upward move, potentially driving BTC toward a new all-time high between $115K and $120K. Watch for confirmation of the breakout. If price holds above key resistance levels post-pattern, the bullish scenario gains strength.
Long
by BartonJohnstone
Delayed Cycle Kicks Off This March? (Chart)🚀📈 Delayed Cycle Kicks Off This March? 🔥💡 March has (almost) arrived, and Bitcoin has officially confirmed $79,478 as major structural support—a critical level that had to be checked before the next move. This aligns perfectly with my previous idea of a delayed cycle playing out. 📌 Long above 79K 📌 Short below 79K 📌 Short-term target: GETTEX:87K+ With this structural support holding, I expect Bitcoin to push toward the next major test: $113,800. This is the all-time trendline, a level of historical significance. 🔑 What happens at 113K? This is where Bitcoin’s fate for this cycle will be decided: ✅ A breakout above 113K could unlock a run to 150K - 200K, a true extension of this cycle. ❌ A terminal rejection at 113K could mark the end of this cycle, signaling a broader correction phase. At the moment, the probabilities lean toward further upside, with an 80% chance of continuation. The 20% downside risk remains for a dip to FWB:65K-66K, but as long as Bitcoin stays above 79K, the bullish thesis remains intact. 💡 March looks strong, and I’m stepping on the gas today. Let’s make it a powerful month! 🚀 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 video:
Long
by FX_Professor
6
Orangeman vs The Federal Reverse: Season 1 (2018–2020)It all started in 2018... 🎬 🧱📈💼 March 21, 2018: Jerome Powell steps in as the new Fed Chair. Almost immediately, the Fed hikes rates from 1.50% to 1.75%, citing a strong U.S. economy. 💬📊🇺🇸 June 13, 2018: Another hike to 2.00%. Powell says the U.S. economy is “in great shape.” But markets? Not so thrilled. 🗣️📉🇺🇸 July 19, 2018: Enter The Orangeman—President Trump publicly attacks the Fed's policy, breaking tradition. He’s “not thrilled” with the hikes. 📉🏦 September 26, 2018: Yet another hike to 2.25%. The Fed stays firm. Trump? Getting louder. ❗😠💬 "I'm not happy with the Fed." – Trump ⚠️📉📉 December 19, 2018: Fourth hike of the year to 2.50%. Markets tank. Rumors swirl: Trump wants Powell gone. 🔥💣👔 Behind the scenes: Trump reportedly explores ways to dismiss Powell. The pressure is on. 📛🇺🇸📉 June 10, 2019: The battle heats up. Trump calls the hikes a “big mistake” and demands rate cuts. ✂️📉📉 July 31, 2019: Powell blinks. The Fed cuts rates by 0.25%—first cut since 2008. Trump tweets: 👎🐦💸 “Powell let us down.” ⬇️📉🔁 September 18, 2019: Second cut. ⚖️🔁🧩 October 30, 2019: Third consecutive cut. The Fed pivots completely. The Orangeman’s influence is undeniable. 🦠🧪📉 March 2020: COVID strikes. The Fed responds with emergency rate cuts. 🌀🧻💸 March 15 & 23, 2020: Rates slashed to near zero. QE infinity unleashed. Powell goes full printer mode. Bitcoin begins to stir... Season 1 closes with markets melting down, a pandemic, and the Fed surrendering to zero rates. But The Orangeman isn’t done... And The Federal Reverse still lurks in the shadows. Next up: tariffs, China, currency wars, and another campaign trail. 🐉💵⚔️ Season 2 is coming. Stay tuned... One tweets. The other tightens. Who controls our future? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
3
Diamond Pattern Context (4H BTC Chart)The structure forming from June 27 to July 8 appears to be a diamond top, a reversal pattern often seen after uptrends. Price expanded (broadening left) and then started converging (right side) — classic diamond symmetry. It has developed right at the macro trendline resistance (~109.5K), increasing its reliability. Volume has declined during the right half of the diamond, which is consistent with pattern expectations. ✅ Implications of Diamond Pattern Bearish Bias (Diamond Top): If price breaks below the lower boundary (~107.8K), it confirms the pattern → potential move to 104.5K–102.5K zone. Measured move ≈ height of pattern (109.8K–106K) ≈ 3.8K drop. Invalidation/Bullish Flip: Break and hold above 109.5K with volume would invalidate the bearish diamond. In that case, it flips into a squeeze breakout with upside to 110.8K–111.5K+. 🎯 Conclusion: The diamond top, combined with macro resistance and declining volume, strengthens the bearish breakdown scenario. However, no confirmation yet — remain neutral to bearish unless either: ✅ Clean breakout >109.5K 🔻 Breakdown <107.8K with volume
by MyTradingJournal6th
BTC Forming Second Diamond: New ATH Targeting $115K–$120KAfter topping out at the previous ATH, Bitcoin formed a classic diamond top pattern which triggered a drop to the $98,115 level. Now, Bitcoin appears to be forming a second diamond — but this time, the breakout structure suggests a bullish reversal rather than a top. This second diamond formation indicates consolidation before a strong upward move, potentially driving BTC toward a new all-time high between $115K and $120K. Watch for confirmation of the breakout. If price holds above key resistance levels post-pattern, the bullish scenario gains strength.
