BTCUPUSDT trade ideas
BTC Quick SCALP - Want to loose again?OKay so here is a small scalp based on previous OB and EQH, AIming for 97,450 to 97,800 testing nPoC. However i was bearish to it and 93.2k was my targets, Quick scalps are always risky. Going beyond 95,242 makes it easier to fall below.
Bitcoin current situation analysis!Bollinger Bands Squeeze:
- Price is compressing near the basis ($97,100) with narrowing bands (volatility = 809 ATR).
- A breakout above $98,331 or breakdown below $95,869 could trigger a strong directional move.
Momentum Indicators:
- RSI (48.66): Neutral, but RSI-based MA (53.57) hints at slight bullish divergence forming.
- MACD: Bearish crossover (MACD < Signal line), but histogram (-18) shows weakening downward momentum.
Volume & Trend Strength:
- Low ADX (14.52) confirms weak trend – consolidation phase.
- Volume is muted (391), typical before a volatility spike.
Scenarios to Watch:
Bull Case:
- A 4H close above $98,331 (Upper BB) targets $100,000+, especially with rising volume.
- MACD reversal + RSI breaking above 55 would confirm bullish momentum.
Bear Case:
- Breakdown below $95,869 (Lower BB) opens path to $94,500 (Zoomed-in chart support) and possibly $92,100.
- Watch for MACD histogram deepening into negative territory.
Strategic Takeaway:
- Aggressive Traders: Scalp the range between $95,869 – $98,331.
- Conservative Traders: Wait for a confirmed breakout with volume surge.
- Risk Note: Always pair entries with stops (e.g., 1.5x ATR = ~1,200 points).
Here I provide a trading plan for Bitcoin and Ethereum!It went sideways on Saturday and is still sideways over the weekend. Let's talk briefly about the outlook for next week. BTC rebounded on Friday to test the suppression of the daily K middle track. Yesterday, it closed with a positive cross star, MACD shorts shrank, KDJ golden cross upward, and RSI turned downward. There was no volume fluctuation on Saturday and Sunday, so next week we need to focus on some key positions. If it breaks upward, then the market may be mainly low-multiple. If it continues to be under pressure and go down, then the operation should still be high-altitude.
Bitcoin market analysis:
Pay attention to 98300, 99800 and 101400. If the price stands above the 100,000 mark, then the callback means the end, and the operation will be mainly low-multiple. If the price continues to be suppressed by the middle track here and cannot break through, then the market is just a rebound, not a reversal, and the operation can still participate in the high-altitude. From the daily K-line, it is indeed in a triangular convergence pattern, and the lower low is rising. This is also a reference and reason for those who are optimistic about the bulls to go long, but the upper suppression does exist, so next we need to pay attention to whether it breaks through and goes higher, or continues to be suppressed and goes down.
If you want to go high, you can still set a stop loss in the suppression area, control your position, and participate in the short position. If you want to go long, you can wait for the suppression area to break through, and then chase more, which will be safer. Now, if you chase more directly, it is hard to say whether it can break through and stand up. It can only be said that both are possible, especially if it is sideways like Saturday and Sunday, then the probability of trouble on Monday is relatively high, and you have to be on guard.
Bitcoin trading plan suggestion:
Pressure above: 98300, 99800 and 101400
Support below: 96430, 95800 and 94600
Analysis of Ethereum market:
ETH rebound has not yet tested the suppression of the daily K-line middle track. A small double top is formed at 2790 and it falls back. The upper and middle tracks of the daily K-line are both opening downwards. It mainly depends on whether it can stand firmly at 2800. If it stands on the middle track, it is expected to sprint to the beginning of 3. Otherwise, it will continue to retreat and oscillate and repair within the range.
Ethereum trading plan suggestion:
Pressure above: 2747, 2786 and 2835
Support below: 2686, 2657 and 2575
Provide suggestions for reference. If you don’t have a clear mind, independent judgment, position control, and risk awareness when trading, it will be difficult for you to survive in this cruel market! ! ! Do you know ？？？
BTCIf Bitcoin breaks the demand floor, the directional bias would likely be downward.
my demand floor it's a hypothetical or predicted price level where support holds to stop further downswing .
