BTC/USD - The Bitcoin Cycle TopBTC has recently broken below a key uptrend line that had been guiding price for some time. I’m watching for a potential backtest of that broken trendline, a rather classic move that could set the stage for a final upwards squeeze, possibly printing a quick higher high to trap late longs.
I’m watching the circled area closely as a potential exhaustion zone. Key levels and price action around the trendline will be critical, breaking of upwards trendlines after backtesting may mark the beginning of the larger unwind.
We could see multiple backtests of the broken trendline over time, with the trendline now likely acting as resistance.
Note: I’m publishing this idea simply to have a timestamped record. This post is my way of putting a clear marker in the sand. I’m not looking to debate or go deeper into the reasoning, and I generally won’t be responding to comments.
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTC 12Y trend line that indicates next bear market bottom.Back in december i was posting this idea, indicating bitcoin TOP
There is 12y RSI trend line on 2W time frame. After each RSI touch of this yellow line approx. in 400-680 days new bear market bottom formed.
Next bottom should be around Q1 2026 jan-feb-march.
BTCUSD Sell Signal @ 85100A bearish signal has been triggered for Bitcoin against the US Dollar at the 85,100 level. This indicates a potential trend reversal or correction from recent highs, suggesting sellers may be stepping in at this price point. Traders might consider this an opportunity to short BTCUSD or take profits on long positions. As always, proper risk management and confirmation from additional technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD, trendlines) are recommended before taking action.
BITCOIN Ready for PUMP or what ?Currently, COINBASE:BTCUSD is forming an ascending triangle, indicating a potential price increase. It is anticipated that the price could rise, aligning with the projected price movement (AB=CD).
However, it is crucial to wait for the triangle to break before taking any action.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC Approaches Breakout Zone in Ascending Triangle – Key Resist,📈 Chart Overview
Instrument: BTC/USD
Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red) – 84,924.30
EMA 200 (Blue) – 85,558.47
🔍 Key Technical Observations
1. Ascending Triangle Formation
The chart shows a clear ascending triangle, a bullish continuation pattern.
Flat resistance zone: Around $88,700–$89,000.
Higher lows forming a solid upward sloping trendline, suggesting increasing buying pressure.
2. Price Above Key EMAs
Current price: $88,779.43, which is above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
This indicates bullish momentum as price breaks above dynamic resistance levels.
3. Volume Consideration (Missing)
While volume is not visible on the chart, an ideal breakout from an ascending triangle should be accompanied by increasing volume to confirm validity.
🔄 Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Breakout
A confirmed breakout above $89,000 with strong volume can lead to a measured move toward:
Target = Triangle height ≈ $13,000 → Potential target: $101,500 – $102,000
Next resistance levels to watch: $92,000, $95,000, and $100,000 psychological zone.
❌ Fakeout or Rejection
If BTC gets rejected at resistance, watch for:
Retest of support trendline (~$86,000).
EMA 50 and 200 as dynamic support around $84,900–$85,500.
Breakdown below the trendline may signal a short-term correction to $80,000–$82,500.
📊 Conclusion
BTC is at a crucial decision point. The ascending triangle suggests bullish potential, but a breakout confirmation is essential. Price is above both major EMAs, signaling strength, but a rejection from resistance could invite short-term bears.
BTC Potential Breakout, Daily DivergenceBTC on the daily has the opportunity to expand way upwards over the next month - a divergence on the daily evidently takes longer to play out but RSI could easily reach 80 off the back of the structure.
I have been shorting, confidently, for a good few weeks now, with longs in between, but I'm starting to feel like I should flip long.
Solana is also trying to reclaim the daily/weekly range - things to think about for sure.
Good luck out there!
Bitcoin's Technical Breakout: Aiming for $92K as Bulls Eye TrendAs of April 12, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $83,680, near to the previous close. The cryptocurrency has recently experienced a surge, with the intraday high reaching $84,138 and the low at $82,804.
Technical Analysis:
Trend Channel Dynamics: Bitcoin has broken above a descending trend channel, a key technical indicator suggesting a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. This breakout is significant as it indicates increased buying interest and a possible reversal of the prevailing downtrend.