Long
by StoXobr
BTCUSDT 4H Analysis | Apex Decision ZoneStructure & Price Action BTC is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle (red trendlines). Price is squeezing near the apex, suggesting an imminent breakout. Strong defense at ascending channel support (~108K zone) + green trendline. Lower highs indicate sellers still active, but higher lows reflect buyer strength too. Price bounced from previous demand block (green box), now pushing toward resistance. 📊 Indicator Confluence RSI: Curling up from mid-range (~52–55), no divergence, neutral-to-bullish tilt. DMI/ADX: ADX rising slightly, -DI weakening vs +DI → potential trend shift brewing. MACD: Histogram flat; momentum hasn't confirmed either side yet. Wave Trend: Bouncing from mid-line, bullish cross may form if price breaks triangle. Volume: Gradual decline = typical pre-breakout compression. Watch for spike. Stochastic: Flipped bullish from oversold — early bullish bias. 🎯 Summary & Probabilities: BTC is coiling near triangle apex — breakout likely soon. 🔼 Break above 109.4K with volume → 60% chance of move to 110.5K–111.5K. 🔽 Drop below 107.9K → 40% chance of fall to 106.3K–104.4K. Bias: Neutral-to-bullish — confirmation needed.
by MyTradingJournal6th
Is the Fear & Greed Index Becoming a Victim of Its Own Success?I’ve noticed something about the Fear & Greed Index that rarely gets discussed: Its reputation as a “contrarian indicator” may actually dampen market declines. When everyone sees “Extreme Fear” and believes it’s time to buy, the panic doesn’t deepen as it might have in the past—potentially muting major market lows. This creates a feedback loop: The index signals “buy the fear,” Enough traders pile in, The market stabilizes before real capitulation sets in. When a widely-followed counter-indicator becomes common knowledge, it can lose its edge. In today’s markets, these signals may serve more as social safety nets than as true predictors of sentiment extremes. Bottom line: If the “fear” signal stops working, or stops triggering buying, it could be a warning that the market’s safety net is gone. I wonder, is the VIX subject to the same mitigating effect? The Fear & Greed Index has never been truly tested during a long term bear market. But then it may partly be why we have not had one in so long. Would love to hear your thoughts—has anyone else noticed this effect?
by TrTitan
BTCUSDT – Ready to Launch from Accumulation Zone?BTCUSDT is consolidating around the $101,000 FVG zone – a previously strong launchpad. Price structure remains bullish, forming higher lows and showing a healthy throwback pattern. If the $101,448 level holds, the next target could be $116,000 – a potential 14% rally in two weeks. Fundamentals support the upside: expectations of Fed rate cuts and renewed ETF inflows are fueling fresh momentum for Bitcoin. Still, watch for price action confirmation – and always manage your risk!
Long
by Rocky_trade_
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-07-07 11:30 UTC📊 BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-07-07 11:30 UTC 🕒 Binance Spot 📆 July 7, 2025 | 11:30 GMT Candle Observations ─────────────── 💡 Price: 108712.97 USDT 📉 EMA200 (Dynamic): 108938.31 🟩 Support Watch: 107512.97 🟦 Resistance Target: 109782.97 ─────────────── 🔍 We're observing price action developing below EMA200, with a recent Piercing Line formation at a noted dip zone. This setup may suggest buyers are attempting to reclaim short-term control. ⚠️ Key tactical support remains near 107512.97, where historical reaction zones and liquidity zones intersect. 📈 A move toward 109782.97 is being monitored as a potential resistance test, in line with local OBV divergence and recovering bid pressure. 📌 Market Microstructure Notes: • Order Book Imbalance leaning toward bids (+0.45) • OBV Trend: +10.17% vs 5-period MA • Thunder Engine Volume Acceleration: ⚡ Observed • Whale Ask Cluster: ~640k USDT near top of range 📉 No guarantees of breakout or reversal watching how price reacts around key levels. Maintain cautious positioning near support/resistance pivots.
