BTCUPUSDT trade ideas
BTCUSDT Roadmap From Demand to Potential Sell-Off ZoneBitcoin has successfully broken the descending trendline resistance, confirming a bullish continuation toward the upper levels. Price is currently supported by the Immediate Demand Zone between 90,970 and 92,917. Below that, a stronger support lies around the Strong Demand Zone between 84,011 and 86,374.
If momentum holds, Bitcoin is poised to test the 103,898 - 107,211 region, identified as a Dangerous Supply Zone where potential heavy sell-offs could occur. An extended push could aim for the projected high at 105,428.
Invalidation would occur if price sharply falls below 84,000, returning pressure to the downside. Structure remains bullish as long as higher demand zones continue to hold.
BTCUSDT 4H – Correction Before Breakout | Targeting $98KI'm seeing a potential bullish continuation pattern forming on the BTC/USDT 4H chart. After a strong upward trend, price is currently in a consolidation zone with a likely correction toward the $95,600–$96,000 area, which aligns with both pivot support and the rising trendline.
Key points from my analysis:
Support zone: $95,600–$96,000 (confluence of pivot point and ascending trendline)
Resistance targets:
R1: $97,272
R2: $98,050
R3: $99,308
Momentum: Stochastic RSI near overbought → suggests short-term pullback, then potential continuation.
Volume: No major distribution, bullish momentum remains intact.
📈 I expect a minor dip followed by continuation to R2 or R3, provided the $95,600 support holds.
Stop-loss idea: Below $94,756 (S1)
Take-profit zones: Partial at GETTEX:98K , rest near $99.3K
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BTC (Post Weekly Close Update)BTC has seen a weekly close above the 93700 support, suggesting bullish strength and likely continuation if this level holds on the weekly. We remain bullish as long as 93700 is maintained; a drop below it would be the first SOW on the HTF, potentially targeting 89K–90K, and possibly 1D OB at 83K–85K. Technically, this remains a LH until the 99500 SH is convincingly reclaimed, ideally on a weekly close.
On the daily, however, we’ve observed the first SOW, closing below the SH at 95K after a rejection from the 1D supply zone, refined into MTF HOBs, where whales initially sold off aggressively. This isn’t alarming, but it warrants attention. With the SPX at resistance, the DXY at support, USDT.D closing the weekly well above the SL at 5.03, and TOTAL at resistance, these are signs of caution, in my view, despite the series of bullish news we’ve seen. That said, with the HTF remaining bullish, we’ll focus on exploiting LTF and MTF moves. The FOMC meeting on Wednesday could certainly bring volatility in the markets, particularly as BVOL24H and BVOL7D, as mentioned in the last update, are at support.👀
To further examine the weakness, note the contrast between the two horizontal ranges (grey boxes). The first range saw a BO followed by impulsive PA, smashing through the 90K key level. In contrast, the second range produced a BO but encountered an HTF supply, resulting in a notably weaker bounce compared to the first BO from the lower range. This could potentially manifest as a deviation if the price closes below the RL, making the 8D HOB at 89K–90K our next target.
On the LTF/ MTF, we’ve also seen a break below the TL, with the other resistance TL being respected, indicating further weakness. Although we haven’t yet seen HTF weakness, I believe a scalp-sized short from the 11H OB, refined into a 2H HOB at 95500 SH, makes sense with a tight invalidation, or from the MTF level around 97500, if provided. If the daily closes above 95500 again, I might consider a scalp long into the 1D supply for a potential DT or even the 100K psychological level.
Bullish Crypto: Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 4)You are back!
Are you back are you?
I am getting many new Altcoins requests so let's do a new Top Altcoins Choice session, Your Pick.
Look at this weekly Bitcoin chart, what do you see?
Today is Friday and the session is full green. The action is happening at the top of the candle.
» Can Bitcoin hit $100,000 by next week?
It is possible. Bitcoin can easily grow less than $6,000 in two days.
» Can Bitcoin hit $120,000 before the month ends?
It is possible but not likely, let's be honest.
» Can Bitcoin hit $150,000 in May 2025.
Absolutely, why not, it is actually not that high.
