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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

88K is not excluded but not granted as wellMorning folks, So, we set for 85K sell and it worked. Downside reaction happened, but still, we call you to move stops to breakeven for some case. The problem that we see is the market behavior. We see it not natural for normal bearish market. BTC stands stubbornly around K-resistance, not showing normal downside extension. Our scenario of downside continuation from ~85K area is not broken yet, it is valid, and maybe everything will happen as we've suggested initially. But we see the risk in the way of market behavior. It could lead to more extended upside bounce in the way of upside AB=CD pattern right to 88k resistance . It means that if you already have bearish positions - move stops to breakeven. If you don't - do not take the new once for awhile. Or, at least, you could take but not more than 25-30% of your normal lot. Our bearish scenario remains valid until market stands under 85.1K spike (because this is bearish reversal session on daily chart) and below 85.5K resistance in general. Upside breakout means an action to 88K. Since we do not have the breakout it, I mark our update as "bearish", but we warned you... Take care.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
Bitcoin's left translated cycle - new lowsLet’s analyze both Cycle Market theories separately: 60-Day Cycle Status Bitcoin printed a new cycle low on February 28. While many expected a rebound, it carved another low a week later, leading into a left-translated cycle (price trends downward for over half the cycle). We’re now on day 16, hovering just above the $78,000 low. Further downside is likely in coming weeks. Multi-Timeframe Cycle Breakdown 2-Week Cycle: Will dip below 20 by Monday’s close, marking the start of accumulation (long-term oversold conditions). 1-Week Cycle: Broken below 20 and stuck there for two months – a reversal is imminent, signaling mid-term upside. 3-Day Cycle: Also below 20, confirming short-term bullish momentum. 1-Day Cycle: Topping above 80, hinting at a brief pullback soon. Consensus : Both theories suggest a rally toward the 60-Day Cycle high (days 20-30), aligning with the 3-Day Cycle peak. However, we may see one final dip when the 3-Day Cycle resets to 20 before the bull run resumes.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheStrategyMaster
1
BTC/USD 1 hour will be . market go up This chart is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-hour timeframe analysis from TradingView. Here’s a breakdown of what it represents: 1. Price Action: The current Bitcoin price is $84,191.35. The price has dropped by -149.18 (-0.18%). 2. Technical Analysis Features: Resistance Zone (Marked with Green Box at the top): The price has struggled to break above this level. Support Zone (Green Box at the bottom): The price has previously bounced off this level. Falling Wedge Pattern (Blue lines on the left): This pattern typically signals a bullish reversal, which seems to have occurred. Ascending Channel (Blue lines on the right): Suggests a short-term upward trend. Sell and Buy Signals: Sell Signal at $84,191.35 (Red box). Buy Signal at $84,191.35 (Blue box). 3. Trade Setup: Short Position Indicated (Red and Green Box on the right): Stop-Loss at ~$87,021.76 (Red zone). Take-Profit at ~$78,228.36 (Green zone). The green downward arrow suggests a potential bearish move. 4. Macroeconomic Factors: The bottom icons with U.S. flags indicate upcoming fundamental events that might impact BTC price. Interpretation: The analysis suggests a potential short opportunity, expecting BTC to drop towards $78,228.36 if it follows the trend. If the price breaks above resistance, the bearish setup may become invalid. It's not financial advice
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Mr_jeff82
1
BTCUSD – Rounding Top Pattern Breakdown | Bearish OutlookBitcoin is showing signs of distribution after forming a Rounding Top pattern on the daily chart. Price has broken below the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is now approaching the Sell Entry zone near $84,000–$85,000. This zone may act as a rejection point for further downside. Technical Highlights: Bearish structure forming with lower highs. FVG and Demand Zones marked at: $79,000–$75,260 $69,100–$65,800 Price is expected to retrace toward these demand zones as liquidity is swept from recent highs. Fundamental Context: Market uncertainty around Fed policy and macroeconomic tightening. Profit-taking at recent highs could accelerate downside pressure. Bearish bias remains intact unless price reclaims and holds above $88,000. Watch for reactions in demand zones for potential bounce or further continuation down. Must Support Me Share My Idea With Your Firends Mention Your Feed back Comment Section
