BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTC attempting to break out, 108k is a possible target.We have a nice sideways channel as the main pattern and a downward channel that is now being broke out of. There is momentum moving to the upside in slightly over sold conditions. I am thinking over the following days to weeks, we could see 108k. NFA , DYOR.
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(BTCUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (BTCUSD) ready for( BUY )trade ( BTCUSD) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (96.600) to (96.800) 📊
FIRST TP (97.200)📊
2ND TARGET (97.700)📊
LAST TARGET (98.200) 📊
STOP LOOS (95.600)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
BTC at a Crossroad, Is the Drop to $91K Closer Than You Think ?A few days ago, we accurately predicted the market movement before anyone else. The price rebounded from the trendline, fell to the resistance level that aligned with the resistance zone, and eventually broke through it.
Following this breakout, the price continued to decline, even breaking through the support level before quickly reversing. After the reversal, the price surged sharply to the resistance zone but soon began to fall again, breaking through the 100,500 resistance level in the process.
Later, Bitcoin dropped to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and made an attempt to rise. However, it failed and pulled back to the 94,800 support level, where it traded for some time before bouncing back to the trendline.
Recently, the price turned around and resumed its downtrend.
Currently, I anticipate Bitcoin will rise to the trendline and then eventually fall below the support level. For this scenario, my target is set at 91,000, which lies below the support zone.
For more free strategies and trade updates, feel free to message me!
$BTC Bitcoin FlaggingAbout Bitcoin (BTC)
Bitcoin (BTC) is the first cryptocurrency built on blockchain technology, also known as a decentralized digital currency that is based on cryptography. Unlike government-issued or fiat currencies such as US Dollars or Euro which are controlled by central banks, Bitcoin can operate without the need of a central authority like a central bank or a company. The decentralized nature allows it to operate on a peer-to-peer network whereby users are able to send funds to each other without going through intermediaries.
Who created Bitcoin?
The creator is an unknown individual or group that goes by the name Satoshi Nakamoto with the idea of an electronic peer-to-peer cash system as it is written in a whitepaper. Until today, the true identity of Satoshi Nakamoto has not been verified though there has been speculation and rumor as to who Satoshi might be. What we do know is that officially, the first genesis block of BTC was mined on 9th January 2009, defining the start of cryptocurrencies.
How does Bitcoin work?
While the general public perceives Bitcoin as a physical looking coin, it is actually far from that. Under the hood, it is a distributed accounting ledger that is stored as a chain of blocks - hence the name blockchain.
Let's compare how Bitcoin is different from a commercial bank, which operates as a centralized system. Given a situation where Alice wants to transact with Bob, the bank is the only entity that holds the ledger that describes how much balance Alice and Bob has. As the bank maintains the ledger, they will do the verification as to whether Alice has enough funds to send to Bob. Finally when the transaction successfully takes place, the Bank will deduct Alice’s account and credit Bob’s account with the latest amount.
Bitcoin conversely works in a decentralized manner. Since there is no central figure like a bank to verify the transactions and maintain the ledger, a copy of the ledger is distributed across Bitcoin nodes. A node is a piece of software that anybody can download and run to participate in the network. With that, everybody has a copy of how much balance Alice and Bob has, and there will be no dispute of fund balance.
Now, if Alice were to transact with Bob using bitcoin. Alice will have to broadcast her transaction to the network that she intends to send $1 to Bob in equivalent amount of bitcoin. So how does the system determine if Alice has enough bitcoin to execute the transaction? This is where mining takes place.
Bitcoin Mining
A Bitcoin miner will use his or her computer rigs to validate Alice’s transaction to be added into the ledger. In order to stop a miner from adding any arbitrary transactions, they will need to solve a complex puzzle. Only if the miner is able to solve the puzzle (called the Proof of Work), which happens at random, then he or she is able to add the transactions into the ledger and the record is final.
