BTCUPUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin Bear Market Scenario: $52.5K → $75K → $30K – Possible?Bitcoin's high volatility makes such price movements entirely plausible. Historically, the cryptocurrency has experienced sharp corrections and rebounds, as seen during the 2017 and 2021 market cycles. A drop to $52.5K could result from panic selling or bearish sentiment, potentially followed by a relief rally to $75K driven by renewed buying interest. However, broader economic pressures, such as high interest rates, regulatory uncertainty, or a risk-off environment, could lead to another steep decline to $30K.
Technical factors also support this scenario, as breaking key support and resistance levels often triggers momentum-driven price moves. Additionally, unforeseen black swan events, such as regulatory crackdowns or geopolitical crises, could amplify these shifts. While this scenario is speculative, it highlights the importance of risk management and strategic planning when trading in such volatile markets. What are your thoughts on this potential price path? Share your insights below! 🚀📉
Daily Market Outlook: BTC & Forex Setups (#1)From today, I’ll be sharing daily BTC & Forex market breakdowns, covering key levels, potential trade setups, and insights into market psychology. These won’t just be standard analyses—I’ll also include the setups I personally take and why.
Let’s get straight into today’s breakdown. 🔥
📌 BTC Daily & 4H Analysis
BTC has held the $95K support zone well, but volume remains extremely low. The doji candles forming on the daily indicate market indecision and lack of strong buying or selling pressure.
📊 Key Takeaways:
Order books are thin, meaning any slight increase in volume could trigger a sharp, volatile move.
I’m favoring long positions, as they align with the higher timeframe trend.
Key Levels to Watch:
🎯 High-Risk Entry: $98,506 – Offers high R/R and a chance to hold the trade longer toward a potential breakout of $107K.
✅ Safer 4H Entry: $106K – More conservative but ensures confirmation.
Major Daily Breakout Trigger: $108,660 – Expect high momentum, so it’s better to anticipate the move rather than react late.
📌 DXY Analysis – Key to Forex Market Movement
The Dollar Index (DXY) remains in a major uptrend, but momentum is weakening, making its movement more uncertain.
📊 Key Levels:
If 107.288 - 107.443 fails as support, expect a deeper correction.
Otherwise, DXY remains bullish, which could pressure risk assets.
📌 GBP/CHF 4H – Breakout Play
GBP/CHF is currently ranging on the daily timeframe, but on 4H, we have a clear range box.
📊 Potential Trade Setups:
Long above 1.13121 🎯 – If resistance breaks, target higher levels.
Short below 1.12326 🔻 – If support fails, expect further downside.
Bias: Since the previous fake breakdown failed, I see a bullish breakout as the more likely scenario.
📌 JP225 – Channel Uptrend Setup
JP225 is trending within an ascending channel and recently faked a breakdown before reclaiming higher levels.
📊 Trade Plan:
Breakout of 38,949 → Go long if confirmed.
Major Risk Event: US Inflation Data (Wednesday) – Could bring major volatility, so trade with caution.
📌 Market is in a decision-making phase—don’t FOMO, wait for confirmation.
📌 Wednesday’s CPI data could be a key volatility trigger.
📌 Stick to your trading plan & manage risk properly.
🔔 See you tomorrow for the next breakdown! Stay sharp.
BTC / USDT : Breaking out from Trendline resistance BTC/USDT: Breaking Out from Trendline Resistance – Is the Next Bullish Rally Here?
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is making a strong move 📈 as it successfully breaks above a key trendline resistance zone 📊. After a period of consolidation, BTC is now showing signs of strength, potentially setting the stage for a major bullish rally 💥. If the breakout holds, we could witness a strong upside move in the coming days 🚀. Keep an eye on this breakout and wait for confirmation before making any decisions.
Key Insights:
1️⃣ Trendline Breakout: Bitcoin has finally cleared a critical trendline that has acted as strong resistance in previous attempts. Holding above this level could trigger significant bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Volume Confirmation: A surge in trading volume alongside the breakout will be a key confirmation of strong buying interest 🔥.
3️⃣ Bullish Momentum: Indicators like RSI and MACD are turning positive ⚡, signaling increasing bullish strength.
How to Confirm the Breakout:
✔ Candle Close: Look for a clear 4H or daily candle closing above the trendline 📍.
✔ Volume Surge: A noticeable increase in volume adds confidence to the breakout 📊.
✔ Retest as Support: If BTC successfully retests the broken resistance as a new support zone, it strengthens the breakout ✅.
✔ Beware of Fakeouts: Sharp reversals or long wicks above the trendline could indicate a false breakout ⚠️.
Risk Management Strategies:
🔒 Set stop-loss orders to manage downside risk.
🎯 Adjust position sizing to fit your overall trading strategy.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) before making investment decisions 🔍.
BTC BUY STOP OrderBTC/USDT Analysis 🟢 | 30m Timeframe
🔹 The price is approaching the key range high zone. If a valid breakout and confirmation above this level occur, the probability of reaching 100,493 USDT will increase.
🔹 If the breakout fails and a candle closes below 50% of the range, a correction toward the range low may follow.