Long
by CryptoSignalsChannel
Bitcoin: The night before the plunge? →104,000? Bitcoin fell under pressure from highs, with short-term bearishness but strong long-term fundamental support. 1. Market fundamentals Institutional holdings continue to grow BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) exceeds $72 billion in size, dominating the market MicroStrategy holdings increased to 597,000 BTC (about $63 billion), continuing to increase holdings on dips Global Bitcoin ETF Net inflow of $4 billion in June shows strong demand for institutional allocation Policy and regulatory progress The U.S. Treasury Department plans to include Bitcoin in the "strategic reserve assets" to enhance its legal status The SEC will make a ruling on spot ETF option transactions on July 15, which may bring new liquidity The Trump administration plans to impose a 60% tariff on China, and market risk aversion may heat up again On-chain data changes A 14-year dormant address recently transferred 80,009 BTC (about $8.69 billion), triggering concerns about selling The lightning network capacity exceeded 5,000 BTC, and Tether (USDT) completed the lightning network integration II. Technical depth Degree analysis (1) Medium-term trend structure (4-hour level) Rising channel break: After the price peaked at $112,000, it continued to fall below the rising trend line support Range oscillation formation: Currently, $98,000-110,700 constitutes the main trading range, and the middle track support is $104,000 Volume change: The recent decline is accompanied by an increase in trading volume, indicating that the short-term momentum is increasing (2) Short-term trading signals (1-hour level) Double top pattern confirmation: $110,700 was tested twice without breaking, forming a typical reversal structure Moving average system short arrangement: EMA5/10/30 formed a death cross, suppressing price rebound Key support level: ▶ First support: $106,500 (Fibonacci 38.2%) ▶ Second support: $104,000 (psychological barrier + previous low) ▶ Strong support: $98,000 (lower track of the range) III. Trading strategy suggestions 1. Aggressive short position layout Entry range: $109,000-109,500 Stop loss setting: $111,000 (above the previous high) Target: $106,500→$104,000 Technical basis: downward trend line suppression + RSI top divergence 2. Steady retracement of short positions Entry signal: 108,000-108,500 rebound encountered resistance Stop loss setting: $110,000 integer barrier Target: $104,000 (break down to see 98,000) 3. Long defense area Key observation position: 104,000 US dollars (if there is a large volume to stop the decline, you can try long with a light position) Breakthrough signal: Stabilizing 110,700 US dollars will restart the upward trend IV. Multi-dimensional market outlook Short-term (1-2 weeks): Affected by technical suppression and whale movements, it is expected to maintain 104,000-110,700 range fluctuations Focus on the effectiveness of 106,500 support, breaking down will accelerate the test of the lower track of the range Medium-term (Q3 quarter): Institutional continued holdings + Fed rate cut expectations constitute long-term support If it breaks through 112,000 US dollars, it will open up to 120,000-125,000 upside space Risk warning: The SEC option trading ruling on July 15 may cause violent fluctuations Global macroeconomic data (especially CPI) will affect market risk preferences V. Professional trading suggestions ▶ Currently, the "rebound short" strategy is preferred, and stop loss is strictly set ▶ Long-term investors can arrange in batches in the range of 98000-104000 ▶ Pay close attention to: Daily ETF fund flows, changes in on-chain whale addresses (glassnode alert system), US CPI data (released on July 12) Conclusion: Although the short-term technical side is bearish, the long-term fundamental support of Bitcoin remains solid. It is recommended that traders seize the opportunity of range fluctuations, operate flexibly at key support/resistance levels, and wait for new trend signals to be confirmed.
