BTC: H4 Plan 25/06/25Trade Plan – H4 BTC
Market Context:
- Total market cap has retraced into a 4H order block
- BTC is holding stronger relative to total
- Market has been range-bound for 43 days – HTF is sideways
Key Levels:
- 3.18T on total = clean long trigger, aligns with BTC monthly close + daily FVG + 0.5 fib retrace
- 110k = equal highs, 0.886 fib level, clear derisk point for intraday and key supply zone
Trade Strategy:
- Wait for 3.18T retest on total market cap before entering
- Look to long BTC on any dip into monthly close + daily FVG + 0.5 retrace region
- Flip short at 110k – until breakout is confirmed, treat this as a range-bound environment
BTCUPUSDT trade ideas
BTC/USD Thief Breakout at $107K – Eyeing $115K!🚨 Thief Entry Setup: BTC/USD Breakout Play 🚨
Overview:
Jump in after the $107 000 breakout—aiming for $115 000 with a tight “Thief SL” at $102 500. Adjust the stop‑loss to match your personal risk tolerance.
🧠 Setup Summary
Pair: BTC/USD
Entry trigger: Breakout above $107 000
Stop‑Loss: “Thief SL” at $102 500 (use your own risk‑based SL)
Target: $115 000
🎯 Why This Setup?
Clear breakout level at $107 000 = fresh momentum
Tight SL cushion (≈‑4.3%) = defined risk
Target ≈ +7.5% potential = strong reward-to-risk (~1.75:1)
📏 Risk Management Tips:
Only risk a small % of your capital—never exceed your comfort zone.
Move your SL to breakeven once mid‑target is hit to lock in profits.
Trailing your stop‑loss could secure bigger gains if BTC surges toward $115 000.
What now BTC?#bitcoin price has been moving in an ascending wedge for a few days. Although ascending wedges may end up bearish, there' s another chance for #btc price to break out this wedge and catch upper liquidities above 108K. But, also there' s a bearish divergence has been forming in this lower time frame chart of #btcusdt .
Maker may ignore this divergence and allow bots to print another HH but it' s now wise to be careful and watch out. The reverse is acceptable for #usdt dominance chart.
Breaking out 110K is the temporary invalidation of bull trap and above 120K is the complete invalidation.
A Disciplined Approach to BTC/USDT - Wait for the Right Set Up!Right now, I’m closely monitoring BTC/USDT — and what immediately jumps out is how aggressively this rally has pushed upward 🚀. We’ve seen price climb into a key external range high, taking out liquidity that was likely sitting just above those prior highs 💧.
This kind of move is often where institutional players step in to offload positions, as the liquidity makes it easier to find counterparts for previous accumulation phases 🏦. The way this price action is unfolding, I wouldn't be surprised to see a correction or retracement soon.
With the market this stretched, I’m not looking to get long here — especially not while BTC is trading at such a clear premium 🎯. No edge in chasing the highs.
Instead, I’ll be sitting back, waiting for a healthy pullback and a confirmed bullish structure shift before considering any entries 🔄📊. There’s no need to force trades in these conditions. Patience protects capital 🛡️.
⚠️ As always, this is not financial advice — just my current market perspective.
BTC midterm plan possibility
The current Bitcoin chart shows a P.O.3 pattern formation. Looking at the price targets, we can see a clear path to $100,000, which stands as a major psychological price level. The ongoing A-B-C pattern structure supports this price movement. If Bitcoin successfully breaks through the $100k level, we could potentially see an extension to around $120,000. After January, there's a strong possibility of a bullish trend that could help reach these targets, though this remains speculative and uncertain. Market movements depend on various factors, so always do your own research before making any investment decisions.This is one of the scenarios.Other way is going beyond 85k strongly and make pull back or continuation pattern (sideways)after that reach 100k.
BTCUSDT Short Setup Below Major Trendline ResistanceBTCUSDT is currently testing the upper boundary of a descending trendline, which has acted as strong resistance over multiple touches. Price is now at $106,300, a key area aligned with previous rejections and now forming a potential lower high within the structure.
This setup presents a short opportunity, with:
- A clear rejection level at the descending trendline.
- A defined Stop Loss at $108,270, just above recent swing highs and the upper trendline.
- A Take Profit target at $100,559, a level near the bottom channel and prior support.
Trade Parameters:
- Entry: ~$106,300
- Stop Loss: $108,270
- Take Profit: $100,559
- Risk:Reward Ratio: ~1:2.91
A breakdown from this level could trigger continuation to the downside, while a close above the trendline with momentum would invalidate the setup.
Bias: Bearish Rejection from Trendline
Confirmation: Strong wick or bearish engulfing candle near the resistance zone
BTCUSDT Technical Outlook TC is trading at $106k , with resistance confirmed near $106.14k–$106.22k and support at $104.8k .
A daily drop below $104.8k would confirm a short setup. Conversely, a break above $106.2k on elevated volume is required to challenge the $107k–$108k zone.
Absent significant volume, expect continued sideways action between $105k–$106k.
BTC/USDT – Update & New Plan (15m, Ichimoku)Previous idea recap:
Bulls proved stronger than expected — we didn’t get the move down to 104,000 as anticipated. Instead, price rallied directly to the 106,300 block, as outlined earlier, and saw only a brief pullback.
Current outlook:
Buyers remain in control here. My new base case is a move towards 106,900 (yellow liquidity block). Ideally, I’d like to see a quick dip to the 105,550 area first, which would set up a strong launch for the next leg higher into the key liquidity zone.
Watching how price reacts on minor pullbacks — still expecting buyers to step in and push us to 106,900 where significant liquidity is stacked.
Key levels:
Minor support: 105,550
Main target: 106,900 (yellow block)
Bulls remain in control above 105,550
Will update if conditions change.
Bitcoin - What's next ? BINANCE:BTCUSDT (12H CHART) Technical Analysis Update
Now that ceasefire is announced, bitcoin price has successfully recovered to the resistance level and currently trading at the resistance zone. It's critical that bitcoin breaks this resistance for it to hit the next resistance around 110K .
I'm expecting price to reach 110k this week and we can see some consolidation in that range before moving further up.
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Cheers
GreenCrypto
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – BTC/USDT
1. False Bullish Narrative
The chart labels the structure as “Bullish”, yet recent price action shows:
A strong rejection near 106,000.
Followed by multiple red candles with increasing volume — a common sign of sell pressure re-entering the market.
The bullish label may be premature or misleading based on this momentum shift.
2. Bearish Structure Developing
The price is starting to form a lower high after the sharp drop.
The outlined path resembles a head-and-shoulders pattern in early development, often preceding a bearish breakdown.
The breakdown could lead directly to the "Target" zone or even below if momentum increases.
3. Volume Divergence
The volume spike during the pump was not sustained. Post-spike, volume is declining on green candles, suggesting buyers are exhausted.
Sellers are likely using liquidity at the top to exit positions, not initiate new longs.
4. Support Turned Resistance
The red boxes mark failed support zones which now may act as resistance.
If price attempts to retest these zones and fails, it would confirm bearish control and validate the downward path toward the target (104,400–104,000).
Bitcoin - Bounce Incoming or Breakdown to 97.5k?Market Context
Bitcoin recently swept the 100k lows, clearing out built-up liquidity beneath that level. This move formed a strong reaction candle, suggesting interest from buyers and confirming the presence of resting demand. The sweep aligns with the concept of smart money targeting obvious liquidity pools before shifting direction. It also marks a potential short-term low, at least temporarily.
Short-Term Structure and FVG Setup
Following the sweep, price tapped into a clean 1H fair value gap and has been respecting it so far. This is our immediate line in the sand. As long as this gap holds, we’re dealing with a scenario of temporary bullish order flow. The market structure on lower timeframes suggests the potential for a short-term rebound, possibly into the inefficiencies left above.
Upside Target and Gap Fill Potential
If price continues to hold the 1H FVG, we could see a push higher that targets unfilled gaps above, particularly the one where we saw a clean rejection previously. There’s a clear inducement just above recent highs, so a sweep of those could be used to fill that imbalance. This would align with the idea of running internal liquidity before reversing or stalling at supply.
Bearish Breakdown Scenario
On the flip side, if price breaks down from the 1H FVG without reclaiming structure, the entire bullish idea invalidates. In that case, I expect price to gravitate back toward the 97.5k zone. This would be a logical area for deeper mitigation and potential reaccumulation, especially since it sits below the current consolidation. The failure to hold the gap would signal weak demand and continuation of the broader bearish leg.
Scouting Liquidity and Price Flow
Right now, the main idea is tied to how price behaves around the short-term 1H FVG. That is the pivot. Hold it, and we should see some form of liquidity run into the unfilled gap above. Lose it, and the next wave of downside should unlock, pushing us closer to 97.5k. Either way, liquidity remains the core driver in both directions.
Conclusion
Price has swept major downside liquidity and is now reacting to a key imbalance. As long as the 1H fair value gap holds, I expect short-term upside targeting unfilled inefficiencies and internal highs. A failure to hold would shift the bias back to the downside, with the 97.5k range as the next probable draw on liquidity.
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BTC Short Setup – Breakdown Below Structure💡 Idea:
Bitcoin is consolidating under a key structure after a sharp bullish move. If price breaks below the curved neckline, it could signal the start of a local downtrend.
