Check if price can hold above M-Signal indicator on 1D chart
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I failed to register a modified indicator of StochRSI indicator on TradingView alone, so I added it to the existing OBV by readCrypto indicator.
From the top of the indicator setting window to the bottom
1. OBV indicator of Low Line ~ High Line channel
2. PVT-MACD oscillator indicator
3. StochRSI indicator
They are registered in the order above.
Since the values used are all different, you should activate and use one indicator.
Please check the chart above.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend as it failed to rise above the HA-High indicator (108316.90) on the 1D chart.
It is currently checking whether there is support near 107340.58, which is the StochRSI 50 indicator point.
If it fails to receive support and falls, it is expected to fall to around 104463.99.
The 104463.99 point is the DOM (60) indicator point of the 1W chart, which corresponds to the end of the high point on the 1W chart.
Since the StochRSI 20 indicator point is formed near the 104463.99 point, its importance can be considered high.
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Since the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart is passing near 106133.74, there is a possibility of volatility when touching this area.
Since the volatility period begins around July 2 (July 1-3), it is necessary to keep an eye on the current movement.
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However, the key is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator, so the current movement may be natural.
This volatility period is expected to last until around July 10 (July 9-11), so be careful when trading to avoid being fooled by fakes.
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- The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of transitioning to a state where K < D.
- The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is showing signs of decline.
- The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel is showing signs of decline in the High Line.
Therefore, if you look at the indicators, they are showing signs of decline overall.
However, if the OBV rises above the High Line, the price will show signs of rise.
Therefore, we need to observe the movements of the indicators while checking whether there is support at the StochRSI 50 indicator point.
Basically, the time to make a purchase is when it shows support near the DOM (-60) ~ HA-Low indicator.
If you want to make a purchase outside of that, you should not forget that a short and quick response is required.
The indicators that tell you the high point are HA-High, DOM(60) indicators.
In addition, there are StochRSI 80 and StochRSI 20 indicators that require quick response.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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BTCUPUSDT trade ideas
$BTC/USDT daily chart $121K next.CRYPTOCAP:BTC just broke out of a descending wedge on the daily chart, a strong bullish signal.
It’s now holding well above key support and the 50-day moving average, showing buyers are in control.
If BTC stays above $106,400, we could see a move toward $121K next.
DYRO, NFA
Understanding SFP In Trading1. What is a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP)?
A Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) occurs when the price temporarily breaks a key swing high or low but fails to continue in that direction, leading to a sharp reversal.
This pattern is often driven by liquidity grabs, where price manipulates traders into taking positions before reversing against them.
An SFP typically consists of:
A false breakout beyond a previous swing high/low.
A sharp rejection back within the prior range.
A liquidity grab, triggering stop-loss orders and fueling a reversal.
SFPs provide powerful trade opportunities, signaling potential reversals and the exhaustion of trends.
2. Understanding Liquidity Grabs & Stop Hunts
The financial markets are structured around liquidity. Large institutions and algorithmic traders require liquidity to execute their large orders efficiently.
One way they achieve this is by triggering liquidity grabs and stop hunts.
Liquidity Grab:
Occurs when price moves beyond a key level (e.g., swing high/low), activating orders from breakout traders and stop-losses of trapped traders.
Smart money absorbs this liquidity before pushing the price in the opposite direction.
Stop Hunt:
A deliberate price movement designed to trigger stop-loss orders of retail traders before reversing.
Often seen near major support and resistance levels.
These events are crucial for understanding SFPs because they explain why false breakouts occur before significant reversals.
3. Why Smart Money Uses SFPs
Institutions, market makers, and algorithmic traders use SFPs to:
Fill large orders: By grabbing liquidity at key levels, they ensure they can enter large positions without causing excessive price slippage.
Manipulate retail traders: Many retail traders place stop-losses at obvious swing points. Smart money exploits this by pushing the price beyond these levels before reversing.
Create optimal trade entries: SFPs often align with high-probability reversal zones, allowing smart money to enter positions at better prices.
Understanding how institutions operate gives traders an edge in identifying manipulative moves before major price reversals.
4. Market Structure & SFPs
Market structure is built upon a series of swing highs and swing lows. Identifying these key points is crucial because they represent areas where liquidity accumulates and where price is likely to react.
Swing High (SH): A peak where price makes a temporary high before reversing downward.
Swing Low (SL): A trough where price makes a temporary low before reversing upward.
Types of Swing Points in Market Structure
Higher Highs (HH) & Higher Lows (HL) – Bullish Trend
Lower Highs (LH) & Lower Lows (LL) – Bearish Trend
Equal Highs & Equal Lows – Range-Bound Market
5. Liquidity Pools: Where Traders Get Trapped
Liquidity pools refer to areas where traders' stop-loss orders, pending orders, and breakout entries accumulate. Smart money uses these liquidity zones to execute large orders.
Common Liquidity Pool Zones:
Above swing highs: Retail traders place breakout buy orders and stop-losses here.
Below swing lows: Stop-losses of long positions and breakout sell orders accumulate.
Trendline & Range Liquidity:
Multiple touches of a trendline encourage traders to enter positions based on trendline support/resistance.
Smart money may engineer a fake breakout before reversing price.
6. Identifying Bullish SFPs
SFPs can occur in both bullish and bearish market conditions. The key is to identify when a liquidity grab has occurred and whether the rejection is strong enough to confirm a reversal.
Bullish SFP (Swing Low Failure in a Downtrend)
Price sweeps a key low, triggering stop-losses of long traders.
A strong rejection wick forms, pushing price back above the previous low.
A shift in order flow (bullish market structure) confirms a potential reversal.
Traders look for bullish confirmation, such as a higher low forming after the SFP.
Best bullish SFP setups occur:
At strong support levels
Below previous swing lows with high liquidity
After a liquidity grab with momentum confirmation
7. Identifying Bearish SFPs
Bearish SFP (Swing High Failure in an Uptrend)
Price takes out a key high, triggering stop-losses of short traders.
A sharp rejection forms, pushing the price back below the previous high.
A bearish shift in order flow confirms downside continuation.
Traders look for bearish confirmation, such as a lower high forming after the SFP.
Best bearish SFP setups occur:
At strong resistance levels
Above previous swing highs where liquidity is concentrated
With clear rejection wicks and momentum shift
8. How SFPs Signal Reversals
SFPs provide early warning signs of trend reversals because they expose areas where liquidity has been exhausted.
Once liquidity is taken and the price fails to continue in that direction, it often results in a strong reversal.
Key Signs of a Strong SFP Reversal
Long wick rejection (indicating absorption of liquidity).
Close back inside the previous range (invalidating the breakout).
Increased volume on the rejection candle (confirming institutional activity).
Break of short-term market structure (trend shifting).
Divergences with indicators (e.g., RSI divergence at the SFP).
9. Identifying High-Probability SFPs
One of the most critical aspects of a valid SFP is how the price reacts after a liquidity grab. The candle’s wick and close determine whether an SFP is strong or weak.
A. Wick Rejections & Candle Closes
Key Features of a Strong SFP Wick Rejection
Long wick beyond a key swing high/low (indicating a liquidity grab).
Candle closes back inside the previous range (invalidating the breakout).
Engulfing or pin bar-like structure (showing aggressive rejection).
Minimal body size relative to wick length (e.g., wick is 2–3x the body).
Bullish SFP (Swing Low Failure)
Price sweeps below a key low, triggering stop-losses of buyers.
A long wick forms below the low, but the candle closes back above the level.
This signals that smart money absorbed liquidity and rejected lower prices.
Best bullish SFPs occur at major support zones, previous swing lows, or untested demand areas.
Bearish SFP (Swing High Failure)
Price sweeps above a key high, triggering stop-losses of short sellers.
A long wick forms above the high, but the candle closes back inside the range.
This signals that smart money absorbed liquidity and rejected higher prices.
Best bearish SFPs occur at resistance levels, previous swing highs, or untested supply areas.
❌ Weak SFPs (Avoid These)
❌ Wick is too small, meaning the liquidity grab wasn’t significant.
❌ Candle closes above the swing high (for a bearish SFP) or below the swing low (for a bullish SFP).
❌ Lack of strong momentum after rejection.
B. Volume Confirmation in SFPs
Volume plays a crucial role in validating an SFP. Institutional traders execute large orders during liquidity grabs, which often results in spikes in trading volume.
How to Use Volume for SFP Confirmation
High volume on the rejection wick → Indicates smart money absorption.
Low volume on the breakout move → Suggests a lack of real buying/selling pressure.
Increasing volume after rejection → Confirms a strong reversal.
Spotting Fake SFPs Using Volume
If volume is high on the breakout but low on the rejection wick, the move may continue trending rather than reversing.
If volume remains low overall, it suggests weak market participation and a higher chance of chop or consolidation instead of a clean reversal.
Best tools for volume analysis:
Volume Profile (VPVR)
Relative Volume (RVOL)
Footprint Charts
10. Key Takeaways
SFPs are Liquidity Grabs – Price temporarily breaks a key high/low, triggers stop losses, and then reverses, signaling smart money absorption.
Wick Rejection & Close Matter – A strong SFP has a long wick beyond a swing point but closes back inside the range, invalidating the breakout.
Volume Confirms Validity – High volume on rejection wicks indicates smart money involvement, while low-volume breakouts often fail.
Higher Timeframes = Stronger SFPs – 1H, 4H, and Daily SFPs are more reliable than lower timeframe setups, reducing false signals.
Confluence Increases Probability – SFPs are most effective when aligned with order blocks, imbalances (FVGs), and major liquidity zones.
Optimal Entry Methods Vary – Aggressive entries capitalize on immediate rejection, while confirmation and retracement entries improve accuracy.
Proper Stop Loss Placement Prevents Fakeouts – Placing SL just beyond the rejection wick or using structure-based stops reduces premature exits.
Take Profit at Key Liquidity Levels – Secure profits at previous swing highs/lows, order blocks, or imbalance zones to maximize returns.
$BTCUSDT: Bullish trend resumingBitcoin turning bullish in the daily confirming the correction is likely over and longer term timeframe trends will resume next if it gets follow through.
See monthly, it fired a trend on close during June, bullish till EOY easily as per this forecast:
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
BTC Analysis (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Since the red arrow was placed on the chart, Bitcoin's bullish phase has ended and it has entered a corrective phase. This correction appears to be forming a Diametric pattern, and we are currently in the middle of wave E.
After interacting with the demand zone, the price may move toward the specified targets.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – 4H Analysis UpdateBTC is currently holding above the key resistance-turned-support zone of $106,057, after a clean breakout from the symmetrical triangle last week. Price is consolidating just below $107,000, signaling a potential pause or minor pullback before the next leg.
Technical Overview:
Trendline support from May is intact
$106K zone flipped into support — critical for bulls to hold
Price action is compressing under resistance at $107,000
Holding here may lead to a retest of $108,895, then $111,785
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
$106,057 – Immediate support
$101,409 – Mid-range demand zone
$98,898 – Rising trendline
$93,343 – Strong base zone
Resistance:
$107,000 – Minor resistance
$108,895 – Major resistance
$111,785 – Upper breakout target
Outlook:
Bulls need to defend the $106K zone to maintain momentum. Failure to do so could cause the price to pull back toward $101K. On the flip side, strong volume above $108900 may trigger a rally toward $111K+.
DYOR | Not Financial Advice
Can #BTC reach a new high?📊Can #BTC reach a new high?
🧠We cannot be too optimistic before we break through ATH, because the daily adjustment expectation still exists.
➡️We are currently in a heavy resistance area near 110,000. This is our third test. Regardless of whether we can successfully break through, don’t chase the rise here, because the cost-effectiveness is not high. If you want to go long, you should also wait patiently for the callback to occur before considering it. Or wait for the callback after breaking through ATH before considering it.
➡️If you want to participate in short trading, you can only participate in a small amount with ATH as a defensive point. Or wait for the rebound after breaking through the upward trend support line before participating.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin BTC Trade Plan: Watching for Breakout or Pullback Entry📊 Currently watching BTC (Bitcoin) as price action remains bullish overall, but we're approaching a key decision point 🎯
💹 Price is pushing higher, but with some signs of exhaustion after the recent rally ⚠️ — and with the weekend approaching, we could either see a continuation higher or a healthy pullback
I’m keeping an eye on two potential trade scenarios:
1️⃣ A break and clean retest of the recent high, which could offer a continuation long if momentum follows through 🚀
2️⃣ A retracement into equilibrium — a deeper pullback toward fair value 📉 — which could also present a high-probability long setup if confirmed with structure and reaction 📈
Either way, I’m letting the market reveal its hand and waiting for one of these setups to play out before committing 💡
💬 Not financial advice — always assess your own risk and confirm with your own analysis.
BTC shorting opportunity comes againBTC climbed above 108000 again, and the short-term bullish power was slightly stronger. According to the current strength, BTC still has room for growth, but it is still under pressure in the 109000-110000 area in the short term; if there is no major positive news, BTC may find it difficult to break through the resistance area in the short term under the current conditions, and may even experience stagflation and retreat again after approaching the resistance area.
Therefore, I think shorting BTC with the help of the resistance area is still the first choice for short-term trading. We can boldly short BTC in the 108500-109500 area and look towards the target area around 106000 again.
Bitcoin Eyes $112K, Liquidity Magnet AheadCRYPTOCAP:BTC Eyeing Breakout?
Bitcoin is consolidating tightly between 107.7K and 108.3K after a strong bounce from local support.
Short-term support has formed near 107.7K, but there's still liquidity below ~106.5K that may get swept before the next move.
If BTC holds above 107.5K and breaks 108.3K cleanly, we could see a quick move toward the $110.6k – $112K liquidation zone, with ATH in sight.
According to HTF, we need a daily close above 110k to confirm it in the HTF.
The market remains bullish unless 106K fails.
Will the magnet zone pull us higher?
Like & follow for more sharp updates.
DYOR. NFA
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BITCOINBITCOIN ,we are seeing some liquidity and a break of our 4hr supply roof ,if we return to retest in the same zone 108k-107.99k , we might take long position .first target 111k 113k and 116k.
take profit is key, trading is logical probability. If you dont take profit and secure it, the market will turn back and take both your capital and profit because its probability.
Bitcoin turns bullish again | Price target = $140k++After 2 months of consolidating within a descending channel, Bitcoin has finally broken out, confirming a major technical breakout and shifting the structure back to bullish. The breakout was followed by a clean retest of the channel resistance turned support, which is now acting as a launchpad for the next leg up.
🧠 Technical Analysis:
Descending Channel Breakout: Price has convincingly broken out of the downward sloping channel, invalidating the bearish structure and flipping it bullish.
Retest Confirmation: The price is currently retesting the upper boundary of the channel — a textbook bullish retest. This confirms buyer strength and shakes out weak hands.
Liquidity Magnet Above 111k: A significant cluster of buyside liquidity sits above 111k. Once that level is breached, expect an explosive acceleration toward 120k.
Measured Move Target: Based on the height of the prior impulse (from April to May), the projected extension points to ~140k.
🌍 Macro & Sentiment Drivers:
ETF Flows & Institutional Demand: U.S. Bitcoin Spot ETFs continue to show consistent inflows, signaling strong institutional accumulation — a major shift in long-term demand.
Fed Pivot Speculation: Expectations for a Fed rate cut later in 2025 are building. Lower interest rates could fuel risk-on sentiment, pushing capital back into crypto.
Big Beautiful Bill: This bill is expected to inject money into the economy, increasing liquidity — ultimately going into crypto. This bill will be signed into law today.
Bullish crypto developments: Settlement of the XRP SEC case, spot crypto ETFs, mainstream crypto adoptions, etc. will all contribute to the bullish sentiment.
🧩 Final Thoughts:
This setup combines strong technical structure, favorable macro tailwinds, and clear liquidity targets. The coming days are critical — if Bitcoin clears 111k cleanly, it could trigger a short squeeze and FOMO-driven rally straight into 120k.
BITCOINBITCOIN , continues to see in flow of liquidity ,investors confidence is high ,institutional adoption could change the layer of demand and supply and set a new bench mark for trading highs and low trading on intraday.
feels good to see that my correction video came 100% correct, now the confirmation will be if 108.03-107.89k will hold support. This is a classic retest to broken 4hr descending trendline ,if we adopt it ,then 111k-113k-116k will be watched.
on a second thought if price adopt the new structure we are selling in 100k-90k and below.
trading is logical probability ,keep that in mind that every key level can be broken, manage your risk, back test on your strategy and make sure you are winning.
there are many ways to win this market without big grammar.
have a blessed new week.
BTCUSD | Long | Breakout Above Value Area High | (July 4, 2025)BTCUSD | Long | Breakout Above Value Area High | (July 4, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary
Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum after consolidating sideways. We recently pushed from $99,000 to around $110,750, and now eyes are on whether it can hold above the value area high or break even higher.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters
✅ Bias: Long (bullish)
✅ Entry Zone: Around $111,000 — watch for a clear reaction at this level (especially if retested).
✅ Stop Loss: Below $99,000 — this protects against a deeper pullback if bulls lose control.
✅ TP1: $111,874
✅ TP2: $121,000
✅ TP3 (final target): $135,000
3️⃣ Key Notes
We’re currently seeing buyers step in around the VWAP and higher value area levels, suggesting strong support from big players. Keep an eye on correlated markets like S&P 500 — a possible correction there might temporarily affect Bitcoin’s strength. Always wait for a solid reaction (a bounce or strong volume confirmation) before entering. Avoid chasing blindly; confirm that big players are interested at that level.
The idea of entering on a second touch can offer better risk-reward. The first touch often shows strength, while the second touch is usually the safer entry for many traders.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note
I’ll keep monitoring this setup and share updates if Bitcoin approaches key levels or shows reversal signs.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.