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Gold_Traders_Team
3
BTCUSDT TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHPTAIANBuddy'S dear friend SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for crypto BTC USDT. ) list time post signals 💯 reached target point ) 👉 New technical analysis setup BTC USDT looking for bullish trend 📈 FVG level support level. 83k 82k support level 87k 88k resistance level ). Guys 🤝 good luck 💯💯 Key Resistance level 87k + 88k Key Support level 83k - 82kà Mr SMC Trading point Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
Cocoa and Bitcoin: Correlation or Mere Coincidence? Since January of 2023, the price of Cocoa Futures and the price of Bitcoin have demonstrated a highly positive correlation. 115 data points of weekly close prices of Bitcoin and Cocoa Futures were entered into a correlation coefficient calculator between January 1st, 2023 and March 15th, 2025. This yielded an output of r=.9289 representing a strong positive correlation. The correlation in price movement becomes even more clear if we look at the charts going back to early 2023. As you can see below, both Bitcoin (top) and Cocoa Futures (bottom) have moved in nearly identical patterns. There are even some local bottoms and tops that line up to the day. For example, temporal markers such as Election Day (November 5, 2024) and Inauguration Day (January 20, 2025) that very closely mark the start of a local uptrend and local downtrend, respectively, for the price of both assets. Recent Cocoa price increases and volatility have mainly been attributed to decreases in supply, driven by adverse weather conditions in West Africa, crop diseases, supply chain disruptions and strong global demand. While all of these factors clearly play into Cocoa’s price volatility, we cannot discount the uncanny correlation of price movement simultaneously occurring in Bitcoin which is completely unaffected by the aforementioned supply factors.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ptm310
2
BTC/USD Analysis & Trade Idea - Zooming Out Market Structure & Key Levels Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has recently faced a significant correction after reaching local highs, now testing a key demand zone. The structure indicates a potential reversal or further downside if support fails. - Support Zones: - $73,805 – Currently acting as support; a breakdown could trigger more downside. - $68,997 – A strong demand area that previously led to a bullish breakout. - $61,206 – A deeper retracement level and a key zone for long-term buyers. - Resistance Levels: - $84,304 – A critical resistance where price may face rejection. - $93,401 – A major supply zone; breaking above would confirm bullish momentum. Price Action & Potential Scenario - BTC is testing $73,800 , a key inflection point. A strong bounce could push price toward $84,300 , while a breakdown may lead to $69,000 or lower. - Price recently rejected from local highs, suggesting increased selling pressure . - A confirmed reclaim of $84,300+ would be a bullish confirmation for another leg up. Trade Outlook 📈 Bullish Scenario : If BTC holds above $73,800 and breaks $84,300 , a rally toward $93,400 could follow. 📉 Bearish Scenario : A breakdown below $73,800 could lead to a retest of $69,000 and possibly $61,200 in a deeper correction. Conclusion Bitcoin remains at a key decision point. Holding support could fuel a reversal, while failure to maintain $73,800 may trigger further downside. Watch for price action confirmation before taking positions. --- Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and reflects my personal views. It is not financial advice. I am not responsible for any trading or investment decisions you make. Always do your own research and consult a professional before investing.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Gyomeix
