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BTCUPUSDT trade ideas

BTCUSDT – Long Setup from Demand Zone + COT Confluence BTC has pulled into a well-defined demand zone with a strong bullish reaction, forming a clean long setup with a favorable risk/reward. The trade aligns with previous support structure and high-volume areas on the left. What strengthens this setup is the COT report (13-period average), which shows a steady increase in long positioning from institutional traders — signaling smart money accumulation over time. • Entry: Inside demand zone • Stop-loss: Below zone • Target: Previous high • Bias: Bullish while holding above demand • Confluence: COT 13-period average supports long bias (institutional buying) This setup combines technical structure with fundamental positioning for high-probability execution.
Long
by Profx001
Bitcoin (BTC): Seeing Signs of Weakness Near Major ResistanceBitcoin had a strong rally to upper zones, where now we are seeing a cool-down, which is happening near the major resistance zone, meaning a good chance for a good downward movement from here. Now if all goes well, we should form a fakeout here and start the move to EMAs on a 4-hour timeframe, but if we see the buying volume build up and BOS form near the local top, then we might see some good moves to upper zones. For now we are looking for the fakeout scenario. Swallow Academy
Short
by SwallowAcademy
3
BTC TO THE MOON! or no?)I am closely analyzing Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent price action following its decisive break above the critical $88,700 resistance level. This breakout has shifted market dynamics, and several scenarios now appear plausible based on current structure and momentum: Pullback and Continuation: BTC may experience a corrective move back to the $88,000–$89,000 zone, likely retesting the breakout level as support. For this bullish scenario to remain valid, BTC must reclaim and close above the prior monthly high (PMH) by the end of the current monthly candle, signaling strong buyer commitment and paving the way for further upside. Immediate Advance with Later Correction: Alternatively, BTC could continue its ascent toward the PMH, potentially encountering resistance at this key level. A rejection here might trigger a retracement to the $88,000–$89,000 range, where buyers could step in to defend the newly established support. Bearish Breakdown: Should BTC fail to hold above $88,000, a breakdown below this level could accelerate selling pressure, targeting the $83,000 region. Such a move would likely liquidate a significant number of leveraged long positions, amplifying volatility and potentially resetting the market for a deeper correction. At the time of this analysis, BTC is trading at approximately $91,234, with a 24-hour high of $91,898 and a low of $90,123 as of April 24, 2025, reflecting heightened volatility post-breakout. Traders should monitor price action around the aforementioned levels, particularly the $88,000–$89,000 zone and the PMH, as these will be critical in determining the next directional move. Risk management remains paramount in this high-probability setup.
Long
by Almenio
BTC Yearly Camarilla PivotsSo Camarilla pivot points is how I generally trade. Daily, weekly, and monthly usually. However let us pull up the yearly Camarilla on Bitcoin and take a look. These levels were plotted on January 1st and we can see that the bottom so far was hit to the dollar on L3 which is the projected range bottom. Short term I think there could be a pullback. However I would not be suprised to See if we strike Yearly H3 this year before this bull cycle ends. I think anyone calling for crazier targets than that is going to be very wrong. Maybe a wick beyond... but I do not think 150k to 250k s coming in this cycle. The cycle is already mature and in my honest opinion a run up to H3 might be the best we can hope for. Let us see
by Gunslinger2005
