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BTCUPUSDT trade ideas

Bitcoin (BTC): technical and fundamental analysis.📈 Technical analysis BTC/USDT The price of Bitcoin dropped sharply following Donald Trump’s announcement of tariffs on imports from certain countries. The decline was halted by a major support block at the 91,000 level. Currently, BTC is holding below the 200 EMA line and is positioned at the point of control of the value area. If buyers fail to establish a new support level in the 95,000–97,000 zone, we expect further downside and a retest of the 90,000 level. Should Bitcoin consolidate below this level, a full correction to the 0.61 and 0.78 Fibonacci levels is likely. These levels coincide with the 4H and 1D Imbalance zones, where significant gaps in horizontal trading volumes need to be filled through consolidations. For Bitcoin to resume its upward trend, it must reclaim the 200 EMA dynamic resistance and hold above the psychological level of 100,000. In this case, we would expect further growth, with a retest of the 108,000–110,000 resistance block and a potential new all-time high. 📉 Bitcoin market global analysis. On the daily logarithmic chart, a reversal pattern—Double Top—is forming. However, it will only be confirmed upon breaking its support line at the 90,000 level and consolidating below it. A divergence on the RSI indicator also suggests a high probability of a continued correction. During Bitcoin’s rapid growth in November 2024, an Imbalance 1D zone formed in the 77,000–85,000 range, featuring significant gaps at horizontal trading volume levels that need to be filled through consolidations. Once the correction is complete, Bitcoin’s next price target could be the global trendline, drawn based on the two peaks of the previous growth cycle. This trendline may be tested around the 120,000 level, as confirmed by the analysis of large order blocks in exchange order books. 💠 Analysis of liquidity zones and levels The Fear and Greed Index is in the neutral zone at 49. The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has fallen to $3.08 billion, while the Bitcoin Dominance Index has risen to 61.82. According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in the exchange order books, the supply and demand zones are located at the following levels: 🟢 Demand zone: 85,000 - 90,000 🔴 Supply zone: 100,000 - 120,000 Levels for long positions: 90,000 - 92,000 - large support block 87,000 - 88,000 - large support block 80,000 - large support block 77,000 - large support block Levels for short positions: 105,000 - large resistance block 110,000 - largest resistance block 120,000 - ascending resistance trend line 📊 Fundamental analysis After Donald Trump announced tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China, the crypto market experienced a sharp crash. Bitcoin's (BTC) price dropped to levels near $90,000, leading to the largest liquidations in history, totaling $2.2 billion. On the same day, news emerged that the leaders of Canada and Mexico had reached an agreement with the U.S. president to delay the implementation of the tariffs. This contributed to a partial recovery in cryptocurrencies, but the market has yet to stabilize. The number of large investors (holding more than 1,000 BTC) has not fully recovered, and large-scale accumulation has not resumed completely. It may take up to two months for the market to recover. However, Trump’s recent executive order to establish a national Bitcoin reserve could alter Bitcoin’s market cycle. The current Bitcoin cycle is more stable than previous ones, with realized losses remaining relatively small during pullbacks. This can be attributed to a more informed investor base and the growing role of institutional players in BTC. Net capital inflows into BTC have already exceeded $850 billion, while the average daily trading volume is around $9 billion. The market capitalization of the leading cryptocurrency is currently estimated at $2 trillion, making it the seventh-largest asset in the world—surpassing silver and companies like Saudi Aramco and Meta. Bitcoin’s future growth depends on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy and U.S. regulatory actions. If the government adopts a crypto-friendly stance, the price could rise. Otherwise, resistance from regulators could trigger a correction. 🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy We expect increased volatility in both stock and cryptocurrency markets on the following dates: ➤ 07.02, 16:30 - U.S. Unemployment Rate (Jan) ➤ 12.02, 16:30 - U.S. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI). ➤ 27.02, 16:30 - U.S. GDP (QoQ) (Q4). ➤ 19.03, 22:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision. 🚀 Statistics of signals from our AI trading indicator: 📈 In January 2025, the Bitcoin price again updated its historical maximum, then a correction began. Our trading indicator gave 6 signals with the most profitable entry points and minimal risk. Thanks to the latest updates, all signals became profitable, and the built-in protection against flat prevented losses from manipulative market movements. - Total price movement for all signals for the month: + 38.21% - Maximum price movement for one signal: + 13.31% - Average price movement for signals: + 6.36% In addition, I would like to share the forecast of the latest Bitcoin price action by our AI, which not only indicates the direction, but also builds the trajectory of further price movement:
