BTC - The Perfect Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The picture says it all!
🔄Is history about to repeat itself?
If so, we are currently in Phase 2. 📈
What’s next? A dip toward the $87,000 - $88,000 zone would be the perfect retest to look for trend-following longs and expect the start of Phase 3.
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTCUPUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin Still Stuck in Resistance – Eyes on CME Gaps & USDT.D%Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) touched $92,830(first target) and started to rise as I expected in the previous idea . Overall, Bitcoin has been moving in a range for about 12 days .
Note : In general, trading in a range market is more difficult than in a trending market . If your performance in a range market is not good, it is better not to trade until the trend is clear (this is just a suggestion).
Bitcoin is currently trading at a Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) and has failed to break through it, and it seems like Bitcoin needs more momentum to break through this zone. Do you think Bitcoin will finally break through the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500)?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that Bitcoin has completed a five-wave impulsive and we should expect Corrective waves .
The analytical conditions of the Bitcoin chart have been a bit ambiguous in the past few days, so it's better to take a look at the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart to increase the accuracy of Bitcoin analysis .
USDT.D% failed to break the Support zone(5.13%-4.95%) after several attacks. It currently appears to be forming an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern . It appears that USDT.D% needs to complete this pattern to break the support zone, and if this pattern fails , we should expect further increases =Bitcoin crash .
I expect Bitcoin to decline to the Support zone($92,910-$91,414) , 21_SMA(Weekly) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($93,359-$92,296) and probably fill the CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) this time and then start to rise and prepare to break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) and fill the CME Gap($97,680-$96,455) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,989-$97,924
Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($92,910-$91,414), we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin - LifeTime Opportunity! Satoshi = AliensThis is probably the last time we see Bitcoin above 94,000 USDT! In the next months we can expect prices below 70k and 60k. Why? It's because of a huge bear market that started in February 2025 with Donald Trump's election.
Crypto technology is not new. It was brought to planet Earth from outside. This technology is already integrated on thousands of different planets in the galaxy. Mostly to convert a human to a cyborg with Elon Musk's AI Neuralink in our brain. AI will insert artificial thoughts to your mind, will tell you what to do, what to eat, who to be friends with, etc... If you don't want this, stop using AI. ( www.youtube.com )
On the 4H chart, Bitcoin is breaking down! The price is now below 2 major trendlines and 1 ascending channel. It seems like the minor uptrend from 74k to 97k definitely ended, and we are going to go only down. From the Elliott wave perspective, this minor uptrend looks corrective rather than impulsive. Even though there are no overlaps between major waves, the minor waves themselves look corrective. We have 3 major supports on the way down that you can use as your profit targets (see the chart).
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! It is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Unlock Trading Success with Multi-Timeframe MasteryIn trading, particularly in the Forex market, a well-defined strategy is crucial for consistent profitability. One of the most effective techniques used by successful traders is multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis. By examining price action across different timeframes (e.g., daily, 4-hour, 1-hour), traders gain a clearer understanding of market structure, trend direction, and optimal entry/exit points. This article explores how MTF analysis works, its benefits, and practical steps to implement it in your trading.
🔍1. Analyzing a Pair Across Multiple Timeframes for Clearer Trend Direction
The foundation of MTF analysis lies in identifying the major and minor trends. By analyzing at least two timeframes, traders can align their strategies with the broader market direction while fine-tuning entries on shorter timeframes.
⚡The High Wave Cycle (HWC) Approach
To begin, determine your High Wave Cycle (HWC), which depends on your trading strategy and timeframe. For instance:
If you trade on the daily timeframe, your HWC might be the monthly chart.
If you trade on the 1-hour timeframe, your HWC could be the weekly chart.
The HWC helps you identify the major trend. For example, on the daily chart, you might analyze the trend using Dow Theory, pinpoint key support and resistance levels, and identify trendlines or patterns. This gives you a clear picture of the market’s broader direction.
Once the HWC is defined, give it significant weight when analyzing lower timeframes for trade setups. For instance, if the daily chart (HWC) shows a downtrend, you’d prioritize bearish setups on the 1-hour chart, even if a minor uptrend appears.