BTCUSDT Reaches Critical Volume Zone: Potential Reversal?**Executive Summary:** Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) is currently testing one of the most sensitive areas on its macro volume profile: the 96,000 to 96,500 USDT range. This is a historically significant resistance zone marked by institutional distribution, aligning with a major wall on the VPVR. The current structure suggests a potential buyer exhaustion and opens a highly calculated tactical short opportunity. --- **Macro Technical Context:** From the 85,000 USDT base, BTC has rallied with strong institutional confluence: - Rising Open Interest (new capital, not just a squeeze) - Sustained positive cumulative delta - Real volume accompanying all breakouts The current move has pushed price directly into the most significant volume resistance level since early 2024. --- **Macroeconomic Backdrop (April 2025):** Recent global developments add additional layers of complexity: - The IMF has downgraded global growth forecasts to 2.8% amid aggressive US tariff policies, sparking fears of global economic slowdown. - Inflation is decelerating slowly, but financial stability risks are increasing, especially in emerging markets with high debt exposure. - The US economy is under pressure, with reduced 2025 growth projections (1.8%) and potential recession indicators. Despite this bearish macro backdrop, BTC has acted as a partial hedge, with capital flows possibly seeking alternative stores of value amidst fiat instability. However, macro headwinds should not be ignored — any surge in risk-off sentiment or liquidity contraction could catalyze aggressive profit-taking. --- **Area of Interest: 96,200 – 96,600 USDT** This is a zone where: - VPVR shows dense prior institutional activity - Previous breakouts failed - Potential bull trap setup is likely --- **Tactical Playbook: Institutional Reactive Short** **Entry:** Sell Limit at 96,500 **Stop Loss:** 96,950 (above local liquidity) **TP1:** 94,800 (prior volume cluster) **TP2:** 93,300 (pre-squeeze area) **Risk/Reward:** 1:3.2 **Activation Criteria:** - OI begins to drop within the zone - Delta turns neutral or negative after failed breakout - Volume spikes with no follow-through --- **Retracement Scenarios to Watch** Even if the short setup plays out, it may not signal trend reversal but rather a healthy retracement within an ongoing bullish structure. **Expected retracement zones:** - 94,800 – former breakout zone - 93,300 – pre-squeeze structure These areas align with VWAP anchors and previous institutional footprints. If price returns to these zones and OI holds or rises, they offer excellent long re-entry opportunities. However, if BTC drops below 92k with collapsing OI and negative delta, a larger trend shift may be in play. --- **Cold Read: Can BTC Retrace Further?** Yes, and that’s not only possible — it may be technically healthy. BTC has rallied +13% from 85k to 96k in under 36h. That’s steep. While Open Interest is climbing and delta is still positive, price has now deviated far above both daily and weekly VWAP anchors. Technically, this creates a reversion risk. If we begin to see exhaustion signals at 96.5k (stalling delta, volume spikes with no follow-through, and flat or declining OI), a pullback becomes not just plausible, but strategic for institutions. Important: This does *not* invalidate the uptrend. It simply opens room for tactical reloads near 93–94k. Only if price breaks 92k with clear unwind do we entertain full trend reversal. --- **Invalidation Triggers:** - Consolidation above 97,000 with rising OI - Aggressive delta returns on breakout continuation --- **Conclusion:** This setup presents a high-asymmetry counter-trend opportunity, but it requires disciplined execution. Only act with confirmed confluence. If invalidated, the structure supports continuation toward 99,000+. Traders must also consider macroeconomic pressures that could weigh on risk appetite and crypto liquidity. Meanwhile, pullbacks to key VWAP zones around 93–94k could offer tactical reloads in favor of the prevailing trend. Stay sharp. The market doesn't care about opinions—only data. --- **Author:** Pôncio Pacífico Ex-institutional, now underground. "Read the flow. Everything else is noise." --- *Liked the analysis? Drop a comment or follow for real-time tactical updates.*
Short
by NunoSid
BTC - Distribution Confirmed After Accumulation Cycle CompletionThis 4H chart is a textbook illustration of how smart money cycles play out over time—starting with accumulation, leading into a sharp markup, and culminating in a deceptive distribution phase characterized by manipulation and false breakouts. Let’s dissect each stage of this engineered move: --- 1. Accumulation Phase Following a Double Bottom At the left of the chart, price forms a clear double bottom —a classic retail reversal signal. - Smart money likely used this area to absorb sell-side liquidity, building long positions while retail traders expected further downside. - This base formation set the foundation for the upcoming accumulation range , marked by sideways price action and multiple rejections from both highs and