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BTCUPUSDT trade ideas

Is the Market Setting You Up? My BTC Manipulation TheoryEveryone’s hyped about BTC’s run — but is this rally legit, or just another carefully staged trap? Let’s break it down… BTC, as well as other cryptocurrencies, have been performing well lately — but the big question remains: “Is this manipulation?” Well, here’s my take. Whenever a piece of news drops — whether it’s from regulators, governments, or financial figures — it affects crypto prices, positively or negatively. The Trump and Fed saga might be playing a part here, but I believe our collective participation has also fueled the price movement. Now with institutions stepping into our space, there’s a new problem. Now to business. On the chart, I’ve outlined key routes and zones from the weekly down to the 4H timeframe to help answer this question. On the weekly timeframe, BTC fought hard and bounced off an area of imbalance. During this HTF rebalancing, it created a strong sell-side liquidity area on the 4H timeframe. There was also a period of consolidation — which shouldn’t be ignored, because it holds clues to our big question. After this accumulation phase (which happens on all zones, because time is fractal), BTC took liquidity to the upside — making what I believe is a manipulative move. Now, on the 4H chart, you’ll notice a sort of rebalance happening. It’ll most likely drop down to the TSE:RE zone I marked, to hit stop-losses set by the bulls, tricking people into thinking we’ve gone bearish — only to trap them again before distribution occurs (you might lose it at this point, lol). So — we’ve identified potential market manipulation. If this theory holds, where might distribution take place? I’ve marked out possible areas, and it’s most likely within the $93k - $99k region. Why? These zones hold a significant chunk of pending orders. BTC hitting $99k will get everyone thinking the bears are finished — perfect for a trap. NB: Don’t expect this all to happen in a day or a week… lol. Disclaimer: This isn’t financial advice — just my observation. Hope it was easy enough to follow. LEAVE A FOLLOW AND A BOOST!
by earthtraderx
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Compression Before the Next Major Move?Bitcoin continues to consolidate within a critical range, trading between clearly defined support and resistance zones over the past week. Price action remains "trapped" within this structure, akin to a market equilibrium phase, with neither bulls nor bears taking decisive control. Currently, BTC is testing a major historical resistance cluster — an area shaped by prior price memory and significant psychological levels. Over the weekend, price action into this resistance showed visible exhaustion, with momentum stalling and early signs of supply absorption emerging. Simultaneously, Bitcoin is balancing on the daily anchored VWAP, a key dynamic indicator used by institutional participants to gauge fair value. A sustained breakdown below VWAP would significantly increase the probability of a broader corrective move toward key prior support levels. Technical Scenarios to Monitor: 🔹 Bullish Resolution: Reclaiming resistance with strong volume expansion could open the door for continuation toward ATH zones and price discovery. 🔹 Bearish Resolution: Failure to hold the VWAP and daily structure support would likely trigger a deeper corrective leg, potentially retesting prior demand zones. Market Context: No clear trend reversal signals yet, but growing evidence of momentum loss at the highs. Sideways price action is typical during key decision points; expect compression before expansion. Macro structure remains bullish, but short-term caution is warranted. 🧠 Key Levels: Resistance Zone: Watching for acceptance or rejection above current highs. Support Zone: Anchored VWAP and key daily structure (~confirm levels based on your chart). ⚡ Stay nimble — Bitcoin is at a critical juncture where the next few sessions could define medium-term direction. #Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarkets
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
Bitcoin Rallies on Stablecoin Optimism and Liquidity BoostMacro: - The crypto market rebounded as sentiment improved following the US Treasury Secretary's proposal to ease stablecoin regulations, boosting trading volumes and risk appetite. - On-chain data reflects growing activity. The average bitcoin trade size rose 15% MoM, overall volume jumped, and 78% of supply is now in profit. - Liquidity support from the increasing M2 money supply in China and the US has further enhanced bitcoin's appeal. Technical: - BTCUSD surged to resistance near 94300, aligning with the 100% Fibo Extension, before forming a Doji candle that signals possible correction. The price remains above both EMAs, indicating a bullish shift. - If the price breaks below 92000, it may leads to a pullback toward the 87000–90000 support zone, near the 23.6%-38.2% Fibo Retracement levels. - A breakout above 94300 may open the door for a move toward the next resistance around 101400. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
by DatTong
1
BITCOIN SHORT SETUP ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level. hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below. Disclaimer BTC SHORT SETUP ENTRY : 96400 PROFIT : 88174.9 STOP : 98812.8
Short
by bullstraders7
A Simple sell set up is formed here in BitcoinCurrent Price Area: ~94000 Short-term Trend View: Downtrend First Target: 93500 Second Target: 93000 Stop Loss: above 94400 In short: you are expecting a short-term correction in Bitcoin from 94000, with a stop-loss tight above recent highs (94400), aiming for a ~1000 point move down. Quick thoughts on this setup: If Bitcoin fails to break 94400 cleanly, your short view stays valid. Watch for support near 93500 — some bounce can happen there, so partial booking or trailing stop could be smart if it stalls.