🔔 Trade Plan:
Entry: Below $104,902 (after a clear 1H candle close under the curved line)
Stop-Loss (SL): $106,649 (above the recent swing high)
Take-Profit (TP): $100,735 (targeting major support zone)
Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:2.38
🧠 Reasoning:
Price is forming a rounding top structure, indicating potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. A break below the curve could lead to a retracement toward the $100k support level.
📆 Timeframe: 1H
⚠️ Always wait for confirmation and manage your risk.
Bitcoin Recovers...What we've learned in the past few years is that Bitcoin's demand is just too strong. Retraces and corrections are no longer wild like before, these are limited and capped. Nobody wants to take the risk of selling too much and being left out or losing their Bitcoins for good, they are just too valuable. Many times more valuable than the USD Dollar or Gold. It is the most valuable asset in the whole digital world.
Other than food and toilet paper, nothing is more valuable than Bitcoin.
Technical analysis
Ok, let's focus on the chart.
The retrace has been ongoing for 31 days, since 22-May.
Total drop amounts to 12.33% (-12%).
The action moved below the 5-June low around $100,400. Bitcoin is now back above this level. Clearly showing that this is a stop-loss hunt event.
Stop-loss hunt and liquidity hunt because thousands, if not millions, of over-leveraged traders have been liquidated. They were betting on the wrong side short-term. Long-term yes, bullish is the trend, the direction and the win. Short-term, it was SHORT but not anymore.
Never trade with 20X that's crazy. Imagine going LONG 20X at the all-time high? Isn't that stupid?
I can bet you the same people didn't want to buy LONG when Bitcoin was trading at $75,000. In fact, I can bet that these people that just got liquidated were selling below $80,000 and buying LONG with 20X at $110,000. A recipe for disaster.
Anyway, I am calling it early. This is it, we are going up.
I got my signals, as you already know, from the altcoins.
If you agree boost and follow.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Weekly Ultra-BearishThe 100K support is still valid but the weekly timeframe chart isn't looking good.
Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, how are you feeling today?
Bitcoin peaked the week 19-May. Then we have bearish action only.
The week after 19-May was red, then two neutral weeks and a continuation this week. It looks pretty bad right now, terrible to be honest.
» The main support range sits between $82,500 and $88,888.
Thank you for reading.
This support zone will only become active is 100K breaks on the weekly timeframe.
Namaste.
BTC - Key Level Being TestedRight now BTC is fighting a pivotal level in its current trend. After falling slightly below the $100k level price has seen a strong uptick after a 4H reversal doji was created at the bottom of the trend.
Now price is at the $105k level which has shown lots of volume with flips between support and resistance. What we are watching for now is our red "Upper Resistance Trendline". The level is currently around $109k.
If we see a rejection of that level then it would show the bears are still in control and the momentum to the downside will continue. If we can close candles above the red trendline we could see a swift move back to our white trendline and a break of that could see a strong surge to new all time highs.
If we see the current uptrend start to fade and price close below our 0.236 fib that could be an early indication of lower levels needing to be tested. If we do start to fall rapidly the most important level to hold to keep the macro uptrend intact is the 0.618 fib level. Currently this level is around $88k and if that level would be flipped into new support it would be the best level to create a macro higher low.
BTC - Getting 2021 Double Top/Bearish VibesLooking at the weekly chart for BTC, I'm seeing similar price action from when we double topped in 2021. We hit the top of the channel, corrected, and then had a slightly higher high before going down hard. Again we hit the top of the channel, had a strong correction, only to hit it again for a slightly higher high. But the signs of market weakness are showing in the indicators and price action. Not to mention war is looming between Israel and Iran. I'm taking a defensive posture here. I think if the bears take control, we could hit the $60k liquidity area that we missed on the last correction. We can reassess the market better at the time based on the price action and current events.
Bitcoin Overall: Larger correction may be overWhile I believe it is still possible to target the more global support zone below, a sequence of events like that shown (another smaller push higher before a larger drop) would suggest BTC is on its way to new ATH again.
Conversely, a larger drop from current resistance levels would suggest we still have one more larger leg down to me.
Will Bitcoin's growth continue, or is this just a correction ?BINANCE:BTCUSDT After the weekend, the price showed a strong recovery. Currently, it is trading above the monthly and weekly pivot points. However, if these levels are broken without a subsequent buy-back reaction, we can expect the downward movement to continue as part of a higher-timeframe correction. Otherwise, we may see either a local correction or an upward move from current levels with the aim of breaking through the resistance zone and trendlines. All targets are outlined in detail in the video idea.
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Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura