BTCUPUSDT trade ideas
Btc trend reversal Btc tested a strong support level and made a strong bounce continuing a divergence on several TA indicators. Trend support on daily and weekly shows a bottom. I think will see a trend reversal over the next few weeks as tariff news settles and more talks of rate cuts.
RSI top- daily time frame
Trend strength bottom- weekly time frame
Chart- daily time frame
BTCUSDT, Binance Futures – Weekly Technical OutlookMarket Context
Bitcoin has demonstrated renewed strength, breaking out from the recent consolidation phase and moving firmly back above the $90,000 level. This move follows a successful defense of the $74,000–76,000 range, which now acts as a strong weekly demand zone.
The current weekly candle (as of midweek) is developing into a bullish engulfing pattern with solid volume support, indicating momentum may be building for further continuation.
Key Technical Zones:
📌 Support Levels:
• $74,400 – $76,000 → Previous swing low + liquidity zone.
• $65,000 → Confluence with trendline support & prior consolidation.
• $51,900 – $52,000 → Strong historical support on VPVR.
📌 Resistance Levels:
• $95,000 – $98,000 → Local resistance and prior range midline.
• $105,000 – $110,000 → Weekly highs and Fibonacci extension zone.
• Above $110,000 → Potential discovery zone with limited historical structure.
🧭 Trend & Structure:
The broader trend remains bullish on the weekly timeframe. After a healthy correction from the $110,000 high, BTC has printed a higher low, suggesting the continuation of the longer-term uptrend remains intact.
The chart also highlights the breakout from the symmetrical triangle formation that began in Q1 2024 — this breakout is being respected and validated.
BTC MacrosWyckoff model 1 accumulation played out very well with a powerful spring up to 4hr swing structure protected high / macro range high.
Assuming rejection from previous zone POC / High to low GP zone, huge OBIM / range supply confluence. But rejection is just a mitigation of previous demand (ie. "fakeout") as we swing slightly lower to make another wave upwards, reject from another important POI between 95-99k, retest/mitigate one more time and then off to new highs / equal highs?
Perhaps fast enough to occur before the trade war comes back into affect, full blown meltdown to zero :)
Phemex Analysis #75: Bitcoin (BTC) Breaking Out $90,000 Barrier!Bitcoin ( PHEMEX:BTCUSDT.P ) has demonstrated significant bullish momentum, decisively breaking through the critical $90,000 resistance level. This breakout follows a period of sustained accumulation and increasing institutional interest, signaling a potential continuation of the upward trend. The psychological significance of the $90,000 barrier being breached with strong volume suggests renewed investor confidence and could pave the way for further gains. Let's explore the possible scenarios for Bitcoin's price action following this significant breakout.
Possible Scenarios
1. Sustained Bullish Momentum
With the $90,000 resistance now acting as potential support, Bitcoin could experience sustained bullish momentum, targeting higher price levels.
Pro Tips:
Monitor volume confirmation on further upward movements. Strong volume indicates continued buying interest.
Identify potential new resistance levels, such as $95,000 and $100,000.
Consider entering long positions on pullbacks to the $90,000 support level, provided it holds.
Place stop-loss orders below the $90,000 level or a recent swing low to protect against a potential reversal.
2. Consolidation Above $90,000
Following the strong breakout, Bitcoin might enter a period of consolidation above the $90,000 level as the market digests the gains and establishes a new support zone.
Pro Tips:
Identify the range of consolidation, looking for clear support around $90,000 and a defined upper resistance.
Consider range-bound trading strategies within this consolidation, but be prepared for a potential breakout.
Phemex Grid Bots is one of the best tools to stay Profitable in Consolidate then Breakout scenario.
3. Potential Retest of $90,000
It's possible that Bitcoin could retrace to retest the $90,000 level as new support before continuing its upward trajectory. This is a common occurrence after significant breakouts.
Pro Tips:
Watch for strong buying pressure if the price retraces to the $90,000 level, indicating it's holding as support.
Look for bullish reversal candlestick patterns around the $90,000 zone.
