BTCUSD 15M CHART PATTERN This chart is a 15-minute candlestick chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) from TradingView, showing recent price movement and a potential bullish prediction.
Key Observations:
1. Downtrend & Reversal Point:
A significant downward move is marked with a red arrow, signaling a potential short-selling opportunity or a bearish trend that recently ended.
The price then forms a rising trendline (in red), suggesting an ascending triangle pattern — a bullish continuation signal.
2. Current Price:
As of the time on the chart (June 21, 2025, 04:56 UTC), the BTC price is approximately $103,441.
3. Breakout Projection:
A green arrow indicates a breakout point above the resistance level, supported by the red trendline.
The chart suggests a projected bullish move with a target near $108,090, illustrated with an upward zigzag path in a shaded box — representing the possible path price might follow post-breakout.
4. Chart Analysis Implication:
If the price holds above the red trendline and breaks above the consolidation range, the projection implies an upward target of around $108,000–$110,000.
Conclusion:
The chart author anticipates a bullish breakout from a consolidation pattern, aiming for higher levels in the short term. However, a failure to hold above the rising trendline might invalidate the bullish scenario.
Would you like a technical analysis summary, a trading strategy based on this chart, or help interpreting more details?
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTC to 125000📈 BTCUSD Long Setup – Maximum Fear Often Marks the Bottom
Timeframe: 8H
Entry: ~103,500
SL: 96,448
TP: 125,000
RR: ~3:1
🧠 Market Sentiment:
The current environment is dominated by extreme fear – sentiment is heavily bearish, and interest from retail investors is strikingly low. Most market participants appear to be short or sitting in hedged positions, which ironically sets the stage for a potential short squeeze if price breaks to the upside.
🔍 Technical Context:
BTC has been ranging for weeks – support has held repeatedly.
Liquidity has been swept below previous lows – possible spring formation.
A reclaim of the 104k–105k zone could act as a launchpad.
Setup anticipates a contrarian move against the prevailing bearish bias
BTC, will hibernate for a few weeks from here to sub 100k.BTC rise has been impressive the last few weeks with market triggering excitement after hitting a series of ATH and finally punching the elusive100k levels, and pushing it further to 110k as a bonus.
But like with any overheated parabolic move, a cool down will need to transpire eventually. And that season is ripe now for the king of coins.
From the diagram we are seeing some curve fitting price action, with horizontal ranging at the upper channel -- indicating a bull saturation scenario.
A corrective phase to 0.5 fib levels maybe expected in the next few weeks. It did the same behavior last time. This hibernation would be healthy in the long run - and it needed to happen.
Spotted at 104k.
Target sub 100k levels / or 0.5 fib at 94k.
TAYOR.
Trade safely.
Bitcoin Could Hit as High as $400KWhen comparing our macro cycle to the 2017 cycle, we see the potential for a very parabolic run on Bitcoin. I believe Bitcoin could hit as high as $400K by 2029. This is because Bitcoin tends to follow the stock market, and I anticipate a major blow-off top coming for the stock market. I expect one more big parabolic run on the Dow Jones leading up to 2029, which would fuel Bitcoin’s rise to $400K.
The lowest I see Bitcoin going during this parabolic run is $250K. On the higher end, I could see it hitting $400K or even more. Big things are coming.
As always, stay profitable.
— Dalin Anderson
BITCOIN SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅BITCOIN is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 101,000$
After trading in a local downtrend for some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 105,000$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Become Rich Trading Bitcoin Strategy Simplified Correction NullIs this a shakeout or a rejection?
A rejection implies no bullish action short-term thus lower prices. It is still early on the current move.
A shakeout implies a bear-trap and bullish action soon to follow, as soon as the shakeout is complete.
Daily and weekly close
Let's be fair and honest, it is too early to say. To determine if the current move is either a rejection or a shakeout we have to wait for the close today.
Price action
Why are these two in question? Because the daily session moved higher today reaching $106,500 followed by lower prices. The low hit $102,309, lower than 13-June but higher than 5-June, a higher low. More information can be acquired once the trading session closes but, we can move ahead and see what the chart has to say based on other signals.
The volume is low on the bearish side, on all sides. The higher low so far is strong. As long as $102,000 holds Bitcoin is ultra-hyper bullish, very strong. Even if we are considering the short-term it doesn't matter, if the action is happening above this level the bulls are wining and that's what we have.
If the action is happening above $100,000 we already know what this means and this level is not in question right now. Being price oriented that is why I say is still early, do you agree?