Example: SOLUSDT Trade Setup
Consider a scenario where the 1-hour chart shows a strong uptrend. The price breaks a key resistance level and a descending trendline, suggesting a potential long position.
However, checking the daily chart..
(HWC) reveals a clear downtrend. According to Dow Theory, a major trend reversal requires a confirmed break above the previous high (e.g., $150). Since this hasn’t occurred, the market remains bearish.
In this case, MTF analysis guides your strategy:
Reduce position size to lower risk, as you’re trading against the major trend.
Take profits early, as the price could reverse at any moment.
Avoid overtrading by limiting the number of positions until the trend change is confirmed.
This approach ensures your trades are aligned with the bigger picture, minimizing losses from false signals.
🎯2. Spotting Entries and Exits by Confirming Trends Across Timeframes
MTF analysis not only enhances risk management but also improves the precision of your entries and exits. By confirming signals across timeframes, you can filter out noise and focus on high-probability trades.
Example: Bitcoin (May 15, 2021)
Let’s rewind to May 15, 2021, during Bitcoin’s post-bull run correction. On the daily chart (HWC), the price formed lower highs and lows, breaking a key support level, signaling a bearish trend and a potential exit for long positions. This indicates that spot traders should sell, and swing traders on lower timeframes should focus exclusively on short positions.
On the 1-hour chart, you might spot a minor pullback, tempting a long trade. However, MTF analysis reminds you to align with the daily downtrend, so you’d only consider short setups. This disciplined approach prevents you from trading against the major trend, improving your win rate.
📊The Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) for Added Clarity
Between the HWC and lower timeframes lies the Medium Wave Cycle (MWC), which provides an intermediate perspective. For example, if your HWC is the daily chart, the MWC might be the 4-hour chart. The MWC helps confirm the major trend’s strength or detect early signs of reversals before zooming into lower timeframes for entries. By checking the MWC, you can filter out noise and ensure your trades align with both the major and intermediate trends.
💡Conclusion
Multi-timeframe analysis is a game-changer for traders seeking consistency and precision. By combining the major trend from your HWC, the intermediate perspective from your MWC, and minor trends on lower timeframes, you can make informed decisions, manage risk effectively, and time your trades with confidence.
Start by defining your HWC and MWC, analyzing the major trend, and aligning your entries and exits with multiple timeframes. Pick a pair, test this strategy on a demo account, and share your results in the comments below! With practice, MTF analysis will give you a tactical edge in navigating the markets.
🤍 btw im Skeptic :) & If you found this article helpful, don’t forget to like, share, and follow for more insights and trading strategies! <3
Bitcoin is poised for a 95K breakout. 100K target?After a fairly rapid growth (rally) bitcoin did not correct, the price could not reach 0.382 within the local correction, the range is squeezed between resistance and 0.236, which indicates a bullish interest in the current situation
The price has been in consolidation for the last 4-5 days. This is enough to break the resistance at 95600 and give us a good momentum.
Scenario: If bitcoin continues to slowly and gradually approach the 95600 resistance, there is a high probability of triggering a crowd when the resistance is broken, which will push the price to 100K.
BITCOIN - A real bullish sign!3D chart shows a Bullush exaggerated Divergence on RSI indicator.
Bullish Exaggerated Divergence happen when:
1- Price: Forms a double bottom (two equal lows).
2- RSI: The second low is higher than the first.
- Implication: Momentum is picking up despite flat price, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
It's called exaggerated because price looks stable (same lows), but RSI reveals a hidden shift in momentum.
There’s also a breakout from a falling wedge pattern and a perfect break above the 50 EMA with a massive green candle.
We are now at the beginning of Bitcoin’s true bullish rally.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make movement up and then start to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Price continues to move inside a rising wedge, gradually climbing higher while respecting the boundaries of the formation. After a strong impulsive breakout above the 93000 level, the market has entered a phase of sideways consolidation just below the upper boundary of the pattern. This area acts as a pressure zone, where bullish attempts are becoming weaker, and the price starts to lose momentum. What's important is how clearly the trend line has been respected, with multiple touchpoints confirming its significance. Recently, BTC tested the lower boundary of the wedge near 93000, rebounded, and made another push upward. However, despite this growth, the price is nearing the resistance formed by the wedge's upper boundary, and this structure often implies a potential reversal once the market loses steam. Given this setup, I expect BTCUSDT to reject the upper edge and correct toward 95000, my short-term goal. This level aligns with the trend line, making it a logical area for the price to seek equilibrium again. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #78👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s get into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll review the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is finally stabilizing above the 95,370 level. If this movement continues and the price stays above this level, the likelihood of a move up to 98,828 increases.
✔️ Over the past few days, I’ve strongly emphasized that you should open a position once 95,370 breaks. I hope you did, because that entry point was very significant, and breaking it could mark the beginning of Bitcoin’s next bullish leg.
💥 Currently, RSI is entering the Overbought zone, and if that happens, the chances of a sharp upward move increase. Buying volume is also rising, which is expected when a resistance level is broken.
📊 At the moment, opening new positions doesn't make much sense. If you already have an open position, I recommend riding the market momentum and taking profits whenever you notice momentum fading.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance dropped slightly yesterday and returned below the 64.60 level. If this level is broken again, we can reconfirm the bullish sentiment.
🧩 If dominance gets rejected from the 64.60 ceiling, it’s likely to drop back down to the 64.22 support level.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s look at Total2. Yesterday we saw a downward correction that extended to the 1.00 level. If you recall, I previously said I wouldn’t consider a trend reversal confirmed just from the 1.03 break — I’d wait for a break of the 1.00 support.
🔑 That’s why I didn’t close any of my positions at 1.03 and instead waited to see how the price would react at 1.00. As shown, the price reacted strongly at that level and quickly returned above 1.03.
✨ If the 1.05 level breaks, altcoins — just like Bitcoin — could begin a new bullish leg.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now let’s look at USDT dominance. Yesterday, it made a bullish move and broke above the 5.10 level, but the entire move turned out to be a fakeout, and the price dropped back below 5.10.
⭐ Currently, dominance is heading toward the 4.99 support. The main trigger for a bullish market shift is the break of this 4.99 level in Tether dominance. If this happens, altcoins will likely begin their bullish moves.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
MACD: More Than Just a Crossover ToolHello, traders! 🔥
The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is one of the most trusted tools in technical analysis — but often one of the most oversimplified. While many traders focus on signal line crossovers, the real power of MACD lies in its ability to visualize market momentum, subtle shifts in trend strength, and early signs of potential reversals.
Let’s unpack how MACD behaves using the weekly BTC/USDT chart ✍🏻.
🔧 Understanding the Mechanics
At its core, MACD is the difference between two exponential moving averages — typically the 12-period EMA and the 26-period EMA. The result is the MACD line (blue). The orange line represents a 9-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the MACD line, commonly referred to as the signal line. The histogram reflects the distance between them, helping to visualize when momentum is building or fading.
📊 MACD in Action — Weekly BTC Chart Breakdown
Looking at the BTC/USDT weekly chart, several notable MACD behaviors stand out:
1. The Bullish Acceleration in Early 2023
In early 2023, MACD crossed above the signal line, accompanied by a sharp rise in the histogram. This indicated strong positive momentum, as the price began recovering from the 2022 lows. The histogram’s expansion confirmed increasing divergence between the short- and long-term EMAs — a classic sign of trend acceleration.
2. Peak Momentum in Late 2023
Around late 2023, the MACD line peaked while the histogram also reached maximum height. This wasn’t just a confirmation of strength — it also hinted that momentum may have reached a climax. Despite price continuing to rise slightly, the MACD curve started to flatten — an early warning of potential exhaustion in trend strength.
3. Bearish Convergence into Q1 2025
In early 2025, the MACD line turned downward and eventually crossed below the signal line, while the histogram flipped to red. This reflected a cooldown in bullish momentum rather than an immediate reversal. What’s notable is how price didn’t collapse sharply, but moved into a pullback phase — illustrating how MACD can show momentum softening before price visibly reacts.
📌 What This Can Tells Us
The MACD indicator on this weekly BTC chart shows how momentum often shifts before the trend itself breaks. Each crossover, divergence, or histogram change is not a guarantee, but a cue to pay closer attention.
Key takeaways:
Strong Histogram Expansion = Confidence in the Current Move.
Peaks in MACD Without Price Making New Highs = Potential Divergence.
Shrinking Histogram + Converging Lines = Momentum Stalling.
🧠 Final Thought
MACD isn’t just about “buy when it crosses” or “sell on red bars.” It’s a narrative tool, showing how the story of the price develops beneath the surface. On higher timeframes, such as the weekly chart, it can potentially highlight macro momentum shifts long before they become apparent in price action alone.
BTC - 4 Cycles Repeating Itself!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The picture says it all!
🔄Is history about to repeat itself?
If so, we are currently in Phase 2. 📈
What’s next? A dip toward the $75,000 zone is expected before the next impulsive move begins. 📉🚀
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #80👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto market indicators. As usual, I’ll review the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, price made a bullish move and broke the 97139 zone, but later it turned out to be a fake breakout, and now it’s moving downward.
🔍 It’s likely that this downward move is just a pullback toward the SMA99 zone, and price may bounce back up afterward. If SMA99 breaks, deeper corrections down to 95370 are possible.
✔️ In my view, as long as price stays above the 95370 zone, Bitcoin remains in an uptrend. Only once price drops below this level can we start identifying potential bearish triggers.
📈 For now, we need to wait for more structure to develop before entering any positions. The 97139 level still remains a strong bullish trigger, but it’s best to wait for a reaction to it first so we can pinpoint the exact line, and then enter upon its breakout.
⚡️ Nothing more to add about Bitcoin for now — it’s Saturday, a weekend, and the chances of ranging price action are high.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at BTC dominance, yesterday it made a slight corrective move and pulled back to 64.77, where it seems to have found support.
📊 The next bullish trigger is the breakout of 64.91. Overall, the trend is still bullish, so if you're considering multi-day or swing positions, Bitcoin remains a better choice than altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Turning to the Total2 chart, this index was rejected from the 1.05 resistance once again yesterday and failed to hold above it. Until that changes, altcoins likely won’t see any significant upward momentum.
🔑 For downside movement in Total2, the trigger remains a break below 1.03.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now to Tether dominance — yesterday, this index finally closed a candle below the 4.99 level, but it was a fakeout, and it moved back above, once again preventing the broader market from turning bullish. This fakeout could inject bearish momentum into the market, potentially leading to deeper corrections.
⭐ For now, the 4.99 level still serves as a strong trigger for a bearish USDT dominance and thus a bullish signal for the market. A break above 5.10, however, would be a solid trigger for USDT dominance to trend higher.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #77👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indexes. As usual, I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is still ranging, and volume has decreased compared to yesterday. In times like these when market volume is low, you need to pay closer attention.
✔️ Today, I’ve drawn an ascending trendline on the chart. When price performs very shallow corrections after an uptrend and each low is higher than the previous one, it indicates a very strong bullish trend. So if this trend continues, it can lead to some very attractive trade setups.
💥 As mentioned, volume is quite low today, and volatility is also lower than before. This means that most market participants are waiting to see what will happen before reacting. We should take the same approach and wait for our triggers to be activated.
📈 For a long position, it’s pretty clear that Bitcoin has a very important resistance at the 95370 level, which is currently the only long trigger. If you don’t have a position from lower levels, this is a very logical and attractive entry, and I suggest having a position ready if this level breaks.
📊 For a bearish scenario, we haven’t yet received confirmation, and we need to wait until at least the trendline is broken. After that, with the activation of a trendline trigger like the 93626 level, we can enter a short position.
👀 As I’ve said in previous analyses, I personally won’t open a short position unless Bitcoin reaches the 91945 level, as that’s my first confirmation for a trend reversal.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s check Bitcoin Dominance. The dominance range box continues, and yesterday it again moved upward from the 64.22 support and reached the range top at 64.60.
☘️ If you had opened a position on altcoins like ETH after their triggers activated yesterday, you probably hit stop-loss because of this dominance move. As dominance moved up after those triggers, capital flowed out of altcoins, causing many of them to fake out and fall back below their resistance.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now for Total2. Just like Bitcoin, Total2 is forming a range box, but it has significantly less bullish momentum. While Bitcoin has some upward slope during its range, Total2 is completely flat and oscillating between 1.03 and 1.05.
⚡️ Triggers for Total2 remain unchanged: breakout of 1.05 for bullish confirmation and 1.03 for bearish. But just like I mentioned that I won’t act on Bitcoin’s 93626 break and will wait for 91945, here I also won’t act on a 1.03 break—I’ll wait for confirmation below 1.00.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s move to Tether Dominance. A new lower high has formed just below 5.14, and for now, I’ve adjusted the resistance level to 5.10, because as you can see, the price is reacting well to this area and we can use it as a trigger.
🧩 For a bearish USDT.D scenario (which would mean bullish for the market), breaking below 4.99 remains the key trigger. For a bullish USDT.D scenario, breaking above 5.10 would be the first confirmation of a shift in dominance upward.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #81👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s get into the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indices. As usual, I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, Bitcoin has continued its correction down to the 95370 level and is currently testing this zone.
✔️ If the price breaks below this level and moves further down, we will start to see signs of a trend reversal. However, for short positions, I personally prefer to wait for a confirmed trend reversal.
📈 For long positions today, if the price pulls back to the 95370 zone, you can consider entering. Confirmation of the pullback can be taken from lower timeframes through candlestick signals or structural breaks.
📊 Market volume increased during the last corrective leg, which could raise the probability of a break below 95370.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin dominance — the range between 64.77 and 64.91 still holds, with price fluctuating within.
⚡️ A breakout above 64.91 would confirm the continuation of the uptrend. A break below 64.77 could suggest a deeper correction.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Looking at Total2, the 1.03 support has broken and price is now moving downward. If this trend continues, it could drop to lower support levels.
⭐ However, if the break below 1.03 turns out to be a fakeout, price could rebound and head back toward 1.05.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, USDT dominance has closed above 5.10 today and may be starting its bullish leg.
💥 If this upward move continues, the market could experience a broader sell-off. Should Bitcoin triggers activate, this would be a good context to consider short positions.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Do you think I'm joking ???I might be wrong and this might never happen, but it might come true From a technical perspective!!!
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTCUSDT - Rejection at Resistance | Watching Key Support ZonePrice faced strong rejection from the supply zone (marked S-T-R), forming a double top near the 95,300–95,500 level. This zone is acting as a key area where sellers are active. The market is now pulling back and approaching the support zone near 93,800–94,000. If price holds here, we could see a potential bounce. A break below might indicate further downside. Trade idea includes clear risk management with defined stop and target.
Bitcoin - Is It Possible to Test the ATH Once More?The weekly structure on Bitcoin remains firmly bullish. After consolidating below major resistance through much of 2024, price finally broke out decisively in November 2024, triggering a clean impulsive move that led to a new all-time high in January 2025. That breakout was significant, not just a short-term spike but a structural shift that confirmed long-term bullish momentum.
Since then, Bitcoin pulled back in a controlled and clean fashion, retesting the same zone that initiated the breakout. This type of price action, revisiting the origin of displacement and holding above it, is classic trending behavior and shows that the market still respects the bullish order flow.
Consolidation Structure
The zone that once acted as resistance has now flipped into support. Price dipped into the weekly candles that caused the breakout and closed above them, showing that buyers are still in control. That area also aligned with a fair value gap, giving additional confluence. The reaction out of this zone was strong, confirming it as a valid demand level.
Since that retest, we’ve seen another leg up, and now a new weekly fair value gap has formed just beneath the current price. I’m watching that imbalance as a potential short-term pullback area, and ideally, I want to see price fill it to around the 50 percent level before continuing higher.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The bullish scenario remains valid as long as Bitcoin continues to hold above the previous breakout zone. I’m expecting a pullback into the newly formed fair value gap, ideally down toward $89,000, which marks the 50 percent line of the imbalance. If price taps that level and begins to bounce, that would be a potential signal for continuation toward the highs.
The bearish scenario only comes into play if price breaks back below the original breakout zone, invalidating the structure and showing weakness across the weekly levels. As long as we stay above that structure, there’s no reason to fade the trend.
Price Target and Expectations
Main expectation is a healthy pullback into the $89,000 zone to partially fill the new weekly imbalance. From there, I’ll be watching for signs of strength such as bullish engulfing candles or strong closes above the midrange of the gap. If buyers show up there, the logical next step is another attempt at the all-time high.
The ATH remains the key target for this leg, and that’s where I’ll be looking to take partial profits or reduce risk depending on how price behaves near that zone.
Current Stance
Still leaning bullish. Structure is clean, key levels are being respected, and the market has shown a clear tendency to react from weekly imbalances. I’m not chasing price into highs, but I am interested in the 89K region as a potential re-entry zone. If price gives a clean reaction there, I’ll be looking to scale in or add to existing positions.
NEWS TOMORROW
Keep in mind that FOMC is scheduled for tomorrow, which could bring a wave of volatility across all risk assets. That might trigger wicks or erratic price action even if the higher timeframe trend remains intact. Manage risk accordingly, don’t overreact to the first move, and stay focused on the weekly structure. As long as the market respects it, this still looks like a setup that wants to reach for the ATH once more.
Conclusion
Bitcoin broke out in November 2024, reached a new ATH in January 2025, and has since pulled back to retest the zone that caused the breakout. That retest held perfectly and has now led to another move higher. With a new weekly gap in play, I’m watching for a 50 percent fill around 89K before the market potentially gears up for another attempt at the highs.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Bitcoin's Weekly MACD & RSI —Back To Basics (Part 1)We looked at Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe and mentioned the rare Michael Saylor 4 weeks green bullish signal. But what about the MACD and RSI? What are these indicators currently saying?
Let's dive deep into these two and see what we can find.
First, Bitcoin's weekly RSI.
1) Here we have first what is called a hidden bullish divergence. The RSI hit a lower low in March 2025 compared to September 2024, but Bitcoin is currently trading within a strong higher low (March/April 2025 vs September 2024). This is an interesting signal.
2) The same RSI support that was activated in September 2023 and September 2024 worked in March 2025. Once this level was activated—blue dotted line on the chart—the RSI started to move upward.
Each time this support is activated Bitcoin goes on a major bullish wave. In September 2023 Bitcoin started a major rise from 20 something toward 70K+. In September 2024 Bitcoin started a major advance from 60 something toward 110K.
3) A triple bottom. Another signal related to this same support level is a triple bottom. It was challenged three times and holds. In 2025, this support zone was pierced briefly and then the RSI started growing. This makes the reversal signal an even stronger one.
Bitcoin doubled in 2024 from this RSI support and more than triple in 2023. So this time around we can count on a double minimum but can be a triple or more. If it increases each time, first a double, then a triple and then a quadruple.
The next signal is Bitcoin's weekly RSI broken downtrend and bullish reading:
1) The downtrend has been broken on the RSI, pretty simple. Here depicted with blue lines. Needless to say, when the downtrend breaks the RSI moves up. A strong RSI is bullish for Bitcoin and this takes us to #2.
2) The RSI has a strong reading at 59. Bullish is above 50 and there is also a bullish cross, when the RSI moved above the RSI based MA (moving average).
The weekly RSI reveals Bitcoin's eternal bullish bias. Over time this indicator becomes overbought but never oversold. Interesting isn't it? It shows that market participants are ready to buy beyond what is reasonable but not willing to sell that much.
As it happened back in late September 2024, the RSI doesn't have to move straight up, there are ups and down within a rise, please keep that in mind. The RSI doesn't necessarily reflect what Bitcoin is doing or will do, it only supports a broader bias, trend or cycle, in this case the bullish case.
Next comes the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence).
This is pretty interesting as well and the first signal is a higher low in April 2025 vs September 2024, a standard bullish signal:
Revealing Bitcoin's eternal bullish bias, the MACD starts to recover without reaching the bearish zone. The bearish zone is when the MACD moves below zero, here the recovery is happening above.
The fact that the bullish cross on the MACD, when the MACD line crosses upward the signal line, is not yet in means that this bullish cycle is still early.
When the MACD line (blue) starts to curve on the weekly timeframe after making a long-term low, as it is now, the market turns bullish and there is no going back.
I will go deeper on the MACD in part 2 of this publication.
If you enjoy it and like it boost it to give me feedback. The more feedback, the deeper the next analysis will be.
Thanks a lot for reading, your support is truly appreciated.
I'll see you next time.
Namaste.