BTCUSD POSSIBLE 69-63K CRUSHHH IN COMING???BTC are the KING OF BULL MARKET but can be very profitable when looking to SELL CORRECTION I can see we are forming this BEARISH TRIANGLE 4H, I like to trade this AGGRESSIVELY on LAST TOP TOUCH and not on brake at the bottom Im looking for this to play out, if 85K DONT stay solid that will be my SELLIG ENTRY SL 90k TARGET 69-63K Once im in i will update Enjoy your FRIDAY, i have feeling this weekend will have CRYPTO BLOOD ON THE STREET NEAR YOU LOL
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by donchichi1
2
KEEP SHORTS FOR 50% CORRECTIONPrice has been trading tops and bottoms within well defined harmonic forms. The third major top was at 68997.75+/- level and corrected to a bottom at 15473.78 on 21/11/2022. From the primary bottom on 05/10/2009 to this bottom we have a timeline 685 weeks forming the horizontal x-axis and price change +689.9775 the vertical y-axis. 05/10/2009 - 21/11/2022 = 4795 days / 685 weeks / 157.5 months From this we have: Price: 0.00 - 68997.75 - 15473.78 (Price change = 689.9775 * 10) pts Time: 05/10/2009 - 21/11/2022 (Time count = 685 weeks) This sets the pace for the expansion forms, price reached 73757.39 from 15473.78 and corrected again to 49217.00 on 05/08/2024, a price change of (+737.5739 * 10) from the primary low and 774 weeks time count. That gives a (737.5739 x 774) structure expanded from (689.9775 x 685). From 68997.75 which is the (1/Phi) level the next expansion would be a (+1087.00 +/-) pts of which price made a top at 109354.00. This would be the 1.0 or the (1 x 1) Gann square of price and time. Price has reached the 1.0 top, time made 798 weeks at this top. From a (1 x 1) Gann square which is usually the smallest expanded structure we would have a 50% decomposition which we expect price to reach at least the 52400.00 level if we break through the 68997k top. Since time is still lagging price by 208 weeks +/- it suggest two possible scenarios to consider. Check back as we make time projections and price levels to expect forward. Good luck, manage risks responsibly.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Fairmont-Markets
Bitcoin’s Final Surge? One Month Before the Post-Halving Drop!Bitcoin Halving Cycles: What History Tells Us About 2025 The Bitcoin halving is a highly anticipated event that occurs approximately every four years, reducing the block reward by 50% ⛏️. This supply shock has historically been a major catalyst for price movements. By analyzing previous cycles, we can attempt to forecast what might happen in the upcoming halving cycle of 2025. Historical Performance of Bitcoin Halving Cycles First Halving (2012) 365 Days Before Halving: 📈 +385% 365 Days After Halving: 🚀 +8069% Peak-to-Trough Decline After Peak: 🔻 -76.98% Second Halving (2016) 365 Days Before Halving: 📈 +142% 365 Days After Halving: 🚀 +284% Peak-to-Trough Decline After Peak: 🔻 -82.88% Third Halving (2020) 365 Days Before Halving: 📈 +17% 365 Days After Halving: 🚀 +559% Peak-to-Trough Decline After Peak: 🔻 -75.64% Current Cycle and 2025 Halving Expectations - Last Halving Date: 📅 April 15, 2024 - 365 Days Before Halving: Bitcoin gained 📈 +130% from $28,827 (April 2023) to around $65,000. - Projected 365 Days After Halving (April 2025): If history rhymes, we could see a price increase of around 📊 +72%, with a potential closure at the current Peak of $110,000. - Post-Peak Decline Estimate: Previous post-halving peaks saw declines of 📉 75%–82%. With Bitcoin's all-time high around $110,000, a 🔻 75% drawdown would target a bottom of ~$30,000 before the next recovery cycle. Key Takeaways Bitcoin's price tends to rally leading up to the halving, but the largest gains historically occur in the year following the halving. 📊 Post-bull run drawdowns are severe with past declines ranging from 🔻 -75% to -82%. While the Pre and Post-Halving theory suggests that the decline starts around 365 days after the halving, the full bear market typically unfolds between ⏳ 486 to 510 days post-halving. This aligns with the ⛓️ 70,000-block mark post-halving, as Bitcoin halvings occur approximately every 210,000 blocks. This means that while the peak may occur within a year after the halving, the deep bearish phase historically becomes evident around 1.3 to 1.4 years after the halving, reinforcing the long-term cyclical nature of Bitcoin’s market trends 🔄. Final Thoughts Bitcoin halving events are pivotal moments in the crypto market cycle 🔥. The data suggests that 2025 could see significant gains, but we should also be prepared for the inevitable correction that follows 📉. What are your thoughts on the upcoming cycle? Share your insights in the comments! Disclaimer This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The historical performance of Bitcoin halving cycles does not guarantee future results, and past trends may not necessarily repeat. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and investing in Bitcoin or any other asset carries risks, including the potential loss of capital. Readers should conduct their own research, assess their risk tolerance, and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The information provided is based on publicly available data and historical observations, which may be subject to change. Sources: Nakamoto, S. (2008). Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System. Bitcoin block time and halving data: Blockchain.com Historical Bitcoin price data: CoinMarketCap Bitcoin halving cycles and trends: Messari Market performance metrics: Glassnode By reading this article, you acknowledge that you are solely responsible for your own financial decisions and that the author assumes no liability for any losses incurred from trading or investing. 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Theperfectionist
1
BTC/USD – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!📌 🚀 🔹 Asset: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Bullish Pennant Breakout 📊 Trade Plan (Long Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Above $84,150 (Breakout Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below $82,533 (Key Support Level) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: $85,756 (Resistance Level) 📌 TP2: $87,951 (Extended Bullish Move) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation 📉 Risk (SL Distance): $84,150 - $82,533 = $1,617 risk per BTC 📈 Reward to TP1: $85,756 - $84,150 = $1,606 (1:1 R/R) 📈 Reward to TP2: $87,951 - $84,150 = $3,801 (1:2.35 R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy 📌 Bullish Pennant Formation: Price consolidating within a triangle after an uptrend, signaling a continuation breakout. 📌 Trendline Support: Uptrend support intact, breakout above triangle confirms momentum. 📌 Volume Confirmation Needed: Look for strong green candle with high volume above $84,150. 📌 Resistance at $85,756: Breaking this level could push BTC to $87,951. 📉 Trade Execution & Risk Management 📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure above-average volume on breakout. 📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry ($84,150) after TP1 ($85,756) is hit. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at $85,756, let the rest run toward $87,951. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($84,150) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk ❌ If price fails to hold above $84,150, exit early. ❌ Wait for a 30-min candle close above breakout level before entering. 🚀 Final Thoughts ✔ Bullish Setup – Strong breakout potential. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:2.35 to TP2. 💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀📈 🔗 #Bitcoin 🔥 #CryptoTrading 📊 #BTCUSD 🚀 #ProfittoPath 📈 #TradingView 📉 #CryptoMarket 💰
MARKETSCOM:BITCOINLong
by ProfittoPath
Bitcoin - Market outlook for the upcoming weeksLiquidity Sweep of the Last 4-Hour Low Last week, Bitcoin pulled a classic sell-side liquidity sweep by breaking below the last 4-hour low. This move likely targeted stop-loss orders placed by long traders and trapped breakout sellers. The price dipped sharply below this key level but quickly reversed upward, signaling a potential bullish reversal. Such movements are often orchestrated by institutional players or "smart money" to accumulate liquidity before driving the market in their desired direction Key characteristics of this liquidity sweep include: Key Liquidity Zone: The 4-hour low acted as a critical support level where many traders had stop-loss orders. Sharp Price Spike Below: The price briefly dipped below this level, triggering stop-losses and enticing short sellers. Aggressive Reversal: Following the sweep, the price rebounded strongly, forming bullish rejection candles on lower timeframes. This confirms the sweep and suggests that smart money may now push prices higher Resistance Zone and Current Market Structure The current resistance level is marked by the blue zone, which represents a key imbalance area. For the bullish reversal to gain momentum, Bitcoin must break above this resistance convincingly. A breakout above this zone would: Confirm a shift in market structure to bullish. Likely lead to a retest of the resistance zone as new support (a common breakout strategy). Open