So, more shakeouts, more sideways, more retrace—a non-event; short-term noise.
We are looking for the next major move, not the next $1,000 drop.
Market conditions do not change
Rest easy, Bitcoin will continue bullish even if it wicks below 100K. As long as it trades above this level, or the $100,000 to $102,000 price range, the action is safe (coming from the bulls).
If the week closes above this range but starts red next week and goes below, no need to panic because the week can start red just to recover and this would only be a continuation of the shakeout; we take information from the weekly close and not the intra-week action makes sense?
Questions —Leave a comment
So, what is your take?
Just let me know truly, what is your belief?
Do you think Bitcoin is bearish or bullish?
It can be looked at in many different ways.
The bull market
The trend is bullish, mid- to long-term. The action is happening above 100K.
The altcoins market is weak but we all know from the bottom we grow, we are entering the summer now... Ahhh, the beautiful summer, bring the heat. With the summer prices tend to grow.
You can call it a relief rally but that will be only the start. The relief will turn into a major bullish wave and this wave will transform into a major bull run.
Motivation
I love you again wishing you the best forever more.
You deserve the best now and always.
Keep at it and keep trying, persistence is the key. As long as we continue to trade, in the end we are sure to win.
Invest in Crypto, it is very easy.
Think of all the people that joined us (the market) 10 years ago. What are their holdings worth now? Millions upon millions... Now, think of yourself 10 years into the future. Put whatever money in you can afford and watch it grow.
The way to riches is not through frugality or savings, the way to riches is through buying and investing. This is the right market for us. It is fast, it is volatile, it is young; just like most of us. If not young of age, we are young at heart.
Namaste.
Market next forecast 🔄 Disrupted Analysis: Bullish Counter-Scenario
🧠 Original Bias:
The chart predicts a strong bearish move, with a target around 88,000 USD.
The label "Bullish" seems misleading as it’s placed in a steep downward move.
---
📉 Issues With the Original Analysis:
1. Volume Misinterpretation:
Increasing red volume could indicate capitulation or a temporary panic sell-off, not necessarily the start of a new trend.
A bounce could follow if buyers step in.
2. Support Zone Ignored:
The analysis overlooks any previous support levels in the 100k–98k range, where buyers may be waiting.
3. No Confirmation for Breakdown:
The chart does not show a completed breakdown of a key structure or trendline.
The blue squiggle assumes a breakdown will happen, but no technical confirmation is visible.
---
📈 Disruption Scenario: Bullish Reversal Possible
Rejection from 102k zone could be a liquidity grab, not the start of a downtrend.
BITCOIN BOUNCES FROM 50 MA - AGAINBitcoin continues to treat the 50-day moving average like a sacred line in the sand. Once again, price dipped to test the level and found immediate support – bouncing right off the blue line with a solid daily candle and gaining over 1% in the process. That makes multiple successful defenses of the 50 MA in recent weeks – clearly, traders are watching it closely.
The key takeaway here isn’t just the bounce, but the fact that BTC remains in a tightening range between ~$112,000 resistance and ~$100,700 support. We’re seeing a clear battle between bulls and bears – with bulls still managing to defend higher lows while momentum tries to rebuild. As long as the 50 MA continues to hold, the structure remains bullish – but if it breaks, it could signal a retest of the $100K psychological level or even a deeper pullback toward the mid-$90Ks.
For now, the trend is still your friend. But keep one eye on the moving average – because the moment it fails, this range could resolve sharply. Until then, it’s a patient trader’s market.
Iran-Israel Affected Btc MarketThe conflict between Israel and Iran has escalated since the initial strike on Friday. After sustaining a wide-scale strike on nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders, Iran retaliated by launching drones and missile attacks on Israel.
Reuters reports that Iran has rejected calls for a ceasefire, while Israel has vowed to make Tehran pay for Monday's dawn attacks on Tel Aviv and Haifa. The world remains on edge amid looming escalation.
Warning: BTC Just Got Rejected HARD — Next Stop $101KBTCUSDT 4H Technical Analysis – Bearish Setup in Motion
The current 4-hour chart of BTCUSDT on Binance paints a clearly bearish picture, driven by strong confluence between the Ichimoku Cloud system, price structure, and descending trend channel. Market sentiment has shifted from indecision to downside control, and unless bulls reclaim critical zones soon, a drop toward $101,900 appears highly likely.
