The latest analysis of Bitcoin is in a downward channelBTC is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows since mid-March.
Descending Channel: The upper and lower boundaries have acted as reliable resistance and support zones.
Double Bottom Pattern: Price action recently formed a double bottom near the $75,000 zone (marked "HUNT2"), which is typically a bullish reversal signal.
Breakout Target: The neckline breakout from the double bottom targets the $85,000–86,000 zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel — a confluence resistance.
Fakeouts (HUNT1 & HUNT2): These "hunt" zones likely represent liquidity grabs or stop-loss sweeps, indicating strong institutional manipulation before major moves.
Bullish Scenario: After touching the lower level of the neckline, it goes to touch the top line of the channel and touches the target of the pattern.
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Bearish Scenario: Rejection from the $85K zone could send BTC back down toward
73K
–$ 74 K. Further downside could bring the $69K–$70K zone into focus.
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Bitcoin at $83K – Is This the Calm Before the Next Surge or a TrBTC/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 9, 2025
Bitcoin is currently consolidating just below the psychological $85,000 level after a historic bull run that pushed price to fresh all-time highs. The market is cooling off — not crashing — with price action forming a high-tight flag, often a continuation signal after a vertical move.
However, with momentum slowing and volatility compressing, traders must prepare for a major breakout or breakdown in the coming days.
📈 Trend Structure:
BTC/USD remains in a strong bullish trend. Since the breakout above $69,000 (previous ATH from 2021), the rally has been aggressive and directional — barely giving bears a chance to breathe.
Price has formed a series of higher highs and higher lows, respecting a steep ascending trendline since early February. But now, the pair is coiling near the highs, forming a tight range between $80,000 and $83,500.
🔹 Key Resistance Zones:
$83,500 – $85,000: Immediate resistance; this area has capped price multiple times in recent sessions. A daily close above this zone could trigger the next leg higher.
$88,000: Near-term bullish target based on measured move from recent consolidation.
$90,000 – $92,000: A psychological milestone — and a possible magnet for price if bulls break out cleanly.
🔸 Key Support Zones:
$80,000: Round number support — the floor of the current consolidation.
$76,500: Previous breakout zone and minor demand area.
$72,000 – $74,000: Major support and ideal re-test level if BTC corrects — where many sidelined bulls are likely waiting to buy in.
📐 Technical Pattern:
Bitcoin is forming a high-tight flag — a bullish continuation pattern typically found after strong vertical rallies. The range is tightening, volume is dropping, and volatility is compressing — classic signs that a volatility expansion is coming soon.
A breakout above $83,500–85,000 would confirm the flag and likely ignite a sharp move to FWB:88K or higher. On the flip side, a breakdown below $80K could send price to retest $76.5K or even $74K — which would still be healthy within the broader trend.
🧭 Scenarios to Watch:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
A breakout and daily close above $85,000 would confirm the continuation pattern, targeting $88,000 first, then $90,000+. Volume and candle structure will be key to confirming the move.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to break out and instead drops below $80,000, a correction could unfold toward $76,500 or even $74,000 — presenting a potential re-entry opportunity for long-term bulls.
📌 Conclusion:
Bitcoin is trading near all-time highs in a classic consolidation phase. Price action favors the bulls, but the breakout hasn’t confirmed — yet. Whether BTC breaks above $85K or drops below $80K will likely define the next major swing.
As always, let the candles tell the story — and don’t chase, wait for confirmation.
💬 Are we about to see Bitcoin above $90K? Or is this distribution in disguise? Drop your thoughts 👇
Will BTC emerge from the descending channel on top?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. On the one-day interval, you can see how the price is moving in the downtrend channel in which there is again a fight with the upper boundary of the channel. At this stage, you can also see how the EMA Cross 50/200, they have come very close but still indicate the maintenance of a long-term upward trend.
Here you can see how the price has currently bounced off the resistance zone from $ 86,503 to $ 87,934. Only an upper exit from this zone will open the way towards the second important zone at the levels of $ 93,959 to $ 96,142, and then we have visible strong resistance around $ 101,800.
Looking the other way, you can see that in the event of further declines, we have support at $ 80,550, then you can see an important zone that previously maintained the price decline from $ 74,340 to $ 71,380, in a situation where this zone is broken, we can see a quick decline to around $ 65,360.
The MACD indicator shows an attempt to switch to an upward trend, it is worth watching whether there is enough energy for further movement.
Why is BTC losing volume?!After establishing a new higher high on the rally, we have run into an old bearish zone from April 2nd and losing gas. This is about the end of this bullish cycle is seems and we are getting hourly chart candle indications of this.
As you see there is a small bit to go before we can establish ourselves back above the bearish fair value gap (balance).
Apparently this bearish FVG was still chock full of pending shorts. We are getting multiple failures to displace above highs I was triggered short.
As we close below the highest bullish candle, we should see a mass closing of longs from its low. First target is the inefficient range below (blue) around 84K
I believe we must go back to around the50% Fib retracement range as always and correct all imbalances and collect all lows within that range. Therefore I am short after the 11p candle pushed up out of the 10p candle but failed to close above.