» Can Bitcoin hit $200,000 in this 2025 bull market cycle top?
Bitcoin can hit $180,000, $200,000 or even go beyond.
Look at this weekly chart and tell me in the comments section what do you see?
I see a market that is very strong.
I see bullish action, bears are weak.
Where are the signals that would give strength to a bear in this type of chart? Where is the downside? Where are the negative aspects, it looks green, it is green and ready to grow up and blow.
It is only a matter of time before Bitcoin moves above $100,000 for the second time in its history. The first time of course in December 2024. Then the All-Time High peak, the correction and now we are moving back up.
Are you aware.... Did you know that Bitcoin will never trade back below 80K? I told you buying below 90,000 was a great opportunity, the last chance now to buy below 100,000 before the 2025 bull market bullish wave.
When Bitcoin moves above $100,000 the Altcoins will blow up. The Altcoins are starting to grow now, to recover now but not yet, May 2025 is the month of the Altcoins market maximum growth. Everything will grow, but the Altcoins will grow many times more than Bitcoin because the Alts are smaller, because the correction was stronger on those.
Knowing that the Altcoins market is bullish, recovering a major bottom, set to grow and going green, which one is your Top Altcoin Choice, Your Pick?
Leave a comment with your Choice of Altcoin and I will do an analysis for you, 100% FREE. Choose one pair only and if the chart looks good, I will publish.
Any specific questions leave in the comment, for example: Short-term reversal potential, mid-term targets, All-Time High potential, many signals, chart structure, fundamentals, etc.
Why are you here?
Why are you trading?
How long have you been trading for?
Share some of you; your heart, your mind your soul, share some information about you so that the analysis can be personalized...
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Let's do a new session of Your Top Altcoins Choice.
Session 4.
Namaste.
Bitcoin can make small correction and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price of price was consolidating for quite some time inside a broad upward wedge. The market found consistent support near the buyer zone, forming a solid foundation for future growth. After several rebounds, the bulls pushed BTC higher, and the pair exited the support area with a clean breakout. The movement above the current 86000 support level was accompanied by a strong bullish impulse, confirming the breakout from the wedge and validating the upward momentum. The price respected the structure of the wedge well, reacting to both the resistance and support lines along the way. After the breakout, Bitcoin reached a new high near 94000, where it turned around slightly, indicating the beginning of a local correction. Now BTC is hovering just above the broken wedge, and I believe a short-term decline, likely before continuing further upward. Given the wedge's structure, the bounce from the buyer zone, and the breakout with confirmation, I remain bullish on Bitcoin. My TP1 remains at 97000 points, which corresponds to the next key resistance above the current price range. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin, Repeating Patterns (Support Turned Resistance)On the way down, Bitcoin found support in a price range between $94,000 and $98,000 between 3 and 21 February. This support zone was weakened by repeated challenges and then it broke. Bitcoin went on to produce its 2025 pre-bull market correction bottom and low. Then the dynamics are reversed.
On the way up, the same price range that worked as support is now working as resistance, between $94,000 and $98,000. The more this range is challenged the weaker it becomes. Bitcoin will continue to weaken it until it finally breaks and we see additional growth. It is the same.
Just as prices found support for a while before moving lower, Bitcoin is challenging resistance before moving higher. What is certain is that the end result is higher prices.
Bitcoin is going up, ignore the short-term.
There can be small swings while this resistance zone is challenged, but it will definitely break. A higher high will happen next.
» Retraces and corrections are an opportunity to buy-in, rebuy and reload.
» Bitcoin is still a bargain below $100,000.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Short-Term PULLBACK After Momentum ExhaustionBINANCE:BTCUSDT is showing signs of distribution after failing to break through the $96,400 resistance zone. The structure still respects the upward trendline, but bearish divergence and fading momentum hint at a deeper correction. As long as BTC stays below this resistance, the risk of a pullback to the $91,000 level remains elevated.
📈 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection below $96,400
Buy zone: $91,000
Target: $91,000
Bullish breakout: Only on strong close above $96,400
💡 Risks
Bitcoin is still holding trendline support, so aggressive shorts are risky without confirmation.