by TradeINEX
BTCUSDT: a short SMC (Smart Money Concepts) breakdownBTCUSDT: a short SMC (Smart Money Concepts) breakdown 1️⃣ Daily (global perspective) • Overall trend remains bullish, but we’re in a correction off the ~110k peak. • Key daily demand zones: 90–92k and 85–88k. • Major supply above at 100–105k. 2️⃣ 4H (mid-term) • A downtrend is forming within the broad 92–105k range. • Nearest resistance: 98–100k (supply zone). • Support: 94–92k. A break below 92k could extend toward 90–88k. 3️⃣ 1H (local view) • Price is pressured down: a series of BOS signals bears in control. • Trend reversal requires a break above ~98–99k with firm hold. 4️⃣ Conclusion • Below 98k, likely more downside toward 92–94k. • A bounce off 92–94k might test 98–99k. Breaking above that opens 100–105k. • Watch how price reacts around 92–94k and 98–99k for the next major move. Focus: look for BOS/CHoCH near these zones, confirm entries with patterns. Always keep risk management and fundamentals (news, macro stats, etc.) in mind.
by theanabioz
Reality Check & Whats next ?### Bitcoin Is Overpriced – It Needs a Cooldown Bitcoin (BTC) is currently sitting at around **$102,000**, but let’s be real—this price is getting a little out of hand. It’s not just about the big number; it’s about how the market moves now compared to before. Remember when a **$1,000 price move used to mean a 10% shift** in Bitcoin's value? Those were the days when BTC was still relatively cheap. But now? A **$1,000 swing barely registers as a 1% move**. That tells us something: the market is too inflated, and BTC might need to cool off. ### The Reality Check: Where’s the Money Coming From? To push Bitcoin’s price up just **$1,000**, the market needs an injection of **around $40 million USD **—just to maintain the buy-sell balance. Now, imagine trying to push Bitcoin all the way up to **$200,000**. We’re talking about **billions of dollars** in new investments. And let’s be honest: where is this money going to come from? Even if someone walked up to a billionaire or a national treasury (let’s say Trump .....) and asked for at least **$100 million to pump into BTC**, they wouldn’t go for it. They have better things to do—like paying off national debt, funding infrastructure, or investing in businesses with actual returns. ### The Market Needs a Rest Bitcoin has been riding a wave of **hype and speculation**, but there comes a point where fundamentals need to catch up. Right now, BTC is showing signs of being overpriced, and markets don’t move in a straight line forever. At some point, there’s bound to be a **cooldown or correction**. The big question: **Are we nearing that point?** //////////////////////// ### Technical Analysis: Downtrend to $95K in Sight** Bitcoin (BTC) has been riding high, but **technical indicators are flashing red**, signaling a short-term correction. Based on recent price action, all signs point to **a move down to at least $95,000** before BTC finds its next footing. #### **Lower timeframes forming a Bearish Flag Formation: A Repeat of History?** One of the key signals is the **bearish flag formation**, which has played out before in past corrections. This pattern typically forms when BTC experiences a sharp drop, followed by a weak consolidation phase, before breaking down further. If we look back at **previous bearish flag formations**, they’ve often resulted in **at least 5-7% decline** from their breakdown point. Also FIB retracement show the necesary levels. If history repeats, that aligns perfectly with a short-term dip to the **$95K support zone**. #### **Key Support and Resistance Levels** 🔻 **Support Levels:** - **$98,500:** First line of defense, but weak. - **$95,000:** Strong support zone based on past price action. - **$92,000 - $93,000:** If selling pressure intensifies, BTC could test this level. 🔺 **Resistance Levels:** - **$104,000 - $105,000:** Heavy resistance; failed to break through multiple times. - **$108,500:** A breakout above this would invalidate the downtrend. #### **Indicators Confirming the Downtrend** 📉 **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** Dropping below 50, signaling weakening momentum. 📉 **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):** Bearish crossover, showing increasing selling pressure. 📉 **Volume:** Declining on upswings, increasing on down moves—a classic bearish sign. #### ** General Conclusion: Expect a Pullback Before the Next Move** While Bitcoin remains strong in the bigger picture, the short-term setup **leans bearish**. Unless BTC can reclaim **$105K quickly**, a pullback to **$95K looks likely** before the next major trend shift. Traders should watch key support levels closely and be prepared for increased volatility. Also dont forget , the volatility is a life blood of a trader , with out volatility there will be no profits, be careful on yuor trades guys , this is not a invesment advice , we only show you the posible scenarios.
Short
by Oracle_Systems
BTC -- Whats next ??Bitcoin has been on a wild ride lately, currently sitting around $96.5K. But if we zoom out and take a closer look at the charts, there’s a strong case for a pullback—possibly all the way down to $70K. Why? Well, let’s break it down. First off, Bitcoin made a rapid move from $70K to $90K without much resistance, creating a massive liquidity gap. In simple terms, that means there wasn’t enough trading activity in between to establish solid support levels. And what happens when there’s a liquidity gap? The market often comes back to “fill” it, meaning prices could revisit that zone before making their next big move. On top of that, I’ve developed an indicator based on wave trends that calculates price differences between key cross points. My latest calculation shows that the last cross happened on December 23, 2024, at a price of $93.5K. Historically, there’s been an average price difference of about $8.5K between these waves. My estimated cross points are 85.2K, 76.5K, and lastly 70K. These values are rounded, but the logic remains the same—the price will likely move in waves, oscillating up and down between these indicated points before deciding its next major direction. That said, if there’s a trend change, Bitcoin could push beyond 102.5K and move even higher. The previously mentioned three cross points aren’t something to fear; they’re just part of Bitcoin’s natural volatility. And let’s be real—volatility is the lifeblood of a trader. Without it, there’s no profit to be made. Those who buy Bitcoin at lower price ranges will naturally sell when the price moves higher to secure profits. Who can blame them? I’d do the same thing too. Now, this doesn’t mean Bitcoin is doomed or that it won’t recover. It just means that based on historical price action and liquidity gaps, a correction to $70K makes a lot of sense. Of course, crypto markets are notoriously unpredictable. While technical factors like liquidity gaps and wave trends point to a downside move, things like macroeconomic news, institutional demand, and unexpected hype could change the game in an instant. ( Micro - Strategy , USA - Greatest BTC HODL?? , Musk Factor ? , Regulatıon for Stable Coins :| ) So, what’s next? Keep an eye on those key levels—85.2K, 76.5K, and 70K. If Bitcoin dips into that zone, it might just be a golden buying opportunity before the next leg up. And if a trend shift happens, we might see it shoot past 102.5K. Stay sharp, stay informed, and trade wisely! ////////////// ### General Weekly Technical Analysis **Current Status:** Bitcoin is currently trading around $96.5K, showing some signs of uncertainty after a strong upward move. The market has been highly volatile, and traders are closely watching key levels to determine the next move. **Resistance Levels:** - **$100K-$102.5K:** A psychological and technical resistance level. If BTC breaks this range, it could confirm a strong bullish trend. - **$98.5K- GETTEX:97K :** Immediate resistance, as Bitcoin is struggling to maintain stability above this level. **Support Levels:** - **$85.2K:** A mid-level support where buyers might step in to slow a potential decline. - **$76.5K:** A key support zone where Bitcoin could find stronger demand. - **$70K:** A major support level, aligning with previous price movements and filling the liquidity gap left from earlier rapid price increases. **Indicator Status:** - **Moving Averages:** The shorter-term moving averages are showing some weakness, indicating a potential slowdown in momentum. However, the long-term moving averages remain bullish. - **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** Currently hovering around neutral levels, suggesting that Bitcoin is neither overbought nor oversold. - **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):** A possible bearish crossover is forming, which could indicate short-term downside pressure. Bitcoin's current position suggests a make-or-break moment. If it can break above GETTEX:97K and push toward $100K-$102.5K, we could see a bullish continuation. However, failure to hold above current levels could lead to a test of the support zones at $85.2K, $76.5K, or even $70K. This is not a investment advice , we are saying only what we see in the chart with analytical mind , trade at your own disretion.
