BTCUPUSDT trade ideas
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #70👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin and major crypto index analysis. As usual, in this analysis I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
🔄 Yesterday’s Analysis
Yesterday, the price broke through the 88502 level, which was our main trigger for a bullish move. The price then made a very sharp upward move and even broke the next resistance at 92000, now heading toward 95307.
✔️ I also mentioned the RSI, saying if it enters the Overbought zone again, we could see a sharp leg toward 92000—and that’s exactly what happened, with strong upward movement.
🧲 I hope you opened a position, because all the triggers of my strategy were activated yesterday: the fake break of 84363, the breakouts of 85126, 85550, and 88502. These were the key trend-starting triggers, and I made sure to be in a position as those sharp candles formed to profit from the move.
🎲 So today it’s a bit harder to open new positions, which is natural, because 4 main triggers have already been activated. But I’ll try to share any new ones if they appear.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, we witnessed a very sharp move, with price consistently in Overbought, and now just exiting that zone.
⚡️ The triggers I can give today aren’t really based on support/resistance breaks. If you’re going to open a position, you should enter with minimum risk and based on momentum. That is, if you see bullish momentum coming in, go long.
☘️ You can use the SMA indicator or RSI oscillator for this. The price has pulled back multiple times to SMA7, and moved again with confirmation candles. You can also use this strategy with pullbacks to SMA25 or SMA99.
💥 The RSI is also a momentum oscillator, and if it re-enters Overbought, we could see more upside just like yesterday.
📊 In both strategies, make sure buying volume is increasing, and there is no volume divergence. Again, note that the main triggers have already been activated, and I believe the market needs to create a new structure before new entries. So today’s trigger is quite risky, and I personally won’t open a new position because I’m already in from lower levels.
🚀 If you, like me, have one or more open positions from lower levels, I recommend taking partial profit. If you have one position, take 40–50% off. If you have more than one, maybe close one entirely but keep at least one open.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s check Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, with Bitcoin’s strong price action, dominance dropped slightly and was rejected at the 64.60 ceiling. That’s why some altcoins—especially in the DeFi category—saw strong rallies, and you could’ve opened positions on them.
💫 The next support is around 64.12, and I think BTC.D could drop to that level. A bullish trigger for dominance remains a break above 64.60.
📅 Total2 Analysis
In previous updates, I emphasized the 980 resistance level. I told you to try and have a long position ready if this level broke. As you can see, that’s exactly when the sharp move began. Now, even 1.02 has been broken, and Total2 is moving toward 1.04.
🔼 For long entries, confirmation from Bitcoin’s chart is more reliable since this index is highly correlated with BTC and is better for identifying targets or entries.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
As mentioned before, if 5.39 breaks in USDT.D, you should have a position ready. That level broke cleanly, gave entry triggers on the breakout, pullback, and break of pullback’s low, and then dropped sharply to 4.99.
🧩 Right now, USDT.D has reacted to 4.99 support, and I think the psychological 5% level has a strong impact here. I still believe the market is heavily dependent on Tether dominance, and if this support breaks, we could see another bullish leg in the market.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Here for a Funtime short sellCurrently analyzing Bitcoin on the 15-minute chart.
I spotted a symmetrical triangle forming after a strong upward move, showing signs of market indecision.
I mapped out the weekly highs (blue line) and potential support zone (yellow line) based on the daily/weekly structure.
My anticipation:
If price breaks down from this triangle, I expect a short move toward the 92,155 support zone.
If price breaks up, the next target would be around 95,670.
I'm staying flexible and will let the breakout direction guide my next move.
Trade safe, manage risk!
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #ChartAnalysis #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis
Bitcoin Broke falling trendline and retest complete= Heavy pump As we can see the red trendline is already broken and porice is going to test 92K resistance zone and soon after that the resistance there will also break and we are looking for bull market now again and rise and gain for Spots in upcoming weeks.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
btcusdt mega dumpGreetings everyone. here I just closed the price in a triangle that goes from the $15k low and the price in it perfectly walks on its boundaries, we just tested it from bottom to top and now I think it will go down, also note that this is an inverted classical pattern. This is my pattern, just follow the ideas on tradingview.
Going long on BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin has made a 5 wave move to the downside, it is forming a bullish RSI divergence on the 4-hour chart, it already shown climatic volume on the recent bounce, seems like downside should be limited from here in the short to mid-term. Long term, the trend is still down.
I expect a multi-week bounce from here, probably to the 50% retracement, around 92k, before continuing to move down to a deeper lower-low.
Good luck to you
Bitcoin Forming Head & Shoulders – Watch for a Fake-OutPattern Formation: A complex Head and Shoulders structure is forming:
Left Shoulder ✅
Double Head ✅
Right Shoulder forming 🔄
Resistance Zone: The price is currently near a strong resistance area (around $87,000–$88,000).
