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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

Bitcoin - Blue Skies, Retest Before $125k?Bitcoin has pushed into blue skies after breaking through a major resistance zone around 110,000 USD. The breakout was sharp and impulsive, pushing price well into uncharted territory above 117,000. At these levels, traditional resistance becomes harder to pinpoint, and the market often behaves irrationally, so caution is warranted. With all-time highs being challenged, any small retracement must be handled with precision. Support and Retest Zones The previous resistance zone between 109,000 and 111,000 has now turned into a potential support area. This level acted as a ceiling for weeks and was finally broken with strong momentum. Price already had a minor retest on the breakout candle, which offers a bullish sign of acceptance. However, a deeper retest of this same zone remains a valid possibility, especially if short-term profit-taking intensifies. Trendline Confluence Alongside the horizontal support, we have an ascending trendline that has guided price from the June lows. This trendline now intersects with the 111,000–113,000 area, offering a secondary potential bounce level. If Bitcoin holds the trendline, a shallower correction could be enough to reset before another rally. But if we break below it, the horizontal support remains the final stronghold before deeper downside risks emerge. Short-Term Scenarios There are two likely short-term paths here. Either Bitcoin continues higher without a deep pullback, targeting 120,000–125,000 directly, or we see one more sweep into the 111,000 area before the trend resumes. The first scenario would trap sidelined traders, forcing late entries at higher levels. The second would provide a clean retest of structure, fueling a healthier, more sustainable breakout. Price Target and Expectations Assuming the retest scenario plays out cleanly and price confirms support at either the trendline or the former resistance zone, upside targets sit around 120,000 as the next psychological barrier, with 125,000 as a likely extension. These are natural magnet levels in a trending environment, especially with momentum still intact from the previous breakout. Conclusion Bitcoin is currently in price discovery, which means the structure must guide our expectations. A retest of either the trendline or former resistance could provide the next best entry. As long as we hold above the green support zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and higher targets remain in sight. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by TehThomas
84
BTC Forecast: CPI Trap or Liquidity Sweep?Powered by Advanced Time-Price Analysis | Dr.Gemy | Digital Gann Strategy Using Time Cycles, IPDA logic, and Digital Gann structure, the upcoming week for Bitcoin is setting up for a high-probability liquidity event, especially with high-impact macro data scheduled. 📍In the next 18 hours, we expect a short-term correction toward the 115,911 USD zone. --- ⏰ CPI (Tuesday) & PPI (Wednesday) = catalysts for smart money traps. I expect a textbook liquidity hunt around the inflation data window. Time is more important than price. 🔮 Two Critical Scenarios Unfolding: ✅ Scenario 1 – CPI Trap Setup (Tuesday News Play) 🕒 If BTC continues correcting into Tuesday (July 15), targeting 113,724 USD, this will align perfectly with the release of U.S. CPI (Inflation) data at 3:30 PM GMT+3. 📈 A fake bullish breakout above 118,098 USD could follow, luring retail traders with an inflation-driven spike, only to be reversed sharply to collect liquidity around 111,537 USD. 🧠 CPI y/y forecast is 2.6% vs 2.4% prior – higher inflation could spark temporary bullish reaction, but the underlying setup suggests it's a trap. --- 🎭 Scenario 2 – Smart Money Pump and Dump 📈 BTC might front-run expectations with an early week rally to retest 118,098 USD, only to reverse midweek (around Wednesday's PPI release) as the market reacts to deeper macro data and shifting dollar strength. 💣 Downside continuation could sweep below 113,724 USD, ultimately reaching the key demand base at 111,537 USD, which marks the beginning of the last major impulsive move. --- 🧠 Strategic Concepts Used: Time Fractals (9H Cycle Lines) Gann Reversal Timing & Breaker Blocks (H4) Smart Money Traps around News IPDA Voids & Liquidity Pools CPI/PPI/Macro Liquidity Zones #CryptoForecast #BTCUSD #CPIWeek #GannTiming #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #IPDA #ForexStyleCrypto #DigitalGann #DrGemy
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ganndailypips
2
Bitcoin Still Consolidating For Wave 5 RallyBitcoin sub wave 4 consolidation continues to persist. While there was a failed break out over the previous week, it has not changed the bullish impulse at all. The current structure implies that there is a higher probability that one more leg higher (sub wave 5) is likely. It could be the coming week or next, it is all a function of catalyst. Keep in mind this consolidation can test as low at 113K and still be within the criteria of a wave 4. There are numerous opportunities in this situation when it comes to day trade and swing trade longs. The break out: IF price pushes beyond 120K with conviction (large sustained candle on this time frame) that would be a swing trade long signal. IF there is no instant pullback (fake out), this can be the momentum required to test the 130Ks. Keep in mind, there is an inflection point in the 133K area which serves