Short
by Oracle_Systems
1
Bitcoin’s Battle Below $100K Hints at New ATHBitcoin (BTC) is struggling to hold above $100K, but on-chain metrics suggest that a new all-time high (ATH) could be imminent. After last weekend’s drop to $91K, BTC is now trading at $97,943, down 0.24% in the last 24 hours. Key On-Chain Trends Signaling a Breakout: 📉 Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Are Declining – BTC is flowing out of exchanges, reducing available supply and limiting sell pressure. 🐋 Whale Accumulation Spikes – Since Feb 3, large transaction volume jumped from $40.8B to $67.3B, showing renewed interest from big investors. 📊 Netflow Hits Yearly Low – BTC outflows exceed inflows, meaning more coins are being moved to private wallets, reducing selling pressure. 💰 ETF Inflows Surge – $2.5B poured into Bitcoin ETFs over the past two weeks, further driving demand. Will Bitcoin Finally Break $100K? 🔼 If BTC breaks past $100K, buyers could push the price to $105K–$109K. 🔽 If BTC stays below EMA20, sellers may target $95K before the next rebound. With RSI at 39, Bitcoin is vaguely positioned for a potential price increase. The next few days will be critical—will BTC smash through $100K, or will bears hold the line?
Long
by paul_endeo
Bitcoin Pullback or Trend Reversal? Key Levels to Watch!Bitcoin failed to Break the $107,000 Resistance as in the Previous post (the 7th attack failed ). Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , near the Support lines , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and Monthly Pivot Point . This upward movement these few hours can be in the form of a pullback to 50_SMA(Daily) and Support lines (broken) . Of course, the worrisome point is the momentum of this upward movement . According to the theory of Elliott waves , this increase of these few hours can be in the form of the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure so far is a Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to once again attack the 100_SMA(Daily) and the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $102,926-$100,450 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $92,570-$91,249 Note: If Bitcoin goes below $97,000, we should have more confidence that this analysis is correct. Note: If the CME Gap($102,580-$100,320) fills in this uptrend, we should expect another attack on the $107,000 resistance. Do you think the correction of Bitcoin continues, or should we wait for Bitcoin re-pumps in the coming hours? Please share your ideas in the comments. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
31
New Monthly Distribution Schematic; 77.7K to 131K to 0As you can see, the Wyckoff schematic below shows a strong possibility that the 2021 bullrun was simply our Preliminary Supply area. There is no way of knowing what the exact numbers are, but there is a strong possibility we top way before 150K, and a fair way above 123.6K, which is where the majority of shorts would be placed. Currently we have a 5 wave structure. This is too easy. As the schematic shows, a Buying Climax liquidates Elliot Wave Bears. 130+ would create some euphoria, and lots buying the dip all the way down.