If bullish volume picks up near $91,000, price may bounce fast.
Macro catalysts or ETF news can flip sentiment in minutes.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Bitcoin update 10.04.2025 - BTC - 98k in May🔥 The Markets Are on Fire — and We Know Who Lit the Match.
The last few weeks have been pure chaos.
Markets are crashing, confidence is shaking, and crypto is confused.
And let’s not pretend we don’t know who’s behind it.
Donald Trump.
Even a Korean guy selling panda souvenirs on the street told me:
“This Trump is ruining everything.”
And he’s not wrong.
Billions wiped. Positions wrecked.
But here’s the thing — this isn’t random. This is tactical drama.
Trump sees himself as a master negotiator, and here’s how he plays the game:
🎭 The Trump Cycle (Get Ready for the Loop)
Pressure — tariffs, chaos, media hysteria. We’ve seen it.
Relaxation — 90-day delays, fake calm.
Talks — and boom, “positive developments.”
Good News —
• “Bitcoin added to U.S. reserves.” in MAY?
• “Americans to receive new stimulus.”
• “China’s our friend again!”
Charm & Flirt Mode — improving global relations, smiling at cameras.
More good news — stock markets fly, crypto rips and everyone screams, “New bull run!”
And then?
💥 Back to pressure.
📆 September 2025 is the punchline.
That's when this cycle hits the weaker economies like a freight train:
✅ Broken supply chains
✅ Collapsing currencies
✅ Defaults
✅ And where there’s chaos — there’s war. Expect escalation in fragile regions like the Middle East.
✅ Crude oil falling to 40$
Markets will top on pure euphoria.
The reversal begins when everyone’s drunk on hopium and “good news”.
💼 My Plan? Ruthlessly Simple:
🔹 May I will participate in the first Offline/Online International Crypto Trading Cup 2025 by WhiteBIT
🔹Jun-August -Euphoria in the market
🔹 September - Take profits
🔹 Either short — or sip something cold on a quiet beach. But we will see
We’ve officially entered the Turbulence Zone.
The following 10 years will be insane — for those who adapt, evolve, ride the trends, and harness AI and tech.
If not?
You get left behind.
It’s not the strongest who survive — it’s the fastest to adapt.
Best regards, EXCAVO
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #75👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin and major crypto index analysis. As usual, in this analysis, I want to review the triggers for the New York futures session for you.
🔄 Yesterday's Analysis
In yesterday's analysis, I told you that if the price stabilizes below 93626, I expect a correction down to 91945.
However, this didn’t happen and the price faked below this area and moved back up, and now its trigger has been activated.
Let’s move on to today’s analysis to see what triggers are suitable for today.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as I said, the price faked downwards and moved up again, activating the first trigger at 94421.
The 94421 trigger was a preliminary trigger for the breakout of 95306, so if you opened this position, I suggest you wait to see if the price breaks the 95306 resistance or not.
✔️ The main trigger for a long position is still the breakout of 95306, which can start the next bullish leg for Bitcoin.
If you plan to open a position upon the breakout of this area, pay attention to the volume, and if volume increases at the same time, I suggest you definitely have a position.
💥 In the RSI oscillator, as you can see, the divergence we had in the previous bullish leg has been activated, and we can see its effect in the market, and now a new structure is forming, getting close to the Overbuy area.
⚡️ If RSI enters Overbuy and the 95306 resistance is broken, we could see a sharp and fast move toward the 98828 resistance.
📉 For a short position and for Bitcoin’s trend to turn bearish, yesterday I told you we have a risky trigger at the break of 93626, but I personally wouldn’t open a position with this trigger because it’s risky and I prefer to wait for a confirmed trend change.
🔍 Currently, the trigger I have for a trend change in Bitcoin is the break of 91945 and forming a lower high and lower low below this level. Otherwise, we should wait to see if a new structure for a trend change forms in the coming days.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s move on to Bitcoin Dominance analysis.
As you can see, Dominance has finally exited the range it had formed between 64.19 and 64.41, breaking 64.19 and moving downward.
🧩 If this decline continues, the next major support area for Dominance is 63.67, and Dominance could fall to this level.
If this happens simultaneously with Bitcoin’s rise, altcoins could experience a lot of sharp bullish moves.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s move on to Total2 analysis.
As you can see, this index also faked the floor it had formed, and this fake breakout has brought bullish momentum into the market, and now it has managed to stabilize above 1.05.
⭐ The reason Bitcoin is still struggling with its resistance and hasn’t broken it yet is because Bitcoin Dominance is decreasing, causing Bitcoin to move upward slower than Total2.
📊 Currently, the next resistance for Total2 is the 1.07 area, and the probability of the price reaching this level is high.
If this bullish move gets faked, breaking 1.03 will be a good short trigger.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s move on to Tether Dominance analysis.
I believe the market is still waiting for Tether Dominance to move out of the range box formed between 4.99 and 5.14.
🚀 If the 4.99 level is broken, it can confirm that the market is turning bullish.
I think this trigger could start Bitcoin’s move toward a new ATH.
🎲 If 5.14 is broken instead, we can confirm the end of the bullish trend that the market has had in recent days.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Going For a Breakout | Price Still SidewayBitcoin is still trading in a sideways channel on smaller timeframes, where neither buyers nor sellers have really attempted to break out of that channel.
We are patient and waiting for more clarity but if we do not see anything until the end of the week, we will be looking for smaller timeframe trades that can be taken. Overall, once one of our entry zones is reached, then we will be entering the bigger timeframe trades and aiming for our targets.
Swallow Academy
Bitcoin’s Short Squeeze Pushes Into Key Resistance — Reversal?Bitcoin has staged an aggressive recovery — but it’s not just any bounce. The move looks to be driven by a classic short squeeze, where extreme bearish sentiment and overcrowded short positions result in a sharp upward spike. This rally has now brought BTC right into a thick wall of resistance, and the next few candles could define the trend for weeks to come.
What’s Happening:
The short squeeze began after BTC reached heavily oversold levels. As price began to bounce, it forced short positions to unwind — fueling a momentum rally. But the rally hasn’t been supported by sustained demand; it’s been largely reactive. That’s where the caution comes in.
BTC is now sitting at a dense confluence of resistance, including
- The descending trendline from the broader channel
- The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement
- The point of control from the recent volume profile
- A major price level around $98,300
Why This Zone Matters:
Rejections from this area in the past have triggered sharp pullbacks. The fact that we haven’t seen immediate rejection yet raises eyebrows — but without strong volume and a decisive breakout, it’s premature to call this a full trend reversal. If the squeeze loses steam here, sellers could pile back in.
The Bullish Case:
If price grinds through this zone and closes above $98,300 with sustained volume, the landscape shifts. That level flips from resistance to support, potentially unlocking another leg higher.
The Bearish Case:
However, if this is just a squeeze without follow-through, expect a rejection to form soon. Watch for signs of slowing momentum, especially lower highs or sell pressure into resistance — classic signals of a local top forming.
Final Thoughts:
This is a make-or-break moment. The current structure is vulnerable to rapid moves in either direction. If BTC can’t hold this push, it may confirm a local high and set the stage for a deeper correction. But if bulls punch through resistance, momentum could snowball.
Stay cautious and let price confirm direction.
Bitcoin Short-Term Support Zone, Buy Zone & Extreme Danger ZoneBitcoin is now trading within its main long-term 100K-200K beyond entry and buy zone. These prices are listed green on the chart.
The support zone is above $91,000 and the extreme danger zone (which won't be tested—Bitcoin is safe and strong) is $89,250.
If Bitcoin trades below $95,000 this is a major opportunity to buy and even to open LONG (lev.) positions. Any trading above $90,000 is ultra-bullish.
If Bitcoin trades at $89,250 or higher market conditions remain extremely good but this is a rare opportunity. It is likely we will not be able to enjoy these prices again but if it happens, make sure to make the best of it.
Any trading below $95,000 is a super strong buy.
Any trading above $95,000 confirms the continuation of the bullish move.
Bitcoin is neutral while the Fed decision is in. When the Fed publishes its decision, there will be some volatility followed by growth.
» Late May 2025 the entire Cryptocurrency market will be ultra-bullish. Repeat, ultra-bullish this very same month.
» Whatever you do, buy and hold and accumulate like it is the end of the world. This is truly the last chance. You've been warned.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
You deserve the best and you are Gold!
Namaste.
#BTCUSDT:Price Moving Well From $88,000 to $96,000,Next $128,000Bitcoin has moved well from our last idea of $88,000 to $96,000. However, a small correction is expected, which could be a good point to enter a swing trade. This could take the price to a new record high of around $128,000.
We have three targets, but each can be set based on your overview. The last three candles are not clear, so it’s best to wait for price to have a clearer indication of its next move.
We wish you the best and good luck in your trading journey. Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
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- Share our ideas
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❤️🚀
Bitcoin at Daily Resistance — Reversal Incoming?Bitcoin is currently perched at a critical inflection point, with price action stalling at a major daily supply zone and 0.618 Fibonacci resistance. This region has acted as a key decision point in recent months, and now stands as a potential trigger for the next leg down.
If Bitcoin confirms rejection from this level, it could mark the beginning of the C-leg in a broader ABC corrective structure. The implications are clear: a move back toward the 0.618 Fibonacci support could unfold quickly, especially if price fails to maintain a foothold above this resistance.
This area is also the upper boundary of a descending channel that’s held since November 2024 — a structure that’s added considerable technical confluence and credibility to the current bearish outlook.
From a trader’s lens, we are still trading at resistance until proven otherwise. Without a clean breakout and hold above this range, the bias remains to the downside. A confirmed breakout above would invalidate the bearish thesis, but until then, risk is skewed toward further downside as the market digests recent gains.
How can beginners use ETFs to catch the next 10× quickly?Introduction to Crypto ETFs
How Crypto ETFs Work?
Future Candidates for ETF Inclusion
Advantages of Crypto ETF Listing
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective:
Bitcoin is currently approaching three strong daily support zones, which perfectly align with key Fibonacci support levels. Based on this setup, I anticipate at least another 6% move to the upside, targeting the 99,700 level — very close to the major daily and psychological resistance at 100K.📈
Now, let's dive into the educational section , which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram.
Introduction to Crypto ETFs 📈
In the rapidly evolving world of digital assets, Crypto ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) provide a bridge between traditional finance and cryptocurrencies. They allow investors to gain exposure to assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and a basket of other cryptocurrencies through regulated stock exchanges, without the need for direct ownership or private wallet management.
How They Actually Work 🔍
Instead of holding company shares, a Crypto ETF holds cryptocurrencies or crypto-related assets. You’re tracking coins like BTC and ETH the same way you’d track the S&P 500, but without direct crypto ownership headaches.
Why Crypto ETFs Are a Big Deal 📈
They make crypto accessible to everyday investors, offer easy diversification across multiple coins, and skip the risk of managing private keys. Great for both beginners and institutions looking for safer exposure.
What’s Inside a Crypto ETF? 🛒
Top picks usually include Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), Ripple (XRP), and Litecoin (LTC). Some ETFs even mix in other favorites like Cardano (ADA) and Chainlink (LINK) to broaden the basket.
Future Coins That Could Join the Party 🎉
Beyond BTC and ETH, expect to see DeFi giants like Uniswap (UNI) and Aave (AAVE) show up in future ETFs. Even stablecoins like USDC could sneak in to balance out volatility.
What Makes a Coin ETF-Ready? 🧠
It needs high liquidity, broad investor trust, strong security backing, and, most importantly, regulator approval. Only coins that tick all these boxes are likely to be considered.
Examples You Should Know 🏛️
Purpose Bitcoin ETF (Canada), Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), and ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) are a few leaders. They open crypto markets to a whole new class of investors.
Why Being in an ETF Matters 🌟
Landing inside an ETF boosts a crypto project’s credibility, liquidity, and investor demand. It’s almost like getting a stamp of approval from the traditional finance world.
Not Always Smooth Sailing 🌊
Regulations are still tricky. Compliance isn’t easy. Some coins might not make the cut due to legal hurdles or operational risks. It’s a selective process for a reason.
Final Thoughts: Crypto ETFs Are Just Getting Started 🌐
Crypto ETFs are reshaping the market, creating new bridges between blockchain and Wall Street. As more projects mature and regulations catch up, ETFs could become a dominant force in crypto investing.
However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Crypto ETFs let you invest in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other coins through regular stock markets, no wallets needed. 🚀 They make crypto investing safer, easier, and more accessible, while giving you diversified exposure. Top coins like BTC, ETH, and even DeFi tokens are in — but only if they’re liquid, trusted, and regulator-approved. 📈 ETFs boost a crypto’s credibility, liquidity, and adoption, though regulation hurdles still exist. 🌐 Overall, Crypto ETFs are a game-changer, connecting traditional finance with the world of digital assets! 🔥
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
BTC | WHY Bitcoin is BULLISH | 2021 Fractal5 reasons why I say BTC is on it's way to a new ATH (All Time High) :
✅1️⃣ Support zone reclaimed
BTC has successfully reclaimed the support zone ABOVE the neckline resistance, a topic that I've been discussing over the past two weeks. If you'll recall, I pointed out either 70k or 90k. We have our answer:
✅2️⃣ Trendlines
Trendlines are BULLISH as BTC continues to make highger lows, a key indication of bullish sentiment even when a pullback is present:
✅3️⃣ Moving Averages
BTC has reclaimed ALL moving averages in the daily, a bullish indication:
✅4️⃣ Trend Based Indicators
A bullish flash in the weekly is a strong sign:
✅5️⃣ Fractal
It's possible that BTC plays out similarly to the previous ATH fractal from 2021:
________________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC New Update (8H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
In the previous scenario, we considered that Bitcoin was in a diametric where wave E had extended. However, after reviewing the charts and analyzing various scenarios, we decided to revise the wave count as shown in this update, since wave E of the previous diametric scenario became overly extended.
You can see the complete wave count of the chart in this update. The correction in Bitcoin started from the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart. This correction was a diametric and ended where the green arrow is placed.
From the point where the green arrow is shown on the chart, Bitcoin's bullish wave has started, which is either wave A or W.
According to this scenario, the expected rejection zone should be between 98K and 103K.
The lowest-risk area for price rejection is the red box.
A daily candle close above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Let’s see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Has Bitcoin Begun Its Final D-Leg Correction?Bitcoin could be starting the final stage of a larger corrective pattern — known as the D-leg — which often follows major trends in the market. This kind of structure typically forms after a big move up, and signals that the market might need a deeper reset before continuing higher.
Recently, Bitcoin was rejected from a key resistance zone around $98,300, which aligns with several technical indicators including a major daily support/resistance flip, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, and the Point of Control (a price level with the most traded volume). This rejection has sparked concerns that a local top may already be in for this cycle.
Why This Matters:
If Bitcoin fails to hold its current support levels, we could see a continuation to the downside, with targets potentially reaching sub-$60K levels. This aligns with a broader corrective pattern some analysts call an ABCD structure — where the D-leg often marks the final leg down before the next larger trend can begin.
This scenario becomes more likely if the current support zone breaks down, which would confirm a shift in market structure. Until then, there’s still room for price to range or attempt another retest of the highs, but caution is warranted.
What’s Next:
Watch for a breakdown below the recent lows — this would strongly suggest the D-leg is underway.
A confirmed breakdown would likely lead to a longer correction over the coming weeks or months.
However, if Bitcoin reclaims resistance above $98,300, this bearish outlook could be invalidated and the structure may reset.
Right now, we’re at a major decision point in the market. While the signs are stacking in favor of a deeper pullback, it’s important to wait for price to confirm with structure and volume before acting on it.
Bitcoin (BTC): Seems Like Breakout But It Is Not....Bitcoin is showing some sort of breakout attempts where buyers are trying to take over the upper zones and form BOS, but this has not yet happened.
We are still waiting for BOS to form (and a proper one...with a successful retest). If we do not see it, then we are going to look for the MSB to form, which would send the price back to lower zones.
Sell-side movement will be harsh as we will see a rejection from the major resistance zone and huge FVGs are on the lower side of the chart.
Swallow Academy