Ichimoku Cloud: Bearish Confirmation on Multiple Levels
The Ichimoku Cloud indicator in this setup plays a dominant role in forming the bearish bias. First, the price action has broken below the Kumo (cloud) and is currently rejecting it from the underside. This behavior alone signals a shift in sentiment, as the cloud now acts as dynamic resistance.
The Tenkan-sen (conversion line), shown in blue, has crossed below the Kijun-sen (baseline) in red—this is a strong bearish crossover. Notably, this crossover occurred below the cloud, which within Ichimoku principles is considered one of the most powerful bearish signals available. It reflects a synchronized decline in both short-term and medium-term momentum.
Furthermore, the future cloud (Senkou Span A and B projection) is flat and shaded in red, signaling weak bullish momentum ahead and strengthening the case for a downward continuation. Flat Kumo tops also indicate a magnet for price, often pulling it back for a re-test before continuation—precisely what is unfolding here.
The Chikou Span (lagging line), which plots the current price 26 periods back, is well below both the price and the Kumo. This further confirms that market sentiment, momentum, and trend direction are all biased to the downside.
Price Structure and Trend Channel
Overlaying the chart is a clearly defined descending parallel channel, capturing the recent series of lower highs and lower lows. Price has respected this channel on multiple occasions, rebounding near its bounds and reacting to its midline as dynamic support and resistance.
Currently, BTCUSDT is moving lower after retesting the mid-range of this descending channel, which aligns with the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud. This overlap creates a powerful resistance confluence between $104,600 and $105,800—exactly where price was rejected in the most recent candle clusters.
The repeated failure to break back into the cloud shows that supply pressure is overwhelming, and bulls are losing grip of any short-term recovery.
Liquidity Zones and Risk-Reward Mapping
A red shaded area marks the resistance zone, aligning with the upper boundary of the cloud and the mid-channel structure. This region, between $104,600 and $105,900, has repeatedly acted as a rejection area and represents where sellers are currently stepping in with confidence.
Meanwhile, the projected target is highlighted through the green shaded rectangle, roughly between $101,900 and $102,200, representing the next strong demand zone and the lower boundary of the descending channel.
The downward arrow on the chart visually reinforces this bearish idea, indicating a continuation of the current momentum toward those support levels.
Trade Setup Based on Chart
This current structure provides a clean, high-probability trade opportunity for bearish traders looking to capitalize on further downside in BTC:
• Entry Zone: $104,500 – $105,000
• Stop Loss: Above $106,200 (just above cloud resistance and recent rejection wicks)
• Target: $101,900
• Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2.3 (depending on entry)
Final Thoughts
The technical case for shorting BTCUSDT here is robust. The Ichimoku system aligns on all fronts—price below the cloud, bearish Tenkan/Kijun crossover under the Kumo, a red future cloud, and a bearish Chikou Span. On top of that, price action is obeying a descending channel and just rejected from its midpoint.
If this setup plays out as expected, BTC is likely to retest the $101,900 region before bulls attempt to regain control. Scalpers may consider dynamic trailing stops below $104,000, but positional shorts can hold with clear invalidation above the red cloud zone.
BTC Triangle Squeezing Toward $100 K — Sellers Press🎯 TL;DR
A four-week contracting triangle is coiling price just under $105 K.
Measured move ⇒ $100 506
Both W.ARITAS Quantum RSI flash strong selling pressure while QSP shows a weak trend.
On-chain: miners dumped ≈30 000 BTC since late May, yet spot-ETF inflows have stayed positive eight days straight.
Base case: price breaks lower into $100 K-97 K, where I expect a sharp bounce.
🗺️ Chart at a Glance
Element Detail
Pattern Symmetrical / contracting triangle (late-Apr → present)
Immediate pivot $104 800 – reclaimed as resistance (red circle)
Target 1 $100 506 – triangle measured move
Demand block $96 900 – $95 000 – weekly support & June VWAP
Invalidation 6-h close > $106 000
🔧 Technical Internals
Momentum 🟣
Quantum RSI: −23 / −41 and falling → sellers dominate.
QSP: muted blue histogram sub-zero → trend itself is still weak, so expect whipsaws near support.
Structure 🔵
Three successive lower-highs (113 K → 110 K → 109 K) tighten the squeeze.
Price is riding the underside of the triangle, a common “kiss-of-death” before resolution.
