Bear flag alert!!!Bear flag on the 1hr chart. We can see a drop into 80-82k range before we see the break through of 80k.
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Bitcoin ($BTC) - Hoping for a Short-Term RolloverBitcoin bounced from the daily demand (76874.75-74306.67) that was highlighted in my "Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation" post from 5 days ago (see related post below). However, the rubber will now meet the road as BITSTAMP:BTCUSD could break higher or continue lower from current price. The in-play 1D sell zone, which is admittedly doesn't have great structure, is 86267.86-92920.42. Ideally, short-term CRYPTOCAP:BTC momentum, per the RSI, would be weaker than it is, but momentum is still soft per the daily oscillator. I'm not looking to short BTC blindly, but rather am stalking it via LTFs and will execute a confirmation short if evidence of the near-term uptrend (established 3/10) violation/termination materializes. If the intermediate-term downtrend continues, T2 = sub-$70K.
Anyway, just an idea. For those looking for longer-term buying opportunities, a near-term selloff should be viewed as a positive. Futures open in ~5 hours and can always be used to hedge longs if we get a breakdown.
Thanks for reading. Thoughts/feedback appreciated!
Jon
@JHartCharts
BTCUSD | Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish SetupChart Overview:
This chart represents Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe and showcases a Rising Wedge pattern. The price action has reached a key resistance level, and a potential breakdown scenario is unfolding.
1️⃣ Pattern Identification: Rising Wedge Formation
A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price moves within two converging upward-sloping trendlines. The narrowing price range indicates a weakening trend, and a breakdown usually leads to a significant price drop.
Upper Trendline (Resistance): Marked in blue, this trendline connects the higher highs.
Lower Trendline (Support): Also in blue, connecting the higher lows.
Breakdown Confirmation: The price has already moved below the wedge support, confirming the bearish bias.
2️⃣ Key Price Levels & Zones
🔹 Resistance Zone (Blue Box)
This strong resistance level has repeatedly rejected the price.
The final rejection led to a breakout failure and potential trend reversal.
🔹 Support Zone (Blue Box)
A strong demand zone, but a breakdown below it triggers a bearish trend.
This level is now acting as potential resistance after the breakdown.
🔹 ATH (All-Time High) – $87,566
This marks the highest price level reached in the given timeframe.
3️⃣ Market Structure Breakdown
🔻 Bearish Momentum & Breakdown
After touching the resistance, BTC failed to sustain upward movement.
A breakout of the wedge's lower trendline confirms a trend reversal.
Price action suggests a lower-high, lower-low structure, indicating a bearish market shift.
📉 Expected Price Movement (Wave Structure)
The breakout retest could result in a small pullback to previous support (now resistance).
After confirmation, price is likely to continue downward in a wave-like structure.
Fibonacci levels or key support zones will act as profit-taking targets.
4️⃣ Trade Setup & Targets
🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Trade Idea)
Entry: On a successful retest of the broken support zone.
Stop-Loss (SL): Above the previous resistance zone for risk management.
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP 1: $81,638
TP 2: $77,897
Final Target: $74,990
5️⃣ Summary & Conclusion
📌 BTC/USD has broken out of a Rising Wedge pattern, confirming a bearish trend.
📌 A pullback and retest may occur before further downside continuation.
📌 The chart suggests a short opportunity, targeting lower support zones for potential profit-taking.
📌 Traders should manage risk with a well-placed stop-loss above key resistance.
This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, confirming a high-probability short trade for BTC. 🚀
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance level of 90,000.Colleagues, after drawing the waves I realized that bitcoin is in a major wave “IV” correction and I believe that this correction is either over or about to be over.
Either way I believe that long positions should be prioritized.
I expect that the price will either immediately start an upward movement and reach the psychological resistance level of 90,000, or will update the low in the area of 75,866 a little more and then start moving towards the target.
In the second case, I advise using pending limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Bitcoin Institutional Accumulation since Feb 01, 2025
The only Sale being highlighted was by David Sacks when he took the advisory role in Donald Trump's White House...
BadOn the 4h we see that price is respecting this bearish channel and 70k looms. Failure to break up out of this channel favors the bears strongly.
USA Bitten More Than It Can Chew: The Case for a Dollar CollapseIntroduction:
The United States has long been the global economic superpower, but cracks are beginning to show. From geopolitical tensions to internal economic vulnerabilities, the stage may be set for a seismic shift in the global financial system. This report explores the possibility of a U.S. recession, a dollar collapse, and the potential for Bitcoin to surge to $1,000,000+ as a hedge against systemic failure.
Key Themes/Theories:
The U.S. Dollar’s Vulnerability:
The U.S. dollar has been the world’s reserve currency for decades, but its dominance is being challenged.
Rising debt levels, inflation, and geopolitical tensions are undermining confidence in the dollar.
Bitcoin and Gold as Safe Havens:
Bitcoin and gold have historically performed well during times of economic uncertainty.
The inverse correlation between the dollar and these assets suggests they could skyrocket in a dollar collapse scenario.
Geopolitical Catalysts:
The growing influence of China, Russia, and other nations is creating a multipolar world.
The risk of World War III or a new Cold War could accelerate the decline of the U.S. dollar.
Market Psychology of Big Investors:
Elon Musk, institutional investors, and other wealthy individuals are diversifying away from traditional markets (e.g., Tesla, NVIDIA) and into private companies (e.g., SpaceX) and alternative assets like Bitcoin.
This behavior suggests a lack of confidence in the sustainability of current market valuations.
Evidence/Proof:
1. Historical Precedents:
Trump’s Election and Bitcoin’s Surge:
When Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016, Bitcoin surged to nearly $20,000, and gold also saw significant gains. This suggests that investors were already seeking alternatives to traditional financial systems.
Trump Coin Failure:
The collapse of the Trump family’s cryptocurrency venture highlights the speculative nature of markets but also shows how early investors can profit from hype before a collapse.
2. Market Behavior:
NVIDIA and Tesla:
The DeepSeek shock (a hypothetical or symbolic event) and Elon Musk’s decision to cash out Tesla shares and invest in private companies like SpaceX indicate that big players are preparing for market instability.
Institutional Adoption of Bitcoin:
Companies like MicroStrategy and Tesla have already added Bitcoin to their balance sheets, signaling a shift toward decentralized assets.
3. Geopolitical Tensions:
China’s Rise:
China’s growing economic and military power is challenging U.S. dominance.
Russia, India, and Israel:
These nations are increasing their military capabilities, suggesting a potential arms race or conflict.
World War III Risk:
The possibility of a global conflict could destabilize the U.S. dollar and traditional financial systems.
Catalysts for a U.S. Recession and Dollar Collapse:
Debt and Inflation:
The U.S. national debt is at record levels, and inflation remains a persistent threat.
A loss of confidence in the dollar could trigger hyperinflation or a collapse.
Geopolitical Shocks:
A conflict involving China, Russia, or other major powers could disrupt global trade and weaken the dollar.
Market Psychology:
If big investors continue to exit traditional markets, it could create a domino effect, leading to a broader sell-off.
Outcome: Bitcoin as the Ultimate Hedge
Bitcoin’s Role:
Bitcoin’s fixed supply (21 million coins) makes it an ideal hedge against inflation and currency devaluation.
In a dollar collapse scenario, demand for Bitcoin could skyrocket, driving prices to $1,000,000 or more.
Gold’s Role:
Gold has historically been a safe haven, but its physical nature limits its utility in a digital age. Bitcoin, as “digital gold,” could surpass it in value and adoption.
American Response:
If the dollar collapses, Americans may flock to Bitcoin as a store of value, further driving up its price.
Conclusion:
The U.S. is facing unprecedented challenges, from economic vulnerabilities to geopolitical tensions. If these pressures lead to a recession or dollar collapse, Bitcoin could emerge as the ultimate hedge, potentially reaching $1,000,000 or more. While this scenario is speculative, the signs are clear: the global financial system is at a tipping point, and investors must prepare for the possibility of a new monetary paradigm.
BITCOIN ...Probably pathMostly,,Till next week it should stay 96 and 76k....till 28 mar...(sell outside this call options above 96k for 28 mar)..stop is 96 k....Also please note I have marked movement for april first week.and 2nd week..once the box level of 96 and 76 k breaks...it will go to the tgts marked on the chart...up as well as down..Most probably it will go Max to 96k and come down....anyway thats later ..but first thing first ..sell any calls above 110 k to be safe mar 28 ..
YOU ARE LOSING THOUSAND'S PER WEEK IN IGNORANCEThe truth is you are missing out on making thousands a week in crypto simply because you don't know how to make it.
Instead of holding CRYPTOCAP:BTC and a select few altcoins, you gamble with random tokens that don't give you any cash flow whilst at risk of losing thousands from them.
If you invested just a fraction of that into bettering yourself and understanding the market, you could make thousands of dollars in a short time.
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Zoom out + Ignore noise $BTCBitcoin generally started the parabolic run after the candles closed above KijunSen and the run continued as long as there was no candle closing below it.
BTC make or break zone!As per our last BTC analysis, it has been bullish this week, trading within the rising channel marked in red.
For the bulls to take over and start the next impulse toward the $95,000 round number, a break above the last major high at $87,400 is needed.
Meanwhile, if BTC breaks below the last major low marked in red at $81,200, further downside toward the $75,000 support would be expected.
Bitcoin Intraday ScenarioBitcoin bearish movement + flag pattern = Bearish continuation
82k is programmed
Btcusd read the caption for easy learn This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price analysis chart on a daily timeframe (1D) from Coinbase suggests a technical outlook for future price movements.
Key Elements:
1. Current Price: Bitcoin is trading at $83,004.63, showing a -1.20% decline.
2. Support Zone: A trendline support is identified below the current price, indicating a potential bounce if BTC holds this level.
3. Resistance Levels: Two major resistance zones are marked, with the highest one near $109,711.07.
4. Projected Price Movement: The chart suggests a potential drop towards support, followed by a bullish reversal leading to a breakout towards the resistance area.
5. Target Price: If BTC breaks the resistance, it may aim for the $109,711.07 target.
Conclusion:
The analysis indicates a possible correction before a rally. If BTC respects the trendline support, it could see a bullish surge toward new highs. Traders might watch for confirmation signals before entering positions.
BTC/USD ANALYSIS our first target win...The updated chart confirms that Bitcoin followed the expected bullish move:
Price bounced from the support zone (blue area).
It broke above 83,224 (red resistance line).
Now consolidating around 82,846, preparing for the next move.
The target remains 84,457 if momentum continues.
This shows the prediction played out well so far! If buyers maintain control, BTC could still reach the final target.
BTCUSD PUUL BACK Double Top Resistance Could Trigger a Reversal
The chart assumes a breakout, but a double top is typically a bearish pattern. If price gets rejected at this resistance, it could signal a strong downtrend instead of the projected bullish move.
Support Might Not Hold
The analysis assumes a bounce from support, but price recently dropped aggressively to that level. If buyers fail to hold, a break below support could push price lower toward $83,200 or even $81,200.
Bearish Volume Presence
The recent large red candles show strong selling pressure. This could indicate that sellers are in control, and any upward move might just be a bull trap before further downside.
Resistance Overhead is Strong
The resistance zone around $86,400-$87,200 is a major supply zone. Even if price moves up, sellers could aggressively step in at that level, limiting upside potential.
Perhaps Biggest BTC Decision Ever at 70K BTC now trades at a really interesting level where one would fairly make a case for a few different technical outcomes likely if we dumped again to 70K.
There are three things that would make sense inside the knowns of trend development;
1 - We are making a pullback of the last leg (bullish overall).
2 - We are in a bearish wave 4, about to spike out (bull near term, bearish overall).
3 - We are in a larger chart rejection (super bearish, bounce patterns fail).
The case for 70K hitting here I think is good. When we look at the fibs from the low to the high of the rally we can see we have bonces a bit above the 61 fib. The 61 fib is rarely the reversal level. It's a popularly known fib but I find more often it fakes a reversal and then puts in a spike move to the 76. So in the bull setup here usually one flush to go.
Even in a moderate bear setup here where a reversal was slowly building, we'd be inside of the wave 4 zone now. There would be a spike lower to come but a sharp bull trap.
Basically, either way you slice it there is a confluence of strong bounce patterns at 70K on the daily chart. If these bounce patterns fail, this is telling us we're likely in a bigger chart sell pattern.
And that would typically express itself as monthly chart capitulation candles.
BTCUSD 8H: Trendline Pressure and Key Support Test🔥 BTCUSD 8H Deep Dive
1️⃣ Trendline Pressure: Bears controlling the market with a strong descending trendline.
2️⃣ Support Zone Strength: $77,500-$80,000 is a key demand area. Previous bounce shows buyers stepping in.
3️⃣ Liquidity Hunt? Price might sweep the support zone before reversal.
4️⃣ Volume Check Needed: Low volume = fakeout risk. High volume = potential breakout.
🎯 Targets
Bullish Breakout: $85,000-$87,500
Bearish Breakdown: $77,500-$75,000
📍 Eyes on next 8H close.
bitcoin area to watch using high time frame mother bar lvls (prev high time frame close lvls) you can see target to fall to potential and the line you need to buy off the 3m tweezers..
look for high volatility on 3 month candle closes - can make some money.
Btcusd to moonThis Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart on a daily timeframe (1D) from Coinbase shows a recent downtrend, with the price currently at $85,749.48, down 1.30%. A potential bullish reversal is suggested with an upward projection toward the $100,000+ range, as indicated by the hand-drawn price path.
Key observations:
Volume Profile on the Right: Indicates high trading activity around current levels, with less resistance above $90,000.
Projected Price Movement: Suggests a breakout from recent lows, a pullback, and then a strong upward move ("BTC to the moon").
Buyer-Seller Levels: The buy price is slightly above the current market price, indicating demand.
This analysis suggests bullish momentum, but confirmation through further price action and volume is needed.
BTCUSD eyes bearish bat patternOn the 4-hour chart, BTCUSD stabilized and rebounded in the short term, and bulls dominated the situation. At present, we can pay attention to the area around 91000, which is a potential short position of the bearish bat pattern, and this position is in the previous supply area.
BTC : Trendline, Fib, and RSI Divergence—Ready to Break Out?Let’s talk Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on this daily chart—it’s putting on a show!
We’ve got a sweet bounce off that trendline, The bounce happened right at the golden Fibonacci extension level, which is spot for a reversal. And check this—the RSI is showing some nice divergence, giving us a solid signal that the bulls might be waking up.
This is a strong setup for a new upward wave, but the real confirmation comes if BTC can break through that descending trendline up ahead. If it does, we could be looking at a run toward. Let’s keep our eyes on that breakout—things are getting exciting!
