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BTC 2-4 Long / Tether

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BTCUPUSDT trade ideas

BTC USDTChart Insights: Timeframe: The chart appears to be on a 15-minute timeframe, showing intraday price movements. Key Levels: Resistance: ~$100,604 (red zone), which aligns with recent highs. Support: ~$99,328, marked by the lower boundary of the green area. Stop-Loss: Below $95,828, indicating the risk management strategy for this setup. Price Action: The green arrow suggests a bullish signal at the bottom, possibly due to demand or support holding at that level. The red arrows highlight rejection candles near the $100,604 level, indicating selling pressure. Trade Setup: The trade appears to target a break above $100,604. Risk-to-reward ratio is planned, with the stop-loss far below support to accommodate potential volatility. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Case: If Bitcoin breaks and closes above $100,604 with strong volume, it could target $101,122 and beyond. A higher low near $99,500 could confirm bullish strength. Bearish Case: Failure to break resistance may result in a retest of $99,328 or the lower support zones.
Short
by Aliirezaeii
TRADING LEVERAGE | How to Manage RISK vs REWARDFor today's post, we're diving into the concept " Risk-Reward Ratio " We'll take a look at practical examples and including other relevant scenarios of managing your risk. What is considered a good risk to reward ratio and where can you see it ? This applies to all markets, and during these volatile times it is an excellent idea to take a good look at your strategy and refine your risk management. You've all noticed the really helpful tool " long setup " or " short setup " on the left-hand column. This clearly identifies the area of profit (in green), the area for a stop-loss (in red) and your entry (the borderline). It also shows the percentage of your increases or decreases at the top and bottom. It looks like this : 💭Something to remember; It is entirely up to you where you decided to take profit and where you decide to put your stop loss. The IDEAL anticipated targets are given, but the price may not necessarily reach these points. You have that entire zone to choose from and you can even have two or three take profits points in a position. Now, what is the Risk Reward Ratio expressed in the center as a number.number ? The risk to reward ration is exactly as the word says : The amount you risk for the amount you could potentially gain. NOTE that your risk is indefinite, but your gains are not guaranteed. The risk/reward ratio measures the difference between the entry point to a stop-loss and a sell or take-profit point. Comparing these two provides the ratio of profit to loss, or reward to risk. For example, if you're a gambler and you've played roulette, you know that the only way to win 10 chips is to risk 5 chips. Your risk here is expressed as 5:10 or 5.10 .You can spread these 5 chips out any way you like, but the goal of the risk is for a reward that is bigger than your initial investment. However, you could also lose your 5 and this will mean that you need to risk double as much in your next play to make up for your loss. Trading is no different, (except there is method to the madness other than sheer luck...) Most market strategists and speculators agree that the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments should not be less than 1:3, or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk. Take a look at this example: Here, you're risking the same amount that you could potentially gain. The Risk Reward ratio is 1, assuming you follow the exact prices for entry, TP and SL. Can you see why this is not an ideal setup? If your risk/reward ratio is 1, it means you might as well not participate in the trade since your reward is the same as your risk. This is not an ideal trade setup. An ideal trade setup is a scenario where you can AT LEAST win 3x as much as what you are risking. For example: Note that here, my ratio is now the ideal 2.59 (rounded off to 2.6 and then simplified it becomes 1:3). If you're wondering how I got to 1:3, I just divided 2.6 by 2, giving me 1 and 3. Another way to express this visually: In the first chart example I have a really large increase for the long position and you can't easily simplify 7.21 so; here's a visual to break down what that looks like: If you are setting up your own trade, you can decide at what point you feel comfortable to set your stop loss. For example, you may feel that if the price drops by more than 10%, that's where you'll exit and try another trade. Or, you could decide that you'll take the odds and set your stop loss so that it only triggers if the price drops by 15%. The latter will naturally mean you are trading at higher risk because your risk of losing is much more. Seasoned analysts agree that you shouldn't have a value smaller than 5% for your stop loss, because this type of price action occurs often during a day. For crypto, I would say 10% because we all know that crypto markets are much more volatile than stock markets and even more so than commodity markets like Gold and Silver, which are the most stable. Remember that your Risk/Reward ratio forms an important part of your trading strategy, which is only one of the steps in your risk management program. Dollar cost averaging is another helpfull way to further manage your risk. There are many more things to consider when thinking about risk management, but we'll dive into those in another post.
by CryptoCheck-
2
$BTC Bounce Back Again $100K Price, New Long Setup see on chartBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bounce Back Again $100K Price, New Long Setup see on chart... News: Bitcoin Leads US Equity Markets Amid Macro Developments, Yet Stays Resilient: Report Bitcoin (BTC) is becoming increasingly sensitive to macroeconomic factors. In fact, the digital asset is leading equity markets in the United States in response to President Donald Trump’s latest economic and policy changes. Over the last four days, President Trump’s announcements havetriggeredincreased uncertainty in global markets, leading to a decline in bitcoin’s price. Bitcoin fell below $100,000 and even touched an intraday low of $91,657 on Monday. Since bitcoin rallied during President Trump’s inauguration, the cryptocurrency has continued to show a downward trend. BTC formed the double top structure at the $108,000 level and has been trading in a 15% range since mid-November. Bitfinex analysts said such 15-20% ranges often resolve in either an upward or downward direction within 80-90 days. This means BTC will experience a decisive price move in the coming weeks, still under the influence of macroeconomic developments. As the financial markets process the implications of the tariff hikes, Bitfinex believes BTCfacesfurther downside unless legacy assets recover. Even if legacy markets do not see significant recovery, analysts are confident in bitcoin’s long-term trajectory, which they have described as compelling. “In conclusion, while Bitcoinʼs short-term volatility may continue in response to macroeconomic influences, its long-term outlook remains positive,” Bitfinex analysts added. BINANCE:BTCUSDT LONG SETUP HERE Entry Price: $96,651.98 Stoploss Zone: $91,206.57 Leverage: 11x use 11% of your margin balance. This Long Setup 4 Target Price Level here 1 Take Profit: $100,443.31 2 Take Profit: $103,772.29 3 Take Profit: $107,087.34 4 Take Profit: $111,059.81 Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance is not available for any losses you may incur. Past performance is not a reliable predictor of future performance. You should only invest in products you are familiar with and where you understand the risks. You should carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance and consult an independent financial adviser prior to making any investment.
Long
by SUBROOFFICIAL
Long on BTC - Bullish SetupI am currently long on Bitcoin (BTC) against Tether (USDT) based on the following analysis: Chart Analysis: The chart shows a recent downtrend but BTC is currently trading at $99,665.0 with a slight decrease of -1.61%. However, there are signs of potential reversal: The price has bounced off the support level around $98,513.1, which is a positive sign. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 55.84, indicating that BTC is neither overbought nor oversold, providing room for upward movement. Volume has increased recently, suggesting growing interest and potential for a bullish move. Key Levels: Resistance: The next significant resistance levels are at $100,223.6 and $102,512.4. Breaking above these could confirm a stronger bullish trend. Support: Immediate support is at $98,513.1, with further support at $97,000. Strategy: My strategy is to hold long positions, anticipating a breakout above the resistance levels. I am watching for a close above $100,223.6 to confirm my bullish thesis. Risk Management: Stop loss is set below the recent low at approximately $97,000 to manage risk. Keep an eye on this setup, and let's see if BTC can push through the resistance and continue its upward trend. Feel free to share your thoughts or analysis below!
Long
by erichjan
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Bearish Breakdown: Price Drops with Further DThis chart is a Bitcoin/USDT (BTC/USDT) Key Observations: 1. Downtrend Pattern: The price is in a clear downtrend, as indicated by the curved red and blue downward channel. A bearish momentum is evident, with multiple price levels showing declines. 2. Price Declines and Targets: The price dropped by -4,538.43 USDT (-4.48%) in 1 day and 10 hours, reaching 97,896.12 USDT. A further drop of -5,255.01 USDT (-5.19%) is projected within 1 day and 19 hours, reaching 96,072.88 USDT. 3. Failure Zone: A "FAILURE" label is marked near the lower price target, indicating a possible breakdown zone where further declines might occur. 4. Resistance and Support Levels: 98,542.86 USDT is a key level where price is currently at (as per the latest timestamp). 96,000 USDT region is a critical support level. Conclusion & Possible Next Moves: Bearish Sentiment: The price action suggests further downside pressure, possibly testing the 96,000 USDT level. Potential Breakdown: If support at 96,000 USDT fails, more downside risk could follow. Reversal Signal?: A strong bounce from support zones would be required to shift momentum back to bullish. Trading Considerations: If you’re shorting BTC, consider trailing stops to protect profits.
Short
by FOREX_QUEEN_10
Things turned pretty disturbing!In the last 24 hours, both bulls and bears got wrecked — the market spared no one. To be honest, none of us expected this to happen, but it did. I’m no exception, as my portfolios are in the red too. The difference lies in how you made your moves. If you remember my post from December 14th, 2024, I mentioned that I had mostly moved my funds to USDT and was gradually selling my BTC. I received a lot of hate comments for this, but I’m glad I trusted my instincts and stuck to it. Of course, my positions are in the red, but with most of my funds in USDT, I feel confident now. The situation may not be the same for everyone, but hear me out. BTC is forming a temporary support trendline around $96k. If this support holds, a rebound is likely. However, a close below this level on a 2-day time frame wouldn't be good. We can see fear consuming the market, but once it fully plays out, the rally will begin. For now, patience is key. Opportunities will come, so wait for them.
by Dexter_The_Trader
$BTC - Value AreaThis bounce might just be shorts covering and/or hedges – a kind of mechanical reaction following a liquidation event. If we are going to consolidate within the current value area (96.5k-104k), I wouldn't be surprised if we get an upthrust retesting 103.8k-104k range before rotating back to take out the swing low. A potential level for shorting, but I'm only interested in shorting on signs of weakness or a strong rejection at that level. Possible targets: 94k - 93.5k 90k- 88.5k 84k-80k
by Tealstreet
BTCUSD (Before journal) 004 (2025.02.04) I think that BTCUSDT is high possible to rise because of that it's looking like volume change to rise and before down volume is losing its power. But it has two options that IMBALANCE or DEMAND, now it's looking like moving from Imbalance and taking a strong help from support of green candle of high time frame, but also it looks like bearish candle is taking power to go to Demand zone. we need to wait more probability options to buy.