the door for further upside movement toward higher targets. However, if Bitcoin fails to break above this resistance, it could indicate continued consolidation or even another test of lower levels. Impact of Today’s PPI Dat a The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Producer Price Index for final demand was unchanged in February 2025, seasonally adjusted. This figure came in below economists expectations of a 0.3% increase. Even tho Bitcoin did not react to this right now, it could still show some signs later. Conclusion The sell-side liquidity sweep below the last 4-hour low is a textbook example of smart money manipulation, setting the stage for a potential bullish reversal. Traders should closely monitor the blue resistance zone for signs of a breakout or rejection. Additionally, today’s PPI data adds another layer of complexity to market dynamics, potentially swaying sentiment depending on whether it signals inflationary pressures or relief. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TehThomas
30
BTCUSD Symmetrical pattern, Short trade. *Tools & Patterns Used in This Chart (BTC/USD - 30m Chart)* #### *Chart Pattern:* 1. *Symmetrical Triangle Pattern* - Formed by two *trend lines* converging towards a point. - Indicates a potential *breakout*, in this case, a bullish breakout. #### *Tools & Annotations Used:* 1. *Trend Lines* - Two *diagonal trend lines* form the *triangle pattern*, marking support and resistance. 2. *Entry Point (ENTRY)* - Clearly marked where the breakout is expected to occur. 3. *Point of Interest (POI)* - Marks a *key level* where price is expected to react before moving further. 4. *Take Profit (TP) & Stop Loss (SL) Levels* - *TP (Take Profit):* Set at *85,850*, marking the expected bullish target. - *SL (Stop Loss):* Set at *83,972*, ensuring risk management. 5. *Measured Move Projection* - The green *vertical box* represents the expected price move after the breakout. 6. *Price Percentage Movements (33%)* - Marked throughout the chart to indicate *retracements and impulses*. #### *Conclusion:* - *Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Strategy* is applied. - Tools used: *Trend Lines, Entry & POI Markers, TP & SL Levels, Percentage Movements.* - Expected price movement: *Bullish breakout with a target around 85,850*. Would you like more details on how to trade this pattern effectively?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by David_1_8
1
BTCUSD Trading StrategyBitcoin is currently trading at approximately $84,364.87, with a 24-hour gain of 2.96% and a 7-day cumulative decline of -2.81%. Recently, influenced by news about the Trump administration's strategic reserves, the price experienced a "sell-the-news" style pullback, retreating from its high of around $100,000 to consolidate within the $80,000 range. The short-term support level stands at $74,000, while the resistance level is at $85,000. Bitcoin Trading Strategy sell @ 90000 buy @ 78000 If you're currently dissatisfied with your Bitcoin trading outcomes and seeking daily accurate trading signals, you can follow my analysis for potential assistance.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by George_Lester
BTC to Quarter MilBitcoin's Path to $253,000 We are predicting a move to $253,000 for Bitcoin, fueled by a potential short squeeze that could ignite an explosive rally. Key Targets: First Target: $144,000 Second Target: $185,000 Third Target: $253,000 Short Squeeze Setup: Bitcoin's current structure shows signs of a bear trap, with an increasing number of shorts piling in around resistance levels. A break above critical liquidity zones could force mass liquidations, triggering cascading buy orders and accelerating BTC's move upward. Liquidation clusters: ~$75,000 - $85,000 Breakout threshold: $93,000 Parabolic acceleration: Once above $144K Why This Move is Imminent: High Open Interest in Shorts – Short positioning at resistance levels is increasing the likelihood of a squeeze. Post-Halving Supply Shock – Reduced miner selling pressure strengthens upside momentum. Institutional Accumulation – Large players are absorbing liquidity, preparing for the next leg up. Conclusion: If BTC clears the $85K-$93K range, short liquidations could catapult price action straight to $144K, where the next wave of FOMO will likely drive it further toward $185K and beyond. 🔥 Short squeeze ignition incoming – Are you positioned for the breakout? 🔥
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Whisperwave
1