This zone is likely to act as a ceiling and reject the price.
Expected Move (Blue Arrows):
shows a possible fake breakout above the resistance.
Then, a strong drop is expected, targeting:
First support near $78,000
WARNING: Something feels off...🚨 Something feels off... While CRYPTOCAP:BTC looks bullish on the surface, this pump shows signs of heavy manipulation:
🔸 Michael Saylor just bought $500M in Bitcoin.
🔸 The purchase was made during Easter weekend, when institutions were closed.
🔸 Today is still a holiday in the UK, and yet the pump occurred during Asian hours — highly unusual.
🔸 Meanwhile, the SPX500 is plunging, while CRYPTOCAP:BTC is rising — a rare decoupling.
🔸 Over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in leveraged longs are sitting between GETTEX:82K –$85K, vulnerable to liquidation.
📉 This could be a classic FOMO trap — pushing price high on low volume to lure in retail before a long squeeze.
Yes, CRYPTOCAP:BTC may be gearing for another leg up…
But an all-time high this week? Highly unlikely.
⚠️ Stay cautious. The confidence is getting excessive.
DYOR – Do your own research.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoWarning #LongSqueeze #MarketManipulation #CryptoNews #MichaelSaylor #Altcoins #DYOR
Supply Chain Breakdown Reloaded: Fading the BTC Spike at RejectiBTCUSDT 15m — Short Thesis anchored in supply exhaustion and structural inefficiency. Price surged into the Rejection Liquidity (RL) Zone between 94,716.4–94,722.9, where repeated rejection wicks and elevated sell-side volume confirmed supply reloading. Bulls failed to absorb overhead liquidity, signaling vulnerability for a structural fade.
This is a pre-loaded limit short, positioned for One Shot, One Kill, targeting asymmetric downside with strictly defined risk parameters.
Trade Details:
Entry Price: 94,750.0
Pre-set limit beneath RL zone, fading the supply spike at exhaustion.
Stop-Loss (OG SL): 95,100.0
Supply absorption invalidation.
Tick distance: 350 ticks (risk exposure: 0.70 USDT).
Take-Profit (OG TP): 91,700.0
Targeting the Structure Rebuild Zone where demand could reassert control.
Tick distance: 3,050 ticks (reward potential: 6.10 USDT).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 8.71 : 1
Engineered for extreme asymmetry, capturing downside inefficiency while minimizing capital at risk.
Position Details:
Pair: BTCUSDT Perpetuals
Direction: Short
Leverage: 100x Isolated
Position size: 0.002 BTC
Margin used: 189.50 USDT
Execution time: 2025-04-25 23:57:01
Fee structure:
Entry fee: 0.0379 USDT (≈2% of margin)
Exit fee (estimated): ~0.04 USDT
Expected Outcomes:
If stop-loss hits: ~0.74 USDT total loss (risk + fees).
If take-profit hits: ~6.02 USDT net gain (post fees).
Structural Context:
Rejection Liquidity (RL) Zone: 94,716.4–94,722.9
Supply apex. Bulls must reclaim or face breakdown.
Point of Control (POC) – Critical Pivot Point (PP): 94,400.0
Breakdown trigger. A move below confirms bearish continuation.
Bull/Bear S/R Flip (Macro Inflection): 91,631.5
Wider structural pivot. If tested, it validates extended downside momentum.
Risk Management Note:
Trade positions are tightly managed with low capital exposure for the purpose of stress testing system robustness under 100x leverage on lower timeframes (LTF). The focus is on validating mechanical execution and structural thesis under high-leverage conditions, ensuring precision risk control and adaptability in volatile environments.
Narrative:
BTC’s parabolic drive into supply stalls at RL, confirming exhaustion via sell-side volume. This setup fades that weakness, targeting structural inefficiency unwind while enforcing strict risk protocols.
Defined risk. Asymmetric reward. No ambiguity.
One shot. One kill.
BTC Retrace or Rally? Bitcoin’s Liquidity Hunt & Next Move.Bitcoin BTC Analysis & Trade Idea
🚦 Market Context & Price Action
Bitcoin has experienced a sharp rally, pushing into previous weekly and daily highs. This area is a classic liquidity pool, where buy stops from breakout traders and late longs are likely accumulating. The current price action is overextended, suggesting that the market may be primed for a retracement as smart money seeks to capture liquidity before the next directional move.
💧 Liquidity Pools & Wyckoff Concepts
According to Wyckoff methodology, this phase resembles a "Buying Climax" (BC) where price surges into resistance, often followed by an "Automatic Reaction" (AR) and a potential "Secondary Test" (ST). The current rally into old highs is likely triggering buy stops, providing institutional players with ample liquidity to offload positions or engineer a shakeout.