Short
by SafizTrade
#BTC is stuck but Here's the simplified Plan!Bitcoin is currently trading between key levels: Upper resistance: 93700 Lower support: 91670 We are stuck in this range, and a breakout above or below these levels will confirm the next move in the trend. Right now, Bitcoin is holding the 50 EMA on the 30-minute chart. As long as this support holds, we could see a move towards 95k, after which we will reassess the chart. Here are two possible scenarios if we hit 95,700 again: We break above and target 100k We face rejection and correct back to 88k. While this wouldn’t be a large correction, it could offer a very opportunistic entry point. I’ll be sharing more insights and updates as the chart unfolds. Follow me on all my socials (link in bio). Drop your thoughts in the comment section and hit the like button if this is useful. Thank you #PEACE
Long
by Cryptorphic
8
Bitcoin (BTC): Be Careful - This Might be One Big Trap.....Bitcoin has broken the GETTEX:92K area, which on bigger timeframes is near the major resistance zone and from where we were expecting to see some sort of weakness or rejection. What we got instead was a big liquidation hunting, which led the price into overbought zones on RSI and Bollinger Bands. 10% movement without any correctional moves on Bitcoin is a lot, and so taking that all into consideration, we are expecting at least to see a retest back to the GETTEX:92K area, from where we will get more confirmations of upcoming movements. If we see that buyers will secure the zone, then we might actually head to upper zones, but if we see that sellers will overtake that zone (which then would mean that we have formed a fakeout), it would be an ideal shorting position - let's wait. Swallow Academy
Short
by SwallowAcademy
$BTC - Weekend OutlookBitcoin just tapped into the major overhead supply zone 95k, which corresponds to the breakdown origin of the previous range. Notably, we observed the highest Coinbase premium in recent sessions, signaling aggressive spot-driven demand. However, a sell wall is starting to build around 95k and 97k, suggesting that short-term sellers are positioning here. Key support to watch : the 88k–86k range, which marks the recent breakout base and vwap. Holding this zone would validate the breakout structure and set the stage for further continuation to the upside. Failure to hold likely triggers a deeper retest toward mid-range levels. Expect volatility over the weekend as price oscillates between overhead supply and this critical breakout support.
by Tealstreet
BTC Setup: Scalp Shorts Active Below 97.5K BTC is currently facing strong resistance around the 97.5K area on the daily timeframe. As long as BTC stays below 97.5K on a daily closing basis, I am expecting a potential pullback move. 📉 There is a chance of a wick or sharp move down toward the 92K zone, which could provide good scalp short opportunities. 📈 However, a clear breakout and daily close above 97.5K would invalidate this short idea and shift the bias back to bullish continuation. Trade Plan: 🔻 Below 97.5K = Look for scalp shorts with strict risk management. 🔼 Above 97.5K = Exit shorts and watch for bullish setups. Always remember: Protect your capital and stick to your plan! 🎯 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This post is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your own risk before entering any trade.
Short
by Forexcryptowithjohn
BTC Possible HTF HL Creation 3BTC Possible HTF Creation 3 Inversed chart again... (to minimise full breakdown to 48k fear which messes with my analysis). Price did a MSB which definitely weakens this downtrend (yellow). But what happens now? ------------------------- Three possibilities: 1 Price gets capped here at outstanding 95k level and goes back to 74k level, breaks through it and goes to 48k. This now definitely is a irrational thought as price messed the downtrend up by doing this MSB. Beforehand this might have been also irrational as the big 70k is a closed structure because of the pump through it (this change in PA + followed up up-move makes this a confirmed closed structure; however this is still speculation: needs more sample). Like, if price just kept on downtrending through the inefficiency, then I could see the mega breakdown to 48k happening but now... no. 2 Price makes a HL instead of going back to 74k level. I don't see this happening as changes in trend usually start with some sort of significant PA at the lows/highs which we IMO didn't get here. I don't think the MSB is enough as the downtrend got initiated with an SFP (strong) and price has yet to deal with the 95k level which IMO is just a really big level if you look at it LTF (though definitely less outstanding as this isn't the last LH anymore. That's the one which now has been broken with the MSB). Just LTF looking at the lowest low it just doesn't make sense to me: nothing significant happened at the lows. The way price went back down and then made a HL instead of an SFP while IMO there was no reason for the HL just doesn't make sense. The 'base' for the higher TF MSB (yellow) is imo weak. 3. Price SFP's the lowest low 74k level on the 1D (and even better on the 15min). Why SFP? Well, higher TF moves often just start with an SFP. Either SFP or deviation and I don't see a deviation happening as I think the downmove to 74k would just be weak as there's already the MSB. Weak so no stength to get below the level so simple SFP is what you get. This 'pattern' happens often: downtrend ----> sudden MSB but unexpected as insignificant PA at lows, thus unjustified MSB -----> price gets back to lowest low and creates significant PA (SFP) -----> now the real uptrend starts with a justified bottom. Oct-Dec 2022: SFP within deviation March 2023: deviation August 2023: deviation January 2024: deviation August 2024: SFP
by EyyJasper