If the price of Bitcoin falls below this established demand floor, it suggests that the forces of supply are overwhelming demand at that level which will create Downward Directional Bias,in general when demand floor on daily timeframe is broken it implies that Higher Supply forces are holding the price captive. Breaking the demand floor implies that demand is insufficient to support the price, potentially leading to further price declines as more holders try to selloff on risk sentiment .
Bitcoin isn't like other commodities, Bitcoin's production follows a predetermined schedule, unaffected by price fluctuations. This means that even if the price drops below a certain level, miners will continue to release new Bitcoin into the market until the next halving event, but some times the cost of mining comes into play..
Elasticity of Demand: The demand for Bitcoin can be modeled using a constant elasticity of demand (CES) function, which considers factors like liquid supply and a demand shifter . If demand decreases (A shifts inwards) or supply increases, the equilibrium price will fall.
It's important to note Bitcoin's price is complex and that a break of a demand floor does not guarantee a continued downtrend, because most breakout are fake.
BtcusdtBitcoin is currently in an upward trend because there is no bearish view in the month, the first target price is 104000 The second target is 107,000 And the third target is 115,000 dollars And after that, he created liquidity and suffered, and the alt season is very close to start changing the trend This is my temporary goal My ultimate goal It seems impossible from your point of view but from my point of view 10 thousand dollars will be touched When does it happen?! God knows
Virtual currency practical experience, every one of them is helpI am a professional and passionate financial practitioner, and I am fortunate to achieve financial freedom in financial investment. In this long process of cryptocurrency trading, I have summarized six practical experiences. Although the article is short, every sentence is the essence, and I share it with you.
First, when trading cryptocurrencies, you should focus on those currencies with strong trends. If you are not sure, you can refer to the 60-day line indicator. When the price is above the 60-day line, you can consider entering the market or adding positions; and once the price falls below the 60-day line, you must withdraw decisively. This technique is still quite useful in most cases.
Second, when encountering a currency that has risen by more than 50% in a short period of time, don't rush to chase high, otherwise it is easy to panic. In fact, choosing to start when the price is low is not only risky, but the subsequent profit space may often be greater.
Third, generally speaking, before the currency price rises sharply, some signals will be released, such as a small price fluctuation of about 10% to 20%, and the trading volume will decrease. At this time, we can slowly buy at a low position, and it is very likely to follow the trend and get a wave of dividends.
Fourth, once a new hot spot appears in the market, it will definitely be very hot in the first few days, and a large amount of funds will flow in. You must seize such a good opportunity, keep up with the pace of big funds, and make money easily.
Fifth, if the bear market comes, you must control your hands and do not operate easily for at least half a year. When the market is not good, operate less and know how to rest at the right time. This is a real master.
Sixth, take time out every week to review your currency market transactions. It is not just to see whether you have made money or lost money, but to examine whether the strategy you have adopted is correct. If the strategy is correct, continue to stick to it; if the strategy is wrong, adjust and improve it quickly. After a few months of persistence, your foreign exchange trading methods and ideas will become more and more stable.
If it helps you, you can continue to pay attention and gain more practical skills and signals! !
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Bitcoin Price Action: Key Supports, Resistances & Market TrendsWhich Timeframe is Most Relevant for Taking a Position?
Short Term (2H / 4H) :
• Signals react quickly to breakouts at 95k or 98k .
• The 4H HPI is already in the overbought zone (>90) , indicating caution when buying a direct breakout, as a bull trap is possible.
Medium Timeframe (8H / 12H) :
• The ISPD and Mason’s Line histograms are in the “moderate confidence” zone (0.5–0.7) , reflecting an uptrend without excessive euphoria.
• This timeframe offers a good balance to monitor either a breakout above 98k or a potential pullback to 95k as a buying opportunity.
Long Term (1D) :
• ISPD ~0.80 / Satisfaction ~0.59 , indicating a relatively neutral-positive outlook.
• The daily timeframe confirms strong support around 79–80k , though this is far from the current price.
Conclusion :
• The 8H or 12H timeframe provides the best balance for watching either a support retest at 95k or a strong breakout above 98–99k before entering a position.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Major Supports :
1. 95,900–96,000 USDT :
• Aligns with the Auto LoAVWAP (from 4H/2H) and significant liquidation clusters.