🔍 Fundamental / Flow Backdrop
Miners on the offer – Wallet balances down ~30 000 BTC over 20 days (≈ $3.1 B)
Source: IntoTheBlock via CoinDesk, 19 Jun 2025
ETF demand refuses to quit – U.S. spot ETFs pulled $388.3 M on 18 Jun, marking 8 consecutive inflow days
Source: CoinTelegraph, Cryptonomist, 19 Jun 2025
Regulatory clarity incoming – U.S. Senate passed a bipartisan stablecoin bill on 17 Jun; House vote next
Source: Reuters, 17 Jun 2025
Net: structural sellers (miners, profit-takers) vs. structural buyers (ETFs).
Right now, technicals side with the sellers.
📈 Trade Map (3-8 Week Horizon)
106 000 – 104 800 Triangle top & failed breakout zone Bias flips bullish only on sustained reclaim
100 506 Measured-move target + psychological $100 K Primary TP / bounce watch
96 900 – 95 000 Weekly demand, June VWAP Secondary TP if 100 K gives way
110 000 + Pattern invalidation Opens road to 113 K-115 K ATH cluster
🛠️ Execution Idea (Not Financial Advice)
Trigger: 6-hour close < $103 500 confirms breakdown.
Entry Bias: Short retest of 104.8 K-105.5 K.
Targets:
TP1 – $100 500
TP2 – $97 000 (only if momentum stays bearish)
Stop / Invalidation: 6-hour close > $106 000 and Quantum RSI flips back to green.
Expect BTC/USD to drop to 102000 post-Fed rate decisionBTC/USD Update 📈
BTC rebounded from 103500 support, now at ~105500. Short-term correction may test 100000 psychological support ⚠️
I think the Fed's interest rate decision this time may cause BTCUSD to drop directly to 102000 .
⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 105000 - 104500
🚀 TP 102500 - 101500
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
BTCUSD: Nowhere near a top yet.Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.257, MACD = 443.000, ADX = 29.912) due to high volatility recently but the bullish long term trend is intact and even more so, hasn't yet started the year-end rally. The Mayer Multiple Bands have always priced a Cycle's Top on their red trendline so no matter how high that may seem from the current market price, the TP zone should be between the orange (2 Stdev above) and red (3 Stdev above) trendines. Minimum TP = 200,000 for this Cycle.
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₿itcoin: Holding steadySince our last update, Bitcoin has traded in a relatively stable range. As expected, there's still a strong case for the crypto leader to climb into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. However, a deeper pullback below the $100,000 mark remains a real possibility before that move unfolds. Regardless of the path it takes, we continue to expect Bitcoin to reach this upper zone, completing green wave B. From there, a corrective wave C—also in green—is likely to follow, driving the price down toward the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. This move would mark the end of the broader orange wave a. For now, we’re watching for a potential b-wave recovery before the final leg lower toward the bottom of blue wave (ii) takes shape. That said, there's still a 30% chance that blue wave (i) isn’t done yet and could extend significantly above $130,891 before any meaningful correction begins.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Structure – Technical BreakdownBitcoin 4-Year Cycle Structure – Technical Breakdown
This chart examines Bitcoin’s historical 4-year cycle behaviour, focusing on the repeating market structure observed across the last three cycles: Bull Market → Bear Market → Accumulation/Recovery → Halving → Expansion.
Key Observations:
🔹 Cycle Timing Consistency
Each of the past three cycles has shown a consistent duration between the halving and the final bull market peak—typically between 500–550 days. Based on that timing, the current cycle suggests we are still ~100 days away from a potential macro top.
🔹 Post-Halving Correction is Expected
Corrections shortly after the halving have historically marked mid-cycle retracements, not macro tops. The current pullback is structurally aligned with the 2017 and 2021 expansions, where Bitcoin consolidated before pushing to final highs.
🔹 Altcoin Market Segments Lagging
TOTAL2 (Total Market Cap excluding BTC)
TOTAL3 (Excluding BTC & ETH)
OTHERS (Altcoins excluding top 10 by market cap)
All remain below their prior cycle all-time highs, which historically occurs before the full market cycle concludes. These segments often accelerate after BTC has established dominance, typically in the later stages of the bull market.
🔹 USDT Dominance Suggests More Upside
USDT.D is still trending down, which historically reflects increasing risk appetite and capital rotation into crypto assets. Prior cycle tops have aligned with much lower dominance levels, indicating further downside risk for USDT.D, and potential upside for crypto markets.
Conclusion:
Despite short-term volatility, the technical structure across Bitcoin and broader market indicators suggests the cycle remains in its expansion phase. Timing models, altcoin lag, and dominance signals all point to further upside potential before a full cycle peak is in.
1W:
1M: