A bearish trend is gradually taking shape.From a technical perspective, the complete breakdown of the box bottom, coupled with the MACD indicator about to fully crossing below the zero axis, both indicate that bullish momentum is weakening and a bearish trend is gradually forming. Short-term bulls need to take a temporary break and wait for the construction of a stabilizing platform. For bears, according to the current trend, they can lay out short positions on rallies. The ideal entry position is near the lower edge of the box, and they can try to lay out positions boldly after setting stop-losses.
On the news front, "Laote"'s policies change frequently, with extremely high uncertainty. The market needs global stability, and there has been no bull market in history built in a turbulent environment. Therefore, we need to treat market conditions cautiously, avoid blind and radical operations, and only by maintaining rationality can we respond to market changes.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
sell@102300-102800
TP:100000-100500
BTCUPUSDT trade ideas
BTCUSDT Hello traders.
The BTCUSDT trade I shared the other day played out just as expected, with BTC experiencing a significant drop in value shortly after. The price fell all the way down to the 98K level.
Following this decline, I anticipate a short-term rebound toward the 102K–103K range, after which I expect the downtrend to resume. Therefore, I’ve placed a Sell Limit order at 102,350, and I’m currently waiting for the price to reach that level.
If you'd like, you can consider this opportunity in the same way.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell Limit
✔️ Entry Price: 102,350.24
✔️ Take Profit: 100,250.08
✔️ Stop Loss: 103,399.62
🕒 If the trade doesn’t gain strong momentum, I will keep the position open only until 23:00 (UTC+4) today. Otherwise, I will manually close the trade—either in profit or at a loss—depending on price action.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
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Mastering Inverse Fair Value Gaps (IFVG) - How to use them?In this guide, I’ll explain the concept of the Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG), how it forms, and how you can use it to identify high-probability trading opportunities. You'll learn how to spot the IFVG on a chart, understand their significance in price action, and apply a simple strategy to trade them effectively.
What will be discussed?
- What is a FVG
- What is an IFVG
- What is a bullish IFVG
- What is a bearish IFVG
- How to trade the IFVG
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What is a FVG?
A FVG is a technical concept used by traders to identify inefficiencies in price movement on a chart. The idea behind a fair value gap is that during periods of strong momentum, price can move so quickly that it leaves behind a "gap" where not all buy and sell orders were able to be executed efficiently. This gap creates an imbalance in the market, which price may later revisit in an attempt to rebalance supply and demand.
A fair value gap is typically observed within a sequence of three candles (or bars). The first candle marks the beginning of a strong move. The second candle shows a significant directional push, either bullish or bearish, often with a long body indicating strong momentum. The third candle continues in the direction of the move, opening and closing beyond the range of the first candle. The fair value gap itself is defined by the price range between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle (in the case of a bullish move), or between the low of the first candle and the high of the third (in a bearish move). This range represents the area of imbalance or inefficiency.
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What is an IFVG?
An Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when a traditional Fair Value Gap (FVG) is not respected by price, and instead of acting as a support or resistance zone, price breaks through it with strength. Normally, a Fair Value Gap represents a price imbalance left by a strong move, and when price returns to this area, it often reacts by respecting the gap, bouncing off it or reversing, because it's seen as a high-probability level where orders may rest.
However, in the case of an IFVG, price does not respect this imbalance. Instead, it slices through the FVG in the opposite direction, showing that the initial momentum behind the imbalance has weakened or reversed. This breach is a strong indication that market sentiment is shifting. What was once a zone of strength now becomes invalid, and this failed reaction signals that the opposite side of the market (buyers or sellers) has taken control.
The IFVG highlights a key transition in momentum. It tells traders that the prior bias, bullish or bearish, is breaking down, and the new dominant force is pushing price beyond levels that would typically hold. This makes the IFVG useful not only as a sign of failed structure but also as a potential confirmation of a trend reversal or strong continuation in the opposite direction. Essentially, where an FVG usually acts as a wall, an IFVG is what’s left after that wall gets knocked down.