by reiiss7
1
HelenP. I Bitcoin can start grow to trned line, after correctionHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price declined below a support level, which coincided with the support zone, and quickly backed up and continued to move up next. Later BTC rose to a resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, some time traded near, and then made a correction movement, after which made an impulse up to the trend line. Then the price turned around and started to decline near the resistance level. Sometimes BTC rose back to the trend line, but didn't fixed and continued to decrease next. A few time later price rebounded from the resistance zone and dropped below, breaking the resistance level last time. After this movement, BTC rose to the trend line, little time traded between this line, and then dropped to the support level. Then Bitcoin rebounded from this level and rose to 102500 points, after which started to decline. So, in my opinion, BTCUSDT will fall one more time and then start to grow to the trend line. That's why I set my goal at 102K points, which coincides with this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
2
Bitcoin Q1 2025- Up for a Delayed Cycle?🚀 2025 kicks off with Bitcoin’s big picture in focus. This is Part 6 of our "Where Can Bitcoin Go?" series, where we explore long-term Bitcoin price dynamics and key levels to watch. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: 1️⃣ $94,629 – Current support within the 30-minute channel. 2️⃣ $102,150 & $111,192 – Resistance levels likely to be tested again soon. 3️⃣ $79,717 – The level Bitcoin hasn’t tested as support yet. A massive buy opportunity if it gets there! (...If!) 4️⃣ 160k to 192k – Yearly target for 2025, with a 30% chance of reaching higher toward $313,000. 🧐 Big Picture Analysis: The current bull market doesn’t feel like one, due to macroeconomic factors: inflation concerns, Fed rate policies, and a maturing crypto market. Will revert in detail in due time. This could mark the end of traditional Bitcoin cycles as we know them, with less seasonality and new norms emerging. Despite the noise, Bitcoin remains bullish long-term. 📈 What’s Next? Bitcoin has tested structural resistance twice. A third test is expected in February or March 2025. A breakout above $111,192 would signal a new all-time high. If Bitcoin drops to $79,717, prepare to go long like there’s no tomorrow! 💡 “Cycles are evolving as the market matures. More investors understand Bitcoin's seasonality, halving, and structure. This could be the most interesting and volatile year yet.” 🌟 Let’s stay patient, trade smart, and watch these levels closely. Step by step, we’ll navigate this exciting market together. Here’s to a beautiful year ahead! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Video:
Long
by FX_Professor
9
BTC - Short Range idea 📊 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Educational Trade Setup 📊 **HIGH RISK TRADE** I’ve just entered a short trade for CRYPTOCAP:BTC with the following setup: **Entry Points:** $99k (first entry), $88,500 (second entry) **Target (TP1):** $96,300 --- **Why I Took This Trade** ✅ **Strong Resistance Levels:** The $99k range is a significant resistance area where previous price action has shown a rejection. With this, I’m expecting a pullback toward $96,300. ✅ **Bearish Momentum Indicators:** • **EMA Rejection:** Price is struggling to maintain momentum above the $99k resistance, indicating potential for a downward move. • **RSI Divergence:** The RSI shows signs of bearish divergence, suggesting a potential reversal from this level. ✅ **Risk-to-Reward Opportunity:** The trade provides a solid risk-to-reward ratio with a clear target of $96,300, while keeping the risk managed at the entry points. --- **Catalyst** • Rejection at $99k could lead to a correction toward the $96,300 support. • Current price action and momentum indicators suggest a weakening bullish trend, making this a prime opportunity for a short. --- 📢 **Disclaimer:** This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading. Markets can be volatile, so only risk what you can afford to lose!
Short
by InvestorJordan
Bitcoin Q1 2025 - Delayed Cycle (Part 2) Chart🚀🔥 Bitcoin’s Next Big Move: Delayed Cycle or Just Another Test? 📈⚡ The market has been consolidating, and Bitcoin is at a critical inflection point. After a major breakout in February 2024, we are now facing massive structural resistance at the same trendline that has dictated previous cycle tops. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: 📌 109,928 - Major resistance (3rd test) 📌 90,641 - 97,519 - Support zone & potential liquidity grabs 📌 79,657 - Untested (previoys breakout) breakout level Delayed Cycle in Play? Traditionally, Bitcoin follows a 4-year cycle, but this time, things could be different. 1️⃣ The halving took place on April 19, 2024. 2️⃣ A breakout before halving was an unusual move. 3️⃣ The Q1 2025 structure suggests either a delayed bull cycle or an early maturity phase. What’s Next? March Breakout or Rejection? 📊 If Bitcoin breaks above 110K, we could see a parabolic move toward 120K+ and ultimately new all-time highs later in 2025. ⚠️ But if resistance holds, we might see a retest of the 90K or even 79K levels before the next leg up. Macroeconomic Wildcards 🌍 Trump, Tariffs & Rate Cuts - The market is uncertain, and politics are playing a role. However, with rate cuts likely incoming, liquidity could flood back into Bitcoin, fueling the next breakout. 📅 The Next Few Weeks Are Critical! Stay sharp and trade wisely. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor