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BTCUPUSDT trade ideas

BTC Technical Resistance| .618 Fiboancci| Trend Bitcoin is currently facing a key moment in price structure as it approaches a significant high time frame resistance zone. Price is testing a major confluence level at $87,459 — a technical cluster that may serve as a ceiling for this leg of the move. This zone includes multiple overlapping indicators, increasing the likelihood of a potential rejection and pullback. Key Points: Bitcoin is testing $87,459 — a zone of major confluence between key technical indicators. The area includes the .618 Fibonacci level, value area high, and VWAP pool. Current conditions present risk for longs, with better opportunities likely at lower levels. This current region is one of the most critical resistance zones seen in recent weeks. The $87,459 level aligns with several technical tools: the 4618 Fibonacci extension, the value area high from recent ranges, and a VWAP pool, all of which act as strong resistance when combined. Price action here is showing signs of hesitation, and failure to cleanly break above could trigger a short-term reversal. Internally, even the daily chart is suggesting caution, as the structure begins to show exhaustion signals. Momentum has slowed, and the move feels extended without a healthy pullback. Given the number of traders likely to be trapped in longs here, the market could easily rotate lower and flush out overleveraged positions, reinforcing the idea that this level is a logical rejection point. From a trade management perspective, this is a risky place to long. While some scalpers may attempt to catch upside continuation, the higher-probability long setups will emerge only after a pullback to more favorable demand zones. Until then, patience is warranted for bullish entries. What to Expect in the Coming Price Action: A rejection from the $87,459 region could lead to a retracement toward the $74,000 area, where support is more clearly defined. For bullish continuation, Bitcoin must first reclaim and hold above this resistance zone with strength. Until then, longs remain high risk, and a move lower offers a better reward-to-risk scenario for positioning.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
Bitcoin Analysis: Macro Tailwinds + Tape Reading = The Perfect B🌍 Bitcoin Analysis: Macro Tailwinds + Tape Reading = The Perfect Bulltrap (or a Historic Breakout) Published by: Pôncio Pacífico — The Portuguese God of Derivatives ⚡ Macro Context: Global Instability Is Pushing Bitcoin Up (For Now) In the last 48 hours, Bitcoin has surged nearly 3%, hitting $87,500. This happened while: The U.S. dollar weakened amid political instability (Trump challenging the Fed's authority) Gold hit a new all-time high above $3,370/oz Global equity markets corrected and bond yields declined 🔎 Sources: Bloomberg & Reuters Bitcoin is behaving like a risk-off asset. Bullish at first glance, but the tape tells a more sinister story... 🕵️ On-Chain & Order Flow Analysis (last 5 days) Delta: Negative delta candles with price still rising → classic short squeeze behavior Open Interest: Increased during the pump, then flattened → sign of trapped FOMO longs Volume: Strong at the beginning of the move, now fading while price still climbs → exhaustion? Conclusion: we’re seeing short liquidations + late long entries = DANGER ZONE. 📊 Institutional Trading Scenarios (Macro + Tape Reading) 🚑 SCENARIO A: Bulltrap in Progress (most likely) Short entry: $87,850–$88,000 Stop loss: $88,200 Target 1: $87,100 Target 2: $86,200 Trigger: Weak volume + flat delta + rising OI (FOMO) 🌪 SCENARIO B: Controlled Pullback, Institutional Re-entry Long entry: $86,300 Stop: $85,800 Target 1: $87,500 Target 2: $88,800 Trigger: Volume spike + positive delta + stable OI ⚡ SCENARIO C: Authentic Breakout Entry: $88,100 Stop: $87,600 Target: $89,800–90,000 Trigger: Aggressive delta + visible liquidations + strong volume breakout 💭 Final Pôncio Proclamation "Macro says buy. Tape says wait. Combine both and you realize: whoever buys now without a plan... is paying for the market makers' champagne brunch." Share this if you don’t want your gym buddy to long the top again. #BTC #Futures #TapeReading #CryptoAnalysis #MacroTrading #InstitutionalTools #VolumeProfile #OpenInterest #ShortSqueeze
by NunoSid
Bitcoin (BTC): Seems Like Bigger Long Squeeze, Expecting DropBitcoin has had a strong recovery since our liquidity candle, which barely touched our major support zone. We think this is just a bigger long squeeze to gather more longs into the market in order to get them liquidated on the way toward the proper retest of that support zone so we are still looking to see the drop in the markets and only then start looking for some sort of market structure break on bigger timeframes. Swallow Academy
Short
by SwallowAcademy
5
Are you making this common mistake?There’s a huge mistake nearly everyone in crypto makes that kills their portfolio after one cycle. Read this to make sure you are not doing it! Most crypto investors take huge risks without realizing it, and you probably are too. They chase random altcoins and think that if they pump, they'll break even on all their other losses or get rich! This often leads them through a cycle of despair, which makes them give up after a few big losses. Instead, crypto investors should focus on CRYPTOCAP:BTC for the majority of a cycle and only concentrate on strong altcoins that show resilience during CRYPTOCAP:BTC sell-offs as we approach alt season. Then, they should track their portfolio like a pro to monitor their performance and change things where necessary. If you are not currently doing this, but would like to begin, then message me to see how I can help you @CryptoJayTrades
by CryptoJayTrades
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #68👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures session triggers for New York. 🔄 Yesterday's Analysis In yesterday’s analysis, I told you that since the 84363 level was broken, RSI had entered Oversell, and selling volume had increased — if sellers were truly stronger than buyers, the price could drop to 83233. But if that didn’t happen and the price returned above 84363, we could say the move was fake and both the momentum and selling pressure were also fake — and the price could move upward. 👀 As you can see, that’s exactly what happened. The move turned out to be a fake break, and the price reversed. With this fakeout, we could have opened a position in the lower timeframes — as shown in the chart I provided. In the 15-minute time frame, after the fakeout of 84363, the price formed a top at 84633, and with a strong breakout candle, the trigger was activated and the price moved upward — reaching a 15:1 risk-to-reward ratio so far. 🚀 Another position could have been opened in the 1-hour time frame, where we could have entered after breaking 85126. As you can see, the candle closed above this level, the price moved up, and the position reached a 5:1 risk-to-reward. ⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame In the 1-hour time frame, as you can see, the price moved up to 87562 and has now been rejected from this level. The RSI has also exited the Overbuy zone. ✔️ To continue the upward trend and open a long position, for now — since the market hasn’t formed much structure yet — you can enter on the break of 87562. But if more structure forms, you can enter on the break of the new structure or a pullback to the SMA25. 📉 For a short position, we need to wait for now, because market momentum is bullish, and in my opinion, we shouldn’t trade against the trend. So, if you want to short, wait for a trend reversal, or for the price to fall back below 85550, which would invalidate the whole move as a fakeout. 💥 Keep an eye on momentum oscillators like RSI today. If RSI enters Overbuy again, there’s a strong chance of a new bullish wave starting. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Bitcoin Dominance also moved upward yesterday in sync with the overall market, reaching 64.12. ☘️ If the price can stabilize above 64.12, the next bullish leg of BTC dominance will start. The first trigger for a bearish shift in BTC dominance is the break of 63.67. 📅 Total2 Analysis Now let’s look at Total2. Yesterday, the 965 level was broken and the price moved up to 980, but — just like Bitcoin — it was rejected from that level and is now pulling back. 🔼 To continue the bullish move, breaking 980 will be a valid trigger. For short positions, we need to wait for a trend reversal. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Looking at Tether Dominance (USDT.D), as you can see, it also had a sharp move yesterday, breaking 5.44 and 5.39, and reaching 5.32. ✨ The key support for the past few days was at 5.39, and now that this level is broken, the price dropped to 5.32 where it found support. 🎲 Continuation of the bearish trend in USDT dominance requires a break of 5.32. For a bullish reversal, we need to wait for a clear change in trend. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
5
BTC - A fake out ? -Green rising Channel broke 2 days ago and get retested. That retest was same previous highs too. Green rising channel was given 3 days ago (look at image 1 below). Price is hovering above lower line of green channel and upper TL of blue channel and hVn. There are some divergences in Volume. 4h CVD has a Div too, but 4h CVD is not a tool which i look at often. CVD is much better at lower TF. Bybit has more bearish volume Divs (obv, ad) than Binance. Bybit has bearish divergence in CVD in every TF 15min-4h. 🧐 😆 POC of the both rising Ranges were bought with buy imbalances. (image 2-3) Follow for more ideas/Signals.💲 Just donate some of your profit to Animal rights or other charity :)✌️
by Free-TA-Signal
1
BTCUSDT Weekly Analysis — Potential Reversal or Trend Continuati📊 BTCUSDT Weekly Analysis Technical Outlook — April 21, 2025 🔍 Current Market Condition: Bitcoin is trading within a long-term ascending channel on the weekly timeframe. Price is approaching a crucial decision zone around $87,000–$90,000, marked by previous resistance and mid-channel structure. 🧩 Key Technical Highlights: Price is retesting midline of the ascending channel. Stochastic shows potential bullish cross from the oversold area. Multiple resistance zones ahead: $90K, $100K, and $110K. Support below at $75K and then 54K levels. Structure suggests potential for a bounce or a deeper correction. 📈 Possible Scenarios: Bullish: If BTC breaks and holds above $90,000, we may see a continuation towards $100K and $110K. A bullish Stochastic cross would strengthen this case. Bearish: Failure to break $90,000 and a rejection from resistance could send BTC back toward $75K or even worse $54K. Watch for bearish divergence or weakness in momentum indicators. 📌 Important Note: BTC is at a pivotal zone; traders should monitor macroeconomic news and market sentiment closely, especially with halving hype potentially priced in. If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Long
by MarketsPOV
Market overview WHAT HAPPENED? Last week we reached a significant sell area. At the moment, there were strong volume anomalies from the seller. Our main scenario was a correction. But by the middle of the week, after a prolonged flat, the seller began to weaken noticeably. Attempts to update the local minimum didn’t bring results. The scenario was rearranged in the direction of long-range movement. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? We’ve already updated the local maximum on an increased volume. The main priority is long. After updating the $88,800 extreme, the road to $95,000 will be opened. At the same time, the price of $87,000 will act as a support level for a decline. At the moment, strong buyer activity is recorded on it. Sell Zones: $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume), $97,500–$98,400 (initiative volume pushing upward), $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). Buy Zones: $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume), $82,700–$81,400 (high-volume area), Level at $74,800, $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume). IMPORTANT DATES The macroeconomic events this week: • Wednesday, April 23, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of business activity indices in the US manufacturing and services sectors for April; • Wednesday, April 23, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on new home sales in the United States for March; • Thursday, April 24, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States; • Thursday, April 24, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of sales in the secondary housing market in the United States for March. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
Long
by Crypto_robotics
4
21/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $86,492.19 Last weeks low: $83,112.72 Midpoint: $84,802.45 Is the market finally showing its hand? After President Trumps escalation of the tariff trade war, BTC saw huge volatility swings in line with Tradfi, the panic led to de-risking and as a result BTC hit $74,500. Then after a small bounce another revisit of the exact same area resulted in a much more substantial reversal back up into the $80K's. A double bottom and rally despite the tariff situation ongoing suggests huge support/strength in that area on the HTF, I am now satisfied that BTC has closed the area of imbalance caused by the US election pump, confirming support. This event also coincided with SPX bouncing off the 1D 200 EMA. Since then Bitcoin has rallied back to the upper limit of the downtrend channel (see my previous posts on this structure) which also has the 4H & 1D 200 EMA placed there. For a bullrun to sustain itself these moving averages are important to maintain momentum, time spent under these MA's kill the bullish trend and weaken sentiment around the move. Last week we saw a very tight trading range of only 4%, that is compared to 15.4% the week previous. My theory was that this compression of price around a key area (4H & 1D 200 EMA + trend channel high) leads to a much bigger impulse move, the only question was in which direction? The minute the weekly bar closed BTC exploded above both of these MA's and out of the downtrend, so it looks like the question is answered when it comes to direction of the impulse move. The next question is, will it stick? I do find the timing of the move somewhat suspicious as the majority of Europe are on a public holiday, could this be a MM taking advantage of thin order books? the SPX pre-market is fairly neutral and so I believe tomorrow will tell the true story of where BTC really is.
by ProR35
3
Mid-Term Outlook for Bitcoin: Key LevelsFrom a global perspective, Bitcoin is in a strong uptrend; from a mid-term perspective — in a downtrend; and from a local perspective — in an upward trend. Therefore, in my view, the mid-term downtrend is still unfolding, and only a breakout above the 88,740 level would signal the first real threat to this bearish structure. As long as the price remains below 88,740 and 87,400, the market remains a sell, with a target at 74,456 — a key resistance level. Moreover, if the price indeed reaches 74,456, it’s unlikely that the movement will stop there. There's a high probability that we’ll see further downside toward 70K, 65K, and possibly even 60K in the mid-term. In conclusion: it’s crucial to wait for a breakdown below the purple consolidation area before considering short entries.
Short
by nlt_group
1
BTCUSDT- a double hunting!hello guys! Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined range, showing signs of consolidation after a sharp upward move. The price has recently broken below the range support (~$85,000), suggesting a liquidity hunt or fakeout scenario. The sharp move down indicates a potential stop-loss sweep, targeting liquidity below the range. This is a classic "range bottom hunt" where smart money often drives the price lower to trigger retail stop-losses before a possible bounce back into the range or even continuation upwards. 📌 Key Zone to Watch: – Support area around $83,000 – $82,500 – A strong reaction from this zone could confirm the liquidity grab and initiate a bullish reversal. Outlook: Watching for a bottom wick and strong recovery as confirmation of a false breakdown. If buyers step in, we could see BTC reclaim the range and retest mid or upper boundaries.
Short
by melikatrader94
8
BTC - The power of fibonacci This is a textbook example of how institutional price delivery often unfolds when targeting liquidity and rebalancing inefficiencies. The current BTC 1H chart displays a high-probability short scenario developing after a liquidity sweep, combined with entry into a fair value gap (FVG) chain and Fibonacci-based premium pricing. Let’s break down the mechanics of this setup layer by layer. --- 1. Liquidity Grab Above Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) The first major clue that institutional activity is at play is the clean sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) . - A previous swing high acted as a magnet for liquidity, with stop-loss orders from short sellers and breakout entries from late longs accumulating above this level. - Price pierced above it, only to immediately reverse—this is what we refer to as a liquidity grab , signaling engineered movement designed to fuel larger orders. - This behavior often represents the conclusion of a bullish leg and the transition into a distribution phase or a bearish delivery sequence. This sweep is not random; it's a deliberate market manipulation mechanism—classic of a “trap and reverse” pattern. --- 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Chain: Imbalance as a Magnet After rejecting above the BSL, price began retracing downward, but left behind multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) . These are inefficiencies between price candles where institutional orders did not fully fill. - These FVGs now form what we call a “chain” or cluster, providing a roadmap for price to return and rebalance. - The current move upward is revisiting this chain of inefficiencies, offering a potential re-entry zone for institutions to offload positions accumulated earlier. - FVGs in premium zones (above equilibrium) are particularly potent—they align with institutional interest to sell at value. This aligns with the concept that price often returns to inefficiencies before continuing its true direction—especially when paired with a prior liquidity grab. --- 3. Golden Pocket and the Premium Zone Confluence The retracement found a reaction at the Golden Pocket level (0.618–0.65 Fibonacci zone) , which is significant not just for its mathematical roots but for how frequently smart money uses it for mitigation and continuation entries. - The zone lines up directly with the FVG chain, creating a powerful confluence zone where institutional footprints are likely to reappear. - This area is within a clear premium pricing territory , above the 0.5 Fibonacci mark—ideal for distribution in bearish re-accumulation setups. This convergence of technical signals bolsters the case that the current move upward is a mere retracement, not a genuine trend reversal. --- 4. Market Structure Context From a structural point of view: - Price has transitioned from a range into a lower high formation after the BSL sweep. - The series of lower highs and lower lows began forming after the grab, which implies a potential shift in short-term order flow. Combine this with the FVG chain and the premium pricing—it paints a narrative of bearish continuation rather than trend expansion to the upside. --- 5. Institutional Narrative: Engineering, Repricing, and Continuation This setup is less about indicators and more about understanding narrative: - Institutions engineered a liquidity sweep to fill large sell orders at premium pricing. - The imbalance left behind (FVGs) serves as a “pullback magnet” before full bearish delivery. - Price is currently delivering into that inefficiency, likely forming a redistribution schematic. The most probable scenario, given this context, is a rejection within this zone and a continuation to the downside as price seeks to break internal structure and move toward sell-side liquidity (SSL) resting below. --- Conclusion: This chart captures the essence of smart money price delivery: - Sweep → Retrace → Mitigation → Continuation The rejection from the FVG chain and golden pocket zone will be key to confirming this scenario. If price respects this confluence, expect bearish order flow to dominate the next sessions. This is a high-quality setup based on narrative, structure, and liquidity—not random confluence, but a storyline of engineered movement and institutional footprints.
Short
by Louigi_24
31
BTC New Update (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section We are now within the red circle from the previous analysis, but it seems that wave e of the pattern has extended a bit further. There’s a clear order block on the chart, and below this order block, there is a liquidity pool. We expect a reaction to the red zone For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
Market Structure Shift (MSS) & Break of Structure (BOS) - GuideIntroduction Understanding market structure is fundamental to becoming a consistently profitable trader. Two key concepts that Smart Money traders rely on are the Break of Structure (BOS) and the Market Structure Shift (MSS) . While they may seem similar at first glance, they serve different purposes and signal different market intentions. In this guide, we will break down: - The difference between BOS and MSS - When and why they occur - How to identify them on your charts - How to trade based on these structures - Real chart examples for visual clarity --- Break of Structure (BOS) A Break of Structure is a continuation signal. It confirms that the current trend remains intact. BOS typically occurs when price breaks a recent swing high or low in the direction of the existing trend . Key Characteristics: - Happens with the trend - Confirms continuation - Can be used to trail stops or add to positions Example: In an uptrend: - Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL) form - Price breaks above the last HH → BOS to the upside --- Market Structure Shift (MSS) Market Structure Shift signals a potential reversal . It occurs when price breaks a significant swing level against the prevailing trend and is often followed by a shift in the internal structure (e.g., lower highs after higher highs). Key Characteristics: - Happens against the trend] - Signals possible trend reversal - Often occurs after a liquidity grab or stop hunt - Optional: is created by a displacement candle Example: In an uptrend: - Price takes out a significant high (liquidity grab) - Then aggressively breaks the most recent HL → MSS to the downside --- How to Identify BOS and MSS For BOS: 1. Determine the current trend. 2. Identify swing highs/lows. 3. Look for price breaking past these levels in the same direction as the trend . For MSS: 1. Look for signs of exhaustion or liquidity grabs near swing highs/lows. 2. Watch for price to break against the trend structure . 3. Confirm with a shift in internal structure (e.g., lower highs start forming in an uptrend). --- Using BOS and MSS in Your Trading Strategy With BOS: - Use it to confirm trend continuation - Add to your position after a retracement into an OB or FVG - Trail your stop-loss below the most recent HL or above LH With MSS: - Look for confluence (liquidity sweep + MSS = strong signal) - Use it to spot early reversal entries - Wait for a confirmation candle or structure shift on LTF (1m, 5m, 15m) - If the displacement candle is too big you can wait for the retest --- Common Mistakes to Avoid - Confusing BOS with MSS - Ignoring higher timeframe context - Trading MSS too early without confirmation - Chasing BOS without waiting for a proper retracement Pro Tip: Use BOS/MSS with confluences like SMT Divergence, IFVGs, or key session times for higher probability setups. --- Final Thoughts Mastering BOS and MSS will give you an edge in understanding price delivery and anticipating market moves. BOS confirms strength in the current trend, while MSS warns of a possible reversal and new trend forming. Combine these with smart money tools, and you’ll be equipped to enter the market like a pro. Happy Trading!
Education
by Louigi_24
45
BTCUSDTIf a strong bullish candle closes above the marked level, I will consider entering a long position on BTC/USDT. Additionally, there is a clear bullish divergence, and the price has retraced from the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which supports the potential for a continuation of the uptrend. If the price break out of the current consolidation zone with a strong bullish impulse, it would confirm a bullish flag pattern, indicating the possibility for BTC to rally towards the 130,000 level
Long
by addimasud1
Bitcoin crash back to $74,000I hope the chart is self explanatory as don't want to make this long. I added some trendlines for the visual learners. Bitcoin did not meets its monthly correction target of $74000, we pump right before...Its not very wise to buy randomly- You want to buy at a key level for higher probability...If the bull run ought to continue. Don't you think for such a big move its more likely to react from important key levels where most the demand is waiting? 2ndly the weekly tf is still bearish. We flipped bullish on daily but price is high and struggling to clear 85k. 4hr already flipped back bearish. Next point is that there is still a lot of uncertainty around tariffs, while market is not reacting to tariffs news as strongly as it did before its still factor of uncertainty. An important factor Next point. In yesterdays Speech by Jerome powell he clearly stated that inflation likely to rise due to tariffs he also clearly stated they not ready to jump in and 'save the stock market' And he said they not looking to make any adjustments to interest rates at the moment. They still playing it cautious-waiting on more data. For me the likely bottom signal when it comes to fundamental will be the lowering of interest rates. On the bullish side, gold been making ATHs on a regular now and many are starting to speculate that bitcoin is next...that's a possibility but so far we haven't seen any strong sign of that narrative playing out in the chart. I think this is 1 final trap before the actual continuation of the bull-run. For invalidation -I would like to see a very clear breakout out on the day and weekly closing above 89k with volume confirmation. I called bitcoin top from December of last year with target of $74000. And its still in effect. Now, let's see if am right again. I believe I am.
Short
by Filnft
1