lows of the range. The purpose of accumulation is simple: transfer supply from weak hands to strong hands. Every dip in this range allowed large players to fill bids without driving price too aggressively. --- 2. Sharp Markup and Resistance Interaction Once positions were fully loaded, price launched into a strong impulsive move upward , confirming the transition from accumulation to markup. - The move stalled at a clear horizontal resistance zone—marked as an area of prior supply and potential seller re-engagement. - Price consolidated just below this resistance, building tension and liquidity in the form of breakout longs and stop orders from early shorts. This led to the final stage of the cycle: distribution via manipulation. --- 3. Manipulation Above Resistance: The Fakeout What followed was a classic fakeout above resistance . - Price briefly broke above the key resistance area, attracting breakout buyers who assumed the trend would continue. - In reality, this move served as a liquidity sweep and exit trap , allowing institutions to offload long positions accumulated earlier. - The immediate rejection from this fakeout confirms a bull trap —a hallmark of distribution. This is where smart money transitions from buyers to sellers while retail is left holding the bag. --- 4. Gap Inversion: Confirmation of Distribution Post-fakeout, price creates a gap and immediately inverts back into the prior range , invalidating the breakout and forming a clear distribution schematic . - The gap acts as a volume void or inefficiency , often revisited in reversal models. - Once this area is rejected and price fails to reclaim the resistance zone, it becomes clear that distribution has been finalized. - This breakdown marks the beginning of a markdown phase—typically faster and more violent than the markup. The rejection confirms that price is now being delivered to the downside. --- 5. Narrative: From Accumulation to Redistribution and Collapse This setup isn’t random—it’s narrative-driven: - Double Bottom → Accumulation → Breakout → Manipulation → Distribution → Reversal Each phase builds on the previous one, guided by smart money's intent to trap liquidity and maximize profit during transitions. Now that distribution is confirmed, the expectation is continued downward delivery as price seeks out untapped liquidity and rebalances imbalances left behind during the markup. --- Conclusion: This 4H structure is a clear representation of the Wyckoff distribution model in action: - Accumulation fuels markup. - Breakout entices buyers. - Manipulation traps them. - Distribution unloads supply. - Reversal completes the cycle. The move down is not a random pullback—it is the deliberate continuation of a planned liquidity cycle . Expect further downside unless this structure is invalidated with a reclaim and break of the prior fakeout zone.
Short
by Louigi_24
56
Bitcoin is currently testing a significant resistance zoneBitcoin is currently testing a significant resistance zone that aligns with the 8.618 Fibonacci extension, the value area low, previous point of control, and high time frame SR levels. This region also coincides with a potential point C in an ABCD correction based on Elliott Wave theory. Key Points: Price is reacting at point C of a possible ABCD correction, with technical confluence from major Fibonacci levels. Rejection here could lead to a drop toward the $60K– FWB:67K region, aligning with wave D completion. The current move up appears short-squeeze driven rather than organic, increasing the likelihood of a corrective rejection. If point C holds as resistance, Bitcoin may rotate lower, continuing the broader bearish market structure and validating the wave theory setup.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
5
Bitcoin Overall: Significant RallyLast week I provided a less likely breakout up scenario--this is what occurred. My personal emotional feeling is absolutely disbelief -- cue the various emotional cycle charts. The speed of the advance (after relatively vicious decline)... The fact is, this is a rally with at least some staying power. If there is a significant retracement in the rally from the nearby resistances, we should at least expect a push to the large resistance. It the rally shoots relatively quickly to the big resistance, I would expect a significant retracement, but potentially thereafter new ATH. The trend is up at the moment, carefully-selected long opportunities are more attractive. Shorts are dangerous in a market such as this except at strong resistance.