🟢 Wyckoff Schematic:
Buying Climax (BC) at current highs
Anticipated Automatic Reaction (AR) as price retraces
Look for a range to develop (potential Accumulation phase) near the 50% Fibonacci retracement
📉 Fibonacci Retracement & Trade Setup
You’re eyeing the 50% retracement of the previous price range as a key level. This aligns with both technical and Wyckoff logic, as it’s a common area for price to find support after a liquidity grab.
🟢 Trade Plan:
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level
Observe for a range or consolidation (signs of absorption/accumulation)
Look for a bullish break of market structure (BOS) as confirmation
Enter long on confirmation, with stops below the range low
🌐 Fundamentals & Market Sentiment
Currently, Bitcoin sentiment is mixed but leaning bullish due to recent ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, rate cut expectations). However, funding rates are elevated, and open interest is high, indicating potential for a shakeout as overleveraged longs are vulnerable.
🟢 Key Fundamentals:
ETF inflows and institutional interest remain strong
Macro uncertainty (Fed policy, inflation) supports long-term bullishness
Short-term: Overheated sentiment and high leverage could trigger a corrective move
🧠 Sentiment & Risk Management
Social media and crypto news outlets are buzzing with bullish narratives, but this euphoria often precedes a correction. Be patient and disciplined—wait for the retrace and confirmation before entering.
🟢 Risk Management:
Only enter after clear accumulation and bullish BOS
Use tight stops below the range
Consider scaling in if the range develops with clear absorption
📈 Trade Idea Summary
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent rally
Look for Wyckoff-style accumulation and a bullish break of structure
Enter long on confirmation, targeting new highs or the top of the previous range
Manage risk with stops below the accumulation range
Not financial advice!
BTC post halving scenariobased on previous halvings, expecting price to come down a bit and accumulate before starting the climb up.
Fib trend gives me 2 significant targets for highs: Mid Jan 2025 and mid Jan 2026.
I've mapped out potential fib targets based on standard fib extension targets.
i.e. 2.272 - 2.786.
However saying this, fib extensions from low to halving project different targets for a bullrun.
previous bullruns have reached fib extensions of between 8-9.
I'll add another chart in the comments showing this.
BTC - What a sentiment Change. TA was given 2 days ago.BTC was making bearish signs regarding volume. But CVD had natural movement synced to price. We were mostly bearish and we had eyes on that red box (86300) as our local key level.
2 Days ago : "we are interested on that red box level. 86300-ish"
Bounce was from 86327. 27$ difference 🧐😂
A break down and retest could be nice Short AND a bounce on it and further move up would be sign for a risky Long.
That risky Long was with low Leverage and initial capital.
Long above lower line of green channel, hVn and local previous high was better entry.
I was talking about a fake out during weekend or off days of Easter. That oscillation around hVn was shaking trades ?!
Look at TA of 2 days ago regarding Dominance of Alts and BTC. Alts Dominance played out nicely.
Currently at High of 2nd March and yearly open ( image 3).
Here previous TA of BTC:
Dominance behavior 2 Days ago:
Image 3 :
Follow for more ideas/Signals.💲
Just donate some of your profit to Animal rights or other charity :)✌️
Market Psychology and ImpressionsHi There,
Right now, BTCUSDT looks like it’s going up, but the price movement isn’t very stable. It could still go higher—but there’s also a chance it might drop. The market is kind of in a tricky area where it’s not clear what will happen next. This is where a Fibonacci tool can be useful to spot areas of interest drawn from a High to Low and take note of 0.618 and 0.5. Never chase the market; only react. Let price come to your area and give you a clear signal in terms of higher lows and lower highs for entry with some confirmation.
This is the kind of situation where people often get caught up in FOMO, jumping in too fast because they’re afraid of missing a big move. But that can lead to getting stuck if the price suddenly moves the other way.
When the market is behaving like this—unpredictable and uncertain—it’s often better to just watch and wait.
Remember: not every move needs to be traded. Sometimes, the best position is no position at all.
Stay sharp and trade smart.
Khiwe.
BTCUSDT 1H – Bearish Divergence + Liquidity Zone Below🟧 BTCUSDT 1H – Bearish Divergence + Liquidity Zone Below
🧠 Market Context:
Price pushed into new local highs but is now showing signs of exhaustion as RSI Bearish Divergence emerges — price made a higher high while RSI made a lower high. This often signals a potential pullback or local top.
🔍 Key Observations:
Bearish Divergence on RSI (highlighted clearly)
Price rejected after a sweep of recent highs
High Volume Node (HVN) and liquidity zone forming below around $90,000–$88,000
Volume imbalance visible near GETTEX:87K –$85k as possible reaccumulation areas
📊 Volume Profile Insights:
Low participation above $94k – potential inefficiency
POC (Point of Control) aligns near $90,594
Major buyer interest zones: $88,074, $86,132, and $85,165
🕐 Timeframe: 1H
📍 Exchange: Binance
🧭 Tools used: RSI, Volume Profile, Order Blocks, Market Structure
Bitcoin Pullback or Opportunity📊 Bitcoin Analysis – Pullback or Opportunity?
CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit strong resistance at 94,000 $ failed to push higher, entering a correction phase 📉. Key support zones now lie at 91,200 $ 87,500 $ , both of which have shown solid reactions in the past 🛡️. If price holds one of these levels, the next target could be around 98,500 $based on the previous move’s momentum 🚀.
📌 Price is still holding above the 200 MA, suggesting bullish momentum is alive but needs further confirmation ✅.
👇 What’s your take on the next move?
🔁 Save this if you're watching the next targets
📩 Share with a friend who's trading BTC right now
Importance of HA-Low, HA-High indicators
Hello, traders.
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Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
I wonder if you think that BTC has turned into an uptrend as I mentioned before, as it has risen above 89294.25.
The previous idea is titled "Breakthrough trading starts with finding support and resistance points."
It is ideal to buy at the lowest price possible and sell at the highest price possible, but in order to do that, you need to constantly check the chart in real time.
Therefore, I think it is better to focus on finding the most ideal trading time.
Therefore, you should try to trade according to your own trading rules, that is, your trading strategy.
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In that sense, my trading criteria are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
As you can see from the published formula, when the Heikin-Ashi chart shows an upward trend, the HA-Low indicator is created, and when it shows a downward trend, the HA-High indicator is created.
Therefore, if possible, you can think of a trading strategy to buy when it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, and sell when it shows resistance near the HA-High indicator.
If it falls below the HA-Low indicator, a stepwise downtrend may begin, and if it rises above the HA-HIgh indicator, a stepwise uptrend may begin.
Therefore, it is necessary to look at how long the HA-Low and HA-High indicators make a horizontal line.
Looking at the current chart, we can see that the HA-Low indicator was created at the 89294.25 point and the price fell, but the HA-Low indicator remained the same.
Therefore, even if it fell below the HA-Low indicator, it did not lead to a stepwise downtrend.
In order for a stepwise downtrend to lead, the HA-Low indicator must show a new shape as it falls.
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The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 101947.24 point.
Therefore, the section that determines the trend again is expected to be around 101947.24.
However, since the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is formed at the 97224.92 point, we must first check whether it can rise above this area.
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OBV has broken through the upper line.
However, since there is a difference from the previous high, the point to watch is whether it can rise above the previous high.
Section A is the section where the lower point of the HA-High indicator box and the upper point of the HA-Low indicator box overlap.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise in this section.
This is because it can be considered a volume profile section because it is a section where the influence of the HA-Low indicator and the HA-High indicator are simultaneously applied.
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This volatility period is expected to be around April 25-29 (up to April 24-30).
If the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone after this volatility period, then the support around 89294.25 is expected to be an important issue.
The movement of the StochRSI indicator and the price movement do not necessarily appear in the same direction.
Therefore, we recommend that you focus on finding a selling time when the StochRSI indicator is above the 50 point and on finding a buying time when it is below the 50 point.
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The biggest disadvantage of the breakout trading mentioned earlier is that when it shows a downward trend, it is a split selling period.
In other words, when it rises from the point where the breakout trading was made and then shows a downward trend, it is the first selling period.
If you ignore this, you may suffer a loss or increase psychological anxiety, so you need to be careful.
Since the current HA-Low indicator is the standard for breakout trading, you will feel less psychological anxiety.
The reason is that the HA-Low indicator is created, which means that it has broken out of the low range.
When the price rises and breaks through the HA-High indicator, it feels different from when it breaks through the HA-Low indicator.
When the HA-High indicator breaks upward, it makes you think that it will rise more.
No matter how much you try to calm your mind and look at the chart with a third-party's eyes, it is not easy to stop thinking like that.
The HA-High indicator is created, which means that it has fallen from the high range.
Therefore, since rising above the HA-High indicator means that it has risen to the high range, it is not strange if it falls at any time.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the idea that it will rise more will be dominant, so there is a high possibility that FOMO will take effect.
In order to escape this psychological state, support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are absolutely necessary.
It is necessary to make an effort to stabilize your psychological state by conducting a split transaction depending on whether there is support near the drawn support and resistance points.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire BTC section.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have maintained an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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BTC/USD: Do You Think Bitcoin Will Break Above $100K Again?By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after our last analysis, the price successfully hit the $80,800 target and even dropped close to the second target at $73,700. Eventually, after forming a bottom around $74,400, Bitcoin saw renewed demand and has since surged to $93,600.
Take note: the $93,480 to $99,500 zone is a key supply area, and the primary expectation is for the price to face rejection from this level. However, after a possible short-term correction, I expect Bitcoin to resume its upward move toward targets above $100,000.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
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