Support around 115854.56-116868.0 is the key
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The DOM(60) indicator of the 1W chart is generated at the 119177.56 point, and the DOM(60) indicator of the 1D chart is generated at the 119086.64 point, and then shows a downward trend.
However, since the HA-High indicator is formed at the 115854.56 point, it is difficult to say that it has yet turned into a downward trend.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether it is supported in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section.
The next volatility period is expected to occur around July 25 (July 24-26).
However, the important volatility period is expected to be around August 2-5 (maximum August 1-6), so we need to look at what kind of movement it shows as it passes through the volatility period that will occur in the future.
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Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold zone, there is a possibility that the decline will be restricted.
Therefore, the key is whether there is support around 115854.56-116868.0.
This is because if it falls below the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility that a downtrend will begin.
Also, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is rising around 115854.56, it can be seen as an important zone.
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An indicator called Trend Check has been added to the OBV indicator.
This indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the StochRSI, PVT-MACD oscillator, and OBV indicators and expresses them in a column.
Accordingly, if the TC indicator rises from the 0 point, it can be interpreted that the buying force is dominant, and if it falls, the selling force is dominant.
Therefore, if it rises above 0, it is likely to show an upward trend, and if it falls below 0, it is likely to show a downward trend.
Also, if the TC indicator touches the highest point (6) or lowest point (-6), there is a high possibility that the trend will reverse, so you should think about a response plan for this.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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BTCUPUSDT trade ideas
Local Top Confirmed, Short-Term Bearish Pressure BuildingBTC/USDT 1H – Local Top Confirmed, Short-Term Bearish Pressure Building
📍 Timeframe: 1 Hour
📍 Exchange: MEXC
📍 Pair: BTC/USDT
📍 Bias: Short-term bearish, watching for support re-test near 116k
Market Context:
BTC broke out aggressively earlier in the week, pushing above the 120k psychological level before forming a local top near 122k. Since then, we’ve seen:
A strong rejection wick at the top
Lower highs forming
A bearish engulfing candle marking the shift in momentum
Technical Observations:
Bearish Signs:
MACD histogram rolling over, showing fading bullish momentum
QQE MOD flipping red, indicating a shift toward bearish control
RSI crossing below 50 and trending downward — loss of bullish strength
A clean rejection off recent highs, creating a double top feel
Volume on the recent sell candle is higher than average, suggesting strength in the move down
Support Zones to Watch:
116.5k: Prior breakout zone and most recent demand zone
114.8k – 115.2k: Volume consolidation area; if broken, may invite sharper downside
112k: Key structure zone from previous sideways range
Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Continuation (more likely short term):
Break below 116.5k could lead to fast drop to 114.8k support
RSI and MACD momentum align with this move
Look for breakdown confirmation with volume spike + close under structure
Bullish Reversal (less likely unless invalidation):
Hold above 116.5k + reclaim of 118.2k with strength
RSI must turn up above 50 and MACD histogram flip blue
Could target re-test of 120k–121k if bullish momentum returns
Trading Approach:
Short-term traders may look for pullbacks to short under 118k with 116.5k as the first target
Swing traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation at 116k–115k zone before considering long re-entries
Avoid chasing breakouts — let the market confirm direction first
Conclusion:
BTC on the 1H chart shows signs of exhaustion after a strong run. The market is leaning toward a correction phase. Watch the key support levels — they will dictate whether this is a short-term dip or the start of a deeper move.
Bitcoin Technical Setup: Support Holds, Eyes on $118,600Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected in the previous ideas and finally completed the CME Gap($117,255-$116,675) in the last hours of the week. ( First Idea _ Second Idea )
Before starting today's analysis, it is important to note that trading volume is generally low on Saturday and Sunday , and we may not see a big move and Bitcoin will move in the range of $121,000 to $115,000 ( in the best case scenario and if no special news comes ).
Bitcoin is currently trading near the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($116,881-$115,468) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Support lines .
According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin had a temporary pump after the " GENIUS stablecoin bill clears House and heads to Trump's desk " news, but then started to fall again, confirming the end of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . Now we have to wait for the next 5 down waves or the corrective waves will be complicated .
I expect Bitcoin to rebound from the existing supports and rise to at least $118,600 . The second target could be the Resistance lines .
Do you think Bitcoin will fill the CME Gap($115,060-$114,947) in this price drop?
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $121,519-$119,941
Do you think Bitcoin can create a new ATH again?
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $114,700
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
**BTC/USDT Monthly Analysis: Navigating Key Resistance****Overview:**
On the monthly timeframe, Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting significant strength as it approaches a pivotal historical resistance zone. This multi-year resistance, ranging approximately from **$115,000 to $120,000**, represents a critical inflection point for the asset.
**Key Observations:**
1. **Historical Resistance Test:** The current price action sees BTC challenging a formidable resistance level that has previously acted as a major ceiling. A decisive breakout above this zone, supported by strong volume, would signal a continuation of the bullish trend towards new all-time highs.
2. **RSI Bearish Divergence:** A notable observation on the Monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is the presence of **bearish divergence**. While price has made higher highs, the RSI has printed lower highs, indicating a potential weakening in bullish momentum. This divergence suggests that the current upward move might be losing steam and could precede a healthy price correction or consolidation phase. This is a crucial cautionary signal for long-term holders and potential new entrants.
**Outlook:**
The bullish macro trend for Bitcoin remains intact, yet the confluence of strong historical resistance and a developing bearish divergence on the monthly RSI warrants caution. Traders should closely monitor for a clear break and sustained close above the $120,000 level to confirm further upside. Conversely, a rejection from this resistance zone could lead to a significant retracement to key support levels.
**Disclaimer:** This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
**M. Kiani**
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BTC Weekly Recap & Outlook 20/07/2025📈 BTC Weekly Recap & Outlook
Market Context:
Price continued its bullish momentum, fueled by institutional demand and supportive U.S. policy outlook.
We captured solid profits by following the game plan I shared earlier (see linked chart below).
🔍 Technical Analysis
✅ BTC made a strong bullish move, breaking into new all-time highs.
📊 The daily RSI entered overbought territory, which signaled the potential for a short-term retracement or consolidation.
Currently, price is ranging, and RSI is cooling off. That tells me the market is likely building energy for the next leg up — but not before a significant liquidity run.
🎯 Game Plan
I'm watching for one of two potential setups:
1️⃣ Liquidity Sweep to the Downside
- A run of the daily swing low
- Into the most discounted range (0.75 Fib zone)
OR
2️⃣ Tap into the Weekly FVG Zone (marked with the purple line)
Either move would create the liquidity and energy needed to fuel a breakout above the equal highs (EQHs) marked by the black line.
🚀 Target
First Target: EQHs (Black Line)
Second Target: Price Discovery (new ATHs)
💬 Let me know your thoughts or drop your own chart ideas below!
📌 Follow for Weekly Recaps & Game Plans
If you found this useful, make sure to follow for weekly BTC updates, market outlooks, and detailed trade plans based on structure and liquidity.
BTC #15-minute BTC/USDT chart This 15-minute BTC/USDT chart from Binance shows Bitcoin trading within an ascending channel. Price recently bounced off the lower trendline and a highlighted demand zone around 117,800 USDT, suggesting strong support. The upper channel and resistance near 118,800 USDT may act as potential targets. Short-term momentum appears bullish as long as price holds above the support trendline.
BTC Forming Bullish Triangle!Bitcoin is currently consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle pattern after a strong bullish rally. The price is approaching the apex of the triangle, signaling a potential breakout soon.
The 50 EMA is acting as dynamic support, perfectly aligned with the triangle’s lower trendline, reinforcing the bullish structure.
A confirmed breakout above the triangle resistance could trigger a strong upward move, with a potential target near the $125,000–$130,000 zone.
Cheers
Hexa
BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Bitcoin Price Could test resistance 120K After DeclineBitcoin is consolidating within a range — not showing strong directional momentum yet — and is testing the resistance zone between 120K and 121K.
This is a critical supply zone, where buyers were previously liquidated. It’s a psychological level and might trigger profit-taking or heavy resistance from sellers. If BTC fails to break and hold above the 121K zone, there’s a high probability of a pullback toward the 116.2K–117K area to grab liquidity before a new move.
Former President Donald Trump signing new crypto laws could introduce market-moving fundamentals. However, the impact on price will depend on the content of those regulations:
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for better work.
BTC daily, and 4 hr. Bullish Patterns Stack Up!Looking at the Daily and 4-hour charts for BTC, we can see multiple bullish formations unfolding.
An inverse head and shoulders - daily
A cup and handle - daily
An ascending triangle - daily
Price action looks strong, as we’ve begun the breakout from the neckline on the inverse H&S, as well as the cup and handle and ascending triangle simultaneously, and momentum is building fast.
Also, on the 4-hour chart, there’s a pretty substantial bull pennant taking shape. A breakout here could be the next leg up, and the push needed to keep momentum alive.
Zooming out, when we apply the trend-based Fibonacci extension, it reveals a $131,000 golden pocket, on both the the daily as well as the 4 hr. And that could be a major upside target if these bullish structures hold.
Stay tuned to see if BTC continues its move and sets a new all-time high.
Bitcoin: Promising Patterns and Potential BreakoutBitcoin's recent price action has been nothing short of captivating for traders and analysts alike. On the daily chart, we've observed the formation of an Inverse Head & Shoulders and a Cup & Handle pattern, both of which have now transitioned into a Bull Flag. These bullish signals suggest a strong potential for upward movement.
Zooming into the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, we can see prominent Ascending Triangles taking shape. These patterns are often harbingers of significant breakouts, and it appears that Bitcoin is winding up for a substantial move.
Moreover, when utilizing a Trend-based Fibonacci Extension on the daily timeframe, the golden pocket points to a target of $126k, with the next pocket at $185k. This aligns with historical data and technical indicators, suggesting that Bitcoin might be poised to rewrite history once again.
Stay tuned as we monitor these developments and anticipate what could be a historic breakout for Bitcoin!
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #132👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
📅 1-Hour timeframe
On the 1-Hour timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin is still holding the key support at 116829 and has been ranging between 116829 and 118440 since yesterday.
✨ Today, if the 118440 level breaks, we can open a solid long position. However, I still believe that due to Bitcoin Dominance being in a downtrend, altcoins are a much better choice for opening positions.
✔️ If you're only planning to trade Bitcoin, this trigger is suitable. The next entry points would be 120594 and 122733. If we open positions at all three triggers and the market moves upward, we can get strong risk-to-reward setups since we’ve entered with significant volume across three positions.
📊 If the 116829 level breaks downward, we might see sharper corrections. In that case, the next supports will be the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at Bitcoin Dominance, as you can see, the trend is heavily bearish and moving downward.
⭐ The downtrend in dominance is quite steep, and the next support we have is at 60.49. There’s still room for dominance to drop to this level.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving to Total2, yesterday the 1.46 trigger was activated and price moved to 1.5, and it is now sitting just below that level.
💫 If this level breaks, another bullish wave towards 1.62 could form.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Looking at Tether Dominance, this index is also in a downtrend similar to Bitcoin Dominance, which shows that money is exiting both Bitcoin and Tether and entering altcoins.
🎲 So keep a close eye on altcoins in the coming days, because a lot of capital is flowing into them and they could see significant pumps.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC will be 130 K USD? Potential target 130 000 USDAnalysis of the Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) chart on the MEXC platform indicates a positive upward trend. The price is currently hovering around $117,823, with clear support at approximately $100,000, as confirmed by the lower channel line. Moving averages (MA) suggest a sustained upward trend, and the trend line drawn from the lows points to potential for further growth. The current resistance is in the $120,000-$125,000 range, but if momentum holds and this level is breached, the price could head toward $130,000 in the short to medium term. It is recommended to monitor volume and key support and resistance levels to confirm further upward movement.
Potential TP: 130 000 $
BTCUSD SHORT POSITION = SELLWe can see that BTCUSD consolidated a and ended up given us a possible sell.
To my point of view, we can take a sell position at an Entry = 117878.44 with a proper calculated risk of a SL = 118285.00.
With this short position we can expect to take our profits at the following zones:
TP1: 117509.65
TP2: 117386.65
TP3: 117267.62
TP4: 117066.41
The takes profits are a calculated Risk Reward Ratio of 1.00 to 2.00
It is advisable to use a small lot size or according to your account
BTC/USDT 125k? or 110k fall again?BTC/USDT 4H Analysis – July 20, 2025
The current market structure shows a bullish pennant forming after a strong impulsive move upward, with price consolidating between key support and resistance levels. This pattern, combined with volume signals and key price zones, suggests a potential for a high-volatility breakout.
🔷 Volume Profile & OBV Insights
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator is forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating a volume squeeze. This suggests a potential sudden spike in volume that could confirm the next major move.
Anchored Volume Profile (VPVR) on the right shows a notable low-volume area between 112K–115K. If price breaks below this zone, it could lead to a rapid selloff toward deeper fair value areas due to reduced liquidity support.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price breaks above the pennant resistance and 119.5K liquidity zone, it may signal bullish continuation.
A successful retest of the breakout level as support would confirm strength, opening the door to:
Short-term target: 123K (supply zone and previous swing high)
Mid-term target: 125K (key psychological level and potential ATH)
Watch for confirmation via OBV breakout and strong bullish volume. Failure to sustain above the 118K–119K area could signal a bull trap.
📉 Bearish Scenario
A breakdown below pennant support and the 115K level would likely trigger a move into the low-volume range.
First key downside target: 114.7K–115.7K, which aligns with the Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618 zone) and a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG).
This zone may act as a support or a liquidity grab reversal area.
If this zone fails to hold, deeper downside targets become likely:
FVG 2 (~112K)
Psychological support at 110K, which aligns with strong historical demand and a major VPVR node.
This bearish move may either confirm further downside momentum or present a fakeout opportunity if price sharply reverses from one of these deeper levels.
✅ Summary
BTC is coiled within a bullish pennant, with both bullish continuation and bearish breakdown scenarios in play. Volume confirmation and breakout direction will be key. Traders should monitor how price reacts around the 115K–118K zone for directional clarity. A move beyond this range, especially with volume support, will likely define the next trend leg.
BTC - Ranges overview (update) BTC has been moving nicely lately so let's see where we go from here.
As previously mentioned, we should expect an aggressive move upwards towards 110K and eventually new ATH. As expected we got the move and are now trading around 120K.
IF we fail to hold the sellside at 115K expect us to trade back towards 110K.
IF we hold our current levels expect further upside towards new ATH.
No NEED TO FRONTRUN THE MARKET. BE PATIENT AND TRADE WITH IT.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
Entering Green Markets or Getting Close to Liquidation?They told you it’s a green market, time to buy... but something’s off.
Most major losses begin with a green candle, not a red one!
Before jumping in, ask yourself: why does everything suddenly look so clear?
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin:
Strong volume confirming daily trendline and Fibonacci support signals a potential 8% upside, with a key target near $128,000 📈. This confluence could offer a solid entry opportunity for BINANCE:BTCUSDT traders 🧭.
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
📉 Green Doesn’t Always Mean Safe
Many traders jump into green candles, feeling they’re missing out. But most pumps end where excitement begins. The market isn’t always bullish it’s often just using collective emotion against you.
🧠 They’re Targeting Your Mind, Not Just Your Capital
Whales don’t need your money they need your mind first. The moment you think you're "too late" and must enter now, is often when they’re selling.
💡 You’re Fueling Their Profits, Not Your Trade
Those who bought early are waiting for someone like you. If you enter now, you're not beating the market you’re just helping others close in profit.
🔍 Why Most Liquidations Happen After Green Moves
Contrary to belief, major liquidations often come after green runs. That’s when confidence is high, stops are forgotten, and greed kicks in perfect timing for a rug-pull.
📊 History Doesn’t Repeat It Rhymes (Loudly)
Go back and look at Bitcoin’s chart since 2017. Nearly every major drop followed a smooth-looking pump. It’s not a warning. It’s a recurring pattern.
🎯 Hidden TradingView Tools for Spotting Green Traps
The market looks bullish. But the truth is, many pumps are just emotional traps built to bait late entries. TradingView has tools that, if used right, help you spot these traps before you step into them:
✅ Volume Profile (Fixed Range):
Use this to identify where the most trading volume occurred. If price rises on weak volume, be suspicious. It could be a fakeout or engineered pump by whales.
✅ RSI + Manual Divergence Drawing:
RSI seems simple, but traps often hide when RSI climbs while price action lags. TradingView allows manual drawing spot bearish divergence before the fall.
✅ On-Balance Volume (OBV):
If price is rising and OBV is flat or falling, warning lights should flash. A rally without money inflow is often a visual illusion.
✅ Session Volume HD (from Public Library):
See when most liquidity enters. Many fake bullish moves happen during the Asia session when volume is low and price is easier to manipulate.
✅ Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
If you're looking at the 15-min chart while the 4-hour sits in resistance, you may just be playing into a bull trap. Cross-reference your timeframes.
🧭 How to Avoid the Green Traps
Watch volume, not just candle color
Wait for level confirmations, not hype
Use TradingView’s combo indicators
Always ask: who profits if I enter right now?
✅ Final Thoughts
Not every green candle is hope sometimes it’s bait. The market is after your emotions, not your charts. Step back, zoom out, and use the right tools before you act.
✨ Need a little love!
We pour love into every post your support keeps us inspired! 💛 Don’t be shy, we’d love to hear from you on comments. Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋
📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.
Bitcoin is still bullish (4H)Bitcoin appears to be in a dual bullish structure, currently in the second bullish phase following wave X.
Considering the expansive nature of the correction in the second pattern, it seems we are within an expanding triangle or a diametric structure.
Based on the duration of wave C, it appears that the bullish wave of the second structure is not yet complete.
We expect such fluctuations for Bitcoin in the coming period.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level would invalidate this outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You