🔹 Possible scenarios are illustrated on the chart.
📊 What’s your opinion on this analysis? 👇 #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading
$76,000 before next buyI'm strongly expecting a drawback to around $76,000 with price meeting the cost of mining before the next strong bullish push in the market.
The Last Squeeze Before The Bull-Market: Bitcoin 2025If too many people go SHORT, the market will break-up producing a SHORT-squeeze.
If too many people go LONG, the market will break-down producing a LONG-squeeze.
How to avoid getting caught in this situation?
We are still in a sideways market, Bitcoin is going nowhere. And the market is ready to break down or up. We are going up, but the short-term can always be mixed and the market can easily adapt. How to avoid getting caught?
Use low leverage until the start of the next move, that being late February or early March. At this point, the next direction will be in and confirmed and this is up. But, when the market is sideways, anything goes.
We are bullish though and we are already in, but we are using low leverage until the next move is in and confirmed. Make sense?
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
This is a friendly reminder and does not apply to everybody. Trade safe.
Thank you for reading.
I am the Master of the charts.
Namaste.
Bitcoin (BTC): Looking For $70K (Correction) - Are We Crazy?Now before we get into the details, bear in mind markets are in a mess, and we trade based on the current market structure.
Yes, we've been talking about this zone for quite some time and while it might not happen, we are still aiming to see a bigger drop, which realistically would reach at least $82-$85K.
Why do we put $70 as our major target? Well, during those volatile times, there can happen huge wicks (like we had on ETH recently).
So, we are not yet ready to see a bullish movement for the coin and we are going to switch to a bullish view only once we see a proper breakout from current ATHs. Meanwhile, we are looking for a drop—markets are too weak, and the economy is in chaos...
Swallow Team
SELL SETUP IN BTCUSDCurrently Trading at 96000 , sell On rise Till 98047 For The target 87500
Overvalued asset , Need some Dip Now
Setup Will fail if Breaks 99600
BTCUSD Swing Analysis Hello Traders
Swing Structure is Bullish on HTF
Price made a retracement to form a HL, on a HTF-POI and resulted into a MSS which is more clear on internal structure.
Internal Structure is Bullish
After the recent bullish BOS, I was able to identify Discounted prices for possible long positions targeting the newly created swing high.
Detailed (Focusing on recent price action, Price has reacted to LTF POI identified and now I am waiting for MSS and a pull back to the market LTF-POI targeting the most recent internal swing high)
BITCOIN AT A CONSOLIDATION STAGEThe current direction of Btc is in consolidation phase or the resting phase, we will have a directional move when it breaks either of the swing high or the swing low, But i'm looking at taking a short trade on it within the range. Lets see what price movement will do.
BTCUSDT: Bullish Trend (AB=CD Pattern)BTC is moving uptrend and currently its forming AB=CD Pattern without any bearish trend and fundamental base BTC is also bullish trend So we will wait for the break of the previous HHs for the confirmation of the Bullish trend so we will take a long trade with proper Risk Management.
WORK OF ART ON BTC !there is a very nice reactions on #BTC chart and the VWAP indicator !
the price is exacly reacting to VWAP bonds and made lots of positions for us now the market owns the whole liq for a big rise so its obvious that after a small fall it will rise to the higher targets
BTC UPDATE !!!As for BTC update, it seems like we have completed the correction of wave 2.
If that cleared, then we can see major move up to 115k and then 130k.
Until then green box marked is the region for wave 2.
Invalidation of count is marked at below 91k.
Bitcoin (BTC) – Current Market OverviewConsolidation Range:
Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a well-defined range between $92,000 and $108,000, with significant support holding above the $90,000 mark. This range presents trading opportunities for both buyers and sellers depending on market conditions.
The $92,000 support level is particularly important, as it provides a base for the price to hold above and indicates strong demand. As long as BTC remains above this level, the bullish outlook stays intact.
Market Dynamics & Volatility:
Recent selling pressure has caused some downward movement, but the price staying above $90,000 suggests that buyers are still in control, which supports a bullish thesis.
The market’s decreasing volatility indicates that Bitcoin is likely building momentum for a major move, with the current phase acting as a consolidation or accumulation period. This narrowing range could lead to a significant breakout once the price shifts direction.
Key Levels:
Resistance: The $108,000 level is a crucial resistance point. A breakout above this level could send Bitcoin on a bullish rally toward $124,000, as the price would be clearing a key area of selling pressure.
Support: The $92,000 support remains vital. A sustained drop below this level would put significant pressure on the bullish case, and further downside could challenge the current market structure.
Outlook:
Bitcoin appears to be coiling for a major move, with the market likely preparing for a breakout in either direction. A break above $108,000 could lead to further upside toward $124,000, while a drop below $92,000 would raise concerns about potential bearish action.
Conclusion:
Consolidation around the $92,000 to $108,000 range is providing an opportunity for Bitcoin to build momentum, with buyers maintaining control for now. A breakout above $108,000 would potentially push Bitcoin towards $124,000, but careful monitoring of the $92,000 support is key for maintaining the bullish outlook.
Stay patient!You should patiently wait for US inflation data this Wednesday @ 1:30 pm ET before making your next move.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH have had stable weeks, whilst most altcoins have just bled continuously.
The inflation print this Wednesday will influence the Fed's next interest rate decision and, more importantly, its stance on Quantitative Tightening vs. Quantitative Easing.
If the FED ends Quantitative Tightening, this is very bullish because it suggests they will soon start Quantitative Easing.
QE will be great for altcoins as it will increase the liquidity available and bid up lower caps and also coincide with CRYPTOCAP:BTC Dominance having a blowoff top last week.
So stay patient better days may be coming!
Why Bull Market Is Not Over For Bitcoin BTC?Hello, Skyrexians!
Recently we have see the drop on BINANCE:BTCUSDT to $91k. We can't understand why it caused so much fear and negative in crypto communities. This is still next to ATH but fear and greed index dropped into the fear territory. This is great sign for bull run continuation and now we will explain you this statement with the technical analysis.
Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. Before December we had a great probability
that anticipated growth from $50k to $100k could be the final wave 5 of the bear market, but price action has broken the potential Awesome Oscillator's bearish divergence. It gives us the confidence that this move was just the wave 1 in wave 3. It means that the most impulsive growth ahead. The minimal target is 1.61 Fibonacci at $140k, maximal at $200k. We believe more in $200k, but watch out our updates because targets can be recalculated.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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Scalping Trade Setup (Short) - Bearish Bias✅ Entry: $96,000 - $96,200 (If price retests this area)
🎯 Take Profit (TP): $95,400 - $95,500
❌ Stop Loss (SL): $96,500
📊
Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 ✅
🔹 Reasoning:
Price is breaking down from support around $96,000.
Ichimoku Cloud is bearish.
A retest of $96,000 before further downside is likely.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Monitoring BTC for good entryI look forward to a bullish week. Therefore, my simple thought is finding my entry below the weekly open. Let that sink. It is a simple yet very effective strategy if my bias of a bullish week ahead is right. Otherwise I will need to adjust to market conditions and switch to a ranging or bearish. We'll see
BTC/USDT 1H: Bearish Structure – Targeting Lower Levels?BTC/USDT 1H: Analysis
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Currect Market structure:
Price: $96,034, breaking below recent range support, signaling a short-term bearish trend.
RSI: Showing potential hidden bearish divergence at 40.85.
Smart Money Concepts: Indicating a distribution phase with lower highs.
Trade Setup:
Position: Short
Entry Zone: $96,800 - $97,000 (premium zone).
Targets:
T1: $95,500
T2: $94,200
Stop Loss: Above $97,600 (recent high).
Risk Score: 7/10
Reasoning: The risk-to-reward is favorable, but the price could still show some choppy action before confirming further downside.
Market Maker Analysis:
Accumulation: Seen around the $94,000 - $93,000 zone.
Current Phase: Distribution phase suggests more downside is likely after the current consolidation.
Price Action: Expect choppy movement between $95,500 and $97,000.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $97,000, $98,500
Support: $95,500, $94,000
Fair Value Gap: $95,800 - $96,200
Recommendation:
Position: Short positions are favorable after a rejection at resistance levels.
Confirmation: Wait for rejection at the $97,000 level before entering the short.
Action: Structure suggests downside after the current consolidation phase, so prepare for more bearish momentum.
Confidence Level: 7.5/10 – D
istribution phase visible, but waiting for confirmation at resistance.
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BTCUSDT BUY ENTRY OPPORTUNITYBTCUSD ranging down while still maintaining the equal lows with liquidity sweep am only looking outs for second leg down to complete the pattern double bottom for a buying entry opportunity and holding till breakouts and retest for 98k levels
Silence before the storm?Bitcoin made a sharp recovery above 100K, hitting a brief high of 102,500. But with BTC holding steady below the 100K mark now, the real question is—are we going down more?
We’ve seen support around 93.7K, but does it hold? If BTC fails to stay above 100K, we could see more downside ahead, with the risk of a deeper pullback.
Is this the calm before the storm, or are we about to witness another trap for the bulls?
And what’s going on with altcoins like TRUMP coin? Could it be a flash in the pan, or are we seeing something bigger brewing?
The market feels like it's teetering. Stay alert, and let’s watch this play out!
Good luck, traders!
MAJOR SWING LIKE PLAYS!In today's session, we’ll analyze Bitcoin from a top-down perspective and assess the data to identify potential trade opportunities. 📉📈
📌 Key Approach:
Until Bitcoin breaks out of its current range, we will:
✅ Focus on long trades from discounted (lower) prices.
✅ Look for short trades from premium (higher) prices.
✅ Monitor internal structure for trade confirmations.
🔄 Trade Confirmations:
🔹 Bullish Setup: We want to see a shift from lower highs and lower lows to higher highs and higher lows before entering a long position.
🔹 Bearish Setup: We look for the opposite— a transition from higher highs and higher lows to lower highs and lower lows before shorting.
🛑 Beginner Tip: If you're new to trading, wait for a clear 10-minute or higher structure shift before considering a trade. This helps reduce false signals and improves entry accuracy. ⏳✅