Rare Signal Confirms Bitcoin "As Bullish As It Gets" Michael SayThis is a rare signal. Bitcoin hardly ever closes four consecutive weeks green. When this event happens, it means the market is as bullish as it gets.
How are some people still bearish when the market is closing green four weeks straight?
How is that even possible? Continued growth for so long... It is obvious is what I say.
» Bitcoin will soon be trading above 100K.
Bitcoin is moving above $120,000 in May and will hit around $130,000 or can be higher; do you agree?
The bulls are in—the bullish bias is confirmed Bitcoin has been growing for an entire month. The best part is that it is still early, let me explain. Notice the trading volume, it is still so very low. This means that nothing has happened yet, there will be a major advance... So strong, it will break all resistance in a matter of days.
» Bitcoin is bullish now. The Altcoins are bullish now.
You can be certain that we are going to see growth daily, weekly, monthly long-term.
Bullish is good.
Adapt to the market. If it is bullish, don't fight it just join the wave.
Bitcoin is bullish now. 1,000,000%.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring Bitcoin for a buying opportunity around 95,000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 95,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bitcoin may little correct and then continue to grow in wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Analysing the current chart, the market behaviour becomes much more understandable. Initially, Bitcoin was moving inside a clean upward channel, showing steady growth with rebounds from the support line and multiple corrective phases. After a strong breakout above the buyer zone, the price maintained bullish momentum and reached the current support level at 88500. Later, BTC consolidated within the support area, confirming its role as a springboard for the next impulse move. The price eventually broke higher, leaving the channel behind and forming a new structure, an upward wedge. This wedge is a natural development after a strong uptrend, often suggesting that the price may continue climbing toward the upper boundary before any potential reversals occur. At the moment, BTC is trading between the wedge's support and resistance lines, precisely respecting both structures. Small corrective pull-backs have already been observed, but buyers quickly defended the support area, keeping the bullish structure intact. Given the clear market structure, the strong breakout momentum from the support area, and the continuation pattern in the form of the upward wedge, I expect Bitcoin to continue moving higher toward the 97000 points, which aligns with the resistance line of the wedge. This level also serves as my TP1 for the current bullish move. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #79👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin and key crypto index analysis. As usual, in this analysis, I’ll walk you through the futures session triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, yesterday the price stabilized above the 95370 zone and continued its movement up to 97139.
✔️ The reason the price couldn’t move higher is that the RSI failed to stay above the 70 level and didn’t enter the Overbuy zone — it got rejected there. As a result, the price also got rejected from the 97139 resistance and is currently in a corrective phase.
🧩 The SMA25 indicator has now caught up to the price, and this could bring upward momentum into the market. If that happens, the price might resume its upward move, and breaking the 97139 high could lead to a continuation toward the 98828 zone.
📊 Volume increased during the bullish candles, but after reaching the 97139 high, volume returned to previous levels, and the price has been ranging.
⚡️ Today, if RSI enters the Overbuy zone, a bullish move is very likely — in that case, I recommend definitely holding a long position.
🔽 As for short positions and bearish sentiment on Bitcoin, as I’ve been saying for a while, we should wait for a proper trend reversal before entering short trades.
📈 If the price doesn’t respond to the SMA25 and keeps ranging, the next parameter that could drive bullish momentum is the SMA99.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving to Bitcoin Dominance — BTC.D is still trending upward. Yesterday, after breaking the 64.72 ceiling, it started a new bullish leg, and so far, there’s no sign of trend weakness.
🎲 I suggest waiting for a new structure to form. For now, it’s still rising, and if this continues, Bitcoin will likely outperform altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Looking at Total2, this index was rejected from the 1.05 resistance yesterday. The reason is that Bitcoin dominance surged, meaning not much money flowed into altcoins, and Total2 couldn’t break its ceiling.
🔼 If BTC.D reverses and pulls back, a lot of capital could move into altcoins — in that case, we can consider opening long positions on altcoins.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now to Tether Dominance — another reason Bitcoin couldn’t extend its bullish leg yesterday was this indicator. Support at 4.99 held, preventing money from entering the market, and causing the correction phase.
💫 Currently, the 4.99 level remains a crucial trigger. If it breaks, the main bullish trend in the market could begin. On the other hand, a break above 5.10 would likely push the market into a deeper correction.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.