by Ian_Carsen
#BTCUSDT – Momentum Builds, $93K in Sight… What’s Next?#BTCUSDT Update! 🚀 Bulls have delivered strong momentum, breaking above the FWB:88K zone and pushing up to $93K — a move we haven’t seen since early 2025. That’s a massive +10% daily candle on BTC, a clear sign of market strength. Meanwhile, gold faced a sharp rejection from its ATH, dropping nearly $200 from $3500 to $3325 on the daily chart. This highlights a shift in liquidity and profit-taking—BTC is clearly the beneficiary. BITCOIN🔥 🔍 BTC Technical Breakdown: BTC has now broken out above the daily resistance zone, including the 200-day MA, and is hovering just below the mid-term key area of GETTEX:92K –$93K. This range previously served as solid support for nearly 90 days, from Nov 25, 2024, to Feb 25, 2025. ➡️ The Real Test Now: Can the bulls flip this zone into support and drive us toward new ATHs? The next few days will tell. 📌 My Personal Bias: If momentum continues, I expect BTC to stall between $93K–$97K. A pullback to FWB:88K would be a healthy retest of broken resistance. If bulls hold that level, we could see a clean breakout continuation. If not, BTC may revisit the $84K–$81K range before mounting another attempt upward. This movement aligns with the Plan A I’ve followed since February and confirms our broader strategy: Chart PLAN A&B Below! 💬 If you’re wondering what I’m doing right now… You might ask: ✅ Should I keep my investment? ✅ Should I book some profits? ✅ Should I open a new position? Here’s what I did: My team and I secured half of our profits around GETTEX:87K – FWB:88K , and some between $91K–$93K. We’re holding the rest and ready to buy again on any retrace—if price plays out as expected. It’s part of our proven strategy: Secure profits, stay exposed, and prepare for the next wave. 📢 Public Trades Update: 🔹 Entry Avg: $79K - $78K  ✅ Sold 25% at $85K  ✅ Sold another 25% at $92,7XX  🟢 Still holding 50% 🔹 Entry Avg: $79,900 - $77,500  ✅ Sold 35% at $81K ✅ Sold another 35% at $92,7XX  🟢 Holding the rest 📌 Short-term traders: Use tight SLs and focus on solid levels. 📌 Long-term investors: (This part is done). 💡 If you ignored our updates from $103K - GETTEX:98K and got stuck at the top, it's only a matter of time before the market pumps again—just ensure you can benefit from movements & dips ⚠️ Risk Management & Altcoins 🔸 Altcoins are still highly reactive to BTC’s retracements. 🔸 Stick to the plan, don’t trade emotionally, and keep FIAT ready. 📌 Final Thoughts – Stay Disciplined! ✅ Don’t FOMO if you missed our buy levels—we shared them early. ✅ Don’t chase resistance—wait for clear confirmation. 🔹 Execute smart, protect your capital, and stay patient. Please keep in mind that this is not financial advice and the purpose of these charts is to provide an idea of coin movement, not buy or sell signals. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and not suitable for everyone, so be aware of the potential risks before making any investment decisions. The information presented here is a personal effort and is subject to success or failure, and we welcome constructive criticism. Good luck to all. 🙏we ask Allah reconcile and repay🙏
by HamadaMark
BITCOINPresident Donald Trump's repeated public calls for immediate and preemptive Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have had a notable bullish impact on Bitcoin buyers in April 2025. His criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell for maintaining higher rates amid easing inflation and his threats to remove Powell have injected significant uncertainty into traditional markets, which has driven investors toward alternative assets like Bitcoin. Shift in Market Sentiment: Trump's aggressive stance against the Fed and calls for rate cuts have fueled expectations of looser U.S. monetary policy, which typically boosts liquidity and risk appetite. This environment encourages investors to allocate more capital to risk assets, including Bitcoin, seen increasingly as a "digital gold" hedge amid macroeconomic uncertainty. Safe-Haven Appeal Amid Market Volatility: As equity markets plunged due to trade war fears and political tensions, Bitcoin maintained resilience, benefiting from a flight to alternative stores of value alongside gold, which also rallied to record highs. Speculative and Institutional Positioning: Both retail traders and institutional investors have been positioning for a potential Fed easing cycle, driving accumulation in Bitcoin ahead of anticipated rate cuts. In essence, Trump’s rate cut rhetoric has energized Bitcoin buyers by raising expectations of easier U.S. monetary policy and increased liquidity, which historically supports higher crypto prices. This has translated into a rapid price rebound, higher trading volumes, and sustained bullish momentum in the Bitcoin market.
by Shavyfxhub
Do you think I'm joking ???Chart is speaking itself... Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Holds the Support Line📊 Technical Analysis Price has broken the long‑term down‑trend and flipped the 84‑85 k supply zone into support; holding >83 k unlocks 92 k then 100 k. 💡 Fundamental Analysis BlackRock’s IBIT pulled in $186 M net inflows last week. Spot‑ETF flows remain positive, even at 2025’s weekly low. MicroStrategy bought 6 556 BTC at $84.8 k, giving 13 k+ institutions indirect exposure. Network hashrate hit a record >920 EH/s and topped 1 124 EH/s earlier this month. ✨ Summary A confirmed breakout, resilient ETF demand, corporate accumulation and record network strength align for a push toward 92–100 k. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
5