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BTCUPUSDT trade ideas

not so much hope is leftBitcoin has found support around the $80,000 level and is currently trading with relatively low volatility. Investors remain cautious due to uncertainty surrounding the impact of tariffs on the global economy and whether a deal can be reached. The market hasn’t dropped to $60,000 yet, largely because there’s still hope that Trump might either secure a deal or abandon the tariff plan altogether. Additionally, many investors are waiting for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on May 7, which is expected to be either bearish or neutral. Overall, the outlook remains bearish, with limited bullish scenarios likely to play out. The probability of a continued downtrend appears high.
by NIJARIO_fundmanager
BTCUSDT – Liquidity Clustered, Volume Lying, and a Trap Brewing BTCUSDT – Liquidity Clustered, Volume Lying, and a Trap Brewing (April 21, 2025) by Pôncio Pacífico – Institutional flow, obscene leverage, zero mercy 📍 Market Context Bitcoin is trapped in a low-volatility chop range between $84.2K and $85.8K. Open Interest is rising while price stays flat = someone is building a position… and someone else is about to be slaughtered. The Asian market is open. So is the manipulation season. 🔎 Key Zones Visible POC: $85.5K – the battlefield of confused traders. Key Resistance: $86.3K – liquidation zone for overconfident shorters. Key Support: $83.8K – emotional refuge of poorly placed longs. 🧠 Institutional Tools (no MACD tourist traps): Delta: Positive, but not supported by real volume = spoofing or passive absorption. Open Interest: Rising during consolidation = trap loading. Bookmap: Hidden sell blocks above = fake breakout incoming. 📉 Trading Plan (2 Scenarios) Scenario A – Squeeze & Dump (most likely) → Quick push to $86.2K–$86.4K to wipe out shorts → Hard reversal targeting $84.7K and $83.8K → Entry: Short @ $86.200 → SL: $86.600 → TP1: $84.700 / TP2: $83.800 Scenario B – Bear Trap with V-Recovery → Fake breakdown to $83.800 to liquidate longs → Snapback reversal into $85.5K+ → Entry: Long @ $83.800 → SL: $83.400 → TP1: $85.500 / TP2: $86.200 🧾 Conclusion BTC is about to explode. Delta and OI scream manipulation. If you’re trading without heatmaps or order flow, you’re funding a market maker’s new yacht. This is not a battle between bulls and bears. It’s between those who read the market... and those who guess it.
by NunoSid
Next Volatility Period: Around April 25-29 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) The key is whether it can receive support near the OBV Line indicator (84349.94) on the 1M chart and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. - (1D chart) (Movement in a wide range) If you look at the lines drawn with multiple lines, you can see that it is currently moving sideways within the section that the fingers are pointing to. It may seem a bit complicated, but the key is in which direction the finger points out. (Narrow range movement) After the volatility period of around April 14-17, there is a possibility that the short-term trend will change. The next volatility period is expected to be around April 25-29 (up to April 24-30). Therefore, the point of interest is whether it will fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and show a downward trend, or rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and show an upward trend. In other words, you need to look at whether it will rise along the trend line (2) or fall along the trend line (4). - As I said before, if the StochRSI indicator is above 50, it is better to focus on finding a selling point. The reason is that even if it rises, the upward trend is likely to be limited. If the trading volume increases explosively when it shows support at a certain support and resistance point or section, it is possible that it will lead to a large increase, but it is a rare case, so it is better to refrain from expecting it. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC. I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have maintained an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges. Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range. In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin Topped in January? Here’s Why That’s Not Crazy.The move BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P from November 2022 looks like a textbook impulse. The third wave extended perfectly to 1.618 of wave one — a classic sign of strength. But here’s the big question: Did the impulse already end in January 2025? If yes, we’re looking at a nearly ideal structure: 🔹 Wave 3 — extended to 1.618 🔹 Wave 5 ≈ Wave 1 (typical after an extended 3rd) 🔹 Fib zone 0.382–0.618 of wave 0–3 — perfectly hit 🔹 Sentiment — peak euphoria in January: BTC in national reserves, mass media hype 🔹 Volume spike — a sign of potential distribution at the top 📌 Possible scenarios: 1️⃣ The impulse is complete, and we’re already in a corrective phase — even if the market doesn’t realize it yet 2️⃣ A terminal diagonal is forming — ATH hasn’t been printed yet, but we’re likely close 3️⃣ A 5th wave extension — still possible, but less likely given current global liquidity and macro headwinds (trade war environment) 📊 Watch the 200-dayMA: Historically, Bitcoin tends to stay below it for about 2 months during bull cycles. That clock is ticking — the next few weeks may reveal the market’s true direction. 📈 A strong weekly close above $95K would sharply raise the odds of a new ATH. Until then — monitor the local structure and wait for clarity.
by shakatrade1_618
BTCUSD - $100k soon? [UPDATE]MARKET UPDATE. Price broke out of the Descending Trendling and has pulled back to retest the Trendline and a Key Demand zone. Stacked Confluences: 1. Trendline Break & Retest. 2. Liquidity sweep below support. 3. BOS after price reacted from the Demand. I’m watching for continuation towards $85.8k and beyond. If bullish step in here this could be the next bullish leg up. Let’s see how it plays out. What are your thoughts on BTC this week let me know what you think in the comments.
Long
by SyHub
2
Which altcoins hold the potential to conquer the crypto market?Have you ever heard of ISO 20022? Do you know what this standard is all about? Which tokens have adopted or are compliant with this standard? ISO 20022 is an international standard for the exchange of financial data between financial institutions, banks, corporations, and other entities. Developed by the International Organization for Standardization (ISO), its purpose is to provide a universal language for financial messaging on a global scale. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective: Bitcoin is currently near a strong trendline and a solid daily support level. I’m expecting it to break the $90,000 mark, a key psychological level, within the next few days. My main target is at least a 7% increase, reaching $90,500. 📈 Now , let's dive into the educational section, which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram. 🔍 What Is ISO 20022 and Why Should Traders Care? Have you come across ISO 20022 and wondered what it really means in the world of finance and crypto? It’s not just a technical standard—it could be a major bridge between traditional finance and blockchain-based assets. 🌐 A Global Standard for Financial Messaging ISO 20022 is an international protocol developed by the International Organization for Standardization. It defines a universal language for exchanging financial data between institutions—banks, governments, payment networks, and corporations. 💡 Key Features of ISO 20022 • Uses XML-based message formatting—both machine and human-readable • Covers multiple financial areas: payments, securities, trade, treasury, and cards • Highly flexible and extendable to future innovations • Designed to reduce processing errors and boost interoperability worldwide 📈 Why It’s Becoming a Big Deal With increasing digitization, the global financial system is shifting toward unified communication standards. Major infrastructures like SWIFT are already migrating to ISO 20022 to future-proof their operations. 🪙 The Crypto Connection Some cryptocurrencies have been developed to align with ISO 20022 standards. This means they have the potential to integrate directly into regulated financial systems—making them more likely to be adopted by banks and governments. ✅ ISO 20022-Compliant Cryptocurrencies (As of 2024) • XRP (Ripple) • XLM (Stellar) • XDC (XinFin) • IOTA • ALGO (Algorand) • QNT (Quant) • HBAR (Hedera Hashgraph) 🤝 Why Compliance Matters If traditional finance fully adopts ISO 20022, only tokens that meet its criteria will likely be considered for official integration. This could have huge implications for utility, regulation, and long-term value. 🧠 Strategic Insight for Investors Incorporating ISO 20022-compliant assets into your portfolio isn’t just about trends—it’s about positioning yourself for future financial system evolution. These tokens may play a key role in bridging the gap between DeFi and TradFi. However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅. 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 ISO 20022 is a global financial messaging standard designed to streamline data exchange between banks and institutions. It's becoming crucial as traditional systems like SWIFT adopt it for greater efficiency. Several cryptocurrencies, including XRP, XLM, and ALGO, are ISO 20022-compliant, positioning them for future integration with mainstream financial systems. This compliance could lead to wider adoption by banks and governments, making them more valuable long-term. 🚀 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
20
"Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green MA Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries. Stop Loss 🛑: 📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (81000) Day/Scalping trade basis. 📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 70000 (or) Escape Before the Target "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗 Detailed Point Recap 📋 Fundamentals 📊: Strong network + adoption ✅ offset regulatory risks ⚠️—moderately bullish 📈. Macro 🌍: Inflation aids BTC 🥇, but tight policy/USD weigh ⚖️—mixed 🤔. COT 📈: Institutional longs 📈 vs. leverage risks ⚡—cautiously bullish ✅. On-Chain 🔗: LTH bullishness 📈 vs. STH selling 📉—leans positive but capped ⚖️. Intermarket 🔄: Short-term bearish (equity/USD) 📉, long-term hedging 📈—mixed ⚖️. Sentiment 😊: Neutral across cohorts ⚖️—lacking conviction 🤷. Trends 🎯: Short-term downside ($70K) 📉 vs. long-term upside ($129K) 📈—context-driven 🔮. Outlook 🌟: Neutral now ⚖️, tilting bearish short-term 📉, bullish long-term 📈. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Short
by Thief_Trader
2
Bitcoin is nearing a critical breakout zone at $86,000Bitcoin is nearing a critical breakout zone at $86,000. If this level breaks with strong momentum, we could see a rapid bullish continuation toward the major resistance area around $105,000. The ascending channel remains intact, and aggressive buying near support points to a strong upside setup. From a fundamental view, Bitcoin is gaining strength as global uncertainty rises. The latest escalation of trade tariffs has disrupted traditional markets, pushing more investors toward alternative assets like Bitcoin. Historically, Bitcoin has performed strongly during times of economic instability. Tightening monetary policies worldwide are fueling recession fears, making Bitcoin even more attractive as a hedge — the new "digital gold." With institutional interest growing, Bitcoin is well-positioned for a significant capital inflow. Stay ready — the next big move is close! 🚀
Long
by megvipofficial
Skeptic | Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis: Why 85850 is Critical!The breakout above 85,850 could push Bitcoin into a new uptrend phase, potentially driving price toward 90K, 95K, and even 105K in the coming weeks. That’s why this zone is so important. But let me explain why in more detail. ⭐Let’s start with the daily timeframe. After breaking out of its descending trendline, BTC entered a range between 82,800 and 85,850 . Looking at the bigger picture, you’ll see that 88,500 is a key resistance level — and breaking above it could act as a strong trigger. But if you’re not a breakout trader and prefer reactive entries, the 80K–82K zone is a major PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) based on RSI, Fibonacci, and Pivot Points — meaning it could offer a decent spot-buying opportunity. Just keep in mind: we’re not officially in a daily uptrend yet, so if you’re thinking about spot buying, it’s better to wait for a confirmed higher low and higher high on the daily chart. The long-term target for the next uptrend is around 140K , based on long-term Fibonacci extensions, pivot points, and trend channels. 🔮 Now let’s drop to the 4H timeframe to find some long and short triggers. As you can see, we’ve got a range box between 83,055 and 85,853.89. A long trigger activates after a clean breakout above 85,853.89. A short trigger activates after a breakdown below 83,055. It’s better to use stop buy/sell orders rather than entering at market price, since price may move sharply after staying in this box for quite a while. You can also use this box to set your stop losses. If you’re a reaction-based trader, you could: Short around 85,853 when price reacts there, Or go long around 83,055, depending on your personal strategy. Just remember: crypto markets often fake breakouts, especially during low-volume periods like now. Indicators like RSI, Volume, and SMA can help confirm moves. Understanding momentum — when it’s present and when it’s not — can save you from taking unnecessary trades. Also, the candlestick itself matters a lot: How long is the shadow? What’s the body size and color? Are we getting strong bullish or bearish confirmations? If you want a tutorial on identifying real vs. fake breakouts, let me know in the comments — I’ll make one soon. If you enjoyed the analysis, hit that Boost By the way, I’m Skeptic.
by SkepticWise
1
BTC correction then bounce.We have been ranging on the small volume profile for about 8 day now. At the same time we have been ranging at the this current macro volume profile at $84,199 Bybit prep chart may differ from other charts. We have rejected the value area high at $85,400 and reject the poc of the range. Currently testing the low from my market evidence base practice golden pocket, points of control are often the last push for a break of structure to the down side. I am keeping a close eye on a anchored vwap pulled from $74,600 or Value are low on this macro volume profile $81,200 which is confluence with the golden pocket pulled from the low at $74,600 or .786 $80,000 simply as a deviation of the golden pocket for a sweep of liquidity.
Short
by TheFibanator
BTC - Halving Cycle | Historical Patterns & 2025-2026 Projection In this chart, we dive deep into the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action post-halving and draw parallels between past and current movements, with a specific focus on how the market has historically reacted at various intervals following each halving event. This analysis incorporates both structural and temporal elements, providing a potential roadmap based on previous behavior. --- Historical Context: Previous Cycles 3rd Halving – May 11, 2020 Following the 3rd Bitcoin halving, we observed a parabolic run-up over the next several months: - 11 months after halving (April 2021): BTC reached a major peak, hitting nearly $65,000. - This was followed by a significant correction. - 19 months after halving (December 2021): Bitcoin printed a second top close to the previous all-time high, forming a classic double top pattern. This structure often signals market exhaustion and precedes deeper corrections. Cycle Completion – Price Reversion By 30 months after the 3rd halving (around November 2022), BTC had retraced much of its gains and returned to prices nearly equivalent to the halving level (~$8,000–$10,000 zone in log-adjusted terms). This marked the end of the cycle, confirming a full reversion to the mean after the double-top distribution phase. --- Current Cycle: 4th Halving – April 19, 2024 We're now entering the 4th post-halving cycle , and so far, the structure appears to be rhyming closely with the previous cycle : - Pre-halving rally took BTC to ~ FWB:73K (March 2024), indicating strong bullish momentum leading into the event. - If this cycle follows a similar path, we may expect: - A first major top around 9 months after the halving , potentially at or above $100K. - A second top forming around 17 months after the halving (projected for September 2025), possibly signaling the beginning of a broader correction phase. --- Projection: October 2026 (30 Months After Halving) Using the same temporal framework: - By October 2026 (30 months post-halving), the chart suggests a return to a much lower level , possibly around $50K. - This projection mimics the post-double-top decline of the previous cycle, reinforcing the idea of cyclical mean reversion . - It’s important to note: this isn’t necessarily bearish, but it highlights the cyclical and psychological nature of markets —boom, euphoria, distribution, and reversion. --- The Macro View: Halving Cycles Are Rhythmic - Every halving has historically set off a new bull run, but the timing of tops and bottoms is shockingly consistent : - Peaks often occur 9–18 months post-halving . - Full cycle completion is around 30 months post-halving. - These cycles are heavily influenced by supply shocks , market psychology , and macro liquidity cycles . --- Final Thoughts This chart isn’t a guarantee—it’s a probability model based on cyclical symmetry. If history repeats or rhymes, we may be witnessing another textbook cycle play out, where a euphoric run in 2025 gives way to a deep correction by late 2026. Stay alert for the double top pattern and macro divergences. Just as in 2021, timing the exit after the first peak can be the difference between profit and pain . What do you think? Will Bitcoin follow the same 30-month post-halving trajectory?
by Louigi_24
68
BTC - down next?BTC cleaned up some internal bad highs yesterday, just missing the npoc the we marked out. Immediate rotation back down to VAL followed once we accepted back in side VAH. These levels are updated continuously as price develops and differ on each traded pair (since volume is different everywhere), so I treat them more as a small zone than actual levels. Weekend price action so far showed continuation of the spoofing work that marked most of last week. If price can hold around these levels, I still think we can visit the higher POI and maybe sweep the bad highs. If we lose VAL, all POIs are on the chart: 82k npoc / zone 77-79k OTE retracement, would clean up a lot of inefficient price action 74k lows sweep
by Tealstreet
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #67👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indicators. In this analysis, as usual, I want to review the New York futures session triggers for you. ✔️ Yesterday, the price was rejected from the 85,550 area, and today could be a sensitive and important day for the market. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, I mentioned yesterday that the 85,126 trigger had been activated and if the price pulled back to this area and broke above 85,550, we could witness a bullish move and the start of an upward wave. But that didn’t happen—the price was rejected from the 85,550 high and started moving downward. 👀 Currently, with the price stabilizing below the 85,126 area, selling volume has entered the market, and the price is moving down. The last candle closed below the 84,363 area, and the RSI has entered the oversold zone. If the move continues, the price could experience a bearish leg and move down to 83,233. 🔽 In that case, a break below the 83,233 area could be a good short position trigger, as it would give us confirmation of a trend reversal. But if the move doesn’t continue, this level could turn out to be a fake-out, and the price might head back toward the 85,550 high. 🎲 So today, you can enter a short position with a break of 83,233, and a long position with a break of 85,550. Pay attention to volume and RSI, as they can provide many confirmations for the next price trend. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let’s look at Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, dominance dropped another leg and broke the 63.76 low, but now it has returned to this area and is stabilizing above it. 📈 For a bullish confirmation, dominance needs to stabilize above the 64.12 area, and for a bearish one, it needs to stabilize below 63.12. 📅 Total2 Analysis Now for the Total2 analysis. This index was rejected from the 965 area yesterday and is now stabilizing below 954. If the bearish momentum continues, the next support level that could hold the price is 932. 🔼 To turn bullish, a break above 965 is required, with the main trigger being 980. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Let’s look at Tether dominance. Yesterday, it made an upward move and was supported at the 5.44 level. It has now reached 5.52. ✨ If 5.52 is broken, we’ll have confirmation of a bullish trend in dominance. If 5.44 is broken instead, we could anticipate a bearish move and potentially a break of 5.39. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
22