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What is a bullish IFVG?
A bullish Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when price breaks through a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) instead of respecting it. In a typical bearish FVG, the expectation is that when price retraces into the gap, it will react to the imbalance, usually by reversing lower, as the area represents previous selling pressure or inefficiency caused by aggressive sellers.
However, when price does not react bearishly and instead breaks cleanly through the bearish FVG, it signals a shift in market sentiment and momentum. This breakout through the imbalance suggests that buyers are now in control and that the bearish pressure in that zone has been absorbed or invalidated. What was once considered a resistance area is now being overpowered, often leading to continued bullish movement.
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What is a bearish IFVG?
A bearish Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when price breaks through a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) instead of respecting it. In a normal bullish FVG, the expectation is that when price returns to the gap, it will act as support and prompt a move higher, as this area represents a previous imbalance created by strong buying pressure.
However, when price fails to respect the bullish FVG and instead breaks down through it, this signals a shift in momentum to the downside. The anticipated support fails to hold, suggesting that buyers are no longer in control or that their efforts have been overwhelmed by aggressive selling. This kind of move transforms the bullish FVG into a bearish signal, as it confirms weakness in what was previously considered a demand zone.
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How to trade the IFVG?
Trading the Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) requires patience, precision, and clear confirmation of a shift in momentum. The process involves waiting for key conditions to form before entering a trade. Here's how to approach it step-by-step:
First, you need to wait for a liquidity sweep. This means price must take out a recent high or low, typically a short-term liquidity pool, trapping traders on the wrong side of the market. This sweep sets the stage for a potential reversal and indicates that the market is ready to shift direction.
After the liquidity sweep, watch for a 1-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG) to form and then get broken in the opposite direction. This break is crucial, it’s what creates the Inverse Fair Value Gap. The invalidation of this initial FVG confirms that momentum has switched and that the market is no longer respecting the previous imbalance.
Once the IFVG has formed, your entry comes on the close of the candle that breaks and closes beyond the IFVG, above it in a bullish scenario, or below it in a bearish one. This close confirms that the gap has not held and that price is likely to continue in the new direction.
Place your stop loss below the low (for a bullish setup) or above the high (for a bearish setup) of the structure that formed the IFVG. This gives you protection just beyond the level that would invalidate the setup.
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Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin is fluctuating around $101,000, like driving to a crossroads. Looking down, the average price over the past month is supported at around $100,000. Looking up, $105,000 seems like a hurdle. In the United States, although the possibility of a rate cut in July is low (only 10%), some Fed officials have said they support rate cuts if inflation is under control, which has made the market expect easing in the second half of the year. More importantly, the United States and Hong Kong, China, are issuing "legal IDs" for stablecoins. Large companies like JD.com are applying for licenses, which may make Bitcoin transactions more convenient in the future, equivalent to adding fuel to the market. Large companies are also voting with their actions. For example, MicroStrategy continues to buy Bitcoin, indicating that long-term optimists have not wavered.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@100000~101000
SL:98000
TP:102000~103000
BTC ITS A TRAP Bitcoin is currently facing significant resistance at key technical levels and may be positioning for a potential sharp decline heading into Thursday, particularly as markets close and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East threaten to escalate.
Two key technical confluences support this thesis:
1. Bullish Gartley Harmonic Pattern: This setup is developing with highly precise ratio alignments, targeting a convergence at the Point of Control (POC) alongside multiple anchored VWAP levels. While the pattern typically involves a sharp decline, it often precedes a powerful reversal once liquidity is swept from the lows, making this a potentially attractive risk-reward inflection zone.
2. Failed Auction Structure: Price action has demonstrated an inability to sustain a breakout above the established fair value range, instead reverting back within the bounds of a parallel channel. This failed breakout—confirmed by a rejection at the upper end of the volume profile—suggests heightened probability of a move back toward fair value, marked in blue, which coincides with the POC and represents the market's most accepted / traded price.