Resistance and Target Levels: The immediate resistance is observed around $87,000, where key moving averages converge. A sustained close above this level could pave the way for Bitcoin to test the $92,000 mark, aligning with the upper boundary of the previous trend channel. This level is crucial as it represents a potential area of strong selling pressure.
Moving Averages Analysis: The 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) stands at approximately $85,000, while the 200-day SMA is around $87,200. Currently, Bitcoin's price is trading below both, indicating a bearish trend. However, the recent breakout above the trend channel suggests a potential shift towards bullish momentum.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The 14-day RSI is at 50, indicating neutral market conditions without clear overbought or oversold signals. This suggests that Bitcoin has room for further upward movement before reaching overbought territory.
BTC has reached 88.5kBTC has reached 88.5k as per today, my target previously was 88k but I got out too soon at 86k (I got the weak hands syndrome for a bit, I blame the market its been too choppy)
So what do I see BTC doing next?
In all honesty BTC is looking very strong, I am sure the trend will continue but 88.5 has been a very strong point of resistance so I would say wait for the price to go over resistance before buying (this is my case) or wait for the price to retest the support and hold before buying.
Supports going down will be at around 86.7k and 85.1k The strongest support going down is the 83,5k I don't think it will go that low, but just in case it did and we don't see the huge red candles of death, then there is a chance that BTC will reverse and make it to the next resistances which are at around 95.2k and 109.3k
But one thing is for sure it makes no sense from a market maker's perspective to test low supports again because 88.5k will still be resistance again! So it makes more sense to just jump into 89-92k hold prices there and start going sideways there, so the alts can pump after.
Anyhow put stop loses up, do your diligence and don't trust any body else's advice not even mine, I can be wrong and I have been wrong, so let's not get rekt and enjoy the uptrends.
BTC KNOCKING ON HEAVEN'S DOORBitcoin is really knocking on the door of major resistance here, testing the key level at $88,804 for the second day in a row. What makes this even more notable is the backdrop – equities have been under pressure, yet Bitcoin is showing strong divergence and relative strength.
We saw a breakout through descending resistance yesterday, backed by a meaningful increase in volume – a solid signal that buyers are stepping up. Price is comfortably holding above the 50-day moving average, and the 200-day MA is now flattening out just below resistance, giving bulls a potential momentum shift.
A daily close above $88,804 would break the bearish market structure with a higher high and open the door to a more extended move. For now, this is an encouraging chart.
What's Next For Bitcoin?Well now that Bitcoin broke major res all it needs to continue higher is a normal retrace to give TIME for the EMAs (Daily TF) to sync to the Upside and from then on the sky is the limit. Expect a normal retrace to the area FWB:83K - $84k on the Daily to continue higher . Bitcoin still NOT out of the woods until it prints a higher low. So far is looking very good again Weekly and Daily.
Note: If Bitcoin moves a bit higher (90k) before it retraces that will be much...much better.
BTC/USD BUY zone H4 chart analysisChart Analysis Summary (BTC/USD - 4H)
Market Structure:
Downtrend channel broken to the upside.
Price action shows a bullish breakout with a potential rally ahead.
---
Entry Point:
Buy Entry: Around $87,449
---
Targets:
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $91,500 (First marked resistance level on chart)
Final Target (TP2): $95,000 (Second marked resistance level)
---
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support:
S1: $85,000 (recent breakout zone, now acting as support)
S2: $82,500 (previous price floor)
S3: $78,000 (deep retracement zone)
S4: $74,000 (major support base)
Resistance:
R1: $88,500 (minor resistance just above entry)
R2: $91,500 (TP1)
R3: $95,000 (Final Target)
R4: $99,500 (upper extended resistance zone)
R5: $102,000+ (top of the long-term range)
---
Suggested Post Caption (for client):
> BTC/USD 4H Analysis:
Entered a long position at $87,449 after breakout confirmation.
TP1: $91,500
Final Target: $95,000
Support Zones: 85,000 | 82,500 | 78,000 | 74,000
Resistance Levels: 88,500 | 91,500 | 95,000 | 99,500+
Watch for price reaction around $88.5K — bullish momentum expected to push towards $91
btc wOpen . bullish and not finished . watch and preparethe weekend was finished with a pump through all resistance zones. all SL accumulated, done with.
so now, bullish wOpen. too high to LONG,
a return to wOpen - sweep low - during a nice session timing, that be great.
otherwise, wait for the progress of upside and prepare to find the short entry.
$BTC Is Bullish Again — Momentum Building?Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) is back with bullish momentum — and the charts are starting to show real strength.
🟢 Key bullish signals:
• Breakout above recent bearish channel resistance on daily chart
• Strong volume confirmation
🧠 Sentiment is shifting — fear is cooling off slighthly, and traders are eyeing higher targets.
📍 What I'm watching next:
• FWB:88K level is double top pattern neckline. Or there is a possibility that the price would bounce from the level and make another try to break it while forming head and shoulder pattern. We will see. But either way the level acts as neckline and the break would confirm a bullish move.
But let’s not forget: CPI data & macro events can still shake the market short term. Stay sharp.
Are you riding the wave or waiting for a retest?
Let me know your game plan below 👇
BITCOIN Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN made a breakout
Of the long-term falling
Resistance line and then
Hit a horizontal resistance
Level of 88,860$ so we will
Be expecting a local pullback
From the level which means
We can enter a short trade
With the Take Profit of 85,297$
And the Stop Loss of 89,061$
Sell!
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BTC/USDSomething like this makes the most sense from manipulation perspective.
I'm sure much was learned from the 2020 crash.
Say you build a shelf for your garage, hindsight says could've used screws instead of nails here and should've clamped there, wood glue, different joint style, etc etc etc... but the finished product won't look significantly different or have any change in functionality.
Sharp dive somewhere in the 40k region is my guess.
Bitcoin on Edge: US Deregulates, China Cracks DownHello,
Bitcoin Bearish Outlook – April 2025
Market Structure & Technical Overview
Bitcoin continues to underperform as a safe haven asset, falling short of the optimism once compared to gold. Following a consistent formation of lower highs, BTC has once again broken down—hinting at a potential continuation of this bearish trend.
Current Price: Just below the 1M Pivot Point (PP) at $84621.067.
This area is crucial — if price accepts this level as resistance, we are likely to see further downside.
The most recent 1M high stands at $88,781.70 — a level to watch but currently being respected as a ceiling.
Should the price fail to reclaim 84k, the next target is the 1Y PP at $80,283.483. A rejection here opens the door for a move toward strong 1M support at $72,345.065.
Below that, 1Y PP structural support comes into question. If the support gives out, the maximum decline target sits near $56,000, which would represent a full reset of the bullish macro narrative.
Fundamental Headwinds: A Storm Brews
Trump's Latest Move: President Trump has repealed the IRS rule expanding the "broker" definition to decentralized exchanges, a move aimed at deregulating crypto and laying groundwork for a potential U.S. Bitcoin reserve.
China’s Crackdown Intensifies:
China’s courts and local governments are actively liquidating seized crypto through offshore channels.
The lack of a centralized system raises corruption concerns, but near-consensus is forming around formal asset recognition and centralized liquidation.
Despite a domestic ban, China holds 15,000 BTC, potentially making it the 14th largest holder globally.
The decentralized anonymity principle of cryptocurrency is under increasing threat, as both China and the U.S. shift toward centralized control, regulation, and even reserve-building strategies. This movement contradicts the original ethos of Bitcoin, leading to a bearish sentiment among long-term holders.
Sentiment Snapshot
Metric Status
Technical Structure Bearish
Market Sentiment Neutral, leaning bearish
Macro Fundamentals Bearish
Key Resistance (1M PP) $84,621.067
Next Support (1Y PP) $80,283.483
Strong Support (1M) $72,345.065
Max Decline Scenario $56,000
📉 Mark these key levels:
$88,781.70 – Previous 1M High
$84,621.067– 1M Pivot (Current Resistance)
$80,283.483 – 1Y Pivot (Mid Support)
$72,345.065 – 1M Strong Support
$56,000 – Max Bearish Target
Overlay sentiment zones:
Green (above FWB:88K ): Bullish
Orange (between $80k– FWB:88K ): Neutral
Red (below $80k): Bearish Continuation
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
BTC ready to break out!!!!
Entry
Wait for daily candle confirmation
Price above Moving averages
All 4 timeframes showing bullish momentum
Enter on confirmed bullish daily close
Risk
Stop below recent swing low
Risk 1-2% capital
Size accordingly
Targets
First resistance level at 98k
1.5x measured move
Major psychological level
or floating profit
Management
Confirm daily close before entry
Move stop to breakeven after Target 1
Scale out at targets
April 22 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement.
Tether dominance is in a vertical decline.
First, I ignored Nasdaq and focused on Bitcoin based on my perspective on recent movements.
In the case of Bitcoin, I proceeded with a conservative strategy when the short-term pattern was broken.
*One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. 88,211.9 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line is broken
2. 90,418 dollars long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target
If the strategy is successful, the 1st section at the top
can be used as a long position re-entry section,
but from the Top section -> Good section, it is the center line of the weekly Bollinger Band chart,
so there is a possibility of a strong adjustment this week.
Section 1 at the top and section 2 at the bottom are extreme horizontal support sections.
If section 2 is broken, it is a section where the short-term pattern is broken,
and since the bottom touch at the bottom is the lowest point of the daily chart,
it is not good,
and since the support line is open, it can be directly connected to section 3.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply refer to and use my analysis,
and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and loss cut prices.
Thank you.
How One Candle Can Flip Market Sentiment | Watch These Key ZonesMarkets are emotional. One candle — that's all it takes to turn fear into greed, or hope into panic.
Over the past few weeks, traders have been caught in headlines — tariffs, global uncertainty, and endless speculation. But if you zoom out and look at the chart objectively, the structure is telling its own story.
🧠 Key Insight:
In every cycle, when fear dominates the market, it often marks the bottom.
When euphoria takes over, it’s usually the top.
This pattern repeats. The players change — the psychology doesn’t.
📌 Here’s what I’m watching on this chart:
Support zone:
Resistance to break:
Market sentiment: Currently bearish, but structure suggests potential reversal if .
📊 Always remember:
The market rewards those who focus on price action and structure, not the noise.
Let’s see how this plays out. I’ll keep updating this idea as the move develops.
Drop your thoughts below & let’s keep the analysis sharp and clear ⚔️
BUY Z DIP ON BTCWe're seeing a clear divergence on Bitcoin's chart, signaling a potential reversal at a strong support level. As the famous quote goes, "Buy when there's blood on the streets." Now is the time to take advantage of this dip, as these are the moments where the best opportunities arise. Don't miss out—this could be the entry you've been waiting for! 📉📈
#Bitcoin #BuyTheDip #CryptoOpportunity #Divergence #BTC
BTC/USD Price Action Update – April 22, 2025📊BTC/USD Price Action Update – April 22, 2025
🔹Current Price: 88,162.24
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌Key Demand Zone (Support):
🟢88,157–88,460 – Clean Breaker Block (ideal for bullish re-entry on retest)
🟢85,500–86,500 – Higher Timeframe Demand Zone (strong base for major bullish leg)
📌Key Resistance Level:
🔴88,778 – Short-Term Structural High (key breakout point)
📈Bullish Outlook:
Price is consolidating below the 88,778 resistance. A clean candle break and close above this level can open the door to a bullish continuation, targeting the 89,500–90,000 range. Ideal entry on a pullback to 88,157–88,460 if demand holds.
📉Bearish Outlook:
If price fails to break and hold above 88,778, watch for signs of rejection. A bearish break below 88,157 could lead to a deeper retracement into the 85,500–86,500 zone.
⚡Trade Setup Tip:
✅Wait for a confirmed break and retest of 88,778
✅Watch price action at 88,157 for continuation or rejection
✅Use a tight SL and manage risk around news volatility
#BTCUSD #BitcoinTrading #CryptoPriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #BreakOfStructure #ForexAndCrypto #IntradayTrading #FXFOREVER #MarketUpdate #SupplyAndDemand #BitcoinUpdate