BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTCUSD H4 Potential DropHi there,
BTCUSD H4: As long as the 85,119.33 level holds, the overall trend remains bullish in a larger scope.
Currently, the price is trading below the diagonal dotted trendline. The further it stays below this trendline, the stronger the bears' position.
The level of 101,574.21 is open for a bias towards 93,511.35.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.
symmetrical triangle in progressBitcoin has been consolidating at this level for several weeks, easing some of the pressure in order to push above 120K. As of today, we have a clear formationโa large symmetrical triangleโwhich confirms the continuation of the upward trend and rules out any possibility of returning to lower levels.
BTC/USD Heist Mode: Buy Low, Escape Rich๐ BTC/USD Crypto Vault Breach: Thief Strategy for Long Entry Robbery (Swing/Day Setup) ๐
๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, ๐ค๐ฐ๐ธโ๏ธ
๐จ Welcome to our next Thief Trading-style breakout mission โ this time targeting the mighty BTC/USD vault. Using a fusion of technical precision and macro-level insight, we're charting a long entry blueprint for a profitable heist.
๐ Entry Plan
"The vault is open!" ๐ฅ
Buy at current price or set Buy Limit near swing lows (15โ30min timeframe pullback entries). We're timing the entry with stealthโprecision over panic.
๐ Stop Loss Setup
SL set near recent swing low (4H TF reference: ~104.000).
Adjust based on position sizing, risk appetite & multi-order tactics.
๐ฏ Take Profit Target
Targeting 115.000โor exit earlier if price action stalls. Get in, get out. Efficiency is the code.
๐ Scalpers' Notice
Only work the Long side. If your bagโs heavy, strike instantly. If light, ride with swing robbers. Use trailing SLs to protect your bag.
๐ Why Weโre Bullish
Market momentum favors the bulls:
Overbought zones acting as lures
Bearish traps ready to flip
Key confluences from sentiment, COT, on-chain & macro analysis
โก๏ธ Full supporting breakdown available ๐๐๐๐.
๐ข Risk Note โ Stay Sharp
Major news events = increased volatility โ ๏ธ
Avoid entries during news. Trail stops to protect running profit. Rob smart.
๐ Boost the Crew
If this blueprint aligns with your mission, hit that Boost button. It fuels the team, and together, we profit like pros. One heist at a time. ๐ช๐
๐ง Stay readyโnext plan drops soon. Until then, rob safe, rob smart. ๐ฑโ๐ค
Wave Pattern: Complex Correction (Triple Three) on BITCOINThe price action on this BTC chart displays the characteristics of an overlapping, sideways, and downward-drifting nature of the price swings strongly indicates a complex corrective pattern. The most fitting pattern is a Triple Three, denoted as W-X-Y-X-Z. This is an extended consolidation pattern composed of three simpler corrections (W, Y, and Z) linked by two intervening waves (X).
Most Probable Next Moves
Based on the identification of the market being at the end of a second Wave X, the following are the most probable scenarios:
Primary Scenario: A Decline in Wave Z
The highest probability path is a decline in Wave Z.
Immediate Move: The price is expected to turn down from the current resistance area (the peak of the second Wave X, roughly $110,600).
Structure of the Move: Wave Z will itself be a corrective pattern, most likely another zig-zag (structured as A-B-C down).
Price Target: A common characteristic of a Triple Three is that Wave Z will often push to a new low for the entire structure. The chart's pre-marked "NEAR TERM TARGET" at $97,021 is a logical objective. This would involve breaking below the previous Wave Y low of $98,225.
Alternative Scenario (Less Likely)
A less probable scenario is that the entire W-X-Y correction completed at the June 23rd low. In this case, the rally since then would be the beginning of a new impulsive uptrend (Wave 1). This is considered less likely because the rally from late June to early July appears corrective and lacks the powerful, non-overlapping structure typical of a new impulse wave. For this scenario to gain credibility, the price would need to decisively break above the major barrier at $111,897.
Btcusd techinical analysis.This BTC/USD 1-hour chart suggests a bullish breakout scenario. Here's a breakdown of key technical signals:
Key Observations:
1. Price Level: Current price is $109,582.1, with a recent rise of +0.59%.
2. Resistance Zones (Purple Boxes):
First resistance near $109,800 โ $109,900.
Second (minor) resistance around $109,300 โ $109,400.
Price is testing the upper resistance zone now.
3. Bullish W Pattern:
A sharp drop and recovery formed a โWโ patternโcommon before breakouts.
The neckline of this W is being challenged.
4. Trendline Breakout Projection (Blue Arrows):
The chart suggests a breakout projection towards $110,300 โ $110,400.
This is based on the upward trajectory from the recent swing low.
5. Support Zone (Lower Purple Box):
Support established at $109,150 โ $109,250.
If price
BULLISH BITCOINAs we can see we are currently on an uptrend on higher timeframe and price is in daily fvg and has mitigated the bullish order block on daily tf on lower timeframe we have seen liquidity sweep and break of structure and clear inducement provided so we wait for price to tap the ltf orderblock and buy
BITCOIN - SELL TO $86,000 (8H VIEW)I see selling opportunities right now for Bitcoin.
โญ๏ธLQ Swiped Above Previous Wave 3 High ($109,000).
โญ๏ธWave 4 Complex Correction Complete (5 Sub-Waves).
โญ๏ธ(Wave 5 Impulse Bullish Move Complete (5 Sub-Waves of 1,2,3,4,5).
โInvalidation Zone Above Wave 5 High ($112,140).
High risk trade as BTC could still head high for Wave 5 around $120- $130,000. Use strict risk management.
Bitcoin Movement UncertaintyThere have been powerful formations/patterns that one can always depend on when it comes to bitcoin. W formations,M formations and even triple top formations.
Current price has a W formation that is coming to a conclusion and has printed a triple top.
If you zoom in at 109160 you will see a small M formation more visible in smaller time frames and gives the hint of a short term SELL to 105446.
Alternatively, it can trade people into taking a sell and push upwards to 111971
BTCUSD Breakout Confirmed โ Targeting Next Reversal ZoneBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading around $108,700, showing strong bullish momentum after breaking out of a consolidation structure. Price action has shifted significantly, with clear structural developments pointing toward continued upside โ but not without caution around the next reversal zone.
๐ Key Technical Insights:
๐น 1. Volume Contraction Triangle (Bullish Breakout)
The chart initially shows a volume contraction pattern forming a symmetrical triangle.
This pattern is often associated with market compression โ a setup where smart money accumulates before a breakout.
BTC broke out of the triangle with strong bullish candles, confirming buyers have stepped in with conviction.
๐ 2. Structure Shift & Break of Structure (BOS)
A major BOS (Break of Structure) occurred as price broke previous swing highs, confirming a bullish market structure.
This BOS zone now acts as a potential support area if BTC pulls back.
A short-term SR interchange zone (Support becomes Resistance) was also respected and flipped again to support during the breakout โ a clear sign of structural strength.
๐งญ 3. Next Reversal Zone โ Supply in Sight
Price is approaching a major supply/reversal zone between $109,750 and $110,250.
This zone has previously shown strong selling interest.
Traders should watch for rejection or continuation patterns within this zone โ such as bearish divergence, exhaustion candles, or confirmation of resistance.
๐ก 4. Major Support Level
Below current price, a major support zone around $107,500โ$107,800 remains intact.
This zone has provided a solid base during past consolidations and would be the first area of interest for buyers if a retracement occurs.
๐ Strategy Plan:
๐ผ For Bullish Traders:
Those already in the breakout can hold with targets toward $110,000โ$110,250.
If not in yet, wait for a retest of BOS/SR zone (~$109,000) for a safer re-entry.
Consider partial take-profits within the green reversal zone.
๐ฝ For Bearish Traders:
Watch for price exhaustion or a fake breakout in the reversal zone.
Potential short setups could form only if price fails to hold above the BOS zone and prints a lower high.
๐ง Technical Summary:
โ
Structure: Bullish Break of Structure confirmed
๐บ Momentum: Strong upside following volume contraction
๐ Next Key Resistance: $110,000โ$110,250
๐ Major Support: $107,500โ$107,800
โ ๏ธ Caution Zone: Reversal area ahead โ watch price action closely
Conclusion :
Bitcoin looks set to challenge the $110K psychological level as buyers remain in control. However, the reversal zone above is critical. A clean break and hold above it could open doors to further highs, while rejection here may trigger short-term pullbacks or range-bound conditions.
Bitcoin Ranging Below $110k โ Poised for a Breakout๐ Market Overview:
Bitcoin is consolidating around $108โ109k, reflecting indecision as investors await clearer signals. Institutional ETF inflows remain strong, and recent moves from 2011-era dormant wallets sparked concern but no major sell-off. Positive ETF news or supportive crypto policies could propel the next move upward.
๐ Technical Analysis:
โข Major resistance: $109,500 โ $110,500
โข Nearest support: $108,000; secondary support at $102,000
โข EMA09 (1 h): Price is above the 20 EMA and has reclaimed the 200 SMA on the 1 h chart, signaling a technical rebound
โข Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: A mild bounce from $108k with low volume; Bollinger Bands show a mid-range price, hinting at sideways action .
๐ Outlook:
Bitcoin may remain range-bound between $108k and $110k. A breakout above $110.5k with strong volume could push toward $112kโ115k. Conversely, a break below $108k might trigger a dip toward $102k.
Suggested Trading Strategy
SELL Bitcoin/USD at: 109,000 โ 110,000
๐ฏ TP: 108,000 / 105,000
โ SL: 110,800
BUY Bitcoin/USD at: 108,000 โ 107,500
๐ฏ TP: 109,500 / 112,000
โ SL: 107,000
Is BTC getting ready for a new ATH?๐ 1. Key Support and Resistance Levels (Horizontal Lines):
๐ข Resistances (Green Lines):
114,295.54 โ strong resistance resulting from previous highs.
112,767.65
111,009.00
110,685.35 โ current key level that price may try to retest after a potential breakout.
๐ด Supports (Red Lines):
108,496.55 โ current level being tested, also coinciding with local resistance from the past.
107,687.57
105,888.74
102,909.85
100,848.07
98,208.22 โ strong long-term support; in the past, this level was reacted with a strong bounce.
๐ถ 2. Downtrend channel marked with orange lines:
The upper downtrend line acted as resistance.
The lower uptrend line acted as support.
The price recently broke above the upper line, but is now testing it again - this could be a retrospective retest.
โก๏ธ If the close of the H4 candle is above this line - a possible confirmation of the breakout.
๐ 3. Stochastic RSI indicator (at the bottom of the chart):
Currently in the uptrend phase after a bounce from the oversold level (<20).
The %K line (blue) is crossed upwards by the %D line (orange) - a bullish signal.
Still below the overbought zone, which suggests that the potential uptrend still has room to develop.
๐ง 4. Market structure and price action:
Price broke above the 108.496 level, but is currently struggling to stay above this zone.
A retest of the broken triangle could be a healthy move, provided that support is maintained in the 108kโ107.6k area.
A break below and a close below 107.6k could mean a false breakout and a possible decline towards 105.8k or even 102.9k.
๐งญ 5. Possible scenarios:
โ
Bullish scenario:
Maintaining the 108.496 level and closing the candle above the upper orange line โ continued growth.
The nearest targets are:
110.685 (first resistance),
111.009 and 112.767 next.
โ Bearish scenario:
The price will not stay above 108k and will fall below 107.687.
Possible return to the previous consolidation range with the target:
105.888,
and then 102.909 or 100.848.
๐งฎ Summary:
Currently, the decisive moment is underway: a test of support after breaking out of the convergent triangle.
The Stoch RSI indicator gives a bullish signal, but the price must confirm the movement by behaving above 108k.
Retest and bounce - this is a bullish scenario.
A breakdown and return under the trend line - means that the breakout was false.
BTCUSD TRADES SIDEWAYS DUE TO A LACK OF DRIVING FACTORS
BTCUSD has been moving within sideways since the end of last week. This week there will be lack of news. The first significant will be FOMC minutes tomorrow, which will definitely affect the DXY index and bitcoin. So before that time I expect that the sideways dynamic of the asset will remain.
So, nothing to trade? Not really
We may consider entering long positions at a current price with a take profit nearby 0.786 Fibo and a stop loss just below the previous low:
๐ผ a market buy order at 108078.50 with
โa stop loss at 107389.50 and
๐คa take profit at 109176.65
After that I expect the price to rebound from the upper border of the triangle. Maybe will consider another long entry.
BTCUSD Structure Analysis : Bullish Zone From Support + Target๐ Current Market Structure Overview:
Bitcoin is currently trading around $108,375, hovering just above a clearly respected rising support zone (shaded area). This dynamic support has held price multiple times and continues to act as a springboard for short-term bullish moves.
The chart illustrates a classic bullish continuation setup forming, with key structural levels marked as Minor BOS (Break of Structure) and Major BOS, indicating potential areas of trend validation and momentum acceleration.
๐น Key Technical Elements:
โ
Support Zone:
The shaded diagonal support zone has acted as a bullish trendline base, holding up since late June.
BTC recently dipped into this area, found buyers, and is now attempting a reversal from this level.
This reinforces market interest and confirms the accumulation behavior in this zone.
โ ๏ธ Break of Structure (BOS) Levels:
Minor BOS is marked near $109,800, signaling the first key intraday resistance.
A break above this level would signal bullish intent and open the way for price expansion.
Major BOS around $110,600โ$110,800 is critical. A clean break here will likely validate a trend continuation toward the next objective.
๐ฉ Next Reversal Zone (Target Area):
Highlighted around $111,500โ$112,000, this green zone represents a potential liquidity grab/reversal area where sellers could re-enter.
This zone aligns with previous price exhaustion levels and may trigger consolidation or a short-term pullback.
๐ Projected Price Path (Wave Schematic):
The chart outlines a wave structure projection, suggesting:
A possible retest of the minor BOS.
Follow-through into the major BOS area.
Final push into the reversal zone before potential rejection or sideways action.
๐ง Bias & Strategy:
Bias: Moderately Bullish as long as BTC respects the support zone.
Invalidation: A decisive breakdown below the trendline support and close under $107,500 would invalidate this bullish setup and shift bias to neutral/bearish short-term.
Trading Plan Ideas:
๐ฅ Buy Opportunity: On minor dips within the support zone, targeting BOS levels.
๐ค Sell Watch: Near reversal zone ($111.5Kโ$112K) if signs of exhaustion or bearish divergence appear.
๐ Final Notes:
BTC appears to be gearing up for a breakout from consolidation, and price action is coiling with higher lows. Market participants should watch closely how BTC reacts at the minor and major BOS zones, as they could define the next leg for either bullish continuation or rejection.
BTC/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHereโs a clear breakdown of your BTCUSD trading plan:
---
๐ Trade Setup (Buy Position)
Entry Price: 108,380
๐ฏ Take Profit Levels
1. TP1: 109,000
2. TP2: 109,300
3. TP3: 110,193
๐ Stop Loss
SL: 107,337
---
๐งฎ Risk & Reward (Quick Overview)
Risk (SL): 1,043 points
Reward (TP1): 620 points
Reward (TP2): 920 points
Reward (TP3): 1,813 points
This gives you approximate Reward:Risk ratios:
TP1: ~0.59 : 1
TP2: ~0.88 : 1
TP3: ~1.74 : 1
---
โ
Notes
TP1 is conservative โ may secure quick
Bitcoin Daily, Mixed Situation ยท Bitcoin vs Altcoins ยท Not MixedI came with the intention of doing an update on the weekly timeframe, the chart doesn't look great.
Here we are looking at Bitcoin daily and once more the situation is mixed to say the least. It is hard to predict with exactitude with such a chart. In this case, we have to look for clues in other places. The altcoins.
But before we go there let's consider a few of the actualities that are present on the Bitcoin chart.
Bitcoin price action
Mixed or not mixed, the action continues to happen at resistance against all odds; this is bullish.
Bitcoin is trading safely above $106-$107,000 daily, and this is also bullish.
Bitcoin is trading above all moving averages we track and nothing is more bullish than that. MA200 sits around $96,000. EMA55 at $104,700 and EMA13 at $107,700.
Bitcoin will be bullish regardless as long as it trades above these levels and at a such strong price. So the mixed part is only psychological. It is mixed because people are afraid of a drop or want to see it drop. It is bullish based on the actual numbers and the chart.
The altcoins market vs Bitcoin
Some altcoins are breaking up today two to three digits green. Those good old reputable projects. This wouldn't be happening preceding a major bearish wave. Such strong action on the altcoins tends to precede a major bull market. Last week there were other pairs breaking really strong, the previous week another group, this week a new group and so on. Slowly but surely the low prices are disappearing but this isn't still a marketwide occurrence, we can see/say that the market is in no hurry.
Another relationship between Bitcoin and the altcoins relates to how many are behaving; when Bitcoin is about to crash, the altcoins tend to crash really strong and fast. The altcoins don't wait and just go down and continue diving deep if Bitcoin is about to produce a major crash. But this isn't the case, many altcoins are already at bottom prices but not based on a crash but a very slow and drawn out retrace. From these lows they are recovering strong.
When Bitcoin is bullish, sideways with a strong price within a bull market, the altcoins tend to grow. It is the same signal looked at from a different perspective. These altcoins are telling us that behind the scenes Bitcoin is bullish and we know Bitcoin is bullish because it is trading above $107,000. A bullish continuation is the next logical step.
Thank you for reading.
Boost if you agree.
Namaste.
$BTC (BITCOIN) 4HPrice previously rallied strongly from a Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the bottom of the chart, forming a bullish market structure.
After a bullish displacement, BTC consolidated in a tight range (reaccumulation) and swept internal liquidity before breaking down.
Now, price has returned to a critical discount zone around 107800โ107600
First Target: 109,229 โ internal range high.
Main Objective: 112,000 โ resting external liquidity above a clean high.
As long as BTC holds above 107600, we remain bullish. The current area is perfect for accumulation before a potential expansion phase toward external liquidity.