Since running computer rigs cost money due to capital expenditure, which includes the cost of the rigs and the cost of electricity, miners are rewarded with new supply of bitcoins. This is the monetary system behind Bitcoin, where the fees for validating transactions on the network is paid by the person who wishes to transact (in this case it is Alice).
This makes the Bitcoin ledger resilient against fraud in a trustless manner. While it is resilient, there are still some risks associated with the system such as the 51% attack where by miners control more than 51% of the total computation power and also there can be security risks outside of the control of the Bitcoin protocol.
lets get down to.... businessCurrently, February 14, 2025, the Bitcoin price is at $96,655, a slight decline of 0.16% from the previous close.
Recent developments show a mixed picture. For example, 18 US states are considering legislation to create Bitcoin reserves, which could mean a potential inflow of $23 billion into the market. At the same time, after two years of optimism, BCA Research has indicated that the market may have peaked, pointing to signs of excessive bullish sentiment.
Historically, February is a strong month for Bitcoin, with an average increase of around 15%. However, technical analysis suggests that the loss of the $92,000 support level could lead to further declines towards $85,000, which would slow the upside momentum.
Given these mixed signals, current market sentiment for Bitcoin on February 14, 2025 is neutral to slightly bearish.
BTCUSD next move(expecting a bullish move)(18-09-2024)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for BTCUSD (18-09-2024) (SHORT TERM)
Current price- 59400
"if Price stay above 57400 then next target is 61000, 64000 and below that 56,000 .
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
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Bitcoin's Next Move? Key Levels to Watch Based on Market Trends!🚀 Bitcoin's Next Move? Key Levels to Watch Based on Market Trends!
📊 Bitcoin has entered a crucial consolidation zone between $92,805 and $103,757. Will it break out to new highs or drop sharply? Let’s analyze the technical and fundamental factors driving BTC’s next move!
📈 Technical Analysis: Critical Price Levels
🔹 Resistance & All-Time High (ATH)
- Bitcoin recently hit an ATH of $109,356 (Jan 2025) but faced strong rejection near the upper boundary of the Primary Ascending Channel.
- The price is currently consolidating between $92,805 - $103,757, forming a critical decision zone.
🔹 Bearish Breakdown Scenario
- A daily close below $92,800 would confirm a bearish breakdown.
- This could lead to a strong drop toward the first support level of $79,579 and further down to $71,400.
🔹 Bullish Breakout Scenario
If Bitcoin breaks above $103,757, it could signal a continuation toward ATH levels at $109,356 and potentially new highs beyond $120K.
📰 Fundamental Analysis: Market Sentiment & BTC News
📢 Bitcoin Funding Rate Turns Neutral! What Does This Mean?
- The funding rate on top exchanges has turned neutral, meaning that longs and shorts are now balanced after recent volatility.
- Historically, when BTC neutralizes funding after a strong rally, two scenarios usually play out: 1️⃣ Bullish Accumulation: A period of sideways movement before another breakout.
2️⃣ Sell-Off Risk: Weak bullish momentum leading to a sharp correction.
🔥 This news aligns perfectly with our $92,800 support level—if BTC holds above it, we could see another rally. But if it breaks below, expect a deep correction!
📢 Final Thought: Watch These Key Levels Closely!
💥 Above $103,757 → Bullish breakout → Next target: $109K+
⚠️ Below $92,800 → Bearish breakdown → Targets: $79K & $71K
✅ Will Bitcoin break above $103K or drop to $79K?
✅ Comment your BTC price target below! Let’s discuss! 👇🔥
🚀 Do you think BTC will break above $103K or drop to $79K? Comment your thoughts below! 👇🔥
For noobs like you that buy market cycle tops.I think anyone with a couple of brain cells can agree that anything that is a natural function of buying and selling should have no linear correlation. But, you may only have one so don't blow a fuse here Einstein.
#Bitcoin's long-term road plan!-396 days Processed Between 2013 High and 2015 Bottom!
-365 days Processed Between 2017 High and 2018 Bottom!
-365 days Processed Between 2021 High and 2022 Bottom!
-1065 days processed between 2015 Bottom and 2017 Peak!
-1065 days processed between 2018 Bottom and 2021 Peak!
-1430 days Processed Between 2015 Bottom and 2018 Bottom!
-1430 days Processed Between 2018 Bottom and 2022 Bottom!
If the 1065 model is processed between 2022 Bottom and 2025 Peak, I think we will see a local peak in October.
If the 365 days Model is processed, I think we will see a 2025 Peak in October and a 2026 October Bottom.
I will be grateful if you appreciate...
No longs by far. 90-92K stands in focusMorning folks,
Last time we were speaking about possible upside bounce to ~102.5K area. But BTC has failed three attempts to move out from support level where it stands. Despite that upside momentum was not bad.
With the recent high CPI on the table and weekly DRPO "Sell" pattern on the back, we suggest that downside action could start at any time. First target will be ~90-92K area just because this is daily oversold. Weekly pattern suggest target around 80-81K.
By this reason we do not consider any new intraday longs by far. Besides, on daily chart today we could get bearish grabber that supports adea of 90-92K lows level.
BITCOIN daily time frame. Price testing a crucial support levelBTC/USD – Daily Chart Analysis (Feb 13, 2025)
📊 Market Structure:
Rising Wedge Pattern: BTC is currently trading inside a rising wedge, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern.
Key Horizontal Support Levels:
$73,074 – Strong previous support, potential target if a breakdown occurs.
$55,247 – Major support zone from past price action.
🔑 Key Technical Indicators:
RSI at 43.52: Shows weakening momentum but not yet in oversold territory.
Volume Decline: Volume appears to be decreasing, which may indicate a loss of bullish momentum.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
BTC needs to hold the lower boundary of the wedge (~$95,000).
A breakout above the wedge (~$100,000-$105,000) could push BTC to new highs, possibly testing $110,000+.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown of the wedge could trigger a sharp decline toward $73,000 first.
If selling pressure increases, BTC could even drop further to $55,000, a major support area.
📌 Conclusion: BTC is at a critical point—if it breaks above the wedge, we may see further upside. However, a breakdown could lead to a correction toward lower support levels. Traders should watch the wedge breakout/breakdown carefully! 🚀📉
Bitcoin consolidating, potential 4h gap fil?This chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, currently consolidating within a 4-hour imbalance (gap) zone. The price appears to be ranging in this area, potentially building liquidity before making a decisive move.
The projected path in purple suggests that Bitcoin might first move upward to fill the higher 4-hour gap, seeking liquidity in that region. Once liquidity is grabbed, a reversal to the downside is anticipated, implying a bearish continuation after mitigating the inefficiency above.
Traders might be watching for signs of rejection in the upper gap before confirming bearish momentum. However, if the price breaks through the higher gap with strength, it could invalidate the bearish scenario.
Bitcoin: Watch Low 90K Test For Long Setup.Bitcoin is near the lower part of its broader bullish consolidation. This means swing trade shorts are higher risk, while longs lower risk. How you navigate this area depends on the time frame you use to evaluate your trade signal and risk. The key location to watch for the coming week is the 93,500 to 92,500 support AREA which is part of a larger support zone. A bullish retrace from this area offers potential of at least 2 to 3K points which is a conservative estimation. IF this support area gives way (decisive break of 90K), then all bets are off until new levels establish themselves.
Recent movements have been wild thanks to all of the drama in the news. People who consume and react to news events will often find themselves stuck in painful positions. Chasing news, reacting to dramatic price movements and/or random signals/patterns on charts in leads to random results. You want to capitalize on participants who make these mistakes by anticipating their behavior and this is best done by evaluating ONLY TWO market components: support/resistance and trend. As simplistic and obvious as this may sound, this is the information that helps you build a more accurate lens to judge a market.
Both of these components depend on the time fame you choose to operate. For this analysis, that is the swing trade time frame. Recent trend can be categorized as range bound. That has been clear for weeks now. In range bound environments, support and resistance levels have a greater tendency to HOLD until one side eventually breaks If we zoom out on Bitcoin (monthly) we can see this consolidation is likely a broader Wave 4, or a broader higher low. IF
I have to bet on a side, it would be bullish. For me this means expect more for longs, ESPECIALLY from major support areas and LESS from shorts, ESPECIALLY from resistance areas on this time frame.
For example: with this context in mind and planning to take a swing trade, having a price point in mind (93K AREA see arrow), you now WAIT for confirmation in the anticipated area. IF it appears, risk can be defined around 89,500. That's 3.5K points which may sound like a lot, but the profit potential if it bounces is AT LEAST 4 to 5K points based on the current levels. How you manage this all depends on your risk tolerance and account size but in my opinion it is a risk worth taking.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Bitcoin 2025: Updated Map, A New Market ViewGood evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, what a wonderful day.
I hope you are feeling good and you should, Bitcoin is going up.
Bitcoin is growing. Bitcoin looks good. Bitcoin is getting better everyday, doing better and is about to explode. When Bitcoin grows, everything Crypto grows. When everything Crypto grows, the world is happy.
When the world is happy innovation takes place.
Innovation further improves the comforts in our lives. It makes for a better life experience.
Life is all about experience so having a better experience is all we want. And that's exactly what we should get.
In this case, we can support Bitcoin with its growth and this growth will translate in a better life for all those involved and those that are soon to join the trend. The present is already digital. The future of money is Bitcoin. Crypto is here to stay.
Namaste.
____
When we look at the chart and track the market, we tend to develop a map. This map is not a fixed reality but tends to be updated as new data comes in.
Think of a jigsaw with all the pieces of the puzzle scattered all around. With each action and reaction that happens within the market, the pieces of the puzzle start to fit in their place. With every single interaction across all areas of life, the map can continue to be updated.
When we look at one chart and consider one chart only, we tend to develop a picture, the map. But, when we consider more charts, many charts, as well as other factors, a bigger picture starts to develop and this picture has more strength than the previous one because it contains more information.
The jigsaw pieces are now all organized and they only need to pushed to their rightful place.
—The bull-market can last until late 2025.
In 2021, the "orthodox end" of the bull-market happened in April. In November we get the famous double top followed by the start of a long-term correction, bear-market or wave 4 in Elliott terms.
This time we are not likely to witness a long-term double-top but rather a blow-off top. Refer back to December 2017 to get an idea as to how a blow-off top looks like.
Let's say the action starts March 2025. Late February to be exact.
Instead of a jump from 100,000 to 150,000 in a matter of weeks or days, it can take months with prices growing and momentum slowly building up. Growing but slow and steady growth.
May tends to be a time for corrections but a correction can be something quick and short. A correction within a bull-market can last 4 weeks or 8 weeks. A very long correction can last 12 weeks but not more.
After the first half of the year, growing and growing strong, we get one stop and after this stop we get the bull-run phase. The bull-run phase starts as any other bullish wave, but the climax is a massive event where everything aims to hit its highest level before the cycle ends.
Instead of seeing new All-Time Highs for the Altcoins before the end of Q2, we are likely aiming for late Q3 or somewhere in Q4.
Now, some pairs already hit new All-Time Highs. Bitcoin is really strong. But there are thousands and thousands of projects, many of those are trading at bottom prices and this is the majority. This majority is what I am talking about. It can take 3 months (March, April & May) for them to recover and enter the bullish zone, 3-5 levels up, and the latter part of 2025 for the bull-run.
Too hard? Let's recap.
—Bitcoin is going up.
Namaste.
$30,000 drop or $30,000 rise ?!!!This wedge can change the market outcome. If Bitcoin cannot break this wedge from above, we will see a $30k price drop. If the price breaks this wedge from above, we will see a $30k price increase. Now that most traders are disheartened by the crypto market and are selling their assets cheaply, I suspect that the price will go up.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
TIME TO UPDATE TRADEWell....well....well, not to bad for bitcoin its been holding very well in that trading range but now that we are about to finish the 4hrs Bearish Cycle is TIME to change sides and the next move is up . Any flush BIG RED candle is just to go an rekt all those poor souls with stops below the $93k area and then UP to go and rekt the Bears that entered too early and continue higher for another test to the $100k area and very probably to its Zero Line . We are about to close Week #8 and price still in the same area. Buckle Up ladies and gentlemen we are heading for a wild ride.
BTCUSD Daily Inflection Point UpdatePreviously I mentioned the weekly was consolidating, but there is potential for this momentum consolidation to have a breakout leg as momentum shifts and the final emotional price movements are played out. I was too conservative in my price projections; a lot more than I used to be- but there wasn't a whole lot of TA involved- I figured the dollar issues would crop up earlier.
Now that the Fed had pivoted. the yields are creeping back up pushing bitcoin back down. The fed doesn't let on just how dire the situation is- and with global tensions rising, the dollar is at significant risk.
I expect a broad correction in all the markets- and cash to become very tight.
There is daily momentum consolidation- and if any other events occur that send yields upward- bitcoin is likely to suffer as a consequence. If instead we sail into the new year unscathed- then this consolidation may provide another leg up; but a break below 88k and a push towards 60k may solidify bitcoins correction.
DAILY
WEEKLY
I expect a sharp move after reaching the bottom of the circle anI expect a sharp move after reaching the bottom of the circle and the yellow line. I expect Bitcoin to experience a few hours of volatility from this range.
BITCOIN This is what happened on the last 1D MA100 double test.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit yesterday its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the second time in 6 days and is reacting on a bullish note early today following basically 4 straight flat 1D candles.
We mentioned the importance of the 1D MA100 as a Bull Cycle demand level on previous analyses. What we didn't discuss though is how BTC behaved the last time we had a 1D MA100 double test on such short time-frame.
As you can see, the last time Bitcoin had a 1D MA100 Double Test within a 1-week time-frame was on October 10 2024 and the one before that on May 08 2024. The common characteristics of both those fractals was that the 1D RSI held the 43.00 level (just like it's doing today) and the price rebounded to hit the respective Resistance Zone from the previous High. Channel Up patterns emerged on both occasions, the difference is that in May 2024 BTC got rejected on the Resistance Zone, while on October 2024 it broke to the upside aggressively following the U.S. elections.
As a result, we can target at least $108k on the short-term. Since long-term Accumulation Phases like March - October 2024 only take place two times at most during each Cycle (and we've already had this twice already), we give more probabilities to an extended rally like November - December to a new All Time High. Long-term traders may seek to sell these positions when the 1D RSI approaches the 85.00 profit taking level (overbought).
But what do you think? Is BTC starting a rally to at least $108000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Accumulation before Low price?Bitcoin continue in the same range price, but the indicators continue showing more probabilities to next movement to lower price, we have a divergence in the MACD and the moving averages shown pressing to low in the next days in this day graphic, at the same time, in my analysis in the week graphic the trend continue to go up the price, conclusion the probability is go down first near to $87000 for rebote to increase again
Alt season could already be here, only is winter seasonThe Crypto Market at a Crossroads: What’s Could Next for Bitcoin and Altcoins?
The cryptocurrency market is at a critical juncture, and the narratives being pushed by crypto influencers might not be telling the full story. Over the next weeks and months, the altcoin landscape could undergo significant changes, and there are signals emerging that few are discussing. In this post, I’ll analyze Bitcoin, altcoins, and Bitcoin dominance and what I expect in the coming months.
Bitcoin’s Current Position: Are We Near the Top?
When analyzing Bitcoin, it’s crucial to zoom out and assess the bigger picture. On a weekly chart, Bitcoin’s price action suggests that we might be nearing a top. While some argue that the peak has already occurred, the current structure indicates that Bitcoin could enter a sideways/ downward movement like we saw last year.
If Bitcoin continues to move sideways, altcoins are likely to follow suit. However, during these phases, some altcoins may experience brief runs, especially if Bitcoin dominance starts to decline.
But here’s the catch: Bitcoin dominance has been steadily rising since Bitcoin’s bottom, which is unusual. Typically, during the late stages of a cycle, Bitcoin dominance drops as altcoins surge. This time, however, the landscape seems different.
Altcoin Season: A Muted Rally?
The idea of a massive altcoin season, where all altcoins surge simultaneously, might be a thing of the past. While some coins like BINANCE:SOLUSDT have already seen significant runs (from nearly $80 to $300 top in one year), the broader altcoin market has not experienced the same explosive growth. Instead, only a select few altcoins made significant moves.
This doesn’t mean that altcoins are dead. There will still be opportunities, but they will likely be more selective. Coins that have already made substantial gains, like Solana, may have already topped out.
Going forward the key should be to focus on coins that show strong volume breakouts and price action, rather than holding onto underperforming assets.
Bitcoin Dominance and the Changing Landscape
Bitcoin dominance has been on an upward trajectory, which is unusual for this stage of the cycle. Historically, Bitcoin dominance falls as altcoins begin to rally.
However, this time, the dominance chart suggests that the market dynamics are shifting. While a drop in Bitcoin dominance is still possible, it may not be as pronounced as in previous cycles.
This changing landscape could be due to the sheer number of altcoins in the market. With thousands of coins vying for attention, there simply isn’t enough liquidity to pump all of them. This dilution effect means that only a handful of coins will likely see significant gains, while the majority will continue to underperform.
The Role of Meme Coins and Newer Projects
One of the standout trends in this cycle has been the rise of meme coins and newer projects. Coins like BINANCE:SUIUSDT , which launched during this cycle, have already broken their all-time highs. However, even these newer coins may be entering a bear market phase.
The market is saturated, and without a significant influx of liquidity, it’s unlikely that we’ll see another massive altcoin season.
Meme coins, in particular, have been a double-edged sword. While they’ve provided some of the most explosive gains, they’ve also drained liquidity from the broader market.
This extraction of value has made it harder for other altcoins to gain traction, further complicating the market dynamics.
The Bigger Picture: A Potential Bear Market
Looking at the broader market, there’s a growing possibility that we could be entering a bear market.
The sheer number of coins in the market, combined with the lack of liquidity, suggests that the crypto space is due for a significant shakeout.
Coins like BINANCE:DOTUSD , CAPITALCOM:FILUSD and even BINANCE:ADAUSDT , which have been in a bear market since 2021, are a prime example of this trend.
Many altcoins are already down 80-90% from their all-time highs, and the chances of them recovering are slim.
This is why it’s crucial to focus on coins that have already established a bull trend and are hovering around their support zones, as they have a higher probability of breaking out and continuing their upward trajectory.
Key Takeaways and What to Watch For
1. Bitcoin’s Sideways Movement: Bitcoin is likely to move sideways or slightly downward in the coming weeks, which could create opportunities for select altcoins.
2. Selective Altcoin Runs: Not all altcoins will rally. Focus on coins with strong volume breakouts and price action.
3. Bitcoin Dominance: Keep an eye on Bitcoin dominance. A drop could signal a brief altcoin rally, but it may not be as significant as in previous cycles.
4. Meme Coins and Newer Projects: While meme coins and newer projects have seen gains, they may be entering a bear market phase. Be cautious with these assets.
5. Long-Term Bear Market : The crypto market could be entering a bear market. Focus on preserving capital and avoid holding onto underperforming assets.
Final Thoughts:
The crypto market is at a crossroads, and the next few months could be pivotal. While there will still be opportunities, they will likely be more selective and harder to come by.
By focusing on strong projects with solid fundamentals and avoiding the hype, you can navigate this changing landscape more effectively.
Remember, the key to success in crypto is not just about making money—it’s also about avoiding losses.
Best of Luck!
Mihai Iacob
BTC bout to fallBreakdown observed in BTC and after the retest entry might get activated and BTC might approach the given targets in the chart.