• Below this, the next major support is 92,500–93,000 USDT .
2. Deeper Support (in case of a significant correction) :
• 90,000 USDT
• 79,000–80,000 USDT on the daily timeframe .
Major Resistances :
1. 98,300–99,000 USDT :
• A key zone for short stop executions and AVWAP High on lower timeframes.
2. 101,800–103,400 USDT :
• Significant resistance based on 4H / 1D Auto AVWAP High .
3. 104–105,000 USDT :
• Beyond this level, BTC would be testing the upper range of a potential daily Bollinger channel .
Final Recommendations & Summary
Current Market Conditions :
• The market is technically bullish in the medium term ( ISPD > 0.5, RSI > 50, Mason’s Line > SMA ).
• However, caution is needed as:
• The 4H HPI is in the overbought zone .
• ETF outflows are increasing.
• Significant liquidation clusters exist around 95k and 98k .
Preferred Scenario :
• Wait for one of two confirmations:
1. A pullback to ~95k , with a buy setup if a positive divergence forms on HPI / RSI .
2. A confirmed breakout above 98–99k with strong volume, signaling a potential long trade for the short to medium term .
• On a broader horizon (8H–12H–1D) , the market may still form a corrective structure (A-B-C), pushing towards 104k before dropping again .
• Beware of a potential “false breakout” if BTC rises too quickly without a retracement .
Operational Conclusion :
• The 8H or 12H timeframe remains the best for trading.
• As long as BTC oscillates between 95k (support) and 98–99k (resistance), avoid overexposure .
• A confirmed breakout above 99–100k could lead to an acceleration toward 102–104k , but be cautious of a fake breakout .
• If BTC drops below 95k , it could trigger long liquidations, pushing the price toward 92k or even 90k , where additional supports exist.
Final Note :
• The overall trend remains bullish , but short- to medium-term caution is advised.
• ETF flows, heatmaps, and open interest indicate that the market remains highly sensitive to stop hunts in the 95–100k zone .
Trade wisely and manage risk carefully!
longexpected trade on the btc long after touching the below support levels ,strength of the candels will be very important to see
HOW MANY WEEKS MORE BEFORE PICE BREAKOUT OF RANGE?This is a crucial question that needs answers. How many weeks more can we wait Before we begin to see Price make a significant move? It’s crucial we know how market reacts before major moves. From my point of view, I’m having a bullish sentiment on BITCOIN but we may likely see some percentage Drop in price before the buy signal comes out
BTCUSDT (OKX) Analysis 15/Feb/2025OKX:BTCUSDT.P
**Overall Assessment:**
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on OKX is showing a divergence between timeframes. The long-term trend (Daily chart) remains bullish, supported by price action and the Money Flow indicator. However, the 4-hour chart is showing signs of weakening momentum and a potential pullback, while the 15-minute chart is definitively bearish. This creates a high-risk, high-uncertainty environment.
**Detailed Analysis by Timeframe:**
**(1) TF Day (Daily):**
* **Trend:** Uptrend (Strong).
* **SMC (Smart Money Concepts):**
* Consistent Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
* Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside.
* No bearish reversal signals.
* **EMA (Exponential Moving Average):**
* Price is above the 50-period (yellow) and 200-period (white) EMAs.
* The EMAs are in a bullish "Golden Cross" configuration (50 EMA above 200 EMA).
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* Predominantly green, indicating that buying pressure is still the dominant force.
* Some red bars are interspersed, suggesting periods of profit-taking.
* **Volume Profile:**
* High volume node in the 92,000 - 94,000 range (now acting as support).
* **Candlesticks:**
* The most recent candlestick is red, showing selling pressure, but has occurred after a run up.
* **Support:** EMA 50, EMA 200, 92,000-94,000 range.
* **Resistance:** 109,998.9 (Previous All-Time High).
* **Summary:** The Daily chart remains strongly bullish. The primary strategy remains "Buy on Dip," but with caution due to the shorter timeframes.
**(2) TF4H (4-Hour):**
* **Trend:** Uptrend (Weakening), undergoing a pullback.
* **SMC:**
* Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) are becoming less defined.
* BOS to the upside previously.
* Equal Highs (EQH) at the previous all-time high.
* **EMA:**
* Price has *broken below* the 50-period EMA (a bearish signal).
* The 200-period EMA is the next support level.
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* Mixed green and red bars, with the red bars becoming more prominent. This indicates increasing selling pressure and weakening buying pressure.
* **Volume Profile:**
* Shows decent volume
* **Candlesticks:**
* Recent candlesticks are red, indicating selling pressure.
* **Support:** EMA 200, 92,000-94,000 range.
* **Resistance:** EMA 50, Previous All-Time High.
* **Summary:** The 4-hour chart is showing signs of weakness. The uptrend is still technically intact, but the break below the 50 EMA and the weakening Money Flow are concerning.
**(3) TF15 (15-Minute):**
* **Trend:** Downtrend.
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
* BOS to the downside.
* **EMA:**
* The 50-period and 200-period EMAs are acting as resistance.
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* Predominantly red, confirming strong selling pressure.
* **Volume Profile:**
* Relatively low volume
* **Support:** Recent lows.
* **Resistance:** EMA 50, EMA 200, previous high areas.
* **Summary:** The 15-minute chart is clearly bearish, with price action, EMAs, and Money Flow all confirming the downtrend.
**Overall Strategy and Recommendations (BTCUSDT):**
* **Primary Trend (Day):** Uptrend.
* **Secondary Trend (4H):** Uptrend (Weakening).
* **Short-Term Trend (15m):** Downtrend.
* **Money Flow:**
* Day: Buying pressure dominant.
* 4H: Selling pressure increasing.
* 15m: Selling pressure dominant.
* **Strategy:**
1. **Wait & See (Best Option):** The conflicting timeframes make this the most prudent approach. Wait for the 15m chart to show *definitive* signs of a bullish reversal *before* considering any long positions based on the higher timeframes.
2. **Buy on Dip (Day, 4H) - *Extremely High Risk*:** This strategy is based on the longer-term bullish trend, but it's *crucial* to wait for confirmation from the 15m chart. *Do not* buy simply because the price is near a support level on the Day or 4H chart. Look for:
* A break above minor resistance levels on the 15m chart with increasing volume.
* A shift in the 15m Money Flow to green.
* Bullish candlestick patterns on the 15m chart.
* **Entry Points:** EMA 50/200 on Day, EMA 200 on 4H, 92,000-94,000 range.
* **Stop Loss:** Strictly below the recent 15m low or below the chosen support level.
3. **Short (15m, Extremely High Risk):** This is a counter-trend strategy (going against the Day/4H trend). It's only suitable for very experienced traders who can manage risk aggressively.
* **Conditions:** Price fails to break above the 15m EMAs.
* **Entry Points:** Near the 15m EMAs or other resistance levels.
* **Stop Loss:** Above recent 15m highs.
**Key Recommendations and Cautions:**
* **Conflicting Timeframes:** The most important factor is the conflict. The 15m chart is strongly bearish, while the Day chart remains bullish. The 4H chart is showing weakness.
* **4H EMA 50 Broken:** This is a significant bearish development on the 4H chart.
* **Money Flow:** The Money Flow on the 15m chart is strongly bearish, and the 4H Money Flow is weakening. This confirms selling pressure.
* **Risk Management:** Due to the conflicting signals and high volatility, *strict risk management is absolutely essential.* Use tight stop-losses, do not overtrade, and be prepared for rapid price swings.
* **Volume:** Pay close attention to volume. Breakouts or breakdowns with low volume are less reliable.
* **News and External Factor** News and external factors have a significant effect on crypto.
**In summary, the situation for BTCUSDT is highly uncertain and risky. Waiting for clearer signals, particularly a bullish reversal on the 15m chart, is the most prudent approach for most traders. Aggressive traders might consider short-term shorts, but only with very tight risk control. The "Buy on Dip" strategy is extremely risky until the 15m chart confirms a reversal.**
BTC Buy Trade | ETH | TRUMP | LTCBTC Buy zone around $96700 for a max probability to break upward
use stoploss breaking green zone.