Short
by Crypto_Sniper_btc
How to Trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)\ How to Trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)\ \ This article explores the foundation, key tools, and practical insights of Smart Money Concepts — and why it’s worth your attention.\ In today's fast-changing financial landscape, Smart Money Concepts (SMC) has become a popular strategy among modern traders. But what is SMC exactly, and how can it improve your trading decisions? This article breaks it down in a simple, professional way for traders at all levels. --- \ What Are Smart Money Concepts?\ SMC is a trading approach based on the belief that large institutions ("smart money") like banks and hedge funds control most of the market's movements. These institutions often move the market in ways that confuse or trap retail traders. The goal of SMC is to understand and follow the footsteps of these big players. Instead of relying on simple patterns or indicators, SMC focuses on: \ - Market structure\ \ - Supply and demand zones\ \ - Liquidity pools\ By aligning your trades with the behavior of smart money, you can position yourself more strategically in the market. --- \ Key SMC Concepts Explained\ \ Order Blocks\ Order blocks are zones on the chart where large institutions have placed significant buy or sell orders. These zones often lead to strong price reactions and act as hidden support or resistance levels. Order blocks are considered more precise than traditional supply and demand areas. Example: () \ Fair Value Gap (FVG)\ A Fair Value Gap occurs when price moves sharply in one direction, leaving a gap or imbalance in the price action. These areas often get filled later and can act as magnets for price. In a bearish move, the FVG is the gap between the low of the previous candle and the high of the next one. In a bullish move, it's the reverse. Example: () \ Timeframe Consideration\ If you can’t monitor charts during the day, avoid relying on 5–30 minute setups. Consider 4H or daily timeframes for clearer signals and more manageable trading decisions. \ Liquidity\ Liquidity refers to price zones where lots of pending orders exist. These are usually at obvious highs, lows, or trendlines. Smart money often targets these areas to trigger stop-losses and generate movement. One common tool to identify liquidity is a "pivot point," which is a candle with a lower low or higher high than its neighbors. Example: () \ Break of Structure (BOS)\ BOS occurs when price breaks above or below a previous high or low, signaling a possible trend continuation. Example: () \ Change of Character (ChoCH)\ ChoCH happens when the market changes direction. For example, if price breaks a higher low in an uptrend, it may signal a reversal. Example: () Combined with BOS: () --- \ How SMC Compares to Wyckoff\ The idea of "smart money" isn't new. Richard D. Wyckoff, a pioneer in technical analysis, laid the foundation for understanding market cycles driven by institutions. His price cycle theory includes four phases: \ 1. Accumulation\ Smart money buys while the public is unaware. \ 2. Markup\ Price rises as smart money pushes the market. \ 3. Distribution\ Smart money sells into public buying. \ 4. Markdown\ Price falls as the cycle completes. SMC borrows from this logic but focuses more on structure and liquidity zones. Still, the core idea is the same: understand what big players are doing, and follow them. \ For deeper insights into Wyckoff, explore additional resources focused on accumulation/distribution cycles.\ --- \ Summary\ Smart Money Concepts give traders a deeper look into market mechanics. By focusing on order blocks, fair value gaps, liquidity, and structure breaks, SMC helps identify high-probability trade setups based on institutional behavior. It may seem complex at first, but once you understand the basics, SMC can become a powerful tool in your trading strategy. Whether you’re new or experienced, aligning with smart money can improve your edge in the market.
Education
by Midas_Indicator_US_Official
BTC Daily Chart Analysis Trend: BTC is currently trading within a short-term descending channel. Strong Resistance: Zone around $110k–112k, multiple failed retests observed. Key Support: Around $105k (Ichimoku Cloud upper edge & recent local bottom). RSI: Clear bearish divergence indicating weakening bullish momentum. Elliott Wave: Completed 5-wave impulse from $75k up to $112k, now correcting (likely waves 4-5 within the descending channel). Fibonacci: Breakout above $110k targets approximately $117k (1.414 Fib extension). Failure to break may lead price back down toward $102k. Probability: Bullish scenario (35%): Clear breakout above $112k, targeting $117k. Bearish scenario (65%): Rejection at $112k, potential retest toward $105k → $102k. ⚠️ Recommendation: Closely watch the $110k zone. If BTC fails to clearly breakout, consider defensive actions (reducing position size, risk management).
Short
by Lupinut
BTC Forming Higher Highs & Lows | Watch the Wedge Breakout📈 BTC Forming Higher Highs & Lows | Watch the Wedge Breakout 📉 In the uptrend that started around $100K, Bitcoin is forming higher highs and higher lows on the 4H timeframe, which is in line with Dow Theory. Based on the orange lines I’ve drawn, it seems we are moving inside a rising wedge pattern. 🟠 Key Observations: Breakout from either side of the wedge can trigger a trade, but I personally won’t enter based solely on the wedge. If BTC breaks upwards, I’ll hold my existing long, not looking to short — because the mid and long-term trend is still bullish. 📌 New Trigger Level: The previously important level of $110,246.8 is now less relevant for me. The market has already rejected from $109,953.16, so that’s my new key level. 👉 I’ve placed a stop-buy order at $109,953.16 based on the 1H chart. 💣 Short Liquidation Zone (Updated): Now ranges between $110,640 to $111,320 If you're looking to trade momentum: RSI above 70 on 4H, or Above 76.23 on 1H = potential trigger for long entries 👉 I'm planning to open a long position above $109,953.16 using a stop-buy order, with the help of the order book in the exchange. ⚠️ Currently, I don’t have a high-confidence stop-loss level — I’ll update as I see clearer price action. 🧠 Pro Tip: Do everything you can to catch a BTC long position. If you understand risk management and position sizing, don’t be afraid of stop-losses — they’re part of the game. If you're unsure what proper risk/money management is, go learn it now, or you will definitely get liquidated someday.
Long
by CRYPTO_HUUNTER