We’ll observe how the setup develops from here.
Bitcoin at Risk: Will Geopolitical Tensions Push BTC Below $90K?By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price continued its correction amid rising tensions and conflict between Iran and Israel, dropping to as low as $98,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $101,000, and if these tensions escalate further — especially if Iran decides to close the Strait of Hormuz — it could significantly impact global markets, and Bitcoin would not be an exception.
If BTC fails to hold above $100,000 by the end of the week, a continuation of the drop toward $90,000 is possible.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
bitcoin update btc struggling to hold the 100k position market is choppy in lower tf but on higher tf its clearly shows sign of tapping below. with a double top on 3d tf, and breaking down of it will push long term holder book profits and with increasing tension in iran and usa 90k looks good support and as i mentioned previously about the cme gap in that area which works asa magnet for btc.
thanks
Measured move target madePrice bounced near the target and has been confirmed by the 4 hour SAR.
The 4 hour SAR is currently on a bearish retrace relative to the daily SAR.
As long as the Daily SAR is above price, the bearish Wolfewave is still in play.
Price is anticipated to go lower than what the 4 hour SAR has established as support.
To see more details and for faster movement, we look to the shorter intervals.
Shorter interval price action could invalidate longer interval patterns.
[SeoVereign] Bitcoin Bearish Outlook – June 22, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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Currently, Bitcoin appears to have entered a downward phase based on the counting criteria. A movement breaking below the S1 support line has been detected, which I previously mentioned as a signal to consider a mid-to-short term bearish trend.
From a trend perspective, a bullish reversal has not yet occurred. The reason is that on the 20th, when the 105550 level was broken upward, a strong momentum-driven upward move did not follow. If a true trend reversal had occurred at that point, there should have been immediate strong buying pressure without a whipsaw movement after the breakout. However, the market quickly reversed downward, indicating that selling pressure still dominates.
At that point, I was preparing a long idea, but as the bearish trend became clear, I chose not to upload it. At the same time, the 1.414 butterfly pattern I personally developed was confirmed, further supporting the continuation of the downward trend.
As a result, I have continued to hold the Bitcoin short position that began with the idea on the 11th, and I plan to provide further analysis and idea updates as market movements unfold.
I wish you sound judgment in the market and continued good fortune.
Bitcoin Completely Transformed Into a Bearish SetupBTC Completely Transformed Into a Bearish Setup
Since last week, BTC and most of the Alcoins have changed their direction from clearly rising to falling.
The reason why this happened is another topic, because it is never a clear reason, but it happens.
If the price is going to respect this falling pattern, BTC should easily fall to 97800 and 94500, otherwise it may transform and change its appearance again.
It is difficult to understand whether BTC has ended the uptrend so far and the downtrend has begun.
Or if we are in a larger bullish correction.
However, with the current data, it is only falling.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Major Support Confluence, Tactical Rebound or Looming Flush?__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum: BTC is working a major daily support zone (102.6–103k USDT) with strong confluence across 1D, 12H, and 2H pivots. Technical rebound in play, but still no strong behavioral catalyst.
Supports / Resistances: Key support clusters at 102.3–103.3k (2H, 720min, daily pivots). Main resistances: 106.4k–110k.
Volume: Very high on 2H/1H near supports, hinting at possible washout/profit-taking. No buy climax identified.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong bullish signal from 1D to 30min (neutral on 15min), while lower TFs remain under selling pressure.
Multi-TF Behavior (ISPD DIV): No excess or euphoria: market is waiting/compressed, caution is necessary in the short term.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Global Bias: Tactical bullish but cautious — confirmation on clean rebound needed to strengthen conviction.
Opportunities: Technical entries in the 102.6–103.3k zone with stops below 102k (aggressive) or 97.5k (defensive). Profit-taking zones at 106.4k/109.9k/110k.
Risk Areas: Invalidated below 97.5k (swing), potential flush down to 94k/88–89k. Heightened vigilance around macro releases.
Macro Catalysts: PMI prints (June 23), Fed on pause, increased geopolitical risks (latent volatility and cross-asset caution).
Action Plan: Prioritize active management: reduced position sizing, mechanical stops, and real-time bias adjustment based on volume and behavioral response.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D–12H: Major supports (D Pivot Low 102626.8), structural uptrend, strong Risk On signal, but no behavioral/volume extremes.
6H–4H: Ongoing technical rebound, moderately high volume, support confluence, BUT short-term TF pressure remains.
2H–1H: Very high volume at support, possible local flush, but still no bullish behavioral confirmation—monitor for rapid volatility.
30min–15min: Tentative stabilization post-support absorption, no clear psychological excess, risk of further downside if rebound not confirmed; Risk On / Risk Off Indicator is neutral at 15min.
Summary: Bullish structural setup, but fragile micro dynamics—discipline and speed are key.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Fundamental & On-chain Overview
__________________________________________________________________________________
External factors: Fed on hold, US inflation slightly higher, robust economy, increased geopolitical risks (hot spots Israel–Iran, Ukraine–Russia). Latent risk-off sentiment but not yet materialized.
Calendar to watch: June 23, 09:45–10:00 UTC (US PMI & home sales).
On-chain: Low user activity, high institutional volumes, off-chain flow dominance, leverage high (mostly in stablecoins, limiting crypto-margined liquidation spirals), no euphoria or panic detected.
Risk/reward synthesis: Key technical buy zone 102.6–103.3k (stop < 102k/97.5k), targets 106.4k/109.9–110k. Below 97.5k: bearish bias, defensive risk management needed.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Final strategic synthesis
__________________________________________________________________________________
BTC remains "structurally strong but tactically fragile": major support confluence and bullish sectoral signal, but persistent micro selling pressure and macro/cross-asset uncertainty. Only entries on clear technical signals, mechanical stops and active risk management offer rational short-term setups in this volatile and compressed environment.
__________________________________________________________________________________
BTC, Selling pressure below 100K, 23 JunePlan BTC today: 23 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Market capitalisation fell to $3.03 trillion over the weekend, likely due to speculators expecting a sell-off in response to US strikes on targets in Iran. However, the limited reaction from traditional financial markets brought buyers back to the crypto space, showing their willingness to buy at a discount and pushing market capitalisation back up to $3.12 trillion.
The cryptocurrency sentiment index dropped to 42 on Sunday, its lowest level in two months, but rebounded to 47 at the start of the new week, moving from the fear zone into neutral territory.
Bitcoin slipped to $98K over the weekend, briefly touching the classic support level at 61.8% of the April–May rally. However, by the start of the European trading session, it had already recovered to around $102K, compared to $102.7K at the beginning of Sunday. Still, last week’s sell-off broke the 50-day moving average support, weighed down by external factors. A breakout from the $96K–$105K range will likely determine the direction of the next major move
personal opinion:!!!
Selling pressure caused gold price to drop below 100k yesterday, macro economy has not changed much. Gold price continues to suffer selling pressure
Important price zone to consider :!!!
support zone : 100.800 ; 98.200
Sustainable trading to beat the market
BTCUSDT Short Setup after Weak BreakoutThe BTCUSDT perpetual chart displays a bearish setup following a false breakout or weak retest of a descending wedge structure. After a strong bounce from the recent low, price surged but is now showing rejection at the $101,500 resistance level, marked by a key horizontal zone.
This area coincides with:
- The upper boundary of the falling wedge pattern.
- A former support zone now acting as resistance.
- A red candle signaling exhaustion from buyers.
A short position is initiated with:
- Entry: ~$101,500
- Stop Loss: ~$103,271
- Take Profit: ~$95,400
- Risk:Reward Ratio: ~1:3+
Unless price reclaims and holds above $103,271, this setup suggests a short-term bearish reversal is likely to unfold.
BTCUSD 4HThis chart presents a bearish setup for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, shared by "Alpha_Gold_Trader." Here's the key breakdown:
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Chart Breakdown
Current Price: Around $105,857
Resistance Zone (Register Point Level): ~$109,000 to ~$111,500
Support Zone (Breakout Level): ~$106,500 to ~$107,500 (pink box)
Bias: Bearish (implied by breakdown and downward projection)
Price Target: Around $95,000, labeled as "TARGET SUCCESSFUL"
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Technical Implication
Price has broken below the support zone marked in pink.
A retest of broken support is anticipated before continuation down (common in breakout setups).
The setup suggests a short trade if price fails to reclaim the broken support and confirms rejection.
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Trading Strategy Outline
Entry: Near $107,000 (on failed retest)
Stop Loss: Above $108,500 (back in the previous range)
Take Profit: ~$95,000 (target zone)
Bitcoin (BTC): Strong Sell-Off During Weekends | Plan A & BBitcoin was bleeding hard during the weekend when the US decided to join the ongoing war, which is now strongly impacting the economic markets.
As tensions are tightening, we are expecting a similar outcome to happen like we had during the beginning of the UA war, where at the start everything dipped hard, and later we had a strong upward rally.
Remember, people need to store their money somewhere safe, and the safest places are buying gold or Crypto.
Swallow Academy
Pullback Correction after a Sharp DeclineTechnical Analysis of BTC Contracts: As of today, on the daily timeframe (major cycle), yesterday closed with a small bearish candle, showing consecutive bearish declines. The price remains below moving averages, and attached indicators are in a death cross, clearly indicating a downward trend. With the trend being evident, two key points should be noted: First, guard against significant pullback corrections; Second, risk control must be prioritized under any circumstances, which is of utmost importance.
On the hourly timeframe (short cycle), the price fell under pressure during the US session yesterday, breaking below the 100,000 level. It rebounded after hitting the intraday low in the morning. The breakdown level is near the 102,700 area. Currently, the K-line shows a large bullish rebound, and attached indicators form a golden cross, suggesting that corrective movements will prevail today. However, the breakdown level (102,700) must not be breached; otherwise, the corrective trend may fail to sustain, which aligns with typical price movement patterns.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
sell@102300-102800
TP:100000-100500
23/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $108,948.76
Last weeks low: $103,569.91
Midpoint: $98,191.05
Last weeks chart is a clear reflection of what happens when there is a constant stream of bad news... Geo-political escalations, America becoming more involved in the Middle-east and the FED refusing to cut interest rates.
It's well known markets do not like uncertainty, and throughout the week more and more questions have been asked with very few answers. Risk-on assets have taken a hit generally and BTC is no different, especially over the weekend. This price action should be taken with a pinch of salt as the volume is never as high as it is during the week and often it paints a false picture of how the market really feels. The market makers ultimately are just, over the weekend they often aren't involved and so I think we will know more accurately how much of this geo-political escalation is priced in by the end of the trading day. How the SPX reacts will be important too.
The FED once again refused to cut interest rates, it's clear president Trump is not happy with this. The market could have done with a cut but that will have to wait.
So for Bitcoin it's been a tough week and I can't see this getting better immediately. Bearish price targets for me would be $97,000, the short term trend is clearly biased short until some solid support comes in or something drastic happens in the political world for good. This week is about survival and caution while looking for opportunities to present themselves without knife catching.
Good luck this week everybody!
BTC Bitcoin: Where I'm buying this war crash. Buy in strategyBTC Bitcoin: Where I'm buying this war crash. Buy in strategy
We're in a buy zone right now but I'm looking for bullish divergences for entry. I'll add more if we start getting higher highs.
If we lose this zone, then I'm looking again around the 90k area.
I think this is a wonderful opportunity to get BTC under 100k.