NO Leverage trade
Bitcoin Update (BTC/USDT): Bullish Setup Developing🚀 Bitcoin Update (BTC/USDT): Bullish Setup Developing
BTC is looking strong, but volume is still light. Likely to bounce around the Bullish Position / Bullish Week zone (blue area) before making its next move.
📌 Trading Tip: Wait for the setup—when it presents itself, pull the trigger. Focus on probabilities and risk management.
🎯 Key Levels:
🔹 Support: 97,600–98,000 (Bullish zone)
🔹 Upside Target: Close above 98,800 (Could spark continuation)
🔹 Breakout Target: Above 99,200 (Bullish confirmation over bear swing)
Patience is power. Let the trade come to you. 💯
#BTC #Crypto #DayTrading #TradingTips
Bitcoin Analysis & Signal | February 11, 2025🔹 Analysis: Bitcoin remains in a range and is forming a triangle pattern. A breakout above the resistance level could trigger further upward movement.
📢 Key Levels:
✅ Support: $95,500 (This level could act as a buffer if a pullback occurs)
🚀 Resistance: $98,500 (Breaking this level could confirm the bullish move)
🎯 Target Levels After Breakout:
🔹 First Target: $102,000
🔹 Second Target: $106,000
📌 If the breakout is confirmed, a stronger rally can be expected.
BTC diamondBTC range as weekly Stoch resets, price holding D1 order block so far. Nice diamond confluent above the anchored VWAP and Point of control. Measured move out of the diamond long to pivot point and last weeks high, or short back to S1 pivot and D1 order block. Stay manageable.
BTCUSDT TrendHello friends
Bitcoin is forming a head and shoulders pattern
The price will rise to around 100k but then it will have a painful fall to around 80k.
Then the price will return to around 120k
Most of the time the price moves in the opposite direction before a major correction
Be careful
This text is translated by Google
BTCWill retest 100-105k
I think that weekend will try to climb slowly BTC price, and i expect Monday market to be pumpyy...
Lets see if it will.
NFA
DYOR
BTCUSDT Targeting 120K with 20%-25% Gains Ahead!BTCUSDT is currently showing a strong bounce from its key support level, a critical area that has historically held up during periods of price correction. The price action suggests that BTCUSDT is poised to make a significant move upward, especially as it is testing this support with good volume backing the move. Traders are watching closely as Bitcoin shows resilience and the potential for a price rally toward the 120K level. With expectations of a 20% to 25%+ gain, this setup presents an exciting opportunity for those looking to capitalize on Bitcoin’s bounce off this major support zone.
Support and resistance levels play a vital role in technical analysis, and BTCUSDT's current price action is a clear example of how these levels can guide market behavior. After a period of consolidation near the support level, the market has begun to show signs of upward momentum, with solid volume confirming that buying pressure is increasing. If BTCUSDT continues to hold above this support and breaks through resistance, it could trigger a strong rally, pushing the price closer to the 120K mark. This move is in line with broader market trends, with increasing investor interest suggesting that Bitcoin is gearing up for the next leg of its bullish cycle.
The good volume behind the bounce is a positive indicator for traders, as it signals that the market is backing the move. As more investors take notice of the support and resistance levels, the likelihood of a breakout increases, potentially leading to a sharp upward movement. With Bitcoin’s historical ability to break through resistance levels after strong support holds, there’s a growing sense of optimism that BTCUSDT could see further gains in the near term. The projected 20% to 25%+ return is within reach, especially if the momentum continues to build.
Traders should continue to monitor key support and resistance zones, as these levels will be crucial in determining whether the price can sustain its bullish momentum. Bitcoin’s next move could be a critical one, and timing the entry could make all the difference in capturing these potential gains. With the market showing increasing interest in BTCUSDT, this setup could lead to a rewarding opportunity for those positioned correctly as Bitcoin aims for new highs.
BTC/USDT Analysis on February 14, 2025OKX:BTCUSDT.P
Overall Assessment:
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on OKX is showing mixed signals. The longer-term trend (Daily and 4-Hour) remains bullish, but the short-term (15-Minute) chart indicates a downtrend/sideways-down movement. This creates a conflict and increases the risk. The key is to see how the price reacts to important support levels on the higher timeframes, while watching for reversal signs on the lower timeframe.
Detailed Analysis by Timeframe:
(1) TF Day (Daily):
Trend: Strong Uptrend.
SMC (Smart Money Concepts):
Consistent Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside.
No signs of a bearish reversal.
EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
Price is above both the 50-period (yellow) and 200-period (white) EMAs.
The EMAs are in a bullish "Golden Cross" configuration (50 EMA above 200 EMA).
Money Flow (LuxAlgo):
Predominantly green, indicating that buying pressure is still dominant.
Some red bars are present, suggesting some profit-taking, but not enough to change the overall bullish picture.
Volume Profile:
High volume node in the 96,000 - 98,000 range (which has now become support).
Candlesticks:
The most recent candlestick is red, showing selling pressure, but it has a long lower wick, suggesting some buying interest at lower prices.
Support: EMA 50, EMA 200, 96,000-98,000 range.
Resistance: 109,998.9 (Previous All-Time High).
Summary: The daily chart remains strongly bullish. Buy on Dip remains the primary strategy.
(2) TF4H (4-Hour):
Trend: Uptrend, but with a pullback.
SMC:
HH and HL.
BOS to the upside.
The price is pulling back, but the uptrend structure is still intact.
Equal Highs (EQH) at 109,998.9.
EMA:
The 50-period EMA is currently being tested as support.
The 200-period EMA is the next support level below.
Money Flow (LuxAlgo):
Overall green, but with green bars becoming shorter and red bars becoming longer. This signals weakening buying pressure and increasing selling pressure.
Volume Profile:
High volume node at 96,000 - 98,000.
Candlesticks:
The most recent candlestick is red, indicating selling pressure.
Support: EMA 50, EMA 200, 96,000-98,000 range.
Resistance: 109,998.9 (EQH, All-Time High).
Summary: The 4-hour chart is still in an uptrend, but the pullback and the weakening Money Flow are warning signs. The test of the 50-period EMA is crucial.
(3) TF15 (15-Minute):
Trend: Sideways Down (following a failed breakout attempt).
SMC:
BOS to the downside (breaking below minor support levels).
CHoCH both to the upside (before the drop) and to the downside.
Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) are starting to form.
Multiple Equal Highs (EQH).
EMA:
The 50-period and 200-period EMAs have become resistance levels.
Money Flow (LuxAlgo):
Predominantly red, indicating that selling pressure is dominant.
Volume Profile:
High volume node at 97,000-97,200 (now acting as resistance).
Support: Recent lows.
Resistance: EMA 50, EMA 200, 96,000, 96,800, 97,000-97,200.
Summary: The 15-minute chart is bearish in the short term, with selling pressure dominating.
Overall Strategy and Recommendations (BTCUSDT):
Primary Strategy: Wait & See (Best Option): The conflicting timeframes (bullish Day/4H, bearish 15m) and the weakening Money Flow on the 4H chart make it prudent to wait for clearer signals.
Buy on Dip (Day, 4H) - Extremely High Risk:
This strategy is based on the longer-term bullish trend.
Crucial Condition: You must wait for strong bullish reversal signals on the 15m chart before considering a long entry. This could include:
A break above minor resistance levels on the 15m chart with increasing volume.
A shift in the 15m Money Flow (LuxAlgo) to green.
Bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, hammer) on the 15m chart.
Entry Points:
Day: Near the EMA 50, EMA 200, or the 96,000-98,000 support zone. Always confirm with 15m signals.
4H: Near the EMA 50. Always confirm with 15m signals.
Stop Loss: Below the recent 15m low or below the chosen support level. A tight stop-loss is essential due to the high risk.
Short (15m, Extremely High Risk):
This is a counter-trend strategy (going against the Day/4H trend) and is therefore extremely risky.
Conditions: Price fails to break above the 15m EMAs and shows continued weakness.
Entry Points: Near the 15m EMAs or other resistance levels.
Stop Loss: Above recent 15m highs.
Key Considerations:
Conflicting Timeframes: The primary challenge is the conflict between the bullish longer-term charts and the bearish short-term chart.
Money Flow: The Day chart's Money Flow is still bullish, supporting the long-term uptrend. However, the 4H Money Flow is weakening, and the 15m Money Flow is clearly bearish.
EMA 50 (4H): This is the most critical level to watch in the short term. A decisive break below it could invalidate the short-term bullish outlook.
Volume: Any breakout or breakdown should be accompanied by increasing volume to confirm its validity.
Risk Management: Due to the conflicting signals and high volatility, strict risk management is absolutely essential. Use tight stop-losses, do not overtrade, and be prepared for rapid price swings.
In conclusion , BTCUSDT is at a high-risk, high-uncertainty point. The "Wait & See" approach is strongly recommended for most traders. If you choose to trade, prioritize risk management, and wait for strong confirmation signals, especially on the 15-minute chart, before entering any positions.
Hot Inflation & What to Watch Next - 14/02/2514th of February 2025
•XRP and BNB leading, as Bitcoin trades flat in the last seven days.
•Headline inflation metrics in the US land above expectations.
•Impactful data point to watch heading into the end of February.
---
A big week of headlines and events, particularly out of the US, have netted very little change in Bitcoin’s price.
Bitcoin is down 0.1% at the time of writing in the last seven-days, while altcoins such as XRP and BNB are showing double-digit gains.
Bitcoin has struggled to make new year-to-date highs in the current state of global conditions. In contrast, global indices in the UK (FTSE100) and China (CSI300) have continued to make new year-to-date highs
Mixed Messages & Above Expected Results
Fed Chair Jerome Powell mentioned earlier this week at a senate banking enquiry that the current state of monetary policy does not require easing conditions, as the economy remains strong and the 2% target for inflation is key.
However, he has referenced that unexpected moves in the labour market or a significant cooling of inflation could change the committee’s mind.
“If the labor market were to weaken unexpectedly or inflation were to fall more quickly than anticipated, we can ease policy accordingly.”
On this point, headline metrics for inflation land above expectations this week.
On Tuesday, Consumer Price Index (CPI) landed above expectations at 3.0%, rising 0.1% from the previous month.
Overnight the Producers Price Index (PPI) landed above expectations at 3.5% year-on-year. This figure remains unchanged from the previous month and represents the inflation burden on producers in the US.
Key data to come
On the last day of February the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data will provide further clarity towards the state of monetary policy heading into next month.
PCE is the leading indicator used by the policy committee to measure inflation.
Fear and greed currently reads 40 – neutral.
Bitcoin Analysis
The price of Bitcoin is currently trading within the January high and low range, and on the Bollinger band we are entering a period where the upper and bottom channel is compressing.
Bullish Scenario
In the coming days, price may see a sharp move higher as the Bollinger Bands tighten. If bulls regain control and reclaim the monthly open, they could push toward last month’s high.
Bearish Scenario
We could also with this compression in the Bollinger Bands, see volatility moving price to the downside. This may result in prices heading towards the January low.
DISCLAIMER: The information is for general information purposes only. It is not intended as legal, financial or investment advice and should not be construed or relied on as such. Before making any commitment of a legal or financial nature you should seek advice from a qualified and registered legal practitioner or financial or investment adviser. No material contained within this website should be construed or relied upon as providing recommendations in relation to any legal or financial product.
Chart Pattern Analysis Of Bitcoin
In the previous analysis,
I was wrong at expecting another bull run.
And now, a potential newly-born short-term downtrend is possible on the way.
If K4 couldn’t close upon the downtrend channel,
It is likely that the following candles fall to test 0.382fib area.
I am still optimistic to the present three-years bull market,
I think it had not ended yet.
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Bullish Breakout in Sight! 🚀
Market Vibes: With US equities and XAU (Gold) on the rise, BTC sentiment is looking strong too! Price action is channeling, but these dips show buyers stepping in. That’s a big confidence booster for me to ride this wave up. 🔥
Long Setup:
• Entry: Look to buy on any minor pullback or a break above the current 1H Kijun zone.
• Stop Loss: Place just below the channel support (risk 1% of account).
• Target: Eye a 1:2 or 1:3 RRR toward the next supply zone.
Confidence Boosters:
• Equities rallying? Check! ✅
• Gold pumping? Check! ✅
• BTC channel support holding strong? Check! ✅
Let’s see if this bullish momentum can keep pushing us higher! Keep an eye out for volatility around any macro news—stay safe and trade well. 🤞🔥