Long
by tugsbayarpurevbat
BTC nest resistance 155k. 205k and 245kIf we follow the Fibonacci sequence the periodas are gonna be big pumps followed by colateralization with huge liquidations, cause trump administration will be constantly manipulating the news and all US gov, previews cycles were natural driven by crypto traders but this cycle we got international gov involved so its a mix of lots of liquidity, volatility of high movements with big spikes, all new trading game, only who follows and flows with the market will survive
Long
by Phibonesratsen
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Key Levels and Strategy for TradersMost Relevant Timeframe to Take a Position • Short Term (2H, 4H) : Highly volatile due to political announcements. Signals ( MTFTI = red, HPI >80 on 2H ) suggest caution. Scalping or short-term swing trading is possible, but with tight stop losses. • Intermediate (12H) : A good compromise. The trend still shows a bullish bias ( Short MA > Long MA, Investor Satisfaction ~0.68 ), but the market remains nervous. A “bullish pullback” signal could emerge if the price clearly reclaims ~100k–101k . • Long Term (1D) : The underlying trend is not broken. For unleveraged investments, current levels ( 95–98k ) may be attractive, provided a mental stop is monitored around 90–92k . In practice, the 12H often provides a good balance for assessing whether a correction is ending. If 2H–4H bars seem too “noisy” and waiting for a 1D close is too long, 12H is a solid reference. Key Support and Resistance Levels Support Levels • ~95,000 $ • Auto AVWAP Low Convergence (2H and 4H at ~95–94.8k) • Above this level, a lower support can be found at 12H AVWAP Low (~99.1k) , but it would already be broken if price drops further. • Pivot ~90,000 $ • Major psychological and technical level. A clear break would open the way for a deeper corrective structure toward 88k–85k . Resistance Levels • ~100–101k • Zone around High AVWAP 2H, 4H (100k), Long MA 2H (101k), etc. • Closing above 101k on the 4H–12H timeframe would be a strong bullish signal. • ~104–105k • Daily AVWAP High (105,465) and 12H (104,564) • A probable major resistance. If broken, the daily trend could accelerate, with the next target at 108–110k . Recommendations / Conclusion 1. Short-Term Caution (2H, 4H): • Sentiment indicators on these lower timeframes ( ISPD ~0.46, HPI = 83 on 2H ) suggest possible intraday overbuying. • Macroeconomic and geopolitical tensions trigger sudden volatility spikes. 2. Main Scenario: • As long as BTC does not break decisively below 90–92k , the daily structure remains predominantly bullish. A clearer rebound could occur once 100–101k is reclaimed. • If 90k breaks, a deeper correction would likely follow, forming a broader corrective structure. 3. Altcoins: • Some have recently dropped -30% , and several weekly structures are still incomplete. • Long-term investors may consider gradual accumulation on dips. • For swing trading, it’s best to wait for volatility to settle and a clearer setup to appear. 4. Timeframe to Watch: • The 12H timeframe seems “ideal” for confirming the end of the correction. • The 1D timeframe remains relevant for a broader view. • Also, keep an eye on macroeconomic announcements (tariff policies, geopolitical tensions), as these often trigger immediate volatile movements. 5. Fundamental Outlook: • Potential BTC adoption by some U.S. states ( Utah, Arizona ) could support a medium/long-term bullish rebound. • Inflation concerns in Europe, Fed decisions, and U.S.–China tensions remain key volatility drivers. Conclusion: The Market is at a Crossroads • On lower timeframes (2H–4H), the trend is more bearish/corrective ( MTFTI red, low satisfaction ). • On higher timeframes (1D), the bullish trend remains intact as long as the 90k pivot holds . Recommendations: • For short-term traders: Caution, tight stops, no FOMO until a solid consolidation above 100–101k on 4H occurs. • For medium/long-term investors: Gradual accumulation on ~95k retests or deeper dips toward 90k , while closely monitoring whether this major support holds.
by Ox_kali
Bearish scenario for BTCIn trading and crypto world you have to be open to all possibilities. As we are seeing significant drop among alts and market makers manipulation. Money is withdrawed from markets and price is failing. BTC price action reminds me 2021 year when after ATH there was a 50% drop. Lot of similarities there - completed 5 waves, bearish div on higher timeframes, greed above 70/75, bullish sentiment, news etc. On the other hand, current drop already liquidated more than 2b usd in one day... We need to watch it closely and do not overtrade or do stupid FOMO. In these time lev trades are not recommended. THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE MANAGE YOUR RISK AND ALWAYS USE STOPLOSS
Short
by SvarogPerun