as a profit objective to measure from. Price can potentially go beyond that point, but participating in that is all about waiting and watching how price behaves. There is NO way to know how this will play out in advance. You have to adjust as new information becomes available. The retest: if price pulls back into the 116K to 113K area and establishes a reversal on this time frame (or on adjacent time frames like 4H). This can appear in numerous ways: pin bar, engulfing candle, inverse head and shoulders, etc. This scenario would offer greater potential especially if the break out occurred soon after (high probability). IF the 113K level breaks instead, it will put the impulse structure into question. Meaning the probability of a wave 5 to follow will become lower. This environment in my opinion is not easy to navigate for traders. People who bought into the alt coin weakness months ago are now getting paid and enjoying "alt season", which is great but not good if you are looking to buy something now with a longer time horizon in mind. Wave 5's often signal a corrective move is likely to follow and Bitcoin is potentially completing a very large magnitude Wave 5. I have been pointing this out for months. Most investors will ignore this because they will be biased by greed. The wise this to do is lock in profits along the way at inflection points such as whole numbers, price proportions (like 133K) and/or clear candle reversal signals after significant moves. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
1
Bitcoin vs Global M2: Can Liquidity Predict the future?This chart compares Bitcoin’s price (daily) with a Global M2 indicator that includes the monetary supply of major economies like the U.S., Eurozone, China, and Japan. It’s not a perfect global measure — but it gives us a reliable macro signal of what global liquidity is doing. And when it comes to Bitcoin, liquidity is everything. Why this matters: Bitcoin is often seen as volatile or unpredictable. But when we zoom out and overlay it with liquidity flows (like M2), a powerful pattern emerges: Bitcoin tends to follow global M2 with a ~10-week lag. When M2 rises, Bitcoin often rallies weeks later. When M2 contracts, Bitcoin loses momentum. This makes M2 a powerful leading indicator — not for predicting exact price levels, but for catching the direction of trend and regime shifts. What this chart tells us: M2 leads, Bitcoin follows. The curves won’t align perfectly — but the macro structure is there. Big expansions in M2 create a friendlier environment for risk assets like BTC. This is the same logic used by macro strategists like Raoul Pal: liquidity drives everything. Important disclaimer: This doesn’t mean M2 tells you where price will be on a specific date. But it can help identify turning points — and confirm whether we’re in a reflationary vs contractionary environment. Think of it as a weather forecast, not a GPS pin. In other words: This chart doesn't show the price. It shows the future.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by JoseCeppi
2
BTCUSD What Next? BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for BTCUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 11678 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 11791 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
$BTC Wave 4 correction completed -- alternate count.This is not financial advice. In my previous post, I suggested that Minor Wave 4 could go all the way down to 0.618 fib: However, after doing a deeper dive into the long squeeze in the last day and looking at its recovery, I think CRYPTOCAP:BTC has completed its corrective Minor Wave 4. This means that we're looking up towards an impulsive Minor Wave 5. If Minor Wave 5 completes, in my bullish main Elliot Wave count, we would get a full picture for Intermediate Wave 1. We would then be able to expect an Intermediate Wave 2 correction. However, while Wave 2 usually corrects 0.618 fib, this time round, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has shown inclination and strength to correct between 0.236 and 0.328 levels. And then we will be making that Impulsive Wave 3 up. That will be bonkers.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by googooboyy
ETH Soars $2.6B: Inside BBDelta and Cathie Wood’s Strategic BetIn July 2025, the Ethereum network witnessed an unexpected wave of withdrawals totaling over $2.6 billion in unstaked ETH — one of the largest single-month movements since Ethereum’s transition to proof-of-stake. While headlines suggested panic, BBDelta’s analysts and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood see a different narrative unfolding: one rooted in strategic portfolio rebalancing and maturing market behavior. Beyond the Headlines: What the Data Really Shows According to BBDelta’s internal chain analysis, over 842,000 ETH were unstaked across major validator pools including Lido, Rocket Pool, and Coinbase. However, contrary to expectations, there was no mass sell-off. In fact, more than 65% of unstaked ETH remained idle or were redirected to DeFi platforms such as Aave and Curve. This distinction is crucial. “Unstaking doesn’t necessarily equal selling,” explains Anna Keller, Senior Market Strategist at BBDelta. “It reflects evolving investor preferences, where capital seeks higher yield or greater liquidity in anticipation of macroeconomic shifts.” Cathie Wood concurs, stating in a Bloomberg interview, “Ethereum’s staking environment is beginning to resemble fixed-income markets. Institutional holders are unstaking not out of fear, but in search of more dynamic return models.” Institutional Movements Driving the Shift One of the primary drivers behind the recent wave appears to be institutional rebalancing. As yields on real-world assets (RWAs) and tokenized Treasury instruments improve, large crypto holders — including family offices and asset managers — are rotating exposure from static ETH staking to diversified yield strategies. BBDelta’s research notes a spike in ETH deployment into liquid staking derivatives (LSDs) and restaking protocols like EigenLayer, signaling a pivot toward composable and flexible income mechanisms. Moreover, geopolitical uncertainty and rate policy ambiguity continue to drive caution. “The macro backdrop — especially ongoing tensions around U.S. debt restructuring and eurozone contraction — is pushing capital toward adaptable on-chain positions,” Keller adds. Cathie Wood’s Perspective: Strategy, Not Stress Cathie Wood, whose firm Ark Invest holds significant ETH positions, argues the current trend mirrors broader crypto-market maturity. “Volatility remains, but the investor base is smarter,” she says. “What we’re seeing with this $2.6 billion movement is the normalization of active asset allocation in crypto.” She draws parallels to traditional finance, where fixed-income investors routinely rotate holdings between instruments based on risk and duration. “Ethereum has reached a point where it can sustain a yield curve of its own — that's a sign of strength, not weakness.” BBDelta’s Market Outlook BBDelta expects a continued reshaping of Ethereum’s staking landscape, with less concentration in passive lockups and more emphasis on modular strategies. The firm predicts ETH will increasingly serve as a base asset in complex, multi-layered DeFi ecosystems — from restaking protocols to derivatives and real-world asset bridges. In the near term, BBDelta projects moderate price consolidation around the $3,400–$3,800 range, driven by macro correlations with tech stocks and bond yields. However, the firm remains long-term bullish, citing Ethereum’s dominant position in smart contract execution, enterprise adoption, and regulatory clarity across the EU and Asia-Pacific. Final Thoughts The $2.6 billion Ethereum unstaking should not be misinterpreted as a crisis. Rather, as BBDelta and Cathie Wood both emphasize, it represents a milestone in Ethereum’s financial evolution. Sophisticated capital is optimizing exposure, not fleeing risk — and in that, the Ethereum ecosystem proves its readiness for the next institutional wave.
OKX:BTCUSDLong
by HCN-News12
SharpLink Eyes 1M ETH Goal After $145M Deal as ETH Targets $4KIn a move that’s set to reshape the intersection of digital assets and sports betting, SharpLink Gaming Ltd. has announced a landmark $145 million acquisition of a global data and analytics firm, with the explicit goal of accumulating 1 million ETH over the next 24 months. The deal underscores growing institutional interest in Ethereum as a digital commodity, and may catalyze upward momentum as ETH inches toward the $4,000 psychological resistance level. SharpLink, a technology company specializing in real-time conversion tools for online betting platforms, sees Ethereum not only as an asset but as a strategic reserve and infrastructure layer for future blockchain-native products in sports engagement. ETH as a Strategic Reserve Asset According to sources close to the deal, the target firm will integrate its decentralized transaction engine directly onto Ethereum Layer 2, allowing near-instant settlement for in-app microtransactions and loyalty systems. SharpLink executives confirmed that part of the transaction includes an ETH-based performance clause, further tying company equity to the appreciation of Ethereum itself. “Ethereum is not just a vehicle for holding value—it’s a programmable platform that enables the gamification of loyalty, rewards, and even prediction markets,” said Robert Wheeler, CFO at SharpLink. “Our 1 million ETH target is a long-term bet on infrastructure, not speculation.” Institutional Flows Signal Confidence The acquisition comes amid surging Ethereum ETF inflows, with U.S.-based funds seeing over $453 million in net capital in July alone. As institutional allocations deepen, Ethereum’s price has responded, currently trading at around $3,730, up nearly 18% month-over-month. Analysts believe that a clean break above $4,000 could lead to an accelerated rally toward new cycle highs, especially with the anticipated rollout of EIP-7623, a scaling-focused upgrade designed to enhance Layer 2 throughput. Industry Implications SharpLink’s strategy mirrors a broader trend where companies are building Ethereum exposure directly into corporate structure, treating ETH as both capital and infrastructure. This hybrid approach reflects a shift from speculative crypto adoption to utility-based asset management. “It’s a new model of treasury allocation,” noted Mia Langston, digital finance strategist at Veridian Global. “They’re not just holding ETH as a hedge—they’re deploying it across services.” Conclusion With Ethereum’s fundamentals strengthening, growing ETF demand, and now a $145M acquisition tied directly to ETH accumulation, SharpLink’s move may serve as a case study in the next phase of corporate crypto strategy. If ETH breaches $4,000 in the coming weeks, the company’s early positioning could prove prescient—and possibly spark similar strategic moves across sectors beyond crypto.
OKX:BTCUSD
by HCN-News12