As always I use failure displacement as a cue to look for a good LTF entry 🫡
4H Review shows massive bearish imbalance:
Short - term Upside & Mon. Outflow RiskAnalysis of the Price Trend of Bitcoin 📈: Short - term Upward Expectations 💰 and the Risk of Capital Outflow on Monday 💸
The current price of BTC is at 84,500 points. 📊
Considering various factors comprehensively, there is a possibility that the price will rise to around 86,500 points tomorrow. 🚀 This could be due to factors like positive market sentiment or recent trends in the cryptocurrency space. 💰
However, when other markets open on Monday, the situation of a large amount of capital flowing out to other trading fields also deserves attention. 😟
Especially the flows to the XAU/USD and USOIL markets, or other foreign exchange markets. 💱 The movement of funds to these areas might be influenced by economic news, geopolitical events, or simply portfolio re - balancing by investors. 📰
💰💰💰 BTCUSD 💰💰💰
🎯 Buy@84000 - 84500
🎯 TP 85500 - 86500
Recently, the market has been extremely volatile 😱, which has led to the clearing of many traders' accounts or significant losses 😫. You can follow my signals and gradually recover your losses and achieve profitability 🌟💪.
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
Bitcoin following 2013-2017 Fractal UPDATE - have we left it ?This chart remains unchanged from the last time I posted it except for the addition of that yellow Dashed Arrow
As we can see, PA fell below the Fractal in Late February and ever since, we have ranged further away from it.
Does this mean we have left the fractal we have been on since November 2021 ?
Not really.
PA fell below it in 2022 due to pressures from Interest rates making companies collapse and sentiment being negative.
We have fallen below it this time purely because PA was so overbought, it needed to recover.
This can be very clearly seen on the Weekly MACD, where in 2024, we ranged for months because of the same reason.
See how on the weekly MACD, how once we reached near Neutral, we bounced back up to a New ATH and, ever since, BTC PA has ranged while waiting for the MACD to cool off..
And now we are there. MACD is in the bounce zone and has shown some strength in the last few days.
So, The Fractal
For PA to get back above that Fractal, we need PA to make a very strong push higher. and as you can see from the Bold Arrow, this is achievable by end of May if PA rises Strong and continually
form here.
I am not to sure this will happen.
We have so many Macro events destabilising the markets...
I am more inclined to think PA will hit that circle , and we will likely follow the Dashed Arrow to a cycle ATH of near 300K, by the end of the year at the latest.
This is the Path of safety.
Things can always change for the better or for the worse and so we have to be ready for all occasions.
But BULLISH is the word - BUT BITCOIN ON SPOT, HOLD IT AND RELAX
(BTC/USD)pattern typically signals a buy opportunity price GO UP1. Harmonic Pattern (Possibly a Gartley or Bat pattern):
The points labeled X, A, B, C, D form a harmonic pattern suggesting a potential reversal zone near point D.
This pattern typically signals a buy opportunity at the end of the correction (point D), expecting the price to move upward.
2. Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance Zone (upper shaded box): Indicates a price range where BTC has faced selling pressure in the past.
Support Zone (lower shaded box): Shows where BTC has historically found buying interest.
3. Ascending Channel:
The price is shown to be trending upward in a channel after the harmonic pattern completion, suggesting bullish momentum.
4. Trade Setup:
Entry Level: Around $84,513 (current price level marked on the chart).
Target Zone: Approximately $88,124, indicated by the green box.
Stop-Loss Zone: Below the entry, marked in red (likely just under $83,000).
5. Chart Timestamp:
The current chart time is Sunday, April 13, 2025, 08:00 UTC.
Interpretation:
This chart suggests a bullish outlook for BTC/USD based on harmonic pattern completion and price action within the ascending channel.
BTC MARKET OUTLOOKBTC just made an imbalance sweep into the 70K range, setting the stage for a bullish wedge formation.
Price action now looks poised to mitigate and potentially break above the previous high at 105K. Momentum is building — watch closely yall.follow for more insight, comment , and boost idea
BTC/USD Bounce or Continuation of the Drop? Key Zone in PlayOn the 30-minute BTCUSD chart, we can see a break of structure followed by a return to the consolidation zone. The price is currently testing the previous support, which is now acting as resistance. A potential fake breakout to the upside could occur, followed by a drop into the marked demand zone, where a possible reversal and continuation of the uptrend may take place.
Double bottom forms, but trend remains bearish?Despite pressure stemming from President Donald Trump’s recent tariffs, analysts at Bernstein note Bitcoin’s relative resilience, particularly on shorter-term time frames where a double bottom pattern suggests underlying bullish interest. Bitcoin’s ‘safe haven’ appeal may be resonating with investors more than previously.
However, the longer-term chart reveals price action still maintained within a multi-month downtrend. After briefly rising above $80,000 on April 9 (peaking at $83,000), the price has since pulled back, confirming last week’s losses and raising the risk of further downside.
ANOTHER BULL RUN FOR BITCOINAs of April 12, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $84,892, reflecting a 1.5% increase as it attempts to break a three-month downtrend.
Several factors have contributed to Bitcoin's recent price surge:
1. U.S. Tariff Exemptions: The Trump administration's decision to exempt key tech products from reciprocal tariffs has alleviated trade tensions, boosting investor confidence in risk assets like Bitcoin.
2. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: The U.S. government's establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve signals institutional support for digital assets, enhancing market sentiment.
3. Market Dynamics: A significant amount of Bitcoin has been withdrawn from exchanges, indicating strong holding sentiment among investors. Additionally, a short squeeze has contributed to upward price momentum.
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4. Global Adoption: Institutions like Lomond School in Scotland accepting Bitcoin for tuition fees reflect growing mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrency.
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This could be the bull run we've all been waiting for.