Consider entering long positions on a successful retest with clear bullish confirmation.
Place stop-loss orders below the $90,000 level to manage risk in case the support fails.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's breakout above the $90,000 barrier is a significant bullish development. While sustained upward momentum is a strong possibility, traders should also be prepared for potential consolidation or a retest of the breakout level. By carefully monitoring volume, identifying key support and resistance levels, and implementing appropriate risk management strategies, traders can position themselves to capitalize on the potential opportunities presented by Bitcoin's current price action.
Pro Tips:
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Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Is the Altcoin Season Over?Is the Altcoin Season Over?
What's truly unfolding for Bitcoin is precisely the weekly analysis I've laid out for you. While many of you might be eagerly anticipating an extraordinary altcoin season, the harsh reality is that there isn't going to be one. Instead, we've been riding a Bitcoin-dominated season. And once the trend you see in the chart plays out, the market will essentially come to a close, paving the way for a heavy downward spiral for both altcoins and Bitcoin. It's a bitter truth, but it's the reality we're facing
cash on BTCits time for profit taking for some,
possible scenarios
atleast 200% can be made here
cleary there there was an inverse HnS with target until 96K the price is likey
to csmash that resisttant line and peak up yo 106K where the initial reversal began in Jan. could it be a triple top and continue decline below 60k OR make its way towards our weekly main target tagged below
good luck
Just a bearish thought following this huge pump for BTCParty pooper alert!!! I just want to give the bearish view for context here for anyone new in the group. Pulling a FIB gives us a golden pocket at approx 87k which is also confluent with the Value area low (VAL - 86,962) from the high range that is the yellow box. Don't forget to pay yourselves and have the capital if we do return to 87k... just my thoughts.... what do you think?????
BTCUSDT – Absorption in progress...📊 BTCUSDT – Absorption in progress, swing high targeted before a potential dump?
Price is moving in a clean bullish structure with a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS),
but under the surface, we can clearly see signs of absorption, which could signal an upcoming reversal.
📈 Open Interest is rising sharply
🟢 CVD Futures & Spot are both rising → real buying pressure
🔴 Funding remains negative
📊 85% of open positions are longs
🐋 Top traders are massively short
🧱 ➤ Clear absorption: price goes up… but someone is selling into it hard
🎯 Current hypothesis:
🧠 Longs are being absorbed,
suggesting a short-term rejection is likely,
but before that, price might push higher toward the swing high (92.5–93.5k) to:
Hunt liquidity
Trigger stop losses
Finalize the short trap
📌 Trade plan:
✅ Spike above the swing high
✅ Final absorption / wick trap
✅ Dump back into the Reload Zone (FIB 61.8–78.6%)
❗ Rule: don’t front-run – wait for confirmation:
Sharp rejection after the spike
Spot CVD divergence
Loss of structure + drop in OI
⚖️ The market is tense.
We are likely between the top of absorption… and the beginning of the flush.
Stay patient. Watch closely. Only act on clear confirmation.
🔽Fr🔽
📊 BTCUSDT – Absorption en cours
Le prix évolue dans une structure haussière propre avec un Break of Structure (BOS) validé,
mais les dessous du marché révèlent une absorption nette, qui pourrait annoncer un retournement.
📈 Open Interest en forte hausse
🟢 CVD Futures & Spot haussiers → pression acheteuse réelle
🔴 Funding négatif persistant
📊 85 % de longues sur le marché (Kingfisher)
🐋 Top traders en short massif
🧱 ➤ Absorption claire : le prix monte… mais la contrepartie absorbe tout
🎯 Hypothèse actuelle :
🧠 Une absorption des longs est en cours,
ce qui laisse penser qu’un rejet est probable à court terme,
mais avant cela, le marché pourrait encore pousser vers le swing high (92.5–93.5k) pour :
Chercher la liquidité
Déclencher les stops vendeurs
Finir le short trap
📌 Plan envisagé :
✅ Spike au-dessus du swing high
✅ Absorption finale / mèche piégeuse
✅ Dump en direction de la Reload Zone (FIB 61.8–78.6 %)
❗ Règle : ne pas anticiper – attendre confirmation :
Rejet brutal après le spike
Divergence CVD Spot
Perte de structure + chute OI
⚖️ Le marché est tendu.
On est probablement entre le haut de l’absorption… et le début de la purge.
Rester patient. Observer. Agir sur signal propre.
Bitcoin has broken above the $86,000 zone, just as we anticipateBitcoin has broken above the $86,000 zone, just as we anticipated.
🔹 On-Chain Insights:
• Long-Term Holders: Mild distribution — profit-taking phase
• Network Activity: Steady — strong and healthy
• Sentiment: Bullish — weak USD and rising institutional inflows
🔹 Macro Overview:
• U.S.–China tensions and Fed uncertainty boost Bitcoin’s safe-haven appeal
• Institutions are steadily increasing exposure — a strong positive signal
Stay tuned with megvipofficial for more accurate updates and premium crypto signals!
BTCBitcoin’s sudden price surge in April 2025 is driven by several key factors:
Weakening U.S. Dollar and Treasury Speculation
Bitcoin’s recent rally above $87,700 coincides with a weakening U.S. dollar index (DXY) and market speculation about upcoming U.S. Treasury buybacks, which could inject liquidity and reduce dollar strength, making BTC more attractive as an alternative asset.
Volatile Stock Markets and Safe-Haven Demand
Continued volatility and declines in traditional equity markets have pushed investors toward scarce assets like Bitcoin. Its fixed supply and growing recognition as a store of value amid economic uncertainty support its price gains.
Return of Institutional Money
Institutional investors are flowing back into Bitcoin, increasing demand and trading volumes. This renewed institutional interest adds credibility and liquidity to the market, fueling upward momentum.
Positive Technical and On-Chain Indicators
Technical signals such as a bullish MACD crossover and rising RSI indicate strong buying momentum. On-chain data shows increased active addresses and network activity, suggesting heightened investor engagement.
Influential Social Media and Market Sentiment
A notable tweet by Crypto Rover predicting a $100,000 Bitcoin triggered a surge in trading volume (up 17.8% in 24 hours) and a shift in market sentiment from neutral to greedy, further accelerating price gains through speculative trading and momentum strategies.
Macro Stimulus and Global Monetary Policies
Monetary stimulus measures in China and Europe, alongside expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts later in 2025, are increasing liquidity in global markets. This environment favors risk assets like Bitcoin, which is decoupling from traditional markets and benefiting from global stimulus.
Summary
Factor Impact on Bitcoin Price
Weakening U.S. dollar Boosts BTC as alternative asset
Stock market volatility Drives safe-haven demand
Institutional inflows Increases liquidity and market confidence
Technical and on-chain momentum Signals strong buying pressure
Influential social media Sparks rapid speculative buying
Global monetary stimulus Enhances liquidity, supports risk assets
Bitcoin’s current surge reflects a convergence of macroeconomic uncertainty, technical strength, and renewed investor interest, positioning it for potential further gains towards 100k on break of structure
Bitcoin Will Soon Follow GOLD!!!Bitcoin has just hit the $87,000 mark, breaking out of a classical bullish continuation pattern. This breakout is significant and indicates strong bullish momentum that could lead to further upside. If this momentum continues, Bitcoin has the potential to not only reclaim its previous all-time high but also push beyond into price discovery mode.
Interestingly, this move comes right after Gold printed a new all-time high. Historically, Gold has often led major macro cycles, with Bitcoin following closely behind. This pattern seems to be playing out once again. As investors rotate capital and seek safe havens or inflation hedges, Bitcoin stands to benefit as the digital equivalent of Gold. If history repeats, Bitcoin could be on the verge of its next major rally.
From a technical standpoint, the breakout is supported by increasing volume and bullish momentum indicators such as RSI and MACD. The key support now lies around the $85K– GETTEX:87K zone, which previously acted as resistance. If price holds above this level, the next targets to watch are $90K and the psychological $100K mark.
That said, proper risk management is crucial. The market is moving fast, and while the setup is bullish, it’s important to have a well-defined stop-loss strategy in place. Avoid chasing price—wait for clean retests or consolidations if you missed the initial breakout. Momentum may be in the bulls’ favor, but discipline keeps you in the game.
Bitcoin has made its move. Gold has shown the way. If the historical correlation holds true, Bitcoin may be just getting started. Stay focused and manage your risk wisely.
BTCUSDT KEY LEVELS FOR 22 AND 23/04/2025// All credit goes to Tony for the concept of this indicator. His Trading View link: tradingview.com/u/tony_fx_sm/
// Note: The calculation method in this indicator differs from Tony's, but the concept is derived from his work.
I want to make it clear that I am not a seller, and this method was not taught to me by anyone. The original creator only gave me one clue:
👉 "If you get one level, you get all levels."
Everything else—the way I nail it the method and applied it—is my own work. I respect the original idea, but my approach is independent.
Explanation:
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
Entry/Exit Points:
- Entry/Exit Lines: Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- Stop Loss: For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- Take Profit: For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
Timeframe:
Use a 15 mins timeframe for trading.
Risk Disclaimer:
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details
Emotional Management — The Hidden ComponentIn this piece, I’ll touch on one of the most important topics — a core obstacle on the path to consistent and profitable trading.
We need to explore where certain emotions come from and how to work with them in order to better understand ourselves. What truly fits our nature, what common mistakes we make, and how to avoid them moving forward.
Until we learn how to navigate these internal roadblocks, we won’t be able to achieve stable financial results.
The Scariest Part
Let’s get straight to the point. The scariest thing that can happen to us in trading is a stop-loss being hit — in other words, taking a loss on a trade.
Scary? I don’t think so. This is a parameter we can control ourselves.
If we’re building a setup, we must define the size of the stop-loss — the amount we’re willing to risk if things go wrong.
And keep in mind: this risk will always be there, no matter how experienced or skilled you become. Don’t fall into the trap of thinking that this time is different — that this setup feels so strong, so obvious, that there’s no way it could fail.
Spoiler: that’s exactly when you should start tracking your trades.
Every time you feel this kind of overconfidence, log it in a spreadsheet. I can already tell you what you’ll find: 1 to 3 out of 10 of those “super strong” setups will end up hitting your stop. Which means — your feeling of conviction had zero correlation with how price actually moved. The market simply didn’t care what you thought about it.
And one step further: even if your technical model is solid and well-developed, you still can’t predict the future with certainty. That means you also can’t ever be 100% sure your stop won’t get hit.
Does that make sense? Good — let’s move on.
Loss
Since we’re not all-powerful, we have to use stop-losses — and calculate them in a way that, at the very least, doesn’t make us feel pain when they’re hit. At the same time, the stop should be set at an optimal level, so we still feel the potential for profit. Otherwise, our brain won’t engage with the market properly — it won’t sense the reward, and that can distort our analysis.
This often leads to vague, low-quality setups — but even that is far less dangerous than oversizing positions to the point where potential losses feel unbearable.
See that fine line? Most of trading psychology and emotional control comes down to how we relate to loss. That’s where the real pressure is rooted.
Emotional Space
We experience both negative and positive emotions — that’s the full spectrum.
Your trading will only be high-quality if you avoid emotional imbalance. In other words, you need to stay centered and calm. Any excess emotional charge — whether negative or positive — will inevitably work against you.
If you’re stuck in the negative zone, you’ll start feeling anger and frustration, which will cloud your judgment and prevent you from thinking clearly during the trading process.
But being too far into the positive zone is just as dangerous — it leads to greed and overconfidence, which often result in oversized positions and dangerously wide stop-losses.
Both ends of the spectrum, if left unchecked, will push you into tilt — a state where you can no longer evaluate reality objectively and start making impulsive decisions. This is how traders end up losing a significant part — if not all — of their account.
The Algorithm
Let’s go back to what we covered earlier — the core catalyst behind tilt: violating your predefined stop-loss size.
You must first determine a loss amount that feels emotionally tolerable to you. Ideally, this number should be fixed, and you should never exceed it (except later, as your account grows). Once you’ve done that, you now have a simple algorithm: you build your setups using the same fixed-risk amount — and under no circumstances should you go beyond that limit.
This creates awareness in the brain. It knows the predefined threshold, is prepared for a negative outcome, and remains calm. Imagine a circle — as long as you stay within it, in your zone of comfort, you can operate with clarity and discipline.
But the moment you step outside that circle, your mind starts to feel stress. And if you don’t catch yourself in time, that stress escalates — leading you straight into a tilt state.
Emotional Triggers
Here’s where it gets both complicated — and surprisingly simple. All you need to do is follow one rule. But even that becomes difficult for many, because they give in to greed — the kind that pushes you to increase position size just because the setup “feels certain” (something I’ve already mentioned before).
On the other side of the spectrum, anger and frustration start to build — especially if you’ve just taken a loss and your mind shifts into “recovery mode.”
That emotional urge makes you want to win it all back quickly, so you raise the size of your next trade — planning to return to your original account balance first, and then go back to your normal risk-management rules. That’s a fatal mistake.
Here’s my advice: when you're in a drawdown — emotionally and financially — you should actually lower your stop size, not increase it, until you get back to a neutral baseline.
Both negative emotions (sadness, anger, frustration, disappointment) and positive ones (joy, excitement, euphoria) can push you to break your risk limits. The emotional trigger may be different, but the outcome is the same: you oversize.
The only time you should be trading is when you're in a neutral state of mind — for example, operating from a place of interest or curiosity.
It’s All in Our Hands
Understand this: we are the only ones truly responsible for executing our plan. If we increase our position size beyond what we should — that’s on us. If you know you’re making a mistake, why let it happen anyway? We control the entire process. If we truly don’t want to blow the account, we won’t — because we’ve calculated the risk beforehand.
Let me repeat: if we follow the plan and don’t act impulsively, we will never blow our account. That’s the foundation for building consistency in trading.
But the more unstable our emotional state becomes, the easier it is to step outside that “mental circle” and trigger a stress response. That stress inevitably leads to tilt. You’ll start reacting to everything — someone was rude to you, a fear of not having money for food, whatever. It all begins to pour into your trading: chaotic entries, random sizing, total abandonment of your risk rules. And in most cases, this spiral ends with one thing — a blown account.
The Solution
That’s why you should always monitor your emotional state — and ideally, keep a journal where you track how you feel each day. The moment you notice that you’re starting to lose control, step away from trading immediately. That’s the smartest decision you can make. I say this from experience — it’s been proven many times.
Yes, it’s hard to do — I get it. But remind yourself of this: if you keep trading in that state, there’s a high chance you’ll lose a significant part of your account. And when that happens, you’ll feel even worse — blaming yourself for not stepping away when you could have.
So yes, it’s difficult — but still far easier than dealing with the damage. The best move is to shut down your trading platform and avoid looking at charts for at least three full days. Shift your focus to something else entirely — anything that helps you stop obsessing over the market.
When those thoughts disappear — the ones about urgently making money back or hitting a certain target — that’s when you’re ready to return to trading with a clear and steady mindset.
The Takeaway
This is the core of what happens inside us — and how to respond to it. In most cases, this is the exact cycle that plays out. Everything else — more unique emotional patterns, sudden urges to break your own limits — will emerge with time.
Your job is to learn how to spot those triggers, notice your internal reactions, and pull yourself away from the screen before the damage is done.
Wishing you strength and clarity on this path.
Crypto is brutal to navigate alone!The truth is, crypto is brutal, and the market doesn't wait for anyone!
If you're sitting on the sidelines right now, you're missing out, but if you FOMO in here now on CRYPTOCAP:BTC , you may be down 10% next week!
Unless you are full-time in crypto, you should stop trying to time the market!
Stop chasing pumps and start building a strategy that generates consistent returns.
Solid portfolio tracking and understanding high-beta plays on CRYPTOCAP:BTC = a winning edge.
Most won't bother to do it or learn how to.
My students have, but will you?
The Big (BTC) Short*please note that this chart has been "flipped" so is upside down.
It's difficult to ignore the number of indicators and chart patterns that are signalling a move up for Bitcoin:
- Bullish div in daily RSI
- Oversold daily RSI
- Breakout of downtrend (both RSI and chart pattern)
- Near-touch of the previous ATH
Etc
HOWEVER this idea is a "what-if-everyones-wrong" hedge. We've already seen a break in the uptrend that was in play since Oct 23 so it is feasible that if we break through again we could see a significant move down to the sound of -30% which would re-test the 618 fib and is a liquidity-rich Zone.
Entry @ 94K (which ironically is also the 618 measuring from ATH to the local trough @ 74.5K) which coincides with the random "pump" we saw on Sunday 2nd March. I think the crypto God's are telling us something with this particular price point/wick.
Estimated flight time is roughly 2 months (back end of June).
Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 3—2025)When Bitcoin grows, the Altcoins grow. It is easy to know when the Altcoins will be growing if Bitcoin is moving up with momentum, but what happens when Bitcoin isn't doing anything, just sideways?
When the Altcoins grow, Bitcoin grows. It is easy to know what will happen to Bitcoin by tracking the Altcoins market. Right now, many Altcoins are breaking bullish three digits green on the day. This is the first time since August and November 2024, before a major bullish impulse. This type of action reveals that the Altcoins market is set to grow.
» When the Altcoins grow, Bitcoin grows. The Altcoins are starting to grow now, which means that Bitcoin will do the same. This is now confirmed.
Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 3)
The market is turning bullish and this is no longer my speculative opinion, this is now a confirmed fact. You can always go to any Cryptocurrency exchange and look at the list of trading pairs, sort the listing to show the top earners first and you have your proof. Whenever there are many pairs, true projects not scam coins, growing 2-3 digits green, that means that the market is bullish.
See for yourself and tell me what you see. Knowing this, let me do an analysis for you, which one is your favorite Altcoin pair? What is your TOP Choice? Which Altcoin will you pick?
Leave a comment with the trading pair you want me to look at. Make sure to add some questions; What would you like to know about the project in question and the chart? What is your trading strategy? Are you trading short-term or long-term? Are you a reporter, a writer, a reader or a trader?
Are you serious about Crypto or just passing by?
How long have you been in this market?
Have you been successful before?
Do you use mindfulness for trading?
Do you process stress through exercise, eating, fasting, drugs or meditation?
What method do you use to handle the stress that comes from engaging the market?
What are your goals?
Share some information together with your pair so that I can do a personalized analysis based on what you want.
I will respond your comment with a published analysis or an analysis on the comment reply. One condition though, the trading pair must be available on this TradingView platform with at least 6 months of data for the analysis to be viable.
Let's find some great Altcoins. The BTC pairs are in a great situation right now and great prices are still possible but not for long.
The time is now, which one will be Your Top Altcoin Choice?
See you in the comments section below.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Confirmed Bullish Trend
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with your daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin continued accumulating around our marked level of $87,000 without dropping below it.
Today, we broke the key high of $88,800 and are now seeing a surge in volume.
Our main scenario remains a continuation of the uptrend toward the next sell zone or until we encounter abnormally strong market or limit sell pressure (a sharp volume spike followed by a failure to hold above, or a technical trend break).
At this stage, it's important to secure a position above $90,500 — in that case, the current volume spike may act as support, providing a good opportunity to join the long side.
If not, we expect a return to the $88,000 area.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume),
$97,500–$98,400 (initiative pushing volumes),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
$90,300–$89,500 (potential pushing volume zone),
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling),
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume),
$82,700–$81,400 (high-volume area),
Level at $74,